XAU/USD:the extreme market conditions will continue.There was significant progress in the Sino-US negotiations over the weekend, and it was announced that a Sino-US "joint statement" would be released today. The news led to a gap-down opening of gold by $51 in the early trading, and after the gap-down, it is currently fluctuating weakly below $3290.
From a fundamental perspective, geopolitical events such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the Middle East situation have limited boosting effects on the gold price. The market's attention is focused on the Sino-US tariff issue. The significant breakthrough in the Sino-US tariff negotiations is bearish for gold, and the gap-down opening of the gold price in the early trading has fully reflected this news. With the alleviation of the tariff dilemma, the market has shifted to a volatile pattern dominated by bears. However, the tariff negotiations are complex, and the subsequent games will continue. Moreover, the disturbances in the geopolitical situation will still support the gold price from time to time. It is expected that the gold price will maintain a wide range of fluctuations.
Focus on:
resistance levels: 3345-3315-3295
support levels: 3260-3220-3180
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Fed policy expectations reverse gold's fateThe gold market is relatively strong, but the MACD red column is shrinking, and there may be a short-term correction. In terms of operation, you can go long if you hold the 10-day moving average of 3220. In summary, it is recommended to go long on the short-term correction of gold today, pay attention to the resistance of 3260-3280 on the top, and the support of 3200-3190 on the bottom.
Gold is recommended to go long in the 3200-3195 area, stop loss at 3187, target at 3220-3240
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 3495.Colleagues, price has successfully formed an “ABC” correction and I see that the upward movement is not over.
I think that wave “5” of the higher order consists of five waves and at the moment wave “1” of the lower order is formed.
This means that I predict a target at the high of wave 3495.
Presumably correction “2” can reach a rougher target in the area of 3240.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD- Signal to go down - 24/04/2025- With any macro economy problem, Gold & BTC are always the key asset to to shelter cash flow.
- From Gold H1 chart, It showed strong selling pressure recently. A short plan is reasonable with Gold. Of course, any plan can be wrong, but as a trader & value investor, we have to have the plans to deal with it and prepare to buy more good stocks, assets
- Explain the chart as - NCI system:
1. Strong momentum comes to down key level of H1
2. Big money comes in, Key level has not broken yet. But high probability Gold will go down.
3. Zone & Trend are shown on chart. Please refer on it for more detail
This analyzation is my personal view as a trader - investor, it's not a recommended deal.
Gold continues to fall seize the opportunity to enter the market
📌 Driving factors
China-US container shipping routes rose sharply - factories rushed to produce overnight, taking advantage of the tariff cooling-off period, those who should stock up are working overtime to complete the tasks. This is the situation seen on the first day after the tariff reduction, indicating the complementarity between China-US trade.
The long-awaited US-Japan and European and American tariffs have not yet ushered in substantial benefits, but Europe said that this is an unfair negotiation and has not been concluded yet.
Trump went to the Middle East and signed a 100 billion weapons order, stabilizing the Middle East before Europe.
📊Comment analysis
The Asian session fell in the morning, pay attention to a few points:
1. The upper watershed opened at 3193 in the morning, the short watershed.
2. Directly break the 3168 long watershed, the next support is at 3145, 3130.
3. For now, the Asian session will continue to fall in a cycle, the European session will pull back after breaking the bottom, and the US session will continue to retreat.
💰Strategy Package
For short-term operations, short selling can be done near 3166, stop loss 3169, target 3140, 3135.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the sea of blood and corpses.
Gold Bounces from Demand Zone! Is a Rally to $3,414 Next?Demand Zone: Price bounced from a visible high-volume area (LuxAlgo Supply and Demand Range) marked in orange, indicating institutional buying interest.
Support Level: Holding above $3,223.028, the last significant swing low.
Bullish Targets:
First target: $3,321 – a key mid-range structure.
Second target: $3,414 – upper supply zone where price has reversed previously.
Volume Profile: Notice the thin volume between $3,230–$3,320, meaning less resistance for bulls in the short term.
Candle Behavior: Strong wick rejection signals buyer aggression at support.
Catalysts to Watch:
Upcoming US CPI and PPI data this week.
Dollar Index (DXY) rally – if it cools off, gold could surge.
Geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging may also drive demand.
Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: Current bounce or wait for break of $3,235
SL: Below $3,218 (invalidates demand zone)
TP1: $3,321
TP2: $3,414
Conclusion:
Gold might be setting up for a clean bullish move. Reclaiming $3,321 would be a key confirmation. Will bulls step in strong this week?
Let’s hear your thoughts in the comments! Are you buying this dip or waiting for confirmation?
Markets turn their attention to US CPISafe-haven OANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 3% on Monday (May 12) and continued to decline slightly in early trading on Tuesday (May 13), mainly due to the easing of market risk sentiment after the United States and China announced a temporary “ceasefire” in their trade war.
According to a joint statement released by the United States and China on Monday, the United States will reduce the tariffs imposed on Chinese goods in April this year from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce the tariffs imposed on American goods from 125% to 10%. The new measures will take effect in 90 days.
