XAUUSD | 30M | SELL NOW Hello, everyone,
My gold target level is 3,250,0
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GOLD trade ideas
Long from here The D1 time frame also indicates potential buys . Stop hunt has been completed and liquidity is enough to take us higher now . Re enter if your stop loss was hit . Take profit at 3400-500 .
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Resistance Levels in FocusFrom the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive:
Gold has struggled to sustain any meaningful downward momentum, despite our broader bearish bias on the yellow metal. After a sharp decline the week before, last week saw gold stage an even stronger recovery, pushing higher and regaining lost ground.
However, this upward move was met with a significant technical barrier. Gold's rally was halted precisely at a confluence of resistance zones: the upper band of a falling channel on the weekly timeframe, intersecting with the upper band of a rising channel on the daily chart. This rare technical overlap has acted as a strong ceiling, pausing the bullish momentum for now.
The chart below illustrates this confluence clearly:
As seen, price action is currently squeezed between two opposing forces. A breakout above this resistance could spark a bullish continuation, while a rejection may lead to a sharp retracement—potentially all the way down to the lower boundary of the broader falling channel.
How gold reacts at this level will be crucial for shaping the trading outlook for the week ahead. A decisive move in either direction could define the trend for weeks to come.
Long from here .The D1 time frame also indicates buys . Stop loss hunt was just completed . Only up from here . Re enter if stop loss was hit . Take profit at 3400-500.
Long from here.4hr indicates potential growth to the upside , coupled with the fact that a stop hunt was completed whereby stop losses of buyers earlier this week was touched to create enough liquidity to the upside.
GOLD About To Develop a WXYXZ PatternGOLD About To Develop a WXYXZ Pattern
GOLD it's a very risky trade as we have seen it often rising in days without news or without volume in the market.
However, the previous week gold reached 3365 and looks like the top was already completed.
Trump's decision to impose 50% tariffs also for Europe made gold bouce on Friday.
The current situation looks more stable. As we have seen already, Trump doesn't want to increase tariffs but to reach deals that are better for the US.
US and Europe will resume talks soon and this news improved the market sentiment for a slight sell-off on GOLD.
The chances are that this was the first movement, and a bigger wave may happen. I don't like gold shorts too much due to the price that moves up often without any clear reason.
The pattern this time is showing the possiblitity that it may expand in a large WXYXZ pattern and we could be on the Z wave as shown on the chart.
Targets: 3285 ; 3250; 3170 and 3100
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Could the price bounce from here?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,260.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,213.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.89% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,344.27
Why we like it:
There is as pullback resistance level.
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Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250528Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250528
XAUUSD Long PositionI've just entered this Long position on Gold and I'm looking to hold this position and eventually sell when price reaches the short-term resistance level at around the "3,360.00" area.
#GOLD #XAU #XAUUSD #LONG #BUY OANDA:XAUUSD
FOREX TRADING:GOLD ANALYSIS THAT WILL MAKE YOU MONEYMy name is Husbel. This is thee analysis i just did on XAUUSD and i anticipate SELL from 3340-50 level on a retest.
the sell trade is going to last for some time and you need to be looking for opportunities to sell long.
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,262.87
1st Support: 3,208.70
1st Resistance: 3,360.90
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XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
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1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
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2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
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3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
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4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
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5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3439.37.Colleagues, Last time, I suggested that the five-wave movement was not yet complete. It seems that this is indeed the case.
Wave "5" of the higher degree is unfolding, and I expect the price to reach the resistance area around 3439.37, which marks the top of wave "X".
Within the smaller five-wave structure, I believe wave "3" is currently in progress.
A correction toward the 3248.38 area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
A deep dive into Gold's FundamentalsIn short:
We will likely be respecting the downward resistance. Therefore I'm short on Gold and aim for the upward (red) trend line, the move marked by the red arrow.
If Gold were to experience the same rejection as previously, it could go lower to sub 3100 with a final TP at or below the 1.272 fib.
