XAUUSD on retest (swing ready)Gold is currently holding Rangebound 3345-3375.Also market has potential of buying towards 3400 then Drop again.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm looking for Buying at 3340-3345 support area ,if we found 3340-3345 as correction and H4-H1 remains above then keep buy set targets at 3365 then 3375.
Additional TIP:
Below 3330 I will Activate my resell and hold till 3315 then 3305.
All the entries should be taken if all the rules are applied
#XAUUSD
GOLD trade ideas
Bottom-out rebound, 3338 short orders enteredYesterday, the gold market was affected by Trump's remarks about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. After briefly falling below 3320, the price quickly rose by nearly 60 points, reaching a high of 3377. Trump later clarified that the news was false, triggering a gold sell-off, and the market rose and fell. As of Thursday's European session, gold prices fell back to around 3320. After a rapid rise and fall in the US market on Wednesday, the downward trend continued on Thursday, with the US market hitting a low of 3310 before rebounding. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands failed to open downward, indicating that the current market lacks continuity and the overall market remains in a volatile pattern. In a volatile market, it is recommended to pay attention to key support and resistance levels for high-selling and low-buying operations. The upper resistance range is currently at 3343-3351, and the important watershed support level below is at 3310.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD AND GOLD NEXT MOVR DOWN TREND 🧠 OANDA:XAUUSD Professional Trading Idea (Smart Money Concept Based)
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
CHoCH → confirmed on bullish move (July 11–13), signaling reversal from bearish to bullish.
LH to LL → clean bearish leg formed post FVG mitigation and rejection.
BMS (Break of Market Structure) confirmed → shift back to bearish structure.
Price recently tapped into a deep FVG + demand zone, showing rejection wick and bounce.
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🎯 Trading Plan: Intraday Sell-Bias Idea (Unless Proven Otherwise)
🔴 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry Zone: Around 3340–3345 (inside FVG + previous supply zone)
🛑 SL (Invalidation): Above 3350–3355 zone
🎯 TP1: 3330
🎯 TP2: 3315
🎯 TP3: 3304 (major demand zone)
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✅ Entry Conditions (Confirmation Required):
Rejection candlestick or bearish engulfing in 3340–3345 zone
EMA resistance hold
No bullish BMS on lower timeframes
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⚠️ Invalidation Plan:
If price breaks above 3355 with momentum and closes bullish → structure flips to bullish, look for buys only on retracement to 3345–3350 zone.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello taders. We have news here in the US in under an hour. Saying that, I marked the scalp buy and sell areas. Smarter trading would be for a break out of the range so I can take trades with clean traffic and less choppiness. Let's see if I can get an entry, otherwise I will wait for post news / NY open to look again. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
bullish on GOLDTrading Idea Setup:
XAUUSD has given me enough confirmation indicators to forecast a bullish run from this price point. ↗️🟢
✅Favorable TP level(s):
⦁ 3414.022
⦁ 3445.179
🛑Stop Loss:
⦁ 3277.205
Indications used:
Trend confirmation indicator
Elliot wave assistance
Momentum indicators
______________________________
Trading Involves Risk: Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade in securities, commodities, and other investments carry inherent risk, including the possibility of substantial losses. Please ensure every trade placed is supported by your own thorough analysis and/or fundamental research.
Ps: All the trades that I place, I do hold indefinitely unless noted otherwise but TP points will always be provided. Happy Trading 🖤
GOLD Price Continue to GrowXAUUSD has formed a bullish pattern after successfully testing and holding the strong support zone at 3310, which marked a key demand level. The recent bounce from this level confirms strong buyer interest despite temporary USD strength.
Demand for gold has sharply increased, often seen as a hedge during uncertain economic periods—even with a temporarily stronger dollar. The current price action reflects a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting potential for further upside. targeting will be 3360 3378 / 3400
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis.
I am Part of Trade Nations Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their Trading view charts charts in my analysis.
7.17 Gold Short-Term Operation Technical Analysis!!!After a strong rise in the 1-hour gold price, it quickly fell back and closed with a long upper shadow line. The gold bulls did not successfully stabilize the market. This market is actually a venting of the news. The gold bulls are not very confident about rising again. The 1-hour gold moving average is still in a dead cross short pattern. So the gold rebound will continue to be short. The 1-hour gold pattern excludes the influence of the upper shadow line stimulated by yesterday's news. In fact, the whole rhythm is still fluctuating and falling. The upper shadow line is not long, and it is probably just a lure to buy more. After the ups and downs of gold last night, it rebounded again to the 3357 line or continued to fall under pressure. So gold will continue to rebound in the early trading and continue to be short at highs under the pressure of 3357.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (1H UPDATE)Yesterday's entry hit SL, as price pushed up a little higher for liquidity, ahead of today's CPI data.
I have entered another sell entry today at $3,353. Couldn't send analysis straight away as I was out & didn't have my laptop on me. But re-trying this analysis one last time. If SL is hit, we will wait for $3,400 entry.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. So we had a push down, and now if the retest is valid, I will look to possibly take the move down IF New York volume moves in that direction. We can easily push back up to take out people like me looking to or taking a short position. It's all about timing. Trade carefull, let's see how the next 15 minutes play out. Shout out to Big G.
Gold
⸻
1. Trade Setup Summary
✅ Trade Type: Long (Buy)
✅ Entry: 3,322.250
✅ Stop Loss (SL): 3,311.500
✅ Take Profits (TP):
• TP1: 3,341.000
• TP2: 3,358.000
• TP3: 3,378.000
⸻
2. Chart Context Analysis
🔷 Structure:
• The market had a strong bullish push before a correction phase.
• Current candle is aggressively bullish from the zone near your entry, suggesting buyers are reclaiming control.
🔷 Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• There is an FVG area marked just above TP2 (around 3,358.000) indicating a price imbalance likely to be filled.
• Previous unfilled FVGs below acted as strong demand zones, supporting bullish continuation.
🔷 Trendline Observation:
• A dotted descending trendline was broken and price consolidated above it, suggesting a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish on lower timeframes.
⸻
3. Risk Management
• SL Placement: Below recent structural lows at 3,311.500, providing safety against liquidity sweeps while avoiding premature stop-outs.
• RR Ratio: Approximately 1:2 to 1:5 if all TPs are hit, making the setup favorable.
⸻
4. Overall Probability and Caution
✔️ Strengths:
• Confluence with FVG targeting.
• Strong bullish engulfing candle.
• Multi-TP strategy for secured partial profits.
⚠️ Risks:
• Potential rejection near TP2 due to previous supply reaction.
• High volatility can cause stop-out if market seeks liquidity deeper before continuation.
⸻
5. Conclusion
This setup aligns with smart money concept-based trades focusing on:
• Market structure shift
• FVG imbalance fills
• Clear SL protection with sequential TP levels
If you want, I can:
• Break this down into a daily plan for tomorrow’s session.
• Integrate it with your NAS100, US30, and Forex analysis for the week.
• Prepare similar structured breakdowns for your upcoming charts in your strategy refinement routine tonight.
XAUUSD Technical And Fundamental AnalysisGold prices rise in early trade as fears of a global economic slowdown due to widening trade tensions reinforce the precious metal's role as a defensive hedge and safe-haven asset. Futures are up 0.5% to $3,382.70 a troy ounce, their highest level in three weeks, after President Trump said he will charge a 30% tariff on goods from the EU and Mexico--two of the U.S.'s largest trading partners. Meanwhile, investors await key U.S. economic data later this week, including CPI inflation figures. "Should the June data report higher-than-expected inflation, this could prompt a selloff in U.S. Treasuries and increase demand for the U.S. dollar this week," says Aaron Hill, chief analyst at FP Market.
July 15, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
From a fundamental perspective, the Asian session outlook remains buy on dip, especially above the 3341 support zone.
As long as price holds above 3341, the bullish plan remains valid.
If 3341 breaks down, bearish pressure may intensify.
Key lower supports to watch are 3310, 3285, and 3245 — monitor price action closely and stay flexible.
