GOLD trade ideas
Another move up for goldHi traders,
Last week gold made a bigger (overlapping) correction down (wavecount updated). Price could be making an ending diagonal (wave 5)
If this is correct, then next week we could see a small correction down and more upside.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Xauusd market update The chart you’ve shared is a 2-hour timeframe for Gold (XAU/USD), showing price action with multiple support and resistance zones along with potential scenarios marked by dotted lines.
Key Technical Observations:
1. Current Price:
$3,294.36, down 1.00%.
2. Support Zones (Blue Boxes):
Major support around $3,230–$3,250 — currently being tested.
This level held previously (mid-June), suggesting it could act as a strong base.
3. Resistance Zones:
Minor resistance near $3,350.
Strong resistance around $3,430–$3,450, marking a previous swing high.
4. Price Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If current support holds, price could bounce toward the $3,350 resistance.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below current support may lead price toward $3,200, the next major demand zone.
5. Volume Profile Zones (Pink & Blue Highlighted Ranges):
Indicate areas of previous high interest (accumulation/distribution).
Current action near a high-volume node, suggesting potential for either reversal or strong continuation.
---
Summary:
Neutral to Bearish bias unless strong reversal signals appear from the current support.
Watch for bullish confirmation near $3,250–$3,270 to consider long setups.
Breakdown of this zone could trigger a slide to $3,200.
Let me know if you’d like a trading plan or entry/exit levels for either scenario.
Another excellent sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.”
I have made #7 successful Scalp orders throughout yesterday’s session (all Buying orders) firstly from #3,330.80, then #3,320.80 towards #3,327.80 and final batch of aggressive Scalps from #3,310.80 towards #3,318.80 - #3,325.80 / Highly satisfied with yesterday’s session Profit.
Technical analysis: Gold is currently disconnected from Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle and thus I am expecting a new Selling direction starting from today’s session if #3,300.80 benchmark isn’t recovered and market closes above it (Weekly closing as well). Personally I believe it will be a big one on big Volume (best what last session of the week can offer). Hourly 1 chart is delivering firm Selling signals and points to a Bearish breakout and Selling continuation. A red closing on today's Daily chart’s candle points to a Bearish continuation also. Personally I believe that only if local Support gets invalidated (seen Trading at #3,272.80) does the trend resumes its previous Bearish bias also without more disappointing numbers on DX. No surprises so far as rejection on #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 Resistance level is showcasing strong durability for the cycle. This is a Technical pullback as well to cool down Long-term Overbought levels and may precisely test the #3,252.80 benchmark / near pivot point, probability which I mentioned earlier this week.
My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife.
Gold Slips Deeper – Bears in Full ControlGold extended its losing streak to a sixth straight day, sliding closer to the critical $3,300 level as a rebounding US dollar and Powell’s cautious tone dampen market sentiment.
Technically, the breakdown below the short-term ascending channel has validated a bearish structure. Daily chart indicators are turning decisively negative, suggesting the path of least resistance is still to the downside.
Unless a fresh risk event triggers safe-haven demand, any bounce from here may simply offer sellers a better price to re-enter. The downtrend is in motion — and it’s gaining steam.
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3321.6
Stop Loss - 3316.9
Take Profit - 3330.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)Here’s an updated analysis, as ‘Minor Wave 2’ is still forming & pulling back deeper into the $3,285 zone.
We’ll be keeping an eye around this zone for a slow down in bearish momentum & if we get it, we’ll enter a buy trade. If momentum doesn’t slow down, we will let it go towards $3,245 & invalidate bullish structure. That way we know to look for sell’s📉
TP1: $3,374
TP2: $4,300
Gold, Will USA-Iran-Israel conflict affect it? The USA-Iran-Israel conflict can significantly impact gold prices. Gold is a safe-haven asset, so demand often rises during geopolitical tensions, pushing prices up
3406 gonna be first target for me, if it breaks this lvl with huge volume and FVG on 1h+ then most likely we will see ATH in near future
bearish scenario(lest likely) - price breaks down 3340 and close with nice volume and fvg on 1h+ which will open move all the way down to MO
GOLD GOLD ASIANS SESSION ,the price action of gold faces immediate resistance at 3334.91 descending black trendline backed by ema+sma 100 on 2hr timeframe ,correction from 3295 low yesterday could be seeing buy potential from 3326 and 3318.9 last level. be careful of dips into 3318.9 price level,because it could use broken demand floor as supply roof and continue selling.
for a healthy buying ,i expect 3326-3325 to hold buy.
US10y stands at 4.30% jumps from 4.28% low yesterday and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5% held steady from fed last monetary policy meeting .
cease fire slowing buy momentum and 10 year bond yield on demand floor ,if investors go the bonds way,then gold could be seeing a bearish continuation in a short term, note;the long term direction remains bullish.
