Gold (XAU/USD) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup🧠 Chart Pattern Identified: Inverse Head & Shoulders
🟡 Left Shoulder ➡️ Formed at a local dip.
⚫ Head ⬇️ Deepest low around 3,274.103.
🟡 Right Shoulder ➡️ Bouncing near the same zone.
🔁 This is a classic bullish reversal pattern — a break above the neckline could signal a strong upside move.
📊 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Support Zone:
🟦 Area: 3,274 – 3,294
✅ Strong bounce seen here (highlighted by the head and shoulders base)
🔵 Resistance Zone:
📏 Just below 3,305 (marked as neckline)
✋ Price must break this to confirm the reversal
🔵 Target Point:
🎯 3360 📈
📏 Based on the height from head to neckline
🔵 Stop Loss Zone:
❌ 3,274.526
🔻 Below the head for safe risk control
⚙️ Trading Setup Summary
🔹 📍 Entry Point:
📌 Around 3,294.449
🚪 Enter on breakout above neckline
🔹 🎯 Target Point:
🏁 3360
🔹 🛑 Stop Loss:
🚫 3,274.526
🔹 Risk-Reward Setup:
🔍 Targeting a move of ~65 points
⚖️ Risk of ~20 points → solid R/R ratio
📈 Indicator:
🧮 EMA 70 ➡️ 3,305.005
⏳ Price currently testing it — a break above EMA would boost bullish confirmation.
📅 Economic Events:
📆 Multiple event icons suggest upcoming news — expect volatility!
⚠️ Be cautious during these times.
✅ Final Thoughts:
📊 Pattern suggests a bullish breakout is near 🚀
🔒 Use stop-loss and enter after breakout to manage risk effectively
🎯 Keep an eye on volume during breakout — it confirms strength
GOLD trade ideas
Gold still being pressured by bearsI do belive we will see more downside on gold this new week. On friday gold showed a clear resistance from the trendline and bounced aggressively off of it. currently trying to correct into 3299 zones and drop further down. No strong supports in sight till we get to the daily bullish trendline all the way at the bottom. OANDA:XAUUSD
THE KOG REPORT - NFPQuick one today as we haven't had much time to put together the report.
Instead, the red box levels are shared below and the extreme red boxes are on the chart.
We have key level 3365 which needs to break as shown and key level 3345 which needs to break downside.
RED BOX TARGETS
Break above 3365 for 3366, 337, 3385, 3390, 3406 and 3420 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3345, 3336, 3329, 3320, 3310 and 3298 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Why Gold and Not Forex Pairs?The truth behind XAUUSD’s sniper potential.
— by GoldFxMinds
Let’s get real. If you’ve ever asked:
“Why does everyone trade Gold? Why not EURUSD, GU, or NAS?”
Here’s the straight answer from a sniper’s perspective 👇
🔑 1. Structure Never Lies on Gold
Gold respects pure price action like no other pair.
Break of Structure, CHoCH, FVG, OB, liquidity sweeps — they hit perfectly. No fake noise, just clean technicals.
📌 Gold tells the truth. The question is: Can you read it?
🚀 2. Massive Intraday Range
XAUUSD can move 200–500 pips in a single session
EURUSD? You’re lucky with 80–100 pips.
More volatility = more sniper opportunities.
But only for those with discipline and a plan.
🌍 3. Gold Reacts to the Real World
Unlike other pairs that follow interest rates or risk sentiment, Gold responds directly to fear, war, and uncertainty.
War in the Middle East? Gold pumps.
Fed chaos? Gold spikes.
Unemployment shock? Gold shifts.
It’s a true macro indicator — a safe haven in times of global panic.
Master the macro + structure, and you’ll never be lost.
🔁 4. Repeating Liquidity Patterns
Gold runs on liquidity traps, sweep-and-reverse setups, and smart money moves.
Once you master its rhythm, it becomes a game of patience — not guessing.
🧠 5. Sniper Logic Wins, Not Indicators
Most pairs need heavy indicator confluence.
Gold?
Just structure, liquidity, OBs, and confirmation.
Clean. Precise. Tactical.
🔥 6. It’s a Mirror of Your Mindset
Gold punishes greed. Gold exposes hesitation.
It will show you exactly what you lack as a trader.
If you respect the chart and your rules — it will reward you.
If not, it humbles you instantly.
💛 So Why Gold?
Because it’s the only chart that gives you truth if you learn to read it.
Not noise. Not manipulation.
Just structure, liquidity, and opportunity.
Trade it right — and Gold will reward you with clarity.
📍 Follow GoldFxMinds if you’re tired of guessing
and ready to learn how to read price like a sniper.
💬 Drop a comment:
Why did you choose Gold?
Let’s build this community with logic, not hype.
— GoldFxMinds 🔥
GOLD: Bullish Outlook - Nothing ChangedGOLD: Bullish Outlook - Nothing Changed
Based on our analysis, gold has reached the first target near 3,378.50 and has already made a small correction, establishing a base near 3,362.
From a fundamental perspective, no significant changes occurred yesterday, meaning there is no clear reason for gold to shift direction under normal conditions. The price may continue its slow ascent toward 3,390, 3,400, 3,425, and 3,450.
However, caution is advised, as these movements appear to be driven more by market manipulation rather than purely technical factors.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Previous analysis:
GOLD increased in the short term, approaching an important levelFrom a recent price action standpoint, the move on Gold may have offered cues of encountering weakness, and could serve as a key trigger for bearish traders. This is why I’m anticipating further short-side follow-through. The negative outlook is not confirmed yet, however a bounce off the trendline could once again attract sellers, for a decent move to 3,240 support zone . This latter zone, could be a key turning point that if broken, would lead to a good opportunities for buyers looking to get involved on the dips, anticipating a potential shift in momentum.
But a strong move up and break of trendline at around 3335-3340, would allow Gold to reclaim the 3400 mark and climb even further.
On Monday in my last analysis I predicted that the price gold would fall as low as 3290, after which the price has rebounded short term. All this being said, I am closely watching how price will react when it encounters the trendline as shown and I will wait for any confirmation clues.
Please note that I will not get involved without proper confirmation
Eyes on the Trap: Will Gold Explode or Collapse from Here👋 Hey gold warriors — Tuesday’s battlefield is fully loaded.
After a strong NY push, Gold is now deep in premium, pressing into key H1/H4 supply. Liquidity is building above, and the market is hunting late buyers. With Powell’s speech on the radar, structure will decide everything.
Will we explode through 3400... or collapse back into discount?
Let’s lock in the zones that matter 👇
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Reversal Hotspots
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Main Rejection Zone 3384–3398 Final imbalance + H1/H4 supply. Rejection here with M15/M30 CHoCH = high-probability short.
🔺 Breakout Trap Zone 3368–3375 Already broken weak high — could act as a pivot if price fails to hold above. Watch for bearish reaction.
🔺 Sweep Extension Zone 3405–3412 Only valid on impulsive break above 3398. Look for wick trap or quick rejection.
🔺 Extreme Premium Zone 3440–3458 Deep liquidity + fib extension. If reached, this is the ultimate sniper sell zone — watch for divergence and exhaustion.
🔹 BUY ZONES – Demand Reload Triggers
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔹 M30 Demand Rebound 3332–3342 Short-term OB + FVG. Scalps only. Must see HL confirmation on M15.
🔹 H1 Demand Cluster 3305–3315 Strong BOS origin + FVG. Clean area to build long if price pulls back.
🔹 Intermediate Reaction Zone 3270–3284 Minor FVG + past reaction. Not a major OB, but could bounce. Confirmation needed!
🔹 Deep Discount Demand 3244–3255 H4 OB + macro structure support. If market flushes here, expect powerful rejection setup.
🧠 Strategic Scenarios
📉 Sell Setup A → Spike into 3384–3398 → M15 shift → short to 3332, then 3305
📉 Sell Setup B → Breakout to 3405–3412 → trap wick → short with target back to 3342
📉 Sell Setup C → Full sweep into 3440–3458 → divergence + reversal → high-prob swing short
📈 Buy Setup A → Pullback into 3315 → HL confirmed → long toward 3375
📈 Buy Setup B → Clean bounce from 3270–3284 with CHoCH → scalp to 3332
📈 Buy Setup C → Washout into 3255 → bullish engulfing or M15 BOS → long setup toward 3305+
⚙️ EMAs & Momentum
✅ EMA 5/21/50 = bullish lock across TFs
⚠️ RSI showing divergence in premium → risk of exhaustion above 3400
🔁 Price now extended — wait for clear reaction before taking action
💬 Final Word from GoldFxMinds
We’re in the zone — literally.
This is not the time to chase green candles or short early.
🧠 Let the structure shift. Let liquidity clear.
Then enter with confidence, not emotion.
💛 If you appreciate this sniper-grade breakdown:
👍 Smash that LIKE
💬 Comment your thoughts below
📍 And follow GoldFxMinds for real-time intraday updates and battle-tested plans.
Let’s trade like tacticians, not gamblers.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD: Break or Bounce at ResistanceGold has reached a critical technical zone near a long-term descending trendline and horizontal resistance around $3360–3380. Price action suggests a make-or-break moment is unfolding.
Key Technical Structure:
Descending Trendline Resistance from the April high capped the rally.
Current move has formed a rising wedge — typically bearish if broken.
Price is testing resistance confluence — a rejection could send Gold lower.
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bullish Breakout:
Clean breakout and close above $3380 confirms trendline invalidation.
Upside projection points to $3500 — previous high and psychological level.
🔹 Bearish Rejection:
Failure to break the trendline + wedge breakdown can drag price to:
$3280 (38.2% Fib)
$3160–3200 zone (61.8% Fib + demand area)
Macro Factors to Watch:
Tariff escalation between US–EU could trigger risk-off → bullish for Gold.
FOMC policy pause, weak job data, or inflation rebound also support upside.
Stronger USD or yield spike may trigger wedge breakdown → bearish.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is at a key inflection point. Wait for confirmation: either a clean breakout or a clear reversal rejection. Trade the resolution, not the anticipation.
Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones:
🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area):
📌 3,315 – 3,340
This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest.
🔹 Minor Support Zone:
📌 Around 3,243
Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down.
🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone):
📌 3,120 – 3,140
Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities.
📈 EMA Levels:
🔴 50 EMA: 3,299
🔵 200 EMA: 3,254
Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying.
Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term.
Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉.
📉 Forecast Path:
🔮 Projected Move:
Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243.
Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠.
Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈.
💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
🟥 Bias: Short
🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122
📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone
🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support level to $3420Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to triangle, where it rebounded from resistance line and dropped to support line.
Also, price broke $3345 with $3210 levels, after which it turned around and rose to $3210 level, broke it.
Then Gold made retest, and then continued to grow to $3345 level, and even rose to resistance line of triangle.
And then started to decline to support line of triangle, after which it turned around and made an impulse up.
Price exited from triangle and broke $3345 level, which coincided with resistance area, and now trades inside.
I think that Gold can correct to support level and then continue to grow to $3420 points.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to youAnalysis of the Original Text: Drivers of Gold Price and Logic of Bull-Bear Game
I. Fed Policy Expectations: The Core Catalyst for Short-Term Volatility
1.The Game Between Internal Divergence and Market ExpectationsThe divergence within the Fed on the path of interest rate cuts reflects uncertainties in monetary policy:
- Dovish camp (Daly): Explicitly supports two rate cuts by the end of 2025, conveying a loose tendency, which is bullish for gold (precious metals generally benefit from low-interest-rate environments).
- Hawkish camp (Logan): Emphasizes data dependency, implying a high threshold for rate cuts, which may suppress market speculative sentiment.Currently, market expectations for a rate cut in June are extremely low (2.2%), but the probability of a rate cut in September exceeds 80%, reflecting the market's preference for a "delayed easing" logic. This divergence in expectations may lead to short-term volatility in gold prices while maintaining an upward central trend in the long term.
2.The "Watershed" Role of Nonfarm Payroll DataThe May nonfarm payroll data to be released on June 6 is a key factor for short-term pricing:
- If the data is weak (new jobs <150,000 + slow wage growth): It will strengthen market concerns about an economic slowdown, and expectations for rate cuts may heat up ahead of schedule, pushing gold prices above the $3,320 resistance level (corresponding to a technical breakout point for changed Fed policy expectations).
- If the data is strong (new jobs >200,000): It may delay rate cut expectations and trigger short-term selling, with gold prices possibly falling to $3,250 (corresponding to the previous support level and the cost range of the People's Bank of China's gold purchases).Underlying logic: Nonfarm payroll data affects gold through expectations of real interest rates (nominal rates - inflation). Since gold does not generate interest, a decline in real interest rates reduces holding costs, tending to push prices higher.
II. Gold Purchases by the People's Bank of China: A "Safety Cushion" for Long-Term Bulls
1.The Strategic Significance of Sustained Purchases
- As of April 2025, China's gold reserves reached 2,294.51 tons, with net purchases for seven consecutive months, approaching the psychological threshold of 2,300 tons. Such purchases feature a clear "buy-the-dip" strategy, creating dense buying support in the $3,250-$3,300 range and forming technical support (similar to institutional investors' "dollar-cost averaging" strategy to smooth out price fluctuations).
- If gold purchase data continues to show net purchases in May (expected +2 tons), it will signal that "central banks are bullish on gold," potentially attracting follow-on buying (e.g., commercial banks, sovereign funds) and strengthening the long-term upward trend.
2.The Structural Support from the Global Central Bank Gold Buying TideIn Q1 2025, global central banks purchased over 300 tons of gold net, with emerging markets (China, Poland, India, etc.) as the main buyers, reflecting the enhanced strategic value of gold as a reserve asset against the backdrop of de-dollarization. This trend is different from short-term speculation, being long-term and persistent, providing a "bottom-raising" impetus for gold prices, especially during Fed policy vacuums (e.g., June-September).