Follow the trend, respect key levels, and manage risk properly.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3393 – Resistance
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3375 – Intraday key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3341 – Intraday key support
• 3330 – Support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
📈 Intraday Strategy
• SELL if price breaks below 3341 → target 3336, then 3330, 3323, 3315, 3310
• BUY if price holds above 3352 → target 3354, then 3360, 3364, 3370
If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits!
In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380.
🎯 Trading Points:
sell 3370-3375
tp 3365-3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD (Gold) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)In continuation :-
The future outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) is a complex interplay of various macroeconomic factors, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment. As of mid-July 2025, several key themes are likely to shape its trajectory:
Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Expectations (Central Bank Actions):
Impact: Gold is a non-yielding asset. Therefore, its attractiveness is highly sensitive to interest rate movements. Higher interest rates (or expectations of them) tend to increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, as investors can earn more from interest-bearing assets like bonds. Conversely, lower rates or a more dovish stance from central banks (like the U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ) reduce this opportunity cost, making gold more appealing.
Current Context: As of mid-2025, markets are closely watching central bank rhetoric regarding potential rate cuts. If inflation continues to moderate, leading to clearer signals or actual rate cuts, this would likely be a positive catalyst for gold prices. However, if inflation proves stickier or central banks maintain a "higher for longer" policy, gold could face headwinds.
Inflation Outlook:
Impact: Gold has historically been considered a hedge against inflation and a store of value during periods of rising prices.
Current Context: If inflation remains elevated or shows signs of re-accelerating, demand for gold as an inflation hedge could increase, providing support to prices. If inflation falls back significantly to central bank targets, this traditional appeal might lessen somewhat, unless other safe-haven drivers emerge.
U.S. Dollar Strength:
Impact: Gold is primarily priced in U.S. dollars. A stronger U.S. dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers holding other currencies, potentially dampening demand. A weaker dollar has the opposite effect, making gold cheaper and generally supportive of higher gold prices.
Current Context: The dollar's strength is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rate differentials and the relative economic performance of the U.S. versus other major economies. A "risk-off" environment can also lead to dollar strength (as a safe-haven itself), which can create a counteracting force for gold.
Geopolitical Risks and Economic Uncertainty:
Impact: Gold is a classic "safe-haven" asset. In times of increased geopolitical tension, economic instability, financial market turmoil, or escalating conflicts, investor demand for gold typically surges as a store of value.
Current Context: Global geopolitical landscape remains complex, with ongoing regional conflicts, trade disputes, and political uncertainties. Any escalation in these areas would likely contribute to increased safe-haven demand for gold. Similarly, if there are growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession, gold's appeal as a safe haven could strengthen.
Central Bank Gold Demand:
Impact: Central banks globally have been significant buyers of gold in recent years, diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar. Their sustained buying provides a structural floor to gold demand.
Current Context: Continued strong buying by central banks, particularly from emerging economies, is expected to remain a supportive factor for gold prices in the medium to long term.
Overall Future Outlook (Mid-July 2025 Perspective):
The outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) appears cautiously bullish in the medium term, with potential for continued appreciation.
Positive Drivers: The primary drivers are the increasing likelihood of future interest rate cuts (even if gradual), potentially persistent underlying inflation concerns, and the ongoing elevated geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties. Continued strong central bank demand further underpins this outlook.
Potential Headwinds: A significantly stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar (e.g., due to a major global "risk-off" event that drives dollar demand, or robust U.S. economic outperformance leading to delayed rate cuts) could provide a counteracting force. Rapid disinflation could also temper some of gold's appeal.
In summary, Gold is likely to remain an important asset in investor portfolios, acting as both an inflation hedge and a safe haven. Its price action will be particularly sensitive to central bank policy shifts and global stability.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
The bulls have started, aiming at 3400!Gold rose as soon as the market opened, and the highest has now reached above 3374. The upward momentum of gold is strong. It can be seen that after breaking through the recent high of 3365, its morphological structure has obviously tended to a bullish structure, and the technical form shows a "W" double bottom structure and an inverted head and shoulder resonance. The resonance of this technical structure will continue to support the continued rise of gold.