Gold prices fell more than 3% on Monday as risk sentiment improved after the US and China agreed to roll back tariffs for 90 days during talks over the weekend. This sent the US dollar soaring to its highest level in more than a month and global stocks rebounding strongly after the US and China reached an interim tariff deal. Meanwhile, gold sold off sharply as market sentiment began to shift back to risk assets, making the yellow metal less attractive.
China and the United States announced in Geneva, Switzerland, that they have reached an important economic and trade agreement. Both sides will also further reduce tariffs on each other's goods, with the total reduction exceeding 100%. The breakthrough marks a major turning point in the years-long tariff war between China and the United States. After implementing the measures, the two sides will establish a mechanism to continue negotiations on economic and trade relations, Xinhua News Agency reported.
Investors' attention turns to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due out on Tuesday for a gauge of the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Other key US data this week include the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales. Economists expect the US CPI to have risen by 2.4% year-on-year in April. Excluding volatile items, the core CPI growth rate is expected to have been unchanged at 2.8% year-on-year.
While the underlying market is under pressure from positive factors from trade to geopolitics, we (individual investors in the short term) still need to pay special attention to the erratic behavior of Do Nam Trung. A status line that brings tariff risks will push gold to increase strongly again.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, a drop below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bullish signal for further downside with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is where the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level is located.
In terms of momentum, gold is showing bearish signals as the RSI falls below 50 and the next target is the overbought zone, with the current RSI position, gold still has a lot of room to fall.
The most important condition for gold to be able to be assessed to increase in price again is that it needs to bring the price activity above the base price of 3,300 USD, then the target could be 3,371 USD. Otherwise, with the current market position and context, the short-term downtrend is dominant.
During the day, the possibility of a decline in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,228 - 3,200 - 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 - 3,267 - 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3281⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3287
→Take Profit 1 3275
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3220 - 3222⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3216
→Take Profit 1 3228
↨
→Take Profit 2 3234
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levels
* **Timeframe:** 1-Hour (H1)
* **Instrument:** XAU/USD
* **Indicators & Levels Used:**
* EMAs 9 & 21 period
* Key horizontal support/resistance levels
* Pivot levels (weekly, daily, monthly)
* Marked **Buy** at 3322.365 and **Sell** at 3318
* Daily Open: 3372.775
* Daily High: 3414.790
* Daily Close: 3305.980
* Daily Low: 3286.805
---
### 🔍 **Technical Analysis:**
#### 1. **Trend Context:**
* The overall **short-term trend** is sideways to slightly bearish.
* Recent price action formed **lower highs and higher lows**, indicating **consolidation**.
* Price is currently trading **below the Daily Open** (bearish intraday bias).
* EMAs are converging, showing **reduced momentum** after prior volatility.
#### 2. **Buy Entry at 3322.365:**
* This is a **reasonable support-retest buy**, taken just above a former demand zone and near the **Daily Close**.
* Likely logic: price bounced from the **3310–3318 support area**, tested the weekly pivot zone and EMAs, signaling a bounce.
* **However**, the proximity to strong resistance at 3340–3350, and lack of strong momentum, suggests this buy was short-lived or scalped.
* **Risk:** Weak buying pressure above this level and failure to reclaim 3340 meant it couldn't reach 3360+.
#### 3. **Sell Entry at 3318:**
* This is a **strategic sell**, probably expecting a break below short-term structure and aiming for the 3300/3288 area.
* Price tested the EMAs and was rejected—classic **pullback entry after lower high**.
* A clear **bearish setup**: break below structure, retest and failure at dynamic resistance.
* **Target zones:**
* 3300 – psychological round number + minor support
* 3288/3278 – structural lows
* 3240 – weekly support and major reaction zone
#### 4. **Key Levels & Zones:**
* **Resistance:**
* 3340: Short-term cap
* 3368 – 3382: Supply area
* 3418 – 3450: Strong resistance, but far from current price
* **Support:**
* 3310 – 3300: Near-term support
* 3288 – 3278: Major demand zone (watch for buy reaction)
* 3240: Weekly support – high-probability reaction zone if reached
#### 5. **EMA Structure:**
* EMAs are turning sideways, but currently acting as dynamic resistance.
* Price attempted to reclaim them during the Asian/early European session but was rejected — bearish signal.
#### 6. **Market Sentiment:**
* Momentum has cooled.
* Failure to maintain above 3340 signals weak bullish conviction.
* With price below daily open and rejecting the EMAs, bias is now **tilted bearish** unless 3340 is reclaimed convincingly.
---
### ✅ **Conclusion & Strategy:**
* **Bias:** Bearish below 3340; neutral between 3300–3340; bullish above 3360.
* **If holding short from 3318:** This is a solid entry. Consider partial profits at 3300/3288 and trailing stop to break-even.
* **If looking for re-entry:**
* Sell pullbacks below 3325 if 3300 is broken.
* Buy only with confirmation above 3340 and reclaim of 3360.
