Gold Returns to the $3,300 per Ounce ZoneOver the past two trading sessions, gold has depreciated more than 1.5%, as a consistent bearish bias begins to emerge in price action. For now, selling pressure has remained steady, supported by a temporary decline in global economic uncertainty and a recent rebound in U.S. dollar strength, factors that have led gold’s upward momentum to steadily weaken.
Lateral Range Remains Intact
Recent price action in gold has defined a well-established sideways channel, with resistance near $3,400 and support around $3,200 per ounce. So far, price movement has been insufficient to break out of this range, making it the most relevant technical structure to monitor in the short term. As long as price remains within these boundaries, neutrality may continue to dominate.
Technical Indicators
MACD: The MACD indicator continues to oscillate near the neutral zero line, signaling that momentum from moving averages remains balanced. If this pattern persists, the sideways range could extend further.
RSI: A similar pattern is unfolding with the RSI, which is hovering around the 50 level, indicating a constant balance between buying and selling pressure. Sustained moves at this level could reinforce short-term price neutrality.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,400 per ounce: This historical high acts as the most significant resistance in the short term. A breakout above this level could trigger a stronger bullish bias and revive the upward trend stalled in recent weeks.
$3,300 per ounce: The current level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. Price movement around this zone could extend market neutrality.
$3,200 per ounce: A key support level and recent low. A retest of this area could trigger a more decisive bearish bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD On July 9, 2025, the FOMC Meeting Minutes from the June 17-18 session were released, providing insights into Federal Reserve policymakers' views on monetary policy, inflation, and economic risks.
Key Highlights from the FOMC Minutes:
The FOMC unanimously voted to hold the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.5% .
There was a notable split among members regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation:
Some saw tariffs causing only a one-time price increase with no lasting inflation effect.
Most feared tariffs could lead to more persistent inflationary pressures
The committee acknowledged elevated uncertainty around tariff policy and its timing, size, and duration of inflation effects.
Labor market conditions were viewed as solid but with some softening expected due to policy uncertainty and tariffs.
The committee remains cautious about the trade-offs between inflation and employment goals, favoring a gradual approach to future rate cuts.
Only a narrow minority of policymakers supported an immediate rate cut with most preferring to wait for clearer economic signals.
Market Reaction and Price Action
Gold Price Action:
Gold prices reacted to the minutes with modest volatility, as persistent inflation concerns support gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold remains near elevated levels around $3,250 to $3,316 per ounce, consolidating after recent gains.
The cautious Fed stance and tariff uncertainty underpin demand for gold as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks.
Summary Table
Event Details
FOMC Rate Decision Held at 4.25%–4.5%
Inflation Views Split on tariff impact; risk of persistent inflation
Rate Cut Support Narrow support for immediate cut in July
Overall Outlook
The Fed minutes reinforce a cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy, with inflation risks balanced against growth concerns.
Gold benefits from ongoing inflation worries and geopolitical uncertainty, maintaining strong support.
#GOLD
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart shows the Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with current price action around 3,311.195.
Key Observations:
1. Descending Trendline (blue):
Shows recent bearish structure with lower highs.
Price is now testing this trendline from below.
2. Support and Resistance Zones (purple boxes):
Support: Around 3,303 – 3,306 (recent consolidation area).
Resistance: Around 3,327 – 3,332 (previous high and zone of interest).
3. Breakout Setup:
Blue arrow indicates a possible bullish breakout scenario.
The price is projected to break above the descending trendline and move toward the upper resistance zone (~3,330+).
4. Volume/Events Icon:
Icons suggest potential news events or volatility (such as U.S. data or FOMC-related impact), possibly increasing breakout chances.
Implication:
This is a bullish scenario suggesting:
A breakout of the descending trendline.
Retest of the breakout level.
Continuation toward the resistance zone (~3,330).
Strategy:
If trading this:
Entry: On confirmation of breakout and retest above 3,310–3,312.
Target: 3,327–3,332.
Stop Loss: Below the recent support ~3,300.
Would you like help building a trade plan or checking the fundamentals behind this move?
Gold 1hour bearish analysis The chart is presented in a dark mode interface, with red and green candlesticks indicating price movements over time. Various technical indicators are available, including moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands, although none are currently applied to the chart. A replay feature is also available, enabling users to review historical price action and analyze past market trends. The overall impression suggests that the user is actively monitoring the Gold market, potentially for trading or investment purposes.
Expecting Gold bullish Movement The chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute timeframe Price action has recently tested and respected a key demand zone marked as the Kee point around the 32853 level This area acted as strong support with multiple rejections suggesting buyer interest
Following this, the price has started forming higher lows and higher highs indicating the beginning of a bullish structure The large blue arrow suggests bullish momentum is expected to continue, aiming for upside targets
Key Levels
Kee Point Support Zone 3285 Crucial area where the reversal initiated
Target 1: 3316 First resistance level and a potential take-profit zone
Target 2: 3330 Final bullish target if momentum sustains
Outlook
As long as the price holds above the Kee Point, bullish continuation is favored
Breaking and closing above Target 1 could lead to further gains toward Target 2
A break below the Kee Point would invalidate this bullish scenario
This setup presents a potential buying opportunity with defined upside targets contingent on sustained bullish pressure
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🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟
"The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel:
XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇
🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🏴☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone)
"Wait for the breakout, then ambush!"
🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits):
Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00
Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes)
Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!)
Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!)
Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!)
(Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!)
Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!)
Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00
Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!)
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News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
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Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment.
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TRENDLINE BREAKOUT [LONG]In this analysis we're focusing on 4H timeframe. As we know that price move impulse toward upside and break trendline, now I'm waiting for retracement. Once price reach my zone and give any type of bullish confirmation than we'll execute our trade. This is a higher time frame analysis and key levels. Let's analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Gold Recovers on Safe-Haven Flows Amid U.S. Trade UncertaintyFX:XAUUSD – Market Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
Gold has recovered from prior losses, stabilizing on the back of renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating global trade tensions.
Analysts point to growing concerns over a broader U.S.-led trade war, which has pushed investors toward gold as a defensive asset. While President Trump has delayed the reimplementation of tariffs until August 1 to allow for negotiation, markets remain cautious, and volatility is expected to persist.
Technical Outlook:
Gold is currently trading above the pivot level at 3320, which has a consolidation within 3320 - 3342 range
Stability above 3342 would likely extend the rally toward 3365, with 3356 as an intermediate resistance.
However, a 1H candle close below 3320 could shift momentum back to bearish, targeting 3297 and 3281.
Support Levels: 3312 / 3297 / 3281
Resistance Levels: 3342 / 3356 / 3365
Gold Market Mitigates 3280 – Eyes on 3330 PullbackAfter sustaining its bearish sentiment, the gold market mitigates the 3280 zone, creating room for a potential pullback to 3330. Current price action suggests a shift in structure could be forming, anticipating a bullish correction in the short term.follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD-SELL strategy 3D chart GANN SQGOLD may lose its shine, as we observe a clear "negative divergence" whereby rising prices and a declining RSI. We are breaking out of a triangle formation, plus we are negative on fisher and other indicators (not shown).
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,300-3,350 and take profit near $ 2,965 for now.
Continue to short gold, bears will exert force againAffected by the NFP market, gold fell precipitously, almost giving back 50% of the gains in the previous wave, and the short-selling performance was particularly strong; technically, gold successfully built a double-top structural resistance in the 3365-3363 area in the short term, which played a technical suppression role in the short term. As gold fell, the current short-term resistance moved down to the 3340-3350 area;
On the other hand, although gold began to rebound after falling to around 3312, it clearly showed the characteristics of weak rebound, and it did not even stand above 3340 once, and the long forces were insufficient; and technically, a single lower shadow line was not enough to support the continued rebound of gold, so gold still had the need to retrace the support below from a technical perspective; and once gold fell again, it was very likely to test the 3305-3295 area again.
So I think we can take advantage of the rebound of gold to short gold again. We can still short gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance and look at the target area: 3315-3305-3295.
XAUUSD (GOLD) – 1H Analysis – Smart Money ConceptPrice is currently reacting around the 1H bearish order block (OB) within the supply zone near $3,300 – $3,320. We expect a short-term bullish retracement into this premium zone before a potential bearish continuation toward our Point of Interest (POI) at the green demand zone ($3,245 – $3,260).
📌 Two scenarios in play:
Sell from current supply zone ($3,300–$3,320) → First TP near $3,265 → Final TP at $3,250.
If price breaks above, next entry is at higher supply zone ($3,340–$3,360) for a deeper sell.
⚠️ Watch for price reaction around the POI (Demand Zone) for potential bullish setup later in the week.
🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) in play:
Supply zone respect
BOS/CHOCH confirmed
POI (Demand) targeted
FVG/Imbalance below being filled
📅 NFP & CPI events this week – expect increased volatility.
Gold price drops to 3250Today's daily line is in the negative, rebounding in the morning, and the high point yesterday morning was 3310, and the bearish point is also at this point. It is higher than the 382 line of yesterday's decline and rebound, 3307. After the morning rebound, the current decline formed a morning downward trend. The watershed is 3308-10, today's short stop loss position. The market fell in the morning, and the strength of the rebound should not be strong. The top and bottom conversion position is 3297-98. The European session broke the bottom, and the US session continued to fall. The next double bottom support is around 3275. If the rebound is in place, it is still bearish, and the decline continues. 3258-60 line.
Continue to try to find the top of the band to short goldGold maintained a slow and volatile rise structure during the day. The highest has reached 3348, and it is only a step away from 3350. Will gold continue its upward momentum as usual?
In fact, it was beyond my expectation that gold could break through 3345 in the short term. According to my original expectation, the intraday high of gold was almost around 3345. Although the rebound of gold exceeded expectations, it is currently located near the resistance of 3348-3350, so I will definitely not give priority to chasing gold at high levels in short-term transactions.
Moreover, gold is currently in the resistance area of 3348-3350. The volatility of gold has converged, and the upward momentum has declined. As gold continues to rebound and faces the key resistance area again, the bulls are relatively more cautious. In this context, this resistance area may act as a catalyst, and the bears will react, leading the decline in gold. However, as gold rebounds and the support below gradually stabilizes, we can appropriately reduce the expectation of gold's decline and adjust the decline target to the 3330-3320 area.
So for short-term trading, I will still short gold based on the resistance area, trying to find a swing top in the 3340-3350 area, and look at the target area of 3330-3320.
Gold Expecting bullish Movement Price is currently showing strong momentum with visible rejections and key zone reactions. According to my analysis
First Resistance Zone: 3382.70
Second Resistance Zone: 3360.50
Support Zone: Around 3330.50
Yellow Arrow: Indicates possible early rejection and a move toward the support zone
Blue Arrow: Suggests price may bounce back from the 3330.50 support and retest upper zones
As long as price remains below the 3360.50 resistance zone, my bias remains bearish However, if price breaks above this level with strong volume, we may see bullish continuation
Gold Holds Above $3,300 Amid Trade Policy UncertaintyMacro approach:
- Gold traded defensively this week, consolidating above the $3,300 level amid shifting risk sentiment and anticipation of significant trade policy developments. The yellow metal's performance was pressured by a firmer US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, as optimism around potential trade deals and tariff suspensions reduced safe-haven demand.
- Market drivers included resilient US economic data, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, and ongoing trade negotiations. The 9 Jul deadline for suspended US tariffs and President Trump's threats of new levies on BRICS countries kept investors on edge, while the release of FOMC minutes and strong NFP further dampened expectations for imminent Fed easing. Despite these headwinds, underlying concerns over US fiscal deficits and global policy uncertainty supported Gold's longer-term appeal.
- Gold may remain volatile as markets await clarity on US trade policy and the 15 July US CPI release. Both could influence Fed rate expectations and risk appetite. Any escalation in trade tensions or disappointing economic data could revive safe-haven flows into Gold.
Technical approach:
- XAUUSD consolidated within a tight range of 3285-3560, just lightly above the ascending channel's lower bound. The price is at EMA21, indicating that a bullish momentum is still intact. The market is waiting for an apparent breakout to determine the trend.
- If XAUUSD breaks above 3560, the price may retest the following resistance at 3430.
- On the contrary, closing below support at 3285 may allow Gold to retest the following support at 3165.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
The rebound is under pressure and the retracement is furtherFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below today is around 3309-16.
The short-term bullish strong dividing line is around 3295-3301. The overall bullish rhythm of high-altitude and low-multiple continues to remain unchanged.
Before the daily level falls below the 3300 mark, any retracement is a long opportunity, and short positions against the trend should be cautious.