Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue.
From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again
So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
GOLD trade ideas
Bearish reversal?The Gold (ZAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,328.69
1st Support: 3,271.11
1st Resistance: 3,359.66
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3244.7
Stop Loss - 3252.6
Take Profit - 3230.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts.
Short-term strategy:
Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
XAU/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Bullish Momentum Towards Supply This 1-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from OANDA shows a strong bullish reversal following a recent sell-off. The price is approaching a key supply zone, where two potential target levels are identified:
Target 1: ~3,210 USD
Target 2: ~3,220 USD
The chart highlights previous resistance zones and current price action suggesting momentum toward these targets. The bullish run follows a reversal from a "Weak Low" area near 3,115 USD. Zones are color-coded for supply/resistance (red) and demand/support (green). The setup indicates possible short-term buying opportunities as price tests previous consolidation zones.
Can we continue to bet against gold?My article today emphasized that gold may fall below 3200. Sure enough, it did so without hesitation today and fell to around 3175 in the short term. At present, gold has rebounded, and the short-term pressure is around 3200, so you can short at this position.
In the short term, focus on the support near 3160 below. If it falls below, there is still room for gold to fall.
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long.
Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Flag Breakdown Setup Short OpportunityTechnical Overview: On the 1-hour chart, Gold is forming a clear bearish flag pattern, a continuation formation typically seen in downtrends. The flagpole represents strong bearish momentum, followed by a consolidation phase within a parallel channel – the flag itself. The price is currently near the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential breakout to the downside is imminent.
Trade Setup:
Sell Entry: Around $3,256 (flag resistance zone)
Stop Loss: $3,282 (above flag resistance to protect against false breakout)
Take Profit: $3,196 (projected move equal to flagpole height)
Trend Analysis: The broader trend remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is also trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure. Momentum indicators are aligning with bearish sentiment, and volume has decreased during the flag's formation, reinforcing the corrective nature of the flag.
Fundamental Insight : Gold continues to face pressure from a stronger USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields. Hawkish commentary from the Fed has dampened investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets like Gold. In addition, geopolitical tensions have not provided sufficient bullish momentum to break the current downtrend.
Summary: This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aligning both technical and fundamental confluence. Traders should watch for a breakout below the flag support for confirmation before entering the short position.
Support: If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas!
Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Is Gold Gearing Up for a Bullish Run? Wait for This Confirmation Market Observation – XAUUSD on the 15-Minute Chart
Macro Bullish Context – XAUUSD
Gold has maintained a bullish trajectory on both the weekly and monthly timeframes, consistently forming higher lows and holding above key structural levels.
This long-term strength adds a supportive backdrop for intraday bullish setups when price aligns favorably.
On the 15-minute chart, price has broken a clean descending trendline, with increasing momentum and reclaimed value zones. However, I remain patient and selective — waiting for confirmation via a sustained close above short-term resistance and consistent buying volume.
My Approach:
I combine multi-timeframe analysis with price structure and volume behavior. I don’t chase entries — I wait for confirmation before acting. A trade is only valid when multiple pieces align.
Gold (XAUUSD) just broke above a descending trendline after a prolonged bearish structure, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained bearish phase, Gold is showing early signs of a potential short-term reversal:
• Price action has decisively broken a descending trendline
• Trading volume has increased during the break – suggesting possible buyer interest
• Price is now hovering near a key intraday equilibrium zone – watching for control shift
• Momentum indicators have started turning from oversold conditions
I’m currently monitoring for a clean break and close above intraday structure and the volume-weighted average level to confirm buyer control before considering any directional bias.
If the movement confirmed we can consider that target will be : 3,230.103 (TP1) — with potential extension to 3,237.865
Key Takeaway: I believe reading market structure and context is more powerful than blindly following indicators. This idea reflects a high-probability scenario only if the market confirms the shift.
Staying objective. No trade yet — just watching how price develops around key levels.
Gold's Rally Resumes (Elliott Wave)Gold's decline to today's low has satisfied the minimum requirements to consider the correction over.
The April to May decline corrected in a double zigzag labeled ((w))-((x))-((y)). There are 3 geometric relationships pointing to today's low as an important bottom.
1. Wave ((y)) was equal to wave ((w)) at today's low, a common wave relationship.
2. Additionally, wave (c) of ((y)) was 61.8% times wave (a) of ((y))...another common wave relationship.
3. Lastly, the previous all-time high from early April clocks in at 3,167...the broken resistance acts as new support holding up prices.
The runway is cleared for gold to take off to new all-time highs again.
In the unexpected event of a decline below today's low, the next cluster of wave relationships appears near 2,950.
Gold plummets, pay attention to the 3100 first-line support🗞News side:
1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks
2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session
3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt
📈Technical aspects:
Gold has been in a sideways consolidation yesterday, and we did not have a good entry opportunity to trade in the evening. Today, it has been falling with inertia since the opening of the market. It has now fallen to around 3130, successfully breaking through 3150, the key early point. At present, the daily chart of gold is in a downward wedge arrangement, with the focus on 3130 support below and 3200 suppression above. If the European market cannot fall below 3130, then be wary of bullish counterattacks.
On the other hand, if we fall below the 3130 line, we will fall back and continue to focus on the 60-day moving average support 3105-3110 area. Therefore, in terms of operation, gold will first focus on the 3130 first-line support. If it breaks below, wait for the 3105-3110 area and then consider buying based on the long-short game. The top target is the 3190-3200 area. If it does not break 3200, then go short!
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on CPI;
Technical aspects:
As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area!
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
XAUMO x Heikin Ashi Chikou Fusion Strategy (Full Calibration)
Timeframe-Synced Strategic Confluence: XAU/USD
⸻
5M + 15M (Trigger Zone)
• EMA/HMA/SMA Stack: All bearish — price below EMA21, HMA5 rolling down = trend aligned.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Below Kumo, flat Kijun — choppy bearish bias.
• Stoch RSI: Crossover from oversold — minor bounce brewing.
• Chikou Span (HA): Still below price = bearish lag.
• Volume: Weak green = bounce lacks conviction.
Conclusion: Micro bounce trap. Stay patient for SELL SIGNAL from higher TF.
⸻
1H + 4H (Execution Timeframe)
• MA Confluence: Perfect bearish alignment (EMA21, SMA50/84/200 all above price).
• Ichimoku: Bearish TK cross, Chikou Span far under price (lagging confirmation).
• Stoch RSI: Just crossed from oversold on 1H — temporary pullback likely.
• MACD: Red, contracting — confirms bounce but no reversal.
• Fib Level: 61.8% & 78.6% = 3,260 - 3,275 resistance hot zone.
Conclusion: Perfect zone for sell trap. Wait for bounce toward Fib+MA confluence, then strike.
⸻
D1 (Trend Validation Layer)
• Chikou Span (HA): Bearish – lagging behind price, rejection at cloud = LONG-TERM SELL BIAS.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Price under cloud, future cloud bearish.
• Volume: Distribution spike from 3,500 = institutional sell.
• Stoch RSI: Near mid-zone = no help to bulls.
Conclusion: Downtrend intact. D1 confirms all signals. Time to hunt shorts.
⸻
Final Calibrated Hypothetical Trade Setup: XAU/USD (May 13, 2025)
Order Type: Sell Limit
• Entry: 3,263.00 (Fib 61.8%, SMA84 resistance, Chikou below)
• Stop Loss 1: 3,276.00 (Above SMA50 & Ichimoku Cloud)
• Stop Loss 2: 3,290.00 (Failsafe beyond Ichimoku Flat Kumo)
• Take Profit 1: 3,209.00 (Volume support, Fib minor)
• Take Profit 2: 3,183.00 (Daily Fib 100% AB=CD + institutional demand)
• Confidence Level: 91%
• Risk:Reward: 1:3.6
⸻
Execution Rules
• Only place order if Stoch RSI is above 80 on 15M/H1 at time of entry.
