Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark
📌 Driving events
The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events:
First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned
Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices.
Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330.
📊Commentary Analysis
This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk.
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
GOLD trade ideas
Structure Shift at Key Support – Is the Bullish Reversal InPrice aggressively broke down recently but showed strong reaction near the 3,280–3,290 demand zone, reflecting potential buyer absorption at lower prices. Following several bearish attempts that failed, price started making higher lows, reflecting a change in short-term structure.
Trade Idea:
Expecting a bullish reversal from this demand zone with a clean RR setup.
Entry Zone: 3,290–3,292 (bullish confirmation candle or wick rejection)
Stop Loss: 3,280 (below liquidity sweep & structure low)
Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 3,300 – intraday bounce zone
• TP2: 3,305 – mid-level resistance
• TP3: 3,310 – structural breakout area
Why this setup?
✅ Structure shift (higher lows)
✅ Demand zone tapped with strong wick rejection
✅ Clean RR with risk tightly managed
✅ No major macro resistance until 3,310
Risk Note:
Steer clear of early entries without confirmation. If price doesn't hold above 3,288, bearish continuation is still in play.
5/27 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday, gold fluctuated within the flexible trading zone, and we only executed a long entry near 3323, which brought decent profit.
Today, gold opened with an upward move toward 3350, but quickly pulled back. The recent market shows a sideways consolidation, with the $3340 level acting as a key pivot zone:
Below 3340: dense support areas
Above 3340: resistance clusters
In this context, any breakout without strong momentum can easily lead to capital flow shifts, causing false breakouts or rapid pullbacks, making trend continuation more difficult.
📉 Technical View:
On the 30M chart, bearish momentum slightly outweighs bullish, and gold is likely to remain range-bound within the zone defined yesterday.
🗞 Fundamental Reminder:
There are a few important U.S. economic releases during the NY session. Watch closely to see if they provide a clear directional push.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3366–3386 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3278–3256 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3353 / 3341 / 3334 / 3317 / 3309 / 3296 / 3284
Trade with flexibility, beware of fake breakouts, and focus on NY session data-driven opportunities. Let me know if you have questions — good luck and happy trading!
Gold plunges. Downside meets?Spot gold fluctuates at high levels during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,330.
I think spot gold is expected to fall below the immediate support level of $3,330 per ounce and fall towards $3,284.
Completion occurs near the key resistance level of $3,366, which is reinforced by similar resistance established by the descending trend line. Working together with these obstacles is another obstacle, namely $3,355, which is the retracement level of the downtrend from $3,501 to $3,120.
The bearish divergence of the hourly RSI confirms that the rally has been exhausted and a sharp correction is imminent.
Based on the changes in the Asian market today, an analysis was conducted. I hope my analysis can help you turn losses into profits in the trading market.
Operation strategy:
Short at $3,340, stop loss at $3,355, and profit range of $3,310-3,300.
GOLD/USD A point of reversal from an uptrend1. Price Action Zones
Resistance Zone: A dark green horizontal box near the $3,460–$3,486 range. This is labeled with:
HH (Higher High) — A point of reversal from an uptrend
R (Resistance) — Confirming supply and prior rejection
Support/FVG Zone (Fair Value Gap):
Multiple green shaded areas suggest demand zones or price inefficiencies that could attract buy orders.
One clearly marked as “FVG” (Fair Value Gap), typically used in institutional trading strategies.
2. Market Structure
Labeled Points:
HH (Higher High) – Indicates a previously established high
LH (Lower High) – Suggests a shift or weakness in bullish momentum
LL (Lower Low) and HL (Higher Low) – Mark a potential change in trend or a market reversal structure
3. Projected Move
There’s a forecasted bullish move, visualized by an upward arrow:
Entry Point: Around $3,226
Stop-Loss: Below a key support/FVG area (~$3,180)
Take-Profit: Target zone above the resistance (~$3,460)
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🧠 Strategic Implication
This setup appears to be based on Smart Money Concepts, using institutional liquidity zones, market structure breaks, and fair value gaps to identify high-probability trade setups.
Trade Bias: Bullish
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the take-profit zone is significantly larger than the stop-loss buffer.
Confluences: Support from previous lows, FVG fill, and potential market structure shift (LL to HL)
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✅ Summary
This XAU/USD chart reflects a professional and methodical approach to trading gold using a combination of supply-demand zones, market structure analysis, and fair value gaps. The trader is expecting a bullish continuation toward a prior resistance zone with a well-defined risk-management strategy.
XAUUSD:BUYAfter the good news came out. XAUUSD followed my expectations. Continued to rise above 3300. The current quotation is 3317.
The tariff issue was released again over the weekend. Inflation fermented again, and the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations reached a tense and uncertain stage again.
Traders who followed me to buy near 3290 successfully made good profits.
Trading reference
XAUUSD:
Pressure position: 3360-3350
Support position: 3305-3295
BTCUSD:
Pressure position: 107000-106000
Support position: 103000-102000
This week, there is the impact of the release of non-agricultural data.
