GOLD trade ideas
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
Weekly CRT on XauusdBuy the dip bros
The gold will fly
Just find entry and keep buying
Retracement, buy
buy
buy
buy and buy
Don't go to far trying to sell the market
The real direction is up
Confluences for buy:
20 day ipda range sweep of the previous day low
Weekly CRT
CRL was swept
1 hour cisd
Targeting CRH and ATH
Gold: Wait for better prices for entriesHello,
Gold is once again forming a bullish flag, a perfect pattern for another bullish cycle. Since end of April 2025, Gold has been correcting after reaching the all time high. We see an opportunity for buys as we come closer to the low of the correction.
The MACD indicator is showing signs of an upcoming bullish crossover further reinforcing the thesis. From a fundamentals point of view Gold price continued to face hurdles since last week after the precious metal edged lower since last week as the US June Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report altered the US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations.
Should the prices come further down, Investors may consider entering positions for this asset.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD is getting ready to explode to $4000Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) having practically been accumulating since the April 22 High. Ever since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) turned into a long-term Support (2023), Gold has experienced similar Accumulation Phases another 3 times.
On all of those occasions, the price broke out to the upside in the form of a Channel Up, reaching at least the 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
With the 1D MACD close to forming a Bullish Cross around the 0.0 mark, which is the level that always started the Channel Up during those 3 previous Accumulation Phases, we expect the market to start breaking upwards and towards the end of the year hit at least $4000.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XAUUSD ANALYSIS💸GOLD💸
📉 Trend Overview
• Prior Structure: Market was in a strong downtrend, shown by descending highs and lower lows.
• Break of Structure: Price broke out of the descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish reversal or at least a deeper correction.
• Current Structure: The market is consolidating after an impulsive bullish move, forming a range or re-accumulation.
⸻
🔍 Key Observations
✅ Break of Downtrend
• Price has clearly broken the descending trendline — first sign of bullish strength.
• After the break, price created a higher high and pulled back — confirming a market structure shift.
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Buy Zone
• FVG identified below current price — this is often a liquidity gap where institutions may return to mitigate orders.
• The Buy Zone aligns with the FVG — making it a high-probability demand area.
• Price could wick into this zone before making the next bullish leg.
🧱 Range Formation
• Multiple touches at resistance (marked by “X”) indicate price is currently accumulating liquidity.
• Consolidation within a clear range suggests build-up before breakout.
⸻
📈 Possible Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Case
• Price revisits the Buy Zone / FVG area.
• Bullish reaction from this zone can lead to a break above the consolidation range.
• First target: previous high / top of the chart projection (marked with an arrow).
• Extended target: Implied liquidity above the highest resistance zone.
🟥 Bearish Invalidations
• A clean break below the Buy Zone and failure to react at the FVG suggests:
• Weak bullish momentum.
• Potential return to lower lows.
⸻
✅ Confluences Supporting Longs
• Market Structure Break.
• FVG + Demand Zone alignment.
• Trendline breakout.
• Range liquidity building up.
• Higher low formation.
⸻
🕵️♂️ What to Watch For
• Bullish engulfing or reversal pattern in the Buy Zone.
• Breakout candle with volume above consolidation.
• Retest of broken structure for confirmation.
XAUUSD LONG/BUY 1:6RReason for buy
1. Break of structure
2. Corrective structure in play (Running flat)
3. Order block at 3299 levels (POI)
4. Impulsive wave up expected to complete the structure (Expanding flat)
Entry: 3299 (POI)
STOPLOSS: 3272
TAKE PROFIT:
1. 3372
2. 3408
3. 3460
4. 3500
Always use a STOPLOSS
Gold is expected to regain bullish momentum and continue to 3360Yesterday, gold rebounded from 3296 and was able to reach around 3345. Although the process was rather painful, we have to admit that gold bulls still have the energy to wrestle with bears, and the gold market is not one-sidedly dominated by bears. As gold gradually tested and confirmed the effectiveness of support during the retracement process and then rebounded effectively, the short-term structure of gold gradually changed and began to favor bulls.
After gold hit bottom and rebounded yesterday, we can clearly see from the short-term structure that gold has successfully constructed a head and shoulders bottom structure in the three areas of 3295-3244-3296 in the short term, thus playing an absolute supporting role in the structure; and in the process of repeated testing of gold, there are signs of constructing a head and shoulders bottom structure in the three areas of 3310-3296-3325 locally again. Under the effect of the structural support resonance of the head and shoulders bottom, gold may not go below 3320 again, and may even regain the bullish trend and continue to the 3345-3355 area.
