HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After forming a local bottom around the 3190 - 3210 support zone, the price has rebounded and is now testing the upward trend line once again. This level has consistently acted as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Buyers have shown clear interest in defending this area, and the reaction near this level further strengthens the bullish sentiment. Notably, the market is recovering from a correction phase that followed the previous local peak near the 3350 - 3370 resistance zone. Price has moved within a wide range, creating opportunities for both accumulation and further upside. The chart also shows how Gold is forming a higher low, which supports the continuation of the current trend. If the trend line continues to hold, I expect the price to move toward the resistance area, with my goal located at 3350 points - the key breakout level. Given the price reaction, support structure, and trend confirmation, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed buying and strengthened recently due to several key factors:
Widening Interest Rate Differential and Economic Outperformance
The U.S. economy is growing faster than many other major economies, projected at around 2.7% in 2025, while Europe and Japan face weaker growth and deeper rate cuts by their central banks.
This growth divergence has widened the gap between U.S. 10-year Treasury yields and those of key trading partners to the highest level since 1994, making the dollar more attractive to investors seeking yield.
Delayed Fed Rate Cuts Due to Tariff-Driven Inflation
U.S. tariffs, especially on Chinese goods, are expected to keep inflation elevated, delaying the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut cycle. Higher U.S. interest rates relative to other countries support dollar strength.
The Fed’s cautious stance after the May 7 meeting, holding rates steady and signaling a wait-and-see approach, reinforces the dollar’s yield advantage.
Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty
Ongoing geopolitical tensions, trade war fears, and tariff uncertainties drive investors toward the dollar as a safe haven during periods of global uncertainty.
Positive Carry Trades and Positioning
The dollar benefits from carry trades where investors borrow in lower-yielding currencies (yen, euro) to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets. Long-dollar positioning is not yet saturated, leaving room for further gains.
Technical Support and Market Sentiment
The DXY has found strong technical support near key levels with bullish price action and momentum building, suggesting continued upside potential in the near term.
Summary Table
Widened interest rate differential Higher U.S. yields draw investors
Tariff-driven inflation delays Fed cuts Sustains dollar yield advantage
Safe-haven demand amid uncertainty Boosts dollar as global risk-off asset
Positive carry trades Encourages long-dollar positioning
Technical support near key levels Reinforces bullish momentum
In essence:
The DXY’s resumed buying reflects a combination of strong U.S. economic fundamentals, delayed Fed easing due to tariff inflation, safe-haven flows amid geopolitical risks, and technical factors supporting the dollar’s near-term rally. This momentum is expected to continue into mid-2025 unless global growth stabilizes or the Fed signals more aggressive easing.
XAU/USD...gold 15m time frame chart pattern..### **Gold Trade Setup (Buy Now)**
- **Entry Price**: 3280
- **Target Price**: 3432 (**+152 points potential profit**)
- **Stop Loss**: 3360 (**-80 points risk**)
### **Key Points:**
1. **Risk-Reward Ratio**:
- **1:1.9** (Reward is nearly twice the risk, which is favorable).
2. **Trade Management**:
- If price moves favorably, consider **trailing the stop loss** to lock in profits.
- Watch for **trend line breaks or resistance tests** near the target.
3. **Confirmation Needed**:
- Ensure the trend line is validated (at least **2-3 touches** for reliability).
- Check for supporting indicators (e.g., **RSI bullish divergence, moving averages**).
4. **Potential Concerns**:
- Stop loss (3360) is **above entry (3280)**, suggesting this might be a **sell-triggered stop loss** (verify if direction is **long/short**).
- If this is a **sell trade**, adjust interpretation accordingly.
### **Actionable Advice**:
✅ **Execute if**: Trend confirms bullish (higher lows, breakout).
❌ **Avoid if**: Price breaks below the trend line before entry.
Let me know if you'd like help refining the setup! 🚀
GOLD: Very Complex Price DevelopmentGOLD: Very Complex Price Development
The fundamental and technical analysis are not in line at all with gold this time.
GOLD increased at a time when Trump is doing positive comments:
Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that they will lower tariffs on China "at some point" and added that they could announce trade deals this week when asked about it. Trump also noted that they could start imposing 100% tariffs on imports of foreign-produced movies.
Finally, he argued that interest rates should be lowered but reiterated that he will not remove Jerome Powell as Fed Chairman before his term ends in May 2026.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
Gold maintains gains near new record highsTechnically, gold's recent rally was remarkably rapid, in search of 3,420 and 3,500, leaving few clear entry points for new buyers. Now, with prices slightly correcting, traders may see this as a potential opportunity for a comeback. The 3,350-3,360 area stands out as a critical support zone. If prices remain above this area, the market may consolidate before attempting to move toward its recent highs. However, a break above this area could lead gold to test 3,330, a pivotal technical support level that could serve as a starting point or signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
The Trader’s Trinity: THE BIG 3 OF TRADING!Everyone talks about strategies, indicators, and secret setups.
But if you strip trading down to its core, three pillars separate the winners from the quitters.
me @currencynerd , i call them The Big 3:
✅ Mindset/ Psychology
✅ Risk Management
✅ Strategy/ System with edge
You master these — you grow.
You neglect even one — you stay stuck, or worse, blow up.
Let’s dig in.
🧠 1. Mindset: Your Inner Edge
Markets aren't just math — they’re emotion, fear, greed, and uncertainty.
Successful traders:
Stick to plans during volatility
Stay calm after wins or losses
Manage ego (no "I must be right!" trades)
Key mindset habits:
Journaling trades (and emotions)
Setting realistic expectations
Accepting losses as part of the game
🔔 Reminder:
The market doesn't owe you anything. Stay humble, stay focused.
💣 2. Risk Management: Your Lifeline
Risk management isn't sexy — until you realize it's the reason you survive long enough to succeed.
Never risk more than 1–2% of your account on a single trade
Use stop-losses religiously
Understand position sizing — bigger conviction doesn’t mean "bet the farm"
Be comfortable being wrong — because you will be, often
Quote to live by:
"Amateurs focus on returns. Professionals focus on risk."
You don’t need to win every trade. You just need to protect your downside.
📈 3. Strategy: Your Playbook
Strategy gets all the attention — but it's only powerful if Mindset and Risk are already in place.
Your strategy should answer:
When do I enter?
When do I exit?
How do I manage trades in between?
Good strategies:
Are tested (backtested and forward tested)
Are simple (complexity often kills execution)
Fit your timeframe and personality
Trend following, mean reversion, breakout trading, scalping — it doesn’t matter.
What matters is consistency and execution.
🚀 Why the Big 3 Matter More Than Anything Else
Mindset keeps you stable.
Risk Management keeps you in the game.
Strategy gives you direction.
Neglect one and your trading will eventually collapse — no matter how good the other two are.
Successful trading isn’t a magic trick.
It’s mastering boring basics, executed relentlessly.
Final Thoughts from @currencynerd
You don’t need to find the Holy Grail.
You just need to respect the Big 3:
Master your mind.
Respect your risk.
Stick to your strategy.
Most traders are searching for the secret.
Elite traders are perfecting the fundamentals.
Which group are you going to be in?
put together by : @currencynerd
courtesy of : @TradingView
Is gold ready for a bearish position??🔶Hello friends.
🔸If we want to check the trading position on the gold chart, according to my swing trading strategy, a suitable bearish position is forming.
🔶Follow me so you don't miss out on more opportunities I've decided to share with you from now on. I love you and I want you to love your money and trade carefully.
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech;
I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market;
Technical aspects:
Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
Gold 15min Breakout After Falling Wedge | Potential Upside Setu
Gold 15min Breakout After Falling Wedge | Potential Upside Setup
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Description:
After forming a clear falling wedge pattern, Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart has broken out to the upside. The breakout is supported by increasing volume and a strong bullish push. Entry was taken just after the breakout confirmation, with targets near the 3367 and 3420 zones. Risk is managed below the recent low at 3292.
This setup is purely based on technical analysis for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
[ TimeLine ] Gold 5-6 May 2025📅 Today is Friday, May 2, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
May 5, 2025 (Monday) or
May 5 & 6, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has undergone a significant reversal of over 2000 pips, from its ATH of 3500 down to 3200
⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels
✅ I will personally be trading both signals as part of my research and ongoing strategy
⚠️ If you're risk-averse or uncertain, it’s okay to skip the May 5–6 signals
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the selected candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart)
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, including a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If SL is hit, cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x/C5zZyXar/
Should we go long on gold when it falls back?From a technical point of view, the daily line has been in negative trend, which is definitely weakening. Whether the market will continue in the future needs to be observed. If it is established, the lower side may be seen at 3260 and 3200, but if the daily line is positive on Friday, it can also turn strong at any time. After all, the current price is just near the middle track of the daily Bollinger, and both rise and fall are possible.
In the 4-hour cycle, we should pay attention to today's closing situation. The price is temporarily around 3300. If it continues to fall, the lower track of Bollinger will open, which may form a unilateral trend, rebound, and Bollinger will close, and it will rise strongly again. Therefore, it is not easy to say the specific rise and fall situation for the time being. It is recommended to observe more to see whether the Asian and European sessions break the new low of 3288, and the upper pressure is 3350 and 3370. In the morning, gold rose first and then fell, and it was quite fierce. It is recommended not to chase orders. Pay attention to the support of 3288 first. If it does not break, try to go long. If it breaks, it will go to the low point of 3260. It is expected that gold will have another wave of rising space on Friday.
XAUUSD - Entered Massive Supply Zone! Will It Dump or Break OutGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading at $3,429, testing a major supply zone on the 15-minute chart. Price has rallied over +2.84% today and is now facing a key resistance area that previously triggered sharp sell-offs.
Key Technical Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): $3,420 - $3,440
Price is now reacting to this heavy-volume resistance area. Watch for rejection or breakout confirmation.
Mid-Level Support: $3,344
Strong structure level where previous consolidations and rejections occurred.
Demand Zone (Support): $3,223 - $3,227
Price bounced from here with a strong bullish impulse. This is our major demand base.
What to Watch:
Bearish Scenario: Rejection from supply zone could send price back toward $3,344, then $3,227.
Bullish Breakout: Clean break and retest above $3,440 opens the door to new highs.
Confirmation Tools:
LuxAlgo's Supply & Demand Visible Range shows clear institutional activity in these zones.
Look for candlestick confirmation, volume spikes, or divergence signals for entries.
My Plan:
Watching closely for short setups near $3,440 unless we get a confirmed breakout. If rejected, I’ll target the $3,344 and $3,227 zones.
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What do you think? Will gold break out or get rejected hard again?
Like and share if you find this helpful — let’s grow together!
Gold news dominates the market
The gold market has experienced dramatic fluctuations recently, and the market is completely dominated by news. Last Friday (May 10), after gold stopped falling and rebounded from 3202, it soared by $236 to a high of 3438 in the first two days of the week, stimulated by Trump's escalation of tariff policy. However, as market sentiment changed, it opened high and fell on Wednesday, and plummeted by $126 in a single day on Thursday. It directly broke through the 3300 mark in early trading on Friday, reaching a low of 3270, giving up nearly $200 in gains in just a few days.
Analysis of market driving factors:
Tariff policy has become the core variable that dominates the trend of gold. When Trump proposed to increase tariffs, the market was worried about the escalation of the global trade war, and safe-haven funds poured into gold crazily; and once the news showed signs of easing, bulls immediately took profits, causing the gold price to retreat sharply. In contrast, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and ongoing geopolitical conflicts have taken a back seat, reflecting the current market's extreme sensitivity to policy risks.
From a technical perspective, gold has entered a large shock pattern of fierce competition between bulls and bears. The daily level shows that the long upper shadow middle Yin line closed on Thursday confirmed the short-term top, and the MACD indicator showed a second dead cross, indicating further callback risks. The key resistance is at 3315 (MA10 and the middle track overlap) and 3345 (MA5), and the important support below is at 3237 (MA30) and 3192 (lower track). On the 4-hour chart, the MACD dead cross continues to increase in volume, the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the MA60 moving average 3310 constitutes a key resistance. The hourly line forms a row of top suppression at 3323-24, and 3310-15 becomes an important resistance area for short-term rebound.
Trading strategy suggestions:
In the current market environment, it is recommended to adopt a strategy that combines trend trading with key position game. On the short side, short with a light position near 3340-3350, stop loss 3360, target 3300-3270;
On the long side, focus on the 3270-65 support area. After stabilization, you can try short-term long, stop loss 3260, target 3300-3320;
If it further pulls back to the 3230-40 area (daily MA30), you can consider the layout of medium-term long orders, stop loss 3220, target 3280-3300.
It is particularly important to be vigilant that once it falls below the 3200 mark, it means that the medium-term trend turns bearish, and you need to stop loss immediately and wait and see.
Looking ahead, gold may continue to fluctuate greatly. Investors need to focus on three major focuses: first, the trend of Trump's tariff policy, which is still the core factor affecting gold prices; second, the need for technical correction. After a continuous plunge, there may be a rebound, but attention should be paid to the strong pressure zone of 3345-3370; finally, the change in market sentiment. If the demand for risk aversion continues to cool, the gold price may further test the 3200 mark.
Key operation tips:
Intraday trading uses 3330 as the long-short watershed. Keep a short-term thinking below, with a target of 3270-3240; if it breaks through 3330, it will switch to a short-term long strategy, with a target of 3345-3370. Mid-term investors can arrange long orders in batches in the 3200-3230 area to bet on the rising opportunities brought about by the policy shift again. It should be emphasized that the current market is volatile, and all transactions should strictly set stop losses to prevent sudden risks.