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After Rejection 2770💥💥🔥 Through my weeklyEpisode and multi time frame analysis, you will get deep insights. The market is on a rising channel since last month. What possible scenario do we have? As i mentioned in thay 2770 is the last resistance which stops the 2790 milestone. As moment we opened our sell trade at 2763.50 as entry point and were 70 pips in blue, our eyes will be again at 2750 first then 2745 . Furthermore, if 27500 breaks and H4 closes below it , wehere things will change and 2730 on marks #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
XAUUSD continuing its bullish trend Through my weeklyEpisode and multi time frame analysis, you will get deep insights. The market is on a rising channel since last month. What possible scenario do we have? As i mentioned in detailed market must have to respect the 2750 support area,that point will decide either market continuing its bullish trend or end it. As moment we opened our bullish trade at 2764-65 as entry point and were 50 pips in blue, our eyes will be again at 2790 if 2770 breaks on H4 . Furthermore, if 2760 breaks and H4 closes below it , wehere things will change and we have wait if 2760 invalidate. #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Gold Technical Analysis: Is a New Price High Ahead? Gold experienced an uptrend last week, aligning with the bullish scenario mentioned in our previous post. This strong rally and the formation of a robust weekly candlestick suggest the potential for breaking the previous high and reaching the initial target of $2,850. On the daily timeframe, a price correction near the previous high is possible. If this occurs, buyers may re-enter around $2,720, allowing the upward trend to continue.
TVC:GOLDLong
by UtoForex
Analysis of the latest gold market trends: Analysis of gold news: In the U.S. market on Friday (January 24), spot gold surged higher but encountered resistance and fell back. Spot gold bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, falling to $2,735.83/ounce earlier in the session, but the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States performed worse than market expectations, and the dollar weakened after U.S. President Trump called for lower interest rates. Gold prices recovered all losses and closed at $2,754.59/ounce. Market attention remains focused on the broad impact of Trump's policies. Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: "Part of the reason is the dollar. The dollar rose early on Thursday and then was sold off, so it pushed gold off its lows. Thursday's trend is just a recognition of the direction of the White House. I think some of the volatility is due to this expectation." In his speech at the World Economic Forum, Trump emphasized his commitment to reverse inflation and announced that he hopes to cut interest rates immediately. He also urged other countries to take similar measures to address global economic challenges. However, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders believe that there is a 99.5% chance that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at the January 28-29 meeting. The uncertainty of Trump's future policies has prompted market participants to flock to safe-haven assets such as gold to hedge against volatility. Investors need to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and changes in market sentiment. This trading day also needs to pay attention to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the January PMI data of European and American countries. Gold technical analysis: The trend of gold prices is in line with our expectations. It has fallen back and risen many times during the period, and it has been emphasized many times recently that the 2790 line is the ultimate goal, and it is getting closer and closer! Gold first stepped back and then rose, closing higher at the end of the day. It stepped back to the 2736 line on the middle track of the 4-hour chart and stabilized and then rose and closed at a high level. The long channel remains unchanged, and the trend of rising while consolidating and correcting. The daily line is still strong and the strong consolidation correction replaced the retracement correction, closing at a high level in late trading. There is a high probability of breaking the high momentum the next day. Gold prices also opened up without hesitation in the Asian morning session. If it continues to break through the high of 2763 today, today's high will go directly to 2790! During this period, we will continue to maintain the idea of ​​falling back and going long! Gold is running in the 4-hour rising channel, which is also a step-up rising channel. Yesterday, it stepped back close to the critical point of the middle track. It has been emphasized before that in a unilateral market, the middle track is a strong and weak dividing point. Keep the middle track and look long. Yesterday, it perfectly stepped back to the middle track, which is equivalent to a perfect opportunity to enter the long position. The strong market is afraid of not giving the opportunity to enter the market. As long as there is a gold step-back, it is an opportunity to go long. The defensive position can be moved up to 2736. Traders who do not have any trading orders also choose to step back to go long at a low position. Because the gold price has also adjusted in the process of yesterday's downward exploration, and this wave will also be a new wave of rising waves, gold will inevitably rise and break through the previous high of 2763 and move towards a higher point! On the whole, our professional gold analyst team recommends that the short-term operation strategy for gold should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2793-2798 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2765-2760 support line.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Caesar_Gorman01
XAUUSD New Highs incoming ?! Below is a top‐down synthesis of your Weekly, Daily, 4‐Hour, and 2‐Hour analyses on Gold (XAUUSD), culminating in a comprehensive trading framework. The goal is to integrate the multi‐timeframe insights (trend, structure, order blocks, indicators) into an actionable plan—including key price levels, confluences, and triggers on lower timeframes for entries and exits. 1. Weekly Overview • Trend: The weekly chart remains bullish; higher highs and higher lows are intact. • SMAs are stacked positively (10 > 50 > 100 > 200). • The price has respected an ascending channel since mid‐year, with a recent bounce from the channel’s lower boundary. • Key Levels: • Major horizontal support ~2,112, aligning with a weekly order block (far below current price). • Potential break of structure (BOS) above the previous all‐time high ~2,792 could open the door toward 2,986 (weekly extension target). • Bollinger Bands: Price held the middle (20SMA) band; now approaching or slightly outside the upper band, indicating strong momentum but possible short‐term overheating. • Fibonacci Extensions: • Approaching 0.5 weekly extension (~2,780–2,790). • 0.786 extension aligns with the upper channel line near 2,950. • Momentum & Volatility: • RSI ~66–67, bullish but not overbought. • MACD histogram still slightly negative; signal lines well above zero. Bearish momentum is waning. • ADX ~40—a strong trend reading; slight sign of bullish exhaustion during recent consolidation, but potential for re‐acceleration if price breaks higher. • ATR ~80 indicates high weekly volatility. • OBV is making overall higher highs, confirming bullish accumulation, though it did flatten during consolidation. Weekly Bias: Bullish. The ascending channel and SMA structure support higher prices, with the next major hurdle at the prior all‐time high (~2,792). 2. Daily Analysis • Trend: Overall bullish but was in a sideways/consolidative phase after the 31st October high. SMAs remained up/sloping, and the 100SMA provided support multiple times. • Key Levels & Structure: • Potential overhead near 2,786–2,790, the 1.618 extension and prior all‐time high zone. • Strong daily demand/OB around 2,718–2,740. • A weekly channel line near 2,704, should 2,740 fail. • Bollinger Bands: Briefly poked above the upper band, then closed back inside—often a sign of a short‐term fade or minor pullback. • Volume Profile: POC ~2,650, smaller HVN at ~2,743. A break below ~2,724 could accelerate selling, but the daily OB and weekly channel line could catch price. • Momentum: • RSI near 69, bullish territory but close to overbought. • MACD is above zero and green, confirming an uptrend with decent momentum. • ADX ~23, rising modestly, indicating an emerging trend strength. • ATR is declining, suggesting the market is moving up but with less day‐to‐day volatility. • OBV is climbing, consistent with renewed buying pressure. Daily Bias: Bullish. Watching for either a continuation above ~2,786 or a pullback toward 2,740–2,720 if short‐term signals weaken. 3. 4‐Hour (4H) Details • Trend: Strong uptrend (10 > 50 > 100 > 200 SMA). Price recently tapped channel resistance near 2,786 and is now drifting lower to short‐term support. • Key Levels: • 4H OBs near 2,720–2,740, with local support around 2,763–2,770. • Horizontal levels: ~2,722, ~2,704 as next layers of support if the pullback deepens. • Bollinger Bands: A candle closed outside the upper band and then re‐entered, hinting at a near‐term fade or consolidation. • Momentum: • RSI divergence formed (lower RSI high while price made a higher high). • MACD above zero but histogram is “waning green,” indicating diminishing bullish momentum. • ADX still elevated (~40), but a gap between +DI and ADX suggests potential short‐term exhaustion. 4H Bias: Bullish but cooling. A modest pullback seems likely unless bulls quickly reclaim the local high. 4. 2‐Hour (2H) Insights • Trend: Uptrend is intact, with multiple bullish breaks of structure. SMAs remain positively sloped. • Key Levels: • Immediate 2H OB ~2,770 (current area) • Next potential support ~2,757–2,760 (BOS pivot) • Deeper support ~2,730–2,740 if the short‐term retracement extends. • Momentum: • RSI (~58) rolled over from 72 → short‐term weakness. • MACD has turned negative (bearish cross on histogram), reflecting a short‐term slowdown. • ADX dropped from ~28 to 26, showing slight exhaustion. • ATR ~7.6, modest intraday volatility. • OBV still generally rising, but short‐term flattening. 2H Bias: Still bullish in structure, but momentum is fading. A dip toward 2,757–2,760 or even 2,730–2,740 is possible before another attempt at 2,786+. 5. Synthesis & Confluences 1. Weekly & Daily remain decisively bullish. 2. Intraday Charts (4H & 2H) signal a near‐term pullback or consolidation around 2,770–2,757 after testing ~2,786. 3. Order Blocks & Channels: Multiple OBs and channel supports converge around 2,720–2,760. Breaking below 2,720 would be more concerning for the bullish structure. 4. Momentum: Higher timeframes are strong; lower timeframes show a mild loss of upside momentum. Hence, the primary outlook is uptrend continuation with a possible short‐term retracement to reset momentum. 6. Trade Plan & Positioning Primary Bias: Long (Buy the Dip) 1. Rationale • The long‐term (Weekly/Daily) and medium‐term (4H) structures are bullish. • A controlled pullback would likely be bought as higher‐timeframe participants re‐enter on dips. 2. Key Levels to Watch for a Long Entry • 2,757–2,760: If price forms a bullish reversal pattern (pin bar, engulfing) or a lower‐timeframe BOS back upward (e.g., on the 15‐min or 10‐min charts), that suggests dip‐buyers have stepped in. • 2,730–2,740: Deeper support if the pullback intensifies. Again, look for bullish price action signals or positive RSI divergence on lower timeframes. 