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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

Analysis of the latest gold trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Friday (July 4) coincided with the US Independence Day holiday, and gold prices were in a narrow range of fluctuations. Strong employment data not only pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields, but also significantly weakened the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's early rate cuts, which greatly reduced the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US Congress passed the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill, further injecting complex variables into the economy. There will be no key data to watch today. Due to the US Independence Day, all markets will close early, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold prices. Key technical signals: Daily level: Range fluctuations: Gold prices repeatedly tested in the 3320-3360 range, the Bollinger band narrowed, and the MACD kinetic energy column shrank, indicating that the market was in a wait-and-see mood. Key support/resistance: Support: 3320 (5-day moving average), 3300 (psychological barrier + Bollinger lower track). Resistance: 3350-3360 (non-agricultural starting point + daily middle track). 4-hour level: Short-term bottoming signs: After the non-agricultural data, the gold price fell to 3322 and then rebounded, forming a double bottom prototype, but it needs to break through 3350 to confirm the reversal. RSI is neutral (around 50) and may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term. 2. Next week's market deduction 1. Baseline scenario (oscillation and consolidation, 60% probability) Trend: The gold price fluctuates in the 3320-3360 range, waiting for CPI data to guide the direction. Operation strategy: Short-term high-sell and low-buy: Long order: Long at around 3320-3325, stop loss 3305, target 3350. Short order: Short at 3350-3360 under pressure, stop loss 3370, target 3320. 2. Bullish breakthrough scenario (30% probability, CPI data required) Trigger conditions: CPI is lower than expected (such as below 3.2%), the market re-bets on interest rate cuts, and the US dollar weakens. Trend: After breaking through 3360, it may test 3380 (200-day moving average) or even 3400. Operation strategy: Break through and chase long: Follow up after stabilizing 3360, target 3380-3400. 3. Bearish breakout scenario (10% probability, need continued strength of the US dollar) Trigger conditions: CPI is stronger than expected (such as more than 3.5%), and the Fed's hawkish remarks suppress expectations of rate cuts. Trend: After breaking below 3300, it may test 3260 (June low). Operation strategy: Break through and follow short: After breaking below 3300, chase short, target 3260. III. Trading strategy and risk management Short-term trading (suitable for intraday positions) Shock strategy: Buy high and sell low in the range of 3320-3360, with strict stop loss (10$-15$). Breakout strategy: Wait for CPI data and follow the trend. If it breaks through 3360, chase longs or if it falls below 3300, follow shorts. Mid-term layout (pay attention to the trend after CPI) If CPI is positive: set up long orders at 3330-3340, with a target of 3400. If CPI is negative: set up short orders at 3350-3360, with a target of 3260. Risk warning Liquidity risk: Speech by Fed officials (such as Powell) may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Geopolitical risk: Sudden conflicts or banking crises may trigger safe-haven buying, breaking the technical logic. 4. Summary and key points Core range: 3320-3360 (maintain the idea of oscillation before breaking through). Long-short watershed: Breaking through 3360 → opening up space to 3400. Breaking through 3300 → opening a downward trend to 3260.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
XAUUSDHello traders, The Gold trade I shared last week has just hit TP. Based on current market conditions, I believe gold may continue its downward movement for a while. Therefore, I’m still holding a bearish bias and have just activated a new sell trade, which I’d like to share with you as well. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 3310.11 ✔️ Take Profit: 3266.76 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3324.51 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Trading Strategy for next Monday✅From the current short-term structure, gold is exhibiting a typical bearish continuation pattern, indicating that the primary trend remains downward. If gold fails to effectively break above the key resistance level at 3350 next week, it suggests that the prevailing downtrend is likely to continue. The probability of a short-term rebound being capped in this area is relatively high. ✅On the downside, attention should first be given to the 3310 level, which serves as a critical short-term support. A break below this level could open the door for a further decline toward the 3280–3250 zone, where traders should watch for potential bottoming signals or signs of strong support. ✅From the 1-hour chart perspective, short-term moving averages are beginning to turn lower, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Technically, a double top formation has developed, and the price has broken below the neckline, showing a lack of rebound strength. Despite a minor rebound to around 3345 yesterday, the price once again faced resistance and moved lower, reflecting a weak consolidation phase. ✅As such, the 3345–3350 area will be a critical short-term