XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action Update – May 26 , 2025📊XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action Update – May 26 , 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,346.70
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢 3336–3340 – Fresh short-term breaker block; a bullish reaction zone
🟢 3322–3327 – Previous consolidation breakout zone, potential re-entry level
🟢 3279–3289 – Strong rally base rally; high probability demand zone
📈Bullish Outlook:
If price continues to hold above the 3336–3340 zone, we could see a push back toward 3,360+ levels. A deep pullback to 3322–3327 or even 3279–3289 would offer strong long opportunities if bullish confirmation appears (e.g., engulfing, CHoCH).
📉Bearish Outlook:
If the 3336–3340 zone fails, price may revisit 3322–3327. Breaking below that could indicate a deeper correction to 3279. Avoid premature entries; wait for bearish confirmation in case of zone breakdowns.
⚠️Smart Money Tip:
Only enter trades after confirmation and BOS/CHoCH signals. Mark liquidity grabs and avoid entries inside consolidation.
GOLD trade ideas
A MASSIVE BREAKDOWN FOR XAU/USD📊 Chart Overview:
Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H (Heikin Ashi candles)
Indicators:
RSI (middle panel): Showing sideways movement with a slight bullish tilt.
MACD-like oscillator (bottom panel): Includes histogram, signal lines, and red/green dot markers, suggesting potential overbought/oversold conditions or momentum shifts.
🔍 Key Technical Features:
Harmonic Patterns & Fib Levels:
Multiple harmonic-like retracements (potential ABCD or Bat/Gartley structures).
Key Fibonacci retracements drawn: 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 from multiple swing highs and lows.
Zones of confluence shown in orange rectangles, suggesting strong S/R levels.
Triangle Formation:
Price is nearing the apex of a symmetrical triangle.
Breakout or breakdown imminent — strong directional move likely soon.
Trade Setup (Bearish Bias):
Red zone indicates potential short entry area (~$3,323).
Target shown near $3,060, aligned with previous major support and measured move projections.
Risk appears defined just above triangle resistance, suggesting tight stop-loss above $3,323.
📉 Bearish Scenario Bias:
Breakdown from triangle could validate the short idea.
Large harmonic projections (1:2 extensions) point toward deeper corrective targets.
Bearish divergence may be forming (price making lower highs while oscillator rises).
📈 Bullish Invalidation:
Break and close above $3,323 and triangle resistance would invalidate the bear thesis and could imply resumption of uptrend toward $3,435–$3,500.
Check the trend If a trend change occurs within the current support area, the start of an uptrend is likely. Then, depending on the price behavior within the resistance area, the continuation of the trend will be determined.
If the red support area is broken, the continuation of the downtrend is likely.
XAUUSD 15MThanks for the second chart. Here's a breakdown of what this image shows:
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📉 Chart Summary:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Broker/Exchange: OANDA
Timeframe: 15-minute chart
Current Price: ~3,293.970 USD
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🧠 Trade Setup Analysis:
Entry Point:
Clearly marked near 3,300.000 USD
Indicates a short (sell) trade taken at a resistance level after price bounced up and started declining.
Target:
Labeled as “Target Successful”
Appears to be around the 3,255.000 – 3,260.000 USD zone.
Suggests the short trade reached its take-profit level successfully.
Trade Direction:
This is a bearish setup.
Arrows show the expectation of price dropping from the resistance back down to the target zone.
Price Action Confirmation:
Before the entry, we see a reversal pattern from the high.
The drop afterward confirmed the setup was effective.
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✅ Summary:
This chart demonstrates a clean resistance-based sell trade on XAU/USD that hit its take-profit (TP) target. The purple arrow highlights the price movement downward, reinforcing the visual confirmation of a successful short trade execution.
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Would you like a comparison between this gold trade setup and the Bitcoin one you previously shared (e.g., risk/reward, timing, effectiveness)?
May 30, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Today is the final trading day of May — expect potential volatility as institutions may close monthly positions.
👉 Main plan: BUY on pullbacks to support around 3300–3305, as long as it holds.
Range trading between 3288–3325 is possible — trade high sell / low buy.
🔍 Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3350 / 3332 / 3325 / 3315
• Support: 3305 / 3300 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3250
📉 Macro Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3305 → target 3300, 3295, 3288, 3276
• BUY if price holds above 3325 → target 3332, 3337, 3345, 3350
💬 If this plan helps, drop a like to show support — it keeps me motivated to share more! 🙌
Don't define the price of gold
💡Message Strategy
The U.S. International Trade Court ruled that Trump's tariffs exceeded his authority. Once the ruling was made, market risk appetite quickly rebounded, driving global risk assets up and safe-haven assets such as gold came under selling pressure. The price of gold fell to $3,245 during the Asian trading session, hitting a 10-day low.
In addition to the weakening of risk aversion, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May meeting reinforced the market's expectation that it would "maintain interest rates unchanged for a long time". In addition, the generally strong US economic data released this week caused the US dollar index (DXY) to return to the 100 mark, which put continued pressure on gold, a non-interest-bearing asset.
