XAUUSD Weekly ViewGold prices have soared to a new record high of $3,500 per ounce, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and escalating concerns over Federal Reserve policies and trade tensions. The dollar index has fallen to 98.164, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge reflects a strong bullish sentiment, with traders buying into the rally despite traditional overbought indicators.
- Analysts are now eyeing a potential temporary pullback for gold and profit taking.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold price breaks through a new high of 3500 and enters the key Gold price hit a new record high of 3500. After reaching this point, it showed obvious pressure and went down to find the 3461 area. This is the largest correction since the rise of 3284 last Thursday.
Today's early trading price also continued to rise and break through the new high, but there was an episode, that is, it first broke through the high of 3444, then fell sharply to 3412, and finally confirmed the strong rise at 3418 to break through the new high, and continued to break through the sprint
Until noon, it sprinted to 3495 and suppressed the decline to find 3473 support, and then pulled up again to sprint to break the high of 3500. This time the decline was relatively strong, falling to the 3461 area
So far, the rising process can be slightly slowed down and enter a wave of adjustment
Accumulate momentum to provide power for the next round of start-up
During the adjustment process, pay attention to the golden section line
This wave from Since the rise from 2970, the largest adjustment squat is 0.382, and now this position is 3417, which is close to the Asian market acceleration starting point 3418. The two together become the stabilizer of the bullish trend: 0.382 position 3417 area
This is the first focus of today. During the adjustment process, pay attention to the position of the golden section line
0.382 position is 3417, close to the acceleration starting point
0.500 position is 3391, close to the 3384 area along the channel line
0.618 position is 3366, close to the four-hour lifeline
The current price space is large and the speed is fast. Articles and analysis are only auxiliary, and are more temporary reminders. Plans cannot keep up with changes. The three key points mentioned above can be kept in mind. If there are price variables during the process, they can also be adjusted accordingly.
Final upward push and then a possible correctionGold may likely try to touch the 3450,3470, and possibly 3500 marks as it is in a strong bullish trend. Price action persisted in going past the 3430 point, as it was the current all-time high, which may lead the price to further continue its upward trajectory. However, the bullish trend may correct after having risen for some days and weeks. A correction is bound to okay depending on where the price rising pressure stalls.
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I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(SELL)trade( XAUUSD ) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3460) to (3458) 📊
FIRST TP (3452)📊
2ND TARGET (3444) 📊
LAST TARGET (3435) 📊
STOP LOOS (3468)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
XAUUSD Weekly IdeaGold Prices Surge Amid Inflation Concerns and Increased Tariffs
- Gold prices have formed new ATH. The driving forces behind this ascent include escalating inflation concerns and intensified trade tensions, notably the U.S. administration’s recent increase of tariffs on Chinese imports from 104% to 125%.
- These heightened tariffs have amplified fears of rising consumer prices, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a traditional hedge against inflation. Complicating the economic landscape, the Federal Reserve faces the delicate task of balancing surging inflation with slowing economic growth, making near-term interest rate cuts increasingly uncertain.
Technical standpoint
A decisive move beyond the $3,167.84 peak could signal further upside targeting $3400 potential, while a drop below this moving average might prompt a reassessment of the bullish outlook.
Gold prices soared, how to arrange transactions during the dayDuring Asian trading hours, international gold prices maintained record gains, reaching a maximum of 3,495, as U.S. President Trump criticized the Chairman of the Federal Reserve and concerns that trade tensions could hinder economic growth drove demand for safe-haven assets. After yesterday's surge of nearly 100 US dollars and breaking through the 3,400 mark, the price of gold further climbed over 80 US dollars during the day, reaching a maximum of 3,494, with an intraday increase of nearly 2%.
Judging from the current trend, gold prices seem to be breaking through the 3,500 mark just around the corner. However, it should be noted that this wave of market sentiment is mainly driven by market sentiment and has broken away from the framework of traditional technical analysis. For investors, in such extreme conditions, it may be a safer choice to stay on the sidelines. In particular, we must avoid blind short selling. In the current upward trend, short selling is undoubtedly an extremely risky operation.
The technical moving average radiates upward, the technical indicators continue to rise, and the bullish signal is clear. After the 4H chart reached a new high, the top divergence of technical indicators intensified, and gold is currently experiencing a technical correction. The upper resistance is currently blocked at 3500-3510, while the lower part needs to pay attention to the 3455 first-line watershed. For intraday operations, it is still recommended to focus on retracement and long positions, and wait patiently for key positions to enter the market.
Intraday operation suggestions:
buy 3455-3555
TP 3500-3520
Radical brothers go long at 3470
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Interpretation of gold US market operation ideas! ! !Gold continued to be bullish in the morning, and the 3400 mark has been broken. How will it evolve next?
The US dollar index directly fell on Monday morning, and the US Y index fell by more than 8% this year, causing gold to rise in a variable. The rise in gold caused by this situation will be greatly adjusted due to the recovery of the US dollar! The key to winning or losing tonight lies between 20 and 22 o'clock.
If the US stock market opens, it will fall below the 98 mark due to the southward movement of the US dollar, creating a new low since April 2022! The market's trust in the US dollar as a global reserve currency has declined! The possibility of turning to other safe-haven assets has increased, thereby increasing the variable of gold rising.
If based on this logic, tonight's 20-23 o'clock cycle is the main winning or losing day of this week!
Hypothetical principle: If it is postponed to the north during the day, everyone should pay attention to the selling pressure near 3415. As the price changes, the selling pressure is more likely to occur! And the defense line will rise in each round of corrective retracement!
Short-term defense line: 3355-3370-3383-3392
Pressure level above: 3430-3458
Risk notice: 1. When everyone is paying attention, long positions may fall at any time, and the range will not be less than 50-80 points!
2. The decline of the US dollar index will lead to a collapse in futures, which will trigger a chain reaction. Traders will face the possibility of gold settlement to fill the gap in other markets!
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Hey everyone happy new week ahead…One of the best things I do on Sunday before the market opens is posting my weekly analysis for you guys and also ending the week with a win trade or no trade as long we don’t break our rules so guys I’m still bullish on Gold and this week if we can get a break below and price get to our support zone the one with the color green I will see if I can get a good confirmation and take more buys to the upside but if price price breaks above I will wait for a nice pullback and a confirmation too to take more buys so yes this is it for the week…I will update you guys if I’m executing any trade too…
XAUUSD: Trading Strategy for Next Week
The upward trend of gold has not ended yet. Pay attention to the support level near 3,280. When the price reaches the support area, you can continue to go long.
All trading signals are accurate. I will keep sending signals. Don't miss them.
Trading Strategy for Gold Next Week:
xauusd buy@3280-3290
tp:3330-3350
GOLD → Gold Market Forecast and AnalysisFor most of the period from 2025 to now, gold prices have risen almost continuously, hitting new all-time highs. Since October 2022, gold prices have almost doubled, rising by more than 25% in 2025 alone, reaching a new all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22. The $4,000 price level, once considered untouchable, is now openly discussed in trading halls around the world.
The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, could significantly reduce safe-haven demand.
While this is not the base case for 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have retreated from recent highs after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced.
The sharp rise in gold prices increases the possibility of a correction. If the upward momentum slows, profit-taking could trigger a rapid and violent sell-off. As with any parabolic rise, volatility is inevitable; prices often experience a short-term downward trend before setting new all-time highs. Traders with short-term strategies should be aware of such price declines and practice risk management: avoid large trades, set stop-losses, and diversify their portfolios.
Quaid wants to say:
Opportunities always come to those who dare to act. Be bold in the gold market, and the next winner will be you, my friend.
Interpretation of 4.25 Gold Short-term Operation IdeasFrom the technical analysis of the hourly market, yesterday's low was at $3,306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3,315, and the higher level is $3,328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3,287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3,260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3,260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline.
XAUMO | Tactical Market Report – Friday, April 25, 2025
Overall Market Outlook:
The market is currently moving in a clear distribution zone, between 3,337 and 3,346.
There’s strong evidence of a bull trap near the 3,346 high.
Price is failing to stay above the VWAP, and we’re seeing overlapping signals between the HMA5 and EMA21.
A close below 3,329.00 would be a major reversal signal, possibly kicking off a wide downward move.
