XAUUSD: That is the most effective buy entry.Gold is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.335, MACD = 29.660, ADX = 20.560), consolidating above its 4H MA50 since yesterday. The HL on the Channel Up has been priced under the 4H MA50, the latest one just under the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the most efficient level to buy again and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 3,500) not more than +4.78%, which was the previous bullish wave.
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GOLD trade ideas
Bears under strong pressure, gold price adjusted⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) saw a modest rebound during Thursday’s Asian session, recovering part of the prior day’s decline and stabilizing around the $3,362–$3,363 zone, marking the weekly low. Lingering trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on global risk sentiment, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday by holding interest rates steady, while signaling a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. This shift, driven in part by concerns that President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could fuel inflation, boosted the U.S. Dollar to its highest level in over a week. The resulting Dollar strength is capping gold’s upside momentum, keeping the metal below the $3,400 threshold and prompting investors to remain cautious.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bears continue to put selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulating below 3400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3414- 3416 SL 3421
TP1: $3402
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3376
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3347-$3345 SL $3340
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3380
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Distribution I missed the perfect entry for this distribution model, but since the technical target hasn't been reached yet, I'll look for valid entries if they arise. The time displacement is good, it swept internal liquidity and left more to the downside. It looks more like a trend than a range deviation, so I'll be cautious with this trade if I take it.
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,373.69
Target Level: 3,193.23
Stop Loss: 3,493.66
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long XAUUSDCentral banks are still buying gold and we got risk off sentiment from Israel/Iran war. Demand for gold is still high. We are on a pullback since it is a very crowded trade+ Trump giving Iran 2 weeks for a deal + the Fed not cutting rate since they are waiting on inflation data to see if those numbers rise.
A few investment banks see gold hitting 3500 before year end.
Technically (which is 20% of the reason why I am looking at gold long) we got last leg 78.6 fib+ 50 Daily MA + H4 200 MA + bigger time frame 38.2 fib
3325 will be the zone I will look to get in... if we get there.
Trump might just attack Iran during the weekend and we get a market open gap on gold... who knows..
Good luck and happy trading!
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Key SMC Levels in PlayPrice has been respecting market structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCh) from bearish to bullish. After sweeping a Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and reacting off an Order Block (OB), price is currently consolidating above a bullish OB.
We're now at a decision point :
Bullish Scenario : If price holds this OB and shows a clear intent to push higher, we could target the previous highs near 3420+.
Bearish Scenario : If the OB fails and we get a clean break below the structure, I'm eyeing the next OB + FVG zone around 3315–3303 as the next point of interest.
Price action inside this range will confirm the next move. Keep an eye on rejections and reaction from the OB zone to decide entry.
🧠 Marked levels :
OBs, FVGs, BSL, IDM block
Key structural breaks (BoS, ChoCh)
Bias remains neutral-to-bullish until OB fails
📌 Wait for confirmation before entry – patience is profit.
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #GoldAnalysis #BreakOfStructure
Gold Buy- Go for buy if you got entry setup
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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XAU/USD Smart Money Setup | Daily Demand Holding SeenForex | ICT-Based Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is respecting the Daily Demand Zone after forming a clean sweep of short-term liquidity ($$$).
Price is showing signs of potential reversal after mitigation of demand and may target the ATH liquidity above.
Key Observations:
- Daily Demand Zone tested & holding.
- Short-term liquidity ($$$) taken below recent lows.
- FVG + Break in structure expected for confirmation.
- Possible move toward $3,500 ATH area if bullish order flow continues.
- Rejection zone: $3,370–$3,395 (Short-term supply).
💡 Patience is key. Wait for clear bullish confirmation before execution.
Strategy: ICT Smart Money | Liquidity Sweep | Order Block | BOS | FVG
Analyst: SeenForex
Date: June 19, 2025
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #ICT #ForexAnalysis #OrderBlock #SeenForex #LiquiditySweep #FVG #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingViewIdeas
📈 Follow for more Smart Money setups – SeenForex 🔔
XAU/USD – Technical AnalysisThe chart reflects a sustained bearish phase within a well-defined descending channel, yet current price action suggests a potential trend shift may be underway.
🧠 Key Observations:
Price Compression Near Channel Support:
The market is testing the lower boundary of the descending channel, indicating possible exhaustion of selling momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price remains below the cloud, confirming bearish structure for now. However, cloud thinning ahead signals a weakening trend, which often precedes a reversal.
Projected Recovery Path:
A forecasted move is highlighted, suggesting a break above $3,360–$3,380, targeting the upper cloud resistance near $3,400. This level aligns with prior structure and volume interest.
Volume Profile (left):
Strong volume nodes align with support zones, reinforcing the potential for a bounce if momentum shifts.
📌 Strategy Insight:
While bearish momentum remains in control, signs of stabilization and potential reversal are emerging. Traders should wait for:
A confirmed break above the cloud, or
A bullish engulfing with volume support to validate long entries.
✅ Summary:
Trend remains bearish, but the setup shows early signs of accumulation and reversal. A breakout from the cloud and descending channel could trigger a shift toward $3,400+ in the near term. Monitoring phase active.
