GOLD : This time is different Hello !
No, this time is now different. It was a joke.
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1- Bar pattern of the last bull run is a true way of gold for us. This is almost perfection.
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2- The objective is 7000-8000$ per once. The top momentum can really hit 10k or 12k if the demand explode, because today, we are in a connected world.
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3- The top is when Ma deviation is 200% of the 200 MA Monthly in RED like 2011. However, il will update in weekly because is very interesting. You will find below this idea.
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4- What is the signification for the equity ?
The signification is : No New bullrun until the top of the gold. Probably a consolidation at those levels. However, we are in capital rotation, so, we can easily imagine an explosion of gold if Market drop hard.
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5- At this level, if you buy now, you can do an easily 100% and maybe 200%.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD - Price in Range – Possible Sweep Down Before Going UpGold is currently in a range-bound phase between well-defined supply and demand zones.
🔰 Current Support:
The previous resistance around the developing POC (D POC) has now turned into support and price is reacting to it.
📍 Main Scenario:
🔻 A liquidity grab to the downside is expected first — targeting the FVG 1H and OB 4H demand zones.
📈 If we get bullish confirmation and lower-timeframe triggers, long entries will be valid from those zones, aiming for upside levels like 3300+ and 3400.
👀 Key Levels to Watch:
Demand at 3160 (FVG)
Demand at 3120 (OB 4H)
These are potential springboards for the next impulsive move up.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
Gold May Face Short-Term Correction Amid Strong Resistance📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,335, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345.48. The US Dollar's weakness, driven by fiscal concerns and President Trump's extension of the EU tariff deadline to July 9, has supported gold prices. However, the easing of global trade tensions has limited the precious metal's upside .
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350, $3,364
• Nearest Support: $3,330, $3,300
• EMA 09: Price is trading near the EMA 09, indicating a neutral trend.
• RSI (14): 69.311 – approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential correction.
• MACD (12,26): 13.57 – bullish signal, but momentum is slowing.
• Williams %R: -17.476 – in overbought zone, indicating possible short-term pullback .
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break above the strong resistance at $3,350. Sustained trading below this level could lead to selling pressure, especially as technical indicators point to overbought conditions.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,355
• BUY XAU/USD at: $3,300 – $3,310
🎯 TP: $3,340
❌ SL: $3,290
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward.
The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower.
Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion.
Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups.
Targets are clean:
→ 3228 — first liquidity shelf.
→ 3164 — former impulse base.
→ 3084 — if breakdown accelerates.
Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
GOLD - at today ultimate support, short below #GOLD... perfect move as per our analysis and now market just reached at his today ultimate supporting area, that is 3289 again.
Keep close that area and keep in mind guys that below that market can take a dip towards our further supporting areas.
So keep close and only short below 3289
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD SHORT SETUPXAU/USD Analysis Update
We’ve seen a clear trendline breakout below the ascending channel, confirming a shift in momentum. Price has decisively broken support and is now setting up for a potential bearish continuation. Ichimoku and moving average signals are aligning, adding confidence to the downside setup. Watch for a possible retest of the broken zone before the next leg down.
Entry: 3300
1st target: 3265
2nd target: 3248
3rd target: 3228
Gold to new Hight ?!!Gold is currently trading within a downward price channel, and as observed, it has bounced downwards from the upper boundary of the channel to settle around the demand zone at levels between 3265.00 and 3279.00.
We can also notice the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern, as illustrated on the chart.
Therefore, I expect that if the price stabilizes above the mentioned demand zone, gold may rise again towards the supply zone between 3330.00 and 3345.00, at which point it would have broken out of the downward channel and also broken through the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
This could lead to potential targets at 3365.00, 3415.00, 3435.00, and 3500.00, and after that, we might even see a new peak for gold.
Good Luck
XAUUSD: The LH trendline is the difference maker.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.327, MACD = 32.010, ADX = 35.582), staying under the high impact LH trendline that has been keeping the medium term trend bearish since the April 22nd High. As long as the price is under it, we are short, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 3,246) and not below it as the 1D MA50 offers long term support. If the price closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline, we will turn long and aim for a +7.39% rise from the bottom (TP = 3,485), which has already taken place twice in the past 30 days.
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Trading Signals for GOLD buy above 3,347 (7/8 Murray - 21 SMA)Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,339, rebounding after reaching the 21SMA at 3,327. Gold could continue its bullish cycle if it consolidates above 3,320 in the coming hours.
If the bullish outlook for gold remains valid, it could reach 3.360. the price level from Friday of last week, and could even continue rising to 3,437 around the 8/8 Murray level.
XAUUSD H4 STRUCTURE OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish, but watch for major resistance and fakeouts at highs
🔎 STRUCTURAL ZONES TO WATCH
Zone Type Price Range Reason / Confluence
🟥 PREMIUM SUPPLY 3,415–3,440 H4/H1 OB + FVG, unmitigated supply, previous HH sweep, top risk
🟥 SELL INTEREST 3,390–3,410 FVG + micro supply, previous LH zone, NY session high trap
🟦 MID FLIP ZONE 3,344–3,360 Recent CHoCH, local S/R flip, base of last impulsive move
🟩 SUPPORT #1 3,309–3,325 H4 OB + FVG, prior bounce, 21/50 EMA zone
🟩 SUPPORT #2 3,279–3,295 H4 demand, sweep + FVG, retest of previous structure
🟦 DEEP DEMAND 3,254–3,265 Strong OB, last HL, aligns with deep liquidity sweep on HTF
📈 QUICK CONTEXT (PA/RSI/EMA)
Trend: Still bullish on H4, but approaching exhaustion into supply
PA: Clean HH/HL, but sellers are waiting at the top
RSI: Overbought zone – potential for sharp rejection near premium
EMAs: Price above all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200), short-term stretched
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
Geopolitics: Middle East, US inflation, global uncertainty still fueling safe haven flows
News: Monday open – watch for liquidity grabs and fakeouts in both directions
⚡️ HOW TO TRADE THESE ZONES
Only react to confirmation (BOS, CHoCH, or engulf) on M15/M5 at key levels
Avoid chasing candles at highs – best trades come from liquidity sweeps or trap zones
Be patient around NY session for high-volume fakeouts
🎯 KEY LEVELS RECAP
POI Price Range Bias
Premium Supply 3,415–3,440 Sell trap / reversal zone
Sell Interest 3,390–3,410 Short if rejection confirmed
Mid Flip Zone 3,344–3,360 PA magnet, S/R reaction
Support #1 3,309–3,325 Buy bounce on structure
Support #2 3,279–3,295 Demand, look for sweep bounces
Deep Demand 3,254–3,265 Extreme liquidity zone, last line of bulls
Friendly Tip:
Mark your key levels and watch price like a true sniper – don’t chase, wait for the trap! Which zone are you watching for the next big move? Drop your thoughts below, give a like if you value this structure, and follow for real-time gold plans and no-nonsense market insight. Stay sharp, team! 💡✨
— GoldFxMinds
Gold 1M & 15M Bearish Breaker Block Setup, Targeting 3,202 ZoneI’ve marked a bearish breaker block on the 1-minute chart (3,316–3,319), also visible on the 15M timeframe.
✅ Last bullish push before the sharp downside breakout.
✅ Price retested this zone, wicked through it, and then sold off aggressively — reinforcing bearish order flow and the potential for deeper downside.
I’m tracking this move as the final C wave of an ABC corrective pattern.
✅ The C wave started from the 3,319 high and is unfolding in a 5-wave substructure.
✅ 1-Minute breaker block around 3,316–3,319 — I’m watching for rejection here, which aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement as an estimated end of wave 2.
✅ My current expectation: wave (3) and (5) of C could extend lower to the 3,256–3,202 zone.
🧩 Key Confluences:
Bearish breaker block rejection
15M downtrend structure remains intact
#XAUUSD #gold #forex #elliottwave #bearishbreakerblock #orderflow #priceaction
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a 30-minute timeframe for CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ), showing a potential long (buy) trade setup with clearly defined risk and reward parameters:
Key Elements:
Entry Zone: Around the current price level (approx. 3,271.44).
Take Profit (TP): Targeted near 3,340.93, suggesting a bullish move toward previous highs.
Stop Loss (SL): Set just below 3,250.56, indicating a cutoff in case the price declines.
Observations:
Bullish Setup: The price has bounced from a recent low and shows a possible reversal pattern. This is further supported by the expected upward trajectory.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Visually, the TP zone is significantly larger than the SL zone, indicating a favorable risk/reward setup.
Market Context: The chart shows recent volatility with sharp moves, so risk management is critical.
Would you like help calculating the exact risk/reward ratio or analyzing whether this is a high-probability setup based on technical indicators or patterns?
Tariff war is not overTariff war is not over, gold should maintain a retrace no less than 3253$ for more bullish move challenging a new all time hight, i have added a new channell wich may gradually follow, last friday it found resistance at bearish trend line, should retrace to accumulate more buys.
Gold up trend Gold will see a correction before resuming its upward trend. This pullback is not a result of a fundamental shift in the factors driving gold's appeal. Inflation remains stubbornly high, geopolitical risks are escalating globally, and central banks, while hinting at potential interest rate cuts, are not in a hurry to change course. Consider it a necessary pause to allow the market to digest recent gains. We've seen a strong rally, and profit-taking is inevitable.
Levels to watch are crucial. A break below could signal a deeper correction, but I expect strong support around . This area should serve as a launching pad for the next leg up. Smart investors will use this dip to accumulate more gold at a better price. Don't sell in a panic; this is a compelling buying opportunity. The long-term thesis for gold remains very much intact.
Xauusd up trend breakdown ahead sell stron📉 OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – 1H Timeframe
Gold has broken below the uptrend structure, signaling a strong bearish momentum. We're now entering a SELL position at 3296, aligned with current technical signals.
🎯 Target Levels:
▫️ 1st TP: 3255
▫️ 2nd TP: 3220
▫️ 3rd TP: 3170
▫️ 4th TP: 3135
🔍 Price action confirms the shift, and momentum indicators support downside continuation. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly.
Trade smart,
– Livia 😉
Gold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but dGold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but do not expect a long-term rally just yet.
Technically, the price has tested the former resistance-turned-support level at 3250, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, and has completed a 3-wave minor structure.
After testing the 3250 level, the price rebounded significantly and broke the previous high, indicating a potential short-term uptrend in wave c of the broader wave B. This suggests that gold is currently forming a complex corrective wave, likely entering the final minor bullish wave before reversing downward once major wave B completes.
Fundamentally, a federal appeals court has temporarily halted a Wednesday decision by the Court of International Trade that had blocked President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit reinstated Trump’s power to enforce tariffs under emergency authority declared earlier this year.
This development deepens the uncertainty and confusion on US economic policies, which is putting pressure on the US dollar. This also reignites concerns over global trade and brings volatility to financial markets, prompting investors to return to safe-haven assets.
The PCE inflation data, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released today. It will likely affect both the US dollar and gold prices.
The market expects the figure to ease to 2.2%, down from 2.3% previously. If the forecast is accurate, it would bring inflation closer to the Fed’s 2.0% target, increasing expectations of a potential rate cut. This would further weaken the dollar and could boost gold prices following the release.
* The current price retracement below 3300 following yesterday's surge is a "buy-on-dip opportunity," as bullish momentum remains intact.*
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAU/USD Awaits PCE Catalyst – Rejection or Breakout?Gold prices are trading around $3,297 after rejecting the $3,324 resistance zone. The market is currently showing signs of exhaustion near a minor resistance, and price action suggests a potential short-term pullback. Attention now shifts to today's U.S. Core PCE data, a key inflation metric for the Fed, which may dictate near-term direction and shape the monthly close.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold tested the $3,324 resistance area but failed to break higher, forming a lower high. A potential bearish setup is developing as price reacts to minor resistance around $3,310. If bears regain control, a drop toward the key support level at $3,240 is likely. A break below this level could open the door to further downside in the upcoming sessions. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim $3,324 and establish a strong daily close above, we could see a retest of $3,350 and higher.
Key Event Today:
At 8:30 PM GMT+8, the U.S. will release April's Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge:
MoM: Expected at 0.1%
YoY: Expected at 2.5% (Previous 2.6%)
A softer-than-expected reading could increase rate cut expectations and offer bullish momentum to gold. Stronger data, however, may renew USD strength and pressure XAU/USD lower.
Resistance: $3,310 , $3,324
Support: $3,240 , $3,207
Key Levels for the Month 06/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍 Key Levels Overview for the Month 🐍
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Trend Base Lines
3112🐂🐂3259
3268🏛🏛3460
3370🐻🐻3703
__________________________
Resistances🔀
3082
3169
3368
3417
3448
3473
3510
3564
3634
3713
3883
4049
Mids∷∷∷
2995
3256
3281
3309
3362
3390
3460
3717
Supports🔀
3552
3386
3330
3250
3206
3122
3105
3086
2908
2821
5/28 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold saw a sharp downward move, and we profited well by trading short based on the double-top pattern.
Yesterday, gold has reached the 3287 support area, and by the end of the U.S. session it rebounded slightly above 3300. Although the rebound lacks strong momentum, it does show that the support zone held on the first test. Whether the bulls can take back control depends heavily on today's follow-up strength.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
If bulls break above and hold 3323–3336, a bullish reversal is likely;
If the bounce is weak, short positions remain the preferred strategy;
4H support: 3268
Daily support: 3172
Before that, 3301–3275 also forms an important support zone;
If price breaks below 3301–3275, especially under negative news impact, a drop to 3150 or even 3100 is not out of the question.
🗞 Key News Focus Today:
Watch for May FOMC-related remarks during the U.S. session, which could become a catalyst for major market movement.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3342–3362 zone (strong resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3258–3248 zone (strong support)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3336 / 3328 / 3319 / 3306 / 3295 / 3286 / 3274 / 3266
Stay sharp and combine technicals with key news events to make informed trades. Feel free to reach out if you need support — wishing you a profitable day ahead!