3. Indicator Triggers • Look for RSI (on 1H or 15‐min) to cross back above ~50 from below, confirming renewed bullish momentum. • MACD on the 1H or 2H crossing from negative to positive histogram can reinforce a buy signal. • Market Structure: A small BOS (e.g., on the 10‐minute or 15‐minute) above the local pivot high in the 2,757–2,760 zone is often a clean entry cue. 4. Stop‐Loss & Targets • Stops: Set 1–2× ATR below the OB or channel support. For instance, if the 2H ATR ~7–8, place stops ~15 points below the entry level to reduce false triggers. • First Target (T1): Revisit the 2,786–2,790 swing high for a quick partial profit. • Second Target (T2): ~2,820–2,840 or the weekly channel near 2,950 if momentum reignites. Ensure at least 1:1.5 or 1:2 R:R. Alternate Scenario: Short (Counter‐Trend Pullback) 1. Rationale • If the market breaks below 2,757 decisively (on a 2H close) and momentum indicators remain bearish, a short‐term retracement trade could unfold. • This is against the primary Weekly/Daily trend, so caution and tighter stops are advised. 2. Entry Trigger • Confirm a lower‐timeframe BOS below 2,757 on, say, the 15‐min or 10‐min chart, plus a continuation pattern. • RSI/MACD staying negative could support the short. 3. Stops & Targets • Stop above ~2,770 or above the newly formed swing high, about 1–2× ATR. • Target (T1): ~2,740, aligning with 4H OB / channel. • Target (T2): ~2,720 if momentum is strong. • Must ensure a 1:1.5+ R:R to justify a counter‐trend trade. 7. Execution on Lower Timeframes (10‐min, 15‐min) • For long entries, watch the 10‐min or 15‐min chart as price dips into 2,757–2,760 (or 2,730–2,740). Look for: 1. Bullish Engulfing or Pin Bar. 2. BOS on a micro‐level (15‐min breaks above a minor swing high). 3. RSI crossing back above 50–55. • For the short scenario, the same approach applies but reversed: a break below 2,757 with no quick reclaim, plus negative momentum signals on the 15‐min. 8. Conclusion & Final Notes • The dominant trend from Weekly down to Daily is up. Thus, the highest‐probability setup is buying a dip into well‐defined support (OB + channel confluence). • Shorting is purely a short‐term strategy if critical support breaks and momentum flips negative on lower timeframes. • Always monitor the 2H/4H indicators for early momentum shifts, then refine entries on the 10‐15 minute chart. • Maintain sound risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade, place stops logically beyond structural levels or ATR multiples, and target at least 1:1.5 or 1:2 R:R. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Is Gold Price Heading for an All-Time High?🔆News: • Gold prices remained elevated heading into the European session on Friday, hitting a fresh multi-month high near $2,778 in the final hour. Comments from US President Donald Trump, declaring that he did not want to impose tariffs on China, eased concerns about a trade war and inflation. This pushed US Treasury yields further lower, as Trump called for lower interest rates, pushing the US dollar to a one-month low and boosting demand for the non-yielding precious metal. • Trump said his discussions with Chinese President Xi Jinping were friendly and expressed optimism about securing a trade deal without resorting to tariffs. This eased concerns that his protectionist measures could fuel inflation, while also reinforcing expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, which supported gold prices. • Market participants are now waiting for the fast-moving PMI data to get a clearer picture of the health of the global economy. Any deterioration in risk sentiment could boost XAU/USD. 🔆 Opinion: • The 1H Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought levels, suggesting a possible minor pullback before the next significant rally towards the crucial 1.618 Fibonacci level at $2,790, which is a strong resistance zone. • On the downside, the nearest support lies between $2,760 and $2,758. A break below this range could push gold prices down to retest recent lows, with the final buy zone located between $2,720 and $2,723. 🔆 Plan: Price Zone Setup: 👉 Buy Gold 2720 – 2723 ❌SL: 2715 | ✅TP: 2730 – 2737 – 2745 👉SELL Gold 2788 -2790 ❌SL: 2794 | ✅TP: 2784 - 2780 - 2775 Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
Gold and silver see fresh gains as Trump 2.0 era beginsGold has rallied strongly this week, with the move accelerating after breaking resistance—now support—at USD 2,725, clearing the path to retest last year’s record high at USD 2,790. In our recently published Q1 2025 outlook, we reiterated our long-held bullish view on both gold and silver. Demand for investment metals continues to be fueled by an uncertain geopolitical landscape, where global tensions and economic shifts have led investors to seek safer assets. With Trump 2.0 upon us, this development shows no signs of fading, given the potential risks of tariffs causing inflation to move higher and the dollar eventually weakening, thereby removing an obstacle standing in the way of further gains. Central bank buying looks set to continue, thereby providing a soft floor under the market, as they seek to diversify away from the USD and USD-based assets such as bonds. Together with concerns about mounting global debt, particularly in the United States, investors continue to seek a hedge against economic instability by turning to precious metals, including both gold and silver. We forecast a potential decline in the gold-to-silver ratio, which currently trades above 89, possibly moving towards 75—a level seen earlier in 2024. If this occurs, and with gold reaching our current forecast of USD 2,900 per ounce, silver might trade above USD 38 per ounce, both well above the cost of carry.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Saxo