Gold's analytical strategy signalsThe 4H Gold/USD chart exhibits a classic Broadening Formation (also known as a Megaphone Pattern), marked by higher highs and lower lows, reflecting increased volatility and market indecision. This pattern is identified with three key swing points on both the upper and lower trendlines:
Point 1 and Point 2 formed the initial boundaries of the pattern.
Point 3, recently touched, completes the structure by testing the upper boundary of the formation near $3,238, suggesting a potential bull trap, as illustrated in the schematic overlay.
The price has sharply rallied to the top of the widening pattern, aligning with the third high, often a strong signal for reversal in this setup.
A rejection from this level is anticipated, supported by the bearish projection arrows targeting multiple demand zones.
Bearish Target Zones:
$3,180 โ $3,160: Previous consolidation zone.
$3,140 โ $3,120: Mid-pattern volume area with past price sensitivity.
$3,060 โ $3,040: Major support zone with a strong volume node and previous reaction area.
The volume profile shows significant activity in the $3,040 zone, reinforcing it as a major demand area where buyers might step in again.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher.
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, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
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XAUUSD Probable BUY 13/04/2025๐ง Technical Analysis โ XAUUSD
๐ Chart Overview:
The market is currently consolidating near 3237, within a range-bound structure.
Two major zones are marked for potential entries:
Zone 1 (Near-Term Buy): 3217โ3221 (support zone)
Zone 2 (Sniper Buy): 3173โ3177 (gape/demand/strong support zone)
๐ Scenario 1 โ Bullish Continuation from 3217/21:
If price pulls back to 3217โ3221 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wick), a buy setup can be triggered targeting:
TP1: 3237 (intraday resistance)
TP2: 3245 (supply/previous high)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3210 for safe protection.
๐ Scenario 2 โ Deep Rejection & Buy from 3173/77:
In case of a deeper retracement, price may wick down to 3173โ3177, which is a high-probability sniper buy zone due to:
Previous strong bullish reaction from this level
Clean structure for liquidity grab
Entry here gives excellent risk-reward targeting the same levels:
TP1: 3219
TP2: 3245
SL: Below 3156 (wide but optimal for structure).
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#XAUUSD: Possible Easy 600+ Pips Buying OpportunityFollowing a substantial decline in gold prices, which dropped more than 1000 pips, there is a possibility that the price may experience a minor correction before resuming its downward trajectory. It is imperative to acknowledge that trading gold in the current market conditions carries significant risks, and there is a substantial likelihood of incurring substantial losses.
Good luck and trade safe!
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup โ Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85
Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term.
๐ Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,162.15
Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109โ3,141 (right above the 30 EMA)
Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 โ marked as "EA TARGET POINT"
๐ Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation.
โ ๏ธ Things to Watch:
Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level.
If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup.
Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
Strategic Analysis of GoldAlthough Trump has announced the exclusion of smartphones and computers from the list of reciprocal tariffs, which has alleviated some market concerns, due to the uncertainty of the overall tariff policy, the gold price still remains above $3,200 after falling from the intraday all - time high of $3,245 on Monday.
Judging from the current trend of gold, we should still pay attention to the resistance level in the range of 3240 - 3245. In the short term, focus on the support level in the range of 3185 - 3190. Currently, the trend has not reversed. It is likely that the bulls are pulling back to accumulate strength and move in a volatile pattern. In terms of trading operations, it is advisable to mainly go long during pullbacks.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3195-3205
sl 3180
tp 3218-3223
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
continue to grow, conquer new ATH, XAUโญ๏ธGOLDEN INFORMATION:
US economic data delivered mixed signals. Import prices stayed subdued, while the New York Fed Manufacturing Index outperformed expectations, with several internal components also showing strength. However, inflationary pressures resurfaced as prices paid climbed back into expansionary territory, and the six-month business outlook showed signs of weakening.
Looking ahead, gold traders will closely monitor March Retail Sales and remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, particularly Fed Chair Jerome Powellโs speech on Wednesday. Additional focus will be on upcoming housing figures and weekly Initial Jobless Claims to gauge the broader economic landscape.
โญ๏ธPersonal comments NOVA:
After accumulating at the beginning of the week, gold price started to grow strongly reaching 3275 and will continue to move towards the new ATH zone.
โญ๏ธSET UP GOLD PRICE:
๐ฅSELL GOLD zone : 3288- 3290 SL 3295
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3235
๐ฅBUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3220
โญ๏ธTechnical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
โญ๏ธNOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD. Weekly trading levels 14 - 18.04.2025During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I donโt play guess the direction (thatโs why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
More information in my RU profile.
Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
XAUUSD (GOLD) READY TO DROPPING ZONEThis is my personal analysis gold can move to Bearish
Key points
Current price : 3230_3234
1 Target point: 3200
2 Target point: 3160
Stop loss : 3260
And then touch the Internal FVG and (Breaker Block) after will move to Bullish
Key point Unlimited
Support with Your Likes and Boost, Comments
After gold hit a new high, it declined in the eveningToday, gold prices hit a new all - time high, reaching 3,357 in the short term. After a second test at 3,356, the market was mainly characterized by volatile pullbacks throughout the day. However, the overall trend remained strong, and the short - term volatility and adjustment might be for the purpose of building up momentum for further increases.๐๐๐
Recently, gold has set records again and again, and its huge fluctuations have tugged at the hearts of every investor. The market will be closed tomorrow. I hope everyone can really unwind, keep a good attitude, and have a pleasant holiday.๐๐๐
Gold XAUUSD Possible Setup 15/04/2025๐ง Technical Analysis:
Trend Structure:
The price was following a short-term ascending channel (bullish structure).
Recently, price broke below the lower trendline, indicating a potential bearish shift.
Support Zones:
First support zone: 3210โ3214
This is a minor support and could serve as the first potential bounce area.
Second support zone: 3189โ3194
This is a stronger historical demand zone. Stronger bounce expected from here if the price continues falling.
Resistance Zone:
Around 3241โ3245, which is the recent high and also aligns with prior resistance.
Price Action:
Bearish engulfing candles and a break below the trendline indicate bearish momentum in the short term.
Current price: ~3219. If selling pressure continues, price might retest 3210 or even 3190.
๐ Trading Signal:
โ
Buy Signal 1 โ Aggressive Entry
Entry Zone: 3210โ3214
SL: Below 3203
TP1: 3235
TP2: 3245
RR: ~1:2+
โ
Buy Signal 2 โ Conservative Entry
Entry Zone: 3189โ3194
SL: Below 3182
TP1: 3210
TP2: 3235
RR: ~1:3+
๐ Note: Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) near either support zone before entering.
๐ Summary:
Price broke ascending structure = short-term bearish
Look to buy from 3210โ3214 (aggressive) or 3189โ3194 (conservative) on bullish confirmation.
Hit follow, like and comment.
Daily Outlook โ XAUUSD Key Levels๐ฆ Daily Outlook โ XAUUSD Key Levels
๐ Daily Premium Zone (Untested Supply):
โฃ 3246 โ 3275 โ Same as weekly, price is inside; still unmitigated.
๐ Wick High (Liquidity Magnet):
โฃ 3246.07 โ Important wick = reaction level / potential inducement.
๐ Daily FVGs Below Price:
โฃ 3160.00 โ Top FVG
โฃ 3133.77 โ Lower FVG (draw zone if price rejects premium)
๐ Equilibrium (Daily Range):
โฃ ~2880 โ Midpoint of swing range; potential macro support in case of deeper correction.
๐ Breaker OB + Discount Block:
โฃ 2580.00 zone โ Important daily structure origin if market flips decisively.
XAU/USD... 4H CHART PETTERN..IM looking at a XAU/USD (gold) trade setup with the following parameters:
Sell Entry: 3300
Resistance (Stop Loss): 3340
Target (Take Profit): 3205
Hereโs a quick breakdown of the risk-reward ratio and setup summary:
Trade Summary
Sell Entry: 3300
Stop Loss: 3340 (40 pips risk)
Take Profit: 3205 (95 pips reward)
Risk-Reward Ratio:
95 / 40 = 2.38:1 โ which is a solid R:R ratio.
If you're already in the trade or planning to enter, it's a good setup technically โ assuming price has shown rejection near 3300 and the trend or momentum supports downside.
Want a chart analysis or to set alerts for key price levels?
Gold - Chasing Parabolas is Hard to DoThere's a quote from legendary investor John Templeton that goes like this:
"The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell."
This is contrarian, of course, but there's also a lot to it if we try to unwrap it. But first I want to start off even broader than that. I try to often remind myself of just how uncertain the future is and just how pointless it is to try to predict. It can be hard, to be sure, especially if you're around the business of speculation. But, spend a long enough time and see enough 'sure things' turn out to be disappointments or backfires, and I think it becomes a bit simpler.
I don't look at analysis as predictive. I look at it as probabilistic. But even then those probabilities will have a degree of uncertainty because that future will always be vulnerable for some type of surprise. My aim instead is to seek out the prospect of asymmetry; ways to risk a dollar in order to make two, or possibly three.
In analysis, I largely lean technical because I tend to think that most of the 'known knowns' get priced-in fairly quickly and pretty well. Perhaps there is some edge in there somewhere, but my information flow isn't great enough to allow me to have an inside angle against investment banks. While I do think that fundamentals get priced-in fairly well I do not think that markets are perfectly efficient as there is a clear process of price discovery. The chart, however, is a pretty clear depiction of where price has moved and I don't need to concern myself as much for the reasons as to 'why,' if I can focus enough on the 'what.'
