GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USD Buy Setup Explanation (Using Fibonacci Levels)This chart presents a bullish trading setup on gold (XAU/USD) based on a Fibonacci retracement strategy. It suggests a buy opportunity after a pullback.
✅ Fibonacci Levels:
> 0.0% (Top): $3,331 – recent swing high (used as reference)
> 23.6%: $3,312 – minor resistance zone
> 38.2%: $3,297 – initial pullback area
> 50.0%: $3,290 – psychological mid-level
> 61.8% (Golden Ratio): $3,280 – key Fibonacci support
> 78.6%: $3,266 – deeper retracement support
> 100% (Bottom): $3,249 – recent swing low
🟪 Buy Zone (Between 50% and 61.8%):
The marked BUY ZONE is between $3,290 and $3,280, aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket.
This is a high-probability reversal area, as it combines:
Strong Fibonacci confluence (50%–61.8%)
Prior price reaction zones (structure-based support)
: TP1: $3,320 – aligns with previous structure zone and 23.6% retracement.
: Final Target: $3,350 – a retest of the major resistance and previous high.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic Fibonacci retracement long setup:
Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) in the buy zone.
As long as the price holds above $3,266, the bullish structure remains valid.
Ideal for swing traders looking to catch a bounce off the golden ratio support.
Gold Drops to 3250 – Sell-the-Spike Strategy Still in Play🕰️ What Happened Yesterday
In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that the 3320–3330 zone should act as a strong sell zone, with a target down at the 3250 support.
Gold respected the plan perfectly: it dropped from the 3325 area straight into 3250 during the Asia session, hitting the target with precision(700+ pips)
At the time of writing, Gold is now bouncing, which is normal, trading around 3280.
❓ Correction Done or More to Come?
While the bounce to 3280 may look promising for bulls, my opinion remains unchanged: this is still a market to sell rallies, not to buy dips.
🔎 Why I Still Expect a Deeper Drop
- Old support becomes resistance – The 3280–3285 zone, once support, is now acting as resistance. That zone is currently being tested.
- Double resistance near 3300 – Just above, we have the psychological 3300 level, reinforced by the falling trendline coming from recent highs.
- Momentum still favors the downside – Unless bulls can reclaim and hold above 3300, this rebound is nothing more than a dead-cat bounce.
📉 Trading Plan
I remain in sell-the-spike mode. Any move into 3285 or 3300 is an opportunity to enter short, with stops above the trend line or yesterday's high.
If price breaks back below 3265, the probability increases for a new local low under 3250, probably to the next one around 3215.
✅ Final Thoughts
Yesterday’s setup worked perfectly — and the plan doesn’t change just because of a small bounce.
The market needs to prove it can break key resistance before shifting bias.
Until then, this remains a sell-on-strength market. Let the trades come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation 's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
How to Trade Gold Market with the 50% Retracement CandleHey Traders so today wanted to show why you don't really need indicators to trade. Price action is the best way to trade imo because it's easier. For the most part indicators lag and can give you false signals. So if you are looking for a way to trade that does not involve indicators check this out.
So we can see that Gold is in a strong uptrend the strategy is wait until market pulls back to trendline and buy but what if you miss that pullback?
So you can still get in the uptrend look for a strong bullish candle like the one I highlighted on May 20. Then place an order to buy when the market pulls back to 50% of that candle. Measure it with the Fibonacci tool. Place your stop below the low of the candle or under support so that way you most likely won't get stopped out. Now this trade was textbook but not all of them are check out how as soon as it hit the 50% retracement of that candle market rocketed higher!
There you go simple way to trade and no need for complex indicators! This strategy works in all markets!
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
XAUUSD.. gold 4H charts pattern I'm outlining a short (SELL) trade setup for XAU/USD (Gold). Here's a breakdown of your trade idea:
Entry: 3308 (SELL)
First Target (FVG): 3250
(FVG likely refers to a Fair Value Gap – a liquidity target in imbalanced price zones)
Final Target: 3140
Let’s assess the setup:
Key Points to Consider:
1. Risk Management:
Have you set a stop-loss? For this short, a logical SL might be above recent highs or structure – perhaps around 3330–3340.
Position sizing is critical depending on account size and risk tolerance.
2. Market Context:
Is this based on a higher time frame imbalance, a bearish trend continuation, or news catalyst?
Are you following a liquidity sweep strategy or reacting to a key resistance rejection?
3. Technical Confirmation:
Confirmation from order blocks, bearish divergence, or break of market structure (BOS) could strengthen your setup.
Would you like me to:
Analyze the chart if you provide a screenshot?
Provide a technical breakdown of current XAUUSD levels?
Help calculate risk-to-reward or position size for this trade?
Let me know how you'd like to proceed.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to yo
There are significant divergences within the Federal Reserve regarding the path of interest rate cuts: San Francisco Fed President Daly reiterated on May 30 that she is "comfortable with two rate cuts by the end of 2025," but Dallas Fed President Logan emphasized the need to "wait for data to clarify the policy impact." Market expectations for a rate cut in June have fallen to 2.2%, but the probability of a rate cut in September still exceeds 80%. The key variable lies in the U.S. May nonfarm payroll data to be released on June 6: if new job additions are fewer than 150,000 and wage growth slows, it may trigger increased expectations of rate cuts and push the price of gold above the $3,320 resistance level.
Key attention should be paid to the breakthrough of support at $3,270-$3,275 and resistance at $3,310-$3,320, and the shift between bullish and bearish forces should be judged by combining changes in trading volume. If trading volume expands to more than 1.5 times the 5-day average volume when breaking through the resistance level, the upward trend can be confirmed.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP:3310~3320
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3282.5
Stop - 3274.1
Take - 3298.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Market next move 🔻 Disruption to Bullish Thesis
1. Resistance Zone Near Target
The "Target" area might align with a previous resistance level (historically where price has reversed or consolidated).
If price hits that zone, it could stall or reject, rather than break through.
2. Bearish Volume Divergence
While the candles are green and pushing upward, volume is not increasing significantly.
Lack of strong buying volume can suggest a weak rally — potentially a bull trap.
3. Trend Context: Larger Downtrend
The chart shows a strong prior downtrend before the recent small upward push.
This move could be a dead-cat bounce or retracement within a broader bearish move.
4. Fundamental Risk: USD Strength
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens due to macroeconomic data or Fed commentary, gold (USD-denominated) typically drops.
The calendar icons suggest upcoming US economic data, which could disrupt gold’s movement.
5. Candle Structure Shows Exhaustion
The current bullish candles are smaller compared to previous strong red ones.
This may imply momentum exhaustion before reaching the target.
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 30 M TF
————-
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3315 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3315
- 09 / May ( Wick's + Rejections )
- 21 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 22 / May ( Break + Retest )
- 23 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 27 / May ( Break + Retest )
👌 3315 key level
Volume is High
Volume And the most Cluster Area
and also have solid HVN Volume
—————-
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3283 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3283
- 12 / May ( Bearish Retest )
- 20 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 21 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
- 22 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 27 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
Gold closed with a big negative line, and may fall below 3285
📌 Driving events
On Monday, gold prices fell nearly 2%, falling below the $3,300 mark. Investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump decided to postpone the imposition of tariffs on EU imports. The recovery in risk appetite, coupled with the dollar's small rebound from last week's decline, put pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
Earlier, President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a call over the weekend and finally decided to postpone the U.S. plan to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9. The move eased global trade concerns, prompted investors to shift away from safe-haven assets other than the dollar, and pushed global stocks higher.
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold showed a downward trend on Tuesday and has now broken below the 5-day moving average. This change has turned the market from a previous strong rise to a volatile trend. However, to determine whether the market has weakened, further observation is needed.
From the perspective of upper resistance, focus on the position near 3350. This position is not only yesterday's high point, but also the resistance position formed by the extension of the line connecting the high points of 3350 and 3438. Once the price breaks through this resistance level, it means that the market will return to a strong upward trend. In fact, it is near 3325 or the low point in the previous decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion here. The support level below is first yesterday's low of 3285 and the previous low of 3280.
💰Strategy Package
Operation strategy;
Short gold near 3325, defend 3335, target 3305-3285
Long gold near 3280, defend 3270, target 3300-3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Today we will focus on the 3281 support
Gold fell below 3300, today we focus on the support of 3281
We are making a profit from the long suggestions given during the day, focusing on the support near 3281. If this position is not broken, the price will fluctuate and may re-stand on 3300 and go above 3320. Therefore, we insist on the long idea today, short around 3287-90, stop loss 3280, take profit at 3310-20, pay attention to the risk.
May 27 gold short-term trading: long near 3288, stop loss 3280, take profit at 3320
Be careful, if it breaks 3280, it is expected to reach 3260, and you can go bearish.
Gold prices steady in recovery above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices fell over 0.50% on Monday, weighed down by reduced demand for safe-haven assets after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay in the imposition of tariffs on the European Union (EU). Trading activity remained subdued due to market closures in both the United States and the United Kingdom for public holidays. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336.
Sentiment improved following Trump’s Sunday statement, which postponed the implementation of the 50% tariffs on EU goods to July 9. As a result, gold came under pressure, retreating after last week’s impressive 4.86% surge—its strongest weekly performance since early April.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to maintain the accumulation price range of 3300 - 3367, in recovery momentum
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3389- 3392 SL 3396
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3285- $3287 SL $3280
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3325
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account