XAU/USD - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
How I see it:
Gold has the potential for a small correction
My "BULLISH" targets in case "Confluence of Support" holds -
* TP1; TP2 & TP3 as indicated.
My "BEARISH" target in case "Confluence of Support" are breached -
* TP1 as indicated.
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!For gold today, the gold surged and then fell, breaking the pattern of the morning cycle of rise, which means that this wave of unilateral rise from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold ones will die of overeating and the timid ones will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing more will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The decline from 3357-3320 reached 37 US dollars, so focus on the pressure of 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high during the day, gold can still be shorted; the support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, you can go long to see the rebound.
The first negative line after three consecutive positive linesThe current gold market is facing dual drivers of policy and fundamentals. Trump's tariff policy trend has become a key variable. Coupled with expectations of a slowdown in the US economy in 2025 and rising global geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices.
Gold technicals show the first small negative line after three consecutive positive lines, and the correction signal is to be confirmed. The intraday shock adjustment is obvious, and the magnetic effect of the 3235-3200 range is significant. It is recommended to maintain the range thinking at the operational level. The upper resistance is currently at 3232-3235, and the lower support is at 3200-3195. Wait for the key guidance on Wednesday to clarify the direction. The market is in a sensitive period of market change, and it is necessary to focus on the pulsed impact of policy dynamics and geopolitical risk evolution on gold prices.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound to 3233-3237 short, stop loss 3245, and the target is 3210-3200.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3190-3185 long, stop loss 3178, and the target is 3210-3230.
XAUUSD profit analysisGold has been breaking new highs recently. Don't chase the short position blindly. Gold is still strong. Although there is a need for a correction on the technical level, gold has not fallen sharply. It is still mainly long, but don't be blindly long at high levels. It is recommended to wait for a short-term correction before continuing to go long. In the short term, you can pay attention to the 3320-3325 range. You can enter long orders in this area, but you must pay attention to risk management when trading. If there is a loss, you must stop loss in time. Stop loss is also one of the trading techniques. Many people who shorted gold have been trapped or even cleared because they did not set a stop loss account. Don't insist meaninglessly!
I share my market analysis and trading strategies every day. If you are confused about trading, you can take a look. I think it will be helpful to you.
Upward Potential - Anymore?The bullish bias has been in full swing for over a week now, pushing prices to unprecedented highs. Retail traders seem thrilled to ride the uptrend.
The big question remains: how high can TRADENATION:XAUUSD go? No one truly knows until it unfolds. Make informed decisions for yourself—avoid relying too much on others, as we all have equal access to these price levels.
For now, keep a close watch on the levels indicated in the chart above. Hopefully, this will be helpful to those who need it.
Remember, trading carries significant risks, including the possibility of liquidation. Manage your risk wisely in proportion to your equity size. Enter trades only when prices confirm your strategy. Rushing or chasing trades often leads to losses. Stay vigilant and trade responsibly.
BULLISH MOMENTUM IS STILL ACTIVE ON GOLD!Price continues to trade new highs in the past trading week. The bullish momentum is still growing and we’re anticipating price to trade upto a new high of $3414 in the coming week. A buy opportunity is envisaged once we see a consolidation above the $3329.84 level.
Technically, price quickly rebounded off the bullish trendline which validated more buy opportunities once we see price consolidate above the $3329.84 level
Gold Quarterly Shift Analysis - April 2025This post is based on my learnings from #ICT Quarterly Shift Analysis teachings.
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Previous Analysis:
In September 2024, I published my quarterly shift analysis for #Gold. Back then, I estimated a shift in the market structure for Gold on or around the US Presidential Election date. It happened exactly as outlined. I estimated Gold would make a bearish move or create a large range; it indeed created a large range and has been moving within the range since then. The top of the range is 2790.10, and the bottom of the range is 2536.60.
Then I posted a new Quarterly Shift Analysis on 13 Jan 2025. I specified the time window for a shift in the market structure to happen, and price indeed delivered as outlined. I said that between the 20th and 31st of January, Gold would determine its new direction. On 30 Jan 2025, Gold created a new all-time high and closed a strong daily candle above the range described before. Gold hit and exceeded all the targets outlined in my analysis.
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New Quarterly Shift Analysis:
As we get closer to the end of April, Gold seems to be in a rush to make new highs and hit new targets. I believe that from the end of April to the 2nd of May 2025, Gold can hit $3411 and possibly $3498 or $3500. If it's too aggressive, $3582 can also be reached.
Between 30 April and 02 May (NFP Announcement Date), Gold should make a new quarterly shift. The possible scenarios are as follows:
1. Continuation: Gold could make a retracement and then continue the current uptrend for the next 3–4 months. The retracement could go as deep as 3180, 3068 and 2982. The uptrend targets will be the targets mentioned above plus 3618 and 3738.
