The Fed’s decision may guide the direction of gold
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell more than 1% as traders locked in profits after hitting an 8-week high, with attention turning to the Fed's policy decision and diplomatic signals from Iran. The move puts gold on track to form a bearish closing price reversal pattern, suggesting further consolidation if no new safe-haven demand emerges.
Safe-haven demand stagnates as Israel-Iran tensions ease
Geopolitical risks from the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict have been one of the key drivers of gold's recent gains. However, as reports emerged that Iran was willing to restart nuclear talks through an Arab intermediary, market reaction became muted.
These developments led to a more than 3% drop in crude oil prices and eased inflation concerns. Despite the continued tensions in the Middle East, the change still limited further gains for gold. U.S. Treasury yields were almost flat on the day, reflecting a decline in the market's urgent demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
A weaker dollar failed to support gold's gains
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell to 97.685, just above last week's multi-year low. Bearish sentiment persists, and new short positions may curb any rebound.
Gold's failure to rise despite a weaker dollar indicates overall hesitation in the market. Analysts pointed out that the lack of safe-haven inflows into the dollar and U.S. Treasuries highlights that traders are more focused on upcoming central bank guidance than geopolitical factors.
Fed outlook will dominate short-term price action
Traders are now awaiting the Fed’s decision on Wednesday, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged, but forward guidance will be key.
Gold could face new pressure if Fed Chairman Powell turns hawkish or suggests that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Any signs of policy normalization could boost the dollar and weaken gold’s appeal. However, a dovish tone or concerns about the persistence of inflation could strengthen support for gold near technical key levels.
Gold price forecast: If the $3310 range support is effective, the bullish trend remains
📊Technical aspects
From a technical perspective, gold is testing a key support area. A drop to around $3,380 could trigger new buying; if this level is lost, it will further test the $3,350 support level.
On the upside, resistance is close to $3,450, and if bullish momentum resumes, the all-time high of $3,500.20 is still possible.
For now, the forecast maintains a cautiously bullish tone, provided that the $3,310 support level remains solid and the Fed avoids turning hawkish.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3375-3380
Short Position:3410-3420
GOLD trade ideas
Fed Rate Decision: Gold's 3,400 Threshold as Bull-Bear DivideToday, the market has consolidated in a range throughout the day, with neither price direction nor volatility breaking through the range. However, our trading approach proved accurate: short positions were initiated near 3,400 during rebounds, and long positions were entered near the key level of 3,370 during pullbacks. Investors following our strategy have achieved profits from both directions. With limited price movement currently, the Fed's interest rate decision due to land in an hour will become the core variable dominating the market trend for the rest of the month.
Currently, gold prices continue to trade below the 3,400 threshold, maintaining a weak market structure. The 3,400 level serves as a key watershed between bulls and bears, and the validity of its breakthrough will determine the trend inflection point: if prices effectively hold above 3,400 after the data release, it indicates that gold will break out of its weak pattern, with the potential for an accelerated rally ahead. Conversely, if prices remain suppressed below 3,400, it is highly likely to trigger further downward exploration. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakthrough signal at the 3,400 threshold after the data release, using this as the operational basis for trend switching.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3380
tp:3400-3420-3450
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
XAUUSDAnother trade for today is once again from Gold—no surprises there! 😊
My strategy has just signaled a buy opportunity on the precious metal, and I wanted to share this setup with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3374.92
✔️ Take Profit: 3384.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 3370.21
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Will ASIA favor BULLS or BEARS?Two “if-this-then-that” scenarios
If price pushes above the recent swing high (~3 430–3 435)
→ Look for a move toward the 50% retracement zone at 3 415–3 416 (our next upside target).
If price drops below the recent swing low (~3 356–3 357)
→ It’ll likely slide down to the 21-day EMA at 3 342, which has acted like a magnet/bounce area.
Why the 21-day EMA matters
It’s sloping up beneath price (green trendline), so dips into it often spark fresh buying.
A buy-limit order around 3 342 gives you a low-risk entry with the trend still intact.
Overall bias
As long as gold stays above that rising trendline/21 EMA, the bulls remain in control.
