CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINEntry Point: ~3,395.000
Current Price: 3,393.185
Stop Loss: 3,400.000
Take Profit 1: Slightly above 3,385
Take Profit 2: 3,380.000
Last Target (Take Profit 3): 3,370.000
STOP LOSS 3400 👍🏼
TECHNICALLY ANALYSIS SATUP ✅
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT ✅
GOLD trade ideas
Interpretation of technical analysis of gold market opening operDue to the influence of Easter, the market was closed on Friday this week. After hitting a high of 3357, gold also ushered in a short-term adjustment! In the previous interpretation, we also emphasized to everyone that after hitting a new high, we should guard against the pullback caused by profit-taking. Especially at the critical time point when the market is about to close, but this does not mean the end of the bullish trend. After the sharp rise in gold, although there is selling pressure, gold still rose by 2.5% this week and closed above 3300.
So how should we trade gold next week?
The biggest driving factor for the rise in gold prices this time is Trump’s repeated tariff policy, coupled with the recent tense geopolitical situation, and the pace of global central banks buying gold. In the medium and long term, it is still a driving force for gold to rise.
Short-term operation: Pay attention to the first support level, which is 3310, which has been touched many times.
Short-term key support below: 3285-90
Short-term focus on high points above: 3340-45
If the breakthrough accelerates to the historical high point, everyone should be cautious in chasing more!
On April 21st, gold bottomed out and rebounded, making a deep diIn the short-term trend, the pullback on Thursday halted at 3,284 and did not reach the vicinity of the support level of 3,245, which was converted from the previous high as we had predicted. Thus, the support level can be shifted upwards to 3,285. Regarding the upper resistance, attention should be paid to the suppression situation of the historical high at 3,357. If the news over the weekend, especially the statements regarding the trade conflicts and those from Trump, continue to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, it will significantly increase the probability of a rise in the price of gold.
From a comprehensive analysis perspective, it is still recommended to focus on going long on pullbacks for the trading operations next week. As for the entry points, the first one is at 3,310. This level serves as a stepped support level for the high-level pullback and also as a retracement point during the rebound. Therefore, it can be used as an entry point to bet on an upward movement. Mainly focus on the suppression at the high point of 3,357 above. If the price continues to break through this level, it is expected that the price can reach up to 3,509.
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
XAUUSD 1HGold Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
The market faces a critical test at 3340.
A confirmed break and stabilization above this level would invalidate today's analysis and shift the trend bullish.
However, based on precise mathematical modeling, the expectation is clear:
The market is likely to fail in breaking above 3340, opening the way for a strong bearish move toward:
3235
3170
3130
Stay disciplined, trust the math, and move with confidence.
In a world full of uncertainty, we follow certainty.
Stay with me!
GOLD | Monthly Chart – Uncharted Territory
We are officially in price discovery.
🔱 Gold has broken out of its multi-decade consolidation range and closed above the previous highs with conviction.
💰 $3,500 is now within reach — a major extension target sitting at the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
🟨 The yellow zone was the key resistance area that capped price action for nearly 13 years — now acting as a powerful base for potential continuation.
📊 This chart is a reminder: when historical resistance gives way, it’s not just a breakout — it’s a paradigm shift.
Will a false breakdown in support lead to growth?The current trading range is 3275-3290. Since the opening, the price has been fluctuating in a small range. There was no news on Friday, so the price may regain its upward momentum after retesting the liquidity and support area of 3270-3285.
Gold prices are currently stable around $3280, but the US dollar has curbed the rise of gold prices.
Gold prices have held their ground after recovering, but the strengthening of the US dollar and hopes for progress in tariff war negotiations have limited further gains in gold prices…
Optimism about US corporate earnings and fears of a recession are easing, supporting demand for the US dollar. However, the continued uncertainty in Sino-US relations has kept interest in gold strong.
The market is waiting for new signals from the White House and the Federal Reserve, which will determine the further trend of gold prices.
Focus on the support trading range. A false break of 3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth.
No news today, except for the unpredictable situation of Trump and the tariff war in general. Any speech or tweet could shake the market.
However, gold prices remain range-bound after a lackluster week.
Quaid recommended:
The market fluctuates sideways today. You can try short-term trading. Look at 10 points for each upward callback and perform scalping transactions in this range.
XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview
The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450
First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250
Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130
Indicators
EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone.
Price Action Insight
Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back.
A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion.
The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50.
Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart)
Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450).
Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection.
Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200).
If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100).
Strategic Notes
📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance.
🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance.
🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend.
🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090.
Conclusion
Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
Topping Out or Temporary Pullback?Market Analysis (Daily Chart View):
The Daily chart indicates that price has declined after reaching a record all-time high and reacting from the upper boundary of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. Both the Weekly and Monthly charts remain in extreme overbought conditions, suggesting caution. Additionally, the upward trend across all three timeframes—Monthly, Weekly, and Daily—is unusually steep and unsustainable.
Such steep trends often lead to parabolic spikes, typically seen near the end of a trend, which is evident from the long wicks on the recent Weekly and Monthly candles. Based on the structure of the Ascending Broadening Wedge, the projected price target is 2565.00.
Gold's downside target is AB=CD, 3132On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD fluctuated and fell, and the bears have the upper hand. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 3367. If the rebound is not broken, it is expected to start to fall. The support below is around 3260. If it falls below, it is expected to form an AB=CD pattern, with a target near 3132.
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce.
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling.
After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold.
Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions.
Current strategy:
Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
XAUUSD Sell IdeaGold price have climbed very quickly in the past 72 Trading Hours and has left gaps in the market. This is famously know as "Fair Value Gap". Usually, I would only base my trade on the trend line breakout and head and shoulders pattern, but I read a definition recently, let us see if the dictionary is right.
XAU/USD 22 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 April 2025 I that will wait for price to print a bearish CHoCH but will also continue to monitor price.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, however, the pullback was very minimal with price continuing to print higher-highs. As a result I will again apply discretion and mark the CHoCH in red in order not to distort internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high.
Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks.
Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks.
Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 22nd April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Current ATH at 3455
-Looking for pullback
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold Trading Strategy, April 21-22✅At present, the continuous strong rise of gold is mainly driven by Trump's tariff policy, and the technical aspect has no substantial reference value in the current market. As long as there is no sign of easing of the tariff issue, it is difficult for gold to have a substantial correction.
✅Driven by market sentiment, it is not advisable to blindly guess the top. Even if there is a rough prediction of the pressure level, it can only be used as a reference, and no one can accurately judge the real high point. Therefore, in trading, it is necessary to flexibly adjust the strategy according to the actual market trend.
✅From a short-term perspective, the gold price has risen three times in a row during the day, and it is not advisable to continue to chase more at the current position. If the market continues to rise, it is necessary to wait for a more ideal retracement opportunity before making a layout. In terms of the hourly chart, you can pay attention to the support of the MA10 and MA20 moving averages as a potential entry point for short-term long orders.
✅It should be emphasized that "too much rise" itself is not a reason for a decline, but the higher the price goes, the more important risk control is. Short-term bullishness is still possible, but defensive awareness must be improved. In terms of medium-term target positions, the next important level may point to $3,500
Gold Approaches $3,400 Amid Weakening Dollar ConfidenceGold is rallying on a combination of safe-haven flows and Dollar weakness, approaching the $3,420 resistance. While momentum is elevated—resembling crisis-era extremes—further gains are possible amid continued uncertainty.
If $3,420-$3450 zone holds, aligning with key Fibonacci extensions (drawn from the 2018 lows, 2020 highs, and 2022 lows), and trendline connecting 2016 and 2020 peaks, gold could follow through on its cup and handle breakout pattern toward $3,700 and $4,000.
However, any geopolitical resolution or easing of trade tensions could trigger a sharp reversal, with potential downside levels at $3,000, $2,960, $2,900, and $2,800.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT