Gold Rebounds After Filling Gap >> Bullish Continuation in SightHello guys!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength on the 4H chart after filling a key gap around the $3,290 level and bouncing off it with bullish intent.
🔹 What I see:
– Price previously broke out of a broad descending channel, flipping the structure bullish
– After forming a rising wedge, Gold corrected lower and filled the gap
– The zone around $3,290 acted as solid support, and the current bounce suggests bulls are regaining control
📈 Outlook:
If this bounce holds and momentum builds, the next area of interest is clearly marked:
🎯 First Target: $3,466 – an area of prior structure and possible supply
📍 Current Price: $3,329
🟢 Bias: Bullish (above $3,290)
🔴 Invalidated below: $3,244
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity if the structure continues holding. Keep an eye on price action near the recent local highs for confirmation.
GOLD trade ideas
Strong weekend selling pressure, below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) came under renewed selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, retreating below the $3,300 level after a lackluster performance the previous day. The precious metal is edging closer to the two-week low seen on Tuesday, as investors await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. This key inflation gauge is expected to offer fresh insight into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and could significantly influence US Dollar (USD) movements—ultimately shaping the near-term trajectory of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure at the end of the week caused gold prices to fall below 3300, maintaining selling pressure and falling today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3326- 3328 SL 3333
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3302
TP3: $3290
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3250 SL $3243
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Down for goldHi traders,
Last week gold went lower then expected (wavecount updated).
The last wave down could be wave 2 or it's part of a big Triangle/ Flat.
Next week we could see this pair to go lower to sweep the liquidity below the lows and fill the 4H bullish FVG.
After that it could go up again.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to finish and trade (short term) shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
XAUUSD: Bearish Trend, Key Support at $3,295Market Overview
In today’s trading session (26/06/2025), XAUUSD shows continued downward momentum. Gold prices are currently hovering around $3,302.05, with a slight drop of 0.01%. The intraday price range has been tight, between $3,330.00 and $3,350.00, indicating a battle between the buyers and sellers around the short-term equilibrium zone.
Recent price action suggests that after a brief recovery, gold is once again encountering resistance at the $3,350.00 level. In the coming hours, a decisive breakout either above this resistance or below current support will dictate the market’s next move.
Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: The first significant support is at the $3,295.37 level (50% Fibonacci retracement), with the next support at $3,296.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), followed by a crucial level at $3,300.56.
Resistance Levels: The primary resistance area lies around $3,350.00, with the second resistance at $3,327.72, which coincides with the 3.618 extension of the previous price swing.
Price Action Analysis
As seen in the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (yellow) moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price action is forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
Bearish Trend Continuation: A break below the support at $3,295.37 could signal further downside towards $3,290.00 or even $3,275.00. The yellow trendline indicates the overall bearish direction, and any failure to hold above $3,300.00 could trigger additional selling pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price is testing the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. A rejection at these levels could cause a pullback towards lower support zones, confirming the bearish outlook for the short term.
Volume Analysis
The volume chart shows relatively low volatility, with decreasing volume during the price pullbacks. This suggests that there is not enough buying interest to push the price higher, and the market may be more inclined towards bearish continuation in the near term.
Market Sentiment
Currently, the market is undecided. The recent price action suggests that traders are waiting for a confirmation of direction. The next few hours are critical in determining if the downtrend will continue or if we will see a short-term bounce at one of the key support levels.
Trading Strategy
Short Position: A break below $3,295.37 would be an excellent opportunity to short XAUUSD with a target at $3,290.00, and further down to $3,275.00.
Long Position: Only consider long positions if XAUUSD manages to break above $3,350.00 decisively, with the next target near $3,375.00.
Conclusion
XAUUSD remains under pressure, and unless there’s a strong reversal at support levels, the bearish momentum could continue in the short term. Traders should monitor the key levels mentioned above closely to adjust positions accordingly.
XAUUSD GOLD buy holdXAUUSD GOLD BUY NOW – LONG TRADE SETUP ACTIVE 🟡📈
Gold has pulled back to a key support area and is now showing signs of strength at the current price of $3301.
This zone is acting as a strong base for buyers, signaling a potential bullish continuation in the coming sessions.
We are entering a LONG position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, supported by market structure and technical confirmation.
🔹 Current Price: $3301
🎯 Target Levels: First target at $3350, extended target at $3400+
🛑 Stop Loss: Recommended below $3275 to protect capital
As long as price holds above the support zone, bulls remain in control.
Patience, discipline, and proper risk management are key — let the trend do the work.
Gold is poised for upside — time to ride the wave!
XAUUSD 📉 XAUUSD Technical Overview (15-min TF)
Recommendation: Bearish.
The pair is showing clear downside momentum, with price having broken below recent intraday highs and forming a series of lower highs and lower lows on the 15‑minute chart.
Target:
We are targeting the prior intraday low around 3295, which represents a logical short-term support area and likely liquidity target before price could consolidate or correct.
ICT Price Delivery Theory - 23-27 June ICT Price Delivery Theory Starting from first day of the week 23/06 with 3 session starting from Asia with half of London Accumulation (Blue Line) then NYC Start with Expansion and Retracement to hunt the stops for long and short positions (Orange Line)
Finally it goes to Reversal till 2nd NYC Session(Green line)
Will the FALL continues?Last trade idea was fulfilled and went into the downside. Targeted 3250. If this 3250 major support area breaks down, we can expect a bigger downside move.
However, there’s a huge buying that happened at that level. It may first have a pullback upwards before it continues its decline. RSI is also at oversold level.
Bullish reversal can be confirmed if 3350 gets broken.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Rebound or Trap?1. Market Overview
After a sharp rejection near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, XAUUSD has pulled back and is now trading around 3,323 USD. Although price has stabilized somewhat, technical indicators suggest this is likely a corrective move within a prevailing downtrend.
2. Technical Analysis
Price Action
XAUUSD is currently hovering near 3,323 USD after a failed attempt to break above the resistance zone at 3,373–3,392 USD — an area marked by:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent downtrend
Repeated historical rejections.
The upper boundary of a sideways consolidation range from early June.
Recent candlesticks show indecision and rejection from higher levels, suggesting sellers are still in control.
Support Zone Behavior
The price recently bounced from the 3,294–3,317 USD range, where strong historical support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level align.
This zone continues to hold, but if broken, could open the door to deeper declines toward the 3,250 or even 3,224 USD levels.
RSI Indicator
RSI remains flat around the neutral zone, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
No significant divergence or breakout signals are currently visible on the daily RSI chart.
3. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluence resistance zone (0.618 Fib + historical supply).
3,435 – 3,453 USD: Previous swing high – key medium-term benchmark
Support:
3,294 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support, holding for now.
3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential next target zone if bearish pressure resumes.
4. Trade Setup Scenarios.
Scenario 1 – Buy if support holds and bullish confirmation appears
Entry: 3,295 – 3,305 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD.
Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD.
Condition: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Pin Bar) on H1–H4.
Scenario 2 – Sell on rejection from resistance zone
Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD.
Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD.
Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD.
Condition: Clear bearish rejection candlestick with diminishing volume
Note:
XAUUSD remains in a vulnerable state. The current move may be a technical rebound rather than a true reversal. Traders should watch closely how price behaves around the 3,373–3,392 USD zone in the coming sessions. A breakout could signal a new bullish leg, while another rejection would likely confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
Gold strategy analysis for next week, hope it helps youThe current gold price stands at $3,273, showing a significant decline from previous levels. Looking back at Friday's trading, the gold market was in a state of "unrelenting decline": during the early Asian session, gold attempted a rebound, edging up to around $3,328, but was quickly met with resistance and pulled back. The downward trend continued into the European session, and with the release of the U.S. May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data during the U.S. session, gold prices fell further, hitting a low of around $3,355. Although there was a small rebound in recovery afterward, it eventually closed near $3,274, forming a large阴线 with a long lower shadow on the daily chart.
**Factors Influencing the Trend**
Market sentiment has reacted strongly to the optimistic agreements reached on trade-related matters, which has significantly boosted risk appetite. Simply put, when people feel the market environment is safe and there are plenty of profit opportunities, they are less willing to park their money in safe-haven assets like gold, thus greatly reducing gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
**Technical Analysis**
- **Daily Chart**: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, and short-term moving averages have formed a "bearish alignment"—it’s like a group of friends who were originally running in the same direction suddenly all turned around and started running downward.
- **4-Hour Chart**: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and gold prices are like being pushed by a force, moving steadily downward along the lower band. The previous top-bottom conversion level at around $3,310 is crucial. If gold fails to reclaim this level next week, it will be like losing an important position in a battle, which will intensify short-term selling pressure and make it highly likely that the downward trend continues.
**Outlook for Next Week**
The market will be bustling next week:
- Major central bank governors worldwide will hold a panel discussion, like a gathering of "financial giants" to discuss important matters. Their remarks and consensus may have a significant impact on the market.
- The non-farm payroll data, long known as a "heavyweight bomb" in financial markets, will also be released. It reflects the state of the U.S. job market, which is closely linked to the economy and monetary policy, so its release often triggers sharp market fluctuations.
- Additionally, talks about whether Powell will resign may continue to ferment next week, stirring up the market.
Affected by these major events, gold prices are expected to fluctuate more violently around the lower Bollinger Band at $3,270 per ounce next week, and there is a need to be cautious of a second dip.
**Comprehensive Judgment**
The gold market faces high uncertainty next week, but the probability of an overall bearish trend is relatively high:
- **Upper Resistance**: Pay attention to the $3,310–$3,300 range in the short term, a key boundary between bulls and bears. A breakthrough here could bring a turnaround for gold.
- **Lower Support**: Focus on the $3,250 level in the short term. A break below this level may open up further downside space.
From the indicator signals:
- The MACD double line is running below the zero axis, forming a death cross, and the green energy column is continuing to expand—like a car stepping on the gas, accelerating downward.
- The RSI is operating in the oversold region around 39. Although there is a possibility of a short-term bottom, it also faces a pullback correction. However, the bearish momentum currently holds the upper hand.
Gold strategy analysis for next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD sell@3290~3280
SL:3310
TP:3370~3350
Gold: Resistance Validated, Short at 3340-3350 Tomorrow📈 Gold Trading Recap & Tomorrow's Strategy: Resistance Holds, Short Opportunities Persist
💎 Today's newly updated live short strategy hit the TP target successfully! As mentioned earlier, when gold failed to break the support level, we anticipated it to range around 3330—today's trades were precisely centered on this logic. The 3350 resistance was also validated firmly during the session.
💎 Expect further upside in tomorrow's Asian session—recommend continuing short positions within the 3340-3350 range 🚀
🚀 Sell@3350 - 3345
🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU/USD (Gold) Breakout or Breakdown Setup – Key Decision ZoneThe Gold Spot (XAU/USD) price action is currently at a crucial inflection point after consolidating in a rising wedge pattern between ascending support and horizontal resistance. This type of structure typically indicates a strong directional breakout is likely, and the current daily candle shows a close below the ascending support, signaling a potential bearish breakdown confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Confirmed Below 3250)
If price sustains below the 3250 support breakdown level, it confirms a bearish breakdown from the wedge. The height of the wedge (distance between the base of the move and the resistance) is used to project the downside target, giving us key levels to monitor:
Breakdown Confirmation: Below 3250.00
Target 1: 3111.67
Target 2: 2990.31
Projected Downside Target: 2861.24
This move suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction if buyers fail to reclaim the ascending structure quickly.
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Above 3500)
On the flip side, if bulls manage to push price back above the 3500 level, it would invalidate the current bearish momentum and confirm a bullish breakout. The projected upside targets are based on the same measured move logic:
Breakout Confirmation: Above 3500.00
Target 1: 3621.90
Target 2: 3741.84
Projected Upside Target: 3855.78
A close above 3500 with volume would set the tone for a fresh rally toward new highs.
🧭 Strategy Outlook
Short Bias (active): Entry below 3250; SL above 3300; TP at 3110 / 2990 / 2860
Long Bias (if reversal): Entry above 3500; SL below 3460; TP at 3620 / 3740 / 3850
Always wait for a strong daily candle close beyond the breakout/breakdown levels before initiating any trades
=================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
=================================================================
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37%
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only.
#gold #dollar
Gold Pullback Into Demand – Is Another Bullish Leg Coming?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, price began to rise from the $3323 area and reached up to $3350. After this move, gold experienced a minor correction down to $3310, which aligns with a key demand zone.
Currently, gold is trading around $3322, and if price holds above $3313, we can expect another bullish move with $3333 as the first target and $3350 as the second.
This outlook will be invalidated if price closes below $3309.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD 1. Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21)
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
Context:
Despite the drop in new claims, continuing claims (people receiving ongoing benefits) rose to about 1.97 million, the highest since November 2021, indicating some softening in the labor market. Economists expect the unemployment rate to edge up slightly to around 4.3% in June from 4.2% in May.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025)
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025)
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025)
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressure.
#GOLD
XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFF Part III missed to Publish my Idea here, I frequently share charts on my X handle for those who would like to follow, @JOHNDOUGHFX
OK let get into it.. I will publish my entire Idea as I did from the start of the sells, it has been quiet accurate but with terrible choppy PA.
FOMC likely a no move event. Rates to stay high due to tariff risks, Gold has been sentiment driven from last week-so Risk ON/OFF dominates.
Israel-Iran talks ongoing → expect noise + fake escalations before a “Deal"
Gold Order Flow zones at 3409 / 3450
Israel–Iran conflict = main wildcard.
Expect sudden headline moves: escalation threats → quick spikes.
But watch for fake outs followed by a “deal” headlines.
That’s your Risk ON trigger.
Buy the rumor, sell the news.
Key levels for OANDA:XAUUSD :
⚠️ Liquidity trap zone: 3409–3415
⚠️ Double top watch: 3448–3450 (psy level)
Below 3400, we could fade toward:
🔻 3350
🔻 3330
🔻 3322
Plan both sides, don’t chase breakouts.
For today's Analysis, Yesterday we have closed a bullish Doji Candle, signaling buyers, even though we broke below today, there was no selling pressure breaking the previous Daily low, and it has reacted close to As we have tapped the 39 Area, and pulled back, 43-45 if defended, will see price push higher into the high 65-70-75 extended Price Points before we can look for sells again.
As Iran - US tensions are now extended for 2 weeks, I believe the typical news escalations will keep price action on the edge, at present the market is sentiment driven with Risk OFF, so plan your trades accordingly. Risk ON can come with any optimistic news, especially a "DEAL"
Cheers and have a good last trading day!!
XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFF Part III 🚨 Trump announces a ceasefire
This likely kills any chance for TVC:GOLD to retest higher sell zones.
No more upside, just continuation plays for the bears, watch for momentum to pick up on the downside. More market optimism means RISK ON - Gold Bearish , DXY Bounce, Stocks Rally.
Watching the markets today, It was like it wants optimism but the drama with escalations and uncertainty kept it where it was all day, I usually avoid Mondays, but now that this has been announced, we will see Market Optimistic and sentiment drive Gold Lower if there are no further escalations than what has already happened, which simply means the US or Iran would have to do more severe damage beyond what has already happened.
We will be back to Fundamentals driving Gold if there is no other major event!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Ceasefire #RiskOn #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Commodities
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold BearsGOLD has reached my previous analysis target ✅
Now seeing a pullback wave before potential continuation to the downside, keep in mind it is End of Month.
🎯 Pullback Zones:
1️⃣ 3340
2️⃣ Extended: 3350–3356
📉 If no new bullish fundamentals:
Next targets: 3293–3280
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #TradingLevels #MarketOutlook
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart GANNGOLD is still under selling pressure, indicators 9slightly) but below cloud is crucial and feels we may see $ 2,267 test in the near future.
we are perhaps tiny oversold, and for that reason strategy is:
SELL @ $ 3,350-3,375 and take profit near $ 3,275 for now.
Hanzo Drex | 15-Min Bullish Reversal Setup – 300 Pips in Sight🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Reversal Execution
Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Reversals
👌Bullish Reversal : 3397
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.