GOLD trade ideas
Gold Analysis โ Likely Scenario๐ Gold is currently trading around 3375 USD and gaining bullish momentum with the London session opening.
๐ธ Key Zones:
๐จ Critical Resistance (Orange Zone):
๐ 3378 โ 3384โ
Price consolidation zone โ if broken with strong volume, a bullish continuation is likely.
๐ด Supply Zones (FVG):
1๏ธโฃ Upper FVG 1H:๐ 3386 โ 3397
2๏ธโฃ Main Supply Zone FVG 1H:๐ 3405 โ 3422
๐ข Demand Zone (1H OB):
๐ 3345 โ 3350โ
Strong buy zone after the breakout of falling wedge structure.
๐ต Lower Demand FVGs:
3330 โ 3335
3315 โ 3325
3290 โ 3300
3260 โ 3270
โณ๏ธ Likely Scenario:
If the orange resistance zone breaks, price is likely to rally toward the 3386 โ 3397 FVG, and potentially 3405 โ 3422.
If price gets rejected, watch for reactions at the 3345 โ 3350 OB for potential long entries.
๐ Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Letโs grow together ๐
Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345โ3370 Range Explode? XAUUSD 04/06 โ Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345โ3370 Range Explode?
Gold is currently consolidating within a critical range between 3345โ3370, following a wave 4 correction. After a sharp retracement to the 335x area, traders are closely watching for the next move โ either a continuation of the correction or a breakout toward new highs.
๐ MACRO CONTEXT
TrumpโXi Call Incoming: A high-level diplomatic call is expected in the coming days. Market participants are anticipating potential shifts in global trade sentiment.
US 10-Year Yields remain elevated, keeping pressure on gold in the short term. However, geopolitical risks and macro uncertainty still support demand for safe-haven assets.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness after recent strength, which may give gold room for recovery.
๐ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS โ H1 / H4 Timeframe
Gold is in a wave 4 structure within a 5-wave Elliott pattern. A break above 3370 could signal the beginning of wave 5, targeting 3400.
A breakdown below 3345 would imply deeper correction toward the 332x liquidity zone, completing wave 4 before a bullish continuation.
EMAs 13 and 34 remain above EMA200 on H1, indicating the broader uptrend is still intact.
๐ STRATEGIC PRICE LEVELS
๐ข BUY ZONE: 3317 โ 3315
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3322 โ 3326 โ 3330 โ 3334 โ 3338 โ 3345 โ 3350 โ 3360
๐ด SELL ZONE: 3372 โ 3374
Stop Loss: 3378
Take Profit: 3368 โ 3364 โ 3360 โ 3356 โ 3350 โ 3345
โ ๏ธ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
Respect the 3345โ3370 range until a breakout is confirmed.
Avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range. Wait for strong rejections or clear breakout confirmations.
Be cautious with unexpected news from the TrumpโXi call, which may trigger sudden market volatility.
๐ FINAL THOUGHT
โGold is at a turning point. Break above 3370 and we may see wave 5 unfold toward 3400. But a breakdown below 3345 could drag price lower before the next bullish leg begins. Focus on the key zones โ volatility is just getting started.โ
forecast 03/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
Gold Price Analysis June 2With the recovery waves of the D1 frame, the position of Gold returns to the wide Sideway near the ATH zone
3360 and 3260 sideway 100 price for the current trend. And today it is still possible to break this zone.
GOLD increased strongly in the European session, touching the upper border of the sideway model
The h1 wave is still a more bullish wave. With the support zone opening the GAP of the Asian session 3296 is still considered a strong support zone today. The breakout zone in the morning also becomes an important support zone
In the opposite direction of the break 3360, there is still a zone 3368 as the immediate resistance before the Gold price is on the way to ATH. Attention daily resistance 3396
H1 frame analysis for next week gold plan after NFMGold is running wave 3, planning to go down to the near resistance zone then run wave 4 to the area just broken out, continue running wave 5 to decrease to complete the short-term decrease cycle
Everyone pay attention to the transaction, I have noted the price zones for everyone to refer to. Thank you traders for reading the article.
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Gold has reached the integer mark, and there will be big moves!Short-term analysis of gold; the recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
Last week, gold did not appear purely unilateral, all kinds of reversals, staying at the same point at different times, but many friends suffered heavy losses, which is extremely challenging to the mentality and adaptability. If you still have positions last week, please communicate with me at any time and give the best solution.
Gold operation ideas today;
1; The upper short order can enter the market at the 3400 line, with a stop loss, the target is more than 20 points, today's short only try once at this position, try not to short at other positions
2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3330 line, look at 10-15 points, and lose 8 points. If you want to try long orders, you must strictly set a stop loss.
~If you still hold short positions below, it is recommended to unlock positions in batches. Do not hold positions blindly, as this will be very passive.
US-China Talk Drops Gold Short; Short StrategyToday, Trump announced that China and the U.S. participated in a telephone exchange ๐! After the market learned this, optimistic sentiment surged rapidly, causing U.S. stock futures to rise sharply in the short term ๐. As a result, spot gold turned lower in the short term โ. The current situation favors short positions:
Short at current price ๐: Initiate a small short position near 3350 ๐, set a unified stop loss above 3360 โ ๏ธ, and target key support levels at 3325-3320 ๐ฏ.
Add to shorts on rebound โ๏ธ: If the price rebounds to the 3350-3360 range, increase the short position ๐, maintaining the same target ๐ฏ.
Chase shorts on breakdown ๐ฅ: If the price breaks below 3320 support, chase the short trend with a stop loss at 3330 โ ๏ธ, targeting the psychological level of 3300 ๐ง .
Risk reminder โ ๏ธ: Monitor U.S. stock futures and follow-up developments in U.S.-China relations closely ๐, and be wary of volatility caused by a reversal in market sentiment ๐ฆ. Keep position sizes within 10% โ๏ธ and strictly adhere to stop losses โ.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3350-3355
tp:3325-3320
sell@3315-3320
tp:3305-3300
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I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 โโarea, TP: 3365-3355
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 3327.52 a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 3381.40, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3274.45, a swing low support.
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WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? XAUUSD PLAN โ JUNE 3RD | WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY?
After a massive $100 rally at the start of the week, gold has begun to pull back โ dropping over $30 during the Asia session today. This is likely the end of Wave 3 (the strongest impulse in a 5-wave Elliott structure), as investors lock in profits and await key macro events.
๐ MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
A high-stakes call between Trump and Xi Jinping is expected this week, which could reshape short-term trade sentiment.
Investors are moving into cash positions, taking profits after Mondayโs surge, and waiting for direction from the upcoming US-China negotiations.
Macro themes remain supportive for volatility: tariff risks, inflation worries, and geopolitical uncertainty.
๐ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK โ H2 / H4 / D1
On the higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a bullish structure, with EMAs aligned for upside continuation.
On intraday charts (M30โH1), weโre seeing a clean correction, likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone below.
The key BUY zone at 3320โ3310 will decide direction:
If it holds: strong long setups.
If it breaks: possible structure shift and deeper downside.
๐ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
๐ข BUY ZONE: 3320 โ 3318
SL: 3314
TP: 3324 โ 3328 โ 3332 โ 3336 โ 3340 โ 3344 โ 3350 โ 3360 โ ???
๐ด SELL ZONE: 3388 โ 3390
SL: 3394
TP: 3384 โ 3380 โ 3376 โ 3370 โ 3366 โ 3360 โ 3350
๐ FINAL THOUGHTS
โGold is in a healthy correction after a massive surge. The 3310โ3320 zone is crucial. Hold it, and bulls may take over again โ break it, and we may see a deeper pullback."
โ ๏ธ Stay cautious ahead of political headlines. Any remarks from the TrumpโXi call could spark aggressive price action.
GOLD Additional factors supporting goldโs bullish opening include:
Modest US dollar weakness: The dollar has softened amid fiscal concerns and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
US fiscal concerns: Worries about the US debt situation and potential impacts of tax-cutting bills have increased safe-haven demand for gold.
Technical buying: Gold prices breaking above key resistance levels have attracted fresh buying interest, setting the stage for further gains toward $3,400 and beyond.
In summary, the bullish gold opening today reflects a combination of heightened geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, US fiscal concerns, and expectations of Fed easing, all of which drive investors to seek safety in gold.
XAUUSD โ Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakoutAn inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked, and a breakout above the neckline has occurred with strong bullish momentum.
Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of support above the neckline and trendline. Volume also confirms the move, with increased buying pressure during the breakout.
This setup indicates a potential bullish continuation. The trade idea includes a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the target zone near 3390 and stop-loss placed just below the neckline support around 3330.
Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Neckline Breakout Confirmed
Support Levels: 3303, 3330
Resistance/Target Zone: 3390+
Volume Confirmation: Present
This is a technical analysis idea and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Trade UpdateGoldโs strong bullish momentum has extended from the London session into the US session, invalidating our previous expectations. Our outlook has now shifted decisively to the upside for the yellow metal.
We are targeting an initial move to $3,500, with the potential for a new all-time high beyond that level.
However, we anticipate a short-term pullback to retest the falling trendline โ now acting as support โ before resuming its upward trajectory.
From the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive
A MASSIVE BREAKDOWN FOR XAU/USD๐ Chart Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H (Heikin Ashi candles)
Indicators:
RSI (middle panel): Showing sideways movement with a slight bullish tilt.
MACD-like oscillator (bottom panel): Includes histogram, signal lines, and red/green dot markers, suggesting potential overbought/oversold conditions or momentum shifts.
๐ Key Technical Features:
Harmonic Patterns & Fib Levels:
Multiple harmonic-like retracements (potential ABCD or Bat/Gartley structures).
Key Fibonacci retracements drawn: 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 from multiple swing highs and lows.
Zones of confluence shown in orange rectangles, suggesting strong S/R levels.
Triangle Formation:
Price is nearing the apex of a symmetrical triangle.
Breakout or breakdown imminent โ strong directional move likely soon.
Trade Setup (Bearish Bias):
Red zone indicates potential short entry area (~$3,323).
Target shown near $3,060, aligned with previous major support and measured move projections.
Risk appears defined just above triangle resistance, suggesting tight stop-loss above $3,323.
๐ Bearish Scenario Bias:
Breakdown from triangle could validate the short idea.
Large harmonic projections (1:2 extensions) point toward deeper corrective targets.
Bearish divergence may be forming (price making lower highs while oscillator rises).
๐ Bullish Invalidation:
Break and close above $3,323 and triangle resistance would invalidate the bear thesis and could imply resumption of uptrend toward $3,435โ$3,500.