GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
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By sending us a link to your private publication, you can have us vet it if you are unsure. While we will not be doing
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 2, 2025📊XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 2, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,256.19
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance):
🔴3266.8–3272.7 – Major Intraday Supply Zone (expect potential rejection)
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢3249–3252 – Minor Reaction Zone (watch for quick scalps)
🟢3242.7–3244.5 – Clean Rally Base Rally (intraday long setup zone)
🟢3227.73–3231.70 – Higher Probability Demand (stronger bounce expected)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Gold has tapped into the supply zone and pulled back. If it holds above 3249, we may see a reattempt toward 3266+. A strong bullish candle from any of the green zones could trigger a continuation rally.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If the price breaks below 3242, it could fall into deeper demand around 3231. Watch for bearish engulfing candles or BOS from supply for short setups.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Look for entry confirmations at 3242.7 or 3227 zones
✅Target highs near 3266 with partial exits along the way
✅Use clean SL placements below demand wicks for control
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #BreakOfStructure #ForexTrading #FXFOREVER #IntradayUpdate #GoldScalping
GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️broke above 3 000 USD
▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well
▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️locked inside range trading
▪️3275/3365 usd active range
▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over
▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over
▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD
▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Wait for a breakout
▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout
🔥 Key Drivers to Watch
🌍 Geopolitics & Trade
🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand
🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade
💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment
🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks
🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement
🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects
☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal
🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome
🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 9🔹 XAUUSD – Daily Sniper Plan | May 9, 2025
🎯 Precision Mode: Activated. No recycled zones. Only real-time flow.
🧠 Macro Context:
• Market digested FOMC + Powell ✅
• Price dipped into 3284 sniper zone (✅ Reaction Confirmed)
• Asia printed fresh CHoCH from discount → Now retesting
• Bias: HTF bullish — LTF shift confirmed after deep mitigation
• Today = Thursday → Keep eyes on volume traps before NY
🔍 Structure Summary:
• D1–H4: Bullish trend intact, reaction from strong OB near 3284
• H1–M15: Internal BOS + CHoCH + FVGs filled, clean transition
• Major HL defended. New short-term HH printed → demand forming below.
🔻 SELL SETUPS (only from premium)
1. Sell Setup 1 – Premium FVG Trap
📍 Zone: 3348–3354
🎯 Confluence: M15 imbalance + weak high + LTF CHoCH area
🛑 SL: 3362
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3318
TP3: 3304
2. Sell Setup 2 – Extreme Supply + Liquidity
📍 Zone: 3382–3390
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated M30 OB + Equal highs + HTF inefficiency
🛑 SL: 3401
TP1: 3360
TP2: 3335
TP3: 3310
🟢 BUY SETUPS (only after confirmation)
1. Buy Setup 1 – CHoCH Retest + OB
📍 Zone: 3303-3310
🎯 Confluence: M15 OB + previous CHoCH + demand reaction
🛑 SL: 3292
TP1: 3324
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3354
2. Buy Setup 2 – Deep Discount Sniper Zone
📍 Zone: 3284–3292
🎯 Confluence: H4 OB + FVG + 61.8% FIB retracement
🛑 SL: 3268
TP1: 3310
TP2: 3333
TP3: 3350
Bias Today: HTF bullish | LTF flipped bullish after Asian CHoCH
Scalps and reentries only from refined zones. No countertrend unless clear CHoCH/weak high is grabbed.
💬 Note:
Don’t buy or sell from the middle of nowhere. Wait for price to deliver to the zones. If price flies without you? That’s not your train. You’re waiting at your sniper station.
👇 Like the plan?
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — let’s build the sharpest Gold team on TradingView
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Will gold continue to rise?From a technical point of view, the daily line has risen and fallen for the second time, and the K line has two consecutive negative lines. This situation has definitely weakened, but whether the market will continue in the future needs to be observed. Today's weekly line closed, and the weekly line competition was fierce. There were signs of a second high pressure, and the upper shadow line was closed. If it can close at the current position or lower, the weekly line will leave an upper shadow line, forming a double needle top with the previous 3500 high point, then the adjustment space of the weekly line will be further deepened, and the lower side may be seen to 3260, 3200. However, if the daily line turns positive on Friday, it can also turn strong at any time. After all, the current price is just near the middle track of the daily Bollinger line, and both ups and downs are possible.
Bearish reversal?The Gold (ZAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,328.69
1st Support: 3,271.11
1st Resistance: 3,359.66
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Gold Technicals & FundamentalsThe chart shows gold trading inside a descending channel, with the current price action testing the upper boundary of the channel. The pivot zone around $3,320 is acting as a potential intraday resistance. Despite the recent bounce, the price has not yet broken structure or the descending channel, implying bearish control is still intact unless a breakout above the pivot occurs.
The RSI is near 41, which is moderately bearish and suggests that there is still room for a downside move before oversold conditions. The volume spike during the last bearish candle also indicates strong selling interest near the upper channel boundary.
The black arrow path suggests a probable lower high formation followed by continuation to the downside toward support near $3,260, aligning with the channel’s lower trendline.
Recent hawkish Fed comments and resilient labor market data have strengthened the U.S. dollar, which typically pressures gold lower. As long as Fed rate cut expectations are pushed further out, gold may remain under pressure.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 3344.40, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 4365.47. a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 3381.54, above a swing high resistance.
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Gold prices pulled back. Will prices continue to fall?Latest news: Trump announced a trade deal with the UK, which boosted market risk appetite; coupled with a sharp rise in the US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices plummeted in the Asian morning trading session.
US President Trump and British Prime Minister Starmer announced a "breakthrough agreement" on trade, which made market traders predict that the United States would also reach such an agreement with other countries. This prediction has made market buyers lose motivation.
Quaid believes that if the United States and China reach an agreement, gold prices will face great resistance to rise, and gold prices should fall back to $3,200/ounce.
Market trading analysis:
The upward trend of gold paused and started a sharp decline.
As described by the RSI, buyers are losing momentum. This is not good for gold, and the price has now fallen below $3,300/ounce. Quaid believes that it will continue to fall and may fall to the cycle low of $3,202/ounce.
Short-term trading strategy:
Short at 3280, stop loss at 3290, and take profit at 3260.
Quaid believes that if the price of gold falls below the downward resistance level of 3275, you can continue to hold your position and choose the right time to trade.
GOLD 30m Buy Setup | FVG + Fib Discount + Reversal Block🌟 GOLD (XAUUSD) Buy Opportunity | May 9, 2025 | 30m SMC Setup
This GOLD setup on the 30-minute timeframe presents a textbook Smart Money entry. We’ve got a deep retracement into the 61.8% Fibonacci level, clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) demand zone, and a sharp rejection wick + micro reversal block right at the zone.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🔻 Deep Discount: 61.8% Fib zone
🟧 FVG block inside key institutional candle
🧱 Reversal block right before the reaction
💥 Aggressive price rejection at 3,297 zone
📈 Targeting premium levels ~3,369.6
🛡️ SL below 70.5% (~3,293.2) — safe under liquidity grab
📈 Setup Specs:
Timeframe: 30min
Direction: Long
Entry Zone: 3,302 – 3,303
TP: 3,369.6
SL: ~3,293.2
RR: Approx. 1:8+
💡 Trade Logic:
Smart Money engineered a sweep of local lows, then left an imbalance (FVG) as the market shifted. The 61.8% retracement + bullish wick combo confirms intent. The reaction is strong — we expect price to fill the inefficiency and target premium liquidity above.
🎯 Chart Ninja Tip:
“Where price pauses, Smart Money loads. Where it explodes, they’ve already finished.”
Bullish Airlines Cleared for Altitude!After squinting at the 4H chart like Sherlock with a caffeine addiction, I’ve confirmed: our price broke out of a flag pattern like it was tired of napping. It even did the polite thing—came back to retest—like, “Excuse me, just checking if I actually broke out. Yep. Cool.”
Now it’s back on its bullish treadmill, charging uphill like a gym bro after pre-workout.
As long as we’re above 3200, this beast might just pump harder than Bitcoin on caffeine and hopium.
🎯 Final destination? 161.80% Fib extension at 3580.22—aka “Mount Take Profit.”
Pack snacks. It’s a climb.
XAUUSD – 1h Fib Premium Rejection Setup + Liquidity Sweep📉 XAUUSD SHORT SETUP – May 8, 2025 | SMC Confluence Mastery
Gold is showing a high-probability short scenario off a premium Fib retracement zone with rejection from key structure and Smart Money reversal patterns.
Here’s why this 1h setup could be the next sniper entry for Chart Ninjas:
🧠 KEY CONFLUENCES IN THIS TRADE:
🔺 Entry in Premium Zone: Price retraced into 70.5%–100% zone and rejected cleanly
🧊 Liquidity Above: Engineered buy-side liquidity was swept before reversal
📉 Bearish Order Flow: Consecutive lower highs + break of structure (BOS)
🛠️ Entry at 78.6% zone (~$3,416.99), stop above swing high
🕳️ Targeting Deep Discount: TP at ~-62% Fib level, near $3,262.01
🚨 Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:4.5 RR — clean structure with low risk
⚙️ Trade Execution Strategy:
Look for rejection candles / breaker blocks in the 78–100% zone
Set SL just above the swing high (~$3,420)
Target full imbalance fill into deep discount zone
Manage with trailing stop after price hits 0% or -27%
📊 Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Premium Fib Rejection
TP: -62% Fib Extension
SL: Above 100% level
RR: 1:4.5+
Confluences: Fib, Liquidity Sweep, BOS
💬 Chart Ninja Insight:
“Smart money never sells lows or buys highs. They sell where liquidity is hiding—just like this.”
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 8th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-No bottom wick on daily candle
-Looking for price to retest 0.382-0.5 fib level
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3310
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.