Gold suddenly increased sharply Hey everyone, let’s dive into what’s happening with XAUUSD!
Gold is experiencing a remarkable rally this weekend, skyrocketing from the $3,285 zone to around $3,362 — gaining over 700 pips. This sharp move comes amid weakening U.S. labor market data, which has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as September.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (August 1st), non-farm payrolls rose by just 73,000 jobs in July — well below economists’ expectations of 106,000. The disappointing figures have shaken confidence in the U.S. economy and placed pressure on the U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly anticipate a dovish shift from the Fed.
For gold, this weak jobs report reinforces its role as a safe-haven asset, driving strong demand as investors seek protection from economic uncertainty. At the same time, lingering fears around global trade tensions and new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump continue to support the flight to safety.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its descending price channel and is moving fast. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur soon, but if price holds above key support levels, the rally could extend toward the $3,432 region — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone.
This move might mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation.
What do you think — is gold just getting started?
GOLD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad day at all on the markets with gold holding the 3345-50 support level and giving the push upside as we wanted. We managed to complete our Excalibur targets and hit the ideal target level which was share in the NFP KOG report to complete the move.
Now, we need to play a little caution here as we have bounced the red box box as anticipated and a small RIP is in progress. Support stands at the 3364 level with resistance above 3377. We'll expect there to be a hunt above so lets make sure to protect and manage.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370✅, 3373✅, 3379✅ and above that 3384✅
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3379✅, 3384✅ and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Poised to Rise on Looming Russia Sanctions!!Hey Traders, above is a breakdown of the current technical and fundamental setup for Gold, with a focus on key support zones and the macro landscape that could drive further upside.
From a technical standpoint, the first major support area to watch is around 3,334, which previously acted as a strong resistance level. Now that price has broken above it, we could see this zone retested as a support — a classic breakout-retest scenario that may offer a potential bounce opportunity.
The second key zone is located near 3,311, a historically significant support/resistance level. What makes this level even more critical is its confluence with the primary ascending trendline, reinforcing its importance as a structural support in case of a deeper retracement.
On the fundamental side, gold continues to benefit from its role as a safe-haven asset, especially amid rising geopolitical and economic tensions. There are two major catalysts in play right now:
Escalating trade tensions, particularly around new tariffs. Markets are pricing in a high baseline tariff risk of 15%, which adds a layer of uncertainty and supports defensive assets like gold.
Mounting geopolitical pressure on Russia, with the U.S. expected to announce secondary sanctions this week. These could further disrupt global markets and drive demand for hard assets.
In summary, gold is positioned well both technically and fundamentally. If price holds above the mentioned support zones, we could see renewed bullish momentum in the sessions ahead. Keep an eye on developments related to trade policy and sanctions, they could be key drivers of the next move.
XAUUSD – Is This a Short-Term Top?1. What happened yesterday
After dipping to 3340 in early trading—just shy of the key 3335 support where I was looking to buy—Gold resumed its bullish momentum that began on Friday. During the New York session, price spiked to a new intraday high near 3385. However, the final hour brought a pullback, and since then, Gold has entered a tight consolidation range.
2. Key question: Is Gold forming a short-term top?
The 1H chart shows a new failed breakout attempt above 3380 during the Asian session. This left behind a minor double top, with the neckline sitting around 3370. That level is especially important—it aligns with a short-term rising trendline.
3. Why a correction might follow
• Price rejected above 3380 twice
• Small double top visible on LTF
• 3370 is a make-or-break level (neckline + trendline)
• A break below could trigger a correction of the +1000 pips rally from Friday’s lows
4. Trade plan
While there is some evidence of a potential top, this remains a high-risk and aggressive short.
Any attempt to trade against the trend should be done with tight stops and small size .
5. Final thoughts
A short-term top could indeed be in place, but Gold must break below 3370 to unlock deeper downside. Until then, the bulls are still in control—just taking a breather. ⚖️
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold 4H timeframe Based on the chart my shared (Gold 4H timeframe with Ichimoku cloud), here are the identified target points:
📈 Upside Targets:
1. First Target: 3380
This is marked just above the Ichimoku cloud breakout.
It is a short-term resistance zone.
2. Second Target: 3420
This is the higher target zone indicated in the chart.
It aligns with a previous high and potential resistance area.
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🟡 Key Support:
Support Zone: Around 3322 – 3353
Price needs to hold above this zone to maintain the bullish momentum.
Lingrid | GOLD Possible Retest of the Major Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is bouncing from recent lows but remains under pressure below the key resistance at 3,331.90 and the downward trendline. The prior rejection near 3,440 led to a steep selloff with a clean break below the upward channel. Current action shows a potential lower high forming near the broken trendline. A rejection there could send gold tumbling toward the 3,250.00 support zone.
📌 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Failure to reclaim 3,331.90
Sell zone: 3,330 – 3,340
Target: 3,250.00
Invalidation: Strong bullish breakout above 3,340 and descending trendline
💡 Risks
Bullish reversal breaking above downward trendline
Dovish Fed news boosting gold
Unexpected macroeconomic shocks increasing safe-haven demand
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
$GOLD: Projections of Compression & Release 🏛️ Research Notes
Price is at fib boundary derived from its structure that covers growth patterns. Several attempts were taken place to push higher and ended up as lower highs.
Contraction of fractal cycles and amplitude.
Topologically, the compression to a point of proportional release in fibonacci proportions and scaling law 1:1 to original triangle would look like a cube. And let's limit for now with that horizon.
Probabilistic Filter - Another layer of fibonacci channels to inherit roughness of observed temporal pattern which then rhymes with extended series.
The longer the price fluctuates in these geometric boundaries, the more accurate the colors tend to reflect the outcome.
For measuring percentages of swings I used this modification of Zig Zag.
Gold Set to Reach Historic HighsHello everyone, great to see you again!
Gold has been on a strong upward trajectory, breaking previous bearish structures and showing solid growth momentum. Market sentiment is heavily supported by the weakening of global currencies, particularly the US dollar, and expectations surrounding the potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Looking at the technical picture, we are approaching the historic peak of $3,433. The gold market is showing significant strength, confirmed by EMA 34 and EMA 89, as well as new support zones, signaling a trend reversal and confirming the bullish outlook.
The next few trading sessions could play a critical role in confirming whether the precious metal can break the all-time highs.
What do you think? Is gold about to make history? Let me know in the comments below!
XAU/USD (Gold) - Triangle Breakout (1.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3249
2nd Support – 3225
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XAU/USD Buy Setup 1H Analysis Trendline breakout.Instrument: Gold Spot / USD
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Chart Tools Used:
Ichimoku Cloud
Trendline breakout
Target projection (highlighted in blue arrow and price levels)
Volume not shown directly but momentum is clear from breakout
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💹 Buy Setup Analysis
✳ Current Price: $3,362.895
🔼 Entry (Buy): Around $3,363.590 (as marked on the chart)
🎯 Targets:
Target Number Price Level Approx Gain % Move
1st Target $3,393.481 ~$30 ~0.89%
2nd Target $3,433.864 ~$70 ~2.06%
🔻 Stop-Loss (Suggested): Below Ichimoku Cloud, ideally near $3,315.860 or $3,322.672
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🧠 Strategy Logic
The chart shows a clean bullish breakout of the trendline and Ichimoku cloud.
Strong upward momentum candle confirms the breakout.
Targets are based on measured move and previous resistance zones.
Volume and sentiment look bullish, aligning with the breakout.
A pullback to the breakout zone (~$3,340–$3,350) would be healthy for re-entry.
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📝 Summary of Buy Setup
Parameter Value
Entry $3,363.590
Target 1 $3,393.481
Target 2 $3,433.864
Stop-Loss $3,322.672–$3,315.860 (zone below cloud)
Risk-Reward ~2:1 to 3:1 based on SL/TP choice
#XAUUSD: Gold is likely to create a record highGold will be bullish since the US and Russia tension rises, creating uncertainty within the global investors. As of now gold rejected nicely due to negative NFP data affected the US Dollar. We have now two strong fundamentals views that is supporting our view. Please use accurate risk management while trading gold.
Good luck and trade safe. Please like and share for more
Team Setupsfx
Gold price maintains upward trend to 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) edged lower during the North American session, pressured by rising U.S. Treasury yields, profit-taking, and reports that President Donald Trump may announce a replacement for Fed Governor Adriana Kugler later this year. The precious metal is trading around $3,372, down 0.23%.
After a three-day rally, bullion struggled to gain further traction as investors locked in profits. This came despite Trump signing an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on India in response to its continued imports of Russian oil. The new duties—set to take effect 21 days after August 7—will raise tariffs on select Indian exports to as much as 50%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to increase, heading towards 3400. The context of trade tensions heats up again, along with increasing expectations of interest rate cuts.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3429- 3431 SL 3436
TP1: $3418
TP2: $3408
TP3: $3392
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3332-$3330 SL $3325
TP1: $3342
TP2: $3355
TP3: $3368
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice trade upside today from support which was shared yesterday. We managed to identify another set up on the indicators which performed well again on the long side but is not yet complete.
The bias levels given this morning have worked well at playing the range but we haven't managed to break above or below so unless scalping, we'll say wait for the break. End of the week tomorrow so lets hope we can breakout and make the move this wants to make.
Meanwhile, support 3370 and resistance 3395.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
Due to there being no KOG Report last week so we won’t reference it, however, we did post the FOMC and NFP reports for the wider community to help them navigate the moves, which as you can see from the pinned ideas worked well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
After the move we observed for NFP on Friday we would like to see some retracement in the sessions ahead. Looking at the 4H chart we have a reversal in play, but we still have no break out of this range! We’re simply playing the highs and the lows while price chops and whipsaws within it, which could be causing some new traders confusion and frustration.
We have a support level below 3350 and below that 3340 which will be the bias level for this week as bullish above. We then have the intra-day resistance level 3365-70 while there is an extension of the move into the 3385 level. Ideally, what we want to see here is support levels hold or a quick continuation on the open into the higher red box levels and the a potential for a RIP. That RIP however is most likely going to be a scalp unless we come down and break below that 3345-50 level.
We want to see how this reacts at these higher levels and if we do get a break of the boxes, otherwise, there is a chance we see another curveball like we suggested a couple of weeks ago, and we correct this whole move back downside with the first hurdle being 3340-35 on the flip.
We’re going to keep it simple here for now and usual we’ll update during the week once we have a clearer understanding of whether this wants to attempt a new all time high or not.
Please note, our liquidity indicator is suggesting a little higher but a pullback is on the way.
We’ll keep you updated.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370, 3373, 3379 and above that 3384
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3379, 3384 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3304
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3275
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold – Bulls Hold the Line, Pressure Builds for Upside BreakoutIn yesterday’s analysis, I argued that following Tuesday’s reversal — which printed a strong continuation bullish Pin Bar — buyers had regained control despite the intraday pullback.
For this reason, I suggested looking to buy dips, as the structure remained constructive.
And once again, during yesterday’s session, the scenario repeated itself.
The drop toward the 3360 zone was met with renewed buying interest, keeping the bullish structure intact.
________________________________________
🔍 Technical Context – Higher Lows Building Pressure
At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 3380, a short-term resistance area that has capped gains so far.
However, the technical picture remains bullish:
Starting with Monday’s low at 3340, which came after a strong impulsive leg up, price has printed a clear succession of higher lows.
This behavior strongly suggests increasing buying pressure and builds the case for a potential breakout to the upside.
________________________________________
🎯 Trading Bias – Holding My Long Position
My bias remains bullish.
In fact, I’m currently holding a long position, entered yesterday, which is now running with a 150 pips unrealized profit.
I’m sticking with the trade, anticipating that a confirmed break above 3380–3390 could trigger upside acceleration toward my final target — a 750 pips profit objective.
________________________________________
🔄 What to Watch Next
• Daily close: A close above 3380=3385 zone would add confirmation to the bullish thesis.
