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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

XAU/USD Step-by-Step Trading Roadmap: A Dynamic Story The market opens, and you’re armed with your tools: the 30-minute chart as your primary guide, with the 5-minute for precision entries, the 1-hour and 4-hour for context, and the daily for trend bias. The plan is to adapt as the story unfolds, responding dynamically to price movements, indicators, and market conditions. Act 1: Opening Context and Initial Assessment Morning Check (Pre-Market): Daily Trend: If uptrending, focus on long trades at pullbacks (VWAP lower deviation or Fibonacci retracements). If downtrending, target short trades at resistance (VWAP upper deviation or Kumo rejection). If consolidating, prepare for range-bound trades. Key Levels: Identify support ($2,618, $2,622) and resistance ($2,628, $2,635). Volume and Momentum: Note RVOL (Relative Volume) and RSI. Spikes signal active institutional participation. Act 2: The Setup The price approaches $2,624, a critical level. Now, the story splits into multiple paths: Path 1: Normal Long Trade Scenario: Price pulls back to $2,620 (VWAP lower deviation). Action: Entry: Long $2,620. SL: $2,616 (ATR-based or below recent swing low). TP1: $2,624 (VWAP median). TP2: $2,628 (Fibonacci extension). TP3: $2,635 (Daily resistance). TSL: Once $2,624 is hit, trail SL to $2,622. What-If Scenarios: Price moves up and hits TP1: Scale out 50%, adjust TSL to $2,622. Price reverses: Exit remaining at TSL ($2,622). Price consolidates at $2,624: Monitor 5-minute chart for continuation signals (momentum candles, rising RSI). Path 2: Momentum Trade Scenario: Price breaks above $2,624 with strong momentum (RVOL > 1.5, bullish Ichimoku TK cross). Action: Entry: Buy Stop $2,626. SL: $2,622. TP1: $2,630. TP2: $2,635. TP3: $2,640 (Daily high). TSL: Trail SL to $2,628 once $2,630 is breached. What-If Scenarios: Price hits TP1 and slows: Reduce 50% position size, adjust TSL to $2,628. Price continues to TP2/TP3: Let TSL manage profit locking. Price reverses below $2,628: Exit fully and reassess for a potential short. Act 3: The Reaction The market tests $2,628, the resistance level. Path 3: Reversal Setup Scenario: Price fails to break $2,628 and forms a Shooting Star (bearish reversal candlestick) with RSI divergence. Action: Entry: Short $2,628. SL: $2,631. TP1: $2,624. TP2: $2,622. TP3: $2,618 (VWAP lower deviation). TSL: Trail SL to $2,624 after TP1 is hit. What-If Scenarios: Price reverses and breaks $2,628: Stop out and flip to a long trade. Price moves to TP1 and stalls: Reduce position size, tighten TSL. Price accelerates to TP2/TP3: Let trailing stop lock in profits. Act 4: Scaling and Stalling The market stalls near $2,624 during the London-NYC session overlap. Path 4: Scaling In and Out Scenario: Price consolidates at $2,624 with low RVOL but shows higher lows on the 5-minute chart. Action: Scale In: Add positions if bullish signals emerge (e.g., higher lows, TK cross). Monitor SL placement; keep it tight ($2,622). Scale Out: Take partial profits at $2,628, $2,630. Let the remaining position ride to $2,635 if momentum continues. What-If Scenarios: Price breaks down below $2,622: Exit fully and reassess for short opportunities. Momentum increases: Continue scaling out at Fibonacci levels. Act 5: Breakouts and Volume Surges The price approaches $2,635, a major resistance level. Path 5: Volume Breakout Scenario: Price surges above $2,635 with RVOL > 2.0. Action: Entry: Buy Stop $2,636. SL: $2,631. TP1: $2,640. TP2: $2,645 (Fibonacci extension). TP3: $2,650. TSL: Move SL to $2,635 after $2,640 is breached. What-If Scenarios: Price fails at $2,640: Exit partially at TSL. Price reverses sharply: Flip to short below $2,635. Act 6: Ending Scenarios Scenario 1: Market Consolidates Action: Stay sidelined if no clear signals align across Ichimoku, VWAP, and FVG. Scenario 2: Price Collapses Action: Use mean reversion strategies: Short breakdowns below $2,618. Long at oversold conditions near $2,610 with tight SL. Key Decision Points Summary Level Action SL TP1 TP2 TP3 TSL Strategy $2,618 Long (support pullback) $2,616 $2,622 $2,624 $2,628 Trail SL to $2,620 after TP1 is hit. $2,624 Long (momentum breakout) $2,622 $2,628 $2,630 $2,635 Trail SL to $2,628 after TP1 is hit. $2,628 Short (reversal setup) $2,631 $2,624 $2,622 $2,618 Trail SL to $2,624 after TP1 is hit. $2,635 Long (volume breakout) $2,631 $2,640 $2,645 $2,650 Trail SL to $2,635 after TP1 is hit. Conclusion By following this dynamic roadmap, you’re prepared to react to XAU/USD price movements in real-time, with setups that adapt to market conditions, session-specific opportunities, and evolving momentum. Let the market tell its story—and respond with precision.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold is experiencing a massive sell-off, today's market analysisGold fluctuates in a wide range. The hourly chart forms a converging triangle. Pay attention to the range of 2603-2630 to buy low and sell high. The market will be closed early today on Christmas Eve and will be closed all day tomorrow. Gold bulls are powerless, and the main market is still under the control of bears. The gold 1-hour chart hit 2633 twice and was blocked. Then the short-term gold has formed a double top. Gold may fall further. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2632! First support: 2608, second support: 2600, third support: 2588 First resistance: 2620, second resistance: 2632, third resistance: 2646 Trading strategy: BUY: 2603-2601 SELL: 2628-2630
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
GOLD // How can it reach the correction fibo 38.2?The daily short countertrend is valid, and the W/D/H4 timeframes are in sync, resulting in my bearish view. As long as the daily impulse base is not broken by the buyers, there are two clean breakouts that may trigger the shorts and lead the price to the target zone. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheMarketFlow
XAUUSD 22/12/25XAUUSD Analysis Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish. Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisDespite recent declines, gold's long-term outlook remains bullish. Several factors support a potential price increase: - Inflationary pressures: Gold is a proven hedge against inflation. - Geopolitical uncertainty: Gold is a safe-haven asset during economic and political turmoil. - Central bank demand: Increasing gold reserves by central banks supports demand. - Potential for lower interest rates: Lower rates make gold more attractive. However, potential headwinds include: - Strong US dollar: Makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers. - Rising real interest rates: Increases opportunity cost of holding gold. Key resistance levels will be closely watched for potential breakouts. A bullish reversal could be on the horizon. Target: $2,670 Stop Loss: $2,600 Wishing you a joyous holiday season and a prosperous New Year! Best Wishes Tom 😎
