GOLD trade ideas
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trade Plan for June 6, 2025
🔍 Current Wave Structure
Yesterday's sharp and impulsive drop suggests a completed 5-wave structure for wave c (red) within a larger flat correction (abc red).
However, this morning's bullish move lacks momentum — candles are overlapping and price has failed to break above the 3383 level. This casts doubt on the current wave being the beginning of a new impulsive trend.
🌀 Scenario 1 – Beginning of a New Impulsive Wave
The current bullish leg may be wave 1, forming as a leading diagonal due to overlapping candles.
Projected target for wave 1: 3380. A pullback from this level could form wave 2, offering a potential long entry around 3347–3344.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Continuation of a Larger Wave 2 Correction
If price drops back toward 3324, this would invalidate the current impulsive wave count as wave 4 would overlap wave 1 (black) → A larger corrective structure is still unfolding.
The current bounce may then be interpreted as wave a of a larger abc corrective move, suggesting a further decline to come.
🎯 Trading Strategy (Confluence of Both Scenarios)
Sell Zone: 3380–3383 → short-term selling opportunity based on potential wave 1 peak or wave b top.
Buy Zone: 3347–3344 → potential entry if wave 2 completes here (Scenario 1) or wave b ends here (Scenario 2).
📈 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is fading but a confirmed bearish close today is needed. If confirmed, at least 4 more bearish daily candles may follow.
H4: Momentum is rising, suggesting more upside or sideways consolidation in the short term.
H1: Momentum is about to turn bearish. Ideally, we wait for it to dip into oversold territory and reverse upward — that would be our signal to go long.
🛒 Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3347 – 3344
🎯 SL: 3337
🎯 TP1: 3365
🎯 TP2: 3380
🎯 TP3: 3404 (if bullish scenario plays out)
SELL ZONE: 3383 – 3386
🎯 SL: 3393
🎯 TP1: 3365
🎯 TP2: 3347
XAUUSD Bearish Setup! OB Rejection + FVG + 61.8% Fib PremiumGold (XAUUSD) | 4H Chart – High-Probability Bearish Setup
XAUUSD is setting up for a bearish move as price taps into a premium zone confluence, including an Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders will recognize this setup as a textbook scenario for a bearish continuation toward a Weak Low target.
🔍 SMC Breakdown:
Market Structure:
The market has shifted bearish after breaking the previous low and forming a lower high. The internal structure confirms bearish order flow, giving us confidence in continuation to the downside.
Liquidity & Inefficiency Play:
Recent sweep of buy-side liquidity above minor highs.
Rejection at premium pricing indicates Smart Money has triggered sell programs.
Internal liquidity pools were engineered and swept, confirming manipulation.
Entry Confluence Zone (Kill Zone):
🔴 Order Block (OB):
3,372 – 3,380 — bearish OB formed before strong impulse move.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Perfect overlap with the OB, leaving a gap that price has now rebalanced into.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 3,373
70.5% = 3,377
79% = 3,380
This entire zone aligns with institutional premium pricing — the high-probability reversal range.
📉 Bearish Projection:
Expecting price to reject from OB/FVG zone and move toward the discount zone, targeting unmitigated lows and imbalance fills.
Key Downside Targets:
50% = 3,368
Full Extension = 3,333 (Aligned with Weak Low)
This level also sits near the 0.00% Fib level — a clean liquidity magnet.
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry: 3,373 – 3,380 (OB + FVG + Fib Premium)
🔻 Stop Loss: Above 3,381 (invalidate OB)
📉 Take Profit: 3,333 (Weak Low + Fib Completion)
⚖ RRR: ~1:4+ — high-confluence sniper setup
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
You're not trading random candles — you're trading intentional liquidity shifts.
This setup screams Smart Money footprint: OB rejection + inefficiency fill + premium pricing.
Be the sniper — not the trigger-happy retail trader. 🥷🎯
📍 Save this setup before it plays out — backtest and learn from it!
🔁 Drop your analysis below – agree or see it differently?
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily institutional-grade setups on Gold & more!
XAUUSD on consolidation Market is in sideways creating rangbound 3350-3380
What possible scenario we have?
im expecting that market will consolidate till ny session withthe range 3350-3380 then BreakOut on one side. I'm watching gold on bullish momentum 3335 is again the good entry point if its fall.
Additionally: if gold breaks through 3380- 3385 we will continue to buy and look at 3400 above (3415-3440).
We have previous Neutral zone 3280-3330 ,if market break below 3330 then we'll again have 3280-3330 zone.
#XAUUSD
Gold points to 3400, madness before data release.Market analysis:
Gold fell slightly to around 3361 in early trading on Wednesday. After falling to around 3346, it quickly rose to around 3372, then was blocked and fluctuated and fell. It fell to 3344 in the European session and then rebounded. It rose strongly to 3384 in the US session and fluctuated above 3370 in the late trading.