So I think there is a lot of profit potential in going long on gold. We can go long on gold with the 3330-3320 area as support and look towards the target area: 3340-3350-3360
Accumulated above 3300, market is sideways⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices posted modest gains on Wednesday, supported by a pullback in US Treasury yields, even as the US Dollar remained firm against major currencies. Market sentiment continued to be driven by trade developments, while the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes revealed that policymakers are still leaning toward a rate cut in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,312, up 0.31%.
The FOMC minutes indicated that the majority of Fed officials believe a rate cut this year would be appropriate, with a few members open to the possibility of initiating a reduction as early as July—provided the economic data continues to align with expectations.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered to 3320, mainly still accumulating, waiting psychology on current tariff situation of countries
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3358- 3360 SL 3365
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3245-$3247 SL $3240
TP1: $3256
TP2: $3269
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. We had a nice push up, and I have marked the area(s) for potential scalp sell / buy trades. NY open is in 1.15 hours from this writing. If I can catch the move either up or down with the NY volume, there is a good scalp trade set up. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
#XAUUSD: Early Mitigation Or Sellers Trap! Let's See Gold dropped after touching 3365 taking price to 3318.Currently ranging market showing confusion over how gold would react to NFP data which is coming out tomorrow. At this moment we are quite certain that price would drop tomorrow either from entry one or entry two. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
Good luck and trade!
Team Setupsfx_
Gold price rises as expected, is 3400 far behind?
💡Message Strategy
Trump announced on Friday that he would impose a 35% comprehensive tariff on Canadian imports, which will take effect on August 1, which caused a market shock. As Canada's largest trading partner, the United States accounts for 76% of Canada's exports in 2024. This move will undoubtedly have a profound impact on the global supply chain and trade pattern.
In addition, Trump's tariff policies on copper and Brazil have further exacerbated market uncertainty, pushing gold prices to break through key technical resistance levels and move towards the $3,400 mark.
The Fed's policy moves also have an important impact on market sentiment. The minutes of the June meeting released on Wednesday showed that the Fed's internal concerns about tariffs potentially pushing up inflation are growing. The minutes pointed out that "most participants emphasized that tariffs could have a more lasting impact on inflation."
Despite this, the Fed reiterated that it would remain on the sidelines and wait for further clarity on inflation and economic activity. At present, according to the market forecast of the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has risen to 62.9%, reflecting investors' expectations that the Fed may ease early.
📊Technical aspects
Yesterday’s strategic recommendations mentioned that the effective support level for gold was in the 3280-3285 range. Today, gold fell back to the 3280 level, stabilized, and began to rise, perfectly reaching the target.
From a technical perspective, gold has shown significant upward momentum this week. The daily chart shows that the price of gold has successfully broken through the symmetrical triangle resistance and touched the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3,339.97.
This breakthrough marks a strengthening of the short-term technical pattern, showing that bulls have the upper hand. The relative strength index (RSI) has rebounded to around 55 on the daily chart and is trending upward, indicating that there is slight bullish momentum in the market.
However, in the short term, the upside of gold may be limited by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($3,370). If this level can be effectively broken, the psychological level of $3,400 and the June high of $3,452 will become the next target.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3335-3340,SL:3320,Target: 3370-3400
XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity.
Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction.
- Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted.
- DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold.
- Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow.
P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up.
Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
Gold: Market analysis and strategy on July 11Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3375, support: 3285
Four-hour chart resistance: 3360, support: 3310
One-hour chart resistance: 3345, support: 3324.
For the current market trend, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3345 on the upper side during the day. This is the high point concentration area that has suppressed the upward trend of gold prices many times in the early stage. If it is treated as a volatile market, sell at highs in the 3340~3345 range. If it breaks through 3345, it may trigger stop-loss buying and continue to rise to the 3355~3360 area.
The key support below is still at 3310, but from the 1-hour chart, the trend is rising in steps, and the short-term support is around 3324. Buy back here. After the Asian market was blocked near the previous high of 3345, it entered a short-term correction, and the long and short saws. It is suitable for fast in and out, and follow up and buy after breaking through 3345.
Buy: 3324near
Buy: 3310near
Buy: 3345near
Sell: 3344near
7.11 Gold Analysis7.11 Gold Analysis
At present, the long and short forces are in a tug-of-war between three key factors:
1. Expectations of Fed rate cuts (core support)
Latest developments: Fed Governor Waller strongly called for a rate cut in July, but the market expects a rate cut in September with a probability of over 70% (CME data). The chairman of the San Francisco Fed expressed support for two rate cuts this year to ease inflation concerns.
