XAUUSD Analysis – 1H TimeframeGold is currently reacting to key resistance zones, and we are watching for signs of either rejection or breakout.
🔴 1H FVG Resistance Zones:
3408 – 3425
3386 – 3400
If price fails to break through these levels with momentum, we may see a downward move toward lower demand areas.
🔵 1H FVG Support Zones:
3323 – 3336
3276 – 3290
3242 – 3256
3152 – 3166
🟢 4H Order Block Support:
3100 – 3130
🟢 Daily POC (Developing POC):
3185 – 3200
📍 If price shows weakness here, we expect a retracement to the mentioned FVG or OB zones.
📍 At those levels, with the right confirmation (candle pattern or personal trigger), we’ll look for buy opportunities.
Your ideas?
GOLD trade ideas
Today's gold operation suggestion is still to buy at a low levelGold will have a big non-agricultural data today. The market may fluctuate during the day, but we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3335-40. If it does not break, we can still see the upward fluctuation. We first pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3382-90. If it breaks, we will continue to see the suppression of 3400-3405. In terms of operation, we still focus on the long position after the retracement. Specifically, we will focus on the release of the big non-agricultural data in the evening. At that time, we will also conduct operation guidance and analysis.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below during the day is around 3335-40. If it stabilizes at this position, we will continue to see the strong upward rhythm of the bulls. Focus on the support of 3320-25. Focus on the suppression of 3400-3405. Keep the main tone of low-multiple participation around this range. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Add more positions at the 3338-45 line of gold, stop loss at 3332, target at 3380-3385 line, and look at 3400-05 line if it breaks;
Trading Strategy After ADP Nonfarm NewsPay attention to the trading range in the US session when ADP news is released. 3365 and 3343 are sideways ranges.
We can wait for a breakout trading strategy of this price range.
H1 closes above 3350, we will have a trading strategy towards 3365 and wait for the reaction in the next range. If it breaks, DCA will go up to 3390.
If it closes below 3351, wait for it to close below 3343 and retest to SELL to 3325
Gold fell! Falling!! 📉📉📉
After the shock on Friday, gold fell sharply in the US market, reaching the lowest level of 3316. This shows that the adjustment is not over and will definitely continue next Monday. The short-term 4H cycle has weakened, and the daily cycle is suppressed on the upper track, but the overall market is still in a wide range of fluctuations, continuing the rhythm of May.
The one-hour market fell below the key support level of 3330. This point is a short-term turning point for long and short positions. Its loss means that the short-term market has entered a weak and volatile pattern. However, the current market has not yet completely turned into a bearish trend. The subsequent trend is expected to fluctuate downward, but the amplitude is limited, and it is difficult to see a sharp drop. Therefore, short-term operations can be tried, but from a general perspective, long positions are still the main tone. Looking forward to next week, it is expected that the market will fluctuate and bottom out near 3300, and a new round of pull-ups will begin after the bottom is stabilized. The upper short-term pressure is at 3340, and the lower support is near 3300. The overall trading strategy recommends "short-term selling and long-term buying". You can flexibly arrange accordingly to seize market opportunities.
6/4 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a strong intraday reversal yesterday, pulling back sharply after an initial rally. The price rebounded after entering our 3338–3321 buy zone, and is now approaching the 3362 resistance level. Technically, the short-term structure remains within an ascending rebound channel.
Key resistance levels to watch today:
First resistance near 3378
Psychological level at 3400
Extended resistance zone at 3416–3438
If price stalls near 3362 and pulls back, support is expected around 3345–3336, which could form a secondary bottom. If the rejection happens closer to 3380, then 3358–3352 is the support zone to watch. Should gold rally into the 3400–3416 area, keep a close eye on 3385, 3372, and 3365 as potential pullback supports.
📉 Technical Outlook:
4H chart: Price remains in a mild uptrend channel, with key structural support at 3323–3307. However, volume is not confirming the rally, and a potential double top formation cannot be ruled out.