At present, gold is under pressure near the 3380 area in the short term, followed by the area near 3405. At present, gold has a technical retracement near 3380, but it is difficult to destroy the already formed rising structure based on the current retracement strength. Once gold rises again, 3380 will definitely be conquered! It will even continue to the 3400-3410 area; and the area with obvious short-term support is concentrated in the 3350-3340-3330 area, so gold may still rebound again with the support of this area after the decline, and continue to rise.
So for short-term trading, I would consider buying gold in batches based on the support of the 3350-3330 area, with the first target looking at 3380, followed by the 3400-3410 area.
Gold Price Analysis July 14Gold confirmed a break above the key 3330 level on Friday, opening a clear uptrend. The reaction at the 3368 GAP zone further strengthens the current bullish momentum. With the current market structure, the bias is leaning towards buying on corrections around support zones.
🔍 Technical levels to watch:
Support: 3345 – 3331 (potential buying zone)
Resistance: 3387 – 3400 (bullish target)
📌 Trading strategy:
BUY Trigger 1: Price tests and rejects the 3345 support zone
BUY Trigger 2: Buy around 3331 – strong support zone
🎯 Target: 3400
The current trend favors a buying strategy on reasonable price correction conditions. It is necessary to monitor price action around support zones to confirm effective entry points.
Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400
Analysis of the latest gold news (as of July 12, 2025)
1. Macroeconomics and monetary policy
The market generally pays attention to the interest rate meeting on July 29-30.
If the Fed sends a dovish signal, it may further enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset.
However, the non-farm payrolls data in June showed that the labor market is still resilient, and the pressure to cut interest rates in the short term is limited.
The US dollar index continued to weaken, and the medium- and long-term depreciation trend has not changed, providing monetary support for gold.
2. Geopolitical risks are heating up
The situation in the Middle East has escalated
Israel arrested a special agent team of the Iranian "Quds Force" in southern Syria, triggering escalation of regional tensions.
At the same time, the Houthi armed forces used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel, resulting in obstruction of Red Sea shipping and a 300% surge in aviation insurance costs, further boosting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to ferment
The Russian army announced that it had completely controlled the entire territory of Luhansk, and the United States suspended some military aid to Ukraine, and the situation on the battlefield was stalemate.
Geopolitical risks and global central bank gold purchases (China has increased its holdings to 73.9 million ounces for eight consecutive months) highlight the value of gold as a "crisis hedge tool."
Technical Analysis
Key resistance: $3,370
Short-term support moves up to $3,330.
Macro support: 3300 (psychological support), 3277 (trend line support), 3247 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level).
Macro resistance: 3370 (61.8% retracement level), 3400 (psychological barrier), 3452 (previous high).
Short-term trend:
Breaking through key resistance:
Gold price breaks through the upper track of the triangle pattern ($3327) and the $3350 resistance level (50% Fibonacci retracement level), and the short-term technical side is strong.
Operation strategy
Long position:
Pull back to 3320-3330 range to go long
Stop loss at $3310
Target at $3380-3400.
Be cautious about shorting
Oscillating range strategy:
If the price stabilizes at $3350-3365, it may further hit $3400; start a new round of rise.
If it falls below $3300, it may fall to the support level of 3277-3247.
Gold Trading Idea: Short Opportunity on 15-Min Descending ChanneHello TradingView Community,
Following up on my Gold analysis from Monday, the price action has respected the levels I outlined (check my previous posts for the breakdown), delivering solid trade opportunities except yesterday's news-driven volatility. Today, we're eyeing a short setup on Gold based on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
Gold is moving within a descending channel on the 15-min chart.
I've identified equal highs and a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the channel's range.
This confluence zone is where I expect the price to react, potentially clearing liquidity above the channel before reversing.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Wait for the price to reach the confluence zone (equal highs + 61.8% Fib + FVG) and show a clear reaction (e.g., rejection or reversal pattern) before entering a short position.
Take Profit: Targeting 3310 level.
Risk Management: If the price fails to reach the zone and breaks lower, I'll stay out to avoid chasing trades. Patience is key here.
Stay disciplined, traders! Let the price come to our zone, and always manage your risk.
Follow for more setups, like this post if you found it helpful, and drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s discuss!
#Gold #XAUUSD #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) – MMC Analysis + Liquidity Target🧠 Market Context Overview:
Gold recently experienced a highly impulsive move from a major demand zone, suggesting strong smart money activity. The market is currently in the redistribution phase of the MMC (Market Maker Cycle), transitioning between a reversal impulse and a liquidity targeting move.
Let’s dissect the key zones, structure, and confluences that support the ongoing market narrative.
📍 1. Strong Demand Reaction (3X Demand Spike):
We start with a triple-tap demand rejection, where the price sharply reversed to the upside. This kind of movement typically represents:
Institutional Entry Points
Stop-Hunt Below Previous Lows
Liquidity Grab Before Expansion
This strong bullish engulfing candle signifies position building by smart money, often the beginning of a significant leg up.
🧱 2. Reversal Zone & Liquidity Imbalance:
The highlighted green zone between $3,370–$3,375 is crucial. Why?
It’s an inefficiency zone where price moved too fast with low resistance.
This created a liquidity void that typically needs to be revisited (also known as FVG – Fair Value Gap).
The area also coincides with structural resistance, making it a high-probability target for price to revisit and reject again or break through with intent.
📌 Smart money always returns to areas of unfilled liquidity to close their positions or trap late retail entries.
🔺 3. Volume Contraction (Wedge Pattern Formation):
After the explosive push upward, the market started compressing, forming a descending wedge — a classical volume contraction pattern.
What does this mean?
Volatility is decreasing
Liquidity is building up
Big breakout is expected
It’s like pulling a slingshot — the more it contracts, the stronger the release will be. The direction will depend on which side breaks first.
🔁 4. Previous Structure Flipped (Support turned Resistance):
You’ll notice a key level around $3,353–$3,355 acting as a flipped structure.
This was previously a support zone that got broken.
Now it’s acting as resistance — a classic example of support/resistance flip.
This adds confluence to the idea of a possible rejection or reaction in this area.
🧠 Structure flipping is a smart money trick — break structure, retrace to trap liquidity, and then run the opposite direction.
📊 5. MMC Logic – Market Maker Cycle in Play:
Here’s how the MMC is flowing:
Accumulation (bottom consolidation)
Manipulation (liquidity sweep below demand)
Expansion (aggressive upward move)
Contraction (volume dies, price slows down)
Now we’re waiting for the next manipulation or expansion phase.
The current wedge is the pause before the next move, which could fill liquidity in the reversal zone or go lower to sweep resting sell-side liquidity.
🎯 Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Bias (if breakout happens):
Break and close above the wedge
Retest previous flipped structure successfully
Target: Liquidity zone at $3,370–$3,375
🎯 This move would fill the imbalance and potentially tag sell-side liquidity sitting at the top.
❌ Bearish Bias (if rejection holds):
Failure to break above flipped structure
Breakdown from the wedge
Target: Demand origin around $3,325–$3,315
🧲 A move lower would make sense if liquidity remains uncollected beneath the range.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently in a high-probability setup zone. We have:
✅ Clear demand reaction
✅ Imbalance above
✅ Volume contraction
✅ Flipped structure
✅ Strong MMC confluence
Now it's a waiting game. Let the market show its hand — either a clean breakout with volume or a fakeout/rejection and reversal.
📌 "Trade what you see, not what you think. Let the levels and liquidity guide your decision."
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Here is a quick 30 minute chart showing where I am looking for potential buy scalp and sell scap trade set ups. Let's see how the current 30 minute candle closes. Pre NY volume starts coming in about 40 minutes from this writing. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart shows the Gold Spot price vs. the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with some key technical analysis elements applied. Here's a breakdown of the key components:
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🔍 Chart Analysis
1. Current Price:
The current market price is 3,344.875, down 0.32%.
2. Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at Bottom):
Around 3,335 – 3,340
Lower support around 3,325 – 3,330
3. Resistance Zone (Purple Rectangle at Top):
Around 3,370 – 3,375
4. **Trendline (Pink