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GOLD trade ideas

Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup – 4H ChartTrade Type: Buy (Long) Entry: Market Buy or Re-entry near 3332–3335 Target: Above 3360 (TP1: 3360, TP2: 3370+, final target near 3380–3400 zone) Stop Loss: Below 3325 (Recommended: 3322–3324 for margin) Re-entry Zone: If price pulls back to 3332–3335, look for bullish confirmation for re-entry Setup Analysis: Favorable risk-reward structure with clear upside potential toward the 3380+ resistance zone Context: Strong recovery from previous lows Bullish momentum building above 3343 resistance Volume and price structure suggest breakout continuation Pullback entries offer strategic positioning Date: July 11, 2025 Shared by: @Pookie_xau
TVC:GOLDLong
by Pookie_xau
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time to Recover?! Gold reached an important rising trend line on a daily. I see 2 nice intraday bullish reactions to that on a 4H time frame and a double bottom pattern formation. Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 3309 will confirm a start of a bullish correctional movement. Goal will be 3327. Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the trend line will push the prices lower. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
XAUUSD Trading Strategy – July 8, 2025Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 3,331 USD as global markets react to a series of critical economic data releases. The recent rally has brought prices back to a key resistance zone, but selling pressure remains strong due to the following factors: - The Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY holds steady near 97, its highest level in five weeks. A strong USD continues to weigh on gold, a non-yielding asset. - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields remain stable at 4.35%, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer to tame inflation. - Robust U.S. labor market data and June’s Core PCE figures staying above the Fed’s 2% target further reduce the likelihood of a rate cut in Q3 or Q4. - Geopolitical tensions remain muted, with no significant escalations in the Russia–Ukraine conflict or Middle East unrest, weakening gold’s safe-haven appeal. ➡ Collectively, these factors suggest that gold’s recent rebound could be a technical pullback within a broader downtrend, unless a new catalyst drives a breakout. 1. XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Daily Chart (D1) Price is currently testing the 3,331 – 3,340 USD resistance zone, which includes: A previous supply zone that has rejected multiple rallies. - Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 from the recent high at 3,405 USD. - A key Change of Character (CHoCH) area, where trend reversals have previously occurred. - EMA20 and EMA50 remain aligned downward, confirming the dominant bearish trend. - RSI hovers around 50 with signs of mild bearish divergence, reflecting weakening bullish momentum. ➡ The current price action fits a classic “sell on rally” setup, with repeated rejections at technical resistance zones. 2. Key Price Levels to Watch Technical Significance - 3,340 – 3,331 Confluence resistance (Fibo 0.5–0.618 + supply + CHoCH) - 3,310 – 3,300 Nearest support – role reversal zone - 3,275 – 3,260 Short-term target support – June’s low - 3,223 – 3,205 Strong medium-term support – April’s low + extended Fibo 3. Suggested XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Trading Strategy Primary Strategy: SELL if price rejects 3,340 – 3,345 Entry: 3,340 – 3,345 Stop Loss: 3,356 Take Profit 1: 3,335 Take Profit 2: 3,330 Take Profit 3: 3,325 Ps : Gold is trading at a critical price zone. If XAUUSD fails to break above the 3,340 USD resistance, there’s a high probability of a pullback toward the lower support levels. Selling at resistance and targeting support remains the preferred approach in the current macro environment, which continues to favor bearish momentum. This strategy will be updated regularly – save it and follow to avoid missing upcoming opportunities. Analysis by @Henrybillion
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
8
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday. I’m currently watching two possible downside targets: 🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce. 🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG. This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction. From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above. Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by The_Gold_Syndicate
XAUUSD Loses Short-Term Support – Deeper Decline May FollowGold (XAUUSD) is showing clear signs of short-term weakness after losing a key support zone around 3,287 USD – which previously aligned with the rising trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (3,295.20 USD) of the prior downward move. 1. Price Structure and Current Pattern: Price has formed a descending triangle and just broke below its lower boundary with strong bearish candles. Consecutive bearish candles with short lower wicks indicate strong selling pressure with little buying interest. After being rejected at 3,304.25 USD – the most recent swing high – price has dropped toward the 0.0% Fibonacci level at 3,280.57 USD. 2. Fibonacci and Key Price Zones: The 3,295.20 area (Fibo 0.618) has now become a strong resistance after a failed recovery attempt. The 3,280 – 3,275 zone is the next target for bears if no strong reversal appears in upcoming sessions. A break below 3,275.73 may open the path for further downside toward 3,268 – 3,260. 