Middle East tensions rise; gold may hit new highs next weekThe Middle East situation has continued to escalate over the weekend, indicating that gold may witness a rally at Monday's opening. On Friday morning, risk aversion surged rapidly, pushing the gold price to around 3,444, followed by a pullback. During the European session, the price quickly retreated to around 3,408 before rebounding—our strategy to go long near 3,410 at the time proved profitable. In the U.S. session, gold mounted a second rally, peaking at around 3,446 before entering a pullback and consolidation phase. However, from a fundamental perspective, the overall trend remains bullish; thus, buying on dips remains the primary trading approach.
From a 4-hour technical view, immediate support lies in the 3,405–15 range, with key support at the recent resistance-turned-support zone near 3,375–80. When gold pulls back, traders should focus on longing near these levels. The critical bullish pivot for short-term traders has shifted up to the 3,345–50 zone; as long as gold holds above this level on the daily time frame, the dip-buying strategy should be maintained.
XAUUSD
buy@3405-3415
tp:3340-3360
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 19Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support below 3338
Four-hour chart resistance 3400, support below 3338
One-hour chart resistance 3375, support below 3350
Fundamentally, the geopolitical situation has eased. The market was affected by the Fed's decision this week to keep interest rates unchanged and not cut interest rates, which weakened the bullish momentum and buyers took profits, leading to a decline.
From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3338 and the one-hour level 3350 support. The upper pressure focuses on the suppression near the daily level 3450, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line 3400. Keep the high-selling and low-buying range operation during the day.
Sell: 3375near SL: 3380
Sell: 3350near SL: 3355
Buy: 3338near SL: 3333
Gold 4H – Into the Golden Pocket, Next Move Loading?After our last successful setup, here's how I'm looking at Gold now:
Price is approaching a confluence zone that includes:
- A 4H FVG (Fair Value Gap)
- 0.618–0.786 fib retracement
- Strong trendline support
- 1D imbalance zone
I’m watching for a reaction from this golden pocket to catch the next potential impulsive leg toward the 3,450–3,500 region. If we see a rejection wick and break of short-term structure, it could be game on for bulls. If this zone breaks clean, we reassess at the 1.0 fib near 3,323.
Patience is key — let the market come to you.
Range-bound Trading amid Geopolitical and Policy GamesGold Market Brief: Range Bound Trading Amid Geopolitical and Policy Games
I. Core Drivers
- Geopolitical Hedge Cooling: Iran's signal to restart nuclear talks has weakened risk aversion, triggering intraday gold pullbacks, though Middle East tensions remain a wild card.
- Fed Policy Expectations: The Fed kept rates unchanged this week, with Powell's "data-dependent" stance fueling 60% odds of a September rate cut. Dovish signals may push gold above $3,400, while hawkish cues could drag it to $3,350.
II. Key Technical Levels
Supports:
- $3,380: 4-hour MA30 + June 17 low ($3,375.5), bolstered by the ascending channel lower 轨 (lower trendline).
- $3,350: Daily MA10 + June 12 congestion zone, a psychological pivot for policy betting.
Resistances:
- $3,400: Intraday high + 4-hour MA10 + descending trendline forming "triple resistance".
- $3,450: June 13 high converging with weekly Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ($3,448).
III. Short-term Outlook & Focus Points
- Range-bound Trend: Gold likely to oscillate between $3,350-$3,450, with breakthroughs hinging on escalated geopolitics or stronger rate cut bets.
- Catalyst Events: Monitor June 19 Fed meeting, June 21 CPI data, and Middle East developments as potential range breakers.
XAU/USD Trading Strategy for Today
buy@3370-3380
tp:3395-3405
sell@3395-3405
tp:3385-3375
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD: Gold's Critical Decision Point! FOR JUNE 06, 2025 📊 CURRENT SNAPSHOT
---
🎯 THE SETUP: "Golden Triangle Breakout"
Gold is sitting at a CRITICAL JUNCTURE - trapped between major support and resistance levels, forming what I call the "Golden Pressure Cooker" pattern.
