GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD 08/05 | The JW Trade Centre Precision. Patience. Profit.XAUUSD 08/05
The JW Trade Centre
Precision. Patience. Profit.
Article Submission; Jordan Webb, Senior Analyst and Consultant FT and CS, TV.
Gold Volatility Erupts - XAU/USD Sheds Over 120 Points in Wild Intra-Day Swing
Date: 08 May 2025
21:17 UK Time | Price: 3308
XAU/USD delivered a day of extraordinary volatility, swinging 126 points from peak to trough within a 19-hour window. This type of high-magnitude price action highlights growing sensitivity to macro shifts, liquidity changes, and technical breakdowns.
What Triggered the Volatility in Gold Today?
1. Dollar Strength
The US Dollar Index surged past 105.60, breaking multi-day resistance and triggering flows out of gold. A combination of hawkish Fed tone and sticky inflation concerns may have underpinned this move.
2. Bond Yields Spike
A surge in US 10Y real yields decreased the appeal of gold, which offers no yield. Fast intraday rises in yields are typically met with aggressive gold selling.
3. Liquidity Vacuum + Gamma Flip
Following yesterday’s compressed range, today’s structural break triggered algo-driven volatility and likely options-related gamma flows. Once gold lost 3340, momentum snowballed into a stop cascade.
4. Position Unwinding
The 3435 high earlier this week appears to be a local top. Institutional positioning looks to be unwinding, especially ahead of critical US CPI data and further Fed rhetoric.
What’s Next for Gold?
Gold is currently testing a fragile support zone at 3300–3310. A firm break lower could see price rapidly spill toward 3282, with extension risk down to 3264 — both being institutional demand zones from April.
Key Technical Levels Noted
Current Bias (21:17 UK Time)
Short-term view: Bearish
Price trading below VWAP and daily mid
Structure below 3364/3340 remains broken
Dollar and yields both holding firm = bearish drag on gold
Trade Set Up
Sell into 3318-3322
Set Stop Loss at zone 3332
Staggered Take Profit 3288 zone 1, and Take Profit 3264 as per above.
Gold appears to of lost it’s bullish structure, trade deal today announced with UK/US, improved dollar strength, DXY and US10Y, which are correlated to Dollar performance, and as gold is usually save haven amidst any trade deal, the rational to short overnight, targets further downside potential as sellers defend rallies into the broken support zone.
Could gold rekindle post US session Close?
Unlikely, but see below:
US Session profit taking, 130 point flush in last 24 hours, over 1k pips! Short term traders may cover positions and protect price into the NY Close.
Asia often buys dips, if no major risk overnight, 3300/3288 will be achievable.
If DXY rebounds or stalls, perhaps gold could go for a run/technical bid.
Over sold conditions, short term relief bounce to 3332 wouldn’t surprise me.
However with that said, I do remain Bearish for now.
Structure remains broken, 3340-3364, still well above price and Gold is under the former support level.
Yields and Dollar are still elevated and showing no signs of any reversal.
Price struggling to hold over 3310, if bulls had control, we’ve be seeing a elevated price now US session winds down.
Asia is so unpredictable, whilst they may drive bids, they also sell hard if US Direction is dominant, like today where we’ve had complete upheaval on the charts.
My strategy explained!
Short bias on 3318-3322, with a tight SL of 10 points (100 pips from your entry whichever you catch)
Key here not to sell blindly until we see a pop up to 3318/22. This is our entry before Asia takes over. If price surpasses our zone, and reclaims and holds to 3336/40, bias completely flips back to neutral / bullish, trade invalid.
A mild late session bounce is likely, but until we see a reclaimed structure, that’s our trigger for the sell rally market. This is not a buy the dip idea. The reason I say that is because
We are in mid range, not support or resistance.
No clear confluence, price not reclaimed any structure or broken lower.
We don’t sell here after the move has happened from previous session and certainly not long as we’d be buying into uncertainty.
I advised a wait for bounce into 3318-3322, await price settle, then short if price does not break and hold over 3322.
Then..
If you’re looking to enter on the long, post sell, you must wait to see if price bounces off 3288, and holds, and then long of 3336 is in sight.
