Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280Gold market analysis:
The recent gold daily line is still weak. It rebounded yesterday and fell again. It has touched the strong support of the weekly line. Today's idea is still bearish. Consider continuing to sell it if it rebounds. It is estimated that it will be repaired if there is support at 3300. The daily line was a cross star yesterday, and the upper shadow line was very long. The daily moving average suppression position was also around 3345, and the suppression position of the pattern was also around 3350. Today, the price is below 3345. We insist on being bearish. This week is a data week. The subsequent trend depends on the release of data. If the data is not strong and the weekly selling signal is added, it is very likely that gold will enter the 3200 era. After the weekly line breaks 3280, it basically opens up the weekly line's downward space, and will start a deep decline in the later period. In the Asian session of gold, we pay attention to the suppression of 3326. This position is the indicator suppression and the small suppression of the pattern. Consider selling it near this position. If it stands above 3326, don't sell it. The repair range will be 3345. Consider selling it at 3345. If the US market cannot break 3300, we should consider whether it will rebound. On the contrary, if it breaks 3300 directly in the Asian market, we should consider selling it directly.
Support 3300 and 3280, suppress 3326 and 3345, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3326.
Fundamental analysis:
This Monday and Tuesday are relatively quiet, and the big data will be released one by one starting from Wednesday.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD – Technical rebound, but downside risks remainOn the H4 chart, gold is bouncing slightly from the 3,323 support zone after a sharp drop. However, price remains within a large descending channel and is approaching a dense cluster of bearish FVGs around 3,360–3,374.
News context:
– US GDP and ADP data beat expectations, boosting the USD and adding pressure on gold.
– JOLTS dipped but remains above 7 million → limited support for gold.
– Thailand–Cambodia conflict provides only short-term impact.
Strategy: Favor SELL if price retests 3,360–3,374 and gets rejected. Downside targets: 3,323 or lower.
Main trend remains bearish, unless gold breaks above the descending channel.
Analysis and strategy of gold market on July 28:
Core influencing factors
Risk aversion cools down: Despite frequent geopolitical risk events, market panic has not significantly increased, weakening gold safe-haven buying.
US dollar strengthens: US economic data supports the continuous rise of the US dollar, and funds flow back to US dollar assets, suppressing the attractiveness of gold.
ETF holdings outflow: Short-term risk appetite has rebounded, and gold ETFs have seen a slight outflow of funds, reflecting the cautious attitude of the market.
Key events focus:
US-EU and US-China trade negotiations: If progress is optimistic, gold prices may fall to the $3,300/ounce mark.
Federal Reserve resolution: Pay attention to policy independence (affected by Trump's pressure) and interest rate guidance.
Non-farm data: Released on Friday, if the employment data is strong, it may strengthen the US dollar to further suppress gold.
Key technical points
Weekly level:
Watershed $3,325: If it is held, it will maintain high-level fluctuations, and if it is lost, it will open up downward space.
Support area: If the daily support is broken, the weekly support may be tested (reference 3300-3310).
Daily level:
Key support: The current daily support is facing the risk of breaking down, and we need to be alert to the acceleration of short positions.
4-hour level:
Resistance 3388 US dollars (middle track): Before the rebound is not broken, the short-term is short.
Weak signal: The price continues to run below 3363, and the rebound is weak.
Hourly chart:
Strong and weak boundary 3363 US dollars: Maintain weakness before breaking, and avoid bottom-fishing against the trend in the negative market.
Operation strategy suggestions
Short-term direction: Short-selling on rebound is the main, supplemented by light-weight buying at key support levels.
Short-term selling opportunities:
Ideal entry: 3370-3375 area (below the 4-hour middle track), stop loss above 3380.
Target: 3320-3310, if it breaks down, look at 3300.
Opportunities to buy long orders in the short term:
Participate cautiously: If the support of 3320-3310 stabilizes, combine the K-line signal to hold a light long position, and stop loss below 3300.
Quick in and out: You can exit the market when it rebounds to 3340-3350.
Risk warning:
Before the Fed’s decision: Avoid heavy positions, and be wary of unexpected hawkish policies that cause volatility.
Non-agricultural data: If the data exceeds expectations, it will be bearish for gold.
Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish, but be wary of event-driven reversals. Trading requires strict stop losses and flexible response to data and policy risks.
Pay attention to 3350 gains and lossesGood morning, bros. This morning gold again tested last week's low near 3325. From the chart, gold may continue to rise this week, with tariffs approaching, the Fed's interest rate cut, and NFP data imminent. The current strength and weakness are at 3350-3355. If it can effectively break through and stand above, it is expected to continue to test the previous high point, which is also the long-short dividing point of 3370-3380.
From the daily chart, there is not much change in the operational range of gold in the short term, and the change in the 4H chart is more obvious. After the decline in the early trading, it is now rebounding. There is a possibility of closing positive at the low. If it is directly positive on Monday, then it will bottom out directly at the beginning of the week. If it refreshes the low on Monday, the low point of 3285 will be seen below. Therefore, today's market focuses on the continuity of long and short. Of course, according to the current changes, the biggest possibility is to continue to rebound at the low point, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the high point of 3355 above.
After continuous decline, oversold rebound opportunity.Last week, gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The weekly line closed with an inverted hammer and a long upper shadow, continuing the cross-line pattern of the previous week. The short-term rise was obviously blocked. Although the trend line connecting the daily lows of 3247-3282-3309 has been substantially broken, it may continue to fall after testing and sorting. In the short term, we need to focus on the 3348 suppression level and the 3324 support level. If they fall below, they may fall to the 3300/3285 support area. From the current trend, the overall bearish and lack of rebound momentum, the weak pattern may continue, and only when the price falls to a specific position to complete the bottoming will it attract entry.
Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a bearish mindset. The hourly line shows that the long and short conversions are relatively frequent. The upward trend channel was maintained in the first three days, but all gains were given up in the next two days and the downward channel was rebuilt. Given that both the 4-hour and daily lines have fallen below the key support level, 3348 has become the key point for today's bearishness, and it is necessary to change the mindset in time and go short.
XAUUSDXAU/USD Trade Analysis – buy Setup
📍 Trade Idea: buy Gold (XAU/USD)
Entry Zone: 3338/3336
Stop Loss: 3326..00/Above key resistance zone)
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: 3345
🎯 TP2: 3350
🎯 TP3: 3360
Targets are set conservatively and progressively at 3345, 3350, and 3360, capturing potential resistance zones and allowing partial exits to secure profits while maintaining upward exposure. This tiered approach to take-profit targets allows the trader to manage risk effectively and maximize gains from momentum continuation.
Gold remains fundamentally strong amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and expectations of dovish monetary policy from central banks. These macroeconomic drivers often lead investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold, further supporting a bullish bias.
July 28, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Price action remains weak after last week's bearish close, with 3440 acting as a clear resistance level. While bulls have lost momentum, bears have not yet taken full control — 3310 and 3283 are key support zones to watch.
Price is currently reacting near 3339,
• Above 3345, the plan is to buy on pullbacks.
• Below 3332, switch to selling rallies.
Expect a potential bounce after the recent sharp decline from 3420 to 3385, but stay cautious near resistance zones like 3385–3400, as consolidation or rejection may occur.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3384 – Resistance
• 3375 – Key resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3325 – Intraday key support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3283 – Critical support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3332 → target 3325, then 3320, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3345 → target 3350, then 3365, 3375, 3384
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
Gold Trading Strategy Reference On Monday✅ Gold Market Weekly Summary
Gold prices experienced significant volatility this week and ultimately closed lower on the weekly chart, failing to hold above the key $3400 level. Although the price briefly achieved a bullish breakout earlier in the week, the rally lacked follow-through, indicating weak bullish momentum and growing market indecision from a technical perspective.
✅ Detailed Review
Gold surged by 2.4% in the first two trading days of the week, but gave back nearly 3% over the last three sessions. The reversal was primarily driven by renewed optimism surrounding trade negotiations led by former President Trump, which boosted risk appetite and dampened safe-haven demand for gold.
✅ Outlook for Next Week
Investors will closely monitor the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for July 29–30. Market expectations suggest an extremely low probability of a rate cut during this meeting, with the likelihood of holding rates steady in September rising to approximately 40%, up sharply from around 10% a month ago.
✅ If Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlights progress in trade agreements as a reduction in economic uncertainty—thereby leaving the door open for a September rate cut—U.S. Treasury yields may fall sharply, potentially boosting gold prices. Conversely, if Powell cites rising inflation data and avoids signaling any easing at the next meeting, gold may come under renewed pressure.
✅ Technical Analysis
Gold suffered a sharp decline on Friday, breaking below the key 4-hour trendline support at the $3335 level, which we previously identified. This triggered renewed bearish momentum, and the current price action reflects a clear downtrend. Unless a firm bottom is established, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
✅ Hourly Chart Structure
Volatility between bulls and bears was apparent this week. The price followed an ascending channel during the first half of the week but reversed sharply in the latter half, erasing gains and forming a new descending channel. The $3350 level now acts as a critical pivot point and will serve as the key resistance level for bearish strategies next week.
✅ Conclusion
Given that both the 4-hour and daily charts have broken major support levels, the outlook has shifted from a mildly bullish consolidation to a trend-following bearish stance.
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Entry: Consider initiating short positions around the $3350 level
⛔ Stop-Loss: Place stops above $3360
🔰 Targets: Initial target at $3325; if broken, look for further downside toward the $3310 area
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
Smart Money concepts (SMC) Positive points of the analysis:
1. Clarity in the market structure (CHoCH + BOS):
It is clear that the market made a CHoCH and then confirmed it with a Break of Structure (BOS), which validates the downward trend change.
2. Well-identified fake out:
The "fake out" just after the BOS and within the 1H-OB is typical institutional behavior. This bullish wick is a trap to induce liquidity before the fall. Excellent reading.
3. Confluence zone (1H-OB + 1H-FVG):
The price rises to mitigate the 1H-FVG within the 1H-OB, providing a very good entry opportunity.
Furthermore, this occurs within the resistance zone, which gives it even more weight.
4. Support zone and target at 3310:
The TP is very well projected at 3310, just below the current support zone. If it breaks that zone, it is highly likely that it will reach the target.
Gold 4H Channel structure modifiedAs you can see gold is moving in a channel in 4H time frame which is little modified as market goes on so according to me next move will be till protected order block i.e 3382-3388 and after that big fall expected and if any candle close above 3384 then 3451 is the next target for gold.
Analysis of gold market operation strategies and ideas next week
Gold rallied unilaterally on Friday following positive non-farm payroll data, reaching a new high for the week. This week's candlestick formed a hammer pattern, suggesting further upside potential next week. Bulls continued their push late Friday, closing at 3363. Next week, we will continue to monitor short-term resistance around 3370-3375. We will continue to buy on pullbacks. If your current trading is not satisfactory, I hope I can help you avoid investment setbacks. Welcome to discuss your options!
Based on a 4-hour analysis, short-term resistance will be seen around 3370-3375 next week, with a key resistance around 3395-3400. We will continue to buy on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, we recommend maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Go long on gold pullbacks to 3330-335, with a stop-loss at 3318 and a target at 3370-3375. Hold on if it breaks above this level.
Is the uptrend complete? Will there be a pullback?On the last trading day of this week, gold prices soared, rising nearly $56, driven by the non-farm payroll data. The rally began at 3300 and peaked near 3356. The price has now retreated slightly, fluctuating around 3345.
The current uptrend has repeatedly tested the resistance level near 3355 but has failed to break through. The RSI indicator hovered around 76.8, indicating a gradual flattening of the upward trend. The 3355 high is likely the end of this uptrend.
As this is the last day of a major data week, Quaid believes the current uptrend is complete. Consider a light short position around 3350-3355. The current low has yet to be confirmed, and the pullback is likely to end around 3335.
However, we cannot rule out the possibility that the price will remain within the upward channel with slight fluctuations on the last trading day of the week.
Gold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing StopGold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing Stop
As shown in Figure 4h:
Gold finally rallied this weekend.
Despite recent heavy losses for long positions, the past two days have been encouraging.
We ultimately managed to successfully buy the dip in the 3280-3300 range and recover all our losses.
Gold prices continue to rise, and everyone is asking if it's time to sell.
Now is the critical time to exit.
We must acknowledge one fact:
Gold currently presents a huge opportunity.
Of course, the risks are also increasing.
At times like these, I always emphasize that the best approach is to set a 10-point trailing stop.
Even if gold prices soar, we can move with them.
This non-farm payroll data was a huge disappointment.
It was a truly positive surprise for gold.
The market expected 110,000 new jobs, but the result was a disappointing 73,000, a decrease of half from the previous month.
The market went into a tizzy after the outperformance. But even more shocking news is yet to come: Non-farm payrolls for May and June were revised downward by a combined 258,000.
This means the June gain was revised downward from 140,000 to 14,000.
The May gain was abruptly revised downward from 140,000 to 19,000.
The strong data of the past two months was completely false.
Market followers have become the "clowns" of the Fed and Trump.
Now you understand why everyone praised Powell's hawkish speech two days ago.
Because Powell said: "Only if there is a severe decline in employment will we consider cutting interest rates."
Just this Wednesday, some good non-farm payroll data was released.
This undoubtedly gave the market a false impression.
Everyone believed that a rate cut was impossible, and the probability of a September cut had dropped to 40%.
However, today's poor non-farm payroll data, combined with revisions to May and June data, revealed the truth.
The job market has been dismal over the past quarter.
The market reacted quickly, and gold prices soared on this sentiment.
My advice is to buy gold at a low price and hold on.
For investors who have successfully bought in the 3280-3300 level in recent days, I recommend setting a 10-15 pip trailing stop-loss.
Gold prices are likely to continue their upward trend next Monday.
Our next target is above 3380-3400 points.
NFP data is positive, the bullish trend remains unchanged#XAUUSD
The current market, influenced by data such as NFP, remains bullish, even briefly pushing towards the 4H upper limit of 3350, reaching a high near 3354.📈
In the short term, gold still has upward momentum and could even reach the previous high resistance level near 3375.🐂
Currently, gold is undergoing a technical correction and needs to begin a pullback to accumulate more bullish momentum, giving traders who previously missed the opportunity to get on board.🚀
As resistance continues to rise, support below will also rise. 📊If gold retreats below 3335-3315, consider going long.📈
🚀 SELL 3335-3315
🚀 TP 3350-3375
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis:Gold remains in a downward trend and is currently moving sideways in a consolidation phase in the short term. The bearish outlook still dominates, with a potential move toward levels like $3,245.
1️⃣ A break and close below $3,276 may trigger a drop toward the strong support zone at $3,245.
2️⃣ However, if bullish momentum pushes the price above $3,310, this opens the path toward $3,330, a key level where a bearish rejection might occur.
📈 If the price holds above $3,330, a continuation toward $3,350 becomes likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone.
If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374.
Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
Non-farm payrolls are coming. Will it trigger the market?On Thursday, the US dollar index briefly rallied after the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator unexpectedly rebounded, crossing the 100 mark for the first time in two months. This marked the sixth consecutive trading day of gains and the first monthly gain since 2025.
Spot gold rebounded as risk aversion lingered amid uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff deadline, reaching a high of around $3,315, but its intraday gains narrowed after the release of the PCE data.
The dollar has already firmly established itself above the 100 mark on the daily chart, so the next target is likely to be between 101.5 and 102.0. Currently, support levels on the daily chart are visible at 99.5 and 99.0.
The gold market is currently consolidating in the 3315-3275 range. However, if the dollar rises again, Quaid believes gold prices could fall below 3275.
On the daily chart, if it falls below 3275, the price would likely be around 3250. If 3250 falls below, the market could test 3200. However, the possibility of a consolidation between 3315 and 3275 remains undisputed.
Before the release of the non-farm payroll data, scalping within this consolidation range is advisable. However, the risk is relatively high, so please take profits in time.