Break the swing high → more upside.
Break the swing low → deeper pullback into support.
XAUUSD Drop to daily support?XAUUSD After testing the daily resistance market has managed to reject with a momentum to daily 20ema early today. As we can see series of lower low and lower highs, price may continue to drop to daily 20ema again as, from weekly perspective we can see that price is pushing down to potentially to weekly key level of resistance.
XAUUSD Hello traders,
There is a great opportunity for a buy trade on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share it with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3352.68
✔️ Take Profit: 3365.33 / TP 2 / 3369.93
✔️ Stop Loss: 3347.00
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?XAUUSD – Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?
After several days of sideways action, gold has finally broken out of its consolidation channel — but not upward. The price action signals uncertainty, while underlying global risks suggest a larger move may be brewing. With US markets closed for a bank holiday, low liquidity could lead to sharp, unexpected spikes — traders, stay alert.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📌 As widely expected, the Federal Reserve held rates steady, but Fed Chair Powell maintained a hawkish tone, warning that inflation risks remain due to ongoing geopolitical instability and rising commodity costs.
🔥 The gold market now hinges on two major geopolitical scenarios in the Middle East:
If the US intervenes diplomatically to ease tensions between Iran and Israel, gold may continue to correct further — possibly into the 3,325 – 3,300 range or lower.
However, if reports are accurate that Trump is coordinating with Israel for potential strikes on Iran, gold could spike aggressively as safe-haven demand surges toward 3,417 – 3,440.
📊 Technical Breakdown (M30 – H1)
Price has broken below the range-bound structure, suggesting a potential momentum shift to the downside.
The EMA cluster (13–34–89–200) is sloping downward, confirming bearish short-term pressure.
The 3,345 level has acted as support, but if it gives way, 3,325 becomes a critical liquidity zone where buyers may step in.
✅ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE 1: 3,325 – 3,328
Entry: Only after a clear bullish reversal (pin bar / bullish engulfing candle)
SL: Below 3,320
TP: 3,345 → 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384
🟢 BUY ZONE 2: 3,345 – 3,348
Entry: On price retest and bullish confirmation
SL: Below 3,340
TP: 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440
Entry: If price rallies into resistance with no supporting fundamentals
SL: Above 3,445
TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,360 → 3,345
💬 Final Thoughts
Gold is at a pivotal point. While today’s break could indicate a new leg down, we’ve seen countless false breakouts during low liquidity sessions. Only trade on confirmation — not emotion. Watch for geopolitical headlines and let price action guide your risk-adjusted decisions.
Stay patient. Stay sharp. Let the market prove itself before you do.
Gold – Will Geopolitical Tensions Trigger a Breakout ?Hello traders, what’s your view on gold today?
So far, gold remains relatively quiet, with limited reaction to the initial FOMC statement. The market is clearly holding its breath ahead of the upcoming press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
As of now, the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.50% – but the real question is: where does gold go next?
In my opinion, gold still holds long-term upside potential, especially with the ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran, which could potentially pull the U.S. directly into involvement. For gold, this is an ideal environment to shine as a safe-haven asset. The greater the geopolitical risk, the more investors seek capital protection – and gold remains the go-to choice.
Technically, the first resistance level is seen at $3,400, followed by $3,440. On the downside, immediate support lies at $3,350, then $3,330.
Let’s see if gold holds its ground or prepares for the next big move.
XAU/USD 19 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3400
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
XAU/USD,4h chart pattern.Im looking to buy Gold at 3432 with a target of 3500. Here's a quick analysis and trade plan for this idea:
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🟡 Gold Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 3432
Target (Take Profit): 3500
Potential Gain: 68 points
Suggested Stop Loss: Around 3400 (for a 1:2 risk/reward ratio)
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📊 Things to Consider:
1. Trend: Ensure the current market trend supports a bullish move. Look for higher lows and higher highs.
2. Support at 3432: Is this a strong support level? If it’s holding multiple times, it can be a good entry.
3. Resistance at 3500: This could be a psychological or historical resistance. Be ready for partial profit booking near it.