📊Technical aspects
Technically, gold price fell below the short-term rising trend line and the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, and the short-term trend turned bearish. If it falls below the key support of $3,245 (50% Fibonacci retracement level), it may further point to $3,215 (61% retracement) or even $3,200 and $3,180. The upper rebound resistance is located at $3,300, $3,325 and $3,350 respectively.
From the daily chart, gold (XAU/USD) closed negative for the fourth consecutive day. The price has effectively fallen below the lower track of the short-term rising channel and continued to run below the 10-day and 15-day moving averages, indicating that the short-term momentum has weakened. The MACD fast and slow lines have a dead cross, and the green column is enlarged, further confirming the short signal.
Currently, the vicinity of $3245 is the support of the previous shock range. Once it is lost, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $3215 will be tested below, and even approach the psychological integer level of $3200.
If the gold price is supported in this area, it is expected to build a staged bottom; on the contrary, if it falls below $3200, it will look down to the $3150-3110 area. The short-term rebound needs to pay attention to the pressure level near $3300, which is also the dense intersection area of the previous moving averages. The overall structure suggests that the shorts are dominant.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3310-3320,3340-3350
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
5/29 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold rose first and then declined. Our long positions targeting 3318–3326 were completed successfully, and we timely shifted to short positions, resulting in another round of solid profits.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold remains in a bearish trend, and is now very close to the 3275 support level. Based on the current price structure, a break below this level is highly probable.
If $3275 is breached, focus on key support at 3258–3238
Resistance levels to watch: 3298–3318
The daily (1D) chart is currently in an indicator correction phase, so today's trading bias is selling from higher levels
🗞 News Focus:
Watch for U.S. initial jobless claims data today. It may offer short-term support for gold, but is unlikely to reverse the broader bearish trend.
📈 Today’s Trade Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (resistance zone)
📈 Buy in the 3245–3232 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading levels:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3258 / 3247
Stay adaptive and combine news with price action at key levels for best results.
Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading day!
XAUUSD – Holding the channel, eyeing a bounceGold is still trading within a rising channel, recently touching the confluence support zone of the trendline, the 89 EMA, and the demand area around 3,287. This level has seen strong reactions in the past – and if price holds here again, a bounce toward the 3,382 zone is highly likely.
Supporting factor: Market sentiment remains cautious after Moody’s emphasized the risks surrounding U.S. public debt, putting pressure on the USD and boosting gold’s appeal. In addition, investors are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Core PCE data later this week – a key factor that could influence Fed rate cut expectations.
Suggested scenario: Favor buying if the price holds above 3,287, targeting 3,382 – the upper boundary of the channel. If this fails, selling pressure may return.
Gold Price Action Analysis – Using MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) 🔍 Overview:
In this idea, we dive deep into XAU/USD's (Gold) short-term bearish move using a blend of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The 15-minute chart provides an excellent visual of market psychology shifting, with CHoCHs, supply-demand zones, SR flips, and the Black Mind Curve highlighting the story of price.
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown:
🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Formed
Price pushed aggressively upward but met strong rejection near the major resistance zone.
This zone acts as a ceiling for the bullish momentum—setting the first signal for a possible reversal.
🔵 2. Black Mind Curve Activated
A descending Black Mind Curve was plotted to reflect the psychological shift from bullish to bearish.
Price failed multiple times to break above this curve, highlighting strong internal weakness.
The Black Mind Curve visually reinforces the bearish tone and offers a roadmap for probable lower highs.
🔵 3. Minor Resistance + SR Interchange
As price dropped, it created a minor resistance.
When price returned to this area and rejected it, this confirmed an SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)—a classic MMC feature.
Mirror Market Concepts suggest that old demand often mirrors into new supply. That's exactly what happens here.
🔵 4. Major CHoCH: Change of Character
A decisive break of the bullish structure signaled a Major CHoCH, confirming bearish order flow.
This is the moment smart money starts repositioning for shorts—liquidity has been grabbed above previous highs, and the direction shifts.
🔵 5. 50% Retracement
After the impulsive drop, price retraced nearly 50%—a key area of interest for MMC traders.
This level often acts as a decision point. In this case, price rejects the retracement, creating an ideal zone for re-entries.
🔵 6. Targeting the Demand Zone
The projected target lies in a prior demand zone, which mirrors earlier supply structure.
This aligns with MMC’s principle of "market reflection"—what was resistance becomes support again, and vice versa.
🎯 Trade Bias: Bearish
Entry Confirmation: After CHoCH + rejection from 50% level + re-alignment with Black Mind Curve.
SL: Just above the 50% retracement or last minor high.
TP: At the marked target zone near historical demand.
🧠 Why MMC Works Here:
MMC helps you see the market in reverse—where previous zones mirror and reflect. Combined with smart money triggers like CHoCHs, BOS, liquidity sweeps, and SR flips, this makes for a precise trading model that goes beyond basic support and resistance.
The beauty of MMC is that it reveals where the crowd is wrong and where the real momentum lies.
