XAUUSD: 8/5 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3410, support level 3310
1-hour chart resistance level 3380, support level 3310
30-minute chart resistance level 3350, support level 3320.
Trump said that he would hold a "large press conference" at 10 a.m. Eastern Time tomorrow, and may sign a trade agreement with the UK. Therefore, the news affected the gold price.
Russia implemented a ceasefire from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11 local time. The temporary ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and the repeated situation in the Middle East may support the gold price in stages due to the risk aversion demand.
Recently, affected by the news, the daily operation range of gold is very large. Today, we will first look at the 3320-3360 range of fluctuations in the short term. If it breaks through, follow the trend and strictly stop loss!
Buy: 3323 SL: 3318
Sell: 3355 SL: 3360
More free analysis daily sharing
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Narrative OverviewGold remains in a long-term and medium-term uptrend, while currently showing signs of a short-term pullback. Given this context, the most logical stance is to continue looking for buying opportunities. However, price has reached rather extreme levels after a sharp and uninterrupted rally in recent weeks. That’s why I lean toward the expectation of at least a temporary pause followed by a downside correction and the formation of a consolidation phase.
On the local timeframe, I anticipate that the price may continue to move lower through a consolidation, targeting the previous support level around 3,201. While short-term bullish impulses are still possible, I expect the broader move to be downward. This bearish setup would be invalidated if the price breaks above 3,380.
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Breakout Zone, Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is gaining strength after rebounding from trendline support, forming a sharp impulsive move and now hovering near a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish, as the price reclaims previous highs and eyes the upper resistance boundary around 3,495.000.
The structure favors trend continuation as long as price remains above the key support zone at 3,345.000, where trendline and previous day’s high converge. A sustained move above 3,400 could confirm a breakout, but the risk of a false breakout remains.
Currently, the price is consolidating above a critical intersection of trendline and horizontal support near 3,300. This level must hold for bulls to retain control. A bounce from this zone would support a move toward the upper resistance, with the next target at 3,495.000. However, a break below 3,345.000 may invalidate the setup and lead to deeper correction
GOLD H8 Update: Bulls will target 3600 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback looks complete now
▪️3000/3200/3400/3600 USD key S/R
▪️Reversal at 3200 USD
▪️Resistance near 3400 USD
▪️Bulls maintain strategic advantage
▪️Target for BULLS 3600 USD
▪️short-term dips are possible
▪️focus on buying dips
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️TP BULLS 3600 USD
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3358.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3377.5
Safe Stop Loss - 3352.1
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold – False Break Signals More DownsideIn my commentary yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the 3360 support zone. While Gold initially found a bid around this level, the sharp reversal from the 3415 Asian session high suggests a failed breakout.
Key Observations:
• The quick rejection above 3360 now looks like a false break, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
• The recent high around 3415 appears to be a lower high following the 3500 ATH, confirming potential trend weakness.
• Given this structure, a drop back to at least the 3270 support zone seems highly probable.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD WILL DROP MORE !!HELLO TRADERS
As i can see Gold break 3300 levles which was expected a Strong Support Zone for a new ATH
but its rejected and now we had saw a Trade War Talks on Going with US and China to be compromise soon on Friday we saw NFP results was good for Dollar and now after closing markets under 3260 is a clear sign for us for a more incoming drop in precious metals Gold Long Term View is still bullsih but markets always not move in one direction so it a great trade ida with a very low Risk and higher Rewards we need ur Support and comments Stay Tuned for more Updates ....
Down nearly 2% on Wednesday, GOLD still rebounds quickly on riskOANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 2% on Wednesday (May 7), mainly due to a stronger US dollar and optimism from upcoming trade talks between the United States and China, while the Federal Reserve's "standstill" also added pressure on gold prices. However, it was supported by escalating geopolitical risks.
On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, citing increasing uncertainty about the economic outlook and rising risks to both maximum employment and price stability. “Uncertainties about the economic outlook continue to increase,” the FOMC said in its post-meeting statement. “The Committee is concerned about bilateral risks to its dual mandate and sees increasing risks to unemployment and inflation.”
