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GOLD trade ideas

Gold Pulls Back to 3332 Before Mild Rebound📊 Market Overview: This morning, gold dropped sharply to $3,332/oz, marking the lowest level in recent sessions, due to profit-taking after the early-week rally and a slight recovery in the USD. However, dip-buying interest returned near key support, pushing the price back up to around $3,350/oz. The market remains sensitive to Middle East geopolitical headlines and comments from Fed officials scheduled throughout the week. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Resistance: $3,360 – $3,370 • Support: $3,332 – $3,340 (tested this morning) • EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA09 ($3,355) → short-term trend remains slightly bearish • Momentum / Volume / Candlesticks: o H1 candle shows a bullish hammer formation at $3,332 → signal of potential short-term rebound. o RSI recovered from oversold (<30) to ~42 → mildly positive signal. o StochRSI indicates short-term buying pressure, but a break above $3,355 is needed to confirm a reversal. 📌 Outlook: Gold may see a mild recovery toward the $3,360–3,370 area if buying interest holds near the $3,330 support. However, failure to break above $3,370 could lead to a pullback during the US session. 💡 Suggested Trading Plan: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,365–3,370 🎯 TP: $3,345 (~20) ❌ SL: $3,375 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332–3,340 🎯 TP: $3,355 (~20) ❌ SL: $3,325
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Set to Rise If U.S.–Iran Tensions Escalate📊 Market Overview: Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation. 📉 Technical Analysis: •Key Resistance Levels: $3,387 – $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500–$3,520. •Nearest Support: $3,358 – $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320. •EMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts. •Chart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.–Iran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz. On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344–$3,320 before resuming any uptrend. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: $3,358–3,365 🎯 TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450 🛑 SL: $3,344 🟡 Enter on pullback to support — preferably if geopolitical tensions rise. 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: $3,400–3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70) 🎯 TP: $3,380 / $3,365 🛑 SL: $3,420 🟡 Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is reacting off the support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,298.57 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,258.87 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 3,393.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations? Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation. Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains. When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter. In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices: Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark. This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
XAUUSD maintaining the falling pattern H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 and Market has to lift up at range of 3380-3285. What's possible scanarios we have? As we have seen h4 candle closes above 3280-3285 then keep buying and eyes at 3305 then 3320 milestone also I'm holding my buy positions. On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3280-3275 then buying will be limited and market will join the 3250 zone.i will sell accordingly . Additional TIP: Above 3280-3285 keep buy Below 3275 keep sell #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
6.27 Risk aversion dissipates and gold prices adjust! The range As the Middle East war came to an end, the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market subsided, the risk aversion funds dissipated, and the three major bullish markets of gold, crude oil, and silver all fell downward; at the same time, the US dollar index broke a new low ! Fundamentals: 1: The Middle East war has been temporarily paused, and both sides have entered the adjustment phase; however, irreconcilable contradictions may become the starting point of the next war at any time; although it has ended for now, we must not slack off. Once the two sides are on the verge of a war again, risk aversion will sweep the world again; this is not impossible; This Middle East war came suddenly and ended suddenly; it was like a child's play washing the global financial market; therefore, the possibility of a resumption of war cannot be ruled out in the future; At present, in the overall market: 1: In the short cycle, the gold price fluctuates downward, so in the short term, the short-term decline is seen, and the fluctuation is downward; 2: In terms of trend, the range is temporarily contracted, the BOLL of the daily K is contracted, the speed slows down, and the overall range is back to the range of fluctuations; there is no obvious long and short trend, and it returns to the range of fluctuations; Today's technical trend chart: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a main empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily under pressure from the central axis track of the 4-hour BOLL, and the empty trend continues downward, and the form tends to continue to oscillate downward; therefore, it is recommended to choose the high-altitude approach for 4 hours; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, which is a empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily a broken Yin and Yang pattern, with no obvious trend; BOLL forms a contraction, the range of 3417-3277, the range is