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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 16: 1. Core driving factors of fundamentals Weak US economic data strengthens expectations of interest rate cuts PPI and retail sales data fell beyond expectations: US PPI fell 0.5% month-on-month in April (expected +0.2%), retail sales growth dropped sharply from 1.7% in March to 0.1%, and manufacturing output fell 0.4%, indicating that the pressure of economic slowdown has intensified. This data directly led to a sharp drop in US Treasury yields (10-year yields fell 11 basis points to 4.435%), and market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts increased (the probability of a rate cut in September is expected to rise to 75.4%). Weak US dollar: The US dollar index fell 0.2% to 100.82, and the real interest rate (TIPS yield) fell below 1.8%, providing pricing support for gold. Geopolitical risks escalate Russia-Ukraine peace talks are deadlocked: Putin refused to attend the Turkey talks and only sent a low-level delegation. Ukrainian President Zelensky called this move "disrespectful". Market expectations for the progress of the peace agreement have cooled significantly, and safe-haven demand has surged. Uncertainty in the Middle East: There are still differences in the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations. Although Trump said it was "close to being reached", internal news in Iran showed that key issues have not been resolved and the risk of geopolitical conflict continues. Trade situation and long-term support factors The pressure of easing tariffs between China and the United States has been exhausted: Although the China-US tariff agreement has eased trade frictions in the short term, the market's focus has shifted to economic data and subsequent policy impacts. In the long run, global central banks continue to buy gold (more than 1,000 tons of gold in 2024), stagflation risks (high inflation and low growth coexist) and weakening US dollar credit still support gold. 2. Key technical points Support level: Short-term: US$3205-3210 (psychological barrier and 4-hour Bollinger band middle track). Medium term: $3160 (trend line support and 60-day moving average). Resistance level: Above: $3260-3270 (high pressure zone 4 hours ago). Long-term target: $3330-3350 (gap filling and historical high range). Technical signal: Daily MACD bottom divergence, RSI rebounded from the oversold area, indicating strong short-term rebound momentum. If it breaks through the $3260 resistance, it may start a new round of rise; if it falls below $3200, it may fall back to the $3160 support. 3. Optimal trading strategy Short-term operation (intraday to intraweek) Long opportunity: Entry conditions: Gold price pulls back to the $3205-3210 range to stabilize, or the US dollar index does not break through the 100.50 resistance. Target: $3260-3280, stop loss set below 3180. Short opportunities: Entry conditions: Gold price rebounds to 3260-3280 range and encounters resistance, or the US dollar index stabilizes at 101. Target: 3220-3200 US dollars, stop loss set above 3290. Medium-term strategy (monthly level) Bullish logic: Central bank gold demand, stagflation risk and normalization of geopolitical conflicts support long-term upward trend. Entry time: If gold price falls back to 3160-3180 area without breaking, long positions can be opened in batches, stop loss 3130, target 3330-3350 US dollars. Risk control points Strict stop loss: short-term stop loss does not exceed 2% of the total position, medium-term stop loss does not exceed 5%. Event avoidance: Pay attention to today's Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and import price data in the United States, and reduce positions before the data is released. IV. Summary and risk warning Core contradiction: Short-term economic data and geopolitical risks dominate fluctuations, and medium- and long-term structural benefits remain unchanged. Potential risks: Policy changes: If the Fed releases hawkish signals or Russia-Ukraine negotiations make unexpected progress, it may trigger a sharp correction. Technical overbought repair: Gold has risen too much in the short term, so we need to be wary of profit-taking pressure. Operation principles: light positions, strict stop losses, and give priority to the breakthrough direction of the 3200-3260 US dollar range, and follow the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
Gold operation strategy analysisAt present, the long and short views in the gold market are significantly different, and the effectiveness of technical positions has been verified. The 3180 point has not shown an effective support role in the recent downward process. Its logic as a potential pressure point lacks price behavior verification, and we need to be vigilant against the risk of misjudgment caused by subjective preset technical positions. As for the short strategy at 3200 points, if 3230 is used as the stop loss, the risk exposure of more than 30 US dollars is disproportionate to the current volatility range, and the profit and loss ratio needs to be strictly evaluated in actual transactions. In the current market environment, the price has not yet shown a clear bottom signal. The operational level should focus on optimizing the risk-return ratio and avoid excessive gambling on short-term fluctuations during the trend continuation stage. It is recommended to wait patiently for clearer technical signals or fundamental drivers to intervene. Gold continued its decline last week, refreshing a new low in a month, but the gold price bottomed out and rebounded during the day, indicating that there is strong bargain hunting below. Gold's support below, from the 30-minute analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3180-3185, with a focus on the 3200-3210 line. The pullback will rely on this position to continue the main short trend and look down. The short-term long and short strength watershed is 3235-3240. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds to 3180-3185, with a stop loss at 3193, and the target is 3170-3160, and the break is 3160-3130