1H chart: Strong support lies at 3343. The MACD is at a decision point, with bulls slightly favored. If volume increases, gold may retest the 3390 high or even push higher.
🗞 Fundamental Factors:
Today, focus on the ADP Employment Report and key Fed-related news during the U.S. session, which may create sharp intraday volatility or alter the trend trajectory. Be especially alert during the New York session.
📌 Today’s Trade Plan:
Sell between 3418–3438
Buy between 3318–3306
Key levels for tactical trades:
3413 / 3392 / 3381 /3365 / 3358 / 3343 / 3328
Strategy Outlook:
Maintain a “sell high, buy low” intraday approach, focus on volume-driven breakouts, and avoid chasing extreme moves blindly.
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? what's next??#GOLD - market broke his tringle line and rise and now again marke trade above his current supporting area that is around 3342 to 3345
keep close that mentioned supporting region and keep close.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below that region on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD WEEKLYThe latest US labor market data presents a mixed picture for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and gold prices.
Labor Market Analysis
Average Hourly Earnings (0.4% m/m vs. 0.3% forecast):
Wage growth accelerated, surpassing expectations and the prior month's 0.2%. This raises concerns about persistent inflationary pressures, as higher wages often translate to increased consumer spending and business cost passthroughs.
Non-Farm Employment Change (139K vs. 126K forecast):
Job gains exceeded estimates but fell short of the previous 147K. This suggests moderate labor market resilience without overheating.
Unemployment Rate (4.2% steady):
Stability at this level indicates a balanced labor market, reducing urgency for immediate Fed action.
Fed Policy Implications
The strong wage growth reinforces hawkish concerns about inflation persistence, potentially delaying rate cuts. However, the mixed jobs figure (above forecasts but below prior) and stable unemployment rate give the Fed room to maintain its current 4.25%–4.50% target range. Markets will watch for:
Confirmation of wage-driven inflation in upcoming CPI/PCE reports
Whether job growth stabilizes or continues decelerating
Gold Price Outlook
Short-term pressure: Rising wage inflation reduces expectations for near-term rate cuts, boosting Treasury yields and the dollar. This creates headwinds for gold, which struggles against higher opportunity costs.
Long-term support: If wage growth sustains negative real interest rates (inflation > nominal rates), gold could rebound as a hedge. Current projections suggest real rates may remain negative through 2025.
Key Scenarios
Wage growth persists Delayed rate cuts Downward pressure
Job growth slows sharply Earlier dovish pivot Rally above supply roof
Inflation moderates Status quo Range-bound trading
The Fed will likely maintain rates in June while emphasizing data dependency. Gold's trajectory hinges on whether wage trends validate stagflation fears or show signs of moderation. Traders should monitor July's jobs report and Q2 inflation data for clearer directional bias.
#gold
Gold Watch Out for Information Smoke Bombs
💡Message Strategy
Trump's tariff stick ignites the market again
Last Friday, US President Trump's remarks were like a bombshell. He publicly stated that he planned to significantly increase the tariff on imported steel and aluminum from the current 25% to 50%. This radical move immediately triggered a strong reaction from global trading partners. The European Commission immediately issued a warning, saying that Europe is ready to take retaliatory measures.
A weaker dollar boosted gold prices
In addition to safe-haven demand, the weakening of the U.S. dollar index also provided additional support for gold's rise. During the Asian trading session on Monday, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.5% to 98.93, also hitting a new low in nearly four trading days. Since gold is denominated in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar usually makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, thereby stimulating demand.
📊Technical aspects
The international news seems to be bullish for gold, but from the technical trend, gold is currently trapped in a sideways shock at the daily level. After continuous declines, it failed to continue the decline, but continued to be suppressed by the 3350 area. On the weekly line, gold hovered around the 5-day moving average and fluctuated. At the monthly level, it closed with a cross star. From the technical trend point of view, this cross star at the monthly level can be used for attack or defense. However, from the weekly level, the strength and space of the direct upward rush are extremely limited. Without major positive news stimulation, it is difficult to form a trend of rising in the short term. It is highly likely that it will still form a high-rise and fall with the help of fragmentary positive news.
In the short term, focus on whether the suppression of 3350 area can be broken. If it is always under pressure at 3350, it is still expected to fluctuate in the daily range, and the fluctuation range is 3350-3270. Once it breaks through and stands above 3350, gold will have a round of daily level rise in the short term. Once it breaks through the suppression of 3350, you can follow up and go long. On the contrary, before 3350 is broken, you should not rush to chase or be overly bullish.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3345-3360,3365-3375
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementResistance Levels Marked in Pink
1 First Target Zone
3,310 Minor resistance level potential breakout confirmation
2 Second Target Zone
3,320 Stronger resistance could be the next consolidation point
3 Final Target Zone
3,330 Major resistance level, marking a possible end to the bullish move or a reversal zone
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 6th May 2025I'm watching two key demand zones today for potential buy opportunities:
📍 Zone 1: 3348–3352 (Blue Zone)
Reasoning: This area aligns with a previous demand zone that has already shown strong bullish reaction. Price is currently retracing into this area.
Signal to Enter: Look for:
A liquidity sweep below the zone (e.g., a quick wick down grabbing stop-losses).
Followed by a bullish engulfing candle or a break of minor structure to the upside on lower timeframes (e.g., M1–M5).
Expectation: If confirmed, this could trigger the next leg up toward the recent highs (approx. 3385+).
📍 Zone 2: 3320–3325 (Red Zone)
Reasoning: A deeper zone of interest where price last consolidated before a strong rally. Ideal for deeper pullback entries if the first zone fails.
Signal to Enter:
Look for a retest and bullish rejection with strong wick rejections or a CHoCH (Change of Character) on LTF.
A clean break of minor bearish structure can serve as confirmation.
Expectation: If this level holds, a bounce back toward the mid/high 3300s is likely.
✅ Trade Setup Summary:
Buy Zone 1: 3348–3352
Signal: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing / BOS (low timeframes)
Target: 3365–3375-85
Invalidation: Clean break and close below 3345
Buy Zone 2: 3320–3325
Signal: Rejection wicks + CHoCH or FVG entry
Target: 3335–3355-3375
Invalidation: Break below 3315
GOLD trades around target of 3,371 USD, positive outlookOANDA:XAUUSD rose significantly, retesting the $3,371 target as weak US economic data and a weaker dollar were the main reasons for the rise in gold prices.
The market is also struggling to cope with growing political and economic uncertainties.
OANDA:XAUUSD recovered from yesterday's session low of $3,343/oz after ISM and ADP reports confirmed a slowdown in the US economy. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order to increase tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective from June 4, escalating trade tensions.
Federal Reserve officials remain cautious on easing policy; markets await initial jobless claims and nonfarm payrolls data for further policy clues.
The first major data release on Wednesday, the ADP jobs report, dubbed the “mini-nonfarm,” showed the number of private jobs created in the United States was the lowest in two years.
Payroll processor ADP reported on Wednesday that private-sector job creation nearly stalled in May, hitting its lowest level in more than two years amid signs of labor market weakness.
Jobs increased by just 37,000 in the month, down from a revised 60,000 in April and below Dow Jones' forecast of 110,000.
This was the lowest monthly job gain since March 2023, according to ADP statistics. Following the ADP private sector jobs report, US President Trump immediately urged Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut interest rates in a furious manner.
Trump posted on Truth Social: "ADP data is out!!! Powell, who is 'too late', must cut interest rates now."
Trump's order to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports has taken effect, and the White House has confirmed rumors that it has asked trading partners to submit their "best offer" by Wednesday to avoid higher tariffs.
