gold on sell retrace#XAUUSD still on sell reverse, between 3347-3348 holds sell reverse. But if current H1 closes above 53 then bullish starts.
Sell limit 3347-3348, target 3320, stop loss 3356.
Above 3353 have bullish on H1 closure, target 3370
GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD โ Long off Lower Channel + Fundamental Tailwind๐ Bias: Bullish (technical + macro alignment
๐น Trade Setup
Entry Zone - 3 245 โ 3 255
Stop-Loss - 3 240
TP1 - 3 375 (Last Month High)
TP2 - 3 475 (Upper Channel)
๐ง Technical Rationale
- Price is respecting a clean ascending channel
- Confluence at entry: lower trendline + last monthโs low + hidden order block
- Liquidity sweep expected below 3 245 before bullish continuation
๐ Fundamental Tailwinds (July 2025)
๐ฆ 1. US Dollar Collapse
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 10.8% YTD, its worst start since 1973
- Driven by:
- Trumpโs erratic tariff policies and fiscal expansion
- Loss of confidence in US Treasuries as a safe haven
- Moodyโs downgrade of US credit rating
โThe dollar has transformed from a safe haven into a symbol of instability.โ โ ING strategist
๐ช 2. Central Bank Gold Demand
- Global central banks continue accumulating gold to hedge against dollar devaluation
- This institutional demand underpins long-term bullish momentum
๐ฅ 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium
- Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (IranโIsrael, Gaza) and RussiaโUkraine keep gold attractive as a safe-haven asset
- Even with temporary ceasefires, the risk premium remains embedded in price
๐ 4. Fed Dovish Shift
- Fed Governor Waller signals a possible July rate cut, citing weak labor data and easing inflation
- Lower rates = weaker dollar = stronger gold
๐ง Final Thought
This setup isnโt just technically soundโitโs fundamentally explosive. Youโre riding a macro wave of dollar weakness, geopolitical hedging, and central bank gold demand. If price reacts cleanly at 3 250, this could be your high-conviction entry of the month.
Gold Trading Strategy June 27โ๏ธThe price reaction at 3348 forms a sustainable bearish structure. 3296 is an important zone when broken, it will continue to fall deeply without any recovery on Friday.
Today the downtrend will encounter less resistance than the uptrend. Therefore, it is not difficult to touch the support zones of 3278 and 3255.
Any recovery in the price in the European session is considered a good opportunity for a Sell signal towards the target of 3278 and 3255.
As analyzed, the SELL zone today is noted at many resistance zones and consider the price reaction for the SELL signals.
๐ Key Levels
Break out: 3296
Support: 3278-3255
Resistance: 3300-3312-3325-3336-3348-3363
๐ Recommended Trade Setups
BUY 3278-3276 SL 3272
SELL 3325-3327 SL 3330
7/2 Trapped Orders from Yesterday Turned ProfitableGood morning, everyone!
Yesterdayโs early-entry gold short position encountered some temporary drawdown, but thanks to flexible adjustments, the trade has now moved into profit overall.
Currently, the price is hovering near a key support area. Based on the 1H and 2H charts, there is still room for further downside. At this point, there are two strategic options:
Close the position to lock in current profits;
Hold the position and wait for further decline, keeping in mind that if support holds, the price may rebound back toward the 3350 level, introducing some risk.
You can decide whether to stay in the trade or exit, depending on your risk tolerance and trading plan.
GOLD 4HAfter a strong rally, finally the promise of a pull back. This could run further into the daily demand before a continuation into the weekly highs.
Keeping an eye on the shaded regions within the daily demand.
Invalidation will be a closure on the daily timeframe beneath the daily demand region.
XAUUSD SHORT IDEAH4 BEAR ENGULF
TARGET 61.8 FIB LEVEL AND EMA CONFLUENCE
Rejecting EMA
Await 30 min confirmation to enter possibly during asian session
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis ๐
๐ขThis Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
๐ขWhat is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
๐ขhow to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSD Maintains Bullish MomentumTechnical Analysis of XAUUSD โ 15-Minute Chart โ July 1st, 2025
In the latest trading session, XAUUSD continues to demonstrate a strong short-term uptrend. The 15-minute chart clearly shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that buyers remain in control.
