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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD heading to $3,450 or a bull trap ahead?XAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reversal from the key zone at $2,832, with a series of high-volatility, full-bodied weekly candles that completely absorbed the supply in the $3,050–3,140 area. The breakout of previous weekly and monthly highs confirmed a bullish structural shift, with a natural technical target around $3,450—its recent all-time high. Price reacted precisely to previously tested demand blocks, suggesting that buy-side pressure may still have room to expand. However, a deeper look at COT data reveals a more complex picture: Money Managers’ net positions on GOLD have been declining sharply for months, diverging from price action. This may indicate a rally driven more by retail flows or ETFs than by institutional strength, making it potentially unstable. Additionally, the COT report on the Dollar Index shows growing net long positions among leveraged traders, signaling USD strength—historically a headwind for gold. In summary, gold remains technically bullish with room to climb to $3,450, but COT data raises a red flag: if institutional positions don’t realign with the move, this rally could turn out to be a bull trap. From a trading perspective, there’s room for aggressive longs, but only with tight risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Is the bullish trend about to end? No, go long on pullbacks!Today, after hitting a high of 3,500, gold began to pull back and adjust, and currently hit a low of 3,372. With such huge market fluctuations, only stable operations can lead to profits.👉👉👉 From a 4-hour analysis perspective, the short-term support below should focus on the 3370-3375 level. Pay attention to the important support at the 3340 level, and focus on the short-term resistance at the 3400 level above. In a market with sharp fluctuations, be cautious about chasing orders, and never trade with heavy positions. Wait patiently for a full adjustment before entering the market. XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3370-3375 sl 3350 tp 3390-3395 In this highly volatile market, whether going long or short, it is essential to strictly set SL to prevent sudden reversals between bullish and bearish trends!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
Gold Uptrend ContinuesThe higher degree diametric wave-(E) is expanding and we can consider the recent price correction that started at $3167 as a small X-wave, as a result, gold can grow as a combination pattern to the range of 3600-3800 and even gold can touch $4000. The second triangle pattern will probably be a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle, where the wave-(a) triangle can end at 3500 or 3600. The factor that caused the expansion of the wave-(E) is the US-China trade war, which caused investors to rush to buy gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NEoWave-Chart
Risk aversion drives gold surging wildlyGold opened at $3,332 and closed at $3,424 yesterday, surging $92 throughout the day. The daily K-line formed a large bullish candle with minor upper and lower shadows, marking a nearly 3% gain and demonstrating a strong upward momentum. Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chair Powell via social media, calling him a "big failure" and demanding immediate rate cuts, which intensified market uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy and pushed the DXY lower. The U.S. plan to impose new tariffs on solar products imported from Cambodia, Malaysia and other countries, combined with the long-term uncertainty of its comprehensive tariff policies, has fueled global risk aversion. Investors are withdrawing from U.S. dollar assets and turning to gold for hedging, serving as the core driver behind the sharp gold rally. Overall, gold maintains a bullish trend in the long, medium and short terms, but short-term overbought correction risks need to be watched out for in technicals. It is recommended to focus on buying on dips, paying close attention to the retracement confirmation opportunity at the short-term support level of $3,440. Meanwhile, set reasonable take-profit and stop-loss levels to avoid volatility risks from chasing highs. XAUUSD buy@3440-3450-3460 tp:3480-3490-3500 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout from Pennant PatternGold has broken out of a well-formed Bullish Pennant on the 2-hour chart, supported by strong momentum and a bullish Ichimoku cloud structure. The continuation pattern confirmed the trend following a steep bullish move, and price has now reached the projected target around $3,480. Fundamentally, gold remains supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and persistent inflation concerns. As long as price stays above $3,400, the bullish outlook remains intact. Bias: Bullish Pattern: Bullish Pennant Target: $3,480 Support: $3,400 / $3,300 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always do your own research. If you found this analysis helpful, please support with a like and follow for more trading ideas and updates. Your support is greatly appreciated!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
April 22, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Bullish momentum remains strong. The strategy for today continues to be: buy on pullbacks to support. Key Levels to Watch: 3450–3455: Bullish target zone 3436: Support 3431: Support 3425: Support 3419: Support 3413: Support 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over. 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
XAUUSD: 21/4 Today’s Market AnalysisGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3400-3450, support 3320 Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support 3358 One-hour chart resistance 3400, support 3370 On the first trading day after the holiday, risk aversion continued to drive gold up, with a daily increase of more than 2%, and is about to reach the bull psychological target of 3400 integer mark. The Stochastic indicator is currently overbought, and if it fails to break through 3400, it may trigger a short-term correction. If the price quickly falls below 3350, it will turn into a bearish trend. COMEX gold futures positions have reached a new high, and we need to be wary of long profits in the NY market that trigger selling. Gold touching the 3400~3410 range may trigger a rapid correction. It has risen quickly recently, and it has also fallen quickly, and the amplitude is large. Therefore, it is not recommended to chase the high near 3400, and wait for the correction to stabilize near 3358 before buying.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Latest Gold Trading StrategyTrump's remark that "Who has the gold makes the rules" has reignited the gold market, with prices surging unidirectionally to 3370 in early trading following the opening bell. The uncertainty around international trade tariff policies, the uptick in U.S. inflation data, the heightened expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, and the intensified global risk-aversion sentiment collectively act as upward drivers for gold prices. Meanwhile, the continuous accumulation of gold reserves by central banks globally provides medium-to-long-term fundamental support for gold. Strategically, it is advisable to maintain a "buy-on-dips" trading framework and seize position-building opportunities arising from market corrections. However, close monitoring of tariff-related news is critical to guard against potential price declines triggered by the easing of tariff conflicts. Trading Strategy: buy@3320-3330-3340 TP:3360-3370-3380 The signals resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AngelaYeates
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk GREEN MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Neutral Level breakout then make your move at (3260.00) - Bearish profits await!" however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 (or) 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 3H timeframe (3360.00) Day/Scalping trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 3170.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
Next Gold Support at $3,226 - Major Breakout Incoming?!🧠 GoldThesis Gold is coiling into a textbook symmetrical triangle — right on the 0.5 Fib retracement level (~$3,226) from its $3,496 top. Price action is compressing fast, and a major breakout looks imminent within days. The RSI is hovering in the low 30s, signaling that the downside may be reaching exhaustion. 🔍 Technical Breakdown Pattern: Symmetrical triangle forming, squeezing toward apex (end of April). Fib Levels: 0.618 = $3,289 (rejection confirmed) 0.5 = $3,226 (current support zone) 0.382 = $3,162 (next support if breakdown confirms) Volume: Decreasing — classic compression before expansion. RSI (14): 33 — near oversold territory. Could be setting up a bullish divergence if price sweeps lows. Volatility: Dangerously quiet... for now. 🟩 Bullish Case If price holds $3,226 and breaks triangle resistance around ~$3,300, we could see fast movement to retest $3,380 (Fib 0.786) and eventually $3,496 ATH. RSI reversal + volume surge = likely breakout trigger. 🟥 Bearish Case Failure to hold $3,226 or $3,162 sends price to $3,083 (Fib 0.236) or lower. Bear trap possible near ~$3,150 if liquidity is swept. 🚨 My Plan Waiting for triangle resolution. Long above $3,300 breakout retest with SL below $3,226. Short below $3,162 confirmation with tight invalidation. ⚔️ Final Word The triangle is almost full — this is the calm before the storm. Whether gold rallies back to ATH or dumps to shakeout late longs depends on how this coil resolves. Get ready, the move will be violent.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenThesis