Gold next targetGold next target 🎯🎯🎯🎯 is very very clear so we can take risk on this trade for the target of 3000 below
GOLD trade ideas
How to plan a gold short selling strategyOn Monday, as China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce tariffs, market concerns about a U.S. recession eased, and the U.S. dollar index once approached 102, and finally closed up 1.37% at 101.80. U.S. bond yields both rose, and the interest rate market cut the Fed's pricing for rate cuts this year, boosting demand for the U.S. dollar. However, although the U.S. dollar is bullish in the short term, it faces key resistance, and the U.S. CPI data is coming. If inflation is lower than expected, bulls may take a break.
Today's market rose slightly first, then fell strongly to 3216, and then rose strongly to 3260 in the Asian session before being under pressure. The market is currently in the repair stage, and CPI data is attracting much attention. If the European session does not continue to rise but falls, the bulls may end at 3270. Technically, the upper resistance is 3268-3274, and the lower support is 3244-3237. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and to pull back and long as the auxiliary.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short near the rebound 3268-3274, with a target of 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back near 3244-3237 and long, with a target of 10-15 points.
XAUUSD UPDATE 16/05/25GOLD make an aggresive bulish yesterday.
We can expect that it will retrace and make a bullish continuation to fill the gap first.
GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest of
The local horizontal resistance
Of 3348$ and is alreaady
Making a local pullback
So despite our long-term
Bullish bias we will go short
With the Take Profit of 3297$
And the Stop Loss of 3372$
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Update 4th Week May 2025At this time the price is still moving in the price range of 3400-3100.
We can see that the price is still accumulating in this range.
There is still time to wait for the price to exit this accumulation process.
Good Luck !
U.S.-China tariff easing weighs on gold pricesThe US-China tariff negotiations have made positive progress, and the global capital market has become active. However, the safe-haven asset gold has been sold off sharply, with a single-day drop of more than $100 again. In the past two or three months, single-day fluctuations of hundreds of dollars have become the norm. The current price maintains a volatile pattern in the 3231-3248 range. At present, 3250 has become a key resistance level. If it can effectively break through and stand firm, the gold price is expected to further test the 3270-3288 area. However, from the perspective of short-term momentum, it is still under pressure to pull back in the late trading period. Technically, the upper resistance is concentrated in the 3248-3252 range, and the lower support is around 3215-3200. It is recommended to focus on long positions on pullbacks and supplement them with high positions on rebounds.
Gold is still in a short-term bearish trendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to turn downward. If it crosses below to form a downward death cross, then gold's room for decline may further open up. The short-term short position of gold has not ended yet. Gold has a trend of falling again. The short-term trend of gold is still short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3325, stop loss 3340, target 3290
Gold Eyes Upside Break – Bullish Outlook for Swing TradersGold (XAUUSD) continues to show strength on the 4-hour chart, maintaining its bullish structure and offering a compelling opportunity for swing traders. The market has recently rejected a key support zone, confirming buyer interest and momentum continuation.
Key Technical Observations
Support Zone Rejection: Price strongly rejected the $3,199–$3,265 support zone, forming a clear bullish response. This zone also coincides with the rising trendline, adding strength to the support.
Trendline Confirmation: The dotted green ascending trendline has been respected multiple times, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend.
Consolidation Breakout: After consolidating for nearly 3 days, price broke above the range, confirming bullish intent.
All-Time High Target: The next major resistance lies near the all-time high at $3,504, which acts as the primary upside target.
Trade Setup
Entry Level: $3,338 (after breakout from consolidation)
Take Profit (TP): $3,504
Stop Loss (SL): $3,265
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 2.28
Gold is clearly bullish on the 4-hour timeframe. The trendline bounce, support zone defense, and breakout from consolidation provide a solid basis for swing traders aiming to capture a move toward the all-time high. As long as price remains above the $3,265 level, bullish positions remain valid.
XAU/USD For Bearish as pull-backyou can go short now
or
wait for pull-back near by entry point and then go short
general trend is up trend
current phase is pull-back
Gold under pressure
have fun :)
Downtrend - will gold price return to 3233?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounded from an early Asian session drop to a multi-day low, reclaiming ground above the $3,300 psychological level in the past hour. The precious metal continues to draw support from persistent geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, and renewed friction along the India-Pakistan border. That said, the upside appears constrained by improving risk sentiment, driven by renewed optimism surrounding a US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are under great selling pressure as trade negotiations on tariffs are becoming more active. They may return to the 323x price zone and continue to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3351- 3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Free fall to 3080/3050 ?Gold just broke the channel.
I expect a rapid decline the following hours to 3080 and if that breaks, 3050
Start buying gold and wait for a rebound.At the 4-hour level, the overall market judgment remains unchanged. In terms of the lower support level, 3208-3207 is the key support area. This position is not only the low point on Monday, but also an important support level formed by the previous starting point line extending to the present. As for the upper resistance level, first of all, we need to focus on yesterday's high point of 3265, which is also the previous shock low point. Secondly, the 3290-3293 area formed by the rebound after the gap-down opening on Monday is also a resistance range that cannot be ignored. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance line of 3260-3270 above, and pay attention to the support line of 3220-3210 below in the short term. Further support focuses on the 3200 mark.
Gold operation strategy: 3220-3210 long, target 3230-3250; gold rebounds to 3260-3265 short, target 3240-3220.
Gold delivering excellent Trading opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Gold is consolidating on Hourly 4 chart after it entered my expected #3,342.80 - #3,322.80 Neutral Rectangle zone with #3,342.80 as an possible stop and local High’s. Upper maximum extension can reach #3,352.80 benchmark / Hourly 4 chart’s extension if Resistance breaks. Both ways, I doubt that Neutral candles will last for long as Gold will be ready for another Buying or Selling sequence, where another slide might be in the aftertime. It is important to note that DX found the Support and engaged the spiral recovery (# +0.81%) which can add Selling pressure on Gold. I will use this configuration and observing market closing (closing below #3,312.80 confirms the downtrend extension), where Gold is Technically ready for #3,300.80 - #3,252.80 benchmark test. DX however remains merely Neutral on bigger charts however near Lower High’s peak, adding Volatility on Gold counterbalancing mixed values on Yields. This gives me the impression that Gold has at the moment more probabilities to a Short-term uptrend than break below the Support zone. Gold continues to be contained within parabolic uptrend however isolated within Neutral range for the last #1 - #2 consecutive sessions. Daily chart is on (# +0.58%) switch and represents an cautious fractal. Keep in mind that the Medium-term pattern on Daily chart is an Ascending Channel and Gold is on its Higher High’s decimal zone with Lower levels being a potential Lower High’s Target. Total Neutrality and balance between the Support and Resistance lines is consolidation phase of next major move ahead.
My position: I have expected #3,300.80 benchmark touch throughout yesterday's session where I engaged Selling order on #3,345.80 (entry point). Due news outcome, #3,352.80 was tested which triggered my Stop-loss and left me without any orders. Later on, Gold dipped towards #3,300.80 benchmark (what I did expect) as I managed to re-Sell Gold on #3,322.80 and close the order on #3,307.80. I am without any orders as Gold is Trading within Neutral Rectangle. I will Trade the break-out of values I explained above.
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading StrategiesThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
After the gold price broke below 3202 during the US trading session, it rebounded to a high of 3198 at most. This rebound is merely an oversold bounce, and the price subsequently fell back again. Although it has not hit a new low yet, the pattern has weakened, making it difficult to rise again for now. In a weak bearish trend, the price may even struggle to break above 3198. The short-term support below is at 3150-3160.
On the 1-hour chart of gold, the death cross in the bearish arrangement continues to point downward, and bearish momentum remains strong. Rebounds still provide opportunities to go short. Due to the lack of obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, this market is just a rebound. Therefore, it is recommended to short on rebounds during the US gold session.
In summary, the current short-term trading strategy for gold is recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longing on pullbacks. The key short-term resistance level to focus on above is the 3200-3205 range, while the key short-term support level below is the 3150-3160 range.
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
GOLD - Bullish Structure with Potential Continuation PlayThe current 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) demonstrates a clean bullish structure supported by an ascending channel and multiple unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as potential demand zones. This setup highlights the strength of the ongoing uptrend and offers insights into a high-probability continuation entry should price retrace.
Market Context and Trend Structure:
Following a prolonged downtrend visible in the earlier part of the chart, Gold reversed decisively with a bullish break of structure. Since then, price has been consistently printing higher highs and higher lows while respecting an ascending parallel channel. This channel, marked by two trendlines, encapsulates the short-term bullish momentum.
The current move is strong and impulsive, suggesting that institutional order flow is behind this leg. Candles are elongated with minimal wicks on the upside, reinforcing the idea of aggressive buying pressure.
Key Demand Zones and FVG Analysis:
Three major Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed along the recent bullish leg, each potentially acting as a zone of reaccumulation. These FVGs are marked in green and correspond to areas where price left inefficiency after strong upward moves without immediate retracements.
* The most recent FVG, located just beneath current price, aligns with a minor structure support zone and overlaps partially with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This area stands out as a prime candidate for a bullish continuation entry, particularly if price retraces and shows signs of holding.
* The middle FVG, slightly lower in the structure, represents a deeper mitigation level and could serve as a secondary entry in case the initial zone fails to hold.
* The lowest FVG is a broader inefficiency zone that formed near the base of the bullish reversal. If price returns this far, it would likely signify a temporary shift in momentum or deeper liquidity hunt before another leg upward.
Channel Structure and Momentum:
The ascending channel has been respected throughout the rally, offering visual confirmation of trend strength and the rhythm of pullbacks. The current price is near the upper boundary of the channel, and a short-term retracement is a logical expectation before continuation.
A pullback into the FVG + lower channel region would represent a convergence of structure, imbalance, and trendline support. These overlapping technical elements enhance the probability of a bounce from this zone.
Projected Path:
The chart also suggests a conservative bullish continuation projection, aiming toward the zone marked around 3449.12. This level appears to be a measured move extension and a safer target in relation to the overall structure. However, the note on the chart implies that the all-time high (ATH) could also be in play if momentum continues and market conditions remain supportive.
The key here is the behavior around the nearest FVG. If price retraces and holds this area—potentially forming a bullish engulfing or confirmation on lower timeframes—it may offer an ideal continuation entry with minimal drawdown.
Conclusion:
This Gold 1-hour chart reflects a strong bullish structure with clear institutional footprints left in the form of unmitigated FVGs. The alignment of ascending channel support and bullish imbalances creates a favorable setup for continuation traders. Watching the immediate FVG zone will be critical, as it may define the next impulsive leg toward higher targets. If that zone fails, deeper FVGs below offer secondary opportunities while maintaining the bullish bias as long as structural higher lows remain intact.
Gold will retrace first, before rising againminor timeframe formed ascending broadening wedge pattern, I have sold from afar but forgot to give the analysis, for the target is still quite far away at 3155.
SL: 3221 (150 pips)
TP: 3155
XAUUSD GOLD PLAN IDEA 12/05/2025XAU/USD (Gold) Trading Outlook The current price of XAU/USD around 3240 to 3235. We are anticipating a pullback towards the 3300 level, at which point we will look for long (buy) entry opportunities.
Key Resistance/Target Level:
TARGET 1: 3274
TARGET 2: 3360
TARGET 3: 3413
Key Support Levels:
SUPPORT 1:3220
SUPPORT 2: 3205
This Strategy is based on the expectation of a price retracement, providing a more favorable risk-reward setup for long positions.
SUPPORT MY IDEA
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 15, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 15, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,149.23
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zones:
🔴 3168–3172 – Minor intraday supply zone
🔴 3187–3192 – Strong rejection zone; previous aggressive sell-off started here
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 3128.8–3168 – Fresh demand zone formed after price mitigation and bullish reaction; acts as the current support base
⚡️Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and sustains above 3172, we may see momentum pushing toward 3190s with possible continuation to 3200 psychological level.
⚠️Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 3168 could trap late buyers; price might revisit 3140s or retest the demand zone below.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Supply is getting tested; watch for M5/M15 confirmations
✅ Wait for strong bullish candle or break of structure before buying
✅ Set alerts at 3172 and 3192 zones for possible entries or exits
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexSetup #IntradayTrade
HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price has recently formed a narrowing wedge structure after a strong impulsive rally. The price reached a significant peak and then started consolidating, forming lower highs with fading bullish pressure. What we now see is a classic sign of price compression within a pennant pattern. Currently, the market is testing the key resistance zone between 3360 - 3380 points. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge, and the price has already reacted to it multiple times. Buyers were unable to break through convincingly, indicating a potential exhaustion of momentum. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is represented by a dynamic trend line. Given this structure, I expect Gold can decline toward the support trend line and possibly reach 3300 points, my goal. The combination of horizontal resistance, trend weakening, and pattern tightening supports a short bias. Given the recent lower high, the rejection near resistance, and the wedge formation, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAUUSD 1HR, Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress.
A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone.
Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130.
Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand.
Indicators:
RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence.
GOLD | Smart Money Accumulation Confirmed by COT Data
Price tapped into a major demand zone around 3,220, showing signs of accumulation and a strong bullish reaction — a typical smart money footprint. Market structure broke to the upside with clean bullish order block validation.
Why this matters:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows an increase in net long positions from institutional traders on GOLD last week, aligning perfectly with this bullish move. This reinforces the idea that big players are buying from retail panic selling.
Key Concepts:
Demand zone + bullish order block
Break of market structure = entry confirmation
Institutional confluence via COT data
Targeting inefficiency fill toward 3,325–3,330 zone
Educational Tip:
Use COT reports to track what the smart money is doing. Pair that with price action to build high-conviction setups.
[19May2025] Watch-Weekly Boundaries & Key-Level; Down or Up?Monday Move—Are we going further down? Or are we right in the cage? Bear/Bull fight is the final note before the True move. Stay tuned until the end—the important boundaries and key levels of price action are listed below. Watch out for the game "they" play.
The market has already revealed its intent—if you’re still in "wait and see" mode, the next sweep will happen before you even realize it. The anomalies over the past weeks aren’t random; they are signals. If you haven’t made sense of them yet, this is your wake-up call.
Now, as price remains below critical pivot levels, something is set to unfold. The conditioning is complete, the offloading is in play, and the next move—whether reversal or deeper liquidation—hangs in the balance.
Are you watching? Or are you falling into the illusion?
Something big is brewing. But what? And why now?
Over the past two weeks, gold has witnessed extreme fluctuations—sharp movements that aren’t mere market randomness but the footprint of something far more deliberate. This isn’t just price action; it’s a grand orchestration, a carefully staged performance designed to induce, accumulate, and distribute at an unprecedented scale.
Retail traders follow the numbers, but institutions craft the narrative. The illusionists play their hand, shifting liquidity under the guise of war, inflation, and recession—a tired record played on loop to justify the unseen. But savvy traders know better. They see the exhaustion. They recognize the conditioning.
Here’s the reality: It’s not about gold’s valuation—it never was. It’s about control, liquidity extraction, and advantage. The real game is well-hidden beneath surface-level movements.
What happens next isn’t random. It’s calculated. Will you recognize it, or will you be caught inside the illusion?
Gold Market Analysis – Post NYSE Close (May 16, 2025)
Market Structure & Pivot Levels
📌 Monthly:
Pivot: 3248.44
Sell Signal Below: 3402.35 → Clear 2915.88
Buy Signal Above: 3054.48 → Clear 3540.95
📌 Weekly:
Pivot: 3216.81
Sell Signal Below: 3289.10 → Clear 3105.42
Buy Signal Above: 3159.08 → Clear 3342.76
📌 Daily (Friday’s Candle):
Pivot: 3202.87
Sell Signal Below: 3234.03 → Clear 3146.89
Buy Signal Above: 3172.35 → Clear 3259.49
🎯 Closing Price: 3202.25 (Below Friday’s pivot level)
Bearish Momentum – What’s Happening?
🔻 Bear Pressure Increasing: Trading below Monthly, Weekly, and Daily pivot levels suggests growing downward momentum.
🔄 Market in Preparation Mode: Price action indicates institutional positioning and offloading, setting the stage for a potential shift.
💰 Institutional Manipulation at Play:
Inducement & Distribution visible in price behavior—buyer-side absorption remains evident.
Failed bull attempts to push above pivots suggest exhaustion in bullish momentum.
📌 For bulls to regain control: Price must convincingly breach pivots with strong momentum and liquidity, showing sustained buying strength.
Market Narrative – The Hidden Truth
💡 News Is Just Noise: War, tariffs, inflation, recession—these are conditioning tools used to justify price movement, but they do not define it.
🎭 Gold’s Price Is Not About Valuation: It’s about liquidity control, herd mentality, and institutional advantage—a strategic illusion shaping retail sentiment.
Conclusion & Anticipation
✅ Bear Territory Confirmed: Price remains below key pivots , suggesting continued downward movement.
🔄 Market Correction Anticipated: Price has extended too far , and a liquidity rebalancing could unfold.
😱 Retail Sentiment – Extreme Greed: FOMO-driven rallies keep pulling traders into institutional traps.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Above Daily Pivot: 3418 / 3403 / 3378 / 3338 / 3312 / 3296 / 3270 / 3252
Below Daily Pivot: 3200 / 3191 / 3154 / 3135 / 3116 / 3107 / 3071 / 3056 / 3033 / 3009 / 2995 / 2983 / 2969 / 2952
📢 Final Thought: If trading remains below 3402 , liquidation may still be ongoing. Market footprint suggests a potential deep retest at 3019/2811 before signs of meaningful recovery.
🛠️ Institutional activity is likely to be significant—this moment presents an opportunity to anticipate liquidity shifts.
Gold may fall below 3200!Gold is suppressed below the trend line and turned sideways to fall. The hourly line has gone negative. Falling first has almost become a rule and feature of gold in recent times. Focus on the 3236-3240 area for shorting, and the support below is 3215-3200. If there is no rebound, you can directly try to short with a light position and look for a decline. Between time and price, time is more important, only for gold. Further look at the 3160-3170 area below, and consider low longs to see a rebound when it touches.