• Confirm Chikou Span still below Heikin Ashi price.
• Volume candle must not break upper band = no breakout.
⸻
Justification
This setup is the offspring of two powerful systems fused in battle:
• MA + Ichimoku + Fib give sniper zones.
• Stoch RSI and Chikou confirm killer timing.
• Volume shows us when the smart money exits — and we ride behind their smoke.
////////\\\\\\\
XAU/USD Tactical Kill Zones – Calibrated by Multi-System Fusion
////////\\\\\\\
1. RED ZONE – NO TRADE / TRAP AREA
Definition: Conflicting signals, exhaustion zones, or fake-out setups. Do not freaking touch.
• Price Above 3,290
• Overextended against higher timeframe trend.
• Chikou Span may cross price — invalidates bearish setup.
• FOMO-buyers get slaughtered here.
• Price Below 3,200 Without Breakout Volume
• Could be fake breakdown into accumulation.
• Stoch RSI may show oversold and HA reversal brewing.
• Potential for bear trap reversal.
⸻
2. YELLOW ZONE – WAIT & WATCH / REACTION ZONE
Definition: Transitional price zones. Wait for confirmation before engagement.
• Price Between 3,240 – 3,260
• Pullback rally zone. Price flirting with EMA21, SMA50, and Fib 61.8%.
• Stoch RSI climbing toward OB. Chikou still under price.
• Wait for Stoch RSI OB + HA candle rejection + volume spike for sell trigger.
• Price Between 3,209 – 3,200
• First support cluster.
• Watch for volume spike and RSI divergence. Decide whether it’s bounce or breakdown.
⸻
3. GREEN ZONE – HIGH PROBABILITY EXECUTION ZONE
Definition: Multiple timeframe confluence. This is where the kill shot is taken.
• SELL ENTRY ZONE (Green Box):
• 3,263 – 3,275
• Fib 61.8% – 78.6%
• SMA84, SMA50, EMA21 cluster
• Ichimoku flat Kumo rejection
• Chikou below price (Heikin Ashi candle)
• Stoch RSI must be OB with bearish crossover
• TP ZONE 1 (Green TP):
• 3,209 – 3,200
• Fib support + Volume support
• First liquidation level from sell pressure
• TP ZONE 2 (Green TP):
• 3,183 – 3,175
• Fib 100% AB=CD completion
• Strong volume absorption zone
• Potential D1 reversal point
Gold Buy Opportunity🟢 Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Long Setup – Bullish Reversal from Key Demand Zone
Gold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from the 4H demand zone near 3270, with confluence from the 200 EMA and previous volume accumulation support (visible via VPVR).
✅ Entry: 3270.35
🎯 Target: 3369.45
🛑 Stop Loss: 3252.77
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 5.17
📆 Projection: 3.03% move in 3 days (by May 15)
📈 Technical Highlights:
EMA Support: Price is testing the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic support zone.
Volume Profile: Significant buying volume accumulated in the current region, increasing bounce probability.
Structure: Higher-low formation still intact; rejection wick suggests buyer defense.
Bullish Target: Previous 4H supply near 3369 aligns with clean breakout structure.
Gold Price Analysis May 14Yesterday's D candle with an increase but not significant and unable to surpass 50% of the previous bearish candle shows that the sellers still hold the initiative today.
The 2322 zone plays a key role at the moment when breaking the Down confirmation to 3200. If it bounces from 3222, it will confirm the trend back in the Sideway range with the upper range of 3260.
In the direction of the 3260 break, Gold will return to the uptrend with the resistance zones of 3280 and 3320, pay attention to the small resistance zone around 3305 for the scalping strategy. On the opposite side, the break of 3222 confirms the downtrend, extending the next reaction zone around 3200 and can extend the decline to 3176 today.
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127