1. Trend Structure
After a brief pullback from the June 30th high, price quickly rebounded and has been respecting the rising trendline, reflecting strong buying momentum.
From midnight (July 1st) to the present, a sequence of bullish candlesโespecially long-bodied green candlesโhas appeared, accompanied by increasing volume, confirming that strong capital inflow is entering the market.
2. Trading Volume
Volume has been gradually increasing along with the price rise, especially during minor breakout points. This suggests real buying pressure, not a false pump.
3. Key Support and Resistance Zones
Short-term support: Around 3,320 USD โ a confluence of the rising trendline and recent swing lows.
Next resistance zone: Between 3,345 โ 3,350 USD โ previously a strong supply area. It should be closely monitored to see if price can break through.
4. Suggested Trading Strategy
Priority should be given to buying on dips, especially if price retraces to the 3,320 โ 3,325 area and confirms with bullish candlestick patterns or volume support.
Avoid chasing entries near 3,345 โ 3,350 without a clear breakout confirmation.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is showing a clearly defined bullish trend in the short term. Buyers remain dominant, but caution is advised around key resistance levels. Wait for confirmation before expanding positions.
What do you think about this rally? Are you already in the trade or still on the sidelines? Drop your thoughts below โ letโs discuss!
6.30 Safe haven disappears, gold loses its luster!Gold did not break through the upper pressure at midnight last Friday. Gold fell directly after opening in the morning on Friday. The bears broke through the previous 3295 support line, and the lowest reached 3255 in the evening. It closed at around 3274, and the daily line also closed in the form of a big Yin line.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3295-3301 line, and the 3316 line is focused on. In terms of operation, it is still rebounding and continuing to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below focuses on the 3250-3255 line. The overall high-altitude participation tone remains unchanged relying on this range. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at the 3295-3301 line, and short gold rebounds at the 3314-16 line, stop loss at 3326, target 3255-3260 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
GOLD +2500 pips setup โ Trendline Holds , Fed Pressure Builds !๐ GOLD XAU/USD Daily Analysis
โ
Technical View:
Gold continues to respect a strong bullish trendline, holding above key demand zones (3220 โ 3290).
A solid retest of the trendline and the blue demand area supports the bullish continuation.
Upside targets are:
3385 (first target)
3433 โ 3500 (next resistances)
3553 (extended target if momentum holds).
โ
Fundamental Insight:
Ongoing market pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates is boosting goldโs safe-haven appeal.
Lower US yields and increased uncertainty strengthen the bullish bias for gold in the mid-term.
๐ฏ Key Levels:
โ
Supports: 3220 โ 3290 (main) | 2785 (long-term)
โ
Resistances: 3385 โ 3433 โ 3500 โ 3553
๐ข If you like strong, clear setups:
Donโt forget to Like ๐ โ Comment ๐ฌ โ Share ๐ค โ and Follow ๐ me here on TradingView for more powerful ideas every week!
XAUUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025XAUUSD 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bearish
Gold has been on the rally of a century for a while and isnโt showing too many signs of slowing down long term. For now we do have a couple opportunities I can bring to your attention.
4hour bearish continuation - For this to happen we would like to see price action come back to our pocket of confluence near the 3,320.000 level followed by bearish conviction. If this happens look to target lower toward major support levels like 3,225.500.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to see a reversal of the 4hour trend we would need to see price action pop back above the 3,320.000 resistance area. Look for strong bullish conviction above this level and target higher toward appropriate levels of resistance.
Take this trade GOLD Win i think this is the most suitable scenario for gold , especially during this period; the gold will rush to some all time new high , better be ready and anticipate the weight of this kind of positions ; bless up
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325โ3340 was absorbed โ classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control.
Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke โ and the market is telling us where it's heading.
Tactical plan:
โ Entry at market or on a retest of $3325โ3335
โ Targets: $3293 โ $3250 โ $3195
โ Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline)
When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isnโt golden โ itโs a trap for late bulls.
XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24โsafe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300โ$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300โ$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300โ$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure โค3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD 15M BULL CONTINUATIONBull still in control to at list 3390
I will hold this trade till tomorrow and if we are not there by the time of NFP will close it manual
Will update here
Live Signal from ALIP FX Smart Scalper | XAUUSDThe ALIP FX Smart Scalper indicator just issued a SELL signal on XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe.
The trend filter turned red, EMA structure aligned to the downside, and the signal confirmed by strong momentum.
๐ Scenario: Short bias while the trend remains bearish.
๐ Timeframe: M15
๐ Reminder: Wait for candle close and confirmation before entry.
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on July 3:
1. Analysis of gold news
The current market focus is as follows:
Trump tax reform is advancing & trade agreement is approaching
The tax reform was passed by the Senate, and the deadline for trade negotiations on July 9 is approaching, which has triggered a rise in risk aversion.
The Fed's attitude is subtle
Although Powell did not explicitly support the July rate cut, he emphasized that more data is needed for support, and did not rule out the possibility. This "dovish" attitude supports the medium- and long-term bullish expectations for gold.
The upcoming big non-agricultural data (July 3 US trading session)
This means that the market will quickly reflect the gap between expectations and reality in the next 24 hours, and volatility may increase.
2. Gold technical analysis
Summary of recent trends:
Gold rose strongly on Tuesday, reaching a high of $3,358;
Stagflation signals appeared on Wednesday, and the risk of chasing long positions at high levels is extremely high;
The current market bullish sentiment is high, but the technical side has entered the overbought zone, and the bullish momentum is weakening.
Key resistance/support levels:
Resistance zone: 3357-3367 USD: Near Tuesday's high, it is an important defensive position for short sellers;
Support zone: 3325-3315 USD: If it falls below, short sellers may further exert their strength, with the target directly pointing to 3300 USD.
Today's operation strategy suggestion:
Main idea: short selling on rebound
Currently in a high-level oscillation stage, it is recommended to short sell at high levels and buy at low levels, and be cautious in chasing up.
Short order strategy:
Entry position: short near $3365
Stop loss: above $3375
Target: 3326 / 3315 / 3300
Long order strategy (conservative):
If it pulls back to around $3315 and stabilizes, you can short long with a small position
Stop loss: below $3305
Target: 3326 / 3340
III. Comprehensive judgment and suggestions
Gold is currently in a news-intensive & technically overbought stage, and volatility will increase;
There is a high probability that the intraday Asian and European sessions will fluctuate weakly, waiting for the US non-agricultural guidance direction;
If the ADP and Challenger layoffs data are strong, gold will face obvious downward pressure in the short term;
Don't chase the highs, follow the trend, and risk control is the key.
๐Warm Tips:
Maintain trading discipline and do not trade with emotion;
Before the non-agricultural data, appropriately reduce positions or stop profits;
Pay more attention to the linkage changes between US bond yields and the US dollar index, which have a great impact on gold.
BUY. gold against the dollar using "Heikin Ashi" Analysis
The chart for the price of gold against the dollar using "Heikin Ashi" candles on a 4-hour timeframe. Here are the details:
Price Analysis:
1. Ascending Triangle:
- The price is fluctuating within an ascending triangle, indicating the possibility of a continued uptrend.
- The upper level of the triangle acts as resistance at around $3,350.
2. Support Line:
- The ascending support line (green line) supports the price movement, enhancing the chances of the uptrend continuing.
3. Resistance Level:
- The level indicated by the red line represents the resistance that, if broken, could lead to a significant price increase.
Opening a Buy Position:
1. Confirmation of Breakout:
- Wait for confirmation of a breakout above the resistance level ($3,350) before starting to open a buy position.
- Closing a candle above the resistance level can be used as a confirmation signal.
2. Risk Management:
- Set a stop-loss below the support line of the triangle to minimize risks in case of a pullback.
3. Price Target Advice:
- Entry Price: $3,350.00
- First Target: $3,375.00
- Second Target: $3,400.00
- Third Target: $3,430.00
- ๐จ Stop Loss: $3,329.00
4. Ongoing Technical Analysis:
- Periodically review the analysis to ensure the trend continues and to identify potential changes.
Gold Sees Volatile Swings โ Pullback Risk Remains๐ Market Highlights:
Gold surged to $3,351 earlier today after weaker-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, profit-taking quickly pushed prices down to $3,334 before recovering to $3,342.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Key Resistance: $3,351
โข Nearest Support: $3,334
โข EMA: Price is above EMA 09 โ uptrend still intact.
โข Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure near the recent high. Bullish momentum is slowing, and volume has started to normalize.
๐ Outlook:
Gold may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,351 and the USD strengthens during the US session.
________________________________________
๐ก Suggested Trading Strategy:
๐ป SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 โ $3,350
๐ฏ TP: $3,334
โ SL: $3,353
๐บ BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332 โ $3,334
๐ฏ TP: $3,350
โ SL: $3,323
AFTER - XAU/USD - Jul 1,2025 DoneCongratulations guys 200 pips profits
โ
XAU/USD Trade Recap โ Jul 1,2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
๐น Entry Price: Around $3,348
๐ป Stop-Loss: $3,371
๐ฏ Take-Profit Target: $3,327 (โ
Hit โ 200 pips)
๐ Result: First target partially reached โ trade closed with +200 pips in profit.
Price rejected the resistance area and moved downward, allowing for a clean exit before reaching TP1 and TP2. Conservative profit-taking secured gains without risking reversal.
๐ก Summary:
Smart and disciplined execution. The market respected the setup, and you locked in profits safely at 200 pips before any retracement.
Congratulations everyone all targets done__ June-30,2025
CONGRATULATIONS EVERYONE
โ
XAU/USD Trade Recap โ June 30, 2025
Bias: Long (Buy Position)
Result: โ
Take-Profit Hit
๐ Entry Zone: Around $3,363 โ $3,370
๐ฏ Target 1 (TP1): Hit at $3,302 (273 pips)
๐ฏ Target 2 (TP2): Hit at $3,308 (336 pips)
๐ Stop-Loss (SL): $3,259 (Not triggered)
๐ Outcome:
The price moved strongly in favor of the long trade after entry, reaching both profit targets successfully.
The setup was executed with high precision, and the bullish momentum carried price past TP2, confirming the trade idea.
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357๐ Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Near resistance: $3,357
โข Key resistance: $3,370
โข Near support: $3,330
โข Major support: $3,318
โข EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward โ short-term weakness emerging.
โข Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 โ showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
๐ Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 โ $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
๐ก Suggested Trading Strategy:
๐ป SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 โ $3,354
๐ฏ TP: $3,330
โ SL: $3,359
๐บ BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 โ $3,332
๐ฏ TP: $3,350
โ SL: $3,318
Rate cut expectations and non-farm data affect gold marketPowell noted that the vast majority of Fed officials expect to cut interest rates later this year, but it is currently impossible to say whether considering a rate cut in July is too early. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, however, believes that even if there is no rate cut in July, there will be one in September.
In terms of market impact, if the non-farm payroll data to be released in the next two days performs poorly, the probability of a rate cut in July will rise significantly.
For gold, rate cuts themselves are a positive factor. Moreover, if the market worries about the Fed losing its independence, the U.S. dollar index is likely to fall continuously, and gold is expected to hit a new high in the medium to long term.
Technically, gold closed strongly with a large positive candle yesterday and still has room to rise today. On the downside, the early session low of $3,329 serves as a short-term support level, with the strong support looking at around $3,312 near the 60-day moving average. On the upside, the initial resistance level is the early session high of $3,345; if this level is broken, further resistance levels will be yesterday's high of $3,358 and around $3,375.
XAUUSD
buy@3315-3325
tp๏ผ3340-3350
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
