May 28, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold is currently ranging between 3288 and 3350, showing consolidation. Watch for breakouts on either side.
• Around 3323 is a good level to consider both long and short setups depending on price action.
• A break below 3288 signals rising bearish pressure, possibly targeting the 3266 zone.
• A break above 3350 suggests renewed bullish momentum, with potential to reach 3370.
Patience is key — wait for confirmation at critical levels, manage position sizing carefully.
Key Levels to Watch:
• 3350: Midpoint resistance
• 3345: Resistance
• 3337: Resistance
• 3323: Intraday key resistance
• 3315: Resistance
• 3305: Key support
• 3300: Psychological level
• 3288: Intraday key support
• 3280: Support
• 3265: Support
Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
1. For Shorts:
• Enter SELL if price breaks below 3305
• Watch 3300, then 3296, 3288, 3280
2. For Longs:
• Enter BUY if price holds above 3315
• Watch 3323, then 3332, 3341, 3350
👉 If you found this useful or traded from these ideas, a like would be greatly appreciated. Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 02 - Jun 06]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated in the range of 3,245 - 3,331 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,289 USD/oz. The reason for the sideways gold price was due to the lack of strong information. The US Court of International Trade's ruling on blocking the Trump administration's tariff policy was postponed, while the US PCE index in April increased by only 2.5%, down from the previous month, not enough to influence the FED's policy in the context of prolonged trade instability.
If the Court continues to block the tariffs, President Trump can still use several laws to maintain the tariffs:
🔹Section 122 - Trade Act of 1974: Allows for a 15% across-the-board tariff for 150 days; then requires congressional approval to extend.
🔹Section 338 - Trade Act of 1930: Allows for tariffs of up to 50% on goods from countries deemed to discriminate against the United States.
🔹Section 232 - Trade Expansion Act of 1962: Allows for the expansion of tariffs from items such as aluminum, steel, and automobiles to other industries on national security grounds.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that US-China trade negotiations are still at a standstill due to many complicated issues, requiring direct intervention from the leaders of the two countries. Although the tariff war is still complicated, the most tense phase has passed. Therefore, in the short term, gold prices are unlikely to exceed the $3,500/oz mark and will likely continue to adjust and accumulate in the $3,100-$3,400/oz range.
Although gold prices are currently stuck in a range, the US economic data released next week, especially the May non-farm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, could cause a sharp move. The NFP is forecast to come in at 130,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. If true, this could reinforce expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates to support the labor market, thereby supporting gold prices. Conversely, if the NFP is stronger than expected, especially higher than last month, the Fed could keep interest rates unchanged, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold prices are almost moving sideways in a narrowing range, the resistance level is established around 3325 while the support level is around 3245. Next week, gold prices are likely to increase slightly if economic and geopolitical factors continue to support, corresponding to the H1 technical chart, gold prices will increase to 3365-3415 if the price breaks through the Downtrend line and breaks the resistance zone of 3325. In case the gold price falls below the support zone of 3245, the gold price will reverse and decrease.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,250 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3327 - 3325⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3431
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
(XAU/USD) – Bearish Trade Setup on H1 Timeframe📊 Technical Analysis:
Gold has recently shown a strong rejection from the 3,324 resistance zone, indicating that sellers are currently in control. The price broke below a key support level and is now retesting that zone — forming a classic “Break and Retest” pattern, which typically signals a potential bearish continuation.
📉 Market Structure:
Price is currently trading around 3,288 and showing signs of weakness. As long as the price stays below this level, further downside movement is likely.
⸻
🟠 Trade Setup:
🔻 Sell Entry: 3,288
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,324
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,246
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,204
🎯 Final Target: 3,124
⸻
🧠 Trade Idea Rationale:
• Price has formed a Lower High, indicating bearish trend continuation.
• A clean Break & Retest of the previous support has occurred.
• Momentum is shifting in favor of sellers.
• If price remains below 3,288, a move down to 3,124 is highly probable.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always follow proper risk management and use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Gold XAUUSD Move 29 May 2025Price Action: The price recently approached the 3,320-3,325 resistance zone (highlighted by horizontal lines) and rejected it, forming a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star / doji). This suggests strong selling pressure at this level.
Trendline: The trendline from the recent high shows a potential double top or head-and-shoulders pattern, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around 3290/80 (previous consolidation zone).
Volume (implied): A spike in selling volume at 3,320-3,325 could confirm the rejection.
Analysis: The rejection at 3,320-3,325, combined with the trendline break, indicates a potential sell-off. The market may be shifting from bullish to bearish momentum, especially if the price closes below the recent low.
Signal: Sell at 3,320-3,325 if the price rejects again with a bearish candle confirmation. Target 3,200-3,250, stop loss above 3,335.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to youYesterday's sharp decline in gold prices has led to short-term oversold conditions in the market. In terms of market sentiment, excessive pessimism has been fully released. Once any positive factors emerge, such as the escalation of geopolitical conflicts or safe-haven demand triggered by worse-than-expected economic data, market sentiment will quickly shift and drive prices to rebound. Additionally, as a globally important safe-haven asset and store of value, gold's long-term value still exists, and the current price decline provides a good entry opportunity for going long.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3285~3295
SL3275
TP1:3305~3315
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
On May 29, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit approved the Trump administration's request to temporarily suspend a previous ruling by the U.S. Court of International Trade that had prohibited the implementation of the Trump administration's executive order imposing tariffs on multiple countries under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. This news could have significant implications for the global economy and financial markets, and for the gold market, it represents a potential major bullish factor.
When global economic uncertainty increases, investors often seek safe-haven assets to protect their wealth. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold demand is likely to rise significantly. On one hand, the escalation of trade friction may lead to higher global inflation expectations, and gold's inflation-hedging properties enable it to maintain its value in inflationary environments, which could attract large numbers of investors to buy gold. On the other hand, the escalation of market risk aversion will prompt investors to shift from risky assets to safe-haven assets like gold, driving gold prices higher.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3315~3320
SL3300
TP1:3330~3335
XAUUSD Rejection from Fib + OB Combo | Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD | Premium Smart Money Short Setup 🎯
This GOLD setup is a straight-up institutional-grade bearish continuation. Let’s break down why this is a high-probability short for Smart Money Traders.
🔍 1. Market Context
Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, tapping into the lower boundary and now pulling back.
We just had a reaction from the mid-supply zone, and price is now rebalancing into the Order Block (OB) aligned with:
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🔻 Previous Structure Break
🔻 OB + imbalance fill zone
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
📉 Descending Channel = bearish structure
🟣 Order Block Zone = high-value area for institutional entries
📐 Fibonacci Levels = 61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% all stacked
💥 OB + 79% = high-prob sniper short
🕳 Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep = likely short continuation
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry: 3282.00–3290.00 (OB + 79% Fib)
Stop Loss: 3294.00 (above OB wick)
Take Profit: 3245.00 zone (channel bottom)
Perfect RR setup 👇
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: ~3285
🔒 SL: ~3294
📍 TP: ~3245
✅ RRR ≈ 1:4.3 = sniper level swing short 🎯
🧠 5. Smart Money Logic
Liquidity Sweep above minor high before short = engineered trap
OB reaction at fib premium zone = smart entry
Continuation expected unless price closes above 3295
📌 Save this chart — this is Smart Money flow in action
💬 Drop “Gold OB SMC 🔥” in comments if you saw this coming
🔁 Repost to help fellow traders master fib+OB sniper entries
Gold (4H) Analysis
🗿 Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left shoulder → Head (~3 366 $) → Right shoulder near the downtrend line
A close below 3 283 $ would validate the shoulder break and signal a bearish turn
🔄 Pullback to 3 283 $?
After the H4 close under 3 283 $, expect a quick retest of that level to hunt stops
Perfect short entry if the H&S holds
🎯 OTE Support Trap
Just below lies last week’s Optimal Trade Entry zone (3 260–3 270 $)
Gold often fakes lower here before resuming the rally
⚔️ Scenarios
Bearish : Close < 3 283 $ → retest 3 283 $ → drop to 3 240 $ / 3 200 $
Bull trap : bounce off OTE → trap of retest 3 283 $ → rally back to 3 330–3 350 $
🌍 Macro Note
Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine/Russia) keep Gold bid as a safe haven
No major bearish catalyst yet—watch for a potential trap
👉 Key Level: H4 close under 3 283 $. Use the retest to confirm your bias!
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3313.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3309.3
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3321.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD 1HThe chart you've provided is a technical analysis of Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Entry Zone (around 3,345 to 3,350):
This is the suggested area to consider a short (sell) position. The price appears to be approaching or reacting from this zone.
2. Register Level (above 3,360):
This seems to be a resistance area. If the price breaks and holds above this, the short setup might become invalid.
3. Target Successful Zone (around 3,296):
This is the take-profit zone, where the trader expects the price to fall after entering short. It's marked clearly at 3,296.082.
4. Trendline Break:
The pink upward trendline shows previous support. A break below this line (with a red arrow) confirms the sell setup and potential downward momentum.
5. Overall Idea:
The chart implies a bearish setup:
Wait for a price reaction near the entry zone
Enter short if confirmation appears (e.g., bearish candle or trendline break)
Target the 3,296.082 level
Would you like help evaluating this trade idea further or need assistance setting up a trade based on it?
Latest gold analysis layoutThe main reason for the strong rise on Friday was that Trump said on social media that he would impose a 50% tariff on the EU on June 1, which led to a rise in risk aversion. On the one hand, it was affected by the news, and on the other hand, the entire technical form and rising structure were here, with rising momentum in it. Therefore, the resonance of the news and technical aspects formed a breakout rise, standing on the upper rail pressure line of the channel.
