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GOLD trade ideas

Up again for goldHi traders, Last week gold immediately went up and made a correction down. On Friday price rejected from the 4H BPR so next week we could see more upside. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower trimeframe to trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed: 1. Support Level & Double Bottom A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. 2. EMA 200 Support The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument. 3. Bullish Divergence on RSI The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator. 4. Price Projection If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets: Target Point: ~3,501.67 Next Target Point: ~3,729.23 These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections). 5. Entry Setup The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
25
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with our plan and look to continue with the move downside. This worked well for us and also gave us the bounce we wanted pre-event for the long trade following the retracement. For NFP, we released the KOG Report again, suggesting a move downside into the key level, then a bounce for the long. We got the short, we then got the TAP AND BOUNCE for the long, although, after having protected and managing it we closed at break even with the minimal lot that was left on the table. We ended the week with another stellar performance on the EA, the algo and the indicators, not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? Simple one this week as it’s bank holiday. Expect thin volume during the London session with a potential burst of volume during the US session. We have pathed out the levels and what to look for, with the first resistance just above, which is ideally what we want to target and reject to give us a further move downside. There is a key level above, 3250-55, the bias will be bearish below for now, unless broken which will give us the extension of the move into 3270-75 which is where sellers may get another opportunity. Red boxes: Break above 3235 for 3243, 3245, 3247, 3252 and 3270 in extension of the move Break below 3220 for 3210, 3206, 3196, 3188 and 3179 in extension of the move Bank holiday in the UK so not sure if we’ll be around much but we’ll re-visit the charts on Tuesday. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
Gold Price Analysis May 9The recent market with big fluctuations with yesterday's D1 candle down 100 price shows that the Sellers have regained their position. Today's strategy is to watch SELL more than to watch BUY. The Gold zone is reacting at the 3316 resistance zone and is heading towards 3322 at the end of the Asian session. Today's trading strategy pays attention to the 3322 resistance zone. If the European session does not break, SELL to 3300. If it breaks, hold to 3286. When it breaks 3286, do not BUY anymore but wait until 3325 to be able to BUY. In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3322, wait for a test and BUY to 3350 and then SELL around 3350 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD falls sharply then recovers slightly from key confluenceOANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply and recovered slightly, as expectations of more such deals increased after US President Donald Trump announced a “groundbreaking” trade deal with the UK, undermining the metal’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. The US and UK have reached a deal and markets are expecting more “tariff-free” avenues Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer jointly announce the signing of a trade deal • The UK will reduce tariffs on US goods from 5.1% to 1.8%; • The US will maintain a uniform tariff of 10% on UK imports; • The UK will further ease market access for US goods. The US and China will continue high-level talks this Saturday US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with top Chinese economic officials in Switzerland on Saturday to discuss the outlook for trade relations. Gold prices have hit record highs in recent months, largely due to global tensions caused by Trump's tariff policies. China's central bank allows banks to buy foreign currency to import gold, signaling potential support The People's Bank of China has approved commercial banks to buy foreign currency in the latest quota to pay for gold imports, supporting the possibility of increased physical gold demand in the market in the future. With the implementation of the US-UK agreement, the recovery of risk appetite in the market and the approaching US-China negotiations, the safe-haven demand for gold has temporarily eased, and technical downward pressure has also emerged. In addition, traders need to pay special attention to geopolitical developments with the focus on Russia - Ukraine when Ukraine has taken actions despite Russia's warnings on May 9. Any escalation of the conflict will immediately support gold's sudden price increase. Analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD technical outlook On the daily chart, after a sharp decline from the weekly target of $3,430, gold's decline has paused and recovered slightly from the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. The area around $3,292 is also an important support area as it is a confluence of important technical support factors, with the appearance of EMA21 (major support), the lower edge of the price channel which is the short-term trend price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. As long as gold remains above $3,292, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term, and in case gold falls below this level, it will likely test technical support at $3,267 in the short term, more than $3,245. For the day, with the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook, and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,267 Resistance: $3,351 – $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3338 →Take Profit 1 3326 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3320 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3259 - 3261⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3255 →Take Profit 1 3267 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3273
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
#XAUUSD: Price to go beyond $3650 to $3700 around 3500 pips moveThe XAUUSD price is moving nicely as we had predicted in our previous analysis. Both of our analyses have hit the take-profit target, and we are likely to see more bullish momentum continue in the coming time. There are two areas where price could move or reverse. Both targets have a long-term view, which means we are talking about a possible swing move that will take time to complete. Stop-loss and intraday target and position can be taken based on your own analysis and overview. Strong fundamentals are needed for price to reach our designated target area. Good luck and trade safely. Trading financial instruments like gold and other markets brings extreme risk and can be severe if the risk is not managed correctly. We are sharing our bias here, but it does not guarantee that the move will happen as described. Once the trade is activated, you can set two targets. You can choose your own take-profit based on your analysis and trade management. Good luck and trade safely! 😊 Thanks a bunch for your unwavering support! ❤️🚀 If you’re feeling generous, here are a few ways you can help us out: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Cheers, Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