Analysis:
The surge to ATH was a massive move from 2956 to 3500, an increase of 18.4% within just 15 days caused mostly by Trump's Tariffs War.
Subsequently, it fell by 8.5% within just 10 days to the support level of 3200. Within 5.5 days however, it reached back to the 0.786 fib level of 3436 amounting to a 7.4% surge. Hereafter, it fell again as this fib level showed strong resistance, creating a Lower High and subsequently a Lower Low of 3120 on May 15th, falling by 9% in 8 days and 8 hours.
We're now at a very interesting spot, as we hit both the trendline of Lower Highs and the 0.786 resistance of 3370 (which we missed by just 0.14%, though this deviation from this fib level is acceptable) We did not see a candle close above this trendline of Lower Highs on the Hourly chart or above, only on the lower timeframes, where after closing above this trendline saw a drop and close below it again - this happened a couple of times and confirms strong resistance at this level.
If this level is actual resistance, and formed another Lower High, we'll be looking at a retracement to the fib zone of 1.272 and 1.414 - this has been the Lower Low zone twice already; surge from April 17th of 3283 to April 22nd of 3500 resulted in a retracement to 3201 on May 1st, between the 1.272 fib (3224) and 1.414 fib (3193). The second Low was created on May 15th at 3120, which again was between fib 1.272 (3137) and fib 1414 (3103) of the surge from 3201 to 3428.
If this pattern repeats after hitting just shy of the 0.786 retracement surge, we will be looking at a potential Lower Low between the 1.272 and 1.414 fibs again which is between 3053 and 3018 respectively.
However, there are strong support levels on the way down there giving possible bounce or reversal potential - make or break of these levels are now highly news-driven. Tariffs & trade deals, war & conflicts, FED & economic data will be the main drivers in the couple of weeks to come. Below are some fundamental points which I take into consideration with direct or indirect impact for gold.
Note how we sit at the exact 0.786 Fib level drawn from February 28th low to April 22nd high. Since we weren't able to push through it with confidence yet, this still acts as a strong resistance. This combined with the fact that we're in a confluence move where we are more likely to react to resistances negatively, gives way to finding support for a bullish continuation. However, the downward pressure with such a lot of resistances often times leads to finding support lower than the first couple of support levels. Most direct support can be found between 3290 and 3320. Though being a somewhat larger range for support, it signals possible (maybe even preferred) decline to this zone for accumulation. If this zone were to hold, another try can be made for a bullish breakout of this downward trend we're in since the 3500 high. Whereas failure of finding support in this zone will lead to Lower Lows again and finding support further down. A significant support level is 3245 - 3250 where it has struggled to break through before this run-up. This has actually a higher chance of bouncing and reversing bullish again than the 3290-3320 zone where the downward pressure will be higher than at this particular support level.
DXY - Dollar Index
The index has tried numerous times to settle above the psychological level of 100 points. However, the downward trend of January this year has shown much resistance and sharp declines when touching or even nearing the trend line. In a different analysis I had pathed a way for DXY to recover and surge to about 103.500 level. This, however, seems very much unlikely now in the short term. If it keeps failing in finding support, a further decline is expected to below 97.500 points this month. Though this is highly subject to what the Euro Index (EXY) will be capable of (more down below) and what the FED has to show for on the subject of (delayed) rate cuts and rumours of even a possible rate hike.
FED
Not that long ago, it was projected that the FED would cut interest rats with 25bps to 4 - 4.25 %. On April 25th it showed a probability of 57.2% of a rate cut on June 18th whereas the probability now sits at just 5.6%. The probability for a rate cut in July went down as well from 41.1% for 25bps cut to now 23.9% - where the current rate saw an increase of probability from 7.9% to now 74.9%.
Even September is showing stronger expectations of a continued neutral stance by the FED with the chances of no change in interest rates (425-450) rising from 1.6% in April to 40% now. Here also the chances for a rate cut in September to 375-400 points went down from 42.1% to 11.8%.
