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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

gold closed for feb 2025gold closed february with a bearish engulfing week covering 2 previous weeks. at the moment what i see is that gold succesfully making its corrections however there are 2 possibilities that i am looking for. if gold manage to reach 2790 or even better 2720. i will start to lookout for a good swing buy. at the moment since gold has just broke out of the bullish structure a good short position can be monitored between 2882-2892 and a buys in the current support of 2835.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HANTRADING
XAU/USD (Gold) 30-Minute Chart Analysis – February 28, 2 **1. Market Structure Analysis** - **Break of Structure (BOS):** The market remains in a clear **downtrend**, confirming bearish sentiment. - **Change of Character (CHoCH):** Any bullish CHoCHs have been short-lived, failing to break major bearish structure. - **Liquidity Zones:** - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,930):** Acts as strong resistance where price consistently rejects. - **Discount Zone (~$2,845 - $2,855):** A potential support area where price might react. - **Equilibrium (~$2,892):** Price remains well below equilibrium, favoring bearish momentum. *2. Key Observations** - **Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) Structure:** Price continues making **lower highs and lower lows**, a sign of a healthy downtrend. - **Weak Low (~$2,853):** A liquidity target for sellers. - **Potential Reversal Zone (~$2,845 - $2,850):** If price taps this level, it may see a short-term bounce. *3. Expected Scenarios & Probability** 1. **Bearish Continuation – 70% Probability** - **Reason:** Strong BOS, price is in a bearish structure, and liquidity exists below weak lows. - **Target:** $2,845 - $2,837. - **Confirmation:** A **break and close below $2,853**. 2. **Bullish Retracement – 30% Probability** - **Reason:** A possible reaction from the **discount zone** ($2,845 - $2,850). - **Target:** $2,876 - $2,884 (previous PWL). - **Confirmation:** Strong bullish rejection from **$2,845 - $2,850**. **4. Trading Plan** - **Sell Setup:** If price breaks **$2,853** decisively. - **Entry:** Below $2,853. - **SL:** Above $2,868. - **TP1:** $2,845. - **TP2:** $2,837. - **Risk-Reward:** 1:3. - **Buy Setup:** If price holds **$2,845 - $2,850** and reverses. - **Entry:** Around $2,850. - **SL:** Below $2,840. - **TP1:** $2,868. - **TP2:** $2,876. - **Risk-Reward:** 1:4. **Final Thoughts** - **Probability of bearish continuation:** **70%** (favoring further downside to $2,845 - $2,837). - **Probability of bullish retracement:** **30%** (bounce to $2,876 possible if discount zone holds). - **Best trade:** **Wait for confirmation** at the **$2,845 - $2,850** level before making a move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
Gold’s Record Rally Stalls at Fibonacci Extension ResistanceGold posted a new record high on Monday at 2956 as a period of risk aversion supported by a series of weaker US economic data releases but led by a sell off in technology stocks, that started on Friday, continued to dominate the markets attention. However, roll forward another 48 hours and Gold prices have just traded at a 2 week low of 2880. What’s interesting is that the positioning adjustment that started in US stock indices seems to have expanded into a wider bout of profit taking on winning trades that have outperformed since Donald Trump won the Presidential election in early November. Bitcoin dropped over 10%, the S&P 500 fell 4% and currently Gold has seen a pullback of 4.6% from Monday’s high. Now, as traders look ahead to the release of the US PCE Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, at 1330 GMT tomorrow, all eyes are on what a deviation from expectations in this release, up or down, could mean for the direction of Gold moving forward into March. Technical Update: Focus on the Fibonacci Extension Since posting a low of 2583 on December 19th, Gold has enjoyed a strong phase of price strength, an advance that has consistently posted new all-time highs. The latest upside extreme was seen on February 24th at 2956, which interestingly coincides with what appears to be a potentially important resistance at 2953. This level is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th last significant sell-off in price (Highlighted on price chart above). Fibonacci extension levels use the same percentages as Fibonacci retracements, (e.g. 38.2% and 61.8%), but are calculated using a significant sell-off in price (e.g. Nov 14th Gold low 2537) and are projected higher from the upside extreme where the decline began (e.g. Oct 31st Gold high 2790). This can highlight potential resistance levels that traders can consider when an instrument like Gold is consistently posting record highs. While there is no guarantee of an extended phase of weakness developing from a Fibonacci extension resistance level, having seen 2953 cap and turn the latest price activity lower, Gold may need to see upside closing breaks above 2953, if a more extended phase of strength is to emerge. For now, at least the Fibonacci extension resistance at 2953 is holding and prompting fresh price weakness, and traders may be watching lower support levels, to gauge if a more extended decline may materialise. In this recent uptrend, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 2894 that has been able to hold previous price weakness, and if lower levels are set to be seen, it may well be closing breaks below this level that triggers them. If this were to be the case, potential support levels may be represented by the 38.2%, 50% and 62.8% retracements of the December to February strength (2583 Dec 19th low to 2956 Feb 24th high), which stand at 2813, 2769 and 2726 respectively, although much will depend on future risk events and price trends. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
