THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would want the lower level red box to be tested and rejected in order to give us the move upside into that 3330-35 region where we wanted to monitor the price for the short. We managed to get a pin point move, however, we had to exit the short trades early due to the support level holding us up. We then continued to follow Excalibur and the red box indi’s which were suggesting higher pricing and by the end of the week we had completed all our bullish above target levels, plus Excalibur trade targets and LiTE again performed at 100% accuracy.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade, analysis and post on.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we can expect some gaps on open which is going to make it difficult due to skewed data. We will however stick with the red box levels and the tools we have to make a plan for the two scenarios we may see potential of.
Scenario one:
Price opens and gaps upside, we’ll be looking for the levels of 3455-60 for a potential reaction in price, if achieved, an opportunity may be available to short there back down into the 3450, 3443 and 3435 levels.
Scenario two:
If we do open and gap downside, we’ll look for the levels of 3430-23 to hold us up, and if achieved, an opportunity to long there back up into the 3450-5 level and in extension of the move 3465 may be available.
It’s a difficult one again as no one knows how the market is going to open and what is going to happen. So we’ll update traders as much as we can during the day and the week with KOG’s bias of the day and red box target levels
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425, 3420, 3410 and 3406
Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503
Red Boxes:
Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410, 3406, 3397, 3385 and 3380 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD trade ideas
Gold delivering excellent Scalp opportunities Fundamental analysis: Gold was among the losers (Short-term) of the Fed's decision this throughout yesterday’s session for then first time within #8-Month period. Valuable ground's given and #3,400.80 benchmark looks unreachable for at least this week’s borders. Fed kept rates unchanged, and signaled that current Rate would continue through #2025 to support the next phase of the economic recovery. Investors clearly show their interest to try riskier assets like equities and as long as DX is without a recovery (currently on steep Descending Channel), Gold will keep constantly deliver Bull spikes. Daily chart turned Neutral with Resistance level priced at #3,395.80 - #3,400.80 and if invalidated I expect historic upside potential of Gold (my estimations show even #3,452.80 and #3,500.80 in succession within #2 - #3 Month variance). Quarterly Investors will pressure on the Resistance based on Bullish Fundamental outlook on Gold. However with Gold’s Technicals critically Bearish, I won’t be surprised to see values below #3,352.80 benchmark tested and invalidated.
My position : I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines and spotted few patterns however didn’t engaged as my Profit range is already decent. However I spotted excellent post-Fed opportunity and Bought Gold aggressively on #3,363.80 and closed the order on #3,378.80 last night. I will continue Scalping current #3,357.80 - #3,395.80 range as it is excellent Trading lately.
Gold – Will Geopolitical Tensions Trigger a Breakout ?Hello traders, what’s your view on gold today?
So far, gold remains relatively quiet, with limited reaction to the initial FOMC statement. The market is clearly holding its breath ahead of the upcoming press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
As of now, the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.50% – but the real question is: where does gold go next?
In my opinion, gold still holds long-term upside potential, especially with the ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran, which could potentially pull the U.S. directly into involvement. For gold, this is an ideal environment to shine as a safe-haven asset. The greater the geopolitical risk, the more investors seek capital protection – and gold remains the go-to choice.
Technically, the first resistance level is seen at $3,400, followed by $3,440. On the downside, immediate support lies at $3,350, then $3,330.
Let’s see if gold holds its ground or prepares for the next big move.
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold.
From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
XAUUSD-it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal".
Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
Gold: Will It Hold or Be Manipulated?Gold: Will It Hold or Be Manipulated?
During this week, the picture of gold did not change much. The price found a strong support area near the 3375 level, and it seems that it will not decrease further without some major news.
The price of gold has recently been dominated only by the war between Israel and Iran, which is in its 6th day without any agreement yet between the US and Iran.
Today we have the FOMC meeting, but in my opinion, the decision that the FED may take regarding the interest rate has no impact on the price of gold, since Gold is a safe asset and the current situation is critical.