4. News & Events: Watch for U.S. economic data or Fed comments that could impact gold volatility.
5. Risk Management: Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital on this trade.
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Would you like a technical chart setup or analysis based on current market conditions to support this trade idea?
Patience Before the Break: Gold Chart Signals Rally Toward 3,450 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
Key Concepts Used:
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a confirmed bullish break in market structure (around June 13).
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Marks a transition from bullish to bearish structure, which aligns with the swing high on June 14.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Liquidity targets marked above recent highs (~3,420 and ~3,450).
Turtle Soup Setup: A classic fakeout reversal pattern, suggesting a stop-hunt below recent lows before a bullish move.
$$$: Liquidity Pool: Shows accumulation below before a breakout upward.
Bullish Case as Implied by the Chart
The chart suggests:
A liquidity sweep occurred at the recent low ("turtle soup").
Price is now rebounding from a demand zone, supported by bullish order flow.
If structure holds, price may:
Break above the minor high at ~3,410–3,420 (first BSL).
Continue upward toward ~3,450+ (second BSL), potentially reclaiming full bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Range Type
Demand 3,380–3,388 Support Zone
Target 1 ~3,420 Buy-side Liquidity
Target 2 ~3,450 Final BSL Target
If price breaks below the 3,380 zone with momentum, the bullish thesis weakens.
Summary:
Short-Term Trend: Bullish if support holds.
Liquidity Grab Complete: Signs of a reversal from turtle soup setup.
Upside Targets: 3,420 and 3,450.
Invalidation: Break and close below ~3,380
Is 2025 the right time to make plans?Market news:
On Thursday (June 19) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,380/ounce. As an important safe-haven asset in the global financial market, the price fluctuations of international gold are often affected by macroeconomic policies, geopolitical situations and market sentiment. Recently, the gold market has shown a complex and eye-catching trend under the dual influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.The Federal Reserve decided to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% at its meeting on June 18. This decision was in line with market expectations, but its subsequent statement brought new uncertainty to the London gold price market. This cautious stance weakened the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rapid easing, causing gold prices to fall 0.57% on Wednesday to close at $3,369/ounce.The current gold market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined. The Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy stance and inflation expectations caused by tariffs have brought short-term pressure on gold prices, but geopolitical tensions and signs of economic slowdown have provided potential upward momentum for gold prices. Pay attention to the dynamic changes in the global economy and geopolitics to seize investment opportunities in the gold market.
Technical Review:
Gold fell to the MA10-day moving average of 3662 in the early morning and counterattacked 3380 in the Asian session. The Asian session will continue to look at the rebound strength. The gold price will continue to fluctuate and adjust. The large range is 3408/3343, and the small range is 3390/3360. The daily chart fell back to the 10-day moving average at 3362, and the MA5/7-day moving average was suppressed at 3385/90. The RSI indicator continued to flatten the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart price is running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band!
This week, gold rose sharply to 3450 at the opening, and gradually fell slowly to 3365, with a strength of 100 US dollars. Although the main strength in the first two trading days was a decline, the buying trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. So this week's idea continues to maintain short-term selling and long-term buying.
Today's analysis:
After the Fed's interest rate decision, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged as expected, which was in line with market expectations. Gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and there was no obvious upward momentum for buying. Even if it was a risk aversion, it might be careful of the trend of rising and falling. Since gold was under pressure at 3400, it continued to sell at high prices when it rebounded under pressure at 3400 during the day.The gold 1-hour moving average continued to sell downward dead cross patterns, and the gold buying rebound was weak. It was under pressure at 3400 for many times in the past two days and began to fall. The short-term 3400 line of gold has become a strong resistance. If gold buying cannot break through 3400 strongly, then gold buying will be difficult to improve. It is likely that it will still be the main venue for gold selling. Gold rebounded at 3400 during the day and continued to sell at high prices.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3365-3368 buy, stop loss 3356, target 3390-3440;
Short-term gold 3395-3398 sell, stop loss 3407, target 3370-3350;
Key points:
First support level: 3368, second support level: 3354, third support level: 3333
First resistance level: 3396, second resistance level: 3408, third resistance level: 3420
XAU/USD: Buy on DipsDriving Logic
- Fed policy decision in line with expectations; escalation of Iran-Israel conflict boosts safe-haven demand; gold ETF inflows hit $230M daily, a 1-year high.
Key Levels
- Strong resistance at $3,400; support at $3,360-$3,370 (confluence of 50-day MA and Fibonacci retracement).
Trading Strategy
- Long on bullish candlestick reversal at $3,370-$3,360; stop-loss at $3,350; targets at $3,390-$3,400. Monitor PPI data and Middle East developments.
XAUUSD
buy@3360-3370
tp:3385-3395
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD Rising Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an uptrend
So despite the price is going
Down now we will be expecting
A strong rebound and a move up
After the price hits the
Rising support below
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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XAUUSD 15M CHART PATTERNYour XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) sell trade setup is as follows:
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📉 Sell Entry:
3370
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. 3360 (10 pips)
2. 3350 (20 pips)
3. 3338 (32 pips)
❌ Stop Loss:
3398 (28 pips risk)
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⚖ Risk-Reward Overview:
TP Level Reward (Pips) Risk (Pips) R:R Ratio
TP1 (3360) 10 28 0.36
TP2 (3350) 20 28 0.71
TP3 (3338) 32 28 1.14
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✅ Suggestions:
The best R:R is at TP3 (1.14) – above 1:1, which is the bare minimum for many traders.
Risk is higher than initial reward for TP1 & TP2 – might be worth skipping unless you're scaling out.
Would you like me to turn this into a trading plan or help you set up position sizing?
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the current 2 hour chart, I have marked the area of interest that I am watching to see if we push up or reject and move down some more. I am looking for quick, scalp trades today and over the next few days. This week should be a good week. Trade the trend and let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume starts coming in about 15 minutes from this post. Big G gets a shout out. Thank you so much for checking out my chart.
DeGRAM | GOLD kept the rising channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rejected the channel roof near 3 435 again, carving a small evening-star and slipping back under the May trend-median 3 370 — a repeat of April/May fades.
● Bearish RSI divergence plus a break of the micro up-sloper (last three sessions) tips for a rotation toward the lower rail/3 295 support; loss of that opens the April pivot at 3 225.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sticky US retail-sales and hawkish Fed comments keep 2-yr yields near 4.8 %, firming the DXY, while CFTC data show specs cutting longs for a second week — limiting bid depth.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies 3 410-3 430; sustained trade below 3 366 targets 3 295, stretch 3 225. Short view void on an H4 close above 3 450.
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How to trade the Fed's interest rate decision!In nearly an hour, the Fed will announce the Fed's interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations;
In nearly an hour and a half, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
If the Fed's policy statement or the latest forecast shows a dovish tendency, it may resume the downward trend of the US dollar, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold; and the recent mild inflation and weak employment data in the United States may prompt the Fed to soften its previous assessment, thereby strengthening expectations of interest rate cuts and providing support for gold prices.
From the current technical structure, gold maintains a volatile and anxious market during the day, and there is no clear direction in the short term, but gold is currently always below 3400, and the overall market is still in a weak trend; but gold has repeatedly touched the 3375-3365 area and can quickly recover, proving that there is still strong buying support below; in fact, it stands to reason that if gold is really weak, it should have continued to fall and touched the 3360-3350 area, but gold did not touch the area as expected, but used sideways trading to exchange time and space, and there was no sign of any downward breakthrough, so gold is likely to choose an upward direction.
In addition, the Middle East geopolitical crisis, global economic uncertainty, intensified trade frictions and rising inflation expectations will all provide structural support for gold. So if gold does not fall below the 3365-3355 area today, we will be bullish on gold first; but if gold cannot break through the 3410-3420 area in one fell swoop during the rise, then we need to be careful of the trend of gold rising and then falling.
As for how to trade the news next: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The above are my trading ideas and opinions, you can read them carefully and use them as a reference! If you still want to trade news after careful consideration, please be sure to set SL during the transaction to protect your account to the greatest extent!