3. Trendlines and Candle Behavior: The short-term rising trendline (in red) has been broken alongside increasing sell volume. The upper descending trendline (in light blue) remains intact, confirming that the overall structure is still bearish. Suggested Trading Strategy: Sell on rallies: Prefer short entries around 3,290 – 3,293, with a stop loss above 3,296. Short-term target: Look for potential take-profit zones at 3,275 – 3,268. Avoid bottom fishing unless there’s a strong bullish reversal signal such as an engulfing or hammer candle backed by volume. Conclusion: Gold is under visible downside pressure below key technical resistance. If the price fails to hold above 3,280, the downtrend could extend further. Traders should remain cautious of weak pullbacks and look to enter in line with the dominant bearish trend.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟 Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing. Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis: Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes. Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry. Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉 Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈 Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward: 1. Trade-War Uncertainty What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar. Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid. 2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold. 3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions. Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend. 🎯 Outlook Summary Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints. Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame 🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily) Zone: $3,348 – $3,400 Why It Matters: Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400. 📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups Short at Resistance Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high) Stop-Loss: Above $3,420 Breakdown Short Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250 Targets: TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level) Stop-Loss: Above $3,290 🔵 Potential Long Opportunities Defensive Long (Aggressive) Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 Targets: TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance) TP2: $3,400 (key resistance) Stop-Loss: Below $3,230 Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative) Trigger: Daily close above $3,400 Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,450 TP2: $3,500+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price remains capped under $3,400. Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts. A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026). Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability): Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally. Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades. Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside. Just a Heads-Up: This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮. Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅 We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments! Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈 Each one, teach one. — Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by PFXteam
First Drop to 3307–3289, Then Buy for the Next UptrendOur system has identified a strong short signal across short-term, medium-term, and long-term timeframes as of July 3, 2025, with confidence levels above 89%. All durations are aligned, indicating a synchronized momentum shift. Entry Point : 3354.43 Short-Term TP : 3334.30 Medium-Term TP : 3320.89 Long-Term TP : 3307.47~ 3289 📉 Based on the current market structure and signal convergence, TeconLab expects XAUUSD to drop into the 3307–3289 range, where a potential reversal zone is likely to form. 🛡️ Safest Entry for Buy: The 3289 level is considered the most favorable area for entering long positions after the expected correction completes. 📈 After reaching this zone, our system anticipates a new uptrend to begin, offering a fresh opportunity for upside movement. The TP Zigzag path displayed on the chart outlines the projected decline with target steps, preparing for a potential bullish reversal afterward.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by teconlab
3
XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish Outlook – H1/H4 Chart AnalysisGold is currently showing signs of weakness within a confirmed downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the short-term charts. The price structure suggests continued bearish momentum as sellers maintain control beneath key resistance levels. At present, a potential bearish opportunity is observed if price retraces near the 3320 zone, which aligns with a recent supply area and resistance in the ongoing downtrend. From this level, price action could continue its downward move in line with trend dynamics. Entry Zone: Around 3320 Primary Target: 3300 (near-term support level) Final Target: 3280 (extended target aligning with previous demand zone) Invalidation/Stop Loss: Above 3340 (a break above this may invalidate the bearish bias) 🔸Disclaimer; This setup is based on technical structure and market flow, not financial advice. Always confirm with your own analysis and risk management plan.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by FX_Mark0
3
