GOLD recovers from around $3,300 area, short-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered slightly and is currently trading around $3,332/oz, supported by a decline in the US dollar and US bond yields. The market is closely watching the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is near a one-week low, making dollar-priced gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is holding near its lowest in more than a month.
As the conflict between Israel and Iran ends, geopolitical risk levels have disappeared, safe-haven funds have flowed back and thus gold is under pressure.
From a more macro perspective, gold remains in an uptrend and real yields are expected to fall further amid continued Fed easing. In the short term, if the market reprices rate cut expectations to become hawkish, this could trigger a technical correction in gold.
Economic data in the coming months will be particularly important for the gold market. If inflation data remains weak or the labor market deteriorates further, Fed officials could cut rates sooner or more significantly than expected.
A ceasefire between Iran and Israel brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to have taken effect on Wednesday, a day after both countries signaled a temporary end to their conflicting air strikes.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in June, reflecting growing concerns among households about job prospects and another sign of a weakening labor market amid uncertainty over Trumpโs tariffs.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress on Tuesday that higher tariffs could start to push up inflation this summer, a key period when the Fed considers whether to cut interest rates.
Traders of federal funds futures are currently pricing in a cumulative 60 basis points of rate cuts through 2025, with the first cut likely to come in September.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered slightly after testing the important support area noted by readers in yesterday's edition, around the raw price point of $3,300. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21 moving average, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can also be considered as upside targets for the time being.
In terms of overall structure, gold is still in an uptrend with the price channel as the main trend. On the other hand, RSI is also hovering around 50, indicating that the market sentiment is still hesitant and does not have enough momentum for a complete trend.
Intraday, gold still has a bullish technical outlook, but a sell-off that takes gold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bearish signal in the near term. Therefore, long positions should be opened near the $3,300 area, with protective levels behind the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,320 โ $3,300 โ $3,292
Resistance: $3,350 โ $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3371
โTake Profit 1 3359
โจ
โTake Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3297
โTake Profit 1 3309
โจ
โTake Profit 2 3315
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245).
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I have shorted gold as expected and held on patientlyEven under the influence of the ADP data, which is bullish for the gold market, gold has not effectively broken through 3350, and even showed signs of falling back after rising several times. The resistance above is becoming more and more obvious, which may further weaken the market's bullish sentiment and confidence, thereby strengthening the dominance of the bears.
Although gold has not effectively fallen yet, from the perspective of the gold structure, even if gold wants to rise, it still needs to be backtested and support confirmed before rising, and the current retracement is far from enough, so gold still has a need for structural retracement; and before the NFP market, gold rose slowly but was far from enough to break upward, and there was no volume support, so the illusion of gold rising may be to lure and capture more bulls;
Therefore, out of caution, I try to avoid chasing gold at high levels; and I believe that shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present. And I have executed short trades in the 3340-3350 area according to the trading plan, and held it patiently. I hope that gold can retreat to the 3320-3310-3300 area as expected.
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area;
Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of โโ3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of โโ3310-3320 is still valid.
Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
GOLD XAUUSD THE month of july 1 Key Economic Outlook ;
Central Bank Speeches
(1)The bank of England head (BOE) Gov Bailey might speak in context on BOE 4.25% rate cut ,uk inflation about 3.45% is still above limit and the goal is 2%.my focus will be on his rhetoric's ,if he sounds dovish or Hawkish tones, then GBP will react to the sentiment.
(2)Bank of japan (BOJ) Gov Ueda will center on rate held steady at 0.5% and core inflation remains above 2%,market will watch the sentiment because its likely he will address yield -curve control adjustments or hawkish signals , which will potentially boost JPY AND JP10Y
the head of united states Fed reserve Chair, sir! Powell will speak and it comes with red folder ,the last monetary policy meeting kept Fed funds rate at 4.25โ4.50% ,Powell recently emphasized patience on rate cuts based on cautious wait and see approach
Key Messages Expected:
Tariff-driven inflation risks require vigilance.
Rate cuts unlikely until September unless inflation cools markedly.
"No urgency" to ease policy amid solid labor market.
US Economic Data Releases
Final Manufacturing PMI 52.0 52.0 Neutral if unchanged; USD positive if >52.0.
ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.8 48.5 Contractionary (<50); USD negative if <48.5.
JOLTS Job Openings 7.32M 7.39M USD negative if <7.32M (labor cooling).
ISM Manufacturing Prices 69.6 69.4 USD positive if >69.6 (inflationary pressure).