resistance next week. If the market opens higher due to bullish news over the weekend and breaks above this region, gold could regain upward momentum. Conversely, if the price remains suppressed under 3345–3350 and only shows weak rebounds, short-selling opportunities may arise near this zone. ✅Short-Term Trading Strategy: Main strategy: Sell on rallies, buy on dips 🔴 Resistance level: 3345–3350 🟢Support level: 3310–3315 🔰If 3310 is broken, the next support area is 3280–3250. ✅Overall, unless gold breaks above key resistance, the outlook remains moderately bearish with a consolidation bias. Traders are advised to remain flexible and adjust their strategies in response to market news and developments. ✅If your recent trading results haven’t been ideal, feel free to reach out. I’d be happy to help you avoid common pitfalls and improve your performance. I will provide real-time strategy updates during market hours based on price action — stay tuned.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterHub
XAU/USD: Today's Strategy AnalysisVerification of Support Level Effectiveness - $3306: As the 0.5 retracement level of the 3247-3365 band Fibonacci, it rebounded slightly after being first touched today. It is necessary to monitor whether a bullish candlestick stabilization signal forms at this level. If broken, the next target is $3290. - $3290: Overlapping with the lower Bollinger Band support of the 4-hour chart, if a pullback signal with shrinking trading volume appears here, it can be regarded as a short-term long opportunity. Suppression Effect of Resistance Level - $3320-$3325: The suppression zone of the 5-day moving average at the 1-hour level, which is also near the early session rebound high. If the price is resisted and closes bearish when rebounding to this range, it confirms a short entry opportunity. - Operation Tips Strictly set stop-loss orders to avoid capital drawdown caused by false breakouts of support/resistance levels. XAUUSD buy@3285-3295 tp:3310-3320 sell@3315-3325 tp:3305-3295 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
The bill was introduced; the price did not rise but fell.Due to the implementation of the US bill, most traders in the market are bullish on gold and believe that gold will soar on Monday. As a result, it jumped up and fell sharply this morning. This is the uncertainty of the market. Although the short position given near 3340 last Friday was late, it fell to the low point of 3306 at the opening of the Asian market today. In addition, the key to this sharp drop is the high point before the rebound, that is, the starting point or the position of the top and bottom conversion. Once it is broken, you have to change your mindset. The volatile market is like this, just get used to it. The turmoil caused by Trump's bill will not appear for a while. It takes a process and cannot be unilaterally considered as bullish or bearish. In the early Asian market, the price fell all the way from 3342 US dollars to 3306. How to judge the end of the decline? It is to stare at the high point of the rebound before the last decline of 3320 US dollars. The loss of 3300 US dollars in the early trading indicates that the gap-up opening is a lure for more. Today, I think that 3325 above 3320 can be used as the dividing point between long and short positions. You can short with a light position near 3315, and pay attention to the 3295-3290 line below. After the upward breakthrough is confirmed, consider adjusting the position and making other arrangements. For the time being, we will look at the weak adjustment during the day.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?The view we had in past three weeks was a possibility of complex 4th wave and our short term bias was bearish. But price reacted and closed above 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and therefore changed our bias to bullish(Technically 4th wave is complete). Another confluence was a clear 5 waves after the reaction on the 61.8 fib. Now two possibilities, either wave 2 is complete and we should expect price to continue up from current price level or a possibility of double 3 to push price down to atleast 61.8 Fib before continuation to the upside. To take advantage of this anticipated move a trader should either wait for price to drop to the golden zone or wait for price to breach the immediate high and retest.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elliotwavesglobal
1
Gold Daily Review Dear traders, the sell-off last night directly brought the bulls back to their original form. The closing price of 3325 made most of the gains accumulated hard this week spit back. To me, this wave of market is a typical "data killing". The June non-agricultural data came out halfway, and the employment data was so strong that even the old foxes on Wall Street were surprised. Now the market's bet on the September rate cut has dropped directly from 70% to less than 50%. How can gold, which is "interest rate sensitive", withstand such a critical blow? From a technical perspective, the negative line of the daily line is indeed ugly, but I think the bulls should not die. Look at the 4-hour chart. The Bollinger Bands have begun to "tighten their belts", and the 3310-3365 box is clearly drawn. Today is Independence Day. The US market closed early. Those Wall Street wolves probably ran to the Hamptons for a pool party. We are likely to play a "lying flat" market in the Asian and European markets. I calculated with my fingers that the 40 USD range of 3310-3350 is enough for us to toss around. Remember - short orders at the upper edge of 3345 should be as fast, accurate and ruthless as "whack-a-mole", and long orders at the lower edge of 3325 should be as patient as a fisherman! The news is now "ice and fire". On the one hand, Trump's "big and beautiful" tax cut bill has just passed the test successfully. After this shot of booster, the US dollar and US bond yields are soaring like stimulants; on the other hand, drones in the Middle East are causing trouble again, and the small flame of geopolitical risk has not been extinguished. If you ask me, gold is like a "schizophrenic patient" now, jumping back and forth between inflation narratives and risk aversion sentiment. Specific strategy: ① Directly "operate from a height" near the rebound of 3345, set the stop loss at 3352, and the target position is the 3330-3320 range. Remember that this position is the "previous high neckline position" and the probability of breaking is not high. ② You can "lighten your position and fish" when it falls back to 3325. The defensive position of 3315 must be strictly guarded, and the target position is the pressure zone of 3335-3345
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move – Is 3390 the Bull Target or a False Breakout Trap? 🧭 Fundamental Outlook Gold has entered a tight consolidation phase following a wave of high-impact macroeconomic events: The US House of Representatives has passed Trump's “Super Bill”, raising expectations of increased fiscal spending and long-term inflationary pressures. In theory, this is supportive of gold prices. However, strong NFP and Unemployment Rate figures released recently have reinforced dollar strength in the short term, suggesting the Fed may delay rate cuts → a temporary headwind for gold. With Independence Day in the US, liquidity across global markets is expected to drop, increasing the risk of false moves or stop-hunt volatility. 🟡 The lack of immediate upside doesn’t mean bullish momentum has disappeared. Price may simply be building energy before its next leg. 📉 Technical Overview – XAU/USD Gold has broken out of a minor descending trendline and is now testing a key supply zone around 3344–3345, which could determine the intraday trajectory. 🔍 Key Levels Resistance Zones: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390 Support Zones: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298 🟢 Bullish Scenarios (Buy Setups) 📍 Intraday Buy Zone: 3313 – 3311 Stop Loss: 3307 Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 📍 Deep Pullback Buy Zone: 3304 – 3302 Stop Loss: 3298 Take Profit: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 These zones are ideal for trend-continuation entries, especially if supported by bullish candles or price action on lower timeframes. 🔴 Bearish Scenarios (Short-Term Only) 📍 Intraday Sell Zone: 3362 – 3364 Stop Loss: 3368 Take Profit: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330 📍 High-Risk Sell Zone: 3388 – 3390 Stop Loss: 3394 Take Profit: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360 Bearish positions should be reserved for signs of exhaustion or rejection patterns at resistance levels. 🧠 Trading Bias for Today With limited liquidity due to the US holiday, price may remain trapped in a sideways range between 3320 and 3340. Traders should stay nimble and avoid overexposure. ✅ Primary bias: Buy dips near major support ⚠️ Alternative view: Only short if price confirms reversal at resistance 💬 What’s Your Take on Gold Today? Will gold break through the 3390 barrier this week? Or are we looking at one more dip before a true bullish continuation? 👇 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold bullish breakout support at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3387 – initial resistance 3400 – psychological and structural level 3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3290 – minor support 3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
1
"Gold (XAUUSD) is moving down to grab liquidity."Looking for Impulse Down. Gold/XauUsd: This chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a liquidity sweep (SMT) near the highs. Price is now respecting a bearish order block and forming lower highs, indicating smart money distribution. Targeting sell-side liquidity at 3274.75 and 3246.50. Until price reclaims the most recent supply (above 3,300), the bearish bias remains intact. Educational Use Only: This breakdown is for study and informational purposes and is not financial advice. Learn & Earn! Wave Trader Pro
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wave-Trader-Pro
XAU/USD 1H Outlook FVG Fill (3320–3318) Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318. London/NY Liquidity Hunt After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity. Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298 Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement: First target: 3305 On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298 Summary: Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis : Bullish Structure Setup + Target🧠 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis Gold has recently been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, which has governed price action over the past several sessions. This structure is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming well-established channel resistance and channel support levels. However, recent bullish pressure has led price to aggressively test the upper boundary of this channel, signaling the potential for a structural breakout. We are now at a technical inflection point, where a successful breakout and retest could mark the beginning of a significant trend reversal and short-to-medium term bullish move. 