GOLD SELL M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 10, 2025 The chart shows that price is currently trading around 3323.98, approaching a key supply zone marked in purple. This area is expected to act as resistance, where price may reverse. Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels have been marked, confirming bullish momentum earlier. However, the chart now suggests a potential bearish reversal from the supply zone. Trade Idea: Entry Zone: Near the top of the purple resistance area (~3324) Stop Loss (SL): 3332 Target: 3309 zone (highlighted in blue), which aligns with the demand zone and previous structure Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 3324–3332 Support Zones: First Support: 3319.19 Second Support: 3314.18 Final Target Zone: 3309.84 – 3309.61 The expected move is a sell from the supply zone down to the 3309 target. Price is projected to form lower highs and lower lows as shown by the blue arrow path.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Sniperfx05
Key point layout suggestionsThe current gold market is showing a weak rebound pattern. Although there was a small rebound on Wednesday, if it cannot stand above 3330, the overall trend will still be weak. From the daily level, the support level is 3300 and the resistance level is 3335. The price is oscillating between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, and there is a possibility of upward or downward breakthrough. Focus on the H4 cycle trend: if the rebound can stand above 3330, the price may further rise to 3335 US dollars; Once it stands at 3335, it can be basically confirmed that the callback is over, and the subsequent challenge of 3345 resistance level may be repeated. It is recommended to adopt a long-on-dip strategy near the support level, focusing on the support strength of the 3310-15 area below; the resistance level of 3335-3340 should be paid attention to above. In terms of specific operations, if the price rebounds to the 3335-3340 range, short selling can be considered; if it pulls back to the 3310-3315 range, long selling can be considered.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by VitoCamilla
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for July 10.Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3345, support level 3245 Four-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3285 One-hour chart resistance level 3330, support level 3310. Yesterday, gold bottomed out and rebounded, standing above 3310, breaking the previous downward rhythm. The breakthrough of the previous opening means that gold is likely to continue to rise. The current market is bullish above 3310. You can buy around 3310. The upper resistance is 3340/45 area. The gold price runs in this area. If the top signal appears at a small level, you can sell. In terms of intraday operations, it is recommended to sell in the 3340-45 range after rising, and buy when it falls back to 3310. It runs in a narrow range and can be scalped. SELL: 3343 near BUY: 3310near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold bottomed out and rebounded to fluctuateGold, the price opened at 3342 in the morning and then fell back. The article emphasizes the bearish structure of the 4H chart, and the bearish trend continued to 3311-3295 in the afternoon; the actual price fell to 3296 and then rebounded in the evening, and the 4H chart closed at 22:00 and turned into a big positive, and it will rebound and fluctuate at night; Short-term support 3306-3300, strong support 3296; short-term resistance 3322-3326, strong resistance 3330-3340;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DonaldJohnson
Gold Analysis Bullish Breakout | Trendline & OB Setup📈 Gold Analysis We are currently seeing price action within a descending channel, testing key support at the M30 OB (Order Block). The price is pushing higher after bouncing off the support level, and the trendlines suggest a potential breakout to the upside. 💡 Key Levels: Support Zone: 3326 Resistance Zone: 3342 The market is primed for a possible rally, indicated by the upward momentum and price breaking out above the trendline. Watch for confirmation as we approach the liquidity level for further bullish movement. ⚡ Trade Idea: Look for a long entry if price closes above the trendline for a continuation towards the next resistance.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
1
Gold Extends Gains Amid Uncertainty FOREXCOM:XAUUSD XAUUSD is currently moving within the $3,270 – $3,360 range 📈, holding steady under buying pressure over the last few hours ⏳. 🌏 During today’s Asian and early European sessions, gold climbed to around $3,330 🥇, extending gains as investors monitored trade tensions and absorbed the latest FOMC Minutes 🗂️. A weaker U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ continues to support gold, attracting safe-haven flows 🛡️ amid ongoing market uncertainty. 📊 Meanwhile, the Fed’s June meeting minutes 🪙 revealed disagreements among officials 🤔 on the timing and scale of potential rate cuts 🔻. While most anticipate some easing later this year, views range from cuts as early as July to no cuts until year-end. The Fed maintains a cautious, data-driven approach 🧭, citing tariff-related inflation risks, slowing consumer spending, and a strong labour market as key factors for their policy outlook. 👀 We will continue to monitor gold closely for potential breakout or reversal signals within this range. Stay tuned for updates!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