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell maintained a neutral tone, saying the current policy stance was appropriate and the Fed was in no rush to adjust interest rates. He stressed that the Fed was prepared to act “quickly as needed” if circumstances changed, but warned that the Fed’s goals would not be fully achieved if tariffs remained in place.
Powell added that if either side of the dual mandate deviates too much, the Fed will evaluate which policy tool to use to achieve rebalancing.
When asked which mandate, inflation or employment, should receive more attention, he said it was too early to tell.
The market consensus remains that the Fed will not cut rates before July. In a higher interest rate environment, non-interest-bearing gold is often under pressure.
Big news on China-US trade talks
China and the US announced that US Treasury Secretary Besant and US Trade Representative Greer will travel to Switzerland to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng.
The talks are the first since US President Donald Trump imposed comprehensive tariffs on China and have raised optimism that the two largest economies can reach a deal.
On Wednesday, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Commerce answered reporters' questions about the high-level economic and trade negotiations between China and the United States. The spokesperson said China has decided to cooperate with the United States. Vice Premier He Lifeng, as head of the China-US economic and trade negotiation delegation, will hold talks with his US counterpart, US Treasury Secretary Benson, during his visit to Switzerland. - Bloomberg -
India-Pakistan tensions spiral after attack, risk of further escalation fuels demand for safe havens
India's airstrike on Pakistan has stoked tensions, raising fears of a full-blown war between the two nuclear-armed nations.
India launched missiles at nine locations in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir early on May 7 in response to a shooting that killed 26 tourists in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, two weeks ago. The Indian Ministry of Defense said its forces struck facilities used by "terrorist groups" to carry out the Pahalgam attack.
The Indian Air Force has mobilized many modern weapons, including Rafale multi-role fighters carrying SCALP-EG stealth cruise missiles and AASM Hammer extended-range guided bombs and cruise missiles. The target coordinates were provided to the forces participating in the campaign by Indian intelligence agencies.
Images released by the media show the moment the series of missiles crashed into the target, creating large fire circles and violent explosions. Pakistan said at least 26 people were killed in this attack. -According to Vnexpress -
Gold is an asset that often benefits first when market risks appear, and India is also a leading gold-using country in the world.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After yesterday's decline, gold continues to receive support from the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement area with horizontal support at $3,350 as noted by readers in yesterday's edition and it is now also aiming for a target of $3,430.
Once gold breaks $3,430 it will be in a position to continue its rally with a target of around (all-time high) in the short term.
Technical factors are completely bullish, from the short-term trend noted by the rising price channel and the long-term trend from the rising price channel. On the other hand, the nearest support is also the EMA21.
The relative strength index RSI is still quite far from the 80 level and the overbought area, indicating that there is still room for growth ahead and gold is likely to continue to increase in terms of momentum in the coming time.
During the day, the main bullish outlook for gold prices in terms of technology will be noted again by the following levels.
Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD
Resistance: 3,430 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3440 - 3438⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3444
→Take Profit 1 3432
↨
→Take Profit 2 3426
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3364
Gold Rally Running Out of Steam? PRZ May Trigger Drop!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has hit the targets as I shared with you in yesterday's idae . Will this uptrend of the past 5-6 days continue?
Gold seems to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has been moving in an Ascending Channel for the past 5 days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . The end of the main wave 3 can be at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, expect to see a clear Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks at the Resistance zone($3,434-$3,406) .
I expect Gold to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least to the lower line of the ascending channel . This analysis is against the main trend, so pay more attention to money management .
Note: If Gold touches $3,448(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold falls below $3,342, we can expect a deeper decline than expected.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3400.Colleagues, I've redrawn the waves a bit, because it looks like the correction should be over.
I believe that the upward movement will resume soon.
I expect two variants of events:
1) the price will reach the support area 3162, form wave “4” and after that we will see an upward movement - this is a variant of entering a position with pending limit orders.
2) Price has already formed wave “4” and then we will see only upward movement. This is a variant of market entry.
In both cases I expect the price to come to the target in the resistance area of 3400. This is a pretty strong level from which there could be a strong correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSDGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3430, support level 3330-3320
1-hour chart resistance level 3400, support level 3350
30-minute chart resistance level 3400, support level 3360
Today, it is recommended to trade with 3350 as the dividing line. If the 3350-3360 short-term support zone stabilizes, you can buy bullish. If it falls below 3350, it will trigger long stop-loss selling, and you can follow the sale to 3330-3320.
GOLD BUYGreetings traders this is my analysis on Gold and it is a Long shot for a Buy.
📊 Technical analysis of gold (XAU/USD) — 4h timeframe
🔺 Formation: Head & Shoulders
The pattern is now even more clearly presented with:
Left shoulder – a smaller consolidation move.
Head – a higher peak (higher high).
Right shoulder – a weaker attempt to recover, which confirms the loss of bullish strength.
Usually, such a pattern is followed by a corrective move downwards (which has already been partially seen).
🔄 Potential trend change zone
Highlighted support in the zone:
3,162 – 3,128 USD — very important for confirming the bullish scenario.
The shown "bounce zone" suggests a possible purchase if the price bounces from this area.
📈 Predicted path
Expected:
Fall to support (around 3,150–3,130).
Reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
Target zone: 3,503 – 3,505 USD.
✅ Conclusion and strategy:
Scenario 1 (main): Buy zone between 3,160–3,130 if price action signal is seen (pin bar, engulfing).
Target: 3,500+
Stop loss: below 3,120 (below support).
Scenario 2 (riskier): If price does not bounce from that zone — possible further deepening towards 3,080–3,000.
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think
Gold Trade Plan 07/05/2025Dear Traders,
after False break of Side Range price break top of Range,
The price is hitting the support at 3360-3370(pullback) and the move is continuing.
Momentum of Bullish movement is very Good , i expect price will be continue Uptrend to 3480
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold Trend Analysis – Potential Movement ForecastThe recent price action suggests a potential turning point in gold’s trend. While the market has maintained an ascending trajectory , the latest pullback introduces a level of caution. The structure remains intact within the trend channel , but the rejection near resistance indicates that bullish momentum may be cooling off.
Key price zones such as 3800.796, 3549.659, and 3238.064 will be decisive in determining the next movement. If buyers defend these levels, a rebound towards higher resistance is likely. However, a break below support could accelerate a deeper correction.
Market sentiment currently leans towards buy-side accumulation , as marked across the chart, yet a confirmation signal from price behavior is required before engaging further in longs. Managing risk effectively in these conditions will be crucial to navigate the upcoming price movements.
Buying every dip on Gold / Fed sessionTechnical analysis: Wednesday’s session Inverted Hammer practically took Gold nowhere as Hourly 1 chart remained ranged within Higher High’s Upper and Lower zone, closing out last and this week on an expected positive note. The Monthly (#1M) candle remains on decent gains (# +11.57%) and the last two sessions on the second Highest Volume throughout April - May (this is translated to Gold’s cyclical behavior which I spotted lately when #2-High Volumed sessions are delivered, strong move follows). Despite the Higher High’s, it is clear that since the #3,400.80 local High’s, Gold undergoes a consolidation phase with equal demand and supply, which according to previous models is an Resistance zone preparation for the next leg Lower or Higher regarding Weekly chart (#1W). I remain idle until Fed announcement while Buying every dip last #2-session horizon.
XAUMO DOMINATION BLUEPRINT : GOLD REPORT (May 7, 2025)This is your full-spectrum battlefield strategy report for XAU/USD. It integrates price action, volume traps, VWAP/FVG structure, Ichimoku bias, and market-maker behavior for precise strikes across all major sessions: London → Pre-NY → NY Open → NY Close.