I think there are two tenets of technical analysis that are of importance: A) Trends exist, and there's often a reason for them. and B) Support and Resistance can mark inflection points in a market, because trends do not price in linearly. It's the higher-lows that show you bulls' response to pullbacks and that's what really allows for that next higher-high to show up. It's a clear illustration of shifting sentiment, shown perfectly on the chart.
And this is what takes us back to that quote from Mr. John Templeton...
It's when price is forming those highs that we tend to get most excited. Because we can see it - visually - with our own eyes, that trend or bias showing up in real-time. This is when we might get FOMO coursing through us, compelling us to buy even if it doesn't seem smart, even if we haven't thought about 'what if,' even if we haven't entertained the very rational idea that 'this may not last forever.'
It's just part of the human condition, really, and it's why a lot of retail traders end up buying tops as they let their excitement get the better of them.
Now, Mr. Templeton said the best time to buy is the time of maximum pessimism and that leans very contrarian. And taken to an extreme, this can be an excuse to fade every move that shows up or every breakout that takes place, and that can be a painful way to go about matters. But, there may be a way to hedge that statement in a trend-riding basis as saying the optimal time to establish longs is when the prospect of a reversal has started to rise. Or, to put otherwise, it's when that excitement isn't coursing on a fresh breakout; and instead, after a pullback that has shown that the trend is not infallible. It's when the uber bulls couldn't imagine anything other than continued rip in the trend grow silent, instead fearing that they may get caught holding longs from a top.
In gold the market has been ripping higher for more than a year. But when it seemed most quiet was when it was most opportunistic, such as the bull pennant that brewed in Q4, or the pullbacks that have shown up along the way. We had one of those a couple of weeks ago and it started to seem as though a larger reversal could take hold. But - a clean support hold at 2956 was followed by a doji on the daily chart - and then bulls crowded back in to rush up to another fresh all-time-high.
Again, on Monday of this week another pullback showed up, this time a slighter move with price tilting down to 3200. But bulls responded in a big way and then ran another fresh all-time-high just a day later.
Now, eventually one of these pullbacks could extend and turn into a multi-week or perhaps even multi-month type of event, similar to the Q4 triangle that made up the pennant. But, at this stage that bullish trend that has taken on a parabolic nature continues to press and there's no indication yet that it's over.
There remains support potential and this can be followed for pullback setups. The closest zone is the 3245-3250 area, and if this price comes into play and bulls come in to hold lows around that prior resistance, this could be an illustration of a building higher-low. Below that, 3150-3167 is of interest, as this was resistance earlier in April and, to date, hasn't shown much for support. And below that, there's 3050-3057 which was a point of resistance that also hasn't yet shown as support.
Even the 3k handle can be considered as the April lows rest around the spot of prior resistance, from the March highs, at 2956.
With a trend that's been this one-sided there's a lot of room for possible profit taking; but it's not until there's been a clearer shift of sentiment that we can say that the trend is dead.
Does this mean that we'll be able to predict anything? Because the trick of Mr. Templeton's quote is that predicting 'maximum pessimism' or 'maximum optimism' is just as pointless as trying to predict price. Because it is price itself that will denominate that sentiment! If price continues to tank then, yeah, people are going to get more and more pessimistic and that does not mean that it's automatically a great time to buy (nor sell)!
No, but waiting for pullbacks in clear trends is a way to take a risk-efficient approach towards speculation, while trying to keep our own emotions in check and allowing for us to stick to a plan. Which, for a trader, is one of the more pragmatic ways that one can go about the endeavor of speculation.
James Stanley
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!The rise and fall broke the pattern of the morning cycle, which means that this wave of unilateral rising from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold will die of overeating and the timid will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing the long position will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The price fell from 3357 to 3320 in the morning, reaching 37 US dollars. In the afternoon, we should focus on the pressure at 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high point during the day, we can still go short at night. The support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, we can go long to see the rebound.
XAUUSD Technicals๐ Key Levels:
Resistance: ~ $3,345 โ $3,360
Minor Resistance: ~ $3,330
Pivot Zone: ~ $3,305 โ $3,310
Support: Around $3,290 (not shown but implied if break continues)
๐ก Price Action Insights:
Strong bearish candle broke below the pivot with high volume (big red arrow). This could be a liquidity grab or a genuine breakdown.
The chart shows a possible fakeout scenario โ price dips below pivot, sucks in sellers, then reverses to trap them and push higher.
Projection path suggests:
Bounce back above pivot
Break minor resistance
Push to resistance zone (~$3,360)
Confirmation needed: A strong bullish candle reclaiming the pivot on increasing volume.
๐ง Volume Clue:
Notice the volume spike on the break of pivot.
If this is absorption (buyers taking in sells), reversal is likely.
If follow-through selling comes next, expect deeper drop.
โ
What to Watch:
If price reclaims the pivot with a strong green candle, expect a push to $3,330โ$3,345+; if itโs rejected with a weak bounce, it may drop back to $3,290โ$3,280; and if it breaks below the pivot again on high volume, anticipate a bearish trend continuation.