"Gold Vault Breach! XAU/USD Heist Plan in Motion"🏴☠️💰 XAU/USD Gold Heist Blueprint 💰🏴☠️
“The Vault’s Open… Time to Load Up!”
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Get ready to execute the Golden Robbery with style and precision! Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 using both technical & fundamental weapons, we’ve decoded the latest gold vault password: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) is showing bullish bias!
🎯 Heist Instructions:
📈 Entry Point –
“The vault is wide open!”
Enter long anytime — but for the sharp shooters, place buy limits on the most recent 15/30min swing lows or pullback zones for a stealthier entry. Let the retracement pull the guards away 😏🔐
🛑 Stop Loss –
🔒 Set your Thief SL just below recent swing lows on the 4H timeframe (around 3310.0).
🔧 Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open trades — every heist has its escape plan!
🏁 Target Zone –
🎯 Aim for 3395.0 — or vanish before the cops show up!
Trail the stop as you go and don’t get greedy — wealth is preserved when exits are clean! 🏃♂️💨
🧲 Scalper's Advisory:
Only steal on the Long Side! Bulls are funding this operation.
💼 Big pockets? Dive in.
💳 Small stack? Swing with the pros & follow the plan.
🎯 Use Trailing SL to keep the loot safe.
📊 Market Insight – Why We Rob Gold Now?
XAU/USD shows bullish momentum 🐂 backed by:
Macro & Fundamental Data 🧠
Geopolitical & Intermarket Trends 🌍
COT Reports & Sentimental Outlook 💼
Dollar Weakness + Safe Haven Flow 💸
📚 Always cross-check the news wires & reports to validate the path! Fundamentals are the lockpick tools behind every breakout! 🔓📈
⚠️ Stealth Warnings:
📆 News Events = Increased Surveillance!
🚫 No new entries during high-volatility news drops.
🛡 Use Trailing SL on live trades to secure the bag.
💖 Wanna Support Our Heist Style?
Smash that 🚀 BOOST BUTTON 🚀
It fuels our Thief Army and helps you & your crew loot the market with confidence and flair!
Every day’s a new caper — follow the plan, manage your risk, and stay outta jail! 🏆💪🤝🎉
🔐 See you in the next Robbery Blueprint — Stay Locked & Loaded!
🐱👤💼📈💣💸
GOLD trade ideas
Gold fluctuated slightly, retreating to low-multiple operations
📌 Gold news
During the North American trading session on Wednesday, gold prices remained stable, rising by more than 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action in the future. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tough stance has limited further upside for gold.
📊Comment analysis
Gold fluctuated in a small range yesterday, and the daily line closed with a positive cross star.
Daily support is around 3327-3324, and you can go long if you touch it.
Daily resistance is around 3368, and you can go short if you touch it.
If the market goes down to yesterday's low, the bottom continues to look near this week's low, and I am more inclined to be bullish
💰Gold operation strategy
If gold is close to 3327, you can go long, with a target of 3345.
Look for opportunities to short around 3350-3360, with a target around 3330.
I hope Labaron's article can help you with your investment. If you don't understand something, you can find me. I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD GOLD 45 MINUTR CHART PATTERN Here's a clear summary of your XAU/USD (Gold) 45-Minute Buy Trade Setup:
---
✅ Trade Type: Buy
⏱ Timeframe: 45 Minutes
📍 Entry Point: 3322.9
---
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3345
TP2: 3374
TP3: 3400
---
🛑 Stop Loss: 3307
---
📈 Risk/Reward Snapshot:
Risk (Entry to SL): 3322.9 – 3307 = 15.9 points
TP1 R:R: (3345 – 3322.9) / 15.9 = ~1.39
TP2 R:R: (3374 – 3322.9) / 15.9 = ~3.22
TP3 R:R: (3400 – 3322.9) / 15.9 = ~4.85
XAUUSD – Is Gold Gearing Up for the Next Leg Higher?🌐 Macro Outlook – Dovish Fed Tone Boosts Gold Appeal
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing renewed strength following Fed Chair Powell’s testimony. While he maintained a cautious stance, he acknowledged that tariff-related inflation is easing. Markets interpreted this as a sign that rate cuts may come sooner – potentially as early as July.
📉 Lower rate expectations → Reduced holding cost for gold → Increased investor interest.
As a non-yielding safe haven, gold tends to benefit when real yields decline.
🏛️ Fed Policy Outlook – The Tone Is Evolving
🔹 Powell’s Message: Data-driven and flexible, signalling a Fed willing to respond if inflation continues to cool.
🔹 Rate Cut Timing: While September remains the base case, markets are now pricing in a potential July move. CME FedWatch shows a 70.1% chance of rates falling to 4.00–4.25% by September.
💡 This subtle repricing adds momentum to the bullish gold thesis. Current price consolidation near $3,300–$3,320 may reflect smart money positioning for an upside break.
💰 Capital Flow Dynamics – Gold vs. USD
Gold and USD both act as safe havens, but current flows suggest a rotation:
🔄 If Powell maintains a dovish tone:
▪ USD weakens as yields fall
▪ Gold sees renewed inflows amid better risk-reward and geopolitical risks
This is already evident in gold’s resilience at recent highs.
📊 Technical View (H4/M30) – Bullish Momentum Building
Gold has broken out of a falling channel and is now consolidating in a mild ascending structure. This points towards a potential continuation move.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Buy Zones (Support):
$3,302 – $3,311 → Strong demand zone
$3,286 → Key fallback level if lower support is tested
🔴 Sell Zones (Resistance):
$3,352 – $3,371 → Major resistance, aligned with 0.5 & 0.618 Fib levels
$3,391 – $3,395 → Breakout here = bullish confirmation for longer-term targets
📈 EMA Structure (13, 34, 89, 200):
Price is trading above short-term EMAs → Positive near-term bias
Longer EMAs are converging → Potential Golden Cross setup
🎯 Trade Setups:
🟢 Swing Buy Idea:
Entry: $3,286 – $3,284
Stop Loss: $3,280
Targets: $3,290 → $3,294 → $3,298 → $3,302 → $3,306 → $3,310 → $3,315 → $3,320
🟢 Scalp Buy:
Entry: $3,302 – $3,300
SL: $3,295
TP: $3,306 → $3,310 → $3,314 → $3,318 → $3,322 → $3,326 → $3,330
🔴 Sell Zone 1:
Area: $3,353 – $3,355
SL: $3,360
TP: $3,350 → $3,346 → $3,340 → $3,335 → $3,330 → $3,320
🔴 Sell Zone 2:
Area: $3,372 – $3,374
SL: $3,378
TP: $3,370 → $3,366 → $3,362 → $3,358 → $3,354 → $3,350
⚠️ Keep an Eye On:
Fed Speeches: Any comment on inflation or rate direction could cause rapid sentiment shifts
Geopolitical Flashpoints: Ongoing or new tensions = fuel for gold upside
📌 Final Take:
Gold is showing early signs of bullish continuation ahead of the July FOMC. Dovish signals, softer inflation, and global uncertainty provide a solid backdrop. Smart entries near key zones and disciplined risk will be essential as we approach decision time.
Will the gold bearish trend continue?
💡Message Strategy
The gold market is facing a complex game of long and short factors in the near future. On the one hand, US President Trump announced that Iran and Israel had reached a "comprehensive ceasefire", and the market's risk aversion demand plummeted, and gold was under obvious short-term pressure. However, according to Reuters, Israel still has small-scale military operations, which has led to differences in the market's optimism about the situation in the Middle East, and the downward space of gold is temporarily limited.
On the other hand, US economic data is mixed. In June, the S&P global manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52, the service industry PMI fell slightly to 53.1, and the composite PMI fell slightly to 52.8, suggesting that the momentum of economic expansion has slowed down marginally. More importantly, Fed officials have released dovish signals one after another. Fed Governor Bowman expressed concern about labor market risks and supported interest rate cuts this year, echoing Governor Waller's expectations of a rate cut in July. This adjustment in monetary policy expectations has led to a weakening of the US dollar, providing some support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
1. Pay attention to the defensive position at the weekly level. As time goes by, this position is now in the 3316-3315 area. After breaking 3333 at noon, it accelerated to reach here, so pay attention to the gains and losses here in the future, so as to prepare for the next space switch
2. The daily line has been defending the lifeline for nearly a month. The current lifeline position is 3355. No matter how it pierces in the previous process, the final closing line must return to the top of the lifeline, thus becoming a support area
This means that today's closing is very critical. It can be closed below the lifeline, and then switch space downward to enter the area from the lifeline to the lower track 3355-3280
3. The four-hour pattern opens downward. Yesterday, the resistance of the upper track of the pattern was determined twice, and then it began to fall continuously, fell back to the lifeline, and then fell below the lower track of the pattern. Now it is further down and breaking the low
Then, keeping high is the key, breaking low is the focus. The previous starting and falling acceleration points are 3357 area, 3370, and finally 3388-3390.
Today's high point is 3370 area. The resistance range of 3357 is determined at noon. The pattern opens downward. Keep high and break low to see acceleration. After breaking the high point, it returns to sweeping.
4. The double lines of the hourly chart are glued together to form a pressure area. The interval of 3355-3370 just coincides with the two resistances above. Use this as suppression to switch space downward.
5. The large channel cooperates with the small channel. The price falls below the lower track position of the large channel and begins to switch space further downward. The top and bottom conversion position is 3340, and the final acceleration starting point is 3348.
Use this as suppression, and look down to the weekly defense line area of 3316-3315.
If it falls below, the next support will focus on the 3300 mark. If it breaks 3300 again, the next position is 3280
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3348-3354,SL:3375,Target: 3300-3310
Long Position:3280-3290,SL:3260,Target: 3340
Important support level for gold price: 3305-3315Important support level for gold price: 3305-3315
Most people in the market were originally bullish. After all, the US sneak attack on Iran did cause tension, but the market unexpectedly weakened and fell.
Intraday trading:
The macro shock structure is shown in Figure 4h:
Focus on the fluctuations in the range of 3300-3400 US dollars.
From the hourly line observation: the gold price may currently enter the flag adjustment stage.
Short-term resistance is: 3368, followed by the high point of 3393, and the overall trend is still facing short-selling pressure.
Due to the recent large fluctuations in gold prices, market sentiment will not subside quickly.
It is necessary to pay attention to whether it can stand on the first key position of 3368 today.
After a short-term rapid decline, it is not advisable to directly chase short positions and increase positions, and it is necessary to wait and see appropriately.
Although yesterday's trading was difficult, the current market has sent a clear signal:
The callback is an opportunity to continue shorting!
Today's gold operation strategy recommends shorting at high levels and long at low levels.
Upper pressure range: 3368-3388;
Lower support range: 3330-3300;
If it falls below $3350, it may fall to $3300.
Low price long range: 3305-3315, stop loss range: 3300-3295
High price short range: 3368-3380, stop loss range: 3388-3395
Will gold pull back today?During the Asian trading session, spot gold fluctuated lower, once breaking below the 3,350 level to $3,333.16 per ounce. This followed U.S. President Trump's announcement that Israel and Iran had fully reached an agreement to implement a comprehensive ceasefire, leading to a rapid cooling of market concerns over the Middle East situation and suppressing gold's safe-haven demand. The conclusion of the ceasefire agreement has dispelled market fears of conflict escalation, causing gold, silver, and crude oil prices to decline accordingly.
After yesterday's repeated oscillations, gold failed to break through the 3,400 resistance level last night. Instead, it tested the support at 3,340 in today's early trading. From the current price chart, the hourly candlestick has pierced the 3,340 level, but the candlestick body has not closed below 3,340. The prior downward test of support indicates that the market remains weak for now. The temporary effective lower support lies at 3,333, and a break below this level could lead to a move toward 3,280. The effective resistance is at 3,375, and a breakthrough above this level may target 3,405.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3360-3365
TP:3335-3340
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Today's opening gapped up to 3396, then fell all the way back to 3347 before stabilizing and rallying to 3380—our long strategy at 3350 achieved perfect profits. The basic trend aligns with last week's pattern, dominated by pullback rebounds.
Channel Resistance: Key pressure lies at 3397–3404.
Support Zones: Monitor rebounds at 3360–3365 and 3355–3350; maintain a bullish bias on dips.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3350-3360
TP:3380-3400
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
Gold focuses on the long and short changes at 3340Gold focuses on the long and short changes at 3340
Technical analysis of gold at the beginning of the week: the oscillating pattern is waiting to be broken, and attention should be paid to the gains and losses in the key range
Market review
Last week, gold maintained a volatile trend. After the disturbance of the weekend news, it opened at 3396 on Monday and then fell back to 3358. The overall pattern of long and short sweeps was not formed. The current price is running in the large range of 3405-3340, and it is necessary to break through this range to confirm the direction.
Key range and break direction
Bull defense: 3340 is a short-term key support. If it stabilizes, it will maintain a volatile bias. If it breaks down, it may further test the previous low of 3280.
Short pressure: 3405 is a strong resistance above. After breaking through, it can be bullish to the 3430-3465 area.
Operation strategy: sell high and buy low within the range (short near 3405, long near 3340), and follow up after breaking.
Technical signal analysis
Daily level: The closing cross star on Friday stabilized the middle Bollinger track, but the early high and fall showed the divergence between long and short positions. It is necessary to observe today's closing pattern to confirm the strength and weakness.
4-hour level: The early high of 3396 is just suppressed by the upper Bollinger track, and the support below is 3350 (lower Bollinger track). It may maintain fluctuations in this range in the short term.
Short-term support: 3347 is an important intraday watershed between long and short positions. If it falls back and stabilizes, you can try long positions, with the target of 3375-3400; if it directly breaks through 3400, follow up with long positions.
Trading tips
The market at the beginning of the week is mainly volatile. It is recommended to operate in the short term and take profits in time.
Pay attention to the daily closing and the break of 3405/3340, and adjust the mid-line layout after the break.
The overall trend is still bullish at present, but we need to be alert to the risk of market changes caused by news.
Let’s talk about gold’s movement
This week, the fundamentals are relatively relaxed. The two sides of the Middle East war continue to fight each other. The market is relatively tired, resulting in the relative weakness of gold, silver and oil. From the technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate and fall. After falling to the bottom, it rebounds rapidly. The overall bulls are strong again. Let's briefly sort it out:
1: Fundamentals: Market aesthetic fatigue leads to continuous adjustment of gold, silver and oil;
2: Technical aspect, the fundamentals are relatively weak, resulting in the technical adjustment of "up and down puncture" to wash the plate!
To sum up: This week's trend is very difficult to operate; long, the fundamentals are weak; short, the overall risk aversion has not disappeared; therefore, there is a trend of constantly piercing the lows, and then constantly pulling up; the overall trend is a decline of three and a rise of two!
The current overall environment:
1: Fundamentals:
The first stage: The Middle East war is still going on, the two sides continue to fight each other, and their attitudes are strong; the opposing forces of the camps are obvious; the impact is far-reaching! The first stage is a continuous confrontation; risk aversion is born, assisting the strong rise of gold, silver and oil; we are still in the first stage!
The second stage: the opposing camp forces gradually exit; for example, the United States decides whether to exit within 2 weeks, which is actually waiting for the intensity of Iran and Israel's next move. The United States exits and the war expands; the United States and the West exit indirectly, and the Middle East war becomes protracted. Refer to the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States and the West continue to wait and see, then the Middle East war will form a multi-to-one situation, which is relatively unlikely. Israel is a "nail household" placed in the Middle East by the United States and the West. The United States and the West will not sit idly by and watch Israel being completely defeated.
The third stage: the end of the war; this stage is far away; refer to the current Russian-Ukrainian war; once the war starts, it will not end easily, whether it is an agent, the forces behind the camp, or the forces of a third party, without the final benefits in hand , will not end the war, such as the chaebols that support it, the military and industrial enterprises that support it, the political ladder strategic goals that support it, etc.
To sum up: we are currently in the first stage of the war, and the subsequent second stage is the core stage of the market, so we have to be careful about risk aversion repeatedly, and be careful about risk aversion rekindling, so that the bulls can "stir up a thousand waves again, but at this stage, the market continues to pierce and wash the market, which makes us very uncomfortable! We can only choose to follow the trend, and then choose different support levels, and deal with it mainly in line with the trend
This week's trading ideas: First, they are all trend-following ideas, and second: they are all support points, but they are not very smooth, and the uninterrupted piercing, stopping the decline, and pulling sharply are all uncomfortable
Next week's market outlook:
1. Weekly K, it is still a time-for-space mode, the price is resistant to falling, the indicator is corrected, here 3500 is definitely not a high point in the future; but it still takes time to promote the continuous upward attack of weekly K! Therefore, from a long-term perspective, I still suggest that gold is mainly bullish;
2. Daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to be near the central axis, forming a bottoming out and rebounding; the indicator is in a dead cross, the price is resistant to falling, and the market is washed here, washing "the sky is hanging and the earth is dizzy"; at the same time, in terms of form, it continues to fluctuate and rise. After multiple rises, the probability of subsequent breakouts is relatively high;
3. 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is golden cross, the form is bottoming out and rebounding, and it is also an uninterrupted decline and piercing, and then a sharp rise; the high-level one-word interval of 4 hours is integrated It is a relay sideways signal; the follow-up means the continuation of the trend;
To sum up: technically, the daily K-line is sideways and resistant to falling, and the weekly K-line is sideways and resistant to falling. The subsequent multiple upward tests on the technical side will gradually form a break; fundamentally, the subsequent second stage has not yet arrived completely, and the attitude of the United States in the next two weeks will also determine the direction of the second stage of the war
I suggest that the idea is to maintain the trend of low-multiple ideas. In terms of position, refer to the support and choose the uninterrupted layout of the support position; wash-out response: do a good job of risk control, wash-out is also helpless; short-term: try to avoid it as much as possible. Without a fundamental change, don't over-lay out short-term. Trend: combining fundamentals and technical aspects, the subsequent breakout of 3500 and the probability of setting a new high are relatively high
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside.
📌 Key Observations:
📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles).
🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal.
🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone.
🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones.
📈 Conclusion:
If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation.
✅ Trading Plan Suggestion:
Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance
SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330)
TP: 3,453 zone 🎯
🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate, with Trump declaring that U.S. fighter jets struck three major Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. This development has ignited the Middle East "powder keg," providing additional fuel for gold's rally.
Key support lies at 3340–3345, while short-term resistance sits at 3385–3390. A breakthrough above resistance is imminent.
Gold is expected to extend its rebound trend at next week's opening.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to adopt a buy-on-pullback approach, leveraging dips as entry points.
buy@3345-3355
TP:3380-3390
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers'Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers' Pressure
When the U.S. Nimitz Carrier Strike Group arrived in the Arabian Sea as scheduled on June 22, forming a dual-carrier deployment with the Carl Vinson, London gold spot prices fell slightly by 0.04% to $3,367.09/oz—a phenomenon of "gold prices falling instead of rising under the shadow of war" that is rewriting the market's traditional response model to geopolitical conflicts. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has just announced that "military operation targets against Iran have been completed ahead of schedule," while the U.S. has released news of "deciding whether to join the war within the next 48 hours." Meanwhile, the UK's twin aircraft carrier battle groups have passed through the Suez Canal, with five aircraft carriers gathering in the Middle East—a military deployment comparable to the troop buildup before the 2003 Iraq War.
However, market calm stems from two contradictory signals: on one hand, news that Iraq's "Hizbullah Brigades" threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz (accounting for one-third of global oil tanker traffic) panicked energy markets; on the other hand, although Iran-Europe nuclear talks made no substantive breakthrough, they released a de-escalation signal of "negotiations upon Israel's ceasefire." This tug-of-war between "military escalation and diplomatic de-escalation" has led to a "partial realization" of gold's safe-haven demand—similar to knowing a storm is coming but unsure of the exact time, so you buy an umbrella but don't open it immediately.
Key data anchors: Israeli airstrikes have destroyed 40% of Iran's missile launchers, and Iran's retaliatory strike on Israel's "cyber capital" Beer Sheva on the 20th used 35% fewer missiles than last week. This "decrease in attack intensity" is interpreted by the market as an expectation of a "short-term war," causing gold ETF holdings to decline by 2.3% month-on-month.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD sell@3380~3390
SL:3410
TP:3370~3360
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you I. Next Week's Trend Analysis
Geopolitics: Middle East Tensions Like an Unattended Gas Stove
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is akin to a gas stove left burning in a kitchen, poised to explode at any moment. Last week, Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and reportedly killed an Iranian nuclear scientist, prompting Iran to retaliate against Beer Sheva, known as Israel's "cyber capital." More worryingly, Iraqi armed groups have threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz if the U.S. intervenes—a channel through which one-third of global seaborne crude oil passes, essentially gripping the world's energy tap. Russia has also warned of a "highly negative" response if Iran's supreme leader is harmed, further escalating tensions.
In this context, gold serves as a "safe haven" for risk aversion. However, the market remains torn: on one hand, fears of conflict escalation drive funds into gold; on the other, hopes that Iran-Europe talks will ease tensions may prompt some capital to withdraw for wait-and-see. This contradiction was evident last week when gold prices surged to $3,450 before dropping to $3,367. Next week, close attention should be paid to whether the U.S. takes military action against Iran within two weeks and whether actual blockades of the Strait of Hormuz occur—such news will trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD sell@3380~3390
SL:3410
TP:3370~3360
Market next target 📉 Original View (Bearish Outlook):
Predicts a downward move from around $3,370 to the target near $3,250.
Sharp drop illustrated with zigzag downward arrows.
Yellow arrow highlights growing volume — likely interpreted as early selling pressure.
---
🔄 Disruption: Bullish Reversal or Trap Setup
🧠 Problems With Bearish Thesis:
1. Volume Spike Might Indicate Demand:
The yellow arrow highlights a volume surge, but this might be buyer absorption, not selling dominance.
If this volume came during a wick-heavy candle or hammer, it suggests buying interest at lows.
2. No Break of Major Support Yet:
Price is still above $3,350, a key psychological and technical zone.
No clear breakdown has occurred — the downtrend is assumed, not confirmed.
3. Oversold Momentum?
Momentum indicators (not shown) may reveal oversold conditions, making a short-term rebound more probable.
XAUUSD LONGXAUUSD Reach it back into the buying trend after make a breakout *Fakeout* and possible the price will react to the supply area that i marked.
I do not 100% confirm with my analysis will be right. It's all depends on the buyer and seller momentum. Due to we have a major issues in the middle east so trade wisely and stick with your own trading plan.
If you interested with my idea, do follow me now for more idea for XAUUSD.