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GOLD Gold Directional Bias and Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis (May 30, 2025) Gold (XAU/USD) Directional Bias Cautious Bearish Correction: Gold faces immediate resistance at $3,305–$3,338 (20-day moving average and recent highs) . A break above $3,435 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal toward $3,500 . Failure to hold $3,056 (key medium-term support) risks a drop to $2,955–$2,833 . Bullish Potential: Stagflation risks (weak growth + high inflation) and Fed rate cut expectations support gold as a hedge . A sustained break above $3,500 could target $4,000+ . Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook Bearish Momentum: DXY is in a multi-month downtrend Drivers: Fed rate cut bets and weaker US economic data (e.g., soft jobless claims) pressure the dollar . Trade tensions (e.g., Trump’s tariff threats) inject volatility but may revive safe-haven USD demand . Gold-DXY Correlation Short-Term Inverse Link: Recent dollar strength (DXY↑) contributed to gold’s 1% drop to $3,301 . Long-Term Divergence: Since 2008, gold has risen 150% while DXY gained 45%, showing no consistent inverse relationship over decades . Current Dynamics: A weaker DXY (below 98.4) would support gold’s rebound . Stagflation fears could decouple gold from DXY, favoring gold as an inflation hedge . Conclusion Gold: Short-term bearish pressure persists, but medium-term bullish drivers (stagflation, Fed cuts) remain intact. DXY: Bearish Elliott Wave structure suggests further declines unless it breaks above 101.99. Trade Strategy: Sell gold rallies toward $3,305–$3,338 with tight stops . A DXY breakdown below 98.4 could signal gold’s bullish revival . Monitor US PCE inflation data (May 30) and Fed rhetoric for near-term catalysts .
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Analysis and layout of gold on May 30 Focus on key breakthroughs after violent fluctuations in gold Yesterday, gold staged a "V-shaped" reversal. In the early trading, affected by the US International Court of Justice's overturning of tariff policies, it plummeted from 3295 to 3245; then, due to Trump's request for the Supreme Court to veto the ruling, the price rebounded strongly to 3330, and the daily line closed with a big positive line. Despite frequent disturbances on the news side, there are obvious signs of control by the main funds, and the market is still in a wide range of fluctuations. Technical analysis Daily level The positive line of the bottoming line stands above the 3300 mark, which is strong in the short term, but the moving average is entangled with the middle track (3300-3310), and no unilateral trend has been formed. Key resistance: 3371 (neckline of the head and shoulders bottom pattern); support: 3280, 3265-3250. 4-hour level MACD is golden near the zero axis, but the Bollinger band is narrowed, and the oscillation characteristics are significant. Short pressure: 3325 (up to 3337 if broken); short support: 3291 (down to 3280-3268 if broken). Hourly line Bollinger band narrowed, MACD turned dead cross at high level, continued to fall in Asian session, pay attention to the direction of European session. Trading strategy Short order: 3300-3305 light position short, stop loss 3315, target 3285-3290. Long order: 3278-3264 batch layout, stop loss 10 US dollars, target 3290-3300. Breakthrough strategy: If the European session stands at 3325, step back to 3320 and follow the long, target 3337; otherwise, 3337 can be shorted. Risk warning The recent market has been repeatedly swept, strict risk control, avoid chasing up and selling down.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by fdvdfvfddffdgfdg
Is Gold’s Recovery Pausing or Gaining Momentum?Macro approach: - Gold rebounded sharply from mid-May lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven demand following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. - However, the rally lost momentum near a two-week high as profit-taking and easing US-EU trade tensions cooled demand. - Longer-term fundamentals remain supportive, with persistent central bank buying, particularly from China, underpinning bullish sentiment. Technical approach: - Technically, XAUUSD broke above its descending channel and retested the breakout. The price remains range-bound between 3285 and 3560, and we await a clear breakout. - Closing above 3560 could open to 3430. - On the contrary, a break below 3285 risks a decline toward 3135. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by DatTong
2
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty. Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar. As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% . The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates. Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments. Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling. The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling. Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week. Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum. A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD. For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below. Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,371USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3346 →Take Profit 1 3334 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3328 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3199 →Take Profit 1 3211 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3217
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Selling pressure, gold price continues to fall below 3285?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices declined by nearly 2% on Monday, slipping below the $3,300 mark, as investor sentiment improved following U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone tariffs on European Union imports. The renewed risk appetite, coupled with a modest rebound in the U.S. Dollar from last week’s losses, placed pressure on the non-yielding precious metal. The move came after a weekend call between President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, which resulted in the U.S. deferring the planned 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. The development eased global trade concerns, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets—excluding the Greenback—and helped propel global equity markets higher. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Accumulated price zone around 3300, under selling pressure, mainly waiting for important economic news this week: GDP, FOMC ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3363- 3365 SL 3370 TP1: $3352 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3325 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3266- $3268 SL $3261 TP1: $3277 TP2: $3286 TP3: $3300 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold Rejection in Focus – Will Bears Take Control?As anticipated from recent price action, gold’s latest movement may be signaling weakness and could act as a key trigger for short sellers. This is why I anticipate increased short-selling activity ahead. The bearish outlook is still intact. However, a rebound from resistance followed by rejection could once again attract sellers, setting the stage for a move toward the 3,180 support zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the descending channel. That said, failure to stay below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the upper line of the channel. Before considering any short positions, look for clear bearish confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, strong wick rejections from resistance, or rising sell volume. Please note, I will not get involved without proper confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasMgoldview
1
May 30, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Today is the final trading day of May — expect potential volatility as institutions may close monthly positions. 👉 Main plan: BUY on pullbacks to support around 3300–3305, as long as it holds. Range trading between 3288–3325 is possible — trade high sell / low buy. 🔍 Key Levels: • Resistance: 3350 / 3332 / 3325 / 3315 • Support: 3305 / 3300 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3250 📉 Macro Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3305 → target 3300, 3295, 3288, 3276 • BUY if price holds above 3325 → target 3332, 3337, 3345, 3350 💬 If this plan helps, drop a like to show support — it keeps me motivated to share more! 🙌
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 2 Core influencing factors Dollar trend: The rebound of the US dollar index suppresses gold prices, but if the PCE data is lower than expected, the US dollar may fall back and provide support for gold. Fed policy expectations: The market's expectations of interest rate cuts this year (currently priced at about 2 times) may limit the downward space of gold prices, but we need to be wary of hawkish rhetoric disturbances. Risk aversion: Trade situation and geopolitical uncertainty may intermittently boost gold demand. Technical key positions: $3300-3310 is a strong resistance zone, and $3260-3250 is short-term support. Market outlook Bearish signal: The daily level failed to stand firm at the 3300 mark, and the 1-hour moving average turned downward, with short-term momentum biased to the bearish side. If the US dollar continues to rebound or the PCE data is stronger than expected, the gold price may fall to the 3260-3250 support range. Bullish signal: If PCE data is weak or risk aversion heats up, gold prices may test the 3300-3315 resistance zone again. Under the wide range of fluctuations at the monthly level, the buying support below 3260 may be strong. Operation strategy Short-term trading: Short-term opportunity: When the rebound to the 3305-3315 range is under pressure, short with a light position, stop loss above 3320, target 3280-3265. Long order opportunities: If it pulls back to the 3260-3250 area and stabilizes (such as the K-line shrinks or a hammer line appears), you can try long orders with a stop loss of 3240 and a target of 3280-3300. Mid-term layout: If it effectively falls below 3250 at the beginning of next week, it may open up the downward space to 3220-3200; on the contrary, if it stands firm at 3315, it will look up to 3340-3360. Risk warning: Market volatility may increase after Friday's PCE data, so be alert to rapid reversals. Avoid chasing ups and downs, and pay attention to changes in volume near key positions. Key points Resistance: 3305-3315 (strong if broken), 3340 (previous high) Support: 3280 (intraday), 3260-3250 (strong and weak boundary), 3220 (medium term) Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish, but fundamental support is still there. It is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset, focus on the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3260 range, and be cautious in holding positions before and after the data.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Golden_Line_FX
1
XAU/USD Buy Setup Explanation (Using Fibonacci Levels)This chart presents a bullish trading setup on gold (XAU/USD) based on a Fibonacci retracement strategy. It suggests a buy opportunity after a pullback. ✅ Fibonacci Levels: > 0.0% (Top): $3,331 – recent swing high (used as reference) > 23.6%: $3,312 – minor resistance zone > 38.2%: $3,297 – initial pullback area > 50.0%: $3,290 – psychological mid-level > 61.8% (Golden Ratio): $3,280 – key Fibonacci support > 78.6%: $3,266 – deeper retracement support > 100% (Bottom): $3,249 – recent swing low 🟪 Buy Zone (Between 50% and 61.8%): The marked BUY ZONE is between $3,290 and $3,280, aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket. This is a high-probability reversal area, as it combines: Strong Fibonacci confluence (50%–61.8%) Prior price reaction zones (structure-based support) : TP1: $3,320 – aligns with previous structure zone and 23.6% retracement. : Final Target: $3,350 – a retest of the major resistance and previous high. 📌 Conclusion: This is a classic Fibonacci retracement long setup: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) in the buy zone. As long as the price holds above $3,266, the bullish structure remains valid. Ideal for swing traders looking to catch a bounce off the golden ratio support.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
3
Gold trading I deaHi traders I shared this gold set up yesterday in my X according to my view selling pressure it's going to continue towards demand zone but I can't tell if it's gonna breakes down or what but am expecting it to sell a bit as shown in the chart and I always trust my work with patience n get amazing results please do risk smart n manage to grow accordingly this is not a gambling,am expecting everyone to not missing any set up I send smaller time frame or long trust the process,only trump can break my set up into peaces if not I trust my work n I can see all the best to my friends let's eat.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by mulaudzimpho