Construction Spending -0.2% -0.4% Limited impact unless significantly below forecast.
Market Implications
USD: Powellโs tone is critical. Hawkish remarks (delayed cuts) could lift DXY; dovish hints may weaken it. Data surprises (especially ISM/JOLTS) could amplify volatility.
GBP/JPY: Bailey/Ueda speeches may drive cross-pairs. BOJ hawkishness could weaken EUR/JPY carry trades.
Risk Assets: Weak ISM/JOLTS data may pressure equities (US30) and boost bonds (โUS10Y).
Summary of Key Risks
Powell Speech: Reiteration of "no imminent cuts" likely. Watch for tariff-inflation warnings.
ISM/JOLTS: Sustained manufacturing contraction or softer labor demand could fuel recession fears.
Carry Trades: JPY strength (Ueda) may pressure EUR/JPY/AUD if BOJ signals policy shift.
#gold #xauusd #gbp #jpy
Gold Trade Plan 30/06/2025Dear Traders,
๐ Technical Analysis โ XAU/USD (1H Timeframe)
Date: June 30, 2025
๐บ๐ธ English:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline and is now pulling back toward the resistance zone between $3,313 โ $3,324.
This area serves as a confluence of resistance (previous support now turned resistance + horizontal resistance).
A bearish reaction from this zone could trigger a continuation to the downside.
The potential target for this move lies around the $3,210 โ $3,225 support area, which has historically acted as a demand zone.
Alternative scenario: If price breaks and holds above $3,324, the bearish outlook would be invalidated.
Summary:
๐ป Resistance zone: $3,313 โ $3,324
๐ฏ Bearish target: $3,210 โ $3,225
โ Entry condition: Bearish reaction and rejection from the resistance zone
Regards,
Alireza!
Next week's market trend analysisShort-term technical analysis of gold next week:
After gold was horizontally consolidated below 3400, it had two relatively large retracements. The short-term downward channel, the upper edge of the channel is currently around 3340, which is also the turning point of the short-term long and short cycles that we need to pay attention to later.
Has the current big rhythm entered a weak position?
Daily level analysis: After reaching 3500, gold is still in a trend of high-level consolidation, and there is a periodic switch between long and short positions, and there is no extremely strong or weak rhythm. In this consolidation process, there are two relatively large retracements: the first from 3500 to 3200 space 300 points, the second from 3435 to 3120 space 315 points. In other words, in the current daily level cycle, the maximum decline is around 300 US dollars. Not exceeding this maximum retracement value, to a certain extent, it is still in the rhythm of high-level correction. According to the range of this space retracement, the limit of the daily retracement is around 3150, with an error of about 20 points. However, the daily range is large, so it is too early to talk about this threshold.
At present, the short-term pressure points of 0.618 and the top and bottom structures are all around 3300. Another point for everyone to pay attention to: in the market with a small cycle of negative decline, once there is a sideways trend. Don't take it as support! The price is consolidating horizontally, which only means that the current bulls are weak in pulling back and the change of weakness must be a strong pullback to break through the big negative. Similarly, the slow rise market is the same.
The first support below in the short term is around 3250. The strong support is at the integer level of 3200. Once this position is reached, it will become a repeated test position like 3400.
Gold Impulse / En Route 12345Long Gold. 3289-3280 Target 3673
SLS Just Below 78-70 Dpending on Leverage.
Gold failed our Beaish Zone Target Eliminating out bearish senitiment .
June 27th 2025 We Long Gold going into June 29th Weekend of Basel 3's Waiting Policy Until january 27th 2027. Gold will be extremely Bullish Afterthis corrective wave from 3415.
Today we enter Long Positions into the weekend Expecting a. Gap Up to Around 3338 Trapping All short sellers in the Month of June.
Gold (XAUUSD) Short SetupBearish Breakdown Below Triangle Pattern!
Hey traders! ๐ Gold has broken down from a symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a potential bearish move. Price is currently testing the retest zone near the entry point (~3,335). If the rejection holds, we could see a sharp drop toward the strong support area at 3,296. ๐
๐น Entry: ~3,335
๐น Target: ~3,296
๐น Stop: Above ~3,352
๐น Risk/Reward: Favorable setup
๐ฌ Drop your thoughts in the comment section โ do you agree with the short bias? Let's discuss!
๐ Support this idea by liking and sharing. Your feedback means a lot!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 26Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3295
4-hour chart resistance 3370, support 3312
1-hour chart resistance 3350, support 3328
The gold market has recently shown strong resistance to decline, showing signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing for two consecutive trading days. The low point of the hourly chart is gradually moving up. This positive signal further consolidates the support of the market bottom. Today's opening price is around 3330, and the highest point of the oscillation upward is 3350. The recent volatility has decreased. In the NY market, we will focus on today's opening price of 3330 as the dividing line between long and short. If it falls below this position, the lowest target can be seen near 3312. Before that, you can do scalp buying transactions above 3330.
Buy: 3330near
Buy: 3312near
Escalating U.S. Debt Crisis Coupled with Weaker U.S. DollarPowell Unleashes Rare Dovish Signal, Gold Rebounds to $3,330
In yesterday's speech, Powell remarkably signaled policy easing, explicitly stating the Fed "will take appropriate actions to sustain economic expansion," driving gold's short-term rebound to the $3,330 threshold. Technically, gold is now locked in a strong consolidation range of $3,300โ$3,350, with the Bollinger Bands midline at $3,325 emerging as the focal point of long-short battles.
The U.S. Dollar Index hit a new low today, while the U.S. debt crisis is set to raise the borrowing ceiling againโboth tailwinds for gold's upward momentum.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
- Short at Resistance: Enter light short positions between $3,345โ$3,350, set stop-loss at $3,360, and target a pullback to $3,320.
- Long at Support: Initiate staggered long positions in the $3,310โ$3,300 support zone, set stop-loss at $3,290, and target a rally to $3,340โ$3,345.
- Volatility Trading: Exploit range-bound movements around the $3,330 midline, aiming for 8โ12 dollar profits per trade.
Market Note: With the dollar weakening and debt ceiling tensions resurfacing, gold's safe-haven appeal is reinforced. Maintain position sizes below 5% and strictly enforce $15 stop-loss orders to navigate news-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
[XAUUSD] GOLD โ Bullish Setup in Play๐ก *Key Context*
- Geopolitical calm (Trump ceasefire remarks) lowered risk aversion, pushing Gold down โ but key support is holding.
- Fed uncertainty continues, yet technicals point to a possible reversal.
๐ *Price Structure*
- Price dropped into a falling wedge, testing 3285โ3295 (H4 demand zone).
- RSI bullish divergence + harmonic ABCD pattern seen on 30m.
๐ *Trade Setup โ Long Bias*
๐นEntry: 3285โ3295 zone (watch for bullish candle confirmation)
๐นStop Loss: Below 3280 (structure invalidation)
๐นTarget 1: 3320โ3330
๐นTarget 2: 3390 (longer-term move)
โ ๏ธ Volume confirmation is key โ wait for breakout strength. Avoid entries during news events. Risk must be managed tightly.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSignal #TeconLab #BuyTheDip
XAUUSD | Major Trendline Retest Incoming | Sell Setup WatchGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key higher timeframe descending trendline thatโs been respected since mid-June. Price is also tapping into a clean supply zone combined with horizontal structure around 3345โ3350.
Watching for a potential bearish rejection from this level. If price respects the trendline and supply zone, expecting a continuation to the downside targeting previous lows around 3302 and potentially 3280.
Bias: Bearish unless price breaks and holds above 3350+.
Confluence:
โข HTF descending trendline
โข Supply zone + horizontal resistance
โข EMA dynamic resistance aligning (if retest happens)
โข Clean bearish structure on the 1H
Will update if the breakout happens โ for now, waiting on bearish confirmations at the retest.
Gold price analysis July 1On the D1 chart, the price has recovered positively when the candle closed above 50% of the decrease range of last Friday's session. This shows that buying power is returning and a new uptrend is forming, with the target heading towards the GAP zone around 3363.
Today's trading strategy:
Prioritize buying (BUY) if the price has a correction to the support zone of 3300.
Sell strategy should only be implemented at important resistance zones, with short-term profit expectations because the main trend is leaning towards the uptrend.
Important technical levels:
Support: 3300 - 3337 - 3360
Resistance: 3334 - 3348 - 3363
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on June 30Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350, support 3225
4-hour chart resistance 3310, support 3245
1-hour chart resistance 3295, support 3260
From the 4-hour level, after gold fell to 3255 last Friday, the real candlestick chart was difficult to continue to fall, suggesting that the downward momentum has slowed down. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of double bottom support at 3245. At the same time, this is also the 0.618 support level of the golden section of the 3120-3452 band. With the MACD showing signs of bottom divergence, short-term operations are bearish, but the probability of rebound is also very high. The short-term support position below the market is near 3281, and the break will look at 3260-3247; the important pressure position is near 3295; the break will look at 3309-3313!
BUY: 3281near
BUY: 3260near
BUY: 3245near
Gold is under pressure at 3296 and may weaken and fall today
I am analyst Yulia, and I always believe that profit is the only criterion for measuring strength. My analysis is never perfunctory, and my trading style is unique. Follow my rhythm, and you will never fail in the annual cycle. Others have already rushed on the road to wealth, but you are still hesitating whether to cross the traffic light at the intersection? Remember, hesitation will lead to failure! Follow my pace, and wealth will be very close to you.
Gold rebounded as I expected during the weekend, but the rebound to 3296 was under pressure. The short-term 60-day moving average and the suppression near the five-day moving average failed to break, so the rebound within the day was limited. It may weaken and fall today, but it belongs to a shock and bearish trend, so consider shorting near 3282-85, stop loss 3291, pay attention to risks.
June 30 gold short-term trading: short near 3283, stop loss 3291, take profit 3263
"Gold Vault Breach! XAU/USD Heist Plan in Motion"๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ฐ XAU/USD Gold Heist Blueprint ๐ฐ๐ดโโ ๏ธ
โThe Vaultโs Openโฆ Time to Load Up!โ
๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers ๐ค๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Get ready to execute the Golden Robbery with style and precision! Based on our ๐ฅThief Trading Style๐ฅ using both technical & fundamental weapons, weโve decoded the latest gold vault password: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) is showing bullish bias!
๐ฏ Heist Instructions:
๐ Entry Point โ
โThe vault is wide open!โ
Enter long anytime โ but for the sharp shooters, place buy limits on the most recent 15/30min swing lows or pullback zones for a stealthier entry. Let the retracement pull the guards away ๐๐
๐ Stop Loss โ
๐ Set your Thief SL just below recent swing lows on the 4H timeframe (around 3310.0).
๐ง Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open trades โ every heist has its escape plan!
๐ Target Zone โ
๐ฏ Aim for 3395.0 โ or vanish before the cops show up!
Trail the stop as you go and donโt get greedy โ wealth is preserved when exits are clean! ๐โโ๏ธ๐จ
๐งฒ Scalper's Advisory:
Only steal on the Long Side! Bulls are funding this operation.
๐ผ Big pockets? Dive in.
๐ณ Small stack? Swing with the pros & follow the plan.
๐ฏ Use Trailing SL to keep the loot safe.
๐ Market Insight โ Why We Rob Gold Now?
XAU/USD shows bullish momentum ๐ backed by:
Macro & Fundamental Data ๐ง
Geopolitical & Intermarket Trends ๐
COT Reports & Sentimental Outlook ๐ผ
Dollar Weakness + Safe Haven Flow ๐ธ
๐ Always cross-check the news wires & reports to validate the path! Fundamentals are the lockpick tools behind every breakout! ๐๐
โ ๏ธ Stealth Warnings:
๐ News Events = Increased Surveillance!
๐ซ No new entries during high-volatility news drops.
๐ก Use Trailing SL on live trades to secure the bag.
๐ Wanna Support Our Heist Style?
Smash that ๐ BOOST BUTTON ๐
It fuels our Thief Army and helps you & your crew loot the market with confidence and flair!
Every dayโs a new caper โ follow the plan, manage your risk, and stay outta jail! ๐๐ช๐ค๐
๐ See you in the next Robbery Blueprint โ Stay Locked & Loaded!
๐ฑโ๐ค๐ผ๐๐ฃ๐ธ
XAUUSD GOLD buy holdXAUUSD GOLD BUY NOW โ LONG TRADE SETUP ACTIVE ๐ก๐
Gold has pulled back to a key support area and is now showing signs of strength at the current price of $3301.
This zone is acting as a strong base for buyers, signaling a potential bullish continuation in the coming sessions.
We are entering a LONG position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, supported by market structure and technical confirmation.
๐น Current Price: $3301
๐ฏ Target Levels: First target at $3350, extended target at $3400+
๐ Stop Loss: Recommended below $3275 to protect capital
As long as price holds above the support zone, bulls remain in control.
Patience, discipline, and proper risk management are key โ let the trend do the work.
Gold is poised for upside โ time to ride the wave!