🔍 Key Technical Levels & Zones 🔷 Channel Resistance (~3,325) The price is currently testing the descending trendline acting as channel resistance. This area has previously rejected price several times, increasing its significance. A confirmed break and close above this level may shift the market bias from bearish to bullish. 🔷 Central Zone – Dual Demand (~3,325–3,330) This horizontal zone intersects with the channel resistance and aligns with two previous demand zones, now acting as a key decision area. The market must validate this zone as new support before any sustained upward movement can occur. 🔷 Next Reversal Zone – Target (~3,370) The next major area of interest lies around 3,370, a zone identified by previous swing highs and visible liquidity pools. This level is likely to act as a magnet for price if bullish structure is confirmed. 📈 Price Structure Outlook The potential breakout is supported by a strong bullish impulse off the channel support, followed by a series of higher lows suggesting growing bullish momentum. The projected movement scenario is as follows: Break above the channel resistance Retest and confirm the central zone as support Continuation toward the 3,370 reversal zone This would complete a classic break–retest–continuation pattern. ✅ Trade Considerations (Not Financial Advice) Entry Type Entry Condition Target Stop Loss Aggressive Break & 2H close above 3,330 3,370 Below 3,320 Conservative Retest & bullish confirmation above 3,325 3,370 Below 3,310 Risk Management: Use position sizing aligned with your risk tolerance (max 1–2% per trade). Monitor volume closely during breakout and retest for confirmation. ⚠️ Invalidation Scenario If price fails to break above the channel and is rejected strongly, especially with a bearish engulfing or long upper wick, the downside could resume. In such a case, price may revisit the channel midline or even the lower boundary around 3,290. 📝 Summary Gold is at a critical juncture, testing long-standing channel resistance. A break above and successful retest of the 3,325–3,330 zone could lead to a rally toward 3,370. This setup reflects a potential shift in structure from bearish to bullish on the 2H timeframe.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold on Hold: Consolidation Without a SignalGold is holding up well for now and consolidating at the current level. But there’s no clear opportunity to buy or sell. It’s just guesswork at this point. And why would I need that? I want to make money, not to be "right." On a global, long-term horizon (up to a year), I believe the metal will go higher. On the daily and weekly charts, the trend is still upward, and both geopolitical factors and the Fed’s rate policy support the continuation of the trend. But when exactly will it happen? That’s unclear. For now, there are no setups for a trade. Interestingly, gold and other precious metals might move in different directions. Gold could start a correction while other metals could rise, as they are undervalued. But undervaluation isn’t a direct reason to buy. It’s always better to follow this rule: the market knows better than all of us what the fair price should be right now. Still, when it comes to entering a position, my opinion that the metal is undervalued can be taken into account—and if there’s a proper setup, the entry can be made. It’s like a puzzle. One factor is one piece, then another, and another—and once the full picture comes together, that’s when we enter the position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kventinka
XAU USD a little & nice BUY set up 09-07-2025All analysis is based on technical analysis only... Short & clear without any "BS"... I do not believe in fundamental analysis (& if you are desperate for it, then... gold is never going to get cheaper in a very long term & it is a good investment for the next 50-100+ years, if you are happy with "preserving" your wealth, but if you are looking get paid this or next week, then...trading is a way. ) Entry is your very own choice ( easy to make decision on provided chart ( KISS- keep It Stupid Simple) ) TP around - 3367.188 SL - is totally depend on your very own financial & trading plan... PS: it is not a financial advice & published for entirely "self educational" purpose"...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by G-money2022
Trade Analysis (GOLD – XAUUSD) Trade Analysis (GOLD – XAUUSD) This chart highlights a classic bullish reversal setup forming after an extended downtrend. Here's the breakdown: Descending Channel Structure: Price moved within a well-defined falling channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. This is often a sign of controlled bearish pressure rather than a full-on collapse. Liquidity Grabs: Key swing highs and lows (circled) show areas where liquidity was swept before price reversed. These are classic signs of institutional moves clearing stop zones. Bullish Breakout & Retest: Price eventually broke out of the descending channel to the upside, then came back for a clean retest of the structure—confirming the breakout is valid. Higher Low Formation: After the retest, price formed a higher low, signaling buyer strength and potential for a trend reversal. Projected Bullish Move: Based on market structure and momentum, we anticipate a bullish continuation towards higher highs as shown by the projection.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Francisben
1