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XAU/USD 10 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Report - 8 jully, 2025Trump Grants Three-Week Tariff Reprieve President Trump has extended the pause on sweeping reciprocal tariffs from July 9 to August 1, providing critical breathing room for US trading partners to negotiate. While this delay briefly steadied sentiment, his renewed threats — specifically a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea — have reignited global trade fears. S&P 500 fell 0.9% after the announcement, Nasdaq dropped 0.8%, and the Dow retreated similarly. Japanese yen and Korean won weakened 1.1% against the USD, underscoring capital flight and potential export growth fears. Analysts expect continued volatility, but ING suggests the fallout should not match April’s sharp correction when tariffs first roiled markets. Ukraine Reshuffle: Diplomatic Realignment Ukrainian President Zelenskyy agreed to replace Ambassador Markarova after criticism from Republicans about her close ties to Democrats. The reshuffle is framed as an effort to "appease" Trump amid paused US arms deliveries. Zelenskyy also plans to restructure his cabinet next week, emphasizing consolidation of control by his chief of staff, Andriy Yermak. Potential ambassador candidates include Prime Minister Shmyhal and senior ministers, signaling strategic alignment with US interests. Russian Transport Minister’s Apparent Suicide Russia's transport minister, Roman Starovoyt, was found dead in a suspected suicide after his dismissal by President Putin amid a corruption probe. The case highlights severe internal pressures and the Kremlin’s tightening control. The Kursk region scandal has drawn public criticism over failed defense construction during Ukraine’s advances. Germany’s AfD Attempts Image Moderation The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party introduced a new code of conduct to improve its parliamentary image and broaden voter appeal. With AfD declared a right-wing extremist group by domestic intelligence, any moderation effort reflects broader attempts to legitimize and normalize extremist platforms before 2029 elections. China-EU Climate Standoff The EU declined China’s push for a joint climate declaration ahead of Xi–von der Leyen meetings. Brussels demands firmer emission reduction commitments, reflecting tensions around trade and Russia policy. The EU proposed a 90% emission reduction by 2040 but faces pushback internally amid fears of economic competitiveness loss. China remains the world’s largest emitter, and the EU is wary of soft pledges lacking concrete policy changes. LG Energy Solution Surges on Biden Tax Incentives LGES posted a 152% YoY surge in Q2 operating profit (₩492bn), defying lower EV demand, largely due to advanced manufacturing tax credits from the US Inflation Reduction Act. Despite falling sales (-9.7% YoY), early front-loading by automakers helped offset volume risks. Trump’s new budget plan scraps consumer EV credits but retains production incentives to 2032, which supports battery manufacturers like LGES but may soften downstream demand. Royal Gold’s $3.7bn Acquisitions Signal Gold M&A Wave Royal Gold is acquiring Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper, expanding its portfolio to 80 producing assets and 266 exploration-stage properties. Gold’s price strength has fueled an "animal spirits" surge in mining M&A. Royal Gold’s market cap is projected to rise to ~$15.4bn, reinforcing its position as the only US-based large-cap pure gold streaming and royalty company. Sibanye-Stillwater Calls for Western Price Support CEO Neal Froneman advocated for price guarantees on critical minerals to offset Chinese competitive advantages. He warned that de-globalization trends require Western miners to receive direct support to stay viable. Sibanye’s expansion into lithium and nickel (Finland and France) reflects the shift to battery metals, but profitability is challenged by higher capital costs and lower platinum/palladium prices. BP Strengthens Board with Ex-Shell CFO Simon Henry joins BP’s board to bolster oil & gas expertise amid renewed investor pressure and possible takeover speculation. BP recently pivoted back to traditional hydrocarbons after Elliott Management took a large stake and pushed for strategic shifts. BP’s shares have lagged peers, making governance and board composition critical to fend off activist threats. ------------ US Equity Market Sector Trends From your dashboards: Utilities (+0.21%) and Staples (+0.07%) were the only positive sectors, highlighting defensive repositioning. Tech (-0.73%), Discretionary (-1.27%), and Communications (-0.96%) led the declines, reflecting tariff fears and profit-taking in high-beta growth stocks. Industrials (-0.52%) and Materials (-0.88%) were under pressure, signaling investor concerns over input costs and global demand. Factors and Style Performance Low volatility (+0.41%) and momentum (+0.41%) factors outperformed, indicating a flight to stability. Small caps underperformed sharply (down ~1%), reflecting their greater sensitivity to domestic and policy risks. Value and high dividend yield factors were slightly negative, reinforcing cautious sentiment. Currency and Rates Moves US dollar gained 0.2% against a basket of major currencies, driven by safe haven flows. EUR/USD slipped 0.5%, and GBP/USD declined 0.3%. USD/JPY climbed, reflecting yen weakness. US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.39% (+0.05 pp), signaling investor rotation from bonds to cash amid tariff fears. Global yields mostly edged higher; UK 10-year gilt rose to 4.59%. Commodities Gold slipped slightly (-0.1%), despite general risk-off