These changes in probability of rate cuts for the months to come show that the market is not anticipating a rate cut anytime soon.
Though the probabilities for a rate hike are minimal, to say the least, the fact that the FED is concerned about possible rising inflation combined with a stronger-than-expected employment level, shows why they are hesitant to cut interest rates prematurely like they did during COVID. As there might be need for an actual rate hike when inflation will start rising because of the tariffs and price increases by businesses, it's sensible for the FED to await further data to confidently support a change in rates so that any change made won't possibly further damage the situation the US economy is in.
EXY - Euro Index
Despite the rate cuts performed by the ECB, the Euro Index has been on a strong rise since its higher low in early January. This can mainly be contributed to the fact that Trump's policies have redirected most foreign investors away from the Dollar and into the Euro. If the EXY is able to strongly break through the decade-long resistance, which now sits around 114, and is able to make it support, DXY will face more downward pressure. However, since it already broke through on 21st of April and has since then came back down below this resistance, it shows that it might be respecting this resistance and with the rate cuts on the Euro it will most likely continue to decline. The Euro-USD pair also shows such a decline in the short term, with a target of 1.10.
Trade Deals
Trump and Bessent stated that there are numerous trade deals finished and ready to be announced, numbers ranging between 14 and 27. It was actually expected to have come out last week already but we have not heard anything around trade deals apart from it being ready to be presented and the failure of negotiations between the US and EU - resulting in another 50% tariff starting from June 1st if EU fails to cooperate in the negotiations. Even though the ECB has cut interest rates 7 times already, the financial markets see a 90% chance of the ECB cutting rates again in June, July and August. It is projected that the interest rate will be cut to around 1.75% in September, which is a huge decline from the 4% + start of this year. This will eventually weigh heavily on the EXY and EUR-USD as the tariffs war continues easing, putting upward pressure to the Dollar Index as the Euro makes up for about 54% of the DXY.
Russo-Ukraine War
Despite the ongoing peace talks and prisoner exchange, Russia launched the war's biggest drone and airstrike attack on Kyiv this weekend. Analysts suggest that this is part of Russia's plan to strengthen their position in the peace talks and gain slightly more than they would be able to some weeks ago. Pressure is being build on both parties to come to an agreement and even agree to a ceasefire during the negotiations. Russia, however, did not want to accept an unconditional ceasefire and 'would not react positively to any ultimatum presented by Ukraine / the West'. This shows reluctance on Russia's part to end the war as quickly as possible. This reluctance will start fading when the G7 will bring about more sanctions, further strangling the Russian economy.
Asian Central Banks and Markets
Japan, Australia and China are on the same path as the European Union, cutting interest rates on concerns of slowing economic growth. Usually when they cut interest rates, their currency devalues against the dollar. This, surprisingly enough, has not been the case for Japan's Yen as of late - though it will probably short-lived) We've seen quite substantial sell-offs in gold recently in Asian Market Sessions because of devaluing currencies against the dollar, make the opportunity cost of buying and holding gold higher.
Treasury Bills
Data shows that, despite the loss of confidence in the US Dollar, the major foreign holders of US Treasuries have actually been on a steady increase - with China, Hong Kong, Ireland and UAE being the only major holders whom have been offloading US T-Bills. It was rumoured that Japan would offload its massive stockpile of T-Bills but with the ongoing tariffs negotiations they have stated that they would not leverage their stockpile as a bargaining chip in the negotiations. Despite news outlets claiming Japan was already offloading T-Bills, data actually shows an increase in their foreign holdings. The offloading done by the earlier mentioned countries are relatively minor, historically speaking. The reason for rising Treasury Yields is not that the demand is too low and thus increases the yields, but more likely that the increased supply is outgrowing the current demand. As the US has a big debt to cover this year, their supply of T-Bills are understandably growing. This is simply not being made at the same pace mostly because of the tariffs war which has put significant pressure on the Dollar and foreign investors are thus anticipating higher yields in the short-term. Yields are now just below their recent 3-month high, and starts showing further decline in Yields as this high level of yields have not been seen a lot in the past 2 decades. Therefore it is expected for yields to slowly come down again with foreign investors increasing demand slightly, putting further upward pressure on the Dollar.