IV. Conclusion: Consolidation Phase, Focus on "Data Breakthrough" and "Central Bank Allocation"
Gold is currently in a balance between "policy expectation games" and "central bank gold purchase support." The short-term direction depends on the "marginal changes" in nonfarm data, while the long term is driven by global de-dollarization and central bank asset allocation needs. Investors should set observation windows at key levels ($3,250/$3,300/$3,325), dynamically adjust positions by combining macro events and technical signals, and avoid excessive trading in volatile markets.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320
XAU/USD 2H CHART PATTERNGold is currently respecting an ascending trendline, with price action forming higher lows, suggesting bullish momentum. The Ichimoku cloud provides dynamic support, and recent rejections from the trendline reinforce the buying interest. Price is testing a critical resistance zone after multiple failed breakout attempts, highlighted by the blue markers. A potential breakout above this zone may trigger strong upward continuation. Market structure favors bulls as long as price holds above the trendline and cloud. Volume and candlestick behavior near resistance will be crucial in confirming momentum. This setup aligns with breakout traders watching for continuation in the current trend.
Entry: 3350
Target 1: 3374
Target 2: 3405
Target 3: 3422
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone,
So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend.
Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420.
Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists.
The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves.
Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
Is gold going up or down?Gold trend analysis:
Technically, gold seems to be fluctuating upward for the time being, and there is no room for a unilateral surge. However, through this week's slow rise, it can be seen that gold is still in an absolute bullish trend. Therefore, no matter how it adjusts, the decline is an opportunity for bulls to enter the position. Gold will first remain in the range of 3332-3392 to see an increase. If it rises above 3400, the upper side will be 3440-3500. If it falls back and breaks through 3330, the lower side will be 3280.
Gold operation strategy:
It is recommended to go long near 3360, stop loss at 3350, and target 3380-3390;
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish ConfirmationGold reached a significant horizontal support last week, forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, which led to a bounce that broke through a strong downward trend line.
This indicates buyer strength, suggesting the market may continue to rise, with the next target set at 3382.
Gold: Bullish Flag Formation Suggests Further Upside Potential Hello guys, let's dive into Gold analysis!
Gold is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that typically follows a strong upward impulse (flagpole). After a sharp rally, the price consolidated within a downward channel, creating the classic flag structure.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Flagpole: The strong bullish rally in early April marks the beginning of the uptrend.
Flag (Channel): Price has corrected in a downward-sloping channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds, creating a textbook flag pattern.
Breakout Zone: Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would signal a continuation of the prior uptrend.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Target: Around $3,445, which aligns with the measured move from the breakout point.
Second Target: Around $3,725, representing full flagpole projection from the breakout zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Confirmation: A strong 4H close above the flag’s upper boundary (~$3,260) with volume confirmation would validate the pattern.
_____________________________________
Invalidation: A rejection from the resistance and a fall below the channel may delay the bullish scenario, potentially retesting lower support around $3,090.
📊 Conclusion:
This setup favors bulls, but patience is key. Traders may consider waiting for a clear breakout and retest for safer long entries, aiming for the outlined targets.
As long as gold falls, keep buyingBelow gold, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3353-60. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3338-45. The trend is still mainly to do more when it falls back. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3354-62. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400 above. Keep the main tone of low-long participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and do less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss 3336, and target 3395-3400.
DeGRAM | GOLD forming the ascending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is coiling inside an ascending flag that is riding the new support line at 3 342; flag range compression after each pull-back signals energy for a thrust.
● The pattern sits above the old channel roof, turning the former resistance into a launch pad; measured move of the flag points to the next confluence at 3 435.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US jobless claims ticked up while 10-yr yields slipped under 4.30 %; lower carry costs and renewed Chinese reserve buying reported by Reuters keep dip-buyers active in bullion.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 330-3 350; flag break targets 3 435, stretch 3 500. Invalidate on a 4 h close < 3 245.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold liquidity run short setup In this video I map out the range using the fixed range tool and talk about the possibility of a liquidity run on the weekly high before dropping back inside the range .
Engineering liquidity at the range value area high and thus heightening the expectation for more upside continuation , take the liquidity at $3392 and pull back below the vah *Value area high and head down to fill the new week open gap and the new monthly pivots $3297 and the poc * point of control and remain rangebound.
We all know that nothing is set in stone and this is just an idea out of many but its something to consider .
Set alerts and wait for reaction and lower time frame for confirmation
Thanks for your support