GOLD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Good day to have away from the markets as nothing has really happened on Gold since the London session. We did say support 3210 needs to break, and it's given numerous opportunities to take the red box trades, apart from that nothing exciting compared to recent PA.
We have a slight break here with resistance 3230 above which is likely, we want to see if they can break through and attempt that 3250-55 region shown on the chart. We're accumulating so we can expect a breakout, lets see how that level reacts if it gets there.
Not much more to report on.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
"Gold Bullish Setup: From Demand Zone to 3280 Target!"🟦 Key Zones
🔵 Demand Zone (Support):
📍 Around 3,210 – 3,200
🟢 Buyers stepped in here previously, forming a base for a potential upmove.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📍 Around 3,240 – 3,250
🚫 Sellers have rejected price from this level several times.
🎯 Target Point:
📍 3280
🚀 If price breaks resistance, this is the expected move.
❌ Stop Loss:
📍 3,195.52
🛡️ Placed just below the demand zone to minimize downside risk.
📊 Price Action & Indicators
* 🟠 Current Price: 3,225.32
* 📉 EMA (7): 3,223.57 – providing dynamic support
* 🔼 Trend: Short-term uptrend with higher lows
🧠 Trade Idea
* ✅ Entry: Around 3,220–3,225
* ❌ Stop Loss: 3,195.52
* 🎯 Take Profit: 3,280
* 📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if resistance breaks
📈 Possible Scenarios
🔸 Scenario 1:
✨ Immediate breakout through resistance → target 3,280
🔸 Scenario 2:
🔁 Pullback to demand zone → bounce → then move toward 3,280
Gold Price Analysis April 15Frame D shows some selling pressure that could be profit-taking by investors but has not yet confirmed the appearance of a downtrend.
The h4 wave structure is still leaning towards the bulls quite a bit when the 3215 zone has been noticed by buyers
Gold is rejecting the 3232 price zone, trading around 3223, creating a fairly important resistance zone at 3232.
Trading scenario This decline is still quite strong and can decrease to the support zone of break out 3215. In the US session, pay attention to the price reaction of this zone to buy. If it bounces strongly from 3215, you can consider holding it long. On the contrary, if it breaks through 3215, 3203 is the destination for the SELL signal. 3237 is an important resistance zone today. If the price breaks this zone, it will confirm an ATH in the US session.
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Trade SetupTime Frame: 15-Minute and 4-Hour
Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation
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Overview:
Currently, on the 15-minute time frame, we observe a potential Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could indicate a bearish reversal. As we analyze further, we identify that the B wave might be completing, setting us up for the upcoming C wave to the downside.
Key Levels:
- Invalidation Level (Head of the Pattern): 3246
- Fibonacci Level (Key Area on 4-Hour Time Frame): 0.618
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Trade Setup:
Given the formation and confirmations, we suggest considering a sell trade:
1. Entry Point: Monitor for a confirmation of the bearish move below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
2. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly above the invalidation level of 3246 to mitigate risk.
3. Take Profit Targets:
- TP1: 3215
- TP2: 3205
- TP3: 3195
- TP4: 3180
-TP5: 3140
Once the price moves below these levels, consider holding the sell trade down to a potential extreme target of 3140.
If we break 3140, the next support zone between 3040 and 3050 could come into play, where I expect strong buying interest for intra-day trading
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Risk Management:
Always manage your risk appropriately. Ensure that your position size is in line with your risk tolerance and that your stop loss is strictly adhered to. Monitor the market closely, as patterns can evolve, and be prepared to adjust your strategy as needed.
Conclusion:
With the Head and Shoulders pattern and the identified Fibonacci level providing confluence for a potential downside move, we have a compelling setup for taking a sell position. Keep an eye on the market dynamics and make informed decisions.
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Stay safe and trade wisely!
XAUUSD buy zone in 1h break of structureLast 3 days of past week XAUUSD had a strong uptrend with bullish momentum. From 1h perspective we have seen price had a bounce, and there is no significant break of structure on the lower timeframe, which means, as with the new market open, any break of structure is an opportunity to go long. Expecting to test the previous swing low is a zone where we can look for for potential entry to ride the trend.
Will wait for price action confirmation on market opening.
Gold Takes a Pause Near HighsAs gold takes a breather just below its recent highs, it’s a good moment to zoom out and ask a few bigger questions. Is this a healthy consolidation before the next leg higher, or are we seeing early signs of buyer exhaustion? Let’s take a look at the key levels in play, what’s driving the broader move, and how the technical picture is shaping up.
Gold Shines Amid Macro Noise
Most markets this year have been on a Trumpian rollercoaster—rallying on the promise of deregulation and then stumbling as tariff threats rattle risk appetite. But gold has been a different story entirely. It’s been climbing steadily, driven by a cocktail of macro catalysts that continue to align in its favour.
Geopolitical tension is a big one. From renewed trade war threats to simmering conflict in the Middle East, the backdrop is risk-heavy—and gold thrives in that environment. Add in lingering inflation worries and speculation around central bank easing, and you’ve got the ideal conditions for gold to rally.
Crucially, gold isn’t just reacting to the headlines—it’s responding to positioning and flows. Demand from both institutional investors and central banks has remained strong. ETFs have seen persistent inflows, while major buyers continue to stockpile gold as a hedge against currency risk and market volatility. In short, the bull case for gold remains underpinned by more than just fear—it’s backed by allocation shifts and structural demand.
Trend Watch: Strength, But Signs of Stretch
Gold’s daily candle chart shows a market trading well above its rising 200-day moving average—always a strong signal that the broader trend remains intact. This uptrend has been in place for months, and the market has done the hard yards to build a healthy base before each new leg higher.
That said, with gold pausing just beneath recent highs, it’s fair to ask whether we’re setting up for continuation—or due for a deeper pullback. There are arguments on both sides.
The case for trend continuation starts with structure. The market continues to respect former resistance levels, which are now acting as support—always a good sign of an orderly rally. The trend angle itself also looks sustainable; this hasn’t been a parabolic move, which makes it less vulnerable to a violent correction.
Perhaps most telling is the recent ‘high and tight’ consolidation. Rather than giving back gains, gold is simply moving sideways near the highs—a sign that dip buyers are stepping in quickly, and that there’s no real appetite for lower prices just yet.
On the flip side, there are a couple of caution flags worth keeping an eye on.
The first is the Keltner Channel. For context, the Keltner Channel is a volatility-based envelope that plots a band around a moving average, using the Average True Range to define the width. When price pushes into the upper band, it can signal an overextended move. While a 'slide' along the upper edge is possible in strong trends, a full-blown breakout above the channel often precedes a pullback—so it’s something to watch.
Second is RSI divergence. Gold made a new trend high last week, but the RSI didn’t follow suit—instead forming a lower high. This divergence between price and momentum can be an early sign of fatigue. It doesn’t guarantee a reversal, but it does suggest the move may need a bit of a breather.
Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Summary:
Gold’s pause near highs looks healthy for now, especially in the context of the broader trend and supportive fundamentals. But it’s worth staying alert. A push above recent highs, backed by volume and strong momentum, would reinforce the bull case. However, if RSI divergence plays out and the price breaks short-term support levels, we could see a sharper pullback first.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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Gold – Potential Bearish Continuation After Lower High FormationMarket Context:
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent sessions, but the current price structure hints at potential exhaustion. After forming a possible lower high near the $3,220 zone, price action has started to roll over, and the market may now be transitioning into a distribution phase.
Technical Breakdown:
- The chart shows a clear uptrend leading into the $3,220 region, followed by a rejection and initial breakdown.
- A lower low has already been printed, signaling a potential change in character (CHOCH) from bullish to bearish.
- A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has been left behind on the move down, sitting between approximately $3,160–$3,180. This area could act as a supply zone if price attempts a retracement.