sentiment, reflecting dollar strength and potential profit-taking after recent highs. Crude oil gained ~1.7% (WTI at $67.97), supported by geopolitical tension and potential supply disruptions. Industrial metals broadly fell, notably copper (-2.4%), due to China rerouting exports and tariff concerns. Agricultural commodities showed mixed performance; soybeans and wheat fell (~-2.4%), reflecting improved harvest outlooks. Global Equity Markets & Country ETFs European equities showed resilience: DAX +1.2%, CAC 40 +0.4%. Asia-Pacific mixed: Nikkei -0.8%, China slightly positive, reflecting capital reallocation and local policy adjustments. Emerging markets underperformed slightly (MSCI EM down ~1.4%), as USD strength pressured flows. Notably strong YTD performers include Brazil (+16%) and Mexico (+13%), while China and Japan remain subdued. Fixed Income and Credit Conditions US fixed income ETFs mostly red; long-duration Treasuries (20+ years) underperformed sharply (-1.0%), reflecting rate sensitivity. High-yield spreads narrowed slightly, but issuance remains cautious given tariff-related macro risks. Municipal bonds and short-term corporates showed slight positive performance, reflecting defensive rotation. Macro Themes & Outlook Trade Policy Risks Intensify: Extension to August 1 provides temporary relief but does not remove risk. Markets fear escalation with Japan, South Korea, and potentially the EU. Rotation to Defensives: Investors shifted into utilities, staples, and low-volatility plays, anticipating higher volatility and lower global growth. Dollar Strength & Rate Adjustments: Strength in USD and higher yields could challenge risk assets, especially in emerging markets. Commodity Divergence: Energy remains firm on geopolitical concerns; metals weak amid China rerouting and uncertain demand. Corporate Actions and M&A: Gold sector consolidations continue (e.g., Royal Gold’s $3.7bn acquisitions), indicating bullishness in precious metals, contrasting weakness in industrials and agriculture. Conclusion & Strategy View In the near term, we expect continued volatility around August 1 as the tariff deadline nears. Defensive positioning remains prudent, favoring cash, high-quality bonds, and low-volatility equities. For commodities, energy and precious metals are relatively better supported, while industrial metals and agriculture face demand and trade headwinds. Currency-wise, the USD strength may persist, pressuring EM assets and riskier FX pairs. We recommend closely monitoring further White House communications and bilateral trade talks, particularly involving Japan and South Korea, to reassess global risk exposure and sector allocations.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold short-term shock operation ideas 💡Message Strategy Current Price and Context Gold is trading around $3,310 and continues to retreat as traders remain cautious amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. While some safe-haven demand remains, a stronger dollar and weakening confidence among safe-haven buyers put gold under selling pressure. Concerns about global trade policy and tightening monetary policy continue to weigh on gold's short-term outlook. Key Drivers Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions and global uncertainty have again sparked cautious sentiment, which has provided limited support for gold, but the absence of major conflicts has left it lacking direction. U.S. Economic Data: Strong labor market data and upcoming inflation data supported the dollar, curbing gold's upward momentum. FOMC Outcomes: The Fed remains cautious and does not signal an immediate rate cut; high yields reduce the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. Trade Policy: While tariffs have been a concern, flows between risk and safe-haven assets have been mixed as there has been no new escalation. Monetary policy: Rising global bond yields and the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see attitude limit gold's gains in the short term. 📊Technical aspects From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3290-3300 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3315, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3290-3300，SL：3275，Target: 3330-3340 Short Position：3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3280-3290
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheodoreSilas
Report - 7 jully, 2025China’s Export Rerouting: A Strategic Response to US Tariffs China has aggressively shifted its export strategy to circumvent the steep tariff wall erected by President Trump as part of his ongoing trade war. Recent data from the US Census Bureau shows that Chinese exports directly to the US dropped by 43% year-on-year in May, equivalent to a $15 billion decline. However, China’s overall exports still rose by 4.8% in the same period, indicating successful reallocation of trade flows. This was achieved through a 15% increase in exports to the ASEAN bloc and a 12% increase to the EU. By rerouting products through Southeast Asia, China is effectively sidestepping US tariffs, echoing tactics seen during the initial phase of the US-China trade war under Trump's first term. Southeast Asia as a Transshipment Hub Vietnam and Indonesia have emerged as key transit hubs. According to Capital Economics, an estimated $3.4 billion worth of Chinese goods were rerouted via Vietnam in May — a 30% increase from the previous year. Indirect trade through Indonesia also rose sharply to $800 million, up 25% year-on-year. Chinese exports of electronic components to Vietnam surged, including printed circuits, telephone set parts, and display modules, which alone rose by $2.6 billion, or 54% compared to May 2024. This