Influence mechanism: Rate cuts will lower real interest rates and the US dollar exchange rate, significantly reducing the cost of holding gold. If subsequent CPI/PPI data are weak or the job market deteriorates, the rally may be triggered in advance.
2. Middle East geopolitical risks (pulse momentum)
Event escalation: The Israeli Defense Minister threatened to strike Iran again, and the risk of obstruction of Red Sea shipping increased.
Risk aversion logic: If the conflict breaks out in substance (such as an attack on oil facilities), it will trigger a safe-haven fund to flow into gold. At the same time, the surge in oil prices may push up global inflation and strengthen the anti-inflation properties of gold.
3. Trump's tariff policy (stagflation catalyst)
Policy impact: 50% tariff on Brazilian goods and imported copper (effective on August 1), triggering global supply chain disturbances.
Double effect: Pushing up the US dollar in the short term will suppress gold prices, but it may aggravate stagflation risks in the medium and long term, providing underlying support for gold.
Key contradiction conclusion:
The expectation of interest rate cuts is the cornerstone of gold's trend rise, and geopolitical and tariff risks provide breakthrough momentum. If the three resonate (such as escalation of conflicts + September interest rate cuts + tariffs push up inflation), gold prices may quickly hit above $3,400.
Technical multi-cycle analysis
Daily level
Pattern structure: Gold has fallen from the April high of $3,500, forming a triangular convergence pattern. After breaking through the previous high resistance of $3,346 and standing firm, it will enter the $3,350-3,374 oscillation box. MACD shows a golden cross signal, and RSI stands firm in the neutral zone of 55, indicating that bulls are accumulating power.
Key watershed:
Upward breakthrough point: $3374 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level + previous daily high), after stabilization, it will open up the 3400-3420 space.
Downward risk point: $3330 (10-day moving average + triangle upper rail), if it fails, it may drop to 3310-3280 support.
Short cycle (4H/1H)
4-hour chart: The price runs in the rising channel (lower edge 3340/upper edge 3372), and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that a breakthrough is imminent. Pay attention to the $3345 moving average support, and maintain the offensive if it holds.
1-hour chart: MACD top divergence repair is completed, and the high point of $3340 breaks through and stabilizes, which will trigger short-term follow-up buying.
Today's key events and trading windows
US June PPI annual rate: If the data is lower than the previous value of 2.2%, it will strengthen the logic of interest rate cuts and push up gold prices;
Federal Reserve Board member Waller's speech: Dovish remarks may become a catalyst for breaking through $3,346;
Israel Security Cabinet Meeting: Any signal of military action will trigger safe-haven buying.
Today's strategy
It is recommended to buy around 3,320, stop loss at 3,300. Target 3,340.
If my analysis can help you, I hope you can cheer me up.
Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup – 4H ChartTrade Type: Buy (Long)
Entry: Market Buy or Re-entry near 3332–3335
Target: Above 3360 (TP1: 3360, TP2: 3370+, final target near 3380–3400 zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3325 (Recommended: 3322–3324 for margin)
Re-entry Zone: If price pulls back to 3332–3335, look for bullish confirmation for re-entry
Setup Analysis: Favorable risk-reward structure with clear upside potential toward the 3380+ resistance zone
Context:
Strong recovery from previous lows
Bullish momentum building above 3343 resistance
Volume and price structure suggest breakout continuation
Pullback entries offer strategic positioning
Date: July 11, 2025
Shared by: @Pookie_xau
GOLD PULLS BACK TO TREND LINE AND RE-ENTERS BUY ZONE!Hey Traders so looking at Gold right now seems like we are consolidating at 3310 looking for direction. However I think the trend is still up because if you look close at support levels 3240 it has rejected that level twice.
Of course markets can flip on a dime when something unpredictable happens in this tariff driven environment so we still need to be cautious.
Seasonally Gold Rises in the Summer from a historical standpoint. But watch out to see what happens at todays FED meeting.
So if your Bullish this is the place to buy cautiously consider small position on an aggressive entry and put stop below 3230 which looks like it could be good level.
Or if conservative wait until after FED meeting to see how market reacts off this level and they buy again on a pullback if market reacts positive.
However if Bearish I would wait for a daily close and break below 3215 or 3200 before considering selling.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford