Xauusd up trend breakdown ahead sell stron📉 OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – 1H Timeframe
Gold has broken below the uptrend structure, signaling a strong bearish momentum. We're now entering a SELL position at 3296, aligned with current technical signals.
🎯 Target Levels:
▫️ 1st TP: 3255
▫️ 2nd TP: 3220
▫️ 3rd TP: 3170
▫️ 4th TP: 3135
🔍 Price action confirms the shift, and momentum indicators support downside continuation. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly.
Trade smart,
– Livia 😉
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies.
As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed.
This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250.
📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post:
• Sell zone: 3320–3330
• Invalidation: Above 3350
• Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry
• Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible
Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
5/28 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold saw a sharp downward move, and we profited well by trading short based on the double-top pattern.
Yesterday, gold has reached the 3287 support area, and by the end of the U.S. session it rebounded slightly above 3300. Although the rebound lacks strong momentum, it does show that the support zone held on the first test. Whether the bulls can take back control depends heavily on today's follow-up strength.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
If bulls break above and hold 3323–3336, a bullish reversal is likely;
If the bounce is weak, short positions remain the preferred strategy;
4H support: 3268
Daily support: 3172
Before that, 3301–3275 also forms an important support zone;
If price breaks below 3301–3275, especially under negative news impact, a drop to 3150 or even 3100 is not out of the question.
🗞 Key News Focus Today:
Watch for May FOMC-related remarks during the U.S. session, which could become a catalyst for major market movement.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3342–3362 zone (strong resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3258–3248 zone (strong support)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3336 / 3328 / 3319 / 3306 / 3295 / 3286 / 3274 / 3266
Stay sharp and combine technicals with key news events to make informed trades. Feel free to reach out if you need support — wishing you a profitable day ahead!
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – May 29, 2025“Grip the Zones or Get Gripped – GDP & Claims Are Loading”
Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🧠🚨
Hope your charts are zoomed in and your mind is zoomed out — because today is calm before the storm. With Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP dropping tomorrow, NY is all about positioning before the macro thunder hits. So let's gear up — sniper style. 🎯
Current Price: ~3290
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, as long as 3285–3295 holds structure.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3314–3320 (Refined 🔥)
• M15 OB + clean FVG alignment
• EMA50/100 confluence
• Tuesday’s LH rejection → precision sniper zone
🦅 Sniper Alert: Look for CHoCH or M5 rejection candle to enter short with SL above 3322.
🔻 3328–3335
• Liquidity trap zone above yesterday's rejection
• Quick wicks + FVG gap → ideal inducement zone
🦅 Aggressive Sellers: This is the second defense line — don’t chase, react to confirmations.
🔻 3348–3360
• D1 Supply + historical OB + unfilled imbalance
• Strong selling reaction previously seen here
🦅 Swing Traders: This is your reversal fortress. Watch RSI divergence and HTF reaction.
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3285–3295
• Active H1 demand zone
• EMA200 support + Asia bounce confirmed
• RSI support holding around 38–40
🦅 Long Setup: M5/M15 CHoCH + bullish engulf = sniper trigger.
🟩 3260–3270
• Unfilled FVG + lower OB from Tuesday
• Mid-range retest level
🦅 Buyers: If NY dips below 3285, this is your second line. Wait for PA shift.
🟩 3235–3250
• HTF demand + deep discount zone
• Untapped FVG + BOS origin
🦅 Last Bullet Zone: If we nuke below all structure — this is where smart money waits.
⚡ MID-ZONE CONTROL
⚡ 3300–3308
• NY equilibrium
• Likely to chop — not for entries
🦅 Use for direction bias only after London open.
📊 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – H1 + M30
CHoCH confirmed → 3174 to 3285 HL
Bullish continuation possible if 3295 holds
Rejection from refined 3314–3320 zone = intraday short trigger
If we clear 3320 cleanly → expect test of 3335–3360
🧠 MACRO & NEWS CONTEXT
🗓 Tomorrow:
• 🧾 Unemployment Claims
• 📉 Prelim GDP
Big folders = big liquidity sweeps. Today, the market builds traps for tomorrow’s trigger.
🎯 BATTLE PLAN
Buy from 3285–3295 only with M5 confirmation.
Sell from 3314–3320 only on rejection + CHoCH.
Prepare backup buys from 3260 and 3245 if structure breaks.
Avoid trading in 3300–3308 – it's a trap range.
🚨 Final Note – Be The Trader, Not The Liquidity
Today’s game is reaction, not prediction. Price is setting the stage — your job is to read the script and play the sniper role. 🎯
💬 Drop a comment if you’re watching the 3314 zone like a hawk.
❤️ Smash that like & follow if these breakdowns sharpen your entries.
Let’s crush the day, stay smart, and let price prove the move.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
Gold War Room: Battle Scenario for May 28 Hello, warriors of GoldMindsFX!
Tomorrow is not just another trading day — it’s FOMC Minutes day, and that means the battlefield will be wild. Forget calm, forget predictability — the chart is set for ambushes, fakeouts, and sharp reversals at every zone.
The Arena: Structure Zones in Play
3325–3335: The Fortress Wall 🏰
Every bull attack so far has been repelled here. Sellers line up and wait for overconfident buyers. Expect “arrow volleys” (liquidity hunts), quick spikes, and sudden reversals right at the gates if FOMC brings volatility.
3307–3312: The Front Line ⚔️
The battle flips fast here. This zone loves to lure both sides in, only to trap and reverse. FOMC minutes may use this spot to create the first fake move — don’t fall for the head fake.
3286–3295: The Battlefield 🛡️
This is where the real fight will erupt. If buyers defend, you’ll see huge wicks, maybe even a counterattack. If it cracks, expect a fast retreat and bears to charge in.
3272–3280: The Last Stand 🏴
If price falls here, bulls have one chance to rally the troops. If this fortress falls, it’s open ground for bears — could get wild, so don’t get caught in the chaos.
The Scenario
Before FOMC:
Expect fake moves, traps, and low conviction. Liquidity will pool at all these zones as the market waits for the signal.
During/After FOMC:
Be ready for surprise attacks — sharp spikes, liquidity sweeps, and instant reversals.
The real winner is the one who reacts at the zone, not the one who predicts.
Final Word
No matter your side — bull or bear — tomorrow is all about reading the battlefield and acting with sniper discipline.
Don’t be a hero in the middle. Let the market show its hand at the big walls, and pick your moment.
Mark your zones, load up your patience, and stay on high alert — GoldMindsFX is battle ready! 🚀⚔️
Drop a follow if you want to see the post-battle recap, and send a shield or sword in the chat for your side!
— GoldFxMinds
Gold ( XAU ) is testing consolidation supportGold has not broken the bullish trend yet. The price has left the ascending wedge and entered the consolidation phase, while the whole market is in the correction phase.
There is a strong and quite important support level on the chart, for which there may be a tough fight. False breakdown of the support may support the price growth
Scenario: False break of the support zone 3285 - 2380, consolidation above 3285 - 3290 will confirm the buyer's victory, which may cause a wave of purchases.
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400.
Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240
2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell OpportunityXAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell Opportunity
While Gold's (XAUUSD) larger timeframe remains bullish, the intermediate trend has turned bearish. This shift is clearly signaled by a break below previous lows and the formation of a clean Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
Currently, price is testing a strong support confluence at a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Demand Zone below.
Strategy: Bounce & Sell
Our strategy is to sell into bounces (short on rallies). Key resistance levels to watch for reversal
signals include:
3300: Coincides with the Range Volatile Day High.
3325 - 3350: This is a significant Supply Zone.
We will wait for bearish candlestick patterns and reversal patterns to confirm the move down at these resistance areas.
Downside Targets
Our primary downside targets are:
3150: Aligns with the Range Volatile Week Low.
3100: If this level breaks, we'll then look towards the final support at 3000, potentially forming a Triple Zigzag (WXYXZ) corrective structure.
From a time perspective, we anticipate this bearish phase to last approximately 13 days, in line with Fibonacci Time Cycle analysis.
Crucial Considerations
Effective Money Management is paramount. Ensure your position sizing is appropriate for the expected volatility range. Always be prepared to adapt your view when the price structure clearly invalidates the current bearish setup.
Trade carefully and profitably.
C.Goii Super Trader
Key Levels for the Month 06/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍 Key Levels Overview for the Month 🐍
__________________________
Trend Base Lines
3112🐂🐂3259
3268🏛🏛3460
3370🐻🐻3703
__________________________
Resistances🔀
3082
3169
3368
3417
3448
3473
3510
3564
3634
3713
3883
4049
Mids∷∷∷
2995
3256
3281
3309
3362
3390
3460
3717
Supports🔀
3552
3386
3330
3250
3206
3122
3105
3086
2908
2821
GOLD 1. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY) Correlation
Gold and the US dollar (DXY) typically have a strong inverse correlation.
When the dollar strengthens, gold tends to weaken because gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices by making it cheaper internationally.
However, during periods of geopolitical tension or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise simultaneously as safe-haven assets.
In 2025, gold has shown resilience despite some dollar strength due to inflation concerns and central bank purchases.
2. Gold and Current Interest Rates / 10-Year Bond Yield
The current US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.41% to 4.54% (latest data from May 21 to May 30, 2025).
Interest rates and bond yields have an inverse relationship with gold prices, primarily through the impact of real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation).
Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically pressuring gold prices.
However, if inflation expectations rise faster than nominal yields, real yields can remain low or negative, supporting gold demand.
Recent Fed concerns about stagflation and inflation have kept real yields low, supporting gold prices despite elevated nominal yields.
3. Gold and Bond Prices
Bond prices and yields move inversely: when bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa.
Rising bond prices (falling yields) generally support gold prices, as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Conversely, falling bond prices (rising yields) tend to pressure gold.
As of late May 2025, bond prices have been relatively stable but with some downward pressure reflecting inflation and fiscal concerns.
4. Carry Trade Advantage Related to Gold
Carry trade involves borrowing in low-interest-rate currencies and investing in higher-yielding assets or currencies.
Gold carry trades involve borrowing gold at low leasing rates and investing the proceeds in higher-yielding instruments.
The carry trade advantage depends on the interest rate differential and gold lease rates; low gold lease rates and high interest rate differentials favor carry trades.
Changes in interest rates and bond yields influence carry trade flows indirectly by affecting currency valuations and the cost of financing gold positions.
When interest rate differentials widen in favor of a currency, that currency strengthens, which can pressure gold prices denominated in that currency.
Summary Table
Factor Current Status (May 2025) Correlation with Gold Key Notes
Dollar Index (DXY) Around 98.4, testing key support Inverse Dollar strength pressures gold, exceptions in crises
US 10-Year Treasury Yield ~4.41% - 4.54% Inverse (via real yields) Higher nominal yields pressure gold unless inflation rises faster
Bond Prices Slight downward pressure Positive Rising bond prices support gold by lowering yields
Interest Rates (Fed Funds) Fed funds ~4.25%, markets pricing cuts later in 2025 Inverse Rate hikes increase opportunity cost of gold
Carry Trade Advantage Dependent on currency yield differentials Indirect Wider differentials can strengthen currencies, impacting gold
Conclusion
Gold prices remain inversely correlated with the US dollar and real interest rates.
Despite elevated nominal 10-year yields (~4.4%), gold is supported by low or negative real yields due to inflation concerns.
Bond price movements, reflecting yield changes, also influence gold indirectly through opportunity costs.
Carry trade dynamics, driven by interest rate differentials, affect currency strength and thus gold prices, with low gold lease rates enhancing carry trade profitability.
Monitoring DXY trends, inflation-adjusted yields, and central bank policies is essential to understanding gold’s near- and medium-term price movements.
#GOLD #DOLLAR
HelenP. I Gold may continue to fall to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. The trend line on this price chart has been acting as a clear descending dynamic resistance. Every attempt to break above it resulted in a rejection, which confirmed the sellers' dominance in this area. After several touches and a breakout through the trend line, the price managed to climb higher but failed to hold above the key resistance zone around 3360 - 3375 points. A visible price gap formed during this rise, followed by another gap closer to the resistance zone, which could now act as magnets for retracement. Currently, the market is pulling back after reaching that resistance area, and the short-term structure still shows signs of weakness. The price is forming lower highs, and bullish attempts are being met with selling pressure. Given the historical respect for the trend line and the reaction near the resistance zone, I expect a short-lived rise, followed by a continuation of the downward move. My goal is the 3205 support level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the current price structure and fills the imbalance left behind by previous gaps. That’s why I remain bearish and set my goal at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep
☄️ Bullish Setup Reversal – 3311 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
——-
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )
no supply and no demand I’ve just noticed for the first time that the market is not able to close even a single momentum candle below the lower trigger line of the No Supply zone, and it is using that level as support — while treating the upper trigger line as resistance.
As long as the market doesn’t close an H1 momentum candle below the lower trigger line, the market remains bullish. On the other hand, unless the market closes an H1 momentum candle above the upper trigger line of the No Demand zone, the market remains bearish. So, the market seems to be ranging between these two levels.
Whichever side the momentum candle closes on, there’s a higher chance of price moving in that direction — according to my point of view.
Do your own research for better perspective.