We run both Bullish and Bearish campaigns. Chart-based zones are real. Entries are tactical. Timing is Cairo-synced. Risk management is embedded. Retail blood is our signal.
Daily Outlook Summary (Multi-Timeframe Integration)
Trend Summary:
Daily & 480m: Bullish structure but retracement from the high at 3445.07, reacting from VWAP upper bands (institutional sell zones).
240m & 60m: Reversal rejection candle forms at high-volume node; momentum slowing.
15m: Consolidation with hidden bearish divergence + low relative volume.
📍Key Levels – Daily Timeframe:
POC: 3388.92
VAH: 3445.07
VAL: 3201.73
VWAP Median: ~3318.40
VWAP Bands: Upper: 3445.07 / Lower: 3180 zone
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA + Volume Footprint Confirmed)
VSA shows climactic volume with no follow-through → classic composite operator dump setup.
Volume histograms declining across every rising move = No retail follow-up = MM unloading.
Footprint imbalance aligns with stop-hunting above 3395.
🈶 Tokyo Session (03:00–08:00)
Scenario: Range Compression | Fakeout Traps Likely
Bias: Neutral to bearish
Structure: Price hovered near VWAP median ~3388. Low-volume retest of previous POC.
Footprint/VSA: No effort to rise — volume collapsed on each bullish candle = Smart Money absorption.
===================================================
⚔️ TACTICAL ZONE MAP (Visual Layer)
🟡 YELLOW ZONE – Liquidity Sweep Trap Zone
| Price Range: 3390 – 3408
| Purpose: Smart money sweeps retail stops, triggers false breakouts, then fades.
| Behavioral Traits:
High volatility, wick rejections.
Delta divergence or “No Demand” bar formations.
Often used by market makers to load reverse positions.
✅ Tactics:
Sell Limit entries at 3398–3405.
Confirm with MACD + RSI divergence + footprint imbalance.
Scalpers: Fade false breakout near 3405 → TP1: 3370.
🟢 GREEN ZONE – Bullish Breakout Activation Zone
| Price Range: 3408 – 3445
| Purpose: Smart money confirmation zone. If price holds above 3408 with RVOL/momentum, bulls are in control.
| Behavioral Traits:
Volume expansion + positive delta.
MACD crossover + Ichimoku TK bullish cross.
Push toward daily VAH and breakout continuations.
✅ Tactics:
Buy Stop above 3408.
TP1: 3425
TP2: 3445 (VAH)
If 3445 breaks clean → trail to 3470 (FIB 1.618 extension)
🔴 RED ZONE – Bearish Supply Rejection Zone
| Price Range: 3445 – 3465
| Purpose: Historical volume shelf + institutional sell zone = ideal for profit-taking or reversal fades.
| Behavioral Traits:
RSI overbought + hidden divergence.
Chikou Span hits price or flattens under candle body.
VSA “Up-thrust” or high-volume fakeouts.
✅ Tactics:
Sell Limit near 3445–3455 with low-volume test.
Stop above 3465.
TP1: 3425
TP2: 3398
TP3: 3320 (VWAP)
===================================================
| **Zone** | **Intent** | **What to Watch** |
| --------- | ----------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------ |
| 🟡 Yellow | **Trap zone / Fake breakouts** | Long wicks, absorption volume, delta flip |
| 🟢 Green | **Breakout confirmation / Momentum bias** | Sustained price > 3408 + RVOL spike |
| 🔴 Red | **Profit target / Reversal rejection** | RSI >70, MACD divergence, Order Flow stall |
===================================================
⚔️ BULLISH CAMPAIGN – "RECLAIM AND RIP"
1. Main Breakout Play (Green Zone: 3408 – 3445)
Type: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 3408
Stop Loss (SL): 3390
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3425
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3445 (Daily VAH)
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3470 (FIB 1.618 ext.)
