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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD Price will Reject and push XAU/USD Technical Outlook: Gold (XAU/USD) has shown signs of a technically bullish structure, though recent price action indicates a pullback. The pair experienced a strong resistance near the $3,200 level, where sellers stepped in, leading to a temporary rejection and price retracement. Despite this, the bullish bias remains intact as long as key support levels hold. A decisive break above the $3,200 resistance could signal continuation to new highs, but if rejection intensifies, we could see further downside correction. Resistance zone 3265 / 3305 Support Levels 3200 3170 You may find more details in the chart Do want to get more insights keep fallow with like and comments Thanks Best Luck Buddies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
Falling wedge channel target 3100XAUUSD  H1& H4   Timeframe . Market was  moving on Falling wedge channel however we have seen the impulsive move towards 3130 which was my target mentioned in previous commantary. - 3170-3180 is the structural support if the H4 candle closes below then ready for the bearish trend towards 3120again then 3100 milestone. Again im expecting the bearish trades towards 3100. - Secondly above 3180-3185 we could assume the this channel is broken and Market is on buying towards 3220.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
Gold outlook: inflation, tariffs, and the key level to watchI'm long-term bullish on gold. With Trump pushing for 10% tariffs across the board, inflation risks are rising. Add tax cuts and already low unemployment, and you have a recipe for more upside. But why is there a risk that the price drops first, before heading higher? Watch the video to learn. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
Gold breaks through 3,300 – Selling pressure has not stoppedGold price plummeted from 3,325 to 3,237 USD/ounce after the US and China reached a temporary agreement to reduce taxes. The stock market is up, the USD is strong, money flows out of gold. I see selling pressure clearly dominating. On H1, the price is still below EMA34 and EMA89, recovering weakly around 3,260. H4 confirms the downtrend that has been formed before. If it does not surpass 3,270, I am inclined to believe that gold will continue to fall to 3,200 – 3,180.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vandogeve
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 3273.80, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 3168.89, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss is set at 3348.25, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
XAU/USD 12-16 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary: After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily. Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290. EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380). 📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels Zone / Level Description 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top) 3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone 3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed 3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA 3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed 3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone 📈 Current Price Action Notes: Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance. A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price. If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep. 🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday: Bullish scenario: Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395. Bearish scenario: If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing. 📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12): Type Price Zones Notes Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone 3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence 3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed 3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone 3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD XAU/USD (Gold) Bias: Bullish (Buy)** – Gold is gaining support from ongoing economic uncertainty, dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, and a weakening US dollar, making it an attractive safe-haven asset. Geopolitical tensions further boost its appeal, while price action shows signs of strength near a key support zone, suggesting buyers are stepping in. There is potential for an upward move toward higher levels as confidence in gold's stability grows. Traders should remain cautious of any sudden shifts in US dollar strength or changes in Federal Reserve policy that might limit gains, but the overall outlook favours further upside.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Sifiso_Ntshingila
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 19: Core logic analysis Negative factors The strengthening of the US dollar: the cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations (the market is currently pricing in a 58 basis point rate cut by the end of the year, a significant reduction from April) suppresses the attractiveness of gold. Risk appetite rebounds: The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the demand for safe-haven assets, leading to long-term profit-taking. Technical selling pressure: The weekly big negative line (a drop of nearly 4%) forms a short-term bearish trend, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of further correction. Potential support Long-term downward trend in real interest rates: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle this year, gold will still have allocation value in the medium and long term. Key technical support: There is long defense in the 3150-3140 area (daily line division and channel lower track), and if it stabilizes, it may trigger a rebound. Key technical points Upper resistance: 3210-3212 (anti-pressure point on Friday, May 16, which may confirm the short-term bottom after breaking through) 3230-3250 (strong resistance area, short orders can be considered when rebounding to this point). Support below: 3170-3150 (core support area, if it falls below, it will look down to the previous low of 3120) 3140 (lower channel track, breaking may trigger an accelerated decline). Operation strategy for next week 1. Trading in the shock range (high probability scenario) Bull opportunity: If it falls back to the 3150-3170 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line closes with a long lower shadow or the hourly chart diverges), go long with a light position, stop loss below 3140, and target 3210-3230. Confirmation signal on the right: If the price stabilizes above 3212, you can follow up with a long order, with a target of 3250. Short opportunity: Rebound to 3230-3250 under pressure (if a stagflation pattern appears), go short, stop loss 3260, and target 3180-3150. 2. Breakthrough and follow-up strategy Break above 3250: may start a new round of uptrend, follow up long orders when it falls back to 3230, target 3300. Break below 3140: beware of deep correction, short at rebound 3160, target 3120-3100. Risk warning News disturbance: If the speeches of Fed officials and US economic data (such as CPI and retail sales) strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts, it may reverse the decline of gold. The sudden escalation of the geopolitical situation (Russia-Ukraine conflict, etc.) will boost safe-haven buying. Position management: The current market is volatile, it is recommended to enter the market in batches with light positions and strictly stop losses (3-5 US dollars is appropriate). Summary Next week, gold is likely to fluctuate and bottom out in the range of 3150-3250, focusing on the gains and losses of 3150 support and 3212 breakthrough. Investors need to respond flexibly, avoid chasing ups and downs, and wait for key positions to be confirmed before trading in line with the trend. In the medium and long term, if the Fed's policy changes, gold still has upside potential, but it needs to digest technical selling pressure in the short term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – May 12–17, 2025High Timeframe Bias: Bullish with active pullback under premium supply 🔍 Macro Structure Insight: Market structure remains bullish on Weekly, with a recent ATH at ~3500. Price showed a strong rejection from the 3448–3500 premium supply zone but found support near 3284–3292. We are currently in a retracement phase, and the next few candles will determine if it’s a reload or deeper correction. 📌 Key Weekly Structural Zones Zone / Level Description 3500 ✅ ATH – liquidity sweep & rejection 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Weekly Supply – key rejection zone 3380–3395 🔁 Weekly FVG – potential short-term resistance 3284–3292 🔵 Fresh Support – demand reaction after daily wick bounce 3220–3250 🔵 HTF Weekly Demand – equilibrium & previous BOS zone 3120–3150 ❗ Critical Support – losing this would break bullish structure 📈 Fibonacci Weekly Extension Zones (Above ATH – 2285 → 3500 Leg) Extension Level Target Price Description 1.0 3500 Current ATH 1.12 3560 First minor extension 1.18 3590 Shallow breakout target 1.236 3620 Key fibo confluence zone 1.272 3645 Round-level + breakout magnet 1.33 3680 Sentiment shift potential 1.414 3720 Major HTF fibo extension 1.5 3760 Mid-range round milestone 1.618 3800–3820 Golden extension + HTF magnet zone 🔁 Scenarios for This Week: Bullish Continuation: If 3284–3250 holds as a higher low → market may aim for 3380–3395, then test 3448–3500 again. Breaking above ATH could trigger targets toward 3560 → 3590 → 3645. Bearish Retracement: If price breaks below 3250, a deeper move toward 3120–3150 could begin. This would threaten the weekly bullish leg. ⚠️ Watch for: Weekly close below 3250 = short-term bearish shift Push and hold above 3360–3380 = signs of bullish continuation Rejection from 3448–3500 again = potential double-top liquidity trap
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3260 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3308. This was hit perfectly also completing this target. We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3260 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3308 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3340 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3382 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3217 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS 3174 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE 3126 3078 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3034 - 2979 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
Gold continues to short despite rebound!Gold opened low and moved lower today, and then rebounded near the previous low. Now, at the four-hour level, a downward trend channel is formed from 3500 to 3440. The current support of gold price is near 3164. This is the condition that it can fall below the previous low of 3200 before continuing to push down. The middle track is at the early high of 3292. At present, the gold price is running between the middle and lower tracks of the channel, so 3292 can be used as a medium-term long-short watershed. The main idea is still to be bearish and downward. Secondly, pay attention to 3252, which is also a defensive position on the way down. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the downward short position. There is still room for downward movement. The strength of the short position is still there. The US market rebounded twice and fell back under pressure near 3248. Then the US market continued to be under pressure at 3248. The high-altitude short position is basically in place. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3248-3252 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3200-3160 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KittyBaldwin
1