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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown SetupGOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown Setup ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ”น Overview: The chart indicates a potential bearish continuation pattern on GOLD/USD as the price is approaching a key support level at 3,335.305. Previous price action shows multiple rejections from the resistance zone (~3,435), followed by lower highs โ€“ a sign of weakening bullish momentum. ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis: ๐Ÿ”บ Resistance Zone (~3,435) Multiple rejections (๐Ÿ”ด red arrows) indicate strong supply pressure. Price has failed to break above this area thrice, forming a clear ceiling. ๐Ÿ”ป Support Zone (~3,335) Marked as the target for a short setup. Price is testing this level again after forming a minor consolidation below lower highs. A clean break below this purple zone may trigger a continuation to the downside, targeting the broader support range below (~3,240). ๐ŸŸ  Bearish Structure: Series of lower highs (highlighted with circles). Breakdown pattern is developing with declining bullish momentum. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Potential Play: A confirmed breakdown below 3,335 could lead to a drop toward the next major support. If support holds, short-term bounce is possible but limited by the dominant resistance. ๐Ÿ“Œ Conclusion: GOLD/USD is currently in a bearish setup, with the market eyeing a potential breakdown below a critical support zone. If this level fails to hold, we could see accelerated bearish momentum toward the lower support range. ๐Ÿ’ก Caution: Wait for a confirmed close below support before entering any short trades.
TVC:GOLD
by MrStellanSight
DeGRAM | GOLD aim to test the lower boundary๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis โ— Hourly price is defending the channelโ€™s lower half: three consecutive wicks bounced at 3 360, forming a descending flag whose base coincides with the dynamic support. โ— OBV is edging higher while the flag narrows; a close above 3 408 would unlock the flag-measured move toward the upper rail / horizontal target at 3 444โ€“3 450. ๐Ÿ’ก Fundamental Analysis โ— World Gold Council reports Indiaโ€™s jewellery demand rebounded 8 % w/w as monsoon concerns eased, while CME data show fresh 6 K-lot COMEX short-covering after the latest FOMC testimony tempered rate-hike talk. โœจ Summary Long 3 360โ€“3 380; flag break > 3 408 eyes 3 444 โ†’ 3 450. Bull view void on an H1 close below 3 343. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
7
XAUUSD - 4H Breakout and Retest Setup๐ŸŸก๐ŸŸก๐ŸŸก ๐Ÿ•’ June 17, 2025 Bias: Medium-Term Bullish Structure: Breakout โ†’ Retest โ†’ Continuation Context: Trendline break + confluence with EMA + prior resistance turned support ๐Ÿ” Market Structure Insight: Major descending trendline broken with strong impulsive momentum. Pullback held at the intersection of: Broken trendline retest EMA 60 dynamic support Bullish structure of HL-HH (Higher Low / Higher High) Strong bullish candle at support โœ… Trade Plan โ€“ Buy Stop Setup Entry (Buy Stop): 3402 SL: 3373 (below the pullback structure + EMAs) TP1: 3430 (local resistance area) TP2: 3470 (measured move from previous leg height) #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
4
XAUUSD Trade Setup โ€“ June 17, 2025๐Ÿ” 30-Min Timeframe | Volume Profile | Risk-Reward Analysis ๐Ÿ”น Short Position Idea ๐Ÿ”ป Entry: $3,393.83 ๐Ÿ”ป Stop Loss: $3,402.14 (above recent value area high) ๐Ÿ”ป Take Profit: $3,359.88 (prior HVN support area) ๐Ÿ“‰ R:R โ‰ˆ 3:1 ๐Ÿ”ธ Context: Price rejected the upper volume node and failed to break the prior high. Strong selling pressure followed by a pullback to a low-volume node. VWAP and POC levels show imbalance favoring bearish continuation. ๐Ÿ”ธ Confirmation: Break and close below $3,389 with volume could confirm downside momentum. ๐Ÿ“Œ Watching for price to respect the value area and migrate toward the lower demand zone.
FX:XAUUSD
by Tommykamo
Gold corrective pullback supporta t 3330Goldโ€™s price action sentiment remains bullish, underpinned by a well-established rising trend. However, recent intraday movement suggests a corrective pullback or short-term consolidation, likely in response to overbought conditions or short-term profit-taking. Key Technical Levels: Support: 3,330 โ€“ Key short-term support and previous consolidation zone; the critical pivot level for trend continuation. 3,315 โ€“ Secondary support; minor structural level. 3,300 โ€“ Psychological and technical support; near-term bearish target on a breakdown. Resistance: 3,390 โ€“ Immediate upside target on a bullish continuation. 3,420 โ€“ Medium-term resistance; aligns with prior highs. 3,450 โ€“ Longer-term target, marking the upper boundary of the current bullish channel. Scenario Analysis: Bullish Continuation (Base Case): If Gold maintains above the 3,330 level and confirms a bullish bounce, the broader uptrend is expected to resume, with upside targets at 3,390, followed by 3,420 and 3,450 over time. Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario): A daily close below 3,330 would negate the short-term bullish structure, exposing the market to deeper retracements toward 3,315 and 3,300, where further demand could emerge. Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend, with the current pullback seen as corrective. The 3,330 level is a critical inflection point: holding above it supports further upside momentum, while a breakdown below this level would challenge the bullish outlook and potentially signal a deeper retracement. Traders should monitor price action around this zone for directional confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
2
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD โ€“ Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout? After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel โ€” but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over Americaโ€™s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift. ๐ŸŒ Macro View โ€“ Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm ๐Ÿ”บ Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning: US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare. If urgent fiscal reforms arenโ€™t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio. The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock. ๐Ÿ“Œ For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold โ€” especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability. ๐Ÿ“‰ Technical Outlook (Updated โ€“ M30 to H1) Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control. Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel. EMA ribbons (13โ€“200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum. If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await. โœ… Trade Plan ๐ŸŸข BUY ZONE: 3310 โ€“ 3308 Stop-Loss: 3303 Targets: 3314 โ†’ 3318 โ†’ 3322 โ†’ 3326 โ†’ 3330 โ†’ 3340 โ†’ 3350 โ†’ 3360 โ†’ ๐ŸŸข BUY SCALP: 3325 โ€“ 3323 Stop-Loss: 3318 Targets: 3330 โ†’ 3334 โ†’ 3338 โ†’ 3342 โ†’ 3346 โ†’ 3350 โ†’ 3360 โ†’ 3370 โ†’ ๐Ÿ”ด SELL ZONE: 3418 โ€“ 3420 Stop-Loss: 3424 Targets: 3414 โ†’ 3410 โ†’ 3405 โ†’ 3400 โ†’ 3396 โ†’ 3390 โ†’ 3385 โ†’ 3380 ๐Ÿ”ป SELL SCALP: 3396 โ€“ 3398 Stop-Loss: 3403 Targets: 3392 โ†’ 3388 โ†’ 3384 โ†’ 3380 โ†’ 3375 โ†’ 3370 ๐Ÿ’ฌ Closing Thoughts โ€“ A Volatile End to the Week? With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week. โœ… Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction. Gold remains technically bearish โ€” but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head. Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD: 1H Chart Trend Continuation or Deeper Pullback?Established Uptrend Channel : The XAUUSD pair is trading within a well-defined, long-term ascending channel (highlighted by the red parallel bands), indicating a clear bullish trend with consistent higher highs and higher lows over the observed period. Significant Support Confluence : The lower boundary of the ascending channel, particularly the area marked "Confluence Area for support" (green and orange shaded zone), has repeatedly acted as a strong demand zone where price has found support and reversed higher. Current Corrective Phase and Deciding Point : Price is currently undergoing a short-term correction, forming a smaller, descending channel (white/grey box) within the larger uptrend. This area is labeled "Deciding Area to continue Higher," indicating that the immediate future direction is contingent on whether price breaks out of this smaller channel or continues within it. Projected Pathways : The chart illustrates two immediate potential scenarios: a resumption of the primary uptrend (green dotted path) upon a successful breakout from the short-term descending channel, or a deeper retracement towards the major ascending channel's support (red dotted path) if the current corrective structure persists or breaks lower. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ManiMarkets
