XAUUSDHello traders!
Now we have already convergence on 1-2h timeframe, and price wants to mitigate 1W OB + 618/705 fib level. Only we need confirmation on LTF 3-5min.
Have a profitable day!
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 14 Wednesday🧠 XAUUSD – Market Outlook & Tactical Watchlist (May 14)
GoldMindsFX Chart Update
📉 Bias:
Still bearish on H1–H4. Price structure remains heavy, with compression beneath resistance and weak bullish rejections off demand.
Momentum is stuck between hopeful dips and unforgiving supply.
🧭 Macro Context:
CPI data yesterday gave the market a good shake, but instead of confirming a breakout, Gold has slumped back into a sideways liquidity trap. Every little spike gets slapped down.
Translation? We’re in "mess around and find out" territory.
No clean direction until one of the extremes gets swept with volume and confirmation.
🔎 Zones to Watch – Tactical Map (Wide Ranges Only)
📌 3247–3265
➡️ This is a key compression zone. It was tested overnight and rejected. If price returns here and stalls, watch for signs of absorption. If it rips through → next target is higher (but we don’t chase).
📌 3280–3295
➡️ Untested shelf above CPI drop. Premium supply area that might magnet price — but only if we break clean above 3265.
📌 3205–3180
➡️ Broader demand basin. Price is bouncing here but without real commitment. Still valid for reactive watch — but bulls have no real control.
📌 Below 3174
➡️ The vault. This is the final flush zone. If Gold loses all composure and dives, this is where serious interest may return. No front-running.
⚠️ Notes on Structure:
Price is stuck inside a liquidity funnel between 3235 and 3220.
Rejection wicks = traps. Don’t engage unless structure shifts.
No BOS = No boss. We don’t serve chop.
📸 Summary for the Chart Watchers:
We are inside mid-support territory, but nothing is confirmed yet.
Bulls need to break above 3247 and hold it.
Bears want to crack below 3200 with aggression.
Until then, this is a staring contest between imbalance and indecision.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 12 - May 16]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 3,210 USD/oz to 3,434 USD/oz, but immediately after that, the gold price dropped sharply to 3,274 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,325 USD/oz.
The reason why the gold price was sold off at the end of the week was because the FED said it would not rush to cut interest rates, because inflation is potentially at risk of increasing due to the impact of tariffs from the Trump administration, while the US economy, especially the labor market, is also at risk of decline. This risks pushing the US economy into a state of stagflation.
In addition, after the US and UK reached a trade agreement, the US side said that there will be more trade agreements with major economies in the near future. Notably, this weekend, the US and China also entered the first round of trade negotiations under President Trump in his second term in Switzerland. This has made many investors concerned that the cooling of the trade war will reduce the role of gold as a safe haven.
Factors affecting gold prices next week:
Federal Reserve (Fed) policy: The Fed currently keeps interest rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, and the market is waiting for new economic data (such as May CPI and employment report). If inflation continues to decline or there are signs that the Fed will cut interest rates in the near future, gold prices may be strongly supported. On the contrary, if the Fed maintains a "hawkish" stance (keeping interest rates high), gold prices may be under downward pressure.
US-China trade negotiations: Optimism about the possibility of a trade agreement between the US and China (expected to be negotiated in Switzerland) is reducing the demand for safe haven gold. If there is positive news (forecast: tax reduction from 145% to 80%), gold prices may adjust down. On the contrary, if negotiations fail or tensions escalate, gold will increase sharply.
Global instability: Geopolitical risks (such as Middle East conflicts, Russia-Ukraine tensions, India-Pakistan tensions) are still the driving force supporting gold prices. If there are unexpected developments, gold demand will increase.
📌Technically, gold prices next week are likely to fluctuate within the range of 3,200 - 3,400 USD/ounce, with the base scenario being sideways or slightly increasing. If gold breaks the trendline and surpasses the resistance level of 3435, the next level is that gold can conquer the old peak or create a new high. Meanwhile, if the support level of 3200 is broken, gold prices are at risk of falling deeply below the threshold of 3,100 USD/oz. However, factors such as US economic data, Fed policy, and developments in US-China negotiations will be the key to determining the trend. Investors need to closely monitor these events and apply flexible trading strategies.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,267USD
Resistance: 3,351 – 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3402 - 3400⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3406
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3215 - 3217⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3211
Markets turn their attention to US CPISafe-haven OANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 3% on Monday (May 12) and continued to decline slightly in early trading on Tuesday (May 13), mainly due to the easing of market risk sentiment after the United States and China announced a temporary “ceasefire” in their trade war.
According to a joint statement released by the United States and China on Monday, the United States will reduce the tariffs imposed on Chinese goods in April this year from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce the tariffs imposed on American goods from 125% to 10%. The new measures will take effect in 90 days.
Gold prices fell more than 3% on Monday as risk sentiment improved after the US and China agreed to roll back tariffs for 90 days during talks over the weekend. This sent the US dollar soaring to its highest level in more than a month and global stocks rebounding strongly after the US and China reached an interim tariff deal. Meanwhile, gold sold off sharply as market sentiment began to shift back to risk assets, making the yellow metal less attractive.
China and the United States announced in Geneva, Switzerland, that they have reached an important economic and trade agreement. Both sides will also further reduce tariffs on each other's goods, with the total reduction exceeding 100%. The breakthrough marks a major turning point in the years-long tariff war between China and the United States. After implementing the measures, the two sides will establish a mechanism to continue negotiations on economic and trade relations, Xinhua News Agency reported.
Investors' attention turns to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due out on Tuesday for a gauge of the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Other key US data this week include the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales. Economists expect the US CPI to have risen by 2.4% year-on-year in April. Excluding volatile items, the core CPI growth rate is expected to have been unchanged at 2.8% year-on-year.
While the underlying market is under pressure from positive factors from trade to geopolitics, we (individual investors in the short term) still need to pay special attention to the erratic behavior of Do Nam Trung. A status line that brings tariff risks will push gold to increase strongly again.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, a drop below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bullish signal for further downside with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is where the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level is located.
In terms of momentum, gold is showing bearish signals as the RSI falls below 50 and the next target is the overbought zone, with the current RSI position, gold still has a lot of room to fall.
The most important condition for gold to be able to be assessed to increase in price again is that it needs to bring the price activity above the base price of 3,300 USD, then the target could be 3,371 USD. Otherwise, with the current market position and context, the short-term downtrend is dominant.
During the day, the possibility of a decline in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,228 - 3,200 - 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 - 3,267 - 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3281⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3287
→Take Profit 1 3275
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3220 - 3222⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3216
→Take Profit 1 3228
↨
→Take Profit 2 3234
GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,174.39
Target Level: 3,383.26
Stop Loss: 3,035.14
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold's rise is blocked and there is still a lot of room below
💡Message Strategy
The price of gold rose first and then fell during the day. The market entered the stage of rebound and shock in the US market. At the same time, the fundamentals of the US House of Representatives narrowly passed the Trump tax cut bill, and the debt problem caused concerns. On May 22, 2025, the US House of Representatives passed Trump's tax cut and spending bill by a narrow margin of 215 votes to 214 votes. The bill will significantly increase US debt.
The bill will extend corporate and personal tax breaks passed in 2017, cancel many green energy incentives of the Biden administration, and tighten health and food program qualifications for low-income people. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, the bill will increase US debt by about $3.8 trillion over the next decade. The US debt has now reached 124% of GDP.
📊Technical aspects
Through the daily hourly trend analysis, the upward momentum of gold has declined, reaching a maximum of around $3,350, and still cannot break through the upward resistance pressure.
Just as we said before, if gold cannot break through the upward pressure position, then there is a lot of room below, and the current idea is still to short at high levels. There have been two opportunities for high-level pullbacks. Next, it will be difficult for gold to break through the upward pressure of $3,320.
Then the operation idea is very easy. If it pulls back to around $3,320, then we can directly short at high levels
Trend: Correction trend
Support: around 3,250.00
Resistance: around 3,320.50
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position：3315-3320，3345-3350
Bullish bounce for the Gold?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,260.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,213.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,344.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Xauusd Parallel Channel AheadTrend: The asset is in a clear short-term uptrend, staying within a rising channel.
Support Zone: Price is currently testing the lower channel support, a common place for bullish reversals if the channel remains intact.
Resistance Zone: There is a horizontal resistance area marked in gray around the $3,340–$3,360 range, which aligns with prior price reactions.
Potential Setup: If the price respects the trendline, a long position with a target near the upper channel line (around $3,370–$3,400) could be considered. A stop loss might be placed just below the channel to manage risk.
gold on sideways#XAUUSD have retest below 3283 which reverse back above 3314, now we expect bullish to take place from 3317.44.
Above the zone 3317.44 shows a bullish breakout which will target 3346 back. Stop loss 3307
Below 3307 have bearish formation which will continue selling till 3284 next bearish zone-3260.
SELL H4 IS COMING! the price has lost its trend at this point as it is at a maximum, it needs to correct this area so be careful a drop is coming without a retracement...
XAUUSD INTRADAY BUY KEY LEVELS Greetings,
Hello traders, this is the XAU-USD 15m pivot support zone.
Based on market trend and previous day movement.
Intraday fibonacci support zone 38.20 represented by the yellow line. (3300)
And circular figure 3300 may act as a support zone.
Key levels;
Entry: 3300
Target: 3310
Stop loss: 3290
Risk Reward Ratio 1:1
Your likes and boosts motivate us to keep learning and sharing ideas!
4-hour treadlines shows expected downtrend Technical Breakdown
Descending Channel:
The price has been moving in a well-defined downward-sloping channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines.
Multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) inside the channel show transitional phases.
Bearish Trendline Breakout & Retest:
Price has recently broken above the descending channel and retested the previous resistance (now acting as potential support).
There’s a confluence zone (intersection of the descending trendline and horizontal structure) where price has reacted.
Liquidity Zones:
A strong supply zone exists above (highlighted in red), which aligns with a previous strong high.
The price failed to break above the supply convincingly, showing equal highs (EQH) indicating possible liquidity grab.
A sell-off is anticipated from this rejection point.
Potential Sell Target:
First target: Blue demand zone around $3,230–$3,250.
Final target: $3,100–$3,120, marked as "Weak Low".
✅ Best Sell Setup Based on Trendlines
Sell Entry:
Around $3,320–$3,330, if price retests the trendline or EQH zone again with a bearish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the strong high, around $3,365–$3,370, to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,250 (near demand zone)
TP2: $3,100 (weak low, full breakdown target)
📉 Confirmation Suggestions:
To increase probability:
Wait for a bearish engulfing or rejection wick at retest.
Look for RSI or MACD bearish divergence if using indicators.
Monitor for low timeframe CHoCH or BOS to confirm reversal on 15min or 1hr.
XAUUSD unknownPrice action on 5min is too volatile there is no confirmation or structure, plus price is in a bearish 5M FVG
wait for a CHoCH or break of the bearish 5M FVG
A Golden Opportunity!Gold topped out around $3500 a few weeks ago and has corrected in a healthy pullback to our $3160 target for buying support. The uptrend line was again touched yesterday to be followed by strong buying support, this is a golden buying opportunity...the current wave 4 will be followed by a potentially strong upward thrust.
Wave 5's in metals are usually the strongest, based on the current pattern and first three wave move, our next target is $4000!
Position now, and the rewards are immense...a truly golden opportunity.
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 22nd May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum
-Looking for support to be formed on higher low
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Lesson 14: Gold Trade Analysis trading off 4hr bullish candle 2 one hour candles kept getting rejected at $3,304 resistance level, we waited for this resistance level to be broken to indicate bullish momentum. We waited for price to correct back to resistance level of $3,304 and entered trade on continuation of bullish trend toward $3,313 price.
Gold's short-term trend lays the foundation for an upward trendAfter breaking through 3280, gold has now risen to a high of 3320, and the expected trend and strength have all been completed. There is no need to overemphasize the trend of gold. The direction is definitely bullish, and the transaction is definitely long. The key is at what point to go long and where to go high.
GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price made
A bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level around 3255$
And the breakout is confrined
So after a potential local
Pullback we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD SELL SETUP The $3304:$3305 sell zone for gold could be attributed to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range might be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through. Traders might be looking to sell at this level, anticipating a potential price drop.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially after recent gains.
Gold Bounces Modestly from Trendline Support – But Is It Enough?Gold is holding just above rising trendline and 50-day SMA support (~$3,175), but the rebound has been tepid so far:
📉 Price action: Small-bodied candles reflect indecision
📊 RSI stuck near 50, suggesting a lack of directional momentum
📉 MACD still trending lower, though starting to flatten
📍Support:
Rising trendline and 50-day SMA: $3,175–$3,180
Below that: $3,100 (psychological + former resistance)
📍Resistance:
Initial resistance near $3,300
Heavier resistance back at $3,400+
⚠️ Big picture: The longer gold churns sideways near trendline support, the more vulnerable it becomes. Bulls need a strong move above $3,300 to reassert control.
-MW
GOLD/USD – 1H Technical OutlookGOLD/USD – 1H Technical Outlook
1️⃣ Market Structure
Gold has been ranging for several sessions after a sharp drop.
This sideways price action is occurring exactly around a former support zone that was broken and then reclaimed, indicating a classic fake out.
That move allowed price to sweep liquidity and tap into the Bull OTE zone, which triggered a strong reaction.
2️⃣ Key Zone
Precise reaction off the Bull OTE (61.8–78.6% retracement area)
Multiple FVGs (1H & 4H) have been filled
Clean re-entry above the former supply zone now turned support
3️⃣ Behavioral Read
Price action is showing signs of a structured recovery, with higher lows building up.
This current compression phase likely means Gold is loading up for another leg up.
A potential macro catalyst could provide the ignition.
4️⃣ Short-Term Expectation
🔜 Potential breakout of the 3,240 $ supply zone
🎯 Next upside targets: 3,290 $ → 3,325 $