I call current zone - no mans land, as blasé as it sounds, we don’t have the answer we need on the technical or fundamental side. So be smart. I have a reminder set for 3318 tonight, and every .5 above that to 3322, so I can enter the trade should price reach our marked zone. Likewise if we don’t see a pop and price moves to 3288 from current 3308, and await to see if price holds or breaks further for a sell to TP2.
I hope this has proved informative and constructive to your trading regime and strategy.
Have a blessed evening.
JW
Gold long From 3224$Gold long from 3224.
Targeting that 3275 level .
I still think we hit that level before going further to the downside.
GOLD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GOLD went down sharply
And hit a horizontal support
Area around 3206$ from where
We will be expecting a local
Rebound therefore we can
Enter a long trade with the
TP of 3266$ and the SL of 3191$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Range CautionGold: Trapped in mid-range. Safer play is buying dips from the range low in trend direction. Reversal attempts are fading—use wider stops for deeper limit entries.
XAUUSD 1HYour chart appears to show the XAU/USD (Gold to US Dollar) pair with a clear downtrend. Here are a few observations:
1. Trendlines & Resistance:
The chart has red downward sloping trendlines, indicating a descending channel or downtrend.
Multiple rejection points (marked by arrows) confirm strong resistance.
2. Breakout & Forecast:
The price seems to have touched the upper trendline and then dropped, respecting the trend.
A blue projection line suggests a bearish continuation, targeting around 3,100.361.
3. Price Action & Volume:
The price is currently around 3,182, having made a sharp drop.
If it breaks below the recent low, the downtrend may accelerate.
4. Support Zone:
There's a possible support near the 3,100 mark.
Watch for price behavior there; a bounce or breakdown will signal the next move.
Would you like a technical analysis of this setup (e.g., entry/exit strategy, stop loss, or risk-reward ratio)?
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPI Data📊 Technical Overview
1. Key Levels
Support Zone: ~$3,224 to ~$3,236 (highlighted yellow box) — price has bounced here multiple times (green arrows), indicating strong demand.
Resistance Zone: ~$3,420 to ~$3,440 — where price previously reversed (upper yellow box).
CPI News Target: ~$3,348 — identified as a potential bullish target on CPI-related momentum.
2. EMAs
50 EMA (Red): ~$3,299 – currently above price, acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (Blue): ~$3,224 – at the lower edge of support, reinforcing the critical support zone.
3. Price Action
Strong bounce from support shows bullish reaction.
There is a potential double bottom or accumulation pattern forming at support.
The bullish target is around $3,348 (CPI news reaction zone).
🧠 Trading Idea
✅ Bullish Scenario
Entry: Near current price ($3,236), ideally on confirmation of support holding.
Target: $3,348 (CPI news target zone).
Stop Loss: Below $3,224 (below the 200 EMA and last swing low).
Risk/Reward: Favorable if the bounce is strong and momentum builds with upcoming U.S. news (likely CPI data).
❌ Bearish Scenario
If price closes below $3,224, especially on strong volume, it may signal a breakdown.
Watch for a retest and failure of support-turned-resistance for short entries.
🔔 News Catalyst
U.S. CPI data (highlighted) on the calendar — this is likely to inject volatility. A hot CPI could strengthen USD and pressure gold, while a cool CPI could lift gold prices sharply toward the $3,348 target.
📌 Summary
Bias: Short-term bullish above $3,224.
Key Levels: Support ($3,224–$3,236), Resistance ($3,348, then $3,420–$3,440).
Strategy: Buy dips near support, watch CPI news for breakout potential.
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Imminent? Channel Support Holding StrongGold is currently respecting a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. After a recent correction, price has bounced off the lower boundary of the channel near $3,200—signaling potential bullish continuation.
Key Observations:
Trend: Bullish structure intact with higher highs and higher lows.
Support Zone: Price reacted strongly to the lower channel line, showing buying interest.
Resistance Target: Next short-term resistance lies around $3,300–$3,320 (mid-channel), with a possible rally toward $3,400 if momentum holds.
Price Action: Bullish engulfing patterns starting to emerge near support.
Upcoming US Data: Watch for high-impact economic news on May 15–17, which could drive volatility.
My Bias:
If the channel support holds, I’m bullish on XAU/USD with a short-term target near $3,320 and extended target around $3,390–$3,400.