Weekly Gold Outlook: Signs of Trend Reversal EmergingGold is beginning to show clear signs of a potential bearish phase. The current uptrend is weakening, and a new center of gravity has formed around 3319 on the weekly timeframe. Price is currently moving higher to complete Phase 2, which often precedes a new trend cycle. A weekly close below 3320, especially after sweeping the upper liquidity zone near 3495, would confirm the start of Phase 3 โ€” historically a trend continuation setup. This suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction phase, potentially resetting for the next bullish leg. Projected Downside Targets: Target 1: 3100 Target 2: 3056 Target 3: 2960 Extended Bearish Target: Below 2760 (Accumulation zone for the next uptrend) This cycle is unfolding on the weekly timeframe, so it may take time to fully develop. Key Resistance Zones (Sell Interest Areas): 3525โ€“3548: Current resistance zone with signs of profit-taking by large players 3606: Next resistance level 3688: Strong upper resistance where institutional selling interest could intensify These zones are critical supply areas, and market participants are already showing signs of booking profits around these levels.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Gravity-Traders-Academy
Gold (XAUUSD) โ€“ Demand Zone Holding, Silver Leading BreakoutGold has respected its demand zone near $3,367โ€“$3,382 and is attempting to bounce higher. Importantly, Silver (XAGUSD in pink overlay) is leading the upside move, having broken out cleanly above $37.00 and still climbing. This confirms the bullish momentum across precious metals. Geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed commentary, and risk-off market conditions continue to favor a move toward $3,451, $3,471, and possibly $3,495. ๐Ÿ” Technical Breakdown (4H) Support Zone: $3,367โ€“$3,382 (retest of broken resistance) Bullish Structure: Rising lows, trendline holds, and higher timeframe support remains intact Projected Targets: ๐ŸŽฏ TP1: $3,451 (recent high) ๐ŸŽฏ TP2: $3,471 (key extension) ๐ŸŽฏ TP3: $3,495 (top of range) Stop Loss: Below $3,351 (invalidates demand structure) ๐Ÿช™ Silver (XAGUSD) Overlay Insight: Currently at $37.11+, showing leadership in the breakout. Suggests gold will likely follow through โ€” watch for Gold catching up. ๐Ÿง  Macro & Fundamental Context (June 17) Bullish Drivers: ๐Ÿ”ฅ Ongoing Middle East war escalation (Iran-Israel, US troop buildup) ๐Ÿฆ Dovish Fed tone, soft retail sales, rate cuts expected from Sept ๐Ÿงพ Silver strength confirming demand across metals Risks: โ˜ฎ๏ธ Unexpected ceasefire headlines could cause knee-jerk pullbacks ๐Ÿ“ˆ Hot inflation data or hawkish Fed rhetoric could pressure upside ๐Ÿ“… Key Events to Watch: FOMC members' speeches this week US Core PCE inflation print War headline velocity โ€” particularly involving shipping or direct US-Iran confrontation ๐Ÿงญ Strategy Suggestion: Tactical Buy on Rejection Wick from current demand zone Watch Silver momentum โ€” if it breaks $37.50+, gold likely catches up fast Consider scaling out around $3,451โ€“$3,471 with final target near $3,495
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ultreosforex
7
Gold Pullback in Uptrend Amid Middle East Tensions: Buy the Dip๏ผŸ๐Ÿ“Š Clearly visible on the chart: current pullback within an uptrend. ๐Ÿ” News paradox: Despite escalating Middle East tensions ๐ŸŒ, gold is trending lowerโ€”a key reason to emphasize buying the dip recently (watch out for bear trap scenarios ๐Ÿšซ๐Ÿ“‰). ๐Ÿ’ก Trading logic breakdown: Fed statement yesterday caused minimal volatility (market expectations priced in ๐Ÿ’จ); This weekโ€™s pattern: Asian session rallies ๐Ÿ“ˆ followed by post-Asian pullbacks ๐Ÿ“‰; Entry strategy: Use Asian session highs as resistance reference for entries ๐ŸŽฏ. Technical reinforcement: Risk alert: Geopolitical bullishness ignored โ†’ classic bear trap signal (bear trap ๐Ÿšซ); Timing: Asian session highs form intraday resistance ๐ŸŽฏโ€”look to enter on retracement. Chart says it allโ€”normal pullback in an uptrend ๐Ÿ“Š. Ironically, while Middle East conflicts should be gold-positive ๐ŸŒ, prices are moving lowerโ€”a textbook 'buy the panic' setup ๐Ÿš€. Following this weekโ€™s playbook ๐Ÿ“… (Asian session highs followed by dips), focus on Asian session highs as a resistance anchor for entries โšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธ XAUUSD โšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธ ๐Ÿš€ Buy@ 3345 - 3355 ๐Ÿš€ TP 3370 - 3380 Accurate signals are updated every day ๐Ÿ“ˆ If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide ๐Ÿงญ Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you ๐ŸŒŸ ๐Ÿ‘‡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