Session-Based Behavior (Cairo Time):
1. London Session (10:00 AM – 1:00 PM):
Expected Behavior: Fake breakout to attract buyers
Tactics:
Watch for fast moves into the 3,337–3,345 zone
Sell if rejection candles appear (Shooting Star / Bearish Engulfing)
Confirm with divergence or internal support break on the 15-min chart
2. Pre-New York (1:00 PM – 3:00 PM):
Expected Behavior: Tight consolidation and position building
Tactics:
Monitor price around 3,320–3,329
If price stays below VWAP, stick with short positions
Don’t go long unless there’s a real breakout with strong volume + RSI confirmation
3. New York Open (3:30 PM – 4:30 PM):
Expected Behavior: Initial fake move followed by strong momentum
Tactics:
Sell after a break below 3,306 + retest
RSI dropping below 40 = strong bearish momentum confirmation
4. New York Continuation (After 4:30 PM):
Expected Behavior: Continuation in the dominant direction
Tactics:
If price stays under 3,306.50 → continue selling
Use a trailing take profit and adjust based on price movement
Trading Scenarios:
Main Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry Options:
Sell Limit at 3,329
Sell Stop at 3,306
Stop Loss Levels:
SL1: 3,341.12
SL2 (Trailing): 3,345.35
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3,294
TP2: 3,278
TP3: 3,255.74
TP4: 3,226.88
TP5: 3,198.01
Confidence Level: 85%
Why This Trade?
Failed breakout
Clear distribution signals on the chart
Confirmed bull trap above 3,342.82
Alternative Bullish Reversal Scenario (Low Probability):
Entry: Buy Stop at 3,346
Stop Loss: SL at 3,337
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,355
TP2: 3,367.45
Confidence Level: 50%
Conditions Needed:
Ichimoku Cloud breakout
EMA21, EMA8, and HMA5 aligning upward
Bullish RSI divergence + MACD crossover
Structural Outlook (10:00 AM):
Moving Average Cluster (HMA5 + EMA21): 3,307 – 3,310
Institutional Resistance Zone: 3,337 – 3,346
Confirmed Traps:
Bull Traps at 3,342.82 and 3,338.70
Volume Profile:
VWAP = Rejected
VPOC shifted toward 3,294
Large selling volume: 246.69K
=========
Key Economic Events Today (Cairo Time):
4:00 PM – Final US Consumer Confidence (April):
Strong reading = Bullish for USD = Bearish for Gold
Weak reading = Bearish for USD = Bullish for Gold
Evening – US Oil Rig Count:
Increase = Rising inflation expectations → indirect support for Gold
No change = Minor short-term impact
========
XAUMO | Bullish Tactical Plan
Bullish Idea Summary:
Even though the market is under heavy selling pressure, there’s still a chance for a bullish counter move if these technical reversal signals show up:
Reversal candles like a Hammer or Bullish Engulfing near 3,294–3,286 support
A solid breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud at 3,346
Bullish RSI Divergence + MACD Crossover
Conditions for Bullish Activation:
Price must break and hold above 3,346 with rising volume
HMA5, EMA8, and EMA21 must cross upward on both 15-min and 1-hour charts
Must see strong momentum + BBMA reversal confirmation
Buy Scenario Details:
Entry: Buy Stop at 3,346.20
Stop Loss:
SL1: 3,337
SL2 (Trailing): 3,333.15
Targets:
TP1: 3,355.00
TP2: 3,367.45 (weekly high)
TP3: 3,385.00 (Institutional exit zone via BBU)
Confidence Level: 50–60%
Why the caution? Previous breakouts in this range have failed repeatedly.
Final Note:
“Below 3,306, price gets crushed. Above 3,346 is just a distribution trap.
Buying without a real breakout? That’s tactical suicide.
Read the chart, not your wishes.”
Conclusion:
If the bullish scenario plays out today, Friday April 25, 2025, the market may be heading into a short-term rally fueled by temporary momentum after a sharp pullback.
The key to this move is a strong and confirmed breakout above the 3,346 resistance zone. As of now, price is still hesitating below that level, which signals ongoing distribution—or maybe preparation for a breakout.
To confirm the setup, you’ll need:
a clean close above 3,346
upward crossover of HMA5, EMA8, and EMA21 on the 15m and 1h
RSI crossing 55 and MACD flipping positive
Only then does the Buy Stop at 3,346.20 become a serious play, with stops placed smartly at 3,337 and a trailing stop at 3,333.15 to avoid fakeouts.
Initial targets are 3,355, then 3,367.45, and finally 3,385 as the stretch goal—an institutional area where profit-taking is likely.
Still, with confidence only around 50–60%, this trade needs clear technical confirmation before execution.
If the market drops back below 3,329, the bearish plan remains the default.
The price decides. We just stay ready.
Analysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on daily chartAnalysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on daily chart and recent market information.
Technical Analysis
Trend & Patterns
Since late December 2024, gold has been in a strong uptrend, breaking out of the descending channel that formed in December–January. Recently we’ve seen a brief consolidation around the $3,300–$3,400 zone after peaking near $3,500.
Indicators
The RSI sits just above 50, pointing to continued bullish momentum. The MACD lines remain positive, though they’re approaching a potential turning phase.
Support & Resistance
Resistance: $3,400 (recent daily highs), then $3,500 (all-time high).
Support: $3,300 (current consolidation floor), followed by $3,250 and $3,100 as deeper support levels.
Short-term Outlook
Gold is likely to trade sideways between $3,300–$3,400, with dips offering buying opportunities. A decisive break above $3,400 would open the door to retests near $3,450–$3,500. If XAU/USD falls below $3,300, it could quickly slide toward $3,250–$3,100.
Fundamental Catalysts
Safe-haven demand from geopolitical and trade tensions continues to underpin gold prices.
Fed policy: the odds of a rate cut before summer remain low, as Fed officials emphasize patience. That limits downward pressure on the dollar (and thus supports gold).
Macro agenda:
May 2: US Non-Farm Payrolls
May 7: Fed meeting & Powell remarks
May 13: CPI report vs. rate guidance
These releases could trigger significant intraday volatility.
Conclusion & Near-term Outlook
Given the technical bullish bias and upcoming US data, I expect over the next few days:
Consolidation: $3,300–$3,400
Bullish scenario: recovery above $3,400 leads to retests of $3,450–$3,500
Bearish scenario: a break below $3,300 triggers a swift drop toward $3,250–$3,100
Stay alert around the NFP, Fed, and CPI releases—they’ll drive the near-term direction.
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart GANNYesterday we went slightly higher, but we failed to push through. Today, the 3 hourly chart is starting to show negative influence, and I feel we have now greater chance to see $ 3,235 area in coming sessions.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,310-3,350 and take profit near $ 3,247 for now.
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
Spot Gold Retreats After Early Rally, Holds Above $3,300 Amid CaSpot gold surged in early trading before pulling back, hitting a high of $3,370.58 before retreating to fluctuate around $3,350. After a 3% single-day plunge on Wednesday, the metal rebounded 1.83% on Thursday to close at $3,348.50/oz, driven by a weaker dollar and bargain-hunting demand.
The price is now firmly above the $3,300 threshold, with cautious optimism prevailing in the market. U.S. Treasury Secretary warnings about prolonged trade tensions continue to bolster safe-haven demand, while growing bets on a Fed rate cut in June provide fundamental support.
Technically, the daily chart shows an uptrend, with prices holding above the MA55 and MA14 averages. The RSI (64.37) nears overbought territory but remains moderate, while the MACD golden cross signals sustained bullish momentum. On the 4-hour chart, gold has stabilized above $3,300, with narrowing MACD histograms hinting at the end of a correction and potential short-term bottoming.
Key Levels:
Resistance: A break above $3,380–3,385 could pave the way for $3,390 and a retest of $3,400+.
Support: A drop below $3,300 may trigger a retreat toward $3,260.
Outlook: While gold may consolidate in the near term, medium-to-long-term momentum remains bullish.
Trading Suggestion:
Buy on dips near $3,340–3,345, stop loss at $3,332, target $3,378.
Strict risk control advised due to high volatility.
(Note: All prices in USD/oz unless specified.)
GOLD Had Strong Rejection needs to fall Gold will get our Long-term resistance zone 3500 so what's will next Target.
Analysis from Mr Martin Date 22 April Tuesday 2025
i will find Price has strong rejection will formed 3500 now p [rice will fall more fallowing the 1Day candle see and check price will drop more in this week this kind of price action may not be sustainable so we should be cautions about potential downward Correction.
Ps Support with like and comments for motivating to Share analysis to with you.
XAUUSD: Trading in a range, wait patiently for key points From a 4-hour chart analysis, today's support level below is expected to be near 3,310-3,315, while the short-term resistance level above is near 3,340-3,350. Special attention should be paid to the suppression at the 3,380-3,390 level. Overall, the market is expected to maintain a wide trading range within these levels, with both long and short positions viable. Traders are advised to exercise caution at intermediate levels: avoid excessive trading or chasing orders, and wait patiently for key levels to enter the market.👉👉👉
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3343-3348
sl 3360
tp 3325
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