Confirmation Needed:
Strong bullish candle close above $3,260
RSI crossover or MACD histogram flipping positive (not shown here but useful to check)
Risk Management:
Entry: Above $3,260
SL: Below $3,200
TP1: $3,320
TP2: $3,390
What do you think? Will gold bounce or break the trend? Drop your thoughts below!
GOLD Swing Long!
HI,Traders !
GOLD has made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 3205.77 and we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
From where we will be
Expecting further move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GOLD THIS is valid to day and tomorrow ,the only way to trade GOLD is based on cautious wait and see approach.
XAUUSD Hits FVG in Premium Zone — Bearish Setup in Play!📉 XAUUSD (Gold) has just tapped into a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a clean, impulsive rally — now we’re watching for Smart Money distribution and a potential reversal from this high-risk premium area.
📊 Chart Insights:
✅ Price retraced into the FVG zone between $3,225 – $3,240
✅ This zone aligns with the 79% Fibonacci retracement, making it a premium zone for shorts
✅ Market structure shows previous bearish impulse → this could be a retracement before continuation
✅ Current PA is reacting to the imbalance left on the drop
✅ Massive downside potential to rebalance price near $3,120
🧠 Smart Money Confluence:
FVGs are often rebalanced after price trades away impulsively
The retrace into this inefficient pricing zone is classic Smart Money mitigation
Price now sits in an area where institutions may look to offload long positions
📍 Potential Play:
Short Entry Zone: $3,225 – $3,240
Targets:
TP1: $3,200
TP2: $3,170 (mid-level liquidity)
TP3: $3,120 (full FVG fill and higher TF draw)
Invalidation: Clean break and hold above $3,240
💡 Pro Tip:
Watch for a lower timeframe structure shift (15m/5m) or confirmation candle to stack entries. The market loves to sweep highs before the real move begins — patience pays. 🧠💰
📈 This setup offers 3:1+ RR and aligns with Smart Money’s tendency to sell into imbalance and hunt liquidity below.
💬 Comment “Gold Setup” if you’re trading this one!
🔁 Share or save if you're watching for the drop.
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,202.52.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,258.41 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold has broken below the key level of 3200Before the U.S. trading session on Wednesday, spot gold saw a sharp short-term decline, plummeting by $50 in just 3 hours and breaking below the $3,200 mark.👉👉👉
Recently, the global financial markets have shown significant fluctuations due to tariff - related news. Over the weekend, China and the United States reached an agreement in Geneva to suspend the imposition of tariffs for 90 days. This news has effectively alleviated market concerns about a global economic recession, and global stock markets have risen in response, with risk - appetite sentiment heating up.
For short-term gold trading ideas, it's recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds and supplement with longing on pullbacks. Key short-term resistance to watch above is the 3200-3205 level, while key short-term support to focus on below is the 3150-3155 level.
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3200-3195
sl 3220
tp 3170-3175
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
Gold update Don't worry, we are going up we are not the market makers we move like them .they will play mind games until you panic and go out of the market but they will never leave without sweeping orders
Gold 100% Profit SignalWith the sharp drop on Monday, gold will not be as strong as before, but don't forget that the overall gold price is still bullish. It is currently an adjustment under the big cycle, which I have always emphasized. It opened lower on Monday, and this situation has definitely weakened. The market outlook needs to observe whether it will continue. Today, the market is looking for support near 3200, but it can also turn strong at any time under the current market conditions. After all, the big cycle is still bullish. After waiting for the small cycle adjustment to end, it is likely to return to the bullish trend. From the short-term, it has now rebounded to around 3240 near the 3200 mark for rectification. The upper short-term pressure is near 3300 and 3260. If it does not break this position, it will first fluctuate downward. Once it stands firmly above this position, the market outlook can still see 3350-3400. In short-term operations, first use 3260 as a stop loss and short at highs below. First look at this wave of callback profits, and then look at the support of the previous low point of 3200 below. If it breaks, we expect the downward trend to continue. If it doesn't break, we will go long on the reverse. Then, based on the support situation at 3200, we will choose the opportunity to go long and arrange a long-term bullish plan.
For short-term gold trading, you can do short-term shorts below 790, and the support below is around 760. Then consider going long. Rongtong Gold and Accumulated Gold are long-term products. From a long-term perspective, they are still rising. Let's wait for this wave of decline to complete the bottoming. Currently, it is still fluctuating in the range, with support below at 750 and pressure above at 790 and 810. So you can consider entering the market in batches at 750-770. If you have long orders, just continue to hold them. In the future, we will look at 800 or above when the market rises.
May 12, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
From a broader perspective, gold is in a downward trend. The main strategy remains to short on resistance pullbacks.
Long trades require confirmation across multiple timeframes. Once in profit, trail your stop to breakeven or better.
Key Levels to Watch:
3320: Resistance
3300: Psychological round-number resistance
3289: Key intraday resistance
3275: Support
3267: Major support
3255: Support
3245: Support
3238: Support
Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
For Shorts:
Enter a SELL if price breaks below 3275.
First target 3267, then 3259, 3255, and 3250.
For Longs:
Enter a BUY if price holds above 3280.
First target 3289, then 3291, 3298, and 3300.
Gold May be in Bullish Direction from a Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Trend Analysis for Next WeekGold continued its downward trend in yesterday's morning session, but in the evening, it experienced a long-short washout and returned to the 3,200 mark, closing with a small bearish candle on the daily chart. The question now is whether the daily chart will form consecutive declines. Looking at the daily rhythm, the high points have been declining, which means that after encountering resistance at the three-point line vertex resistance level, it is prone to forming a secondary inflection point for a downward trend. This implies that a pullback should still be expected next week.
Regarding the future direction, short-term bearish sentiment will remain the theme! Overall, the gold price is undergoing a retest during the 4-hour rebound. If the rebound fails to break through the resistance, the decline will continue, and the downward trend will persist. Since the bearish inflection point turned downward from the high, the current bearish trend is still extending downward.
Before the bears reach the key node where bulls build a bottom, rebounds remain opportunities to go short as the main rhythm.
XAU/USD
sell@3210-3220
tp:3180-3160
sl:3230
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Sell opportunityGold (XAU/USD) 4H Short Setup – Supply Zone Rejection & Bearish Momentum
Gold has rejected from the 3,210–3,222 supply zone and shows renewed bearish momentum on the 4H chart. The setup offers a solid risk/reward ratio of 3.61 with a short bias targeting previous demand at 3,124.
📍 Entry: 3,209.98
🎯 Target: 3,124.11
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,234.16
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.61
📆 Expected Duration: 5 days
🔍 Key Technical Confluence:
Volume Profile Resistance: Rejection from high-volume node near 3,220
Supply Zone Reaction: Clean reversal from last bearish imbalance
Squeeze Momentum (SQZMOM): Continuation of bearish histogram, suggesting downside pressure
Price Structure: Lower-high formation aligns with overall bearish structure
GOLD/USD bullish setup is suggested price is expected to bounce 1. Chart Type
This is a candlestick chart showing price movement of gold over time.
2. Annotations and Tools Used
Harmonic Patterns: The chart displays a pattern resembling a Gartley or ABCD pattern, labeled with points X, A, B, C, D.
ChoCh and BOS:
ChoCh = Change of Character (suggests trend shift).
BOS = Break of Structure (used to identify trend continuations or reversals).
FVG: Fair Value Gaps are marked, which represent potential zones of price imbalance and areas of interest for traders.
Sell and Buy Zones:
Red "SELL" labels at the top show where past selling positions were suggested.
On the right, a Buy Entry Zone is marked in green, suggesting a potential reversal zone.
Target Zone: Shown in blue-green at the top right, indicating where the price might reach if the trade idea plays out.
3. Trade Idea
Entry: Around 3,110–3,115
Target: Around 3,328
Stop Loss (implied): Below 3,100
A bullish setup is suggested: price is expected to bounce from the current zone and head upward toward the target.
4. Indicators
No indicators like RSI or MACD are shown; analysis seems to be based purely on price action, structure, and patterns.
5. General Context
The price action is being analyzed using smart money concepts or Wyckoff-style analysis, with terms like BOS and ChoCh reflecting institutional trading behavior.
GOLD SELL TRADE SETUP Gold low risk sell setup set limit according to your capital use proper risk management