Gold is considered a safe haven from political and economic uncertainty and typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
This Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its highly anticipated non-farm payrolls data, with markets expecting 125,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.2%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to hit the first bullish target of note to readers in the past 2 weeks at $3,371, the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.
Currently, gold is also trading around this level, with price action above $3,371 opening the door for a new bullish outlook and the next target around $3,400 in the short term.
In terms of momentum, gold still has a lot of room to rise as the RSI is operating above 50 pointing upwards but still far from overbought territory, which should be considered a bullish signal in the coming trading session.
There are no technical factors that suggest the possibility of a decline becoming a specific trend, the declines as long as gold remains within/above the price channel should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity. Meanwhile, the nearest support is the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement and the short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel.
Finally, the bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be highlighted by the following positions.
Support: 3,350 – 3,326 USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
→Take Profit 1 3404
↨
→Take Profit 2 3398
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3313
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Just a quick post to show what I am looking at this morning. We have the NY session starting in a bit. Let's see if the move up from the overnight sessions gets corrected. I am not taking any trades today as it is only Monday. This chart is just me keeping tabs on gold and waiting for a good set up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
GOLD (4H) — Explosive Start to the Week, Bullish Projection🏪 1. Market Structure
Gold has reignited its bullish momentum this week.
- Clean breakout of the bearish trendline that had been capping prices for several sessions.
- Rally followed a retest of a 1H IFVG and the OTE zone (retested last week) + POI.
📍 2. Key Technical Zone
- Price is now approaching a crucial Supply Zone around $3,360–$3,380, which represents the next resistance barrier.
🧠 3. Sentiment & Behavior
- The structure resembles an Accumulation → Clear Breakout → Retest → Expansion sequence.
- The 4H RSI is climbing without being overbought, suggesting continuation potential.
🎯 4. Probable Scenario
- As long as price stays above $3,320, the bullish scenario remains intact. 🚀
- If the Supply Zone is cleared, the next target lies near $3,450–$3,500, with potential extension to a fresh ATH. 🏆
✅ Conclusion
Gold has regained short-term control. The structural breakout + intraday bullish momentum support a northward push.
🔔 Remain vigilant for macro catalysts (US inflation data, geopolitical tensions) that could propel gold even higher this week. 🌍
gold on sell retrace#XAUUSD price have been bullish since tension increases, now price is trying to correct before any further movement.
Firstly we await price to fall below 3341 to sell, Target 3331-3317. Stop loss 3357
Any further breakout above the 3366 will form a strong bullish which will reach 3390-3420
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to youIn addition to tariffs and the Federal Reserve, some investors have turned their attention to a U.S. proposed measure that would crack down on companies from countries deemed to have "discriminatory" tax policies. "If the current bill takes effect, it would deter foreign investment in U.S. assets at a time when the U.S. is becoming increasingly dependent on foreign capital to finance its ballooning debt," wrote Elias Haddad, a strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, in a note. "This is clearly negative for the U.S. dollar."
Although gold prices have corrected this week, the fundamental support remains intact. Fxempire analysis suggests that gold's fundamentals remain cautiously bullish unless the U.S. dollar strengthens significantly or inflation unexpectedly rises.
Technically, the primary trend for gold prices is upward, with the market deriving major support from the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45. Short-term support is at $3,166.46, and medium-term support is at $3,018.52. The six-week consolidation pattern indicates that traders are awaiting a catalyst to either push prices above the all-time high of $3,500.20 or test the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45.
The upward trend for gold prices remains intact. In the absence of new catalysts, spot prices are likely to trade sideways in the range of $3,250 to $3,300. For bears to regain control, they must push gold prices below $3,250, followed by the 50-day simple moving average at $3,221. If the latter is breached, the April 3 high of $3,167 would become a support level. Conversely, if bulls drive prices above $3,300, the next key resistance levels will be $3,350, $3,400, the May 7 swing high of $3,438, and the all-time high of $3,500.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320