The daily line of gold showed a trend of alternating yin and yang. But the overall trend was upward. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average formed a golden cross and extended upward, which provided moving average support for the gold price, allowing gold to maintain a strong and volatile trend. At present, the 5-day moving average is around 3352, and the 10-day moving average is around 3335. The first thing to pay attention to is the resistance of Tuesday's high of 3392. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to continue the bullish trend.
In terms of points, first pay attention to the support near MA5/MAA10 below, and focus on the support of MA20 moving average. The downward exploration on Tuesday and Wednesday both defended the MA20 moving average position. Above this, it is treated as a strong shock. Secondly, pay attention to the support near 3335, which is the low point on Tuesday and the key to the short-term structure. Secondly, pay attention to the support near 3335, which is the low point on Tuesday and the key to the short-term structure. First pay attention to the resistance near 3395 above, and then pay attention to the resistance near 3415 and 3430, which are the previous high points.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3395, stop loss 3410, profit range 3380-3360
Long near 3360, stop loss 3350, profit range 3375-3380-3390-3400.
GOLD: Short Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3365.4
Stop Loss - 3372.6
Take Profit - 3352.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. We had news that was not good for the dollar but we are still in an area that I am not looking to trade in. I am waiting to see if we push up and out of this zone or move back down. Patience is key. I have taken zero trades thus far. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
BEST XAUUSD M30 SELL SETUPNFOR TODAY 📉 Gold Analysis Summary – Bearish Setup Alert ⚠️
Gold is currently showing signs of weakness after a strong bullish push. A Change of Character (CHOCH) has confirmed a potential shift in trend. Price is approaching a supply zone (highlighted in purple), and rejection from this level could trigger a downward move. 🔄 The projected path suggests a potential lower high formation, followed by a drop towards the 3,348 and 3,331 key demand levels. 🧠 Watch for bearish confirmation near resistance before entering short positions. 📊💥
BULLISH STRONG FROM KEY SUPPORT BULLISH FVG FILL OANDA:XAUUSD Trade Setup – Bullish Play in Action! 🚨
Gold (XAU/USD) showing strong bullish momentum from key support at 3345, respecting the Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 30-minute timeframe. 📈
✅ Structure confirms a solid bounce
✅ Momentum building from demand zone
🎯 Targeting 3400 short-term
This is one to watch closely 👀
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— Livia 💋✨
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD_10M_BuyAnas Gold Analysis
Elliott Wave Analysis Style
Short-term Time Frame and Scalping
Position Type from Buy to Sell
Main and Important Support Level $3355
Given the completion of 5 downwaves and the formation of the corner pattern, by maintaining the main support and breaking the pattern upwards, it can enter the upwave and move towards $3376 and $3382
If the announced resistance is crossed, the rise towards $3404 and $3414 will continue.
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🔍 Chart Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on a mid-term time frame, highlighting a potential bullish breakout scenario from a key resistance zone.
🟩 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 🛡️
➤ $3,140 – $3,200
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times, preventing further declines and serving as a springboard for bullish moves.
Breakout Zone (Current Level): ⚡
➤ $3,340 – $3,390
Price is currently testing this crucial resistance-turned-potential-breakout zone. A successful close above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
First Target: 🎯
➤ $3,435.87
This intermediate resistance aligns with a previously tested high. It may act as the first barrier after the breakout.
Second Target: 🥇
➤ $3,502.13
This is the major resistance zone. If bulls maintain momentum, this area will likely be tested.
🧭 Market Structure & Bias:
Price is forming higher lows, signaling growing bullish strength.
The chart shows a bullish breakout of a sideways consolidation zone.
The upward arrows and curved projection suggest a potential pullback-retest scenario at the breakout level before rallying towards targets.
🧠 Trading Plan (Illustrated by Chart):
📈 Breakout Entry:
Wait for confirmation above $3,390 with strong bullish candles and volume.
🔁 Retest Opportunity:
If price pulls back to the breakout zone ($3,340 – $3,390), this may serve as a solid re-entry point for long positions.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,435
TP2: $3,502
🛑 Invalidation:
A strong close back below $3,320 may invalidate the bullish bias.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart indicates a bullish continuation setup for XAU/USD with clearly defined breakout, retest, and target zones. Traders should monitor price action closely around the breakout area for confirmation before entering long positions. Risk management remains key. 🧮⚖️
Gold at Resistance into June Open- Decision Time for the BullsGold is poised to mark the largest single-day advance in nearly a month with XAU/USD stretching back into resistance at 3355/80- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the April decline and the record high-day reversal close. Looking for a reaction off this mark with a close above the median-line needed to fuel a run towards the record high-close at 3431 and the all-time high at 3500.