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our buy entry at 3150.51, a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 3212.38, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 3085.81, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview 📉 Downtrend in Play Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354 Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86) Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum. Key Zones & Levels 🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance) 📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41 Strong selling pressure expected here Possible short entry if price gets rejected 🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support) 📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210 Price has previously bounced here 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit) 📍 $3,050 Clear support level – used as a profit target Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 🟩 Entry Point 📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone) 🛑 Stop Loss ❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line) ✅ Take Profit 💰 Target $3,050 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades. Summary 🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone 💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers 📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007
4 Profitable Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know Forex, GOLD In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument. 1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within. Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market. Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest. Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag. Target - the next key resistance. Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated. 2️⃣Ascending Triangle Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously. The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline. Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers. Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest. Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle. Target - the next strong resistance. Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD. Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal. 3️⃣Falling Wedge That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern. The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time. Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge. Stop loss is strictly below its lows. Target - the next key resistance. GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend. You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary. 4️⃣Horizontal Range Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend. The price starts consolidation , then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel. Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal. Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest. Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range. Target - the next strong resistance. Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend. Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally. The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
5/16 Gold Trading Signals 🌇Good afternoon, everyone! Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits. Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is: 🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern? There’s some uncertainty in the current structure: On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top. On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone. 🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on. 🗞 News Watch: Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold. 📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148 🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287 🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays): ▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267 ✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3209.1 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 3224.3 My Stop Loss - 3201.4 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold on a downtrendTechnical analysis: Double rejection on #3,257.80 - #3,265.80 former Medium-term Support belt (now turned in Short-term Resistance) has proved to be the upside barrier for Gold and the Bear cycle of #Q2 now continues. Daily chart should Technically deliver #3,211.80 Support test, as the Descending Channel has aggressively invalidated almost all Lower levels. The expected #3,227.80 contact point test came earlier so the Price-action should now either move straight to #3,200.80 benchmark or gradually rise once again within Neutral Rectangle before declining again. Regardless of the outcome, as I mentioned on my remarks regarding the Short-term where Descending Channel is very strong and decisive to engage multi-Week Bearish cycle on Gold ahead (which is already taking part). My position: If you took my #3,252.80 reversal signal you should already close your order within #3,222.80 - #3,227.80. Gold would be significantly Lower if there is no parallel Buying pressure from DX taking strong hits.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