🔑 Key Takeaways for Traders:
The Black Mind Curve helps visualize hidden resistance paths.
CHoCHs are crucial in understanding market intent.
MMC allows traders to anticipate instead of react.
High probability setups form where multiple MMC/SMC elements converge.
Always wait for confirmation, not assumption.
Gold May Face Short-Term Correction at $3,350 Resistance📊 Market Overview:
- Gold is trading around $3,329/oz on May 27, after a slight decline due to President Donald Trump's postponement of the 50% tariffs on the EU until July 9, easing trade tensions.
- However, end-of-month USD selling pressure from portfolio rebalancing and concerns over U.S. debt continue to support gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis:
- Key Resistance: $3,350
- Nearest Support: $3,295
- Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: The 14-day RSI is at 57, suggesting bullish momentum persists. However, price is testing strong resistance at $3,350. Failure to break through may lead to a pullback towards $3,295.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a short-term pullback if it fails to break above the $3,350 resistance level and if market sentiment continues to be influenced by geopolitical and monetary policy factors.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,350
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,295
🎯 TP: $3,310
❌ SL: $3,390
XAUUSD Trade Outlook- TuesdayGold is currently sitting at a critical decision zone, testing the trendline and potential breaker structure after failing to break the Previous Day High (PDH) and reacting from Order Point (OP).
🔍 Key Observations:
Price rejected from PDH + OP zone with a clean bearish reaction.
Now sitting on a key ascending trendline and the Previous Day Low (PDL).
Structural Support Sweep (SSS) remains a major clue that downside may not be over.
If price confirms breakdown below PDL + Trendline, expect price to reach 3290, followed by 3270 and even Recent Broken Resistance zone near 3250.
📌 Bias: Bearish
📈 Trigger: Break and retest of trendline + PDL
📉 Target Zones:
– TP1: 3290
– TP2: 3270
– TP3: 3250
💡 Key Note for Chart Watchers:
Watch for fakeouts around 3330–3345. Confirmation comes only on solid 15min close below PDL and failure to reclaim OP zone.
🕰️ Let NY session provide final direction – this setup builds anticipation.
GOLD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading along the rising support
And as it will soon retest the line
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 3,361$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD While the GBPJPY trade is still active, I’ve also spotted a new opportunity on XAUUSD and have entered a sell position. I'm sharing the trade here for traders who may want to take it as well.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1 / 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3329.64
✔️ Take Profit: 3324.68
✔️ Stop Loss: 3334.59
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Gold Projection 25/05/2025TVC:GOLD Chart Breakdown
Current Price: 3,357.519
Structure Focus: Still under the major downtrend line (red diagonal), price is reacting near resistance.
Fibonacci Levels:
0.382: 3,366.444 (resistance zone just tested)
0.5: 3,392.6 / 3,392.9
0.618: 3,418.7 and 3,457.1
0.236 (local support): 3,334.087
0.382 (next support): 3,328.697
0 (retracement target): 3,281.785
🧠 Key Observations
Retest of Downtrend Line:
The price is pressing into the trendline and has not decisively broken above it. Sellers are reacting in this area.
Bearish Pressure Signs:
Several candles show indecision or rejection wicks near the 3,360–3,366 area.
Trendline remains unbroken — key resistance is holding for now.
Fibonacci Confluence Zone (Sells Likely):
0.382–0.5 retracement level (~3,366–3,393) is a likely sell zone, aligning with the trendline.
Support Zones Below:
Immediate: 3,334 (Fib 0.236)
Medium-term: 3,328, and 3,281 (0% retrace)
Further below: 3,249 and 3,120
🔮 Next Week Projections (May 27–31)
🔻 Primary Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)
Setup: Price fails to break above the trendline and 0.382–0.5 Fib resistance (~3,366–3,393).
Action: Rejection confirms short entry.
Targets:
TP1: 3,334 (local support)
TP2: 3,328
TP3: 3,281 (major swing support / 0% retracement)
Invalidation: Sustained breakout above 3,393–3,400
🔺 Bullish Breakout Scenario
Setup: Clean breakout above trendline and 3,393, followed by support retest.
Action: Long entry after retest with confirmation.
Targets:
TP1: 3,418 (0.618 Fib)
TP2: 3,455 (0.786 Fib)
TP3: 3,503 (previous high)
✅ Watchlist for Trade Setup
Monitor candlestick patterns near 3,360–3,393
Look for confirmation from:
RSI divergence or overbought conditions for shorts
Volume surge for breakout validation
Break/retest structure
Key Levels for the Month 06/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍 Key Levels Overview for the Month 🐍
__________________________
Trend Base Lines
3112🐂🐂3259
3268🏛🏛3460
3370🐻🐻3703
__________________________
Resistances🔀
3082
3169
3368
3417
3448
3473
3510
3564
3634
3713
3883
4049
Mids∷∷∷
2995
3256
3281
3309
3362
3390
3460
3717
Supports🔀
3552
3386
3330
3250
3206
3122
3105
3086
2908
2821