• Key support: The zone around 3360 is now support.
• Breakout trigger: A move above 3380–3385 could unleash momentum buying and open the path to higher levels.
________________________________________
Let’s stay patient and let the market confirm the breakout.
Until then, the structure favors the bulls. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Only look for BUY signal points in the current trend of Gold✏️The D1 candle closed with strong bullish force at the end of the day. The gold trend is still increasing wave 3 and there is no sign of correction. The reaction around 3385 in the Asian session this morning is being awaited to see if it is a recovery of Gold or not. The BUY strategy at important support zones is still maintained and pay attention to the price reaction of the candle.
📉 Key Levels
Support 3363-3346-3332
Resistance 3385 - 3407
Buy trigger: Confirmation of buying candle at support zones 3363-3346-3333
Target: 3400.00
Ready to BUY Gold to target 3445✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD confirms a continued uptrend as it breaks out of the triangle. The price is heading towards 3430 today and even higher at 3445. Today is Friday, the weekly candle close, and according to the range of the candle, it is possible to reach those highs. The BUY strategy can be activated at the moment and hold the position until the US session with the continuous US session buying pressure in recent days.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3385-3365-3333
Resistance: 3419-3431-3445
Buy trigger: Confirmation of the h4 candle buying pressure above 3385
Buy trigger: Rejection of the support zone at 3365
Target 3445
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
- Follow for more real-time gold trading strategies and save this idea if you find it helpful!
Gold Continues Strong Bullish Move Hello everyone, wishing you a great trading day!
After a sharp decline from the recent highs, OANDA:XAUUSD quickly regained its strength and established a clear upward trend. The H4 chart shows the potential formation of a new upward trendline, with support positioned around the 3,350 USD zone.
This recent recovery is not just a technical bounce – it's supported by strong fundamental factors: weakening US bond yields, rising expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in September, and a market sentiment that’s leaning towards safe-haven assets.
Currently, gold is trading around 3,380 USD and seems to be consolidating the momentum to approach the next resistance level at 3,433 USD. If the price holds above the new trendline and doesn’t break the marked support, the continuation of the upward trend is highly likely.
Personal view: The bullish trend remains intact – just a breakout confirmation and the 3,433 USD target will be within reach.
What do you think? Will gold continue its breakout this week? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Gold Futures Hit $3,534 – Spot Lags by $100. What Could Mean?I don’t usually track Gold Futures every single day, but today a fellow trader drew my attention to something — and it’s impossible to ignore.
Gold Futures just printed an all-time high at $3,534, while spot gold (XAUUSD) topped at $3,409 — a $120 spread at the peak, now narrowed to about $100 at the time of writing.
A spread like this is highly unusual and, more importantly, unsustainable. By the time the August 27th contract expires, futures and spot must converge to the same price.
That means one of two things is about to happen — and either way, the move would be explosive.
1. Bullish Scenario – Futures Are Right
If the futures market is telling the truth, spot gold will have to accelerate higher to close the $100 gap.
If XAUUSD stabilize above $3,400, the odds of a push toward its own ATH become significant — and the move could be fast and aggressive.
________________________________________
2. Bearish Scenario – Futures Are Overreaching
If futures are overshooting, they will have to correct — hard.
From a technical standpoint, if spot will drop below $3,370, the door to a continuation is open toward at least $3,330 support.
A 400-pip drop in spot could translate into at least a 1,000-pip drop in futures, bringing the spread back toward its more typical 20–30 range.
________________________________________
Why This Matters?
Regardless of direction, $100+ spreads do not last. In the next three weeks, one side will be proven wrong, and the prices will snap back together.
Looking back at this year’s price action, spot and futures have always mirrored each other with an average spread of 20-30usd, depending on conditions and expectation, and for example:
• The spot ATH at $3,500 matches $3,509 in futures.
• The May low was identical in both markets.
This current divergence is the outlier — and it’s screaming that a major move is coming.
________________________________________
Bottom line: If futures are right, spot gold is about to rip higher. If spot is right, futures are about to collapse.