GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD 1H, 12/04/2025.XAU/USD Directional Trade Setup
- Entry Point: Ensure the trade is executed only at the designated entry level. Patience is key to maximizing the setup's potential.
- Stop-Loss (SL): Strictly adhere to the stop-loss. Exiting on a close below the specified SL level is essential to protect capital and manage risk.
- Take-Profit (TP): This setup offers a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, so it's critical to trail the take-profit level as the trade progresses. Trailing TP ensures you lock in profits while giving the trade room to grow.
Note: This analysis is shared purely for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly and make decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
Weekly Gold Analysis (XAU/USD)📊 Weekly Gold Analysis (XAU/USD)
🔍 Technical & Fundamental Insight by Shaker Trading
🟢 Bullish Momentum Continues:
Strong Uptrend:
Gold is clearly in a powerful bullish wave, with price action confirming the dominant upward momentum on the weekly timeframe.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors:
Current geopolitical tensions, along with economic uncertainty and global trade issues, continue to support safe-haven demand for gold.
Key Buy Zones Identified:
We have marked the strongest demand zones where buying opportunities are most favorable for the upcoming moves.
📌 Outlook:
We expect the bullish momentum to continue. Any pullback toward the marked zones may offer high-probability long entries.
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$3600 intactA very Bullish metal that dont even needs to make LLs to find the next NEW RECORD HIGH
Pullbacks is only momentarily
So this analysis is just to see if GOLD could reach down into Discount to get more Buyers in to shoot to $3600
And the whats next?
$4000?
$5000?
Well we'll see
Tell me what do you guys think
Gold price range oscillates (3260-3360)Gold price range oscillates (3260-3360)
As shown in Figure 4h:
Strong pressure zone: around 3360
Strong support: around 3260
Regional midline: ray 3
Regional support line: ray 2
Bull-bear watershed: 3330-3340
Next week, both long and short strategies have opportunities
Short strategy:
Continue to bearish gold price below 3340, short at high point, stop loss range: 3360-3370. The stop loss span is large, suitable for secondary entry short layout, be sure to control the order ratio.
Long strategy:
1: Wait until the gold price falls to the 3360-3340 range to go long, stop loss 3340-3330 (this strategy requires patience to wait for the opportunity)
2: Wait until Line 3 stands above 3340, go long at the low gold price, stop loss 3330-3335. (This strategy also requires patience to wait for the opportunity)
The last digression:
Do you want to fight Trump?
My answer is: I want to be Trump too
GOLD LONG-TERM FORECAST UPDATEMonthly Chart: Gold is forming an internal high and low, indicating a potential reversal.
Weekly Chart: Inside bar formation, waiting for market sweep. Expecting a bullish move after sweep.
Daily Chart: CRT pattern confirmed, targeting lower levels. Our bullish area remains at $2580-
Stay tuned for further updates!
XAUUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
XAU/USD 23 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 April 2025.
In addition we should be mindful that All HTF's require a pullback and H$ TF has indicated the start of bearish pullback phase as a bearish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
You will note that currently price has mitigated an M15 demand zone and strong low is currently holding.
Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high.
Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks.
Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks.
Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
April 14 to April 18, 2025, due to the Good Friday holiday, the market was closed on April 18. There were only four trading days this week, and the spot gold market performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 2.76%. Prior to this, some investors chose to take profits after the international gold price hit a new high of more than $3,357 on Thursday. Although the current technical side shows that gold is overbought, the overall market is still in a steady upward trend.The rise in London gold prices was driven by the safe-haven demand caused by the weakening of the US dollar, trade policy uncertainty, and hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the risk of stagflation. The economic data released this week showed differentiation, with a solid labor market but weak housing data, coupled with geopolitical risks such as the European Central Bank's interest rate cut and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold.Looking ahead, the bullish trend of gold remains solid, and investors should pay close attention to the Fed's subsequent policy statements and trade policy dynamics, which will have an important impact on market sentiment and gold price trends in the coming weeks.
Technical Review:
Gold daily level still maintains a strong unilateral bullish trend in the short term. There is no highest, only higher. Before the top pressure K appears, it will continue to step back and be bullish. The support position confirmed by the step back is about 3300-3290. As long as this position is stabilized, there is hope for further efforts in the future to set a new historical high.The 4-hour level is now in high-level fluctuations. The key MA10-day support moves up to 3313. As long as this moving average can be held, this cycle will still maintain a strong squeeze and pull up. At the hourly level, there will be a certain decline and correction in the short-term Asian session on Thursday, and it will be trapped in a shock consolidation. The next step is to wait patiently for the consolidation to end. The short-term pressure point middle track is also the 10-day moving average 3332-33 line. There may be multiple attempts here, but before breaking through, don't chase the rise! Pay attention to the lower track support 3313 below, and the upper track of the previous channel step back to confirm the range of 3300-3290, because the upward channel is uncertain whether there will be a false piercing. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for 3313, 3300-3290 to stabilize and rise next week, or break through 3332-33 and then step back to confirm stability, which is also bullish. After a sharp rise, it is just a small adjustment at a high level or sideways, which is to prepare for the next round of rise.
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, falling to 3283 at the lowest, but gold rose again in the second half of the night for risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of fluctuations or end the adjustment? Then the trend of gold after the opening next week is very critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may be adjusted to the end, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength. This will be seen after the opening of Monday.The gold 1-hour moving average is now continuing to diverge upward with a golden cross. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns in the short term, then the gold 1-hour will begin to adjust. So if the short-term opening is weak next week, then the gold 1-hour moving average may begin to turn, and if it is strong, it will continue to extend upward. Gold is suppressed by the downward trend line in the 1-hour short term. The short-term pressure of gold moves down to the 3332 line. If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn around. If it directly breaks through 3332 after opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3300-3303, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3353, stop loss at 3362, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3313, second support level: 3300, third support level: 3285
First resistance level: 3332, second resistance level: 3357, third resistance level: 3373
Gold consolidates at high levels, focus on key breakthroughsThis week, the gold market showed a trend of rising and falling. Under the influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, spot gold hit a record high of $3,357 per ounce and then fell back, eventually closing at $3,327, still recording a 2% increase on a weekly basis. The market was closed on Friday due to Good Friday, and trading was relatively light.
Fundamental analysis:
The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, Powell's stance is dovish, weakening the trend of the US dollar
The situation in the Middle East remains tense, and safe-haven demand supports gold prices
Global central banks continue to buy gold, and physical demand remains strong
The US economic data is mixed, and the market's expectations for rate cuts are repeated
Technical analysis:
Daily level:
The rising channel remains intact, and the moving average system is in a bullish arrangement
RSI has fallen from the overbought area and is currently in the neutral to strong area of 63
3357 forms a short-term top, and 3280 forms the first support level
4-hour level:
MACD shows a top divergence signal, and there is a need for short-term adjustment
The 3300 integer mark has become a watershed between long and short positions
The Bollinger Bands have begun to close, indicating that a direction will be chosen soon
Key price levels:
Resistance levels: 3357 (historical high), 333 7 (yesterday's high)
Support level: 3300 (psychological barrier), 3280 (Thursday's low), 3250 (trend line support)
Next week's outlook:
If it stands above 3300, it is expected to test the resistance of 3357 again
If it falls below the support of 3280, it may drop to the 3250 area
3400 US dollars is the next key psychological barrier
Operation suggestions:
The aggressive ones try to go short with a light position at 3337-3342, stop loss above 3350, and target 3315-3300
The conservative ones arrange long orders at 3280-3285, stop loss below 3273, and target 3315-3340
Break through 3357 and follow the trend to go long, target 3380-3400
Risk warning:
Pay attention to the development of the situation in the Middle East
Pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials
Pay attention to important US economic data
Gold prices continue to rise as profit-taking takes place? Will Gold prices fell from an all-time high of $3,357 an ounce after Fed Chairman Powell warned that the Fed's goals could conflict, sparking concerns about stagflation. Regarding trade negotiations, U.S. President Trump said they were progressing well, adding that he was very confident of reaching a trade deal with the European Union and China. This statement has boosted market risk appetite and hit safe-haven gold.
So the previous decline only reflects investors taking profits before the long holiday weekend. However, the weak dollar and trade tensions have kept it above $3,300 an ounce.
Quaid believes that there is no short selling, only longs, and there have been many one-sided markets during this period. Judging from the current trend chart, it is still running upward and has shown signs of rising bottoms, which shows that the bulls have occupied a more advantageous position. If the big positive line continues to break new highs next week, there will be an opportunity to continue to attack 3,400.
For next week, the bullish position of gold retracement is around 3,290.
Quaid wants to say to everyone: Before going out to sea, fishermen don't know where the fish are. But they still choose to go because they believe they will return with a full load. And you, my friend, don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you persist in believing. The same is true for Huang Investment. You may still be confused at the moment, but as long as you persist, the problem will eventually be solved.
The gold price target on Monday continued to be 3400.The gold price target on Monday continued to be 3400.
As Friday was a Jesus holiday, the international gold market was closed yesterday.
In the early hours of Thursday, Fed Chairman Powell released a signal of "maintaining interest rates unchanged" at the monetary policy meeting, triggering short-term fluctuations in the gold market.
After hitting a new high of $3357/ounce, the gold price fell back and once reached a low of $3284, but was affected by the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, and finally closed at $3327.
Factors such as global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks continue to support the safe-haven demand for gold. The Fed's position of suspending interest rate hikes further strengthens the logic of gold's rise.
Gold 4-hour level: bullish power remains strong.
In the short term, the gold price may fluctuate and consolidate in the range of 3290-3350.
$3350 will become a short-term bull resistance level, while the $3300 mark is the watershed between long and short games.
If the gold price can hold steady at $3,300, it is expected to test $3,357 again, or even hit $3,400. On the contrary, if the gold price falls below $3,300, it may fall to the support level near $3,250.
Operation suggestions are as follows:
Only consider long strategies above $3,300
Stop loss: 3,290
Target: 3,350-3,400
Reject short selling in the short term
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 4/19/2025Gold has been on the rise for consecutive 2 weeks. Currently it is at the final leg of Elliott wave. I am expecting serious correction to come next week.
Next week we should see price rise first and drop from around 3.4k. My optimal target next week will be 3172.
Take note gold is super volatile. It can easily move more than 1k pips one day.
Let's go down to smaller TF for better order next week.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3261 and a gap below at 3230. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352
BEARISH TARGETS
3230
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3021 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3167
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3167 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3045 and 3078 due to ema5 lagging behind and a gap below at 3016. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3241
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3270 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3329
BEARISH TARGETS
3205
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3205 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3178
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3178 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3137
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3108
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3108 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3077 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels to WatchGold Market Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Gold is currently in a highly overbought state. Since April 10th, its price has surged past a strong resistance level, climbing up to 3245.
The price could now make a minor correction before continuing its rise, or a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. Let's examine two possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If gold rises above 3245, it could aim for higher targets at 3284 and 3300.
Bearish Scenario:
If gold drops below 3206, a bearish trend may unfold, with potential declines to 3167 and 3128. Both levels should be closely monitored, as a rebound from these areas could lead to a stronger upward wave. In particular, 3167 seems to be a solid support level with a higher chance of reversing the downward trend.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold rebounds weakly and returns to a downtrendGold trend analysis: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level of 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the 3380 position. Once it breaks through, it will open up space to the 3400 mark.
From the daily gold chart, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body negative candlestick pattern. The previous price peaked at a relatively obvious high, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further short-term correction. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet, so you can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving averages. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has maintained a volatile decline since it came under pressure at the 3500 line. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 line, with a short-term decline of US$240. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator double line has issued a dead cross reversal signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started.
After the rise, gold fell back and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trend. In the big trend, the gold rally did not cross 3380, so there is still downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367, and now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper support conversion resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for 42 to be touched and use 51 as protection to go short to see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260.