strategic pivot underlines China’s adaptability and Southeast Asia's growing role in global supply chain realignments. US Policy Response and Warnings US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has warned that unless trade partners finalize deals with Washington, tariffs will "boomerang" back to their steep April levels starting August 1. The 90-day tariff pause, which initially calmed markets, is set to end imminently. So far, Trump has secured only three trade agreements — with the UK, China, and Vietnam. Vietnam’s deal notably includes a punitive 40% levy on goods transshipped through its territory, specifically targeting Chinese re-exports. This demonstrates the US administration's determination to close loopholes and deter indirect circumvention of tariffs. Implications for Trade Partners and Global Markets Other major US trading partners, including the EU, Japan, and South Korea, remain in limbo, facing potential tariff hikes. The uncertainty has reintroduced volatility into trade-dependent markets. US officials anticipate a flurry of last-minute negotiations, but the threat of broad tariff reimposition looms large. Trump’s approach, characterized by abrupt policy swings and negotiation brinkmanship, has already forced US allies and adversaries alike to reconsider supply chain configurations. The potential return of high tariffs risks reigniting concerns over inflation and global growth that initially triggered financial market sell-offs earlier in the year. Financial Market Dynamics Trump’s tariff pause had stabilized US equities and bond markets after an initial sharp downturn. However, the risk of renewed tariffs could reverse these gains, particularly if trade tensions escalate further. Investors are watching closely for any last-minute deals that might avert additional supply chain disruptions and support risk sentiment. Meanwhile, China’s ability to maintain overall export growth despite US measures signals resilience and reinforces the importance of diversified trade relationships. For global investors, this suggests continued strength in ASEAN manufacturing and logistics sectors, as well as ongoing demand for regional infrastructure development to handle redirected trade flows. Broader Geopolitical and Strategic Context The rerouting highlights China’s tactical approach to trade pressure while deepening its economic ties with neighboring Southeast Asian nations. This strategy aligns with Beijing’s broader goal of strengthening its influence in ASEAN and hedging against Western economic decoupling efforts. In parallel, the US is doubling down on "economic nationalism," threatening high tariffs unless trade partners make concessions. This could push more countries toward regional trade alliances, bypassing direct US channels and potentially undermining American market leverage over time.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold on a decline as expectedTechnical analysis: As expected last week has started off inside my Neutral Rectangle and despite the pullback from the Daily High’s, the (#1W) Weekly chart’s candle was finishing the week at (# +1.79%). As mentioned throughout the week, the last time we had two straight green (#1W), third will follow so expect Bull week (this one) if cycle is replicated. The current pullback on Hourly 4 chart (Engulfing Bearish candlestick formation) has formed an healthy post NFP Descending Channel which is currently on it’s Higher Low’s so the rebound can happen any time. Technically #3,345.80 - #3,348.80 represents the next Lower High’s Lower zone pressure point and that’s why you witnessed many upside rejections there (Gold stalled on mentioned configuration) so Short-term Buyers can Target this level. Remember, #MA50 on Daily chart is line of utmost importance (currently seen Trading at #3,322.80). Price-action still didn’t invalidated the #3,322.80 (with a market closing) Hourly 4 chart’s Support as Gold is picking up the pace towards my expected #3,348.80 - #3,357.80 Resistance zone for the fractal / local High’s. My position: In my opinion I need to stay on Hourly 4 time-frame for us and the potential break-out to the downside since Hourly 4 chart remains Bearish (never Swing Buy while #H4 is Bearish) on logarithmic scale, hence on limited upside. My expectation is that we still have one (minor) rebound left which will be the final Selling attempt / entry towards #3,300.80 benchmark, if Buyers manage to reverse this, #3,352.80 and #3,400.80 marks are Targets to monitor / which I will pursue with set of Scalp and Swing orders. Trade accordingly as I Bought #3,302.80 with set of aggressive Scalp orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction yesterday, dropping to as low as $3327. However, gold rebounded and is currently trading around the $3344 level. The key condition for further bullish movement is a stable hold above $3338. If this level holds, the next potential upside targets are $3366 and $3399 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
33
XAUUSD – Gold at a Key AreaGold is now in a crucial zone with short potential. If the market provides a valid bearish signal, I’ll take the short. But if this zone breaks and confirms with a pullback, I’ll switch bias and go long. 💡 Remember: We don’t control the market — we just try to profit using structure, setups, and solid risk management. 📌 Always risk max 1% per trade. If the market goes against your bias, you only lose 1% — not your whole account. 🧠 One trade won’t make you rich, But one reckless trade can destroy everything. No gambling. Just discipline, structure, and smart execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexCSP
Gold Price Outlook: Dip to $3000 Before a Bullish Rally Toward $Based on my current technical analysis, I expect a bearish move in gold toward the $3000 level in the short term. This zone could act as a strong support and the potential bottom before a major bullish reversal. The reversal window is likely to open between July 28 and mid-August. During this time frame, I anticipate gold will start forming a solid base and initiate a new upward trend. The medium-term target for this bullish leg is projected around $3700. This outlook is based on price structure, key support/resistance zones, and historical price behavior. 📉 Short-term bias: Bearish to $3000 📈 Mid-term bias: Bullish toward $3700 🔔 I’d love to hear your thoughts – drop a comment and let’s discuss. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It’s a personal technical analysis shared for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kamalmorovati1365
5
XAUUSD: New-Week Technical Bias (Market Open)Multi-Timeframe Structural Outlook: Higher Timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, Daily): Broad structure remains bullish within an Ascend Sequence, though notable Monthly Price Cap Rejections indicate overhead resistance slowing momentum. Daily & 4H Technical Picture: Value Compression Phase (VCP): Price compresses within 3500 – 2956, with consolidation occurring above mid-range, favoring upside continuation probability. 4H Internal Structure: Aligns with daily compression, showing structural respect of higher lows, maintaining bullish pressure. Above mid-range VCP compression typically signals a breakout potential above 3500. Liquidity Mechanics & Risk Zones: Upside: Early-week bullish lean remains valid, targeting a break and sustained acceptance above 3500, confirming continuation of the Ascend Sequence. Downside Invalidations: A decisive breakdown below Order Clustering Zones (OCZ) and anticipated Trap Vectors (TV), leading price into/below the VCP range low (2956), would signal bearish vulnerability and invalidate bullish continuation. Summary: Early-week bullish bias preferred while price holds above mid-range compression. Breakdown below OCZ & VCP range low triggers trend deterioration signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Olamitrades1
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading Overview Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance. 🔹 Key Levels: Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250 Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June) Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July) Closing Price: ~3,343 🔹 Price Action Summary: ✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal. ✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering. ✅ Midweek Consolidation Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst. ✅ Late-Week Pullback Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support. 🔹 Technical Perspective: 🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure. Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook. 🔸 Near-Term Resistance: 3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts. 🔸 Key Support: The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand. 🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend. 🔹 Sentiment & Outlook The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge. Traders should watch for: A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher. Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum. 🧭 Next Week’s Focus: Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution. Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback Reactions to upcoming economic data EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias. Chart Notes: The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context. Thank you for your time and your support... 🚀🚀Boost it if you like it (Thanks)🚀🚀 #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #Forex #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingRecap #MJTrading #GoldForecast #MarketReview #WeeklyRecap #TradingView
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 7, 2025“You don’t chase gold. You set the trap, then wait.” 👋 Hey traders — we’re gearing up for a new week on gold, and the H4 chart is starting to speak clearly. After Friday’s clean push into premium rejection zones, price is now compressing beneath a key supply block. Structure is fragile, and the next move will likely come fast. Let’s position with precision before the breakout. — 🔸 H4 Bias Structure remains bearish short-term, with clear lower highs forming below a major supply at 3344–3351. The broader bias leans neutral as we trade between unmitigated demand and inducement-heavy resistance. Confirmation is everything. — 🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Areas) 3344–3351 → H4 Fair Value Gap + OB combo inside premium → If price wicks above recent highs and rejects here, it could trigger a clean swing sell. 3380–3394 → Origin of the last bearish leg + liquidity wick → High-risk, high-reward rejection zone if price spikes impulsively this week (e.g. post-Fed tone or surprise volatility). — 🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Areas) 3265–3275 → H4 FVG + flip zone + prior sweep level → If price taps and holds here, we may see re-accumulation for a move toward 3327–3340. 3235–3246 → Strong unmitigated OB + discount level → Ideal sniper long zone only on clean rejection + structure shift (BOS on M15+). — 🟡 Flip / Decision Zone 3299–3305 → EMA50 + micro-range equilibrium → If price breaks and holds above this zone with strength, bias turns short-term bullish. If it rejects, continuation down is favored. — 🎯 Execution Notes EMA21/50 are acting as active compression bands — watch for rejection pressure RSI shows no clear divergence yet — but volume is thinning Liquidity is building above 3340 and below 3265 — prepare for traps both ways — 🔚 Final Words Sniper traders aren’t early — they’re precise. If you’ve been reacting too fast lately, this is your week to reset. Gold is telling a story here… but only structure speaks the truth. 🚀 If this helps bring clarity to your outlook, tap follow — we do this daily, with structure, not signals. — 📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation’s broker feed on TradingView and I’m part of their influencer program. 📉 This is educational content, not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out to perfection!!! After hitting 3300 target yesterday, we stated that we would now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3300 to open 3324. This was locked and loaded and we got the target hit at 3324. This followed with a further ema5 cross and lock above 3324 opening 3354, which was also hit perfectly completing this range. We are now seeing a perfect rejection from this level and unless we get a ema5 cross and lock above this level for a continuation, we are likely to see the lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3300 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3324 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3354 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3383 BEARISH TARGETS 3271 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3239 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3213 3179 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 7, 2025👋 Hey traders, welcome to the fresh week! After the Friday selloff, gold is approaching a key inflection point. Let’s break down what’s happening on the Daily chart and how to approach it with clarity — no guessing, just precision. Stay focused. The real opportunity is always in how you prepare. 🌍 Macro + Sentiment Market remains sensitive to yield shifts and broader risk sentiment (BRICS summit also continues) Price remains elevated in premium territory after months of vertical flow — but structure is finally showing re-accumulation or re-distribution? 📈 Daily Bias Neutral to bearish until the 3330–3344 zone fully flips cleanly as support Structure shows lower highs, strong wick rejections in premium zones, and a need for confirmation 🧠 What the chart tells us: Price is compressing between a D1 FVG (below) and unfilled premium OB (above) Friday’s low wicked into a small imbalance — but was not a clean tap into the main OB RSI is midrange, EMAs are flat, and momentum is indecisive We're either gearing up for a bullish FVG reclaim or prepping for a deeper drop into discount ⚠️ Key Zones to Watch 🔵 Support Zones (Buy Zones) 3230–3208 → D1 Fair Value Gap + unmitigated bullish OB + discount pricing → Valid only with clean bullish rejection. High interest for sniper entries if price returns. 3170–3154 → Untapped daily OB + historical support wick + aligns with deeper discount zone → Stronger bounce zone if 3230 fails. Confluence with fib retracement & RSI likely oversold here. 🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Zones) 3420–3450 → Premium FVG + D1 OB combo + previous bearish rejection wick → High probability inducement area. Valid only if price fails to hold 3344 flip. 3388–3402 → Minor supply + internal structure break level → Short-term reaction area. Lower conviction but watch for rejection if price overextends. 🟡 Decision / Flip Zone 3327–3344 → Former support now turned resistance → If this zone flips bullish and holds, bias shifts to continuation. If rejection occurs, confirms retracement deeper into discount. ✅ Conclusion The market is entering a decision week — no rush. Let the chart guide you. Clarity comes not from prediction, but preparation. This chart isn’t hindsight — it’s a live framework. ✨ Final Thought If this chart feels clear, that’s because it was built with intention — not after the move, but before it happens. The difference between noise and precision is structure. And we don’t guess — we prepare. 🚀 If you appreciate detailed, real-time structure like this, hit follow and join the traders who value clean execution over hype. 💬 Drop your bias below — bullish or bearish this week? 📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation's broker feed on TradingView and I'm part of their influencer program. 📉 This is educational content and not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold lacks downside momentum: Next week's analysis & adviceGold trading is relatively light today due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday. On the downside, we continue to focus on the short-term support at the 3325 level, while the key resistance above remains in the 3345-3350 range, which was yesterday's breakdown point. The market has closed early today, and price action has been stuck in a range-bound consolidation. After plunging $40 on the back of bearish non-farm payroll data, gold stabilized and rebounded, recouping nearly half of the losses. This performance confirms that the downside space is limited. Currently, the market has returned to a oscillating upward pattern, and the weekly chart is likely to continue range-bound fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the 3325 level has formed a key support. The secondary retest overnight confirmed the bottom structure, and the gradual lifting of early session lows has also released a bullish signal. Looking ahead to next week, gold is expected to continue its bullish trend. If the 3325 support level below remains unbroken, one can look for opportunities to establish long positions. XAUUSD buy@3325-3330 tp:3340-3360-3380 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1