GOLD trade ideas
Place long orders after the adjustment is over!After gold accelerated its rise in the Asian session, it fell back in the European session and temporarily entered an adjustment cycle, accumulating strength to provide power for the next round of launch. The short-term support in the US session is 3430 and 3412. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline. There is still no guess on the top, and gradually look to 3480 and 3500! Short-term volatility has increased, and the notice has been issued before the market!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3410-15, and look at 3445 and 3455!
GOLD - at CUT N REVERSE region? what's next??#GOLD. market perfect move as per our analysis and now market just reached at his CUT N REVERSE level
that is around 3305-06 to 3312
keep close that area because if market hold that area in that case you can see another bounce from here otherwise not at all.
so Note that below 3312 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
GOOD LUCK
TRADE WISELY
Breakout or Breakdown – Which Way Will the Market Move Next?Market Outlook – 2H Chart Analysis
After analysing the 2-hour chart, we can observe that the price has been consistently trading within a respected ascending channel since April 10, 2025. Following the formation of an all-time high (ATH) at 3357.775, the market experienced a shallow retracement, dipping just below the 38.20% Fibonacci level.
Currently, the price is consolidating around 3327.375 within a falling broadening wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bullish continuation pattern. The retracement zone between the 38.20% and 50.00% levels suggests that buyers remain in control of the trend.
Looking ahead to next week, as long as the price:
• Remains inside the ascending channel
• Holds above the key support level at 3288
• And eventually breaks above the falling broadening wedge and the resistance at 3332
…I anticipate a potential rally toward our first target, with the second target aligning with the 161.80% Fibonacci extension level.
However, if the price breaks below the support level of 3288, a further decline toward 3237.70 could be expected.
⚠️ Reminder:
Every trade carries risk. Strict adherence to your risk management strategy is essential to protecting both capital and profits.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
⸻
GOLD New 2 Scenarios Available , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my opinion on Gold right now , after my last 2 posts on It , now i see the price need to go down a little to make any correction and i think this will happen tomorrow , so if we have a 4h Closure below my Support , we can sell it at least for 300 pips , and if we have not , then we can buy it but i prefer to sell it before buy it again , just follow the price action and then you can take you decision .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 30-minute timeframe. It highlights a potential bullish reversal setup, likely based on harmonic or price pattern trading. Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s being suggested:
Key Elements:
1. Bullish Pattern Completion:
The price has formed a potential reversal pattern (possibly a harmonic pattern like Gartley or Bat), ending around the green arrow at the bottom.
The pattern implies a potential buy zone where a
Gold fluctuates at high levels and is ready to goIn the 4-hour chart, the mid-term bottom continuous positive pattern reflects the bullish strength, but the current price has not effectively stood above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, so it is not in a very strong state. Based on this, there are still trading opportunities for falling back and going long today, and the support points below the small cycle level are at two key points of 3320 and 3310. If the gold price falls back to the above key support levels during the Asian and European trading sessions, you can follow the trend to arrange long orders, and the key to the market rhythm is still in the US trading session. If there is a unilateral surge in the US trading session on Friday, you can look at the extreme rising target; if there is a shock sweeping market during the US trading session, you don’t have to be obsessed with the gold price will definitely go out of the big rise space, and you need to flexibly adjust the trading target according to the actual market changes.
Overall, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to use the rebound high-altitude as an auxiliary strategy and the retracement low-long as the main strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3327-3454 line resistance area, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3286-3360 line support area.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to rebound to high altitudes as the main, and to fall back to low altitudes as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3327-3454 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3286-3360 line support.
Gold Swing Short Trade Setup**Gold Market Analysis: Potential Reversal Formation**
Gold is finally showing strong signs of a potential top formation after an extended bullish run. After weeks of anticipation, yesterday's price action delivered a significant rejection candle at the psychologically important 3500 level, which could indicate the reversal signal we've been waiting for.
It's essential to recognize that in a robust bullish rally, tops can take longer to form than initially expected, as we've observed recently. The market often exhibits both time and price extensions in such conditions. Nevertheless, the rejection at 3500 in conjunction with the current technical setup suggests that we may be seeing a reversal pattern taking shape.
**Trading Perspective:**
From a trading standpoint, I am currently awaiting a confirmation candle (a follow-up to yesterday's rejection) to validate that the top is in place. If we witness follow-through selling pressure today or tomorrow, it could present an excellent swing short opportunity, with the following targets established:
- **Target 1 (TP1):** 3295
- **Target 2 (TP2):** 3250
- **Target 3 (TP3):** 3200
- **Target 4 (TP4):** 3170
- **Target 5 (TP5):** 3070 (psychological support level)
Stay vigilant and ready for potential short opportunities as the market unfolds. Let’s see if the signals align for a successful trade. Happy trading! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
The opening surge hit another record high! How Gold is TradedAnalysis of gold market trend:
Technical analysis of gold: the opening price rose directly during the day, the bulls were strong, and a new historical high was set. The short-term upward trend remains, and there is still room for growth. In the short term, attention should be paid to the suppression of 3380-90. If it breaks, it depends on the 3400 mark. In fact, I have been reminding everyone that gold is still very strong. Looking back at last week, although gold occasionally fell, it still maintained an upward trend, and the trend is still running according to the rhythm of the bulls. So now it has broken the previous high point again, so many investors are confused again. Can it still rise? Can short orders still be made? My point of view is bullish. There is actually no strong pressure above, judging from the current K-line structure! Even if it retreats, it will only be the acceleration point of the next wave of rise. The probability of 3340 returning here is very high, but it is not so easy to break through in one breath. There will definitely be repeated at that time. At that time, we will get on the train again and do more, and a new high.
The 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of Bollinger Bands as a support point, and the area near the retracement point ends as far as possible. The middle track is the critical point of the short-term. Last week, it stabilized at 3286 on the middle track. This week, the middle track moved up to 3300. At the beginning of the week, the short-term may rise slowly around the middle track to a new high. The slow release of space is also accompanied by a step-by-step and back-to-back shock. The volatility base is large in operation, and it is flexible to deal with it in combination with the pattern. Going long on the retracement is still the main idea at present. The support point is 3340-3335. On the whole, it is recommended to go long on the pullback and short on the rebound for today's short-term operation of gold. The short-term focus on the resistance of 3380-3390 on the upper side and the support of 3335-3340 on the lower side. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold operation strategy: short gold near 3380-3390 at the opening, target near 3370-3360, and look at 3340 if it breaks.
Strategy 2: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3340-3345, target around 3365-3375, and look at 3400 if it breaks.
The gold market suddenly "changed its face"Gold plunged down from the high of 3500 yesterday, mainly due to the fact that US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of Atkins, chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, on Tuesday local time that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3366, and then closed near 3382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3315. Although it has completely recovered the decline, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude.
Gold is currently trading below 3357. There are signs of a rebound in gold prices at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression reference is 3330 here, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on the vicinity of 3285, and after effectively breaking it, it can focus on the vicinity of 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the Asian low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3331 to protect the gold price near 3320 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and then go short to 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long orders.
Multi-dimensional Analysis of Gold's Strength and Volatility RisLong-term drivers: After the breakout of the super-large sideways range from 2020 to 2023, global geopolitical conflicts, expectations of economic recession, and large-scale gold purchases by central banks worldwide have jointly fueled a super bull market.
Short-term disruptions: The tariff policy announced by Trump in early April triggered a short-term sharp decline in gold and silver. However, on the monthly chart, no effective correction signal has been formed, and the trend remains dominated by bulls.
Weekly strong characteristics: The long upper shadow line was engulfed by a bullish candle, forming an ultra-large bullish candle, indicating that the market still chose to break upward despite trade war risks, continuing the super-strong trend. While a correction of hundreds of dollars may occur after extreme market conditions, the current upward trend remains intact.
Medium-term rhythm: Multiple medium-term corrections have ended rapidly, highlighting gold’s extremely strong resilience. The current upward slope is steep , showing a "crazy bull" short-covering feature, making it difficult to predict the top in the short term.
Short-term technical signals: The 4-hour chart shows that the high-level volatility is still confined above the 21 exponential moving average (strong support), indicating a continuation pattern in the uptrend. Two potential paths lie ahead:
- Conventional path: Consolidation into a platform before resuming the upward trend;
- Extreme path: Direct breakout to new highs without correction (referencing the frequent occurrence of non-correction short-covering rallies in recent months).
Conclusion: All timeframes suggest that gold’s rally remains unexhausted, with short-term volatility not altering the medium-to-long-term upward trend. However, risks of extreme volatility caused by policy mutations must be guarded against.
XAUUSD
buy@3300-3310-3320
tp:3340-3355-3370
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Gold may hit a second bottom today!From the perspective of the daily line, yesterday's rebound relied on the short-term moving average to close positive, but the rebound was not very strong and the continuity was poor. If it can continue to close positive today, it will lay the foundation for an upward trend, and then it can be seen to gradually strengthen. If it closes negative today, or even falls below the short-term moving average, then gold may fall again.