The market doesn’t lie, price hit the zone just as we mapped it🔸 WEEKLY BIAS The broader trend remains bullish to neutral, though momentum is softening within a premium rejection zone. In May–June, price broke structure to the upside, printing a new weekly higher high (HH) above 3380. However, it failed to sustain above the volume imbalance (3430–3480), signaling exhaustion in that premium range. Currently, price is rejecting premium and consolidating just below 3327 — a key level marking previous institutional support and the midpoint of the weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). 🔹 Weekly Key Zones 🟢 Support Zone (Buy Interest): 3204–3230 Weekly FVG + Equilibrium retrace + EMA50 A bullish rejection from this zone could trigger continuation toward 3327, then 3380 🔴 Resistance / Supply Zone (Sell Interest): 3420–3480 Weekly FVG + Premium Order Block + Prior liquidity sweep zone A retest here without strong bullish catalysts may present a swing short opportunity 🔸 DAILY BIAS Bias remains neutral to bearish until the 3330–3344 zone is decisively reclaimed and confirmed as support. 🔹 Daily Key Zones 🔴 Supply Zones 3420–3450 Premium FVG + Daily OB + Historical rejection wick High-probability inducement area; only valid for shorts if 3344 fails to flip 3388–3402 Minor supply + internal structure break Weaker, short-term reaction zone — monitor for signs of rejection if price extends 🔵 Support Zones 3230–3208 Daily FVG + Unmitigated Bullish OB + Discount territory High interest for long setups only if confirmed by clean bullish rejection 3170–3154 Untapped daily OB + Historical support wick Stronger potential reversal zone if 3230 breaks; confluence with deeper fib + likely RSI oversold 🔸 H4 BIAS Short-term structure is bearish, with consistent lower highs forming beneath the key 3344–3351 supply zone. 🔹 H4 Key Zones 🔴 Supply Zones 3344–3351 H4 FVG + OB cluster within premium zone A wick above recent highs followed by rejection could set up a clean swing short 3380–3394 Origin of the last bearish leg + stop hunt wick High-risk rejection zone — watch for fast spikes into this area for potential fades 🔵 Support Zones 3265–3275 H4 FVG + Flip level + Prior sweep zone A hold here could suggest re-accumulation, targeting 3327 and possibly 3340 3235–3246 Strong unmitigated OB + Discount pricing Ideal sniper entry zone only with bullish rejection + M15+ BOS confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
1
Gold continues to short Life is like a thread. As long as today continues and as long as there is hope for tomorrow, we will always be at the starting point and on the road to running. Don't be afraid of the long road, don't complain about the lack of scenery on the roadside, don't despair at any time, just keep running, the bumps under your feet are the cornerstones of our life, and perhaps the turning point is just around the next corner! Gold, on the eve of the US market yesterday, the shorts repeatedly touched the lower support of 3282, but ultimately lacked the momentum to make a final push, which led to a reverse reversal in the US market and a continuous rebound effect. As of the morning of the day, the highest reached near 3326, and the daily line also closed at the bald small positive line of the lower lead. The current upper pressure is maintained at the previous 3330 line. This position will also be related to the continuity of the long and short positions in the later period, and the highest in the morning will also be maintained near this position. For the European market, this position is even more important. Once it continues to break through, the US market will likely continue to rise, and it can also be used as the position of the long and short watershed in the short term, and the recent trend continuity is extremely high. , most of them are maintained in the range of shock operation, and the support below will be maintained at 3310, which is also the key defensive point of the European session. Although the daily line is currently closed at a small positive line, it is still obviously insufficient in power, and the multi-hour line is also maintained in the downward channel without a breakthrough. In the short term, it is still in a bearish situation overall. If there is no breakthrough for a long time, it may continue to fall in the later period. If gold rebounds near the morning high, it can continue to short. If the European session breaks through strongly, it needs to adjust its direction before the US session. If gold rebounds near 3325-26, it can be shorted. The target is around 3310-00, and the loss is 3335! Gold rebounds near 3325-26 during the day, and the target is around 3310-00, and the loss is 3335.
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
XAUUSD - Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Play | Dual Setup BreakdoFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Liquidity Sweeps Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Trendline Liquidity Demand/Order Blocks Risk-Reward Structure 🔻 First Trade Idea – Short Position (Sell Setup) 🧠 Psychology & Liquidity Insight: The market formed equal lows before a sudden rally which attracted retail traders. Price created a bearish structure with lower highs, signaling weakness. A strong liquidity sweep occurred by breaking trendline liquidity twice (as shown by red lines), targeting early buyers' stop losses. A supply zone (red box) was respected near 3337, providing an ideal entry point for shorting. 📉 Trade Logic: Entry: Near 3336.93 (Supply Zone) SL: Above 3344.14 (Liquidity Sweep zone) TP: 3328.62 / 3325.64 (Targeting demand imbalance & internal liquidity) R:R: Approx. 1:2+ 🔺 Second Trade Idea – Long Position (Buy Setup) 🧠 Psychology & Liquidity Insight: After the initial selloff, price taps into the demand zone (blue box) created by the last impulsive move. Internal liquidity is built again near 3328–3330, where retail traders expect a continued fall — ideal for smart money to reverse. Price is expected to accumulate and reverse with a strong rally toward the upper liquidity resting above 3344. 📈 Trade Logic: Entry: Near 3328.62 (Demand Zone Tap) SL: Below 3325.64 TP: 3344.14 (Major Liquidity Target) R:R: Over 1:3 – a high-quality reversal play. 🎯 Why This Trade Setup is Powerful: ✅ Both trades are liquidity-driven, not just indicator-based. ✅ Incorporates smart money logic and price structure. ✅ Clear risk-to-reward, validated by price behavior and institutional order flow.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Jamtara_Trader