2. Enter a long-term range (My guess is this is the most likely scenario): Gold could enter a new long-term range for the next 3–4 months. The bottom of the range will be 2958, and the top of the range will be the highest high created by Gold by or before 30 April to 2nd of May. If this scenario happens, it is a good chance to look for sell opportunities near or within the top 25% level of the range and look for buy opportunities near or within the bottom 25% level of the range.
3. Bearish Move: If Gold closes a strong daily candle below 2958, then for the next 3–4 months, it could go lower towards 2832, 2790, 2728, and 2662. This scenario might not be highly likely, but in the event if it happens, it's a wonderful opportunity for long-term Gold investors to buy and hold Gold.
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Disclaimer: This is not a signal, just an analysis for your consideration and benefit. Please combine it with your own analysis.
XAUUSD Volatility in Focus: Caution Advised for PullbackCurrently, I estimate that XAUUSD is nearing the end of wave iii of wave (v). I present two potential scenarios:
In the black label scenario, XAUUSD may continue its upward movement to complete wave iii, with a projected target in the 3,372–3,410 range.
However, under the red label scenario, there is a possibility of a short-term correction toward the 3,284–3,301 area before resuming the uptrend toward the same target zone.
Traders should closely monitor price action, as increased volatility is likely in the near term.
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)
✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory.
🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume.
⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today.
🔼 New ATH: 3357
This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps.
Focus shifts to the true inducement zone:
🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG).
🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated):
3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH
3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5
🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same):
3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone
3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand
3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY
📊 Trading Logic:
If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision.
If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts.
On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
#XAUUSD #ForexThis chart shows the price action of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
- **Price Channel**: The price has been moving within an ascending channel (blue lines), indicating a strong uptrend.
- **Breakout**: The current price ($3,343.10) has broken above the upper boundary of the channel with strong momentum.
- **Bullish Bias**: A bullish
continuation is anticipated, as shown by the large blue arrow pointing upward.
- **Target & Stop-Loss**:
- **Target**: Around $3,401.25 (marked in green).
- **Stop-Loss**: Around $3,302.95 (marked in red).
- **Risk-Reward**: The setup appears to offer a favorable risk-reward ratio for a long position.
Do you want an analysis of potential reversal points or a deeper dive into entry/exit strategies?
Don't miss this Golden opportunity of a GOLD SHORT!Gold’s been on a solid uptrend for a while now, and it recently broke through all the previous highs. But yesterday’s move was crazy — it shot up in a parabolic way, which isn’t typical at all. Usually after a move like that, you can expect a strong pullback. Honestly, this might be the short-term top for gold. I’m starting to see an A-shaped reversal forming, and it looks like it’s heading back down to grab the liquidity sitting below.
Let me know if you agree or disagree
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout then make your move at (3185) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders below the Breakout level (or) after the breakout of Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 30min timeframe (3240) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 3130
💰💵💴💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness).., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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2 hours ago
Gold is brewing a big drop!After the tariff issue was moderately cooled, gold returned to calm and volatility gradually narrowed! From the candle chart, although gold did not form an effective decline, the bullish momentum slowed down significantly!
Since gold rose near 2970, it has reached a high of around 3246. The bulls did not get a respite. After the news returned to calm, gold may usher in a technical retracement repair; gold has been blocked near 3246 many times in the past two days, and the upper shadow line clearly shows a rejection signal! In the current gold structure, gold has formed a secondary high point near 3232, and it is very likely to combine the 3246 high point to form a double top structure, which is conducive to the decline of gold to a certain extent;
In addition, compared with the market's expected targets of 3300 and 3400, the upper side belongs to an unknown area and is more risky, while the lower side has a previous historical track. From the perspective of market psychology and risk preference, gold prices may be more willing to retreat.
So in the short term, I will still not give up my short position. Once gold falls below the 3205-3200 zone, the area around 3190 will not be able to stop the decline of gold. The retracement target area is located in: 3160-3140 zone.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
I know, gold bulls don't want to read this right now...I know, gold bulls don't want to read this right now...
But even during bull markets, gold had these corrections:
Dec 1974 to Aug 1976, drop over 48%.
Mar 2008 to Oct 2008, drop over 33%.
Aug 2020 to Sep 2022, drop over 22%.
Same setup now with price historically stretched.
3270, waiting for new ATH gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices eased during Monday's Asian session as risk sentiment improved, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets. The upbeat market tone followed Wall Street’s strong rebound on Friday and encouraging developments in the ongoing US–China tariff dispute, temporarily reducing upward pressure on the yellow metal.
Last week, China retaliated against the US’s 145% tariff hike by imposing 125% duties on American goods but later signaled it would not respond to any additional escalations. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump floated the idea of targeting Chinese semiconductors and electronics with a separate 20% tariff—indicating a possible shift in strategy from across-the-board tariffs to more focused trade measures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price, buying volume maintained, continuing the upward trend: 3260, 3270
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3168 - $3166 SL $3161
TP1: $3175
TP2: $3190
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,300.14
1st Support: 3,245.08
1st Resistance: 3,376.40
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