GOLD SUFFERED LOSSES IN THE WAKE OF U.S AND CHINA TRADE TALKThe United States and China reached a significant trade agreement on May 12, 2025, following high-level negotiations in Geneva. The agreement establishes a 90-day truce in the ongoing trade dispute, during which both countries have committed to significantly lowering tariffs on each other’s goods. The U.S. reduced its tariff from 145% to 30%, while China cut its rate from 125% to 10%. This move boosted investor confidence, triggering a broad risk-on rally across global markets. As at the time of writing, gold as a safe haven suffered the most in the wake of this decision, down by 3.46%, while WTI and S&P 500 gained 4.02% and 3.95% respectively. From a technical perspective, gold maintains a bearish outlook, characterized by a series of impulsive declines followed by corrective pullbacks to the downside. Meanwhile, prices are seen supported around $3200 demand zone. Technically, a potential pullback would target around $3271 to $3291 and a breakout of $3300 would open the floor for a possible reversal of trend on the 2H. Whereas a break blow $3200 would likely usher in $3135 as per analysts. Meanwhile, breakout of these levels is not ruled out. UPCOMING CATALYST On the radar this week, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data is set for release on Tuesday, May 13 at 4:30 PM GMT+4. On Thursday at 4:30 PM GMT+4, markets will watch for Core PPI, Retail Sales Index, PPI, and Weekly Unemployment Claims. Then at 4:40 PM, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver opening remarks at the Second Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington, D.C. Consumer sentiment data is scheduled for release on Friday. These data points and event have the potential to stir market volatility. Hence presenting potential risk and reward opportunities.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
XUA/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas behind the analysis: 1. Trend and Structure: The overall trend shows a bullish move followed by a correction and now a potential continuation upward. A bullish breakout from a descending trendline suggests a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 2. Key Zones: Order Block / Buying Zone (~3,280-3,310): A demand area where price is expected to find support and potentially bounce higher. Support Level (~3,320-3,360): Price is currently above this level, suggesting buyers are in control. Resistance Level (~3,440-3,495): Marked as a potential short-term ceiling; a breakout above this level may signal strong bullish continuation. Target Point (~3,494): This is the projected take-profit level for a bullish move. 3. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 63–64, close to overbought territory but not yet extreme. This suggests moderate bullish momentum without signs of immediate reversal. 4. Projected Move: The chart outlines a possible retracement to the support or order block zone, followed by a bounce and a push toward the resistance level and target. Mr SMC Trading point Strategy Implication: Buy on pullback to the support or order block zone. Stop-loss could be placed below the order block (~3,280). Take-profit around the target zone (~3,494). pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
25
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to continue shorting!Technical analysis of gold: After stabilizing at 3222 yesterday, the rebound was weak and stopped at 3244. After the European session fluctuated, it fell below the 3200 integer mark and a diving market appeared. The lowest intraday price fell to 3168 US dollars. This means that the support of 3200 has failed, and the price of the disk has increased its retracement. The saturated and sinister closing of the daily line means that there is still room for continuation during the day! After gold fell below 3200 this week, the current trend is as shown in the figure. The end of this wave is tentatively set at around 2950. There may be a rebound during the period, but it is only a rebound. After the news fades, it is a rebound in the analysis after the 9th of this month. It emphasizes that the gold price of 3500 is a top to look at the retracement, and also gives a short-selling strategy and a staged support position below. Now that the support level has been broken one after another, we can continue to look at the target according to the trend. Now let's make a brief analysis of the hourly chart. Gold prices must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is to adjust and repair by shocks, and the other is to rebound and repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions to rebound, so I think the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell at a profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the upper side mainly focuses on two positions. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the early trading wave near 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the just low point of 3120. The lower ladder support focuses on 3088. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3170-3192 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3120-3100 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 3168-3172 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 10 points, target near 3140-3120, and look at 3100 line if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 3100-3105 when gold falls back, stop loss 10 points, target near 3130-3150, and look at 3170 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Our NFP KOG Report worked pretty well apart from it being a Friday and us closing out positions for the weekend only for the move to complete on Monday. For this FOMC we’ll share the levels and potential reaction points on the red boxes as well as the red box target levels. Due to the range, it’s best to wait for the break and also for them to move the price to where they want, then hunt the trade once price has settled. We have the immediate support level below 3360-55 which if held can push this upside to break the recent high and that 3480-90 level again. Break of that level we have red box region 3330-20 which is where we could get a RIP but that will give us the flip with potential for the order region 3350-55 to turn into resistance unless broken. For that reason, a down move for now could only give scalps for decent captures on tap and bounces. 3320 is the line in the sand, if broken below we’ll get the long from the 3290-95 region which will come next week. Note, these days it’s only Trump that manages to move the markets aggressively, so this FOMC is most likely already priced in. Not worth attempting the immediate levels so we’ll rather wait for the extreme levels. RED BOXES INDI LEVELS: Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3420, 3430 and 3435 in extension of the move Break below 3375 for 3370, 3366, 3356, 3351 and 3345 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist-[12May2025]What Retail Traders Don’t See in Today’s Gold Moves Institutional Liquidity Manipulation – A Step Ahead of Illusion Analysis My view is rooted in fact and data—no noise, no distraction, no rush. X-Plus, the system I designed, precisely maps liquidity and movement. A smart trader remains independent, confident, and waits for confirmation before acting. Introducing X-Plus: The Ultimate Precision System for Liquidity Mapping The market thrives on deception—misdirection, false breakouts, engineered liquidity traps. X-Plus exposes the illusion, pinpoints institutional execution layers, and keeps traders ahead of liquidity hunts instead of becoming their victims. Before reading further, here is my take: This sequence represents the real institutional mechanics being set up for today’s move: First up —a deceptive liquidity sweep above $3,379, creating false bullish momentum. Then down —a sharp selloff, breaking below $3,265, targeting deeper liquidity around $3,169. Finally, a sharp up —a fast recovery, engineered to trap bears, before surging toward the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D. Let's see how it will play out, yeah? Retail traders will think they understand the trend, but institutions are controlling every step of the trap—this is a pure liquidity engineering play. The inducement phase isn't just clearing liquidity—institutions are layering orders in dark pools while pushing a false trend onto visible exchanges. The pre-bell setup isn't about creating FOMO for retailers—it's actually about internal clearing for institutional portfolios that need rebalancing ahead of NYSE. Macro Price Engineering Beyond SMC Narratives Retail traders believe the pre-bell liquidity sweep is setting trend direction, but in reality, it’s engineering spread control for futures market execution. Volatility spikes aren’t retail-driven—they’re forced by institutional hedging adjustments in the fixed-income derivatives market, which most traders don’t factor into gold moves. The Hidden Psychological Manipulation Behind Today’s Price Action The illusion of market control isn't just baiting traders into stop-hunts—it’s actually resetting sentiment indicators that institutions use to fine-tune algorithmic executions later in the session. The price structure you're seeing isn't about accumulation or distribution—it's about forcing incorrect risk-reward calculations on retail traders so they mismanage their sizing, setting up deeper liquidity for NYSE execution. The Real Execution Plan – Not Just a Reflection of Speculation Liquidity sweeps aren't designed for direct stops today—they're actually pre-loading supply zones before derivative contract adjustments trigger auto-liquidation mechanisms. The predicted downside move isn't incorrect, but the true reversal won't happen where retail traders think—it'll be forced at a miscalculated low to trap institutions into forward-roll risk positions. NYSE won’t just sweep the bears before climbing—it’ll use forced dealer hedging activities to inflate volume before rejecting most breakout traders who take the upside move too early. Gold Price Action Breakdown 📍 Current Market Levels Front Month Gold Contract: $3,326.30 (Last Settlement Price) Resistance Zones: $3,360-$3,365, $3,400 (Psychological Barrier) Support Zones: $3,265-$3,264, $3,223-$3,222 (Next Downside Target) ⏳ Key Timing for Institutional Moves Asian Pre-Bell (Next 2-3 Hours): Expect high-frequency stop-hunts targeting retail traders entering positions too early. London Session Open (Critical Pivot Point): This will be the moment institutions flush liquidity out before positioning for the true move. NYSE Session (True Move Unfolds): Gold renounces sharply, sweeping bears before the next 3-drive pattern peak of wave D. 🚀 Institutional Execution Strategy Synthetic liquidity mirage—volume spikes will appear, but they’re not real demand, just engineered liquidity traps. Dark pool positioning—institutions will offload positions in hidden exchanges, making the real move invisible until execution. Delayed execution trap—the true reversal won’t happen immediately, forcing traders to hold onto losing positions longer than they should. Conclusion: The Illusion Will Break—But Only for Those Who See It Markets are designed to deceive—price action isn’t just movement, it’s manipulation. Today’s liquidity engineering is a masterclass in institutional deception, and only traders who understand where the true execution layers lie will emerge unscathed. Retail sentiment will chase breakouts, stop-hunts will lure in emotional entries, and miscalculations will force premature exits. But behind the illusion lies the real institutional mechanics—the precise sequence of moves that will dictate today’s liquidity flow. Gold Mirage Trap: The Ultimate Liquidity Heist is unfolding. Let’s see who escapes the trap and who falls into it. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on systematic liquidity mapping through X-Plus and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are subject to manipulation, engineered liquidity events, and institutional strategies beyond the scope of retail trading. Traders are responsible for their own risk management, execution, and decision-making. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDShort
by jerryfc000