GOLD Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3389.4 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal -3396.3 Recommended Stop Loss - 3385.8 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€” WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD Unemployment Claims Data Context Forecast: 246,000 Previous: 248,000 The weekly initial jobless claims report is a key indicator for the Federal Reserve, signaling the current state and momentum of the U.S. labor market. Fed Interpretation: Greater Than Forecast Indication: A figure above 246,000 suggests the labor market is softening more than expected. Fed Response: The Fed would view higher-than-forecast claims as a sign of rising layoffs and potential weakening in employment growth. This outcome increases concern about the durability of the economic expansion and may raise the likelihood of future interest rate cuts, especially if the trend persists. The Fed would likely emphasize caution in its policy statement and may signal greater willingness to ease policy if labor market weakness continues. Fed Interpretation: Less Than Forecast Indication: A figure below 246,000 signals a stronger-than-expected labor market. Fed Response: The Fed would interpret lower-than-forecast claims as evidence that the labor market remains resilient, with fewer layoffs and ongoing job creation. This outcome reduces the urgency for immediate rate cuts and supports the case for holding rates steady, especially if inflation remains above target. The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance, awaiting further evidence before considering policy changes. Federal Funds Rate Decision Outlook Expected Outcome: The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%โ€“4.50% during the June 18, 2025 meeting. Supporting Factors: Inflation is moderating but remains above target. Labor market data, including unemployment claims, shows stability without overheating. Economic uncertainties, including trade policies, encourage a cautious approach. Market Odds: There is a near 100% probability of no rate change today, with markets focusing on the Fedโ€™s forward guidance and economic projections for clues on future rate moves. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the current federal funds rate range of 4.25%โ€“4.50%, reflecting a balanced approach amid moderating inflation and steady labor market conditions. Market participants will closely watch the FOMC statement, economic projections, and press conference for any shifts in tone that could influence future rate expectations and market volatility.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3367.9 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3379.6 Safe Stop Loss - 3360.8 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€” WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAU/USD Price Action Update โ€“ June 18, 2025๐Ÿ“Š XAU/USD Price Action Update โ€“ June 18, 2025 ๐Ÿ”นCurrent Price: 3,386.58 ๐Ÿ”นTimeframe: 1H ๐Ÿ“Œ Key Resistance Zone: ๐Ÿ”ด 3406 โ€“ Intraday breakout level; needs a strong candle close above for bullish continuation ๐Ÿ“Œ Key Demand Zones: ๐ŸŸข 3338โ€“3342 โ€“ First support zone to watch if price drops ๐ŸŸข 3319โ€“3324 โ€“ Major demand; deeper pullback area for long entries โšก๏ธBullish Scenario: Price is consolidating in a tight range. A strong 1H close above 3406 could trigger a breakout targeting 3405.63 and beyond. โš ๏ธBearish Scenario: If price fails to close above resistance and breaks below the range, a drop toward 3338 or even 3319 could follow โ€” confirmation needed before shorting. ๐Ÿ” FXFOREVER Insight: โœ… Price is ranging; donโ€™t trade inside the box โœ… Wait for clean break and retest from either side โœ… Monitor structure shifts on 15Mโ€“1H timeframe for confirmation #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexSetup #ConsolidationBreakout #IntradayTrade
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87