Confidence Level: 82%
Justification: Clean exit from Yellow Trap Zone; confirms bullish momentum into the Green Zone. Supported by MACD crossover, Ichimoku TK bullish cross, and RVOL spike.
2. Scalp Reclaim from Liquidity Sweep (Yellow Zone: 3390 – 3408 sweep and reject → retest lower)
Type: Buy Limit
Entry Price: 3320
Stop Loss (SL): 3310
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3345
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3360
Confidence Level: 75%
Justification: Tokyo session stop-hunt zone + strong absorption candle. Footprint confirms delta reversal. Aligns with Ichimoku support band.
🔻 BEARISH CAMPAIGN – "SWEEP AND SLAUGHTER"
1. Trap Rejection Fade (Yellow Zone rejection @ top → revert into POC)
Type: Sell Limit
Entry Price: 3398
Stop Loss (SL): 3408
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3320 (VWAP reclaim zone)
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3201 (VAL sweep projection)
Confidence Level: 85%
Justification: High-probability fade at the top of Yellow Zone, where MM trap longs. Confirmed by RSI bearish divergence + VSA “no demand” + MACD histogram roll-off.
2. Breakdown After Trap Failure (VWAP loss + downside momentum burst)
Type: Sell Stop
Entry Price: 3315
Stop Loss (SL): 3332
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3280
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3240
Confidence Level: 78%
Justification: Full failure to hold VWAP. Price loses key zone and initiates dump leg. MACD momentum accelerates, volume delta shifts negative
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
| **Setup Name** | **Type** | **Entry** | **SL** | **TP1** | **TP2** | **TP3** | **Confidence** |
| -------------------------------- | ---------- | --------- | ------ | ------- | ------- | ------- | -------------- |
| Breakout Above Trap (Green Zone) | Buy Stop | 3408 | 3390 | 3425 | 3445 | 3470 | 82% |
| Reclaim from VWAP Sweep | Buy Limit | 3320 | 3310 | 3345 | 3360 | — | 75% |
| Fade Trap at Zone Top | Sell Limit | 3398 | 3408 | 3370 | 3320 | 3201 | 85% |
| Breakdown Below VWAP | Sell Stop | 3315 | 3332 | 3280 | 3240 | — | 78% |
XAU/USD: Gold Eyes $3400+ After Explosive Surge! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that price once again hit our targets! As expected, gold had a strong bullish rally yesterday and today, reaching both $3328 and $3345, and even extending to $3387.
This surge was fueled by escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Yemen. Since the conflict shows no signs of easing and further threats remain on the table, I believe gold is not done yet — we may soon see it push above $3400.
These are sensitive days, so please be extra cautious with your trades. Don’t let fear or greed take over — consistency and emotional stability are key to long-term success in this market.
I’ll continue posting more frequent updates to help you stay informed — but that depends on your strong support! Let’s keep growing together!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Technical Analysis Update:(XAUUSD)OANDA:XAUUSD
Not much has changed since my last update—gold remains stuck in the same range-bound, triangle pattern we've been tracking. The price action is definitely tightening, which usually means we're getting closer to a decisive breakout.
Key Levels:
- Support: 3300 is holding firm as a strong support level.
- Resistance: 3350 continues to cap the price as a major resistance, keeping gold within a wide range.
My outlook remains bearish for the short term, especially as gold is still trading below the golden Fibonacci zone (3375-3420). The weekly close also confirmed that sellers remain in control for now.
Today’s monthly close is particularly important and could set the tone for the next move:
- If gold finishes below 3330, this will strengthen the bearish outlook and open the door for a drop towards 3250, 3200, 3150, and even 3070.
- However, a breakout above the triangle and 3350 would force a reassessment of the short-term direction.
For now, I’m waiting for a clear breakout from this range to confirm the next major move.
Personal trade plan:
- I believe we can enter a sell trade here, with targets at 3250/3200/3150/3070.
- My stop loss is set at a 4-hour candle close above 3335.
As always, manage your risk and trade wisely. Good luck, traders! 🏆💰
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!