* **Upcoming key areas to watch:**
* **3288 – 3278:** Ideal for long entries with tight stops (watch for bounce/candlestick reversal patterns).
* **3368 – 3382:** Strong rejection zone if price reclaims 3340—good for short setups.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold still following ball! Even though Wave A didn't go as low as $3,080, price structure is still following the EW Theory. After Wave A, we saw a strong rise towards Wave B yesterday, now followed by another decline today.
Let's see how the weekly candle closes.
Long Gold. Trend’s Alive. Stop’s in Place. Let’s Go!I'm buying gold at the current level.
We're trading within an uptrend, and the trend hasn't been broken.
This looks like a local correction that's likely to end around this level.
Stop-loss is set below yesterday's candle low — that's 1.5%.
I believe the chances of further growth are high.
And for everything else, there's a stop-loss!
XAUUSD 12/5/25Following our change in bias last week on gold, we continued to follow the bearish narrative into new lows after taking out the highs we identified at the beginning of the week. Now, we're looking for a similar setup — a potential pullback into those previous highs to give us the shift downward we’re anticipating.
That said, I believe gold may have more potential to move directly into our target zones without a significant pullback. Still, we keep that scenario on the table, as it's part of the trading plans we build from these key levels.
Of course, we don’t expect price action to simply go bullish and hand us perfect shorting opportunities. But we do believe that if price pulls back into certain areas, it could continue to deliver the downside movement we’re expecting.
Remember, we’re following a rule set. We’re sticking to our risk parameters and allowing the system to guide us. We’re not trading just because price moved down — we had a clear understanding of what we wanted to see, and price continues to respect that structure.
Stick to your plan, follow your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Orion is bearish, and so are we.
Trade safe. Stick to your plan. Always follow Orion.
Gold Technical Analysis, May 15-16📊The current gold price has returned to above 3200, and the technical side shows a clear strong pattern. The 3200 mark is a key support level, and its gains and losses will determine the future direction. If the gold price does not break this level after falling back and stabilizes again, gold will continue its strong structure. There is a high probability that the daily line will close positive on Friday, and the subsequent rebound target will point to the 3235-3260 area.
📊From the perspective of the daily cycle, the 3200 position has become a trend dividing point. As long as the price remains above this level, the overall bullish pattern will be maintained, and the structure will build an upward trend in the form of a continuous positive rebound. Once it falls back below 3200, it may mean that the daily level is still in a convergent adjustment structure, and the upper side will still be suppressed.
📊In the 4-hour cycle, after the intraday rebound, the Bollinger Bands showed signs of opening, and the short-term is expected to usher in the confirmation of the mid-term bottoming structure. If the gold price continues to rebound during the US session and effectively stabilizes at 3200, and breaks through the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, then the structural reversal will be initially established, and the market is expected to further test 3235, or even hit 3250.
📊The current 4-hour chart shows that the bottom is expected to form a continuous positive candlestick pattern, indicating that the bulls are gradually strengthening. Therefore, the end-of-day trading should not be affected by the inertia of the previous decline, and attention should be paid to the structural reversal signal and the strategy should be adjusted in time.
GOLD falls to support $3,200, recovery momentum weakensOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded sharply on Thursday's trading day and weakened rapidly in the first half of the Asian trading session today, Friday (May 16). Gold is currently trading at $3,210/oz, equivalent to a decrease of $30 on the day, down about 0.93% as of the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD accelerated their recovery on Thursday as weak US economic data fueled expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and weighed on the US dollar. At the same time, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Turkey also prompted some safe-haven buying.
Information surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks is brought to readers through brief comments during the day.
Data released on Thursday showed that the US producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly fell in April and retail sales growth slowed significantly, while the consumer price index (CPI) for April released earlier in the week rose less than expected. The data showed that the US PPI unexpectedly fell 0.5% month-over-month in April, while the market expected a growth of 0.2%; the core PPI fell 0.4%, also below the expected growth of 0.3%. Meanwhile, US retail sales increased slightly by 0.1% month-over-month in April, slowing significantly from March's 1.7%.
Thursday’s data provided more room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and market expectations to become more dovish. Gold itself does not generate interest rates, and when rates fall, it increases the appeal of gold.
However, the impact from the data was not sustainable enough to generate a stronger rally, while new developments around the Russia-Ukraine talks are showing a positive trend. Gold is not benefiting from a risk-off environment.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart in the short term, gold is still in a position to decline in the short term with pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point as the nearest resistance. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing signs of folding as it retests the 50 level, which is noted as the closest resistance in terms of momentum to the current position of the RSI.
For now, the downside is also limited by the $3,200 base level, which is currently the nearest support and once it is broken below, gold is likely to continue its decline with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, rather than $3,120.
For the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with the current positions listed below.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163 – $3,120
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3286 - 3284⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
→Take Profit 1 3278
↨
→Take Profit 2 3272
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3159 - 3161⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3155
→Take Profit 1 3167
↨
→Take Profit 2 3173