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GOLD trade ideas

Gold Falls Back Despite Geopolitical Tensions,Eyes on 3404 BreakGOLD – Overview Gold Falls, Erasing War-Driven Gains Gold has reversed all gains made since Israel launched strikes against Iran, despite rising geopolitical tensions. The precious metal failed to hold its safe-haven bid and now appears to be entering a technical correction phase. While the Federal Reserve struck a dovish tone during Wednesday’s meeting — signaling potential rate cuts this year — real rates remain elevated, which continues to weigh on non-yielding assets like gold. Technical Outlook: Gold corrected perfectly to our support level at 3347, as forecasted in the previous idea. • As long as price trades above 3365, bullish momentum remains active • Next targets: 3393 → 3404 • A 1H candle close above 3404 would confirm bullish continuation toward 3430 and 3448 A break below 3347 would shift the structure bearish. Key Levels: • Support: 3365 / 3347 / 3322 • Resistance: 3393 / 3404 / 3430 / 3448 previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
1
Accumulate around 3400, Keep interest rate today⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices slipped below the $3,400 threshold on Tuesday, weighed down by renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD), despite a worsening global risk sentiment. The resilience of the greenback limited gains in the safe-haven asset, though mounting tensions between Israel and Iran continue to offer underlying support. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,380, down 0.05%. Although risk appetite remains subdued, gold has struggled to rally, as the US Dollar regains ground. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the currency against a basket of six major peers, climbed 0.46% to 98.58. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions intensified after US President Donald Trump abruptly departed the G7 summit in Canada on Monday in response to unfolding events in the Middle East. In a stark warning posted to his social platform, he urged, “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran,” signaling a sharp escalation in the conflict that began last Friday. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is moving in accumulation zone below 3400 - 3365. Break and return above 3400, continue to accumulate. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3437- 3439 SL 3444 TP1: $3425 TP2: $3410 TP3: $3395 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3338-$3340 SL $3333 TP1: $3346 TP2: $3355 TP3: $3370 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
GoldFxMinds Sniper Plan — June 17, 2025 🚀 GoldMinds Battle Plan Loaded — June 17, 2025 Good morning GoldMinds 👋 The market is again building perfect traps after CPI & PPI whipped both sides last week. Liquidity is stacking and volatility is hiding behind a quiet news calendar — exactly when the market loves to attack both sides. We stay patient, sniper-style. 🌎 Macro & Sentiment: No major data today, but liquidity still reacts after last week’s CPI & FOMC tone. DXY remains stable — gold remains capped inside premium supply zones. The real game now is liquidity manipulation — we focus on clean execution. 🔬 Structure & Bias: ✅ D1: Liquidity sweep above 3450 — sellers protecting premium. ✅ H4: Lower high distribution forming. ✅ H1: Bearish order flow starting to control. ✅ EMAs 5/21/50: compressed bearish. ✅ RSI: showing divergence on intraday. Bias: Tactical Bearish — under 3460 we remain sellers on sweeps. Liquidity hunts both ways but premium remains the trap zone. 🎯 Sniper Zones 🔻 SELL ZONES: 3405 – 3410 → early pullback rejection zone 3435 – 3445 → main OB liquidity sweep 3452 – 3460 → extreme premium trap zone 🔻 BUY ZONES: 3365 – 3380 → golden zone buy (perfect fibo confluence) 3335 – 3345 → deep flush exhaustion buy 🔄 Tactical Scenarios Sell spikes into premium → M15 rejection → target 3380 first. If flushed into golden zone → watch M15 confirmation → target 3405. If deep flush into 3335 → exhaustion buy setups only. 💡 Tactical Notes No chasing — liquidity first, reaction second. News absence = perfect condition for engineered liquidity sweeps. Stay sniper. Only act when structure confirms. 🔥 If this sniper battle plan helps you prepare, smash the 🚀, drop your bias in comments & hit FOLLOW to support real structure-based trading. Let’s bring back real value content to TradingView. GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
10
XAUUSD Buy ForecastXAUUSD New Forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup. Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec..
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by King_CityStar_Fx
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) $3400 Incoming again??Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart: Chart Overview: Overall Market Context: Gold is currently retracing after a strong downtrend from a swing high near the supply zone. Price is reacting near a key bullish trend line and a local swing low. Key Technical Elements: OBV (On-Balance Volume): The OBV has broken out of its downtrend resistance, suggesting a potential reversal in volume flow. This shift implies bullish momentum could be building. Trendline & Structure: Price is respecting a bullish trend line, which has acted as dynamic support across multiple touches. The current swing low sits right on this trend line, suggesting a possible bounce scenario. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – 4H: Two FVGs are located above current price around the 0.28–0.5 Fibonacci zone, indicating a likely magnet area if price starts to retrace upward. These FVGs may act as short-term targets or resistance zones. Fibonacci Retracement: Price is currently near the 0.618–0.65 retracement zone, a classic golden pocket reversal area. If price holds this level, a bounce toward the FVGs and supply zone is likely. Supply Zone: The major resistance sits above at the supply zone formed around the previous swing highs. A rejection here could signal a return to range or continuation lower if not broken. Demand Zone : Below current price, a strong demand zone is marked, which historically triggered a large upward move. If price fails to hold the trendline/swing low, this would be the next key support area to watch. Scenarios: 🔼 Bullish Case: OBV breakout holds and price bounces from the trendline/swing low. Price moves up into the FVG zones and attempts to reclaim the previous swing high. If it breaks above the supply zone, the next logical targets would be the psychological levels (e.g., $3,400+). 🔽 Bearish Case: Failure to hold the current trendline and swing low. Break below could lead to a move toward the demand zone, possibly sweeping lows and filling deeper FVGs. If volume remains weak on bounce attempts, continuation of the downtrend is likely. Summary: Gold is at a critical inflection point. The bullish trendline and swing low offer a potential reversal area, supported by a breakout in OBV. A recovery into the FVGs above looks likely if price can maintain this level. However, failure here would lead to a drop toward the demand zone. Traders should monitor volume, OBV continuation, and price action near FVGs for confirmation.
FX:XAUUSD
by King_BennyBag
4
XAUUSD-it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal". Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Candy-crypto1
2
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
Market Structure AnalysisMarket Structure Analysis HH (Higher High) and HL (Higher Low) labels indicate the prior uptrend structure. The recent price action shows consolidation and potential trend reversal or correction. 🟦 Highlighted Zones Supply Zones (resistance): Marked in light teal rectangles near the top of price action (e.g., around 3,400). Demand Zones (support): Marked below the current price (e.g., around 3,360 and lower near 3,320). 🔄 Ch0CH (Change of Character) A “Ch0CH” label is marked — this typically signals a potential shift in market structure (e.g., from bullish to bearish). This is further supported by the price breaking below a previous higher low. 📉 Trade Setup Red Zone: Indicates the stop-loss region. Green Zone: Indicates the take-profit target. A short (sell) position is implied here, expecting price to drop from the current level to the lower demand zone. 🔁 Projected Price Path A dotted white line projects a potential bearish move, with a minor retracement before continuation down to ~3,328.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Wednesday, the morning strategy suggested going long on gold at 3,375-3,365, perfectly seizing the pullback low and rebounding to the 3,400 level as expected. Today, there is also the Fed interest rate decision. Before the data release, short positions can be taken if the 3,400-3,405 level remains unbroken. If the 3,405-3,410 level is broken, we will continue to be bullish. Gold is in short-term oscillation, so try not to chase the market. Wait for a good entry opportunity. The upper level has also been repeatedly contested recently, and the Fed data is likely to break the range after its release. For gold, continue to adopt an oscillating approach. In the 4H cycle, it is operating below the middle band. The short-term range is 3,405-3,365. If it breaks above 3,405, it can continue to target 3,420 and 3,450. Conversely, if it breaks below 3,365, it can fall to 3,350. In operation, prioritize long positions with short positions as a supplement, and adjust the strategy when a breakout occurs. XAUUSD buy@3370-3375 tp:3390-3400-3420 sell@3395-3400 tp:3380-3370 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
June 19 XAUUSD Setup — FOMC Aftershock or Bull Trap? Hey traders 👋 After yesterday’s FOMC fireworks and a weak reaction to initial retail sales data, gold broke structure into 3363 and is now floating below key resistance. Price is compressing under the previous H1 lower high, and liquidity continues to build on both sides — perfect conditions for engineered spikes. Let’s break it down clearly. 🌍 Macro & Sentiment Yesterday’s FOMC left rates unchanged, but Fed tone leaned hawkish. Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims disappointed — slight downside pressure on the dollar. Geopolitical front remains tense: no ceasefire in Gaza, Iran-Israel rhetoric escalates, and Russia-Ukraine conflict is ongoing. Liquidity is king — and gold is being boxed for the next big move. 📉 Bias & Structure Daily: Compression after FOMC, lower high remains in control. H4: Bearish break below 3380, EMA21 hovering above price. H1: Trendline structure broken, EMA5/21 forming bearish cross, RSI below 50. Fibo: H1 drawn from 3452 to 3363 — key golden zone at 3405–3415. 🎯 Bias: Tactical Bearish under 3415 — looking for short-term bounces or premium traps to sell. 🧠 Sniper Zones 🔻 Sell Zones 1️⃣ 3405 – 3415 → Key golden zone + EMA21 + FVG → Monitor M15/M5 rejection for continuation sells 2️⃣ 3435 – 3445 → Premium OB trap zone → If price spikes irrationally, this becomes the extreme reversal area 🔺 Buy Zones 1️⃣ 3365 – 3380 → Golden buy zone — real fib confluence → Already tapped today, but any clean retest may offer reactive bounce trades 2️⃣ 3335 – 3345 → Extreme flush zone — only valid if deep dump occurs → Watch for exhaustion and M15 reversal confirmation 🔻 Emergency Buy Zone: 3305 – 3292 🧠 Why this zone? ✅ H4 untested Order Block + FVG (June 11 candle). ✅ 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (H1 swing from 3452 → 3363). ✅ RSI likely to print oversold. ✅ Deep discount structure — potential final inducement for reversal. 🔔 Important: This is a backup zone, not for blind entries. It only becomes active if 3335 breaks with conviction (full candle body close + volume). Look for M15/M5 confirmation (divergence + price action signal) before engaging. 🔄 Flip Zone 3390 – 3398 → Volume zone from FOMC + OB test → If reclaimed cleanly, may flip intraday bias short-term 📌 Battle Notes Gold tapped 3363 today, reacting mildly. If price retraces toward 3405–3415, I’ll watch for shorts — but no early entries. Below 3365, watch for another bounce or setup around 3345. Flip zone remains indecisive until confirmed with volume. 🧭 Plan Recap → Bearish under 3415 → Pullback into 3405–3415 = short setup → Retest 3365–3380 = bounce watch → Flush into 3335 = reversal zone → 3435+ = irrational spike trap 🧠 Stay sniper. Wait for price to come to your zones — and execute only on confirmed reactions. — 🚀 If this helped bring clarity, tap that 🚀, leave your bias in the comments, and hit FOLLOW for real structure-based trading. 🟨 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles. — GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
1
Gold’s in a Trap — And That’s Exactly Why You Should Be CarefulGold is stuck in a tight sideways range. It’s been bouncing between $3,370–$3,380 for two days now. Everyone sees it. Every trader watching gold knows this level acted as support — and judging by the candle shadows, buyers are getting aggressive here. So if you're purely technical — yeah, looks like a solid buy right now. But here’s the twist… ___________________________________________________________ I’m not buying. And I’ll tell you why — because it's too obvious. When something screams "buy" from every chart and every textbook, that’s when you pause and ask yourself: “Am I about to walk into a classic setup… or actually catch a real move?” Because history shows us — these textbook setups often play out like this: Motivation → Encouragement → Payback. (See Chart 2) It goes like this: Price breaks a visible high or low (Motivation) Traders jump in and get some pips(Encouragement) Then — brutal reversal (Payback) Only then will everything get off the ground, and it will be fast, so that the "unnecessary" passengers who were "dropped off" should not have time to return to this train. So why are they "unwanted"? Well, here's one possible answer: because retail tends to hold losing trades too long , but gets spooked early on winners. We’re wired that way. So what happens when everyone starts booking profits after a small bounce? You get limit sell orders piling up , slowing momentum — sometimes even flipping the trend. And then what do big players do? Then come back in — buying at higher levels, averaging their positions. Not the best case scenario.... Key Takeaway: ______________________ Here’s my advice — especially if you’re in this game long-term: 1. Avoid those super obvious setups everyone else is jumping into. 2. Instead of asking, "Why should I open a trade now?" Try asking: "Why shouldn’t I open a trade now?" p.s. If you liked this kind of deep-dive — follow along. We don’t just read charts. We read the market behind them. Conclusion: _________________________ 📍 Gold is testing a key zone — but don’t let the crowd pull you in. 🧠 The first quick impulse is often a trap 📈 Stay sharp, stay ahead.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
1
Fed expected to remain on hold and ‘likely’ a ‘Nothing Burger’It is widely regarded as a ‘sealed deal’ that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain the current target rate at 4.25% - 4.50% today, marking a fourth consecutive meeting on hold. This is likely to displease US President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly called for rate cuts, recently referring to the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as ‘stupid’. Despite Trump’s approach, I do not see a path where the central bank needs to cut rates today. While I would agree that the US economy is softening, it is not sufficient to ring alarm bells at the Fed. May’s inflation data were soft, suggesting stickiness and limited impact from tariffs, and domestic demand remains stable. Meanwhile, while the job market has demonstrated signs of weakening, the US remains at full employment. Couple this with vague trade policy and the recent escalation between Israel and Iran – with US involvement a possibility at this point – the Fed are unlikely to move on rates until later on in the year. Markets are pricing in around two rate cuts this year (matching March’s Summary of Economic Projections ), targeting either the September or October meeting for the first 25-basis-point (bp) rate reduction. Were the Fed to throw a curveball and surprise markets by cutting rates by 25 bps today, it would trigger a sizable downside move in the US dollar (USD) and underpin a bid across the US equity market. With that said, with a rate cut already baked in, the market’s focus will shift to the Fed’s rate statement, the press conference, and the updated SEP. Importantly, the fresh projections are the first out of the Fed since Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs in early April. Uncertain times Uncertainty, although a somewhat overworked term at present, remains pertinent in today’s macroeconomic backdrop. Consequently, the Fed’s job of updating the dot plot (and the economic projections) is challenging. Like the market, Fed officials will struggle to gauge what the near-term future holds. I would not be surprised to see Powell echo a similar sentiment to the one expressed at the March meeting. Nevertheless, it should not raise too many eyebrows to see the Fed adopt a more hawkish tilt in its updated projections, with a slight upward (downward) revision to inflation (GDP [Gross Domestic Product). However, a marked change in direction in terms of lowering rates in the future from the Fed today is certainly something investors will be watching for, and could lead to increased volatility across major asset classes. If we see a dovish pivot, I will closely watch Spot Gold (XAU/USD), which has been hovering around all-time highs of US$3,500 for some time now. Spot Gold trading at demand A dovish scenario today could push the yellow metal towards the noted all-time high. As you can see from the chart below, daily flow has buyers and sellers squaring off within demand at US$3,343-US$3,392, which may provide enough of a floor to press higher today. In the event of a break south, the first port of call in terms of support would be at US$3,280, followed by another layer at US$3,208. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FPMarkets