The Fed Chair, Jerome Powell will speak today and it is expected to emphasize a data-dependent approach to monetary policy amid mixed economic signals. Key points likely to be highlighted:
Inflation Outlook: Powell may note that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target but is showing signs of gradual easing, especially in core services and goods prices.
Interest Rate Path: The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious stance, signaling that while rate cuts are possible later in 2025, decisions will depend on upcoming economic data, particularly inflation and labor market conditions.
Economic Growth: Powell may express concerns about slowing growth and global uncertainties but stress the Fed’s commitment to balancing inflation control with supporting the economy.
Housing Market: Given recent housing data, Powell might mention the impact of elevated mortgage rates on housing affordability and sales.
Overall, the testimony is expected to reinforce the Fed’s “patient and flexible” approach, leaving markets alert for any shifts in tone regarding the timing of rate cuts.
1. New Home Sales (USD)
Forecast: 694,000 units
Previous: 743,000 units
The forecast anticipates a decline in new home sales compared to the previous month, reflecting ongoing challenges in the housing market primarily due to elevated mortgage rates.
Recent reports from Fannie Mae and Zillow indicate that higher mortgage rates (projected to end 2025 around 6.5%) are weighing on home sales, leading to downward revisions in sales forecasts for 2025.
Despite some regional variations and slight upticks in existing home sales, the overall trend points to a cooling housing market with slower new home sales growth.
However, elevated mortgage rates and a cautious labor market continues to restrain some buyers.
2. Crude Oil Inventories (USD)
Forecast: -1.2 million barrels (draw)
Previous: -11.5 million barrels (large draw)
The forecast expects a smaller inventory draw compared to the previous week’s significant reduction.
Inventory draws typically support crude oil prices, but a smaller-than-expected draw could temper price gains.
Crude oil inventory data influences energy prices and can indirectly impact inflation expectations and market sentiment.
#gold
XAUUSD on correction H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the Rising wedge pattern on H4 and open with Huge gap which we had mentioned in our Weekly Episode.
What's will be the scanarios ?
I'm expecting the upside move towards my Targets.
if gold sustained with this rising Parallel channel and H4 retraced back above 3375-3380 then look upside 3392 then 3405 on intraday. 3350-3360 zone will be the buyers area if gold hold it it will rise.
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3380-3382 buyying will be limited and my Targets will be 3350 then 3365. Secondly below 3350 we'll have 3330 -- 3320 on mark
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD – Monday Gap Open, Pullback Expected to 3400 Buy ZoneMarket Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) is expected to open Monday with a price gap in the 3449–3440 zone. This move indicates bullish continuation in the higher timeframes, but price is likely to retrace before resuming upside momentum.
Trade Plan:
Looking for a pullback toward the 3400 zone.
This level represents a strong buy-side liquidity zone / demand area.
Plan to look for bullish confirmation or entry signals in the 3400 area.
Key Levels:
Opening Zone (Resistance): 3449–3440
Buy Target Zone: 3400 (ideal entry)
Trade Bias: Bullish (Buy the Dip)
Risk Note: Wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish candlestick, structure reclaim) at 3400. Do not enter blindly.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,290.270, reflecting a decrease of $37.475 (-1.13%) as of 09:42. The chart highlights a recent upward trend followed by a potential support zone around $3,200-$3,300, with a marked resistance level near $3,380. The analysis suggests a possible reversal or consolidation phase.
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Last Friday, the overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fell back to fluctuate and adjust. Finally, it stabilized at the 3340 mark before closing and rebounded and fluctuated. The daily K line closed with a fluctuating number K. The overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fluctuated in the near term. However, the US military attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, exacerbating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up. Today, the gold price jumped high and fell back into a volatile state. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations, and continue to trade time for space. Although gold opened high and went low, it still did not break the bullish trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back is also the current trend.
From the current market trend, today's technical support below is around 3345-3355, focusing on the gains and losses of the 3340 line; the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385, focusing on the 3395-3405 line. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautious pursuit of orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3355, and add to long positions when it falls back to 3340-3345. The target is 3370-3380.Counter-trend short orders will be entered at an appropriate time based on market changes, and the specific points will be subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold XAUUSD Summer Price Action - Trading Psychology☀️ Summer Trading Blues? Here’s How to Stay Sharp Without Burning Out
Summer trading on Gold isn’t for the impulsive or the greedy. Liquidity dries up, sessions lose momentum, and the clean, aggressive price action we love? It goes on vacation too.
But that’s not a bad thing. It’s an opportunity.
This is the season where traders either burn out... or build.
Here’s how to keep your edge sharp while the markets slow down — and why a positive, focused mindset is your biggest asset until volatility returns.
Why Summer PA Feels “Off” on Gold
You’re not imagining it — gold price action does shift in the summer, and here’s why:
🏖️ Bank Holidays & Institutional Slowdowns
• Major global banks take scheduled breaks — including in the US, UK, EU, and Asia.
• Trading desks reduce activity, and high-volume players shift into passive management mode.