Trade Idea:
Aggressive Entry: As soon as price comes near the lower trigger line, we could look at CAB setups on M1/M3 around S2/S3 levels and trade upward towards the upper trigger line.
Safe Entry: Once a momentum candle closes above the upper trigger line of the No Supply zone, wait for a retest of the lower trigger line, and then look for a CAB setup to go long.
This entire setup was being blocked by the 200 SMA and 100 SMA on the H4 timeframe.
Inverse logic applies for the No Demand setup.
forecast 02/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/30/2025Gold indeed behaved as predicted. It went down to 3245 and reversed above 3280 and continued until touching 3330. As shown in the chart, the trendline was broken and I am looking for buying opportunity from the retest of the trendline. If 3330 is broken, my 1st target will be 3345 and ultimate target for today is 3365.
GOLD Eiffel Tower M pattern now completeI have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below.
This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup.
1. GTFO still remains firmly in place.
2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside.
If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved.
If the corrective pattern plays out, you will have a clear, solid buy signal.
Click Boost, Follow and Subscribe for more updated data and info. Let's get to 5,000! ;))
XAUUSD FOLLOW ASCENDING CHANNEL BULLISH NOW FROM SUPPORT🚨 XAUUSD Technical Update 🚨
4H Time Frame | Ascending Channel in Play
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum after rebounding from the key demand zone at 3240. Price action is respecting the ascending channel structure — and buyers are clearly in control. 📈💪
🎯 Upside Targets:
• 1st Target: 3346
• 2nd Target: 3430
As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Let’s ride this bullish wave! 🌊✨
📊 Technical bias: Bullish
📍 Timeframe: 4H
💡 Trade smart, manage risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishTrend #LiviaTrades 😜
XAUUSD H4 STRUCTURE OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish, but watch for major resistance and fakeouts at highs
🔎 STRUCTURAL ZONES TO WATCH
Zone Type Price Range Reason / Confluence
🟥 PREMIUM SUPPLY 3,415–3,440 H4/H1 OB + FVG, unmitigated supply, previous HH sweep, top risk
🟥 SELL INTEREST 3,390–3,410 FVG + micro supply, previous LH zone, NY session high trap
🟦 MID FLIP ZONE 3,344–3,360 Recent CHoCH, local S/R flip, base of last impulsive move
🟩 SUPPORT #1 3,309–3,325 H4 OB + FVG, prior bounce, 21/50 EMA zone
🟩 SUPPORT #2 3,279–3,295 H4 demand, sweep + FVG, retest of previous structure
🟦 DEEP DEMAND 3,254–3,265 Strong OB, last HL, aligns with deep liquidity sweep on HTF
📈 QUICK CONTEXT (PA/RSI/EMA)
Trend: Still bullish on H4, but approaching exhaustion into supply
PA: Clean HH/HL, but sellers are waiting at the top
RSI: Overbought zone – potential for sharp rejection near premium
EMAs: Price above all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200), short-term stretched
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
Geopolitics: Middle East, US inflation, global uncertainty still fueling safe haven flows
News: Monday open – watch for liquidity grabs and fakeouts in both directions
⚡️ HOW TO TRADE THESE ZONES
Only react to confirmation (BOS, CHoCH, or engulf) on M15/M5 at key levels
Avoid chasing candles at highs – best trades come from liquidity sweeps or trap zones
Be patient around NY session for high-volume fakeouts
🎯 KEY LEVELS RECAP
POI Price Range Bias
Premium Supply 3,415–3,440 Sell trap / reversal zone
Sell Interest 3,390–3,410 Short if rejection confirmed
Mid Flip Zone 3,344–3,360 PA magnet, S/R reaction
Support #1 3,309–3,325 Buy bounce on structure
Support #2 3,279–3,295 Demand, look for sweep bounces
Deep Demand 3,254–3,265 Extreme liquidity zone, last line of bulls
Friendly Tip:
Mark your key levels and watch price like a true sniper – don’t chase, wait for the trap! Which zone are you watching for the next big move? Drop your thoughts below, give a like if you value this structure, and follow for real-time gold plans and no-nonsense market insight. Stay sharp, team! 💡✨
— GoldFxMinds
Selling activated This chart is only for Educational purpose
All the entires should be applied If all the rules are applied
Whats Current scanario we have ?
Bullish scanario:
-If H4 stays above 3285-3290 then we have again bullish spike towards 3318 then 3330 milestone.
Bearish Scenario:
-If H1&H4 candle closes above 3280-3277 then selling will be active and Inverse head&Shoulder pattern will be invalid.
Our targets will be 3250 then 3230.