Seize the moment! The rebound is a good opportunity to shortGold was affected by the implementation of the China-US tariffs and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, which weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. The weekly line formed a double-needle top pattern, and continued to see downward adjustments this week. The daily line also has a double top structure, with 3500 and 3435 as double tops, and the neckline focuses on 3202. If it falls below, the double top pattern is confirmed. In terms of thinking, keep falling back and adjusting, with pressure focusing on 3260 and 3283, and support below focusing on 3200-3202. In terms of operation, rebound high and short are the main, and falling back is supplemented by long. Operation suggestion: short gold when it rebounds to around 3255-65, and look at 3320 and 3200. long gold when it falls back to around 3210-3200, and look at 3320 and 3250.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Reversal Potential from Falling Wedge + Demand Zone Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 15-minute chart. After forming a falling wedge pattern and reaching a key demand zone around 3120, price action suggests a possible bounce. Falling wedge breakout observed with increasing volume Strong rejection from the 3120 support zone Risk-to-reward setup aligned with bullish momentum Watch for continuation if price holds above the minor trendline This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
The market is full of crises next week!📌Fundamentals: This weekend, China and the United States held two days of negotiations as scheduled. It seems that there are many topics to discuss and the scope is wide, but they are still trying to reach a consensus. Otherwise, there is no need to spend two days of intensive talks. Some people think that after so long, there is no conclusion, which is bad news. I think the opposite. At this time, no bad news means good news. Based on the current "marathon" negotiation time, we need to be vigilant about the expected difference in the results of this round of negotiations. The second is the India-Pakistan conflict. After the talks led by the United States, India and Pakistan have agreed to a comprehensive and immediate ceasefire. Judging from this line alone, there will definitely be no risk of risk aversion rising when the market opens on Monday. The only thing is that the results of this round of negotiations between China and the United States are quite important, and there will definitely be results before the opening of Monday. 📊Technological aspects: Even if the current round of China-US negotiations achieves an optimistic result, gold cannot fall below 3300. If it falls below 3300 and hits the low point below 3275 again, then the next step for gold is very likely to touch the high point of 3160-50 where the trade war started. On the contrary, if gold can hold 3300, then it is very likely to move like the previous wave, break the range, stand above 3360-70, then gold will continue to return to above 3400. Therefore, the most critical position for the opening of next week is the support position of 3300 below and the suppression position of 3360-70 above. If it breaks, the trend will almost move in that direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 14 Wednesday🧠 XAUUSD – Market Outlook & Tactical Watchlist (May 14) GoldMindsFX Chart Update 📉 Bias: Still bearish on H1–H4. Price structure remains heavy, with compression beneath resistance and weak bullish rejections off demand. Momentum is stuck between hopeful dips and unforgiving supply. 🧭 Macro Context: CPI data yesterday gave the market a good shake, but instead of confirming a breakout, Gold has slumped back into a sideways liquidity trap. Every little spike gets slapped down. Translation? We’re in "mess around and find out" territory. No clean direction until one of the extremes gets swept with volume and confirmation. 🔎 Zones to Watch – Tactical Map (Wide Ranges Only) 📌 3247–3265 ➡️ This is a key compression zone. It was tested overnight and rejected. If price returns here and stalls, watch for signs of absorption. If it rips through → next target is higher (but we don’t chase). 📌 3280–3295 ➡️ Untested shelf above CPI drop. Premium supply area that might magnet price — but only if we break clean above 3265. 📌 3205–3180 ➡️ Broader demand basin. Price is bouncing here but without real commitment. Still valid for reactive watch — but bulls have no real control. 📌 Below 3174 ➡️ The vault. This is the final flush zone. If Gold loses all composure and dives, this is where serious interest may return. No front-running. ⚠️ Notes on Structure: Price is stuck inside a liquidity funnel between 3235 and 3220. Rejection wicks = traps. Don’t engage unless structure shifts. No BOS = No boss. We don’t serve chop. 📸 Summary for the Chart Watchers: We are inside mid-support territory, but nothing is confirmed yet. Bulls need to break above 3247 and hold it. Bears want to crack below 3200 with aggression. Until then, this is a staring contest between imbalance and indecision. 🧠 Final Note The zone is never the trade. The behavior inside is. Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
The golden earthquake storm is coming!In terms of news: Major events over the weekend include the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the sudden change in the situation between India and Pakistan, and the progress of Sino-US negotiations: Although India and Pakistan announced a truce, India's surprise attack turned the agreement into a joke. The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the United States are still continuing in Geneva, and it is difficult to have clear results in the short term. The war between Russia and Ukraine is still in a stalemate. The superposition of multiple events has injected uncertainty into the market. Technical aspects: Pay attention to the pressure in the 3360-3380 area. If it stands firm at 3346, it can fall back to arrange long orders. If it directly breaks below 3300 at the opening, pay attention to the support near 3280 - this position is likely to be lost, and effective support depends on the downward pattern formed after the 3260 break, and the ultimate target is 3200.
TVC:GOLD
by Fortune-signal