Weekly Analysis on GOLDFor next week trading session i will be looking more on buying trade ideas based on how candles are forming.
Gold Daily Plan – 27 May 2025 | Sniper Eyes OnlyHey GoldMinds! Hope you’re ready – price action is about to get spicy. We’re coming off a slow Monday, but Tuesday’s bringing a real battlefield between bulls and bears. Here’s what you need to watch like a hawk:
Key Structure Zones to Watch
ABOVE PRICE
3,347 – 3,353:
First real resistance — expect quick reactions. If price stalls here, scalp sellers could step in.
Eyes on for short-term fade, but not the main battle zone!
3,360 – 3,370:
The premium supply and real strong high zone.
If price pushes here, watch for fakeouts, stop hunts, or sharp reversals. This is where the big bears get interested!
BELOW PRICE
3,339 – 3,342:
Micro support and flip area.
If bulls hold this, we can see another push up. If it breaks, momentum likely shifts down fast.
3,328 – 3,335:
First solid demand for sniper entries.
Best spot for a confirmed buy if price sweeps this area and shows rejection.
3,310 – 3,318:
Deep discount demand — the last real defense before we talk about a bigger correction.
If we get here, expect a wild reaction or “nothing zone” if broken.
Bias & Confluence
Trend: Bullish bias, but momentum is fading and liquidity is thick up top.
EMAs (5/21/50/100): Tightening up, watch for a fresh cross if volatility spikes.
RSI: Neutral, with hidden bearish divergence possible at 3,360+.
FVG/OBs: Marked in the key zones, especially above 3,347 and below 3,335.
Liquidity: Above 3,353 and below 3,335 — sweeps are highly likely before real direction.
Sniper Plan for Tuesday
If price pushes into 3,347–3,353, don’t chase — wait for a reaction or sweep, then short only with confirmation.
If price rockets to 3,360–3,370, eyes wide open for a sweep and sharp rejection. This is “hunt zone” for high-probability shorts.
If price dips to 3,339–3,342, monitor for bounce, but don’t rush buys unless you see confirmation.
True buy interest at 3,328–3,335 — best sniper long setups if price wicks this area and rejects hard.
Final support at 3,310–3,318 — “do or die” for the bulls.
Quick Take
📉 Don’t get chopped in the middle — play the real zones! Wait for the market to give you confirmation at the extremes. Sniper trading only, no FOMO.
📈 If you’re not sure, let the dust settle. Remember, patience = profits.
🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you’re ready to catch the next big move! What’s your bias for Tuesday? Follow & Comment below and let’s crush this week together.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold Trade Plan 30/05/2025Dear Traders,
The market is currently ranging between 3250 and 3330. The midline zone of the range box, around 3285–3290, is a key area for the continuation of the bullish trend. Price has bounced upward several times after touching this zone. If the 3285–3290 area is broken, the price is likely to drop first toward the 3250 level.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Trading Gold? Know the Difference Between XAU/USD and Futures🔎 Let’s address a question I get very often:
“Should I trade spot gold (XAU/USD) or Gold futures?”
It might sound like a technical decision, but it’s actually about how you approach the market, your risk profile, and your experience level.
So let’s break it down 👇
________________________________________
🟡 Two ways to trade the same asset
Both spot and futures allow you to speculate on the price of Gold. But they’re two very different beasts when it comes to execution, capital, and strategy.
________________________________________
1️⃣ Spot gold (XAU/USD)
• Traded mostly via Forex brokers or CFD platforms
• No expiration — you can hold the position as long as you want
• Often used by retail traders for day trading or swing setups
• You can open small trades (even 0.01 lots)
• Costs include spread, swap fees if you hold overnight
• Leverage is usually high — up to 1:100 or more
• Margin is required, but typically lower than in futures
💡 Spot is flexible and accessible, but you pay the price through overnight holding costs, wider spreads during volatility, and slippage. On some brokers, especially during high-impact news, your platform might even freeze or delay execution — and that’s a serious risk if you’re not prepared.
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2️⃣ Gold futures (GC)
• Traded on major futures exchanges like CME
• Contracts have a fixed size (usually 100 oz)
• They expire monthly, so you need to manage rollovers
• Common among hedge funds and experienced traders
• You pay commissions and exchange fees, but no swaps
• Margin is required here too — but it's much higher
💡 Futures are structured and professional — but they demand more capital, stricter execution discipline, and higher margin requirements. Just like in spot trading, margin is a collateral deposit, not a cost — but with futures, the bar is set higher.
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⚖️ So, which one is for you?
If you're using MetaTrader or any platform offered by a Forex/CFD broker, and you're a scalper, intraday, or swing trader working with flexible position sizes...
→ You're probably better off with spot gold (XAU/USD).
If you're trading big volume, managing diversified portfolios, or involved in hedging large exposure...
→ You should consider futures — but expect to level up your game, capital requirements, and discipline.
________________________________________
🧠 Mindset:
Don’t confuse accessibility with simplicity.
Just because spot Gold is easier to open doesn’t mean it’s always the best choice.
Just because futures look “pro-level” doesn’t mean they’re always worth it for a retail trader.
Understand your tools. Pick the one that aligns with your structure. That’s how you stay in the game. 🎯
________________________________________
📚 Hope this cleared it up. If you want me to cover execution setups for each one, let me know in the comments.
XAUUSD BUY 3288.7On the hourly chart, XAUUSD has a short-term shock and retreat, and the bears have the upper hand. At present, we can pay attention to the support near 3288.7 below, which is a potential buying position for the bullish bat pattern, and this position is in the previous demand area.
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250527Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250527
XAUUSD FORECAST 4HAs you can see, the bulls continue to pull the price up, and that's our trading plan for this week.
I expect the price to correct to the 3339 level. If it breaks this level, I expect the market to fall to 3310-3319, our yellow level.
And between the levels mentioned above I'll be looking for buy entries.
BULLISH TARGETS:
3360 -
3385 -
3398 -
3431 -
At the moment I'm just watching.
Key technical insights on gold!Gold is trading in a general downtrend on the daily timeframe, within a range defined by the level of 3434.660, which represents the most recent lower high, and the level of 3120.820, which marks the most recent lower low. These levels define the current trading range on the daily chart.
Using Fibonacci from the daily lower high to the daily lower low, the level of 3367.445 is considered important and could act as a resistance level for a potential downward reversal, as it represents a premium price within the current daily trading range.
On the 4-hour timeframe, when examining the relationship between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe that the price formed two consecutive higher highs, while the RSI formed two lower highs. This creates a bearish divergence, which is a negative signal indicating a potential decline.
Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, the trend has shifted from bullish to bearish after the price fell below the 3290.84 level and formed a new lower low.
Based on the above technical data, a decline in gold prices is expected in the short to medium term. The first target could be set at 3281.148, while the second target may be identified by monitoring a drop in the RSI towards the 30 level, which indicates oversold conditions.
GOLD → Consolidation. Retest of support before growthFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to a complex fundamental backdrop. A false break of support at 3285 allows the price to update its local high to 3365.
Gold fell moderately from a high of $3365 amid weak activity due to holidays in the US, despite the weak dollar. Investors are taking profits ahead of US inflation data.
Pressure is also linked to hopes for a trade agreement between the US and Japan. However, the decline in prices is limited — geopolitical tensions, US budget problems, and instability in the Middle East are keeping demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Support levels: 3321, 3308, 3300
Resistance levels: 3363
Technically, gold is making a false breakout of consolidation resistance and is entering a correction phase, during which the price may test liquidity below 3320-3303 before continuing to rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