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tom_Trades_670
XAUUSD POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITY AROUND THE CORNER!!! DON’T MISS ITTaking into consideration, the market condition for the past 3 months+, we can deduce the trending nature of Xauusd from 2380 to the all time high price of $2,780 before it recorded a rapid decline in price which took 50% retrace of the impulse move to the upside when measured with fibinacci tool from 2380 to 2780. Going into new week. We approach the market with caution. As we watch closely, how market participants are likely to react to the present market conditions. Whether buyers are likely to take up the price higher or this recent pullback is just a setback for buyers thereby making price to dump lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Cartela
ASSETARTISAN 1. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear break of structure occurred, as indicated in the chart, signaling a shift in market momentum. This often aligns with a continuation of the prevailing trend. 2. Change of Character (ChoCH): The marked ChoCH points indicate shifts in market sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. These are often early signals of trend reversals or continuations. 3. Order Block Reaction: The price reacted strongly within a demand zone (blue-shaded area). This suggests that institutional buying was present, driving prices upward toward the target. 4. Momentum and Volume: The strong bullish momentum (indicated by large candlestick bodies) supported the price's rapid movement to the target. 5. Trend Continuation: The price is in a clear bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows forming, reinforcing the likelihood of hitting higher levels. In summary, the combination of structural breaks, demand zone reactions, and bullish momentum contributed to the target being achieved.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Tusharshelke
$2800- $3000: how does gold hold steady amid global uncertainty?Gold has once again emerged as a focal point in global financial markets, gaining significant attention from investors amidst economic instability and geopolitical tensions. In 2024, the price of gold increased by over 28%, reaffirming its role as a reliable asset for capital preservation during uncertain times. Below, we explore the primary factors influencing gold prices, investment strategies, and future prospects for this precious metal. What Drives Gold Prices? 1. Geopolitical Tensions as a Catalyst: Political and military conflicts , such as those in the Middle East, amplify the appeal of gold as a "safe haven." During periods of uncertainty, gold becomes a hedge against shocks in the global economy, prompting higher demand from both individual investors and institutions. 2. Impact of U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's monetary decisions significantly influence gold prices. The current economic environment, shaped by pressure for lower interest rates, benefits gold as an asset class. Under the influence of a potentially “dovish” U.S. administration, expectations of sustained inflation and reduced rates create a favorable backdrop for gold. 3. Increased Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide have been actively boosting their gold reserves. Gold serves as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations, particularly for economies in regions like India and the Middle East, where the metal holds cultural and financial significance. Investment Opportunities in Gold Investing in gold offers diverse options, each catering to different risk appetites and levels of expertise: • Gold ETFs: Exchange-traded funds are an accessible entry point for novice investors due to their simplicity and low barriers to entry. These funds allow investors to gain exposure to gold without the complexities of physical ownership. • Shares of Gold Mining Companies: Stocks in companies like Newmont (USA), Barrick Gold (Canada), and Freeport-McMoRan (USA) offer potential for higher returns compared to direct gold investments. However, they come with added risks due to market volatility and company-specific factors. • Gold Futures: Futures contracts enable investors to lock in prices and mitigate volatility. This strategy is best suited for experienced investors who understand market dynamics and risk management. Outlook for 2025 The combination of geopolitical instability, high inflation, and low interest rates sets the stage for continued growth in gold prices. Over the next six months, gold prices are projected to reach $2800 per ounce. While crossing the $3000 mark may seem overly optimistic, it remains a possibility under certain geopolitical scenarios. As global economic uncertainties persist, gold's role as a stable and reliable investment is likely to strengthen, ensuring its continued relevance in diversified portfolios. NYSE:NEM TSX:ABX NYSE:FCX
TVC:GOLDLong
by juliakhandoshko
XAU/USD 19 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLDThe gold price dropped today due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish cut, which sent investors seeking safety into the US Dollar, outpacing demand for gold. As a result, gold fell towards $2,600 and below.. This move was anticipated, as the market had priced in a hawkish cut, and the focus is now on the Fed's expectations for 2025, which suggest fewer interest rate cuts. The drop in gold price is also attributed to the strengthening US Dollar, which is trading near its weekly highs against most major rivals. Additionally, the technical indicators are neutral-to-bearish, developing around their midlines and failing to provide clear directional clues. On dxy rally AUDUSD,USDJPY,EURUSD,USDCAD,GBPUSD will have a change in directional clues
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long. Intraday short-term operation suggestions: BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30 $: 55 62 68
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
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