Momentum Shift: Gold Holds Strong Amid Mounting Dollar PressureHello, 🪙 Gold Market Outlook – May 8, 2025 📈 Current Price Snapshot Spot Gold (XAU/USD): $3,302/oz Gold is holding firm above key support levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The $3,300 level has now been clearly breached and is acting as short-term support. If this level continues to hold, further upside continuation is expected, with a possible target of $3,500. 🧭 Technical Outlook 4H Major Support: $3,274.637 1D Floor Support: $3,265.328 1W Pivot Point (PP): $3,265.203 1M Pivot Point (PP): $3,248.445 "A test of the weekly/monthly pivot points is possible but uncertain, as current sentiment favors risk-on for gold, while the USD faces risk-off pressure." A pullback to support is possible, but it’s unlikely under the current macro and technical context. 💬 Macro Fundamentals Gold prices fell earlier today due to optimism surrounding a potential Trump–UK trade deal and easing geopolitical tensions. However, the market remains cautious as US-China officials are scheduled to meet in Switzerland. Meanwhile, China's central bank approved foreign exchange purchases by commercial banks, further boosting gold imports and supporting physical demand. "Such measures are likely to keep supporting bullion demand." — Han Tan, Exinity Group 🌍 Geopolitical Risk Factor India-Pakistan tensions have escalated, with Pakistan downing 12 Indian drones, which is contributing to increased safe-haven demand in the region. "Potentially leading to an unquantifiable level of safe-haven demand." — Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank Target: $3,500. The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
XAUUSD: 9/5 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis 4-hour chart resistance level 3360, support level 3280 1-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3300 30-minute chart resistance level 3330, support level 3310. In the 4-hour chart, MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If it stands firm at ​​3340​​, the short-term chart will trigger a larger correction. Now the downward trend has not changed. Gold prices fell back below $3,400 on Thursday, the rally paused, and a sharp downward adjustment began. The momentum depicted by the relative strength index (RSI) shows that buyers are losing momentum. This is negative for bulls, as a break below $3,300 could intensify the downward trend, perhaps towards the May 1 low of $3,202. If the price of gold breaks through $3340, this may push the price back to 3370~3400! There is no important news data today, so the volatility of gold in the US market may weaken today, and you can sell high and sell low for the time being. Next week's U.S. CPI data will be a key variable in determining the next direction of gold prices. If inflation is higher than expected, it may once again ignite fluctuations in the gold market. SELL: 3345 SL: 3350 BUY: 3305 SL: 3300 Trade cautiously and pay attention to the speech of Fed officials today
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range. After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant. In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level. Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant. Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
9
Daily Analysis: 09‑05‑2025Spot gold closed yesterday with a 1.75% loss, settling at 3,306, following the announcement of a trade agreement between the United States and the United Kingdom. President Trump also stated that significant trade talks with China are expected to take place at the end of the week, with a potential 145% reduction in tariffs—developments that could impact the markets and increase volatility at the start of next week. This morning, gold is showing a slight upward bias, though price action for the remainder of the day is likely to remain sideways and limited. Technically, the levels of 3,334 and 3,360 are seen as potential resistance, while 3,310 and 3,287 act as key support levels in case of a pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by byyahyagold
GOLD FED CAUTIOUS WAIT AND SEE APPROCH 1. Inverse Correlation Between Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold and the U.S. dollar typically share a strong inverse relationship: when the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering gold prices, and vice versa. Currently, gold’s 30-day correlation to the DXY stands at around -0.68, confirming this inverse link. However, this relationship has been somewhat disrupted recently due to factors like central bank buying and geopolitical tensions, which have supported gold even amid a strong dollar. 2. Impact of Interest Rate Differentials and Federal Reserve Policy Gold is sensitive to real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation). Higher real rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically pressuring prices downward. The Fed’s recent decision to hold rates steady at 4.25–4.5% led to a slight dip in gold prices from session highs around $3,400 to about $3,371 per ounce, illustrating gold’s sensitivity to U.S. monetary policy. Despite this, gold remains resilient near all-time highs (~$3,500/oz), supported by ongoing trade uncertainties, geopolitical risks, and central bank demand. Markets expect possible Fed rate cuts later in 2025, which historically have supported gold rallies. For example, every 25 basis points of rate cuts have been associated with roughly a 3.5% rise in gold prices. 3. Geopolitical and Trade Tensions Supporting Gold Trade tensions (e.g., U.S. tariffs on China, EU, Canada) and geopolitical uncertainties have increased gold’s safe-haven appeal, at times overriding the typical negative impact of a stronger dollar or higher rates. Central banks, especially China, continue to accumulate gold aggressively, structurally supporting prices. 4. Summary of Dynamics Stronger U.S. Dollar (DXY) Generally bearish for gold Negative correlation with gold price Higher Real Interest Rates Bearish (higher opportunity cost) Fed rate hikes typically strengthen DXY Fed Rate Holds or Cuts Bullish (lower opportunity cost) Cuts weaken DXY, support gold Geopolitical/Tariff Uncertainty Bullish (safe haven demand) Can decouple gold from dollar strength Central Bank Gold Buying Bullish (structural support) Independent of DXY In essence: Gold prices in 2025 are influenced by a delicate balance between Federal Reserve interest rate policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and geopolitical risks. While higher interest rates and a stronger dollar typically pressure gold, ongoing trade tensions, safe-haven demand, and central bank buying have helped gold remain near record highs. Future Fed rate cuts and easing inflation could further bolster gold, especially if the dollar weakens.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub