Bearish reversal?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take-profit target.
Entry: 3,319.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 3,354.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,271.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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GOLD trade ideas
The correction is quite surprise. What direction for GOLD price?✏️Quite surprised with the adjustment of gold at the end of the previous trading week. The rising price channel is still holding around the lower border of the price channel around 3316. A liquidity sweep and candle wick removal in this area is considered a good buying opportunity.
If h1 closes below this border, limit trading BUY signals until the bottom support of 3286. When the price can close the candle below 3316, gold will trade in a wide range and there is no main trend dominating the market.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3316-3286
Resistance: 3372-3400-3418
Buy trigger: Reject and Trading above 3316
BUY DCA Break 3372
Target: 3400
SELL Trigger: Break bellow and Retest 3416
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Trading Plan - 28th July 2025🔺 Technical Analysis
Gold opened the Asian session this week with a slight retracement, testing the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level before bouncing back strongly to last week's closing price around 3339. This move further solidifies the price action from a technical perspective.
Notably, gold has broken through a minor resistance on the M15 timeframe, invalidating the bearish structure and forming a full-bodied H1 candle. This sets the stage for a potential corrective uptrend to unfold.
On the Daily timeframe, the initial session's decline retested the bullish trendline and bounced back within the boundaries of the flag pattern. It's likely that this week, the price will continue towards the end of this pattern, providing a clearer confirmation of the medium-term trend.
🔺 Key Macroeconomic News
This week promises to be volatile with several crucial economic announcements, particularly as it marks both the end of the month and the start of a new one. Two key events that traders should pay close attention to are:
FOMC Interest Rate Decision: Always a focal point for the market, with significant impact on safe-haven assets like gold.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report: Vital US labour market data, capable of triggering substantial movements in both the USD and gold.
Therefore, be prepared for potential market shocks and exercise careful risk management.
📈 Trading Strategy & Considerations
Given the technical setup and upcoming macroeconomic events, consider the following:
Potential Corrective Uptrend: The invalidated bearish structure on M15 and the strong H1 candle suggest a short-term bullish bias for a corrective move.
Daily Flag Pattern: Monitor price action as it approaches the end of the flag pattern on the Daily timeframe for medium-term trend confirmation.
High Volatility Ahead: Exercise extreme caution around the FOMC and NFP announcements. These events can lead to significant and rapid price swings.
Risk Management: Prioritise strict risk management. Consider reducing position sizes or employing wider stop-losses during high-impact news events.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Gold Market Opens the Week with Bullish Hedge Toward 3370'sGold market opens the week by hedging into fresh demand at 3320's, building a bullish sentiment.
The price action now aims to mitigate 3370's, aligning with the continuation of the upward trajectory if structure holds. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
We completed all our Bullish targets on this chart with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We were also able to step away today after the final target with no further ema5 cross and lock, confirming the rejection that we are seeing now.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Daily XAUUSD Outlook — Riding the Fed Wave (July 28, 2025)Hey Gold Hunters! 🌟
Today feels like the calm before a storm—ADP whispers tomorrow, the Fed speaks Wednesday, and gold is inching toward its next big move. Let’s weave the macro pulse into our Smart‑Money map, highlight the five real zones, then plot our sniper‑perfect entries. No fluff—just the human beat of the market.
1️⃣ Macro Pulse & Market Mood
US Dollar: Bullish tilt as markets price in another hawkish Fed pause.
Tomorrow (Tue): ADP jobs print could spark an early swing.
Wed PM: FOMC Statement & Powell’s press conference—biggest catalyst this week.
Thu/Fri: Core PCE, Unemployment Claims, then Friday’s NFP + ISM Manufacturing.
Gold is caught in suspense: a squeeze here (into supply) or a slide there (into demand) will come fast once the Fed drops its hint.
🧭 Bias: Neutral‑bearish—looking for lower highs under the 3,345–3,375 supply zone, with a preference to short rallies into that band until price convincingly breaks and holds above 3,375. Once we see a clean weekly‑style close above that level, we’ll flip to neutral‑bullish.
2️⃣ Five Breathing Zones (Top → Bottom)
🛑 Zone 1 “Sky Trap” (3,380 – 3,415)
The final airspace above our daily EMAs (10/50) where stops are hunted. Fib ext’s 127%–161.8% and an unfilled Fair‑Value Gap live here. Any spike that ends in a long upper wick or bearish engulf = short‑trap.
(let price fall clear of this zone before the next)
⚔️ Zone 2 “Premium Supply” (3,345 – 3,375)
The two‑week high order block, hugged by EMA50 and Fib 61.8%. Friday’s rejection candle was born here. Watch for bearish PA after a retest—your core sell zone.
(space down to next)
🌊 Zone 3 “First Demand Cove” (3,290 – 3,320)
Where mid‑June’s buyers piled in: June consolidation OB, filled FVG, and Fib 38.2–50% confluence. SMA100 sits below for extra gravity. A clean drop and bullish reaction here = sniper‑long trigger.
(gap to deep zone)
🚀 Zone 4 “Deep Pullback Bay” (3,240 – 3,270)
Hidden Fair‑Value Gap, BOS origin, and weekly EMA21 converge. If Zone 3 breaks, this is your deep‑dip reload—hunt that D1 reversal wick.
(last space)
🛡️ Zone 5 “Macro Reset Block” (3,000 – 3,140)
The root of 2024’s CHoCH, EMA200/SMA200 cluster, and 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace. Only if gold truly panics on a USD blitz—ultimate accumulation.
3️⃣ Sniper‑Perfect Scenarios
🔴 Short Setup
Where: A thrust into Zone 1 or 2 (3,345+).
Cue: Long upper wick → bearish engulf on D1/M30.
Edge: FVG fill + Fib confluence + RSI rollover.
🟢 Long Setup
Where: A dip into Zone 3 or, if swept, Zone 4.
Cue: Bullish pin‑bar or engulf + reclaim of EMA10/50.
Edge: June OB base + RSI bounce from ~50.
4️⃣ Your To‑Do List
Morning Watch: Does gold flirt with 3,375? Prep your shorts.
Mid‑Day Pull: A drop to 3,300? Hunt your longs.
Avoid: The gaps between zones—those are “no‑man’s land.”
News Trades: Let the daily candle close post‑Fed before committing.
💬 What’s your plan today? Comment below—let’s refine our edge!
👍 Enjoyed this map? Smash that Like & Follow for more pulse‑driven, zero‑fluff outlooks.
Disclosure: Chart powered by Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I participate in their Influencer Program.
GoldFxMinds 💛
Gold Market Analysis: Seize the Bearish Opportunity!Hello, amazing traders! 📊 Last week, gold put both buyers and sellers through a rollercoaster, peaking at $3,439 on Monday and Tuesday before a sharp decline shook the market. The chart reveals a classic triangle pattern with a sneaky false breakout, designed to trap the unwary. Now, with the upside liquidity swept away, a bearish move is on the horizon—let’s break it down!
📈 Chart Insights
Take a look at the attached chart! Gold’s recent action highlights:
False Breakout: The price tricked traders with a brief surge, only to reverse sharply.
Target Zone: Equal Lows at $3,240 are the next key level to watch.
Retracements: Expect a pullback to the $3,360-$3,365 range, where order blocks, 4H Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and Hourly Imbalance Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) form a powerful demand zone.
🎯 Trading Plan
Entry Point: Prepare to short around $3,360-$3,365 as gold retraces to this strong PD Array.
Stop Loss: Place above $3,385 to avoid the daily and 4H FVG zone ($3,375-$3,385), which should act as resistance.
Target: Aim for $3,240, the Equal Lows, with updates on short-term targets to follow.
Note: The $3,375-$3,385 range is a balanced zone—unlikely to be revisited soon.
🚨 Why Act Now?
This setup offers a golden (or should I say bearish gold?) chance to capitalize on the market’s momentum. The chart’s clear levels and the false breakout signal a high-probability move. Stay tuned for real-time updates as we track this trade!
💬 Join the Conversation!
Loved this analysis? Hit the Like button to show your support! ❤️ Follow me for more actionable insights, and drop a comment below—where do you see gold heading next? Let’s build a thriving TradingView community together! 🙌
Happy trading, and may your trades be as sharp as this analysis! ✨
XAUUSD idea for upcoming weekThe chart presents a bearish outlook for gold based on a retracement and continuation pattern. Here's a detailed analysis:
🔍 Chart Summary:
Current Price: Around 3336
Bias: Bearish (after retracement)
Resistance Zone: 3370 – 3380
Sell Confirmation Area: Upon rejection from the 3370–3380 resistance zone
Target 1 (TP1): 3300
Target 2 (TP2): 3280
📈 Technical Structure:
Recent Trend:
The price has dropped sharply from its recent peak.
Now it's attempting a pullback to previous support, which has turned into a resistance zone (3370–3380).
Price Action Expectation:
A retracement is expected toward 3370–3380.
If the price gets rejected from this resistance block, the chart suggests the formation of a lower high.
After rejection, a bearish continuation is expected.
Projected Move:
Short entry around the resistance zone.
Targets:
TP1: 3300 (intermediate support)
TP2: 3280 (major support)
🧠 Trade Idea Logic:
The chart follows a classic bearish price action setup: impulse → retracement → continuation.
The consolidation and break area has flipped from support to resistance.
The retracement zone is clearly defined, making it a high-probability area for reversal if bearish signals (e.g., rejection candles) form.
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Wait for confirmation: Do not enter blindly at 3370–3380. Look for rejection patterns (like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
Volume and fundamentals: Watch for economic data or geopolitical news that might invalidate the technical setup.
SL Suggestion: Above 3385 or 3390 to allow some room for wick spikes.
XAU/USD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Let me know if anything is unclear.
If Gold is attempting to achieve 4000, a proper correction is necessary.
Keynote:
The big red arrow/short below the range is what is supposed to happen,
but nobody will agree.
It's okay - I'm biased, I love to short!
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend.
The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels.
The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.
XAU/USD Breakout Playbook – Rob the Market!🚨💰 GOLD HEIST IN MOTION! | XAU/USD Thief Trading Strategy (Breakout Edition) 🏴☠️
🧠 Strategic Mindset | Not Your Average Chart Talk
Yo Market Bandits & Pip Hunters – welcome to the underground playbook!
This isn't your grandma’s chart breakdown – it’s a Thief Trading Takedown on XAU/USD (Gold), where we’re not chasing the market… we’re outsmarting it.
THE MASTER PLAN: Enter Like a Ghost, Exit Like a King 👑
📍 ENTRY POINT – The Break-In Begins!
💥 Breakout Level: Watch for 3370.00 resistance to crack – this is our green light.
🕵️♂️ Entry Style:
• Buy Stop above MA resistance zone (fast & clean)
• OR Buy Limit near swing low zones after confirmation pullback (sniper entry)
🧠 Thief Tip: Wait for the breakout to happen. No orders, no SL before it. Patience is profit.
🔄 Layer the Entry:
• Deploy DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) or scaling entries with precision
• Build positions like stacking cash bags — smart, silent, and calculated
🛡️ PROTECT THE LOOT – Stop Loss Logic 💣
📍 SL Guide: 3310.00 (4H swing low – update as price structure evolves)
🔥 SL ONLY comes after breakout. Set it too early? That’s how you get caught.
⛔ No pre-breakout orders. No early SL. Stay invisible till it's go time.
🎯 THE ESCAPE – Profit Like a Phantom 🚀
💸 Take Profit: 3450.00
📉 Scalpers: Trail SL as price pushes – never give back stolen pips
🌀 Swing Traders: Monitor resistance layers – don’t let the bulls turn on you
🧭 CONTEXT – Why This Setup?
🔍 Macro Snapshot:
• Trend: Neutral/Bullish Lean
• Influencers: COT reports, geopolitical tension, dollar flows
• Sentiment Shifting – watch the herd, but don’t run with it
🗞️ News Risk: Don’t get wrecked by events! Avoid entries during high-impact news.
🚨 Trailing SL is your best weapon during volatility.
⚡ POWER UP THE CREW – Support the Movement
💬 Drop a comment, hit the 🔥 like button, and share with your trading gang
More Thief Trading blueprints coming soon – bigger breakouts, cleaner setups
⚠️ STAY SHARP, THIEVES!
This ain't financial advice – it’s an outlaw’s edge on the market.
Trade smart. Risk well. Protect the bag.
🏴☠️ XAU/USD GOLD HEIST IN PROGRESS... Join the Movement. Let’s Rob the Market.
XAU/USD | Watching for Potential Drop Toward $3391! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that gold continued its bullish move after holding above $3409, successfully hitting the $3440 target and delivering over 200 pips in returns! After reaching this key supply zone, gold corrected down to $3415 and is now trading around $3421. If the price stabilizes below $3431, we can expect further downside movement, with the next bearish targets at $3415, $3404, and $3391. If this scenario fails, an alternative setup will be shared.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD: clean pullback - now let’s see if support holdsGold continues to trade within an ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a local high, the price pulled back and is now approaching the key zone at 3333–3335. This area lines up with the 0.79 Fib retracement, the lower channel boundary, and a major volume cluster — a classic confluence zone.
If buyers show up here and we get a bullish reversal candle, this becomes a valid long setup with a tight stop just below the level. First target is 3373 (0.5 Fib), followed by a potential retest of the high near 3439.
The structure remains intact, the pullback is orderly, and volume supports the move. As long as the channel holds - the bias stays bullish.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was worth waiting for! We were expecting higher to then short this into the level we wanted, but as you can see, we had no red box break and our bias level was 3335. That resistance gave us an opportunity early session to get in and then the break of the 3320 level confirmed the move completing a majority of our targets.
Now we have support here and resistance at the 3395 level and above that 3406. We have a lower level here of 3375 which we feel if targeted and rejected, could give the opportunity for a RIP into the higher levels.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3450 with targets below 3420✅, 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅ and 3390✅
Bullish on break of 3450 with targets above 3455, 3458, 3464 and 3478
RED BOXES:
Break above 3435 for 3440, 3446, 3449 and 3461 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅ and 3379 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Countertrend correction, retest of 3345 before growthFX:XAUUSD , undergoing a deep correction after a false breakout of local resistance at 3433, has reached the support of the upward trend. Will the bulls be able to maintain the trend?
Gold held below $3,400 on Friday, rebounding from $3,350, and is poised to end the week higher. Investors are watching the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, and are also awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan next week. The markets received additional support from US trade deals with Asian countries and progress in negotiations with the EU, easing fears of a tariff war.
As part of the correction, gold is testing trend support and the 3345-3337 zone of interest. A false breakdown, lack of downward momentum, and bulls holding prices above 3345 could trigger growth and a continuation of the main upward trend.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383
Support levels: 3345, 3337, 3330
Technically, the support level of 3345 plays a fairly important role in the market. If, during the correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above this zone, the prospects for recovery will be high, especially against the backdrop of geopolitical problems.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Lingrid | GOLD Corrective Move: Potential Long Trade OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back sharply after facing rejection from the key resistance level at 3431, following a two-leg impulse wave. The structure shows a correction within an active uptrend, nearing confluence support from the upward trendline and horizontal level. As long as price holds above 3342, a bounce and continuation toward 3400 remain the favored scenario. Broader bullish structure and momentum buildup point to a possible resumption after the current retracement.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break above 3350
Buy zone: 3345 – 3340
Target: 3400
Invalidation: Break below 3320
💡 Risks
Failure to hold the upward trendline could shift momentum
Weak bounce may trap buyers before real breakout
Resistance at 3400 could remain firm without stronger volume support
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Gold is currently testing a strong demand zone between 3340 to 3335, which previously acted as a support area. The price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal from this zone, supported by oversold conditions and historical reaction levels.
Entry Zone: 3340 to 3335
First Target: 3375
Second Target: 3390
Two potential scenarios are highlighted:
A direct bullish reversal from the 3340–3335 zone
A slight consolidation before continuation to the upside
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for intraday or short-term swing traders. Monitor price action confirmation signals before entering