We may see speculative moves to lower gold during the FOMC, but under normal conditions, it should not fall given the current geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
It can only fall from any manipulation, because from a fundamental perspective, gold should rise or at least a long pause around our area may be needed.
Key target zones: 3420 | 3450 | 3470 | 3490
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3340 and a gap below at 3418. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3463
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3483
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3508
BEARISH TARGETS
3418
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3393
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3372
3353
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3330
3306
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Outlook: Bullish Bias Builds🧠 Combined Market Intelligence Report
Focus Asset: XAU/USD (Gold/USD)
Current Price: $3,381.65
🌍 Macro Overview: Key Weekly Market Themes
🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence
Federal Reserve: Held rates steady; Powell struck a more cautious tone. Seven members now forecast no cuts in 2025. Rate cut probability softened early in the week, then revived after Fed Governor Waller hinted at a possible July cut.
Swiss National Bank (SNB): Cut rates to 0.00%, surprising markets and signaling potential for negative rates if needed.
Bank of Japan (BOJ): Maintained rates at 0.50%, slowed bond tapering, signaled caution amid trade and inflation uncertainty.
ECB & BOE: Mostly neutral/dovish tones. ECB may cut in 6 months; BOE remained split.
🧩 Implication: Diverging monetary paths and policy uncertainty support demand for neutral reserve assets like gold.
⚔️ Geopolitical Risk: Israel-Iran Conflict
Markets opened bullish on gold due to de-escalation signals from Iran, but risk-off sentiment returned midweek after:
Trump’s “unconditional surrender” demand
Iran’s “irreparable damage” threat
Reports of possible U.S. strikes
By Friday, Trump hit “pause” for 2 weeks of diplomacy.
🧩 Implication: Geopolitical tension is unresolved. Gold remains a top safe-haven hedge as military conflict risk persists.
📉 Macro Data Weakness
U.S. Retail Sales: -0.9% (vs. -0.4% expected)
U.S. Industrial Production: -0.2%
Philly Fed Manufacturing: -4.0
UK Retail Sales: -2.7% m/m
Eurozone Wage Growth: 3.4% y/y (missed expectations)
Australia Jobs: -2.5k (vs. +15k expected)
🧩 Implication: Global slowdown signals strengthen gold’s appeal as a defensive and inflation-hedging asset.
📊 Technical Outlook for XAU/USD (Gold)
🔹 Current Price: $3,381.65
🔸 Key Indicators (1D)
Indicator Value Signal
RSI 55.65 Slightly bullish (>50)
Stochastic %K / %D 51.23 / 53.33 Neutral zone
Williams %R -44.18 Mid-range, no strong signal
Bollinger Mid-Band 3,381.55 Price = BB midline (balance point)
Keltner Mid-Channel 3,381.94 Matching price (consolidation)
📍 Key Price Levels
Support: $3,360 → $3,345
Resistance: $3,410 → $3,430
Breakout Point: Close above $3,410 confirms upside momentum
Breakdown Point: Close below $3,360 confirms renewed selling pressure
📈 Forecast for Gold (XAU/USD) – Next 1–5 Days
🔮 Fundamental Bias: 🔼 Mildly Bullish
Unresolved geopolitical tension = sustained safe-haven flows
Global economic softness = pressure on real yields
Mixed Fed tone, SNB cut = supportive macro backdrop for gold
📉 Technical Bias: 🔁 Neutral to Bullish
RSI above 50, price above major midlines = buyers still in control
Consolidation at key pivot level ($3,381) suggests accumulation, not exhaustion
If price breaks above $3,410 and sustains, rally toward $3,430–3,460 is likely
If price breaks below $3,360, watch for a retest of $3,345–3,330 support zone
🎯 Final XAU/USD Forecast Summary
Time Frame Direction Price Targets Confidence Risk Catalyst
1–2 Days 🔁 Sideways-to-Bullish $3,390 → $3,410 Moderate News on Fed, Trump-Iran
3–5 Days 🔼 Bullish $3,430 → $3,460 High Breakout + geopolitics
Bearish Case 🔽 If < $3,360 $3,345 → $3,330 Moderate Peace deal + strong USD
⚠️ Trade Considerations
If bullish breakout (> $3,410) → potential swing trade toward $3,460
If failed breakout (< $3,360) → reversion trade toward $3,330
Avoid aggressive positions until volatility picks up, as current setup is range-bound with breakout potential.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold Trade Plan – Wait for the Trap, Then Catch the Move Price broke the ascending trendline and is now heading into a key demand zone around 3387–3390. My plan is to wait for the manipulation wick into the green zone, ideally touching the trendline confluence below, then catch the bounce for a clean long setup toward 3460+. If that fails, I’m ready to flip short after the liquidity grab.
Two scenarios on the table:
1- Rejection from the demand zone → bullish continuation.
2- Fakeout bounce → trap longs → reversal drop.
Stay patient, let price come to you.
UPDATE 26th June 2025 Consolidation Phase Consolidation Phase still running.
It have a potential to retest a lower support.
During this consolidation period, we will continue to monitor any fluctuations ( war, geopolitic, US economic, etc ) that will affect the movement of gold prices.
So becareful at support level / key level.
Goodluck !
If you agree...click Boost
Entry Timing: Wait for Catalysts, Find Optimal PositionsEntry Timing: Wait for Catalysts, Find Optimal Positions
The Federal Reserve's latest report states that interest rates will remain on hold, but future rate cuts will proceed at a slower pace—originally projected to reduce rates by 50 basis points this year, but now possibly only 25 basis points annually, akin to pressing the brake pedal gently without fully stopping. Powell also noted that while inflation has shown signs of rebounding, the impact of geopolitical conflicts on prices may be temporary. This has left the market confused: on one hand, it suggests the U.S. economy may not be as weak as feared, reducing the urgency for rate cuts; on the other, concerns persist that high rates could suppress consumption and investment.
Next week, the U.S. will release GDP data. If the data comes in better than expected, indicating robust consumer spending, the Fed may be less inclined to cut rates promptly, strengthening the U.S. dollar and potentially exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, if the data disappoints, market expectations for earlier rate cuts could intensify, allowing gold to rebound. Currently, the market is waiting for clear signals from the Fed, and this hesitant sentiment will also keep gold prices volatile.
If there is positive news from Iran-Europe talks or the U.S. GDP data exceeds expectations, gold prices may decline. Consider initiating light short positions when prices fall near $3,350 or rebound to around $3,390.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD sell@3380~3390
SL:3410
TP:3370~3360
Gold Outlook–24 June: Can Geopolitical Tensions Shift the Trend?📊 MACRO INSIGHTS:
🔸 Iran–Israel Ceasefire Update: Though both sides have referenced a ceasefire agreement, real conditions on the ground tell a different story. Iran has expressed conditional agreement, demanding Israel to halt operations first. However, Israeli forces claim missile attacks from Iran are still ongoing...
🔸 Escalation Despite Diplomatic Moves: Despite former President Trump’s announcement of a peace deal, Iran responded with renewed missile activity — intensifying market uncertainty...
🔸 Currency Sentiment: Asian currencies are mostly strengthening amid conflicting signals from the Middle East, reflecting cautious optimism across emerging markets...
📉 GOLD PRICE TECHNICAL STRUCTURE:
🔸 Gold experienced a significant drop during the early Asian session, forming a visible price gap near the 334x region...
🔸 On the H1 timeframe, a potential correction is underway. Price may retest 3325 or dip as low as 3287 before resuming bullish momentum. If support at 3290 holds or breaks, it could become a key signal for trend confirmation going forward...
🔐 KEY ZONES TO MONITOR:
🟥 Resistance Areas: 3366 – 3394 – 3409 – 3450
🟩 Support Levels: 3333 – 3325 – 3316 – 3293
🎯 POTENTIAL TRADE SETUPS (Price Action Bias):
🟢 Bullish Opportunity #1
📍Entry: 3286–3288
🎯Targets: 3305 → 3322 → 3345
🛑Stop Loss: 3282
🟢 Bullish Opportunity #2
📍Entry: 3296–3294
🎯Targets: 3305 → 3322 → 3345
🛑Stop Loss: 3292
🔴 Bearish Setup #1
📍Entry: 3383–3385
🎯Targets: 3375 → 3362 → 3340
🛑Stop Loss: 3389
📌 Heads-up: Keep an eye on today’s Fed commentary and any new political statements – both could bring unexpected volatility to gold prices...
XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementPrice Level & Trend
Current price $3380
The market has been forming lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a bearish trend continuation
A yellow zigzag line projects a possible downward price movement path
Resistance Zone
A red rectangular zone marks a strong resistance area, previously tested multiple times and rejected
Price failed to break above this zone, reinforcing the bearish outlook
Support & Target Levels
Three significant horizontal support levels are marked
Level 1 $3,368
Level 2 $3,356
Final Target Zone Around $3344 $3344
The final target is emphasized with an orange Target label and arrow, indicating the expected destination for this bearish move
Projection
The chart anticipates short-term pullbacks retracements followed by further downside
This is visualized through the yellow zigzag pattern illustrating probable future price action
Start going long on goldAlthough gold is under pressure and weak at present, gold still rebounded near 3295 under the influence of yesterday's major negative news, proving that there is still a large amount of buying funds below, limiting the retracement space of gold; and from 3295 to 3335, there is still a rebound space of $40, proving that gold is not extremely weak. Moreover, there is a gap left above, and there is a technical need to rebound to fill the gap;
In addition, yesterday gold fell sharply due to news, and there should be many longs trapped in the market. If gold is relatively stable, there may be self-rescue behavior of the trapped longs, so gold longs still have the opportunity to rebound to 3340-3350. At present, the main focus is on the short-term support area of 3315-3305, and we can moderately consider going long on gold in this area.
XAU/USD long position? Gold direction (novice analysis sharing)I anticipate Gold could rise. I'm now focus at the orange and the green order showing in the chart. Also, I would expect the price could reach to one of the orange line and react to it.
What I've seen is, in short-term gold maybe going down for a while before growth.
I'm now waiting for clear buying signal.
(self explore trading + free source online)
Short gold after reboundGold rebounded after touching 3312, and has now rebounded to 3330, but the rebound strength is far less than the decline strength, so the overall performance of gold is still weak. Because gold fell sharply yesterday, the market bullish confidence suffered a heavy blow, and there are many resistances above after gold fell and broke, and it is under pressure at 3340-3350 in the short term, and there is a technical gap above that suppresses the 3360-3370 area.
Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3360-3370 area, the short-selling force still has the upper hand, so we still focus on shorting gold in trading. We can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance, and look at the target area of 3320-3310.
The Premium privilege of my account will end on June 26, and it will stop updating here from tomorrow. Friends in the channel have already made a lot of money by following my trading strategies. Friends who have not joined yet can join and receive the latest trading strategies and trading signals in the first time to protect your trading!
GOLD 15M STILL LOOK WEAK AND READY FOR CORRECTION CONTINUATIONIm looking to sell this on 15m time frame
I wait for 1 of this scenarios to play out before i go in
First scenarios
-Possible RE-TEST 3341.50 AREA I have pending SELL here with SL 3350.50
Second scenarios
-Break of 3326.50 I will go in on BREAK OUT with SL 3335.50
I will prefer the first scenarios but let see what Market gave us today
Thanks and Holaaa
Happy Wednesday
XAUUSD long on market priceHere is the technical analysis for XAUUSD (gold).
Top down analysis show upward momentum:
Also on daily is bounced close to daily support-
On chart in the beginning it's visible that on 4H price has bounce from 4H support.
Market price: 3320
SL: 3280
TP1: 3360
TP2: 3400
Tp3: 3440