Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 9:
Core logic analysis:
Risk aversion cools down
The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the short-term safe-haven demand for gold, but long-term uncertainties (such as the prospects for global economic recovery and the Fed's policies) still support the safe-haven properties of gold.
Technical bearishness dominates
Weekly: Inverted hammer pattern + MACD high dead cross sign, suggesting a callback risk.
Daily: Two consecutive negatives fell below the short-term moving average, MACD dead cross, but be wary of the support strength of the Bollinger middle track (near 3295).
4 hours: The price broke below the Bollinger lower track, the moving average was in a short position, the MACD momentum was downward, and the short-term was bearish.
Key price:
Upper resistance:
First resistance: 3328-3330 (intraday strength and weakness boundary, bearish force point).
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (if broken, the short-term bearish trend may be reversed).
Support below:
First support: 3290-3280 (test target at the beginning of the week, may trigger a rebound).
Strong support: 3280 (break opens the downward space to 3250-3230).
Operation strategy suggestions
Short order opportunity
Aggressive: short with a light position after rebounding to 3325-3330, stop loss above 3340, target 3300-3290.
Conservative: wait for the 3340-3345 area to be under pressure before entering the market, stop loss 3355, target the same as before.
Long order opportunity
Short-term rebound: If it first touches 3280-3290 and stabilizes (not breaking down quickly), you can go long with a light position on the rebound, stop loss 3275, target 3310-3320.
Rebound after breaking: If it quickly breaks down 3280 and rebounds to 3295-3300 under pressure, you can follow the short position for the second time.
Breakout response
Break above 3350: Short orders temporarily exit the market, wait and see whether it will step back to confirm the support and turn long.
Break below 3275: Be cautious in chasing shorts, prevent low-level technical rebounds, and wait for a pullback before following up with shorts.
Risk warning
Data risk: Market volatility may increase before and after the release of non-agricultural data, and be wary of wash-outs.
Sudden events: Sudden changes in geopolitical or Fed policy expectations may reverse technical patterns.
Position management: The current trend is bearish but has not been confirmed to be unilateral. It is recommended to operate with light positions in stages to avoid heavy positions betting on the direction.
Summary: Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate and be bearish next week, but be wary of bullish counterattacks at key support levels. The main trading method is shorting at the rebound high point, supplemented by short buying at the key support level, strictly stop loss and pay attention to the news developments.
GOLD trade ideas
What May Happen Next In Long Term?Looking at where we are in the trend on the daily chart, I think we are in the correction of the uptrend and the last movement we are in is a triangle. Triangles like the one in the figure, after completing 5 waves, break on the barrier forming side of the triangle in wave number 6. Therefore, I expect a bullish breakout from these levels. This move may also exceed the previous high; however, it is too early to say that this is exactly the target at the moment. I think the first target is the 3414-3335 range.
XAUUSDGold has entered a short-term bearish zone, showing signs of downside momentum after facing resistance around the 3360 level. A break below 3350 confirms bearish pressure, opening the path toward 3335 support. If price sustains below 3350, further selling pressure could accelerate.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (Approx. 2:1)
💡 Strategy Tip:
Stay cautious around 3350. A strong break and close below this level increases the probability of reaching 3335 swiftly.
4 HOUR OBSERVATIONS FOR TODAYS XAUUSD MARKET Today is an interesting day for the XAUUSD pair.
observation and patience will be key for any intentions before placing and executing a buy or sell position.
In the higher timeframe 4hour we have multiple situations to take note of, not overcomplicating any market scenarios and looking at the point blank facts that are presented to us in the present moment.
take note of.
1)A Double top formation (some may say its a triple top with the centre closures)
2)Most recent candle closures failed to break previous highs.
3)The 4hour EMA is close to our current price which will have either a reaction or break so observe with caution.
4)A strong trend line that has been well respected previously since 25th May.
5)A strong support zone that has had multiple touches.
6)Observe the lower time frame DESCENDING triangle chart pattern which could indicate a potential correction to the downside with a short term bearish movement.
7)1.30 Red folder news release.
I will be looking to enter on either a break out of the 1 hour descending to the upside for a scalp into the 4Hour resistance above price, or wait for clear break to the sell side aiming towards lower coordinates that align with 1 hour candle closures at resistances.
this is my first published analysis on trading view.
good luck to any traders out there creating their own life to attain freedom.
earn, learn and grow together - its time to exit the rat race !!
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,348.94 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,329.82..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold:Go short before you go long
Gold is currently volatile upward trend, here can not avoid repeated retracement. Now the performance is relatively strong break 3884 short - term high, then the United States is expected to attack twice, then can participate in the long again. Note: long is the main, short is the auxiliary
You can go short now, and then go long. Below is support around the 3365-70 zone
Trading Strategy:
SELL@3385-90
TP:3370-65
BUY@3365-70
TP:3390-3400
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAU/USD 05 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Price-action suitable for aggressive Scalps onlyTechnical analysis: So far so good / Gold is comfortably Trading above #3,352.80 psychological level (Xau-Usd numbers) which is a big psychological benchmark regarding Annual fractal. This is a Technical relief rally and may very well test the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,400.80 psychological mark if Gold closes the market above #3,377.80 Resistance in extension (Higher High's Upper zone break-out). Tough the two MA's formed most recent Golden Cross, which last time brought the Higher High's test, I do expect Buying pressure to stay at least for current week. Hourly 4 chart is still marginally Bearish and Overbought however my indicators are pointing that Gold may extend the relief rally. As expected the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,342.80 Resistance got invalidated to the upside and the #3,352.80 benchmark / representing Short-term Target has been filled instantly. Throughout the session, Gold invalidated the Daily chart's Higher High’s for the first time in #17 sessions and naturally the next Technical pressure point was / is the #3,377.80 Medium-term Resistance as mentioned many times throughout my remarks.
My position: Current sequence is suitable for Scalping only and Scalpers are getting the most returns out of current Price-action. I am Buying every Low's aggressively since Monday's session and will continue to do so as long as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 Support zone holds.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. I just wanted to post a quick chart to show what I am waiting for. I am not trying to trade this choppiness, so for me, I am waiting for a break and close out of the marked area on the chart. Let's see how things play out over the next few hours. We have the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change news today here in the US. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold Market Pulls Back After Mitigating 3360–3380 ZoneGold market mitigates the 3360–3380 zone , triggering a daily pullback aimed at clearing imbalance left at 3357. This move sets the stage for the next directional play as the market recalibrates follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold 1D timeframe. What Next Moment?Hello everyone, I am back after 3 years. Finally I have decided to continue my trade journey in forex and crypto professionally.
Here is the analysis of XAUUSD/Gold.
Gold has taken a big bold moment of Uptrend since strong resistance breakout on march of 1st, 2024. Since that time Gold didn't looked back & continued it's rally in uptrend. So our major trend is Uptrend in 1D and 4H timeframe. Gold did some downtrend and sideway rally and again took another uptrend rally on Dec of 18th, 2024. Gold break all top high and made new high 3500.
If I talk in 1D timeframe gold is trading in bullish flag, and I am not wishing it right now to break upward. But has you know it is gold anything can happen. While today is Monday and market opening was in gap. So it needs to fill the gap after that we can execute a trade. Still now needs some confirmation that it will come down. So have patience and watch the market carefully.
Key point.
Resistance - 3356, 3369, 3396
Support - 3343, 3323, 3304
Any Query Reach Us or comment down
Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
RISK WARNING 🔴 🔴 🔴
There is high risk of loss in Trading Forex, Crypto, Indices, CFDs, Features and Stocks. Choose your trade wisely and confidently, please see if such trading is appropriate for you or not. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Highly recommended - Information provided by Pro Trading Point are for Educational purpose only. Do your investment according to your own risk. Any type of loss is not our responsibility.
HAPPY TRADING.
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XAUMO Liquidity MAP🟡 XAU/USD Liquidity Map - June 2nd Battle Plan 🟡
Here’s my advanced liquidity projection for GOLD (XAU/USD) for Monday, June 2nd — fully aligned with institutional order flow, stop hunt zones, and smart money positioning.
⸻
💥 Key Zones Explained:
🔵 Deep Buy Liquidity Zone (3282.50 - 3285.50):
Where smart money is building long positions. If price dips into this zone, I expect aggressive buying to step in.
🟢 Buy Accumulation Zone (3286.50 - 3292.50):
Main support area — market makers accumulating positions while retail traders hesitate. This zone often acts as a springboard for upside moves.
🟡 First Trap Zone / Short Stop Hunt Zone (3300 - 3305):
The perfect bull trap zone — price may spike into this level during NY session to trigger breakout buyers, before smart money flips short.
🔴 Hard Resistance / Short SL Zone (3317.55):
The upper wall of liquidity — if price breaks above here, shorts are invalidated and bulls will likely dominate toward higher targets.
⸻
🎯 The Playbook:
✅ Long setups triggered inside the blue & green zones
✅ Short setups triggered inside the yellow trap zone
✅ All setups are built based on liquidity sweeps, Fibonacci extensions, and volume profile analysis.
⸻
⚠ Caution:
Monday sessions often begin with manipulative moves. Patience is key. Let liquidity do the work — don’t chase price, let price come to you.
⸻
🔥 Full chart breakdown courtesy of my advanced liquidity modeling. If you find this valuable — like, share & comment below 💬
👉 Let’s hunt the market, not follow it.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Imminent long opportunitiesThis week, my focus for GOLD is on potential long opportunities around the current price level. Price is sitting within a strong area of demand, so my plan is to wait for signs of accumulation and a clear slowdown in bearish momentum before considering any entries.
Ideally, I’d like to see the Asia low swept, which currently lies in the middle of the zone — that would offer even stronger confirmation for a buy setup.
If this current zone doesn’t hold, I have a well-defined 9H demand zone around the 3,220 level, which sits in a more discounted area and aligns well with the overall bullish trend on the higher timeframes.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Clean major daily demand that caused a change of character to the upside
- Plenty of liquidity above and an unmitigated supply higher up
- This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with overall higher timeframe bullishness
- DXY has been bearish over the past few weeks, supporting gold upside
P.S. If price respects this current demand and moves higher, we may see a short-term reaction from the 3H supply zones above — but we’ll monitor price action and adjust accordingly.
Have a great trading week
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)The 'resistance turned support' which I mentioned yesterday is holding up well. After the retest of the support zone, we're currently seeing bullish momentum keep Gold prices up.
As soon as Gold surpasses $3,400 & closes WITHIN the previous 0.365% zone, I will be sure that the 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) correction for sellers is over & buyers are now heading towards a new ATH. Until then I am still wary & being careful of sellers.
GOLD 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield
Gold and 10-year Treasury yields generally exhibit a strong inverse correlation. When bond yields rise, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa.
This is primarily because higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not pay interest or dividends. Investors prefer bonds when yields rise, reducing gold demand.
However, the key driver for gold is real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation). Even if nominal yields rise, if inflation rises faster, real yields can remain low or negative, which supports gold prices.
Historical data shows gold often rises during periods of falling real yields, even if nominal yields fluctuate.
2. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY)
Gold and the US dollar index (DXY) usually have an inverse relationship.
A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally.
However, during times of geopolitical uncertainty or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe havens.
3. Interest Rates and Gold
Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar, indirectly affecting gold.
Rising interest rates tend to push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, both of which typically pressure gold prices.
Conversely, expectations of rate cuts or dovish monetary policy lower yields and weaken the dollar, supporting gold.
The real interest rate is the most important factor: low or negative real rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting its appeal.
4. Summary of Interactions
Factor Relationship with Gold Explanation
10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Higher yields raise opportunity cost, reducing gold demand
Real Interest Rate Inverse Negative or low real rates support gold
Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally
Nominal Interest Rate Inverse Higher rates strengthen dollar and yields, pressuring gold
Conclusion
Gold prices are strongly influenced by the interplay of real interest rates, bond yields, and the US dollar. Rising nominal yields and a strong dollar generally weigh on gold, but if inflation outpaces yields, resulting in low or negative real rates, gold remains attractive as a hedge. This dynamic explains gold’s resilience despite fluctuating bond yields and dollar strength in 2025.
#GOLD #DOLLAR