Usually divided into the front, middle, and back end of the triple impact. For traders, every time is a good trading opportunity. The impact is also very large.
This week, we will focus on the impact of news and the stimulation of news to layout the wonderful transactions of XAUUSD and BTCUSD. Remember not to trade independently to avoid losses. If you have any ideas, remember to leave a message to me and my assistant.
The international situation is turbulent, how is the trend of goInformation summary:
On June 1, Russia and Ukraine continued to clash. Ukrainian drones attacked several Russian military airports, including military bases in eastern Siberia, more than 40 aircraft were damaged, and the loss was about 2 billion US dollars. This was the first time that a military base in Siberia was attacked by a drone. Murmansk Oblast was also attacked by a drone on the same day.
However, on the same day, Russia and Ukraine planned to hold a second round of ceasefire negotiations in Istanbul on June 2. The United States said that it was not informed of the Ukrainian attack in advance. Russia and the US Foreign Minister discussed the negotiation plan by phone. The Hungarian Prime Minister revealed that the mediation in 2024 was unsuccessful, and the two sides had obvious differences on the timing of the ceasefire.
The current situation is complicated, the prospects for peace talks are unclear, and market risk aversion and economic data (this week's employment report, central bank interest rate decision, etc.) have become new focuses.
Gold trend analysis:
From the daily chart, the current daily support position is around 3280. This position is the key to the gold band trend. Since the price has broken upward recently, it has stepped back many times and finally closed above the daily support, so the position of the daily support is still the key. Before falling below this support level, the price will most likely maintain a range of 3320-3280 US dollars.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3280, stop loss 3270, profit position 3320.
June 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold remains supported by macro developments, including recent U.S. tariff actions.
Current structure leans bullish — buy on pullbacks is the primary approach unless key support fails.
• Watch 3357 closely — if it holds as resistance, short setups may offer good R:R.
• A break above 3357 suggests bullish continuation toward 3366+.
• A break below 3300 would signal weakening momentum, opening downside to 3271 and beyond.
With NFP data approaching later this week, expect larger price swings. Stay flexible and wait for confirmation.
Key Levels to Watch:
• 3366: Major resistance
• 3357: Key resistance
• 3350: Midpoint resistance
• 3323: Resistance
• 3313: Consolidation zone
• 3300: Psychological level
• 3289: Key support
• 3271: Support
Trading Strategy:
For Shorts:
• Enter SELL if price breaks below 3300
• Watch 3289, then 3271, 3260, 3250
For Longs:
• Enter BUY if price holds above 3323
• Watch 3332, then 3340, 3350, 3366
👉 If you found this helpful or used these levels in your trading, a like would mean a lot. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion — not financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 6/2/2025Gold has been in indisputable bullish trend overall. Last week was full of surprises. With fundamentally driven, it dropped until 3245 and stayed above it.
In weekly, I expect it to form a inverse head and shoulder pattern and continue its bullish trend.
On daily, as long as highlighted yellow support holds, gold should stay bullish. However, if this support is broken, we can foresee a change of trend in coming weeks.
Gold in down trend (correction wave )Sell gold 3305-3309, stop loss at 3315 (4-hour candle close above), targeting 3245 (600 pips), risking 100 pips.
Price is currently in wave Z of a WXYXZ correction. Invalidation level for this correction is 3345. Confirmation of downtrend continuation is a close below 3270.
Currently holding the short position. Watching price action around 3270 for confirmation of further downside. A break below would strengthen the bearish outlook and pave the way towards the 3245 targets. Will monitor for any signs of bullish reversal but maintaining the stop loss at 3315 for now. Invalidation level at 3345 remains the key level to watch for a potential trend change.
Gold Analysis Weekly (XAU/USD) – Bullish Pennant + Target🔍 Overview:
The XAU/USD (Gold) chart is displaying a textbook Pennant Pattern, and we are witnessing a powerful bullish breakout from this structure. This is a great example of how price consolidates before continuing its larger trend — in this case, upward.
Let’s break down each major component of the pattern and price behavior:
🧩 1. The Pennant Pattern – Continuation Structure
A Pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where price creates lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle-like shape. This structure reflects market indecision, but it’s usually a pause before continuation.
In our case:
The rally in March–April built the flagpole
The April–May consolidation formed the pennant
The recent breakout signals trend continuation
🎭 2. Fake First Move – Classic Trap!
One of the key traits of pennants is the initial fake breakout—and that’s exactly what happened here.
The chart shows an early bearish break, which was a liquidity grab or fake move meant to trap retail traders who entered short too early.
Smart money often uses such tactics to create imbalance and then reverse the market in the opposite direction.
🔄 3. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Following the fake move, price reversed aggressively, breaking internal structure and forming a Major Change of Character (CHoCH).
This was the first signal that the bulls were back in control and that the bearish pressure was only temporary.
🧱 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) & Trendline Break
The decisive move came next — when price broke above the upper trendline of the pennant and took out previous highs.
This break is what we call a Major BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market is shifting from consolidation back into trend mode.
The breakout was backed by momentum candles, indicating institutional activity.
🎯 5. Target Zone: $3,700–$3,750 (Reversal Area)
Using the measured move technique (height of the flagpole projected from breakout point), the calculated target zone lies between $3,700 and $3,750.
This area is also marked as a potential reversal or profit-taking zone, so we might expect:
Partial pullback
Sideways action
Or even a deeper correction before continuation
📚 Key Technical Insights:
Component Observation
Pattern Bullish Pennant
First Move Bearish Fakeout
Confirmation Signal CHoCH + BOS
Trendline Break Yes, confirmed
Target Zone $3,700 – $3,750
Current Price ~$3,290 (at time of writing)
Bias Strong Bullish (short to mid-term)
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
“The first move is often the fake move.”
This is a golden rule in trading consolidation patterns like triangles and pennants. Always wait for confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) before committing capital to a trade. This strategy avoids traps and puts you on the right side of the market.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a successful bullish pennant breakout, and all key confirmations are in place.
We’re now eyeing the $3,700–$3,750 zone as the next target — with the potential for either reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts.
Keep an eye on this chart — the next few sessions could offer great setups for both swing and position traders.
forecast 02/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
Gold (4H) – Still in Accumulation
🔍 Price Action
– Failed to make a higher high after retracing into the 4H OTE zone around 3 265-3 285.
– Closed back at 3 325, right at resistance, signaling indecision.
🎯 Key Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Trigger : Hold above 3 325 → builds energy for a breakout up through the supply zone toward 3 365-3 380.
⏳ Further Pullback : Rejection at 3 325 → deeper retrace toward the OTE low (~3 260) before resuming the uptrend.
🌐 Macro Watch
– US inflation prints & Fed speakers this week.
– Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, which could keep safe-haven bids under gold.
✅ Takeaway
Gold is coiling-watch 3 325 as the pivot: failure there means a deeper shakeout; hold means a powerful leg higher !
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3293.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3307.5
Recommended Stop Loss - 3287.2
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold expectation 1H (For next week)Respected main support, means we seeing the start of a new up trend and recovery. Setting up for a bullish movement to destination 2? could be...false breakout means theres a testing of the trend line, with a possibility of it breakibg out soon. Wait for the bounce off the main support again to see if we in for a bullish move. Lets wait see. #ToTheMoonTogether
Gold INTRADAY bullish consolidation supported at 3250Gold continues to exhibit a bullish overall sentiment, supported by a well-established rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action has transitioned into a consolidation phase, signalling temporary indecision following the latest bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3250 – Critical near-term support; also the previous consolidation zone. A successful retest here would reinforce bullish structure.
3220 – Secondary support; a break below 3250 may prompt a move towards this level.
3200 – Major downside support; a breach would suggest a broader corrective phase.
Resistance:
3345 – Initial upside target if bullish momentum resumes.
3367 – Intermediate resistance; a break here would strengthen the bullish breakout.
3410 – Longer-term resistance; a target for sustained bullish extension.
Technical Outlook:
A corrective pullback toward 3250, followed by a bullish reversal, would confirm a continuation pattern and open the way toward 3345/3367/3410 over a medium to longer-term horizon. Conversely, a daily close below 3250 would invalidate the bullish bias and expose the metal to further downside toward 3220 and 3200.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish overall, but near-term direction hinges on the 3250 level. A bounce from this support reaffirms the uptrend, while a break below it warns of deeper correction. Traders should monitor price action closely around 3250 for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAU/USD 30 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUAD UPDATE 29 - 05 - 2025This chart is a 30-minute candlestick chart for CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD), published on TradingView. Here’s a detailed breakdown of what it shows:
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Chart Analysis Details
1. Timeframe:
30-minute candlesticks, showing short-term price movements.
2. Price Levels:
Current price: Around 3,277.014 USD
Resistance zone (highlighted in yellow near the top): Around 3,299.476 USD
Support zone (highlighted in yellow near the bottom): Around 3,249.832 USD
3. Volume:
Volume bars at the bottom suggest increased activity leading up to and during the most recent upward movement.
4. Price Action:
There was a strong bullish move recovering from the support area near 3,250 USD.
Price reached a recent high near 3,285 USD and began to retrace slightly.
5. Forecast/Prediction (Illustrated by blue arrows):
The trader (Mr_Zakrii) anticipates a bearish reversal from the current region.
The blue arrows suggest a short position setup:
Entry near 3,285 USD
Target back toward the support area near 3,250 USD
Stop-loss near 3,299.476 USD
6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The shaded red and green areas represent the stop-loss and take-profit zones respectively, indicating a favorable risk-to-reward setup (reward appears larger than the risk).
7. News Indicator:
There's a news icon (U.S. flag) indicating an upcoming news event that might affect the gold price volatility.
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Conclusion:
This is a bearish setup based on a resistance rejection around 3,285–3,299 USD, aiming for a move back to the support zone near 3,250 USD. The chart suggests a sell position with a clear stop-loss and take-profit area, possibly relying on technical resistance and recent price action for confirmation.
Let me know if you want help evaluating the trade setup or analyzing the fundamental context behind it.