From the previous round of bottom support 2790, there is a triple bottom, and there is a bottoming process. Therefore, gold cannot be too optimistic about returning to a strong bull market at present, and still has this psychological expectation.
Has the gold high diving reached its peak?The 1-hour inverted V reversal, the 1-hour moving average of gold also began to show signs of turning. There was no risk aversion news stimulus in the second half of the night, so the daily line could not go up, it was a high shooting star, the high points of the US rebound were successively lower, and the short-term trend of gold has formed a short position. The second rebound of the US market was under pressure and fell again near 3430. Then the US rebound below 3430 continued to be shorted, and the US rebound near 3420 could continue to be shorted. The market is changing rapidly. Since gold can't go up, and it starts to fall, the gold bulls have been declared over in the short term.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3420-3430 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3280-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3420-3425, stop loss 6 points, target around 3380-3350, break to see 3300 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3285-3290, stop loss 6 points, target around 3325-3350, break to see 3380 line;
How Many Trades Does It Take to Get Rich?Let me tell you straight — one trade won’t make you rich. It’s almost impossible. The odds are simply too low. And that’s the very foundation of my approach — an approach that has already brought me meaningful results.
The Myth of the One Trade
The biggest trap traders fall into is placing all their hopes on a single trade — one that’s supposed to fix everything. That’s where the problems begin: oversized positions, impatience, emotional attachment... and eventually, tilt. And tilt does exactly the opposite — it wipes out your account.
The solution? Stretch the process out over time. Doing this alone significantly increases your chances of actual profit — instead of blowing everything up in a short burst.
What That Creates
By shifting away from the “one big trade” mindset, you remove urgency, bring risk under control, and turn your trading into a stable process. That’s the core of what I teach: break your trading into as many small, manageable episodes as possible.
Divide your “luck” into smaller parts — and you’ll be able to attract it in the long run.
This mindset comes with far more advantages than downsides. And deep down, you already know that. So start applying it — make this your starting point toward meaningful results.
Letting Go of the Old Way
Don’t worry about how long it might take to see significant growth in your account. You can always go back to your old way of trading — jumping in and trying to “make money today.” But ask yourself: how many times do you need to get burned before you finally shift from a short-term mindset to a long-term one?
Add to that some information isolation — stop feeding your brain constant news noise. Let go of headlines that pretend to predict the market. Free yourself from that influence, and you’ll start to see the charts clearly — without the illusions, without the made-up narratives.
One Last Thing
If you’re still holding on to the idea that you can achieve serious results without deeply studying this craft — and without putting in real time — let me suggest something: drop that belief now, before you even begin.
You don’t have to. But eventually, after enough feedback from the market, you’ll let it go anyway. It’s just a matter of time. The sooner you accept this, the easier your path will become.
And if you can’t let go of that illusion — your only real option is to leave the market.
Social media exists to drive engagement. And where there’s engagement, there’s exaggeration. That’s what feeds the false ideas you might unknowingly absorb about trading and beyond.
People show the upside — but rarely the downside.
Gold's safe-haven demand weakens, gold prices peak and fallExpectations of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy:
According to the latest data from CME's "Fed Watch", the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy shift are undergoing subtle changes. The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged at the May interest rate meeting is as high as 91.7%, while the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 61.8%. This shows that the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain policy stability and may start a rate cut cycle as early as June. This change in expectations has weakened the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge tool, as the postponement of interest rate cut expectations has reduced market concerns about inflation risks.
Geopolitical and trade situation:
Former President Trump recently stated that he would abandon his threat to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, a move that significantly reduced the risk of politicization of US monetary policy. At the same time, his optimistic statement on Sino-US trade negotiations further weakened the market's risk aversion demand. The reduction in political uncertainty and the easing of trade tensions have doubled the risk of gold's safe-haven appeal, leading to capital outflows from the gold market.
Daily level:
Gold showed a typical high-rise and fall trend yesterday, with the daily line closing with a negative column with a long upper shadow, which is usually regarded as an important signal of a staged peak. The upper shadow shows that bulls encountered strong selling pressure when trying to push up prices, and finally bears dominated. The $3,500/ounce area constitutes an obvious resistance level, and the suppression effect of this position is confirmed.
Hourly level:
The short-term trend shows the market's turning point more clearly. Gold prices fluctuated lower after being under pressure in the 3,500 area. The $50 low-opening gap that appeared this morning is particularly rare. This gap often indicates an accelerated change in trend. Although there was a technical rebound in the early trading, it failed to form a sustained buying order. Instead, it encountered resistance again in the 3342/3343 area, confirming the short-term bear-dominated market pattern.