• This results in lower volume, fewer impulsive moves, and more algorithmic fakeouts.
📆 Official Holidays + "August Mode"
• US Independence Day (July 4), UK Summer Bank Holiday (late August), and more → NY and London sessions thin out or lack follow-through.
• Most institutional traders go on leave. Some desks run skeleton crews. No joke.
• Unless a major geopolitical catalyst (e.g. war escalation or surprise central bank move) hits the headlines, price will drift or trap.
🏄♂️ Retail Overreach & Emotional Traps & Vacation Time
• Retail traders often “force” trades in quiet markets to stay busy.
• This leads to chasing, overtrading, and emotional fatigue — the exact trap smart traders avoid.
• Most regular traders also go on vacation or scale back — unless they’re mentally obsessed with Gold and can’t let it go.
Bottom line:
Summer PA is slower, trickier, and full of emotional bait. Learn to read the stillness — not fight it.
💡 Your Summer Trading Mindset Kit
Instead of complaining about the range, use this time to train your mindset.
Here’s how:
⚖️ Stay Emotionally Neutral — Even When Price Isn’t
Summer markets bait your emotions: fake breakouts, slow reactions, and dead zones.
To stay in control, build structure around your execution:
✅ Pre-market: Make a clear plan with meaningful zones and set alerts — don’t wing it on hopes and dreams
✅ Post-market: Write down why you stayed out or why your trade was clean — not just wins or losses
Neutrality isn’t passive — it’s disciplined clarity, even when the chart’s doing nothing.
🎯 Focus Over FOMO
Short sessions. Laser focus. Clean execution.
→ Limit distractions
→ Trade only clear, structured setups
→ Respect no-trade days as productive days
Flow isn’t magic — it’s discipline + environment.
🤝 Find the Trading Circle That Matches Your Style — to reinforce your style
Not every group fits you — and not every voice deserves your attention.
Look for people who:
• Respect structure over noise
• Give thoughtful, honest feedback
• Celebrate patience and growth, not screenshots and bragging and 20-30 pips wins
A real trading circle matches your energy and raises your game — not your cortisol.
💭 Reconnect With Your “Why”
If you’re here just to “make money,” summer will test you hard.
Purpose anchors you when price doesn’t. Ask yourself:
• Why do I trade?
• Who am I becoming through this process?
No purpose = burnout.
Purpose = clarity, even in silence.
📈 Discipline Pays When Gold Doesn’t
Forget chasing fireworks in dead markets.
Summer rewards the trader who does less but does it right:
✅ You skipped noise? That’s a win.
✅ You waited for your zone? Pro-level move.
✅ You tracked your behavior? You’re not guessing — you’re evolving.
While others burn out chasing crumbs, you’re stacking discipline — and that’s what you’ll cash in when the real moves return.
Final Words: Quiet Traders Get Loud Later
Summer might be slow. But your growth doesn’t have to be.
While others force trades, smart traders sharpen edge.
You’re not falling behind by sitting out chop — you’re building mastery for when real money moves return.
🗓️ So in September YOU are going to show up: stronger, clearer, and 3x more prepared.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
The current price of gold is 3330-3335, go short directly!Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom of 3295. At present, gold is just a rebound, not enough to reverse directly. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. After all, the daily line has fallen continuously, so the short momentum of gold is still there. In the short term, the rebound of gold is just a repair after oversold. Gold is currently priced at 3330-3335 and is directly short.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be arranged in a short position downward. After gold fell below the previous low of 3340 yesterday, gold has not been able to rebound again. In the short term, 3340 has become the key to long and short positions. In the short term, gold rebounds below 3340 and continues to be shorted. If gold breaks through and stabilizes at 3340 again, then gold may start to fluctuate again. Before breaking through 3340, gold is still weak and continues to maintain a short trend.
Gold selling plan!Gold has plunged to $3,290/oz, breaking the key psychological level of $3,300 as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields ticked higher. Market sentiment has turned defensive ahead of Friday’s US PCE inflation data, with expectations that the Fed may maintain its hawkish stance for longer.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,325
• Nearest Support: $3,285 – $3,272
• EMA09: Price is currently below the 9-period EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
o H1/H4 charts show a series of long bearish candles, with rising volume → strong selling signal.
o RSI is approaching oversold levels (~28), MACD remains in a widening bearish divergence → downward pressure is still dominant.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is in a clear downtrend and may extend its decline toward $3,285 – $3,272 unless a reversal is triggered by weaker-than-expected PCE data or renewed geopolitical tensions. In the near term, any technical rebound is likely to offer sell opportunities rather than a trend reversal.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
• Entry: $3,300 – $3,305 (on technical retracement)
• 🎯 TP: $3,285 – $3,272
• 🛑 SL: $3,315
🔺 BUY XAU/USD (high risk)
• Entry: $3,272 – $3,277 (short-term bottom catching)
• 🎯 TP: $3,295 – $3,305
• 🛑 SL: $3,262