So far today, although it has fluctuated downward, it has been running above it. From a technical point of view, there is no big problem with a stepping back after the break, which is a very normal trend.
As long as it does not fall below the resonance intersection position of the upper rail pressure line of the channel and the rising trend line here, it will still look upward in the short term. This position is about 3322-3324, which is also the second rising point of the European session on Friday.
However, if a large negative or continuous negative break is formed, it will remain above the support of 3280-3270 in the short term, and then accumulate momentum for an upward attack later. I prefer this situation.
Gold rebounds and continues to fall. Focus on the 3340 line. Stop loss if it breaks 3350. The target is 3324-3320. If it breaks, look for support at 3280-3270. Go long if it touches it!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD Gold short to long ideaIn this week’s analysis, price is currently positioned between a few key zones where we could expect reactions. Given the overall bullish trend, we’ll be using the broader bias to guide our setups, but there’s also opportunity for tactical short-term plays.
Recently, price has shown strong bearish structure, forming new supply zones such as the 6H supply, which is now close by. If price reacts from this level, there’s potential for short-term sells targeting the clean 9H demand zone below — a solid area where I’ll be looking for a possible Wyckoff accumulation and bullish continuation with the trend.
Confluences for GOLD Shorts:
- Recent strong bearish structure and downside moves
- Significant liquidity and imbalance to the downside
- Well-defined 6H supply zone has formed nearby
- Market appears overbought, and bearish pressure is becoming more visible
- For long-term bullish continuation, price may need to revisit the demand zone below
P.S. If gold pushes higher first and sweeps the liquidity above, I’ll be watching closely for signs of Wyckoff distribution before considering any short-term sell setups. Patience is key — let the market show its hand before reacting.
XAU/USD Awaits PCE Catalyst – Rejection or Breakout?Gold prices are trading around $3,297 after rejecting the $3,324 resistance zone. The market is currently showing signs of exhaustion near a minor resistance, and price action suggests a potential short-term pullback. Attention now shifts to today's U.S. Core PCE data, a key inflation metric for the Fed, which may dictate near-term direction and shape the monthly close.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold tested the $3,324 resistance area but failed to break higher, forming a lower high. A potential bearish setup is developing as price reacts to minor resistance around $3,310. If bears regain control, a drop toward the key support level at $3,240 is likely. A break below this level could open the door to further downside in the upcoming sessions. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim $3,324 and establish a strong daily close above, we could see a retest of $3,350 and higher.
Key Event Today:
At 8:30 PM GMT+8, the U.S. will release April's Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge:
MoM: Expected at 0.1%
YoY: Expected at 2.5% (Previous 2.6%)
A softer-than-expected reading could increase rate cut expectations and offer bullish momentum to gold. Stronger data, however, may renew USD strength and pressure XAU/USD lower.
Resistance: $3,310 , $3,324
Support: $3,240 , $3,207
XAUUSD Price Could find way to downside Gold is currently showing signs of a bearish trend due to a weak background market and low trading volume. The absence of significant buying pressure suggests limited momentum to the upside. Despite the need for a bullish move following yesterday’s consolidation, the lack of strong catalysts or volume suggests that price action may remain sluggish in the short term. Unless a major driver emerges, we may continue to see sideways or downward movement in the near term.
Resistance level 3310 / 3320
Support Levels 3270 / 3242
investor you may understand all things in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Key data will be released, gold will usher in a turning point🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
Gold prices continued to fall this week as Trump extended the impact of increasing tariffs on the European Union. After stabilizing at 3285 and rebounding yesterday, the gains and losses at 3315 during the day are the key to the subsequent layout. The current Asian session did not stand above 3315 in the morning, which means that the short-term retracement and decline have not ended, and only by breaking through 3315 can there be a chance to continue upward. The 4H level of gold is not so strong at present. The market encountered resistance and fell back at the upper track. Now the market has touched the lower track. The Bollinger Bands have not opened and are still flat, indicating that the market is in a volatile trend in the short term. The support below 3280 just coincides with the lower track. The upper side pays attention to the resistance near the middle track of 3325. If the pressure near the middle track of 3325 is broken, it can be seen to the upper track of 3365. If the market breaks below 3280, it is expected to go to 3260-3250. The European session will temporarily maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. Pay attention to 3315-3325 on the upper side and 3285-3280 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD: Expanding-Leading-Diagonal, the 3-3-3-3-3 variety?#Gold (XAUUSD), 1 hour:
IMHO, a rare but probable Elliott Wave pattern is unfolding on the chart, known as an Expanding-Leading-Diagonal (the 3-3-3-3-3 variety) to the downside.
⚠️ If price breaks above red wave-2 near $3438, this bearish outlook gets invalidated.
📉 Until then, downside pressure remains on the table. Once wave-3 low ($3120) is broken, this becomes my primary wave counts for Gold.
Trade wisely and watch key levels mentioned on the chart.
~EWTIC Mentor~