GOLD trade ideas
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to youIn addition to tariffs and the Federal Reserve, some investors have turned their attention to a U.S. proposed measure that would crack down on companies from countries deemed to have "discriminatory" tax policies. "If the current bill takes effect, it would deter foreign investment in U.S. assets at a time when the U.S. is becoming increasingly dependent on foreign capital to finance its ballooning debt," wrote Elias Haddad, a strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, in a note. "This is clearly negative for the U.S. dollar."
Although gold prices have corrected this week, the fundamental support remains intact. Fxempire analysis suggests that gold's fundamentals remain cautiously bullish unless the U.S. dollar strengthens significantly or inflation unexpectedly rises.
Technically, the primary trend for gold prices is upward, with the market deriving major support from the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45. Short-term support is at $3,166.46, and medium-term support is at $3,018.52. The six-week consolidation pattern indicates that traders are awaiting a catalyst to either push prices above the all-time high of $3,500.20 or test the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45.
The upward trend for gold prices remains intact. In the absence of new catalysts, spot prices are likely to trade sideways in the range of $3,250 to $3,300. For bears to regain control, they must push gold prices below $3,250, followed by the 50-day simple moving average at $3,221. If the latter is breached, the April 3 high of $3,167 would become a support level. Conversely, if bulls drive prices above $3,300, the next key resistance levels will be $3,350, $3,400, the May 7 swing high of $3,438, and the all-time high of $3,500.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320
XAUUSD - Key Inflection Point AheadLooking at this gold spot chart, the precious metal appears to be consolidating within a defined range after experiencing significant volatility throughout May. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of the marked support zone around $3,250-$3,260, following a recent pullback from higher levels. Given the technical setup and the proximity to this key support area, there's a strong probability that gold will retest this support zone in the coming sessions. This retest will be critical in determining the next directional move - if the support holds and buyers step in, we could see a bounce back toward the upside targeting previous resistance levels, potentially challenging the recent highs. However, if the support fails to hold under selling pressure, gold could continue its downward trajectory, opening the door for further declines toward lower support levels. The market's reaction at this support zone will likely dictate whether the current consolidation resolves bullishly or bearishly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold long Aiming that 3364 and 3375 region.
Before next week starts.
Next week i think it will fall down.
Safe-Haven Demand May Drive Gold Prices Higher✅ Today’s ADP report came in bullish for gold,
✅ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book reveals:
A slight slowdown in economic activity
Increased policy uncertainty and price pressures for businesses and consumers
An overall pessimistic economic outlook
📌 Combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, this creates a supportive backdrop for safe-haven buying in gold.
🔍 Technical Outlook (1D Chart):
Gold is still facing a bearish divergence on the daily chart. For this to resolve, the market must choose between:
1️⃣ A strong breakout with volume, pushing toward 3430–3450
2️⃣ A pullback to repair structure, including filling the gap below 3300, which may later fuel a rally toward 3500+ if bullish catalysts arise
📅 Key Events to Watch This Week:
Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims
Friday: NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls)
⚠️ Also monitor developments on trade tariffs, which may affect market sentiment
📊 Short-Term Trade Plan (Range Strategy):
🎯 Key levels to watch:
Resistance: around 3400
Support: near 3366
📌 Consider range trading between 3408–3358, selling highs and buying dips with strict risk control.
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250603Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250603
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTRNThis chart shows a long (buy) trade setup for Gold (CFDs on Gold in USD per ounce) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what’s depicted:
Chart Analysis:
Current Price: ~3361.66
Buy Entry Zone: Indicated by the green circle near current price level.
Take Profit: Marked at a significantly higher price level.
Stop Loss: Set below the current price level.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Visually favorable, suggesting a high potential reward relative to the risk.
Interpretation:
The trader expects the current down-move to reverse, hence the suggested long entry.
The chart assumes that price will bounce off this level (possibly support), then move up to the take-profit target.
This setup appears to be based on trend continuation or support bounce logic.
Key Considerations:
Look for confirmation such as candlestick reversal patterns, volume increase, or RSI divergence before entering the trade.
Be mindful of news/events that might affect gold prices—those red icons below the chart could indicate upcoming economic events.
Would you like help analyzing whether this trade setup is strong based on technical indicators or news?
Gold in down trend (correction wave )Sell gold 3305-3309, stop loss at 3315 (4-hour candle close above), targeting 3245 (600 pips), risking 100 pips.
Price is currently in wave Z of a WXYXZ correction. Invalidation level for this correction is 3345. Confirmation of downtrend continuation is a close below 3270.
Currently holding the short position. Watching price action around 3270 for confirmation of further downside. A break below would strengthen the bearish outlook and pave the way towards the 3245 targets. Will monitor for any signs of bullish reversal but maintaining the stop loss at 3315 for now. Invalidation level at 3345 remains the key level to watch for a potential trend change.
Is the positive news fading? The latest analysis of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
As geopolitical conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East broke out again over the weekend, gold jumped higher today. From a technical perspective, the 1H chart shows a bullish arrangement, but the gold price is in a downward channel at the daily level. The gold price is currently near the middle track of the Bollinger Band and is obviously suppressed by the downward channel. The 4H level Bollinger Bands narrowed, the moving averages adhered, the long and short positions were in a stalemate, and the MACD indicator hovered around the 0 axis. 3330 - 3335 above is the key resistance area. If it breaks through 3340, it is expected to continue to see new highs. At the same time, there is short-term support in the 3285-3280 range below. 3270 - 3265 becomes the key important support. If it falls below, it may fall to 3245. For short-term operations in the Asian and European sessions today, if the resistance area of 3325-3335 cannot be effectively broken through, you can consider shorting and look towards 3310-3290 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3310-3290
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Breakout imminentConsolidation phase is almost over and a breakout to the upside is imminent this week with 3400 -500 range on the cards . Dm for free trading signals .
GOLD Impact of June 6 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data on Fed Rate Decisions
Key Data Points
Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (vs. 126K forecast, revised April: 147K from 177K).
Unemployment Rate: Steady at 4.2% (matches forecasts).
Average Hourly Earnings: 3.9% YoY (vs. 3.7% expected).
Labor Force Participation Rate: Declined to 62.4% (from 62.6%).
Fed Policy Implications
Labor Market Cooling but Resilient:
Job growth slowed (139K vs. 147K prior), with cumulative downward revisions of 95K for March and April. This signals moderation but avoids a sharp deterioration.
Stable unemployment rate (4.2%) and wage growth (3.9% YoY) suggest the labor market remains tight enough to sustain consumer spending but is losing momentum.
Inflation Concerns Persist:
Sticky Wage Growth: Elevated wage inflation (3.9% YoY) complicates the Fed’s inflation fight, particularly in services sectors.
Productivity-Sensitive Costs: Rising labor costs without productivity gains could pressure corporate margins and consumer prices.
Fed’s Balancing Act:
Near-Term Hold Likely: The Fed is expected to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in July, prioritizing inflation control over labor market softness.
Rate Cut Odds Shift: Markets now price a ~55% chance of a September cut (up from ~40% pre-NFP), contingent on further cooling in inflation (June 11 CPI data critical).
Market Impact
DXY (Dollar Index): Minimal immediate reaction, but sustained labor market cooling could weaken the dollar if rate cuts gain traction.
Equities: Mixed signals (slower jobs vs. stable wages) may limit gains, though tech and growth stocks could rally on delayed Fed tightening.
Bonds: 10-year yields (4.40%) may edge lower if growth fears outweigh inflation risks.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely delay rate cuts until September unless inflation softens decisively. While job growth is slowing, persistent wage pressures and a stable unemployment rate justify a cautious stance. Traders should monitor June CPI (June 11) and Q2 GDP data for clearer signals.
Summary:
No July cut expected; September cut remains contingent on inflation easing.
DXY range-bound near 98.50–99.50 until CPI release.
stay cautious
#gold
The latest gold market trend analysis strategy on June 5:
ADP data impact: The US "small non-farm" data in May was significantly lower than expected (37,000 new vs. 110,000 expected), strengthening the market's bet on the Fed's interest rate cut, the US dollar was under pressure (falling below the 99 mark), US Treasury yields fell, and gold was supported as a safe-haven asset.
Technical signal: The bottoming pattern of gold daily line was confirmed, and the low point gradually moved up (3344→3350). The short-term bulls were strong, but attention should be paid to the breakthrough of the previous high of 3392 pressure level.
Non-farm outlook: If the non-farm data continues to be weak on Friday, gold may accelerate its rise; if it rebounds beyond expectations, the US dollar may rebound in the short term, and gold faces the risk of a correction.
Technical analysis
Key price
Support: 3344-3350 (intraday low and early long order entry, long defense line)
Resistance: 3385-3392 (Wednesday high and early week suppression, breakthrough opens up upside)
Bull-bear watershed: If gold price stands above 3392, the target is 3420-3450; if it loses 3344, the risk of short-term correction increases.
Form and momentum
15-minute chart: The big positive line rises with large volume, showing strong bullish momentum, but be wary of the decline in the latter part of the US market (3384→3360).
4-hour chart: MACD golden cross continues, RSI is close to the overbought zone, there may be short-term fluctuations, but the trend is still bullish.
Operation strategy suggestions：
Day trading (June 5)
Long strategy
Entry point: Long with a light position when the price falls back to 3355-3360, and those who are conservative will wait for the area around 3345 to increase their positions.
Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Target: 3380-3385 (reduce half position), and look at 3400-3420 after breaking through 3392.
Short strategy (cautious)
Entry point: Try short with a light position when the price first touches 3390-3392 (needs a quick fall signal).
Stop loss: above 3395.
Target: 3375-3365 (short-term speculation callback).
Mid-term layout: If the gold price stabilizes at 3400 after the non-agricultural data, you can arrange long orders with the target at 3450-3480.
Market sentiment and risk warning
Disagreement among retail investors: Some traders bet on continued weakness in non-agricultural data and arrange long orders in advance; other funds are waiting for the direction to be confirmed after the data is released.
Institutional trends: Pay attention to the policy signals before the Fed's June interest rate meeting. If the employment data continues to weaken, the probability of a rate cut in September may rise to more than 50%.
Risk events:
Non-agricultural data deviates from expectations (especially the unemployment rate and wage growth rate).
Geopolitics or unexpected hawkish remarks by Fed officials may disturb the market.
Summary
Gold's short-term technical and fundamental aspects are bullish, but we need to be wary of profit-taking before non-agricultural data. Trading discipline: Strictly stop loss, stop profit in batches, and avoid heavy bets on data. If the Asian and European sessions maintain a consolidation above 3360, the US session can choose to follow up with breakthrough long orders.
Key question to think about: If the non-agricultural data is stronger than expected, where is the limit of gold's correction?
Potential answer: 3300-3320 area (previous platform support + daily level trend line), then you can observe the stabilization signal and re-arrange long positions.
Trading strategy in US sessionGold price in the short term of the US session. The pulling of the h1 candle's wick creates an important liquidity zone of 3373. When h1 closes above this zone, it confirms that the US session will be a bullish session and can reach 3398 at the end of the session. If it closes below 3373, the BUY zone will be noticed at the support reaction in the European session around 3362.
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating.
Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360.
It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k.
This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy.
Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels.
Pressure range: 3400-3390
Support range: 3340-3350
Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
6.4 Gold Market6.4 Gold Market
The Trump administration's "steel tariffs" caused gold to surge to around 3390. Yesterday's bottom of the correction touched around 3330. The current trend analysis shows that there are bullish protection actions at 3340 points. Today, you can go long based on 3344 as the support point.
The ADP data will be released tonight. The 4-hour US dollar fell and went out of the five-wave decline. The typical five-wave decline may have to rebound. If the US dollar surges, the gold 3340 support level may not be able to protect.
Today's strategy is still mainly long. However, if it fails to break through 3370 and falls below 3340, then you must pay attention to stop loss.
BUY: around 3350
SL: 3340
TP: 3370-3400
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
200pips from first entry Watch out for the second entry expecting more drops today to the mand zone
follow like for more daily updates on gold
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Well, I was waiting for a break out of the zone marked on the chart. Now that we have broken out, I will wait for the Pre NY volume to come in about 3.5 hours from now. Sometimes the first few days of the week, gold carves out it's potential paths. I say this because now that we moved up, we may see a correction with the NY open today. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Monday!!
There remains significant overhead resistance.The gold price declined on Friday while the US dollar rose. The market has digested the latest development of the tariff issue, and a relatively weak inflation report has kept the hope of a US interest rate cut alive. Spot gold was quoted at $3,290.40 per ounce, down 0.82%, with a weekly decline of over 2%. After the federal appellate court temporarily restored Trump's tariffs on Thursday, the tariff issue is likely to regain its influence on the market next week. Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver the opening remarks at an event next Tuesday, which will be his first speech since his meeting with Trump this week. Meanwhile, several Federal Reserve officials will also speak next week. Therefore, the rebound of gold will be under pressure next week. It is advisable to sell gold on rallies below $3,310. The outlook is bearish, with a downward correction expected. The target price is between $3,270 and $3,260. When the price pulls back to the vicinity of $3,270 - $3,260, investors can consider going long.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3295-3305
TP:3265-3275
BUYING GOLD - TRADE WHAT YOU SEE AND NOT WHAT YOU FEEL1. TL (Trendline) 3rd touch
2. Morning star pattern below support
2. Currently on support
3. Waiting for break of descending TL then retest to confirm the buy
Already have foot soldiers in (few entries)
GOLD - where is current Resistance? Holds or not??#GOLD... perfect holdings and bounced back and now market have his ultimat resistance area is 3382-84
Thats play key role from yesterday and in today it will be our key level.
Keep close and only hold shorts below that other use not
Note: above 3382 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD GOLD M30 ANNALSIS LONG 4/6/2025buy 3363 3360
take profit 3367
take profit 3372
take profit 3380
stop los 3355
XAUUSD Longs?SMT Divergence with XAGUSD, gold turtle souped a low while silver did not trade lower, energetic displacement followed after a raid of liquidity lower, change in state of delivery on the 15m timeframe, I will be looking for longs here.