Key price:
Resistance: 3342/3343 area (short-term), 3335/3338 area (ideal entry position for rebound short orders)
Support: 3290/3285 area. The gains and losses of this support range will determine the further opening of the downward space
III. Operation strategy suggestions
Trend judgment:
The current gold market has formed a stage top, and the technical form shows that the trend has turned from long to short. The short-term market shows obvious short-term arrangement characteristics, and it is expected that the downward trend will continue during the European trading session.
Trading suggestions:
Short order strategy: It is recommended to arrange short orders in the 3335/3338 area, with a stop loss set above 3350 and a target of 3290/3285 area
Position management: In view of the abnormal volatility in the early trading, it is recommended to adopt a light position trial strategy and gradually increase positions after the trend is confirmed
Risk warning: Pay attention to the performance of the 3290/3285 support area. If it breaks down effectively, it may trigger an accelerated decline, otherwise it may usher in a technical rebound
IV. Market sentiment and capital flow
Market sentiment has clearly turned to caution. The sharp low opening in the early trading has led to the outflow of some long stop-loss orders, exacerbating price fluctuations. From the perspective of capital flow, the changes in the open interest of COMEX gold futures show that some longs are withdrawing from the market. At the same time, the holdings of gold ETFs have been stable in recent days, with no obvious signs of increasing positions, reflecting that institutional investors are taking a wait-and-see attitude towards the current price.
V. Outlook for the future market
In the medium term, the trend of gold will depend on two key factors: one is the specific time when the Federal Reserve's monetary policy turns, and the other is the development of the global geopolitical situation. Before the June interest rate meeting, if the US economic data continues to be strong, the expectation of interest rate cuts may be further postponed, which will put continuous pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the technical short position has an obvious advantage, and the operation should be mainly short-selling on rebounds. Pay close attention to the performance of the 3290/3285 support area. Whether this position is broken or not will determine the further opening of the downside space.
XAUUSD H1 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The gold market recently demonstrated a bullish trend, starting from the 3300 level. A bullish pattern emerged, pushing prices upward and reaching key resistance levels. The movement signaled strong upward momentum, with targets achieved at:
sdm: The market moved in a bullish pattern from 3370 to 3430.
This upward move confirms buyer strength and bullish momentum during the session
sdm: Buy Signal: Activated at 3370 when price showed bullish momentum and upward structure.
Bullish Confirmation: The move to 3430 confirms upward pressure and active buying.
Resistance Warning: If gold fails to break and close above 3430, it may pull back to retest lower supports (3370 or even 3350).
sdm: . Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation (Breakout above 3430):
If price breaks above 3430 with good volume, next targets:
3450
3475
3500
Can gold continue its decline and hit a new low?US President Trump said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell. Affected by this, the US dollar soared in the short term and spot gold plummeted dramatically. This remark marks a huge change in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
Gold technical analysis: This wave of gold correction is still continuing. The market has actually warned about today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after gold rose to 3500 yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation!
In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to sell short. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
XAUUSD 4H Timeframe – Technical & Fundamental Analysis XAUUSD 4H Timeframe – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Gold continues to shine during times of uncertainty. Whether it’s global conflict, inflation fears, recession talks, or market turbulence, investors tend to turn to gold as a hedge against risk.
However, there is still room for short-term exhaustion. On the 4-hour chart, we observed a sharp decline from $3,500 to $3,330, primarily driven by recent political developments in the United States. President Donald Trump retracted his threat to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and expressed optimism regarding a potential trade agreement with China. These actions eased market fears and reduced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, causing a temporary dip in demand and price.
📉 Technical Outlook:
On the 4H chart, gold hit an all-time high of $3,500 yesterday.
We’ve identified a Three Black Crows candlestick pattern, a strong signal of a potential reversal from a bullish to a bearish trend—suggesting that downward momentum may follow.
A minor key support level is seen at $3,340. A breakout below this level could:
Trigger pending sell orders
Initiate the accumulation phase in the liquidity zone
If the price breaks $3,290, it may confirm a Change of Character (CHOCH)—a strong sign of a bearish shift.
🧠 Trade Plan: After accumulation and liquidity grab, we wait for a clean breakout to confirm our setup.
📌 Sell Stop Entry: $3,317.20
📌 Stop Loss: $3,386.20
📌 Take Profit: $3,167.80
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.