(COT) Data: Institutions are increasing short positions -sell 📊 CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW 📈💎 Current Price: $2,911.11 High of the Day: $2,930.17 Major Resistance (R3): $2,944.95 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,930.81 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,919.83 Psychological Support (S1): $2,906.72 📌 50 EMA is derived from the 15-minute chart data. 🔍 INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS 🏦📊 US Dollar Index (DXY): Currently at 106.43, indicating a slight strengthening of the USD, which inversely affects gold prices. Institutional Order Flow: The market exhibits a strong bearish trend, with 92.86% of moving averages signaling a downward movement. This suggests heavy institutional selling pressure. 💀🔥 Liquidity Map: High sell orders are stacked around $2,930.81 resistance level, signaling potential liquidity traps for retail traders. 🐻 Market Maker Activity: Clear evidence of engineered liquidity sweeps above resistance zones to trigger retail stop-losses before a larger downward move. Retail traders are the prey – we are the hunters! 🚀🔥 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data: Institutions are increasing short positions, confirming smart money is positioned for a bearish move. 🏦🔥 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – MOMENTUM & TREND INDICATORS 🔥 ✔ RSI (14): 41.972, indicating we are approaching oversold but not quite there yet. Perfect for a continued drop! 💀📉✔ Stochastic Oscillator: 69.898, neutral but leaning bearish. We take advantage! 🚀✔ Moving Averages: All major MAs (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, MA100, MA200) scream SELL! 📉📉📉 ✔ Volume Trends: Buying volume is drying up. Institutions are exiting longs – BEARISH CONTINUATION! 🚀🔥 📢 TRADE RECOMMENDATION – ULTRA AGGRESSIVE SHORT! 🔥 🔴 SELL XAU/USD NOW! 🏦🚀📉 Entry Point: $2,911.11 🔥 Stop-Loss (SL): $2,919.90 (Above pivot – Protect against manipulations!) Take-Profit (TP): $2,887.17 (Next institutional support!) Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 – Maximum Profit, Minimum Risk! ⚡ EXECUTION PLAN – GO FOR THE KILL! ⚡ 🎯 Price Action Confirmation: Watch for a bearish engulfing candle or a clean break below $2,906.72! 💀📉 🏦 Order Flow Validation: If sell orders stack up and DXY strengthens further, it’s a GREEN LIGHT for the drop! 🚀🔥 🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀 ✅ CONFIRMED – INITIATE A HIGH-CONFIDENCE SHORT! 🔥 📌 SELL at $2,911.11 – SL at $2,919.90 – TP at $2,887.17!📌 Institutions are shorting; market is primed for a deeper drop! 🚀💀📉📌 Retail traders will get rekt – we milk the market every day! 💰💰💰 🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 🚀💰🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
2
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Gold has respected the key demand zone at 2,911 – 2,916, forming a strong base for a potential bullish continuation. The recent correction followed a complex wave pattern, completing an ABCDE structure before bouncing. The price is now moving towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at 2,992, a key upside target. 📊 Momentum Indicators: The Stochastic Oscillator is recovering from lower levels, signaling renewed bullish momentum. A break above recent highs could accelerate upside movement toward the psychological $3,000 mark. 🔥 Trading Outlook: Bullish Bias: As long as Gold holds above 2,911, the upside structure remains intact. Upside Target: 2,992 – 3,000 based on Fibonacci confluence. Invalidation: A sustained break below 2,911 could shift momentum bearish. 📢 Are You Bullish on Gold? Comment below & hit Boost if you’re riding this move! 🚀✨ 🔔 Follow for More Precision Trading Insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
Institutions are selling heavily – momentum is DOWN.📌 🚀 ULTRA AGGRESSIVE XAU/USD TRADING PLAN – FEBRUARY 26, 2025 🔥 🔥 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🚀 Today, we’re going in with an ultra-aggressive and high-confidence execution plan to capitalize on institutional order flow and high-probability setups. No hesitation, no fear – just precision trading with maximum profitability in mind! 🏆💰🚀 📊 CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW (1-MIN CHART) ✅ Current Price: $2,910.79✅ High of the Day: $2,920.28✅ Major Resistance (R3): $2,925.10✅ Recently Broken Support (Now Resistance): $2,916 - $2,918✅ Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,920.28 (Turned Resistance)✅ Psychological Support (S1): $2,900.05 🏦 INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ZONES 💥 Institutions are selling heavily – momentum is DOWN.💥 Major breakdown below $2,916 confirms bears are in control.💥 Liquidity pool remains below $2,900 – price likely to attack this level.💥 Rejection from order block at $2,916 - $2,918 = HIGH PROBABILITY SELL ZONE. 📊 Are institutions accumulating or distributing?👉 Full-scale distribution, institutions are unloading! 📈 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data Alignment?👉 Institutions reducing longs, increasing shorts = HEAVY BEARISH BIAS! ✅ BEST INDICATOR CONFIRMATIONS ✔ Fibonacci Levels:🔹 38.2% - $2,916 (Rejected, Now Resistance)🔹 50.0% - $2,920.28 (Major Resistance)🔹 61.8% - $2,925 (Final Stop-Loss Zone) ✔ Moving Averages:🔹 50 EMA BELOW 200 EMA = Bearish Trend Confirmation 🚨🔹 Price trading FAR BELOW 50 EMA = Strong Selling Pressure 📉 ✔ RSI (7) – Momentum Confirmation:🔹 RSI BELOW 30 = Oversold Conditions, BUT Trend is Bearish 📊🔹 Expect a weak bounce before further decline 🚀 ✔ VWAP – Institutional Price Level:🔹 Price BELOW VWAP = Institutions are dumping hard. ✔ MACD – Momentum Shift Confirmation:🔹 MACD Cross Bearish = SELL STRENGTH INCREASING. 📢 ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE TRADE EXECUTION – SELL NOW? ❌ WAIT FOR THE REJECTION AT A HIGHER LEVEL BEFORE SHORTING. 🔴 Ideal SELL Entry: $2,916 - $2,918 (Order Block Retest)🛑 Stop-Loss: Above $2,920.50 (Smart Risk Management)🎯 Take-Profit 1: $2,905 (Quick Scalping Target)🎯 Take-Profit 2: $2,900 (Psychological Level)🎯 Take-Profit 3: $2,875 (Liquidity Pool Target)💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 (Maximum Profit Setup) 🔥 FINAL DECISION – ULTRA-CONFIDENT TRADING STRATEGY! 📌 VERDICT: DO NOT SELL YET! WAIT FOR A REJECTION AT $2,916 - $2,918. 🚀📌 Sell when price retests resistance! Let institutions push price up, then hit them HARD!📌 Take-Profit Target: $2,900 - $2,875 (High-Confidence Bearish Trade).📌 Institutions are still unloading – the selloff is NOT OVER. 🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY – NO FEAR, ONLY PROFITS! 🏆💰🔥📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Gold (XAU/USD) Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe📉 Gold (XAU/USD) Market Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📊 Current Price: 2,919.530 🔍 Market Structure: Bearish Bias 📌 Key Levels: 🔴 Supply Zones (Resistance): 2943-2947 2954-2956 🟢 Demand Zones (Support): 2874-2882 2834-2838 📈 Entry Plan – Short Setup 🔹 Sell Zone: 2923.8-2929 (Fib 0.618 - 0.786) 🎯 Targets: ✅ TP1: 2874-2882 ✅ TP2: 2834-2838 ⚠️ Key Observations: • CHoCH & BOS indicate bearish momentum. • If price holds below 2923, expect continuation down. • Break above 2929.74 may lead to a liquidity grab before reversal. #FXFOREVER #Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SMC #Liquidity #OrderBlock #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXFOREVER_87
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakdown from Flat Range? Hello traders 💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 2H Chart Analysis 🔍 Market Insights: 🔹 Uptrend Channel Breakout: Gold was trending in a bullish channel but broke out and transitioned into a flat consolidation. 🔹 Flat Price Action: After multiple rejections at the top, price has failed to continue the bullish momentum. 🔹 Potential Breakdown: The price is now showing bearish momentum and could test the $2,880 support level. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960 (Flat Range Top) ✅ Support: $2,880 (Key Support) & $2,760 (Major Support) 📊 Possible Scenarios: 📌 Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to reclaim $2,925, we may see a drop to $2,880, and potentially $2,760 if bearish pressure continues. 📌 Reversal Opportunity: A bounce from $2,880 could lead to a retest of the upper range near $2,950. 💬 Will gold break down further or find support for another push higher? Let me know in the comments! 🔥👇 #gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Trading Signals for GOLD sell below $2,945 (21 SMA -EXHAUSTION)Early in the European session, gold is trading around 2,938, below the 21 SMA, and below the high of 2,955 showing signs of exhaustion. On the H1 chart, we can see that gold is showing signs of exhaustion after forming a triple-top pattern. A strong technical correction will likely occur in the next few hours and even the 200 EMA around 2,920. The key to watch for the gold price is consolidation below 2,945, where the 21 SMA is located, which acts s a dynamic resistance. Below this area, we could expect gold to reach 6/8 Murray at 2,890 in the short term. If the gold price rebounds above 2,945, we can expect a continuation of the bullish movement and it could reach 8/8 Murray at 2,968. If the gold price bounces around 2,930, we could expect it to return to the levels of 2,945 and 2,955. Once this zone is surpassed, the price could reach 8/8 Murray at 2,968. A sharp break below $2,930 could turn the outlook strongly bearish and we could expect gold to continue losing value. Therefore, the metal could reach the psychological level of $2,800 in the short term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
XAU USD LONGLike I updated last week about Gold Price in consolidation and still have upwards potential. This was a Long posiyI opened and closed yesterday, because I later noticed it's still choppy and in consolidation especially after noticing bearish power on Price. Although I'm still bias bullish and think we're still in consolidation especially due to the fact Price is still on my 1Hour Trendline support and still has 4Hour Support below, so until it manages to breakdown and retest both I'm still bullish on Gold. Keep in touch for further updates
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by THE_KLASSIC_TRADER