🔍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONE (The Ceiling)
* LWH (Last Week High): \$3,403.55 - Ultimate target
* LWL (Last Week Low): \$3,297.94 - Immediate resistance
* 4H FVG: \$3,350 area - Major supply zone
🟡 CURRENT BATTLEFIELD
* Price Action: Consolidating in tight range
* PWL (Previous Week Low): \$3,245.28 - Key pivot
🔴 DANGER ZONE (The Floor)
* DIE ZONE: \$3,121.70 - Critical support
* Break below = Major bearish signal
---
📈 MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
What the Chart is Telling Us:
1. 📊 Consolidation Phase: Gold has been ranging for several sessions
2. ⚡ 4H FVG Above: Acting as a magnet for price
3. 🎯 Triple Test: Price respecting the PWL level multiple times
4. 📉 Volume Decline: Typical before major moves
---
🚀 TRADING SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1: "Golden Rocket" 🚀 (BULLISH)
IF price breaks above \$3,297.94 (LWL):
* Target 1: \$3,330- +1.2% gain
* Target 2: \$3,350(FVG) - +3.9% gain
* Stop Loss: \$3,280 - Risk: -0.5%
Risk/Reward: 1:1.8 ⭐⭐⭐
SCENARIO 2: "Golden Avalanche" 📉 (BEARISH)
IF price breaks below \$3,245.28 (PWL):
* Target 1: \$3,200 (Psychological level)
* Target 2: \$3,121.70 (Die Zone)
* Stop Loss: \$3,297.94 (LWL)
---
💡 SIMPLE TRADING PLAN
🎯 FOR BULLS (Buy Setup):
```
ENTRY: Break above $3,298 with volume
STOP: $3,285
TARGET 1: $3,330
TARGET 2: $3,360
🎯 FOR BEARS (Sell Setup):
```
ENTRY: Break below $3,245 with volume
STOP: $3,298 (LWL)
TARGET 1: $3,200
TARGET 2: $3,122 (Die Zone)
---
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
1. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of account
2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early
3. Volume is Key: Breakouts need volume
4. Time Limit: Close if no movement in 2 days
---
🔥 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS
Gold is at a crossroads! The tight consolidation suggests big players are accumulating positions. When this range breaks, expect explosive movement in either direction.
Smart Money Clues:
* Multiple tests of PWL = Strong support
* 4H FVG above = Price magnet effect
* Low volume = Calm before the storm
---
📊 MARKET CONTEXT
* Dollar Weakness: Could fuel gold rally
* Economic Uncertainty: Safe haven demand
* Technical Setup: Clean breakout pattern
* Timeframe: Perfect for swing trades
---
🎯 MY VERDICT
Gold is COILED and ready to EXPLODE!
The setup favors the bullish scenario due to:
✅ Strong support holding at PWL
✅ 4H FVG acting as price magnet
✅ Multiple failed attempts to break lower
✅ Overall uptrend structure intact
But remember: Respect the levels and trade the breakout, not your bias!
---
🚨 ACTION ITEMS
1. Set Alerts: \$3,298 (bull trigger) & \$3,245 (bear trigger)
2. Watch Volume: Breakouts need confirmation
3. Be Patient: Wait for clean breaks
4. Have Both Plans: Ready for either direction
---
Trade Smart, Stay Safe! 🥇💰
The market rewards patience and punishes impatience.
XAU/USD 20 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Lingrid | GOLD corrective Pullback Presents Potential Long EntryOANDA:XAUUSD is retracing from a double top inside the resistance area near 3450 but remains above the key 3375 support and the ascending channel structure. Price is testing the confluence of the upward trendline and prior breakout level, creating a possible bullish rebound setup. A successful bounce here could ignite momentum toward the 3450–3470 zone.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3370–3375
Sell trigger: loss of 3360 support
Target: 3450
Buy trigger: breakout above 3400 and hold with strong candle close
💡 Risks
A close below the upward channel could trigger deeper sell-off
Failure to reclaim 3400 may trap bulls in consolidation
Macro catalysts (Fed, CPI) could override local structure
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Analysis of the Short-Term Downtrend in Spot Gold Prices AgainstBased on the attached chart and extracted text information, here is a graphical analysis and trend determination of the spot gold price against the US dollar (Gold Spot / US Dollar).
Trend Analysis:
- General Trend: Based on the available data, there appears to be a short-term downtrend. The decline in price and confirmation of selling levels indicate strong selling pressure. However, this trend must be confirmed using other technical indicators.
- Price Range: The chart indicates a broad price range between approximately $3,000 and $3,500 over the past several months. This indicates significant volatility in the price of gold.
Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support Levels:
- The $3,219.944 level represents an important support level.
- The $3,100 and $3,000 levels may also act as support levels if the downtrend continues.
- Resistance Levels:
- The $3,353.820 level (the current buy level) could act as an immediate resistance level.
- Higher levels in the $3,400-$3,500 range represent potential resistance levels if the trend reverses.
- Monitoring Support Levels: The aforementioned support levels should be monitored to identify potential buying points in case of a bounce.
Based on the available data, there is a short-term downward trend in the spot gold price against the US dollar, starting from these areas:
- Entry price of the deal: $3,355.00
- Stop loss price for the trade: $3,381.00
- Target price for the deal TP1: $3,320.00
- Target price for the deal TP2: $3,280.00
- Target price for the deal TP3: $3,219.00
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move🚨 Trade Setup Alert
📍 H1 Orderblock Zone at 3330–3320
🔑 High-probability BUY setup after liquidity sweep 🟢
🎯 Target: 3362 and possibly 3396+
🛑 SL below 3315
📍 Mitigated Supply Zone at 3396–3400
🔻 Possible SELL setup if price rejects that level 🔴
🎯 Target: 3365 / 3340
🛑 SL above 3412
⚠️ Key Level: 3362–3365 must break to reach upper supply zone.
✅ A level viz. 3340 shared yesterday, I bought from 3340 and bagged +180 pips 💸
👀 Watch price action closely near these zones for confirmation.
📊 Trade with proper risk management! 💼