Weekly / monthly open support rests at 3289 with key support / medium-term bullish invalidation now raised to the 61.8% retracement of the May rally near 3219.
-MB
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just taking a look at the 4 hour and it is ugly. As stated on the chart, this is nothing I am trying to speculate a trade on. I will wait for to see what the overnight sessions bring. Plus, I never trade the 1st day of the month. Taking a trade, for me, isn't just buying or selling and hoping it goes my way. Patience is key. I'll wait a week or more for a trade set up. Day, time, what market (London, Asian, NY), as well as news, where the dollar is and so on. Never forget that for you to win a trade, someone has to lose. All I do as a day trader is try to catch the wave ride with good scalp trade set ups. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and thanks for reading this. Trade the trend and never force or rush a trade.
XAUUSD LEVELSBased on this chart, here are the potential **Buy** and **Sell** levels for a **swing trade**:
### **Buy Levels:**
1. **3,240.00** – This appears to be a support zone where the price has previously held. If the price retests this level and shows a bounce, it could be a good buying opportunity.
2. **3,200.00** – A stronger support level where the price may reverse upward. If the price touches this level and rebounds, consider entering a long position.
### **Sell Levels:**
1. **3,520.00** – This seems to be a resistance zone where the price has faced rejection before. If the price reaches this level and shows signs of reversal, it could be a good sell opportunity.
2. **3,560.00** – A stronger resistance level where the price may reverse downward. If the price tests this level and gets rejected, consider a short position.
### **Stop Loss:**
- **For Buy Trades:** Below **3,180.00** (just under 3,200.00)
- **For Sell Trades:** Above **3,580.00** (just above 3,560.00)
### **Take Profit Targets:**
- **For Buy Trades:** **3,400.00** & **3,520.00**
- **For Sell Trades:** **3,320.00** & **3,240.00**
This analysis is based on visible **support & resistance** levels from the chart. Before taking any trades, confirm with additional indicators (like RSI, MACD) and market conditions. Always manage risk appropriately.
Gold Analysis Weekly (XAU/USD) – Bullish Pennant + Target🔍 Overview:
The XAU/USD (Gold) chart is displaying a textbook Pennant Pattern, and we are witnessing a powerful bullish breakout from this structure. This is a great example of how price consolidates before continuing its larger trend — in this case, upward.
Let’s break down each major component of the pattern and price behavior:
🧩 1. The Pennant Pattern – Continuation Structure
A Pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where price creates lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle-like shape. This structure reflects market indecision, but it’s usually a pause before continuation.
In our case:
The rally in March–April built the flagpole
The April–May consolidation formed the pennant
The recent breakout signals trend continuation
🎭 2. Fake First Move – Classic Trap!
One of the key traits of pennants is the initial fake breakout—and that’s exactly what happened here.
The chart shows an early bearish break, which was a liquidity grab or fake move meant to trap retail traders who entered short too early.
Smart money often uses such tactics to create imbalance and then reverse the market in the opposite direction.
🔄 3. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Following the fake move, price reversed aggressively, breaking internal structure and forming a Major Change of Character (CHoCH).
This was the first signal that the bulls were back in control and that the bearish pressure was only temporary.
🧱 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) & Trendline Break
The decisive move came next — when price broke above the upper trendline of the pennant and took out previous highs.
This break is what we call a Major BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market is shifting from consolidation back into trend mode.
The breakout was backed by momentum candles, indicating institutional activity.
🎯 5. Target Zone: $3,700–$3,750 (Reversal Area)
Using the measured move technique (height of the flagpole projected from breakout point), the calculated target zone lies between $3,700 and $3,750.
This area is also marked as a potential reversal or profit-taking zone, so we might expect:
Partial pullback
Sideways action
Or even a deeper correction before continuation
📚 Key Technical Insights:
Component Observation
Pattern Bullish Pennant
First Move Bearish Fakeout
Confirmation Signal CHoCH + BOS
Trendline Break Yes, confirmed
Target Zone $3,700 – $3,750
Current Price ~$3,290 (at time of writing)
Bias Strong Bullish (short to mid-term)
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
“The first move is often the fake move.”
This is a golden rule in trading consolidation patterns like triangles and pennants. Always wait for confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) before committing capital to a trade. This strategy avoids traps and puts you on the right side of the market.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a successful bullish pennant breakout, and all key confirmations are in place.
We’re now eyeing the $3,700–$3,750 zone as the next target — with the potential for either reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts.
Keep an eye on this chart — the next few sessions could offer great setups for both swing and position traders.
Gold (XAUUSD) long on the H4 timeframeI am anticipating a Gold (XAUUSD) long on the H4 timeframe. I might be wrong though, I do however have a strong feeling that the analysis I have made might turn out to be correct based on the previous levels being respected and the Elliot wave pattern being respected too. Please correct me if I have overlooked anything.