Bearish Scenario Development:
Price is expected to retrace back into the FVG (imbalance), where selling pressure may reappear. This area also aligns roughly with a 0.28 Fibonacci level from the recent impulse down — a common retracement point for corrective moves in a shifting market.
Should this retracement hold and show rejection (e.g., wick rejections, bearish engulfing, displacement), the market could resume downward movement, continuing the developing bearish trend. The next potential liquidity target sits around the $3,060–$3,040 zone, aligning with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the prior bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
- Supply/FVG zone: ~$3,160–$3,180
- Current resistance region: ~$3,220 (prior swing high)
- Potential demand zone: ~$3,060–$3,040 (0.618–0.65 retracement)
- Deeper retracement zone: ~$3,000 (0.786 level and prior structure confluence)
What to Look For:
- If price retraces into the FVG and shows weakness, this could confirm the lower high and continuation of the bearish leg.
- A clean break of the $3,060 level would further validate the bearish bias, likely drawing price toward deeper retracement zones.
- If, however, price reclaims and holds above the FVG zone, the bias may shift back to bullish, and a reevaluation would be necessary.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently setting up a possible bearish continuation following a lower low and signs of exhaustion. The upcoming reaction to the FVG zone will be crucial. If the market respects this supply region, it could offer a clean move toward the $3,060 area and possibly lower. As always, let price confirm before acting—structure and reaction at key zones remain vital in this unfolding setup.
Gold Buying every dip as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Buying sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive uptrend extension / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s Support break, however the Selling pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,227.80 - #3,232.80 former Resistance zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition.
Fundamental analysis: Gold is isolated within Bullish Megaphone bounce formation and if there wasn’t parallel Buying pressure from Fundamental side, Price-action would be significantly Lower (I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side). The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and many other were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Medium-term trend stays Bullish though especially with DX still critically Bearish, taking strong hits and Bond Yields rejected on #3-Week Top zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,252.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,252.80 benchmark configuration.
My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly ANALYSIS: UNPRECEDENTED Rally ContinuesOANDA:XAUUSD market continues pushing to higher and higher levels. The market went up approximately 7% in a single week. This was a big upward move, if not the biggest upward move in one week this year. As the market approaches the 3250 level, we can see some price deceleration. This may lead to a corrective move. After such an impulse move, the market usually consolidates. Therefore Monday and Tuesday might be sideways move days.
On the daily timeframe, the price is creating an ABC move which potentially completes around the 3300 level. If Monday's candle opens with a gap up, this suggests the price may surge again. However, if we get a pullback, then we can look for buying opportunities below the 3200 support level or the previous day's low.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and price
Is now making a local
Bearish correction so after
It hits a horizontal support
Level of 3160$ we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD: A Huge Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that the price once again moved exactly as expected and finally managed to rise back above $3100, reaching as high as $3136.5! Currently, gold is trading around $3120, and I expect we will soon see further decline in gold. The potential downside targets are $3115, $3105, and $3100 respectively. This analysis will be updated again!
The Last Analysis :
XAUUSDHello, traders
This chart is an insightful visual representation of technical analysis for the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. Based on its design, it seems geared toward identifying potential price movement patterns and decision points for trading. Here are some key takeaways:
1. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:** Highlighted at 0.618 and 0.886, they indicate potential zones where the price might reverse or consolidate, valuable for planning entry and exit points.
2. **Significant Price Levels:** Labels like PDH (Previous Day High), PDL (Previous Day Low), and PWL (Previous Week Low) provide context on past market performance, which can signal future behavior.
3. **Market Structure Insights:** Annotations like BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) help traders analyze shifts in trend or market momentum.
4. **Current Market Data:** With an ask price of 3,238.290 and a bid at 3,237.570, accompanied by a visible increase in volume, this may suggest heightened market activity.
Gold versus the Stock Market.Gold versus the Stock Market.
The road map everybody should STILL be looking at.
Gold on aggressive uptrend extension as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold seems to be recovering last week's Intra-day steep decline towards local Bottom in a rather semi-stable fashion with Hourly 4 chart already stepped in Bullish waters sessions ago. The main reason behind it was the strong decline on the DX (comfortably Trading below the #52-week Low's), which entered an Descending Channel and as I've mentioned these past few weeks on my remarks, has the strongest Short and Medium-term effect (positive) on Gold. Technically, there is only #1 session left before the symmetry of the Hourly 4 chart's cycle catches up as the sequence mimics the previous one. Subsequently, every decline since August #12 resulted as an Short-term relief rally which suddenly reversed in even more steeper decline (check August #22, August #29, September #1 and September #7). If fractal is yet to be repeated, I should expect Price-action to show stagnation and stall the uptrend, then kick-start aggressive takedown towards #3,200.80 benchmark configuration where I will be ready with my piercing Selling orders.
My position: I have announced that Gold is on undisputed Bullish trend and total Bullish domination as I've practically Bought every Bottom lately. My suggestion is to continue Buying the dips / every local Low's.
XAUUSDXAUUSD has completed 5 wave pattern and now is very due for deep correction before another investor cycle to start. if XAUUSD successfully go for deep correction then the target for ABC correction may extend to 2600 level.
Gold Forms Triple Top and Breaks Channel Bearish Cont' PlayThis chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows a clear bearish setup forming after a strong upward channel.
Here’s a quick breakdown:
- Trend Structure: Price was moving within a rising channel, but has now broken below the lower boundary of that channel, signaling a possible shift in trend.
- Triple Top Pattern: Three peaks marked as "TOP 1", "TOP 2", and "TOP 3" suggest a strong resistance zone and bearish reversal potential.
- Break of Structure (BoS): Several BoS labels indicate bearish breaks in market structure, supporting the downside bias.
- Projected Move: The chart suggests a pullback to retest the broken channel and then a continuation downward.
- Bearish Targets: The key downside levels are marked at 3187, 3177, and 3151 , which align with previous support zones.
Overall, this chart signals a likely bearish continuation if price respects the retest zone and fails to reclaim the channel.
XAU/USD | 4H Chart Price has respected this ascending channel beautifully with multiple touches on both trendlines, confirming the structure. We recently saw a break of structure (BOS) followed by a strong bullish push.
Currently watching for a short-term pullback into the 4H support + FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, aligning with the midline of the channel. If price reacts bullish here, I'll be looking for a continuation toward the upper trendline and potential new highs.
Trade Setup:
Entry: At support/FVG confluence
SL: Below the FVG zone
TP: At the upper channel resistance
GOLD-SELL Strategy 12 hourly chart GANN SQIt feels we are near the end of the run for the short-term and who knows, for the MT as well. It is overextended, even though we had some interim corrections, the overall correction has not taken place as yet.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,200-3,25o and take profit near $ 3,097 for now.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3143.50.Dear colleagues, I expect a correction in the coming week. Wave “V” has started its development and now I think that wave ‘1’ of medium order is completing its development and I think that the correction in wave “2” will last until the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3143.50.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD 1H CHART PATTERN Upon examining the gold price action on the 1-hour chart, it's evident that the market recently achieved a fresh high, reaching up to $3245. This upward move indicated strong bullish momentum at that point. However, shortly after hitting this level, the price experienced a noticeable correction. This retracement not only pulled the price lower but also suggested a potential shift in the market structure, indicating that bullish strength may be weakening.
Currently, all eyes are on the $3214 level, as it appears to be a key support-turned-resistance zone. If the price remains suppressed below this threshold and fails to regain momentum above it, it could confirm a bearish continuation pattern. Should this scenario play out, we can anticipate further downside movement in the short term.
The next possible support levels, or downside targets, to watch for in sequence are $3190, $3178, $3156, and eventually $3140. These levels may act as areas of interest for traders looking for potential bounces or further breakdowns, depending on overall market sentiment and price behaviour near each zone.
Gold New Week TargetNew Week Gold target Is here Confirmed Selling In New Week in The Chart zoon 3234/3240 Targets
3225/3220/3100