mainly in an oscillating trend, and the strong and weak dividing point is near 3347; Comprehensive: The daily K is mainly in an oscillating trend, so it is recommended to deal with it according to the oscillating trend, choose to buy low and sell high; the reference pressure position is near 3347, the support position is near 3295 and 3278; the second pressure position is 3390-3400 pressure position; continue to choose the oscillating approach, and play a oscillating treatment of buying low and selling high;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youFirst, geopolitical dynamics significantly impact gold prices. When Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, tensions in the Middle East eased substantially, causing a rapid cooling of market risk aversion. As gold has long been a favored safe-haven asset, reduced market panic directly diminished demand for gold, triggering price declines. However, the Middle East situation remains highly volatile, and the ceasefire's sustainability is uncertain. If conflicts resume, risk aversion will surge, likely driving gold prices higher. Secondly, Federal Reserve policy trends cannot be overlooked. Fed officials have signaled hawkishness, implying only two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points in 2025—some members even doubt any cuts will occur. This stance pushed the U.S. Dollar Index above 99.6. Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a stronger dollar exerts downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, prompting investors to favor interest-yielding assets over gold, further prices. Technically, gold’s breakdown below the key $3,360 support level triggered stop-loss orders in programmatic trading, leading to a "long liquidation cascade" as panic selling accelerated declines. However, after consecutive drops, stabilizing signals have emerged at key levels. For instance, the daily chart shows critical psychological and technical support near $3,300. The 4-hour chart features a long lower shadow from a recent low and three consecutive green candles, indicating buying support at lower levels. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD sell@3350~3340 SL:3360 TP：3330~3320
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
GOLD GOLD ASIANS SESSION ,the price action of gold faces immediate resistance at 3334.91 descending black trendline backed by ema+sma 100 on 2hr timeframe ,correction from 3295 low yesterday could be seeing buy potential from 3326 and 3318.9 last level. be careful of dips into 3318.9 price level,because it could use broken demand floor as supply roof and continue selling. for a healthy buying ,i expect 3326-3325 to hold buy. US10y stands at 4.30% jumps from 4.28% low yesterday and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5% held steady from fed last monetary policy meeting . cease fire slowing buy momentum and 10 year bond yield on demand floor ,if investors go the bonds way,then gold could be seeing a bearish continuation in a short term, note;the long term direction remains bullish. The Fed Chair, Jerome Powell will speak today and it is expected to emphasize a data-dependent approach to monetary policy amid mixed economic signals. Key points likely to be highlighted: Inflation Outlook: Powell may note that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target but is showing signs of gradual easing, especially in core services and goods prices. Interest Rate Path: The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious stance, signaling that while rate cuts are possible later in 2025, decisions will depend on upcoming economic data, particularly inflation and labor market conditions. Economic Growth: Powell may express concerns about slowing growth and global uncertainties but stress the Fed’s commitment to balancing inflation control with supporting the economy. Housing Market: Given recent housing data, Powell might mention the impact of elevated mortgage rates on housing affordability and sales. Overall, the testimony is expected to reinforce the Fed’s “patient and flexible” approach, leaving markets alert for any shifts in tone regarding the timing of rate cuts. 1. New Home Sales (USD) Forecast: 694,000 units Previous: 743,000 units The forecast anticipates a decline in new home sales compared to the previous month, reflecting ongoing challenges in the housing market primarily due to elevated mortgage rates. Recent reports from Fannie Mae and Zillow indicate that higher mortgage rates (projected to end 2025 around 6.5%) are weighing on home sales, leading to downward revisions in sales forecasts for 2025. Despite some regional variations and slight upticks in existing home sales, the overall trend points to a cooling housing market with slower new home sales growth. However, elevated mortgage rates and a cautious labor market continues to restrain some buyers. 2. Crude Oil Inventories (USD) Forecast: -1.2 million barrels (draw) Previous: -11.5 million barrels (large draw) The forecast expects a smaller inventory draw compared to the previous week’s significant reduction. Inventory draws typically support crude oil prices, but a smaller-than-expected draw could temper price gains. Crude oil inventory data influences energy prices and can indirectly impact inflation expectations and market sentiment. #gold
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD Final GDP q/q Actual: -0.5% Forecast: -0.2% Previous: -0.2% The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated. 2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21) Initial Claims: 236,000 Forecast: 244,000 Previous: 245,000 Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges. 3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +0.5% Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.2% Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment. 4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +16.4% Forecast: +8.6% Previous: -6.3% Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods. 5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025) Actual: 3.7% This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy. Summary of Market Implications: The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy. The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead. Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive. Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook. the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.25% and edge lower from fundamental outlook. gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314. buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAU/USD – Smart Money Building Toward $3360? |26 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning. This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders. 4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & Structure Market Structure Gold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure. Smart Money Insights BOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength. CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish. Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken. Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next. FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone. Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level. Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value. Key Zones Buy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence. Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target. Bias Summary As long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher. 1H View – Precision Entries Structure Following the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern. Smart Money Zones (1H) FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone. Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias. Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation. Trade Setups Long Setup #1 – Optimal Entry Entry: $3308–$3315 Stop: Below $3295 TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full) Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support. Long Setup #2 – Aggressive Entry Entry: $3316–$3320 Stop: $3300 TP: $3340–$3350 Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid. Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction) Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCH Entry: Below $3310 (confirmed) Target: $3295 Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish. Final Notes The bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown. Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
1
Gold Rebounds Slightly After Dropping to 3295📊 Market Update: Gold bounced back to 3320 after dipping to 3295 amid USD strength and rising bond yields. The recovery was fueled by short-covering, but traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 3330 • Nearest Support: 3295 • EMA: Price is hovering near the 09 EMA on the H1 chart → neutral to slightly bullish in short-term correction. • Candle / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles show mild recovery with increased volume, but no clear reversal signal yet. 📌 Outlook: Gold may range between 3295 and 3330 before a breakout, depending on incoming U.S. economic data. A break above 3330 could trigger a short-term rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook🟢 XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook 🕐 Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar – Heikin Ashi The market structure on the 5-minute chart confirms a bullish bias, supported by multiple structural shifts and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) following a valid trading range. 🔍 Key Highlights: After a clear BOS and bullish consolidation, price tapped into the TLQ (True Liquidity Zone) and reacted strongly from the Extreme Zone just above $3,316. The EPA (Entry Point Area) held effectively as a short-term support, fueling a sharp breakout move. The current price has surged past $3,322, pushing into an area of minor resistance near $3,332 – $3,336. The recent price action shows the market is inefficient, which often leads to rebalancing — watch for a potential retrace toward EPA or TLQ before continuation. 📈 Scalping Strategy Note: Traders could look for short-term retracement entries between $3,318 – $3,320, targeting the upper resistance zone while managing risk below $3,316. 📊 Structure: Bullish ✅ Efficiency: Inefficient ❌ (expect potential re-tests) Momentum: Accelerating Trend Bias: Intraday Bullish --- 💬 Scalpers should remain cautious around high volatility zones and news-driven sessions. This chart reflects an excellent model for liquidity-based entries in a trending environment. 📌 Analysis by: Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
GOLD falls after Trump's statement, but skepticism remainsOn Tuesday (June 24) in the Asian market, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to decline. The current price of gold is around 3,340 USD/ounce, down sharply by about 30 USD. Gold traders are awaiting congressional testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as the ceasefire between Iran and Israel takes place. On Monday evening local time, US President Trump announced that Israel and Iran have reached a complete agreement to achieve a comprehensive ceasefire. After Trump announced the news, spot gold prices fell sharply by more than 30 USD in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday, which lasted until the time of writing. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver his semiannual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s two-day congressional testimony starting on Tuesday for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut. The market is now pricing in a 21% chance of a Fed rate cut next month, up from a 14.5% chance on Friday, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Additionally, markets will continue to closely monitor the Iran-Israel conflict to see if the ceasefire can hold. The Israeli military continues to report that Iran has launched ballistic missiles into Israel. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is down and operating around the EMA21 moving average and technically, gold is currently in the best support area. Specifically, gold is operating at the EMA21, the technical indicator is noted as an important support for the short-term uptrend, followed by the horizontal support of 3,320 USD. Combined with the price action position, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, and 50 is now acting as a support in terms of momentum for the possibility of price increase. However, if gold sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it could be bearish, with the next target being the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,228. Therefore, the area of ​​the $3,300 base point is a very important support area for the long-term uptrend. Intraday, with the current position, gold can still increase in price with the short-term target at $3,371 followed by the $3,400 base point. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: $3,300 – $3,292 Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3407 - 3405⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3411 →Take Profit 1 3399 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3393 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3300 →Take Profit 1 3312 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3318
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
6.23 Gold Short-term Technical AnalysisStimulated by geopolitical conflicts such as the US airstrike on Iran's nuclear facilities on Monday, gold opened $24 higher at 3398 in the early trading. However, it failed to continue the upward trend and quickly fell back to the 3360-65 area. Retrieve all the gains! Technical analysis: 4-hour head and shoulders top pattern: right shoulder 3373 neckline 3340 MACD dead cross diverges downward Bollinger band opening expansion and price running near the lower track, short-term trend is bearish, and the daily line is still in the rising channel! Short-term operation: SELL: 3375\3385 Stop loss: 3390 $1:3360 $2:3340 BUY: 3338\3345 Stop loss: 3353 $1:3380 $2:3400 Operation suggestion: High-altitude is the main, low-multiple is the radiation
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
Gold Market Weekly: Analysis & OutlookI. Market Trends and Institutional Game Analysis This week, the gold price exhibited a typical volatile downward pattern, starting its correction from $3,450 on Monday and hitting an intraday low of $3,340 on Friday before rebounding sharply to around $3,370 ahead of the close. This movement essentially represents a "market washing" maneuver by institutions leveraging the short-term lull in Middle East tensions, with bears repeatedly attempting to push prices down by $10–$20 per round. However, each decline encountered significant resistance, starkly contrasting with the unilateral drop in April. Order flow characteristics indicate that bearish momentum has notably attenuated, with low-level selling appearing as a deliberately constructed "bear trap"—a signal reinforcing the unbroken medium-term upward trend of gold. II. Macro-fundamental Support for Gold's Resilience 1.Escalating U.S. Fiscal CrisisThe U.S. fiscal deficit has reached $1.4 trillion annually, and even the $80 billion revenue increment from tariff wars remains negligible in this context. More critically, the Trump administration’s proposed "Big Infrastructure Bill" is projected to add $4 trillion to the deficit, fundamentally eroding the credit of U.S. Treasuries and the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power. Historical data shows that fiscal deficit monetization consistently drives surges in gold’s safe-haven demand, meaning a decisive peak in gold prices remains unlikely until the deficit issue is resolved. 2.Hidden Geopolitical Risks in the Middle EastThe conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase, with Iran adopting a hardline stance in negotiations—demanding not only an immediate ceasefire from Israel but also accountability for war initiators and the retention of nuclear rights. Should the situation escalate abruptly over the weekend, the $110 correction seen this week could be fully reversed on the first trading day of next week. III. Investment Strategy: Capitalize on the "Correction Entry" Window The market currently exhibits the trait of "limited downside, unlimited upside": geopolitical risks and U.S. dollar depreciation expectations underpin gold’s floor, while unpriced macro uncertainties leave upward potential open. For investors, this correction presents an optimal opportunity to establish medium-to-long-term long positions. We recommend batch entry between $3,350–$3,380, targeting the $3,500 psychological level, with a stop-loss set below $3,320 to mitigate short-term volatility. Risk Warning : Closely monitor developments in the Middle East over the weekend and the pace of U.S. fiscal bill implementation, as sudden events may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control. Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading. Tactical plan: — Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335 — Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195 — Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline) When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades