XAU/USD: Gold's Critical Decision Point! FOR JUNE 06, 2025 📊 CURRENT SNAPSHOT
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🎯 THE SETUP: "Golden Triangle Breakout"
Gold is sitting at a CRITICAL JUNCTURE - trapped between major support and resistance levels, forming what I call the "Golden Pressure Cooker" pattern.
🔍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONE (The Ceiling)
* LWH (Last Week High): \$3,403.55 - Ultimate target
* LWL (Last Week Low): \$3,297.94 - Immediate resistance
* 4H FVG: \$3,350 area - Major supply zone
🟡 CURRENT BATTLEFIELD
* Price Action: Consolidating in tight range
* PWL (Previous Week Low): \$3,245.28 - Key pivot
🔴 DANGER ZONE (The Floor)
* DIE ZONE: \$3,121.70 - Critical support
* Break below = Major bearish signal
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📈 MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
What the Chart is Telling Us:
1. 📊 Consolidation Phase: Gold has been ranging for several sessions
2. ⚡ 4H FVG Above: Acting as a magnet for price
3. 🎯 Triple Test: Price respecting the PWL level multiple times
4. 📉 Volume Decline: Typical before major moves
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🚀 TRADING SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1: "Golden Rocket" 🚀 (BULLISH)
IF price breaks above \$3,297.94 (LWL):
* Target 1: \$3,330- +1.2% gain
* Target 2: \$3,350(FVG) - +3.9% gain
* Stop Loss: \$3,280 - Risk: -0.5%
Risk/Reward: 1:1.8 ⭐⭐⭐
SCENARIO 2: "Golden Avalanche" 📉 (BEARISH)
IF price breaks below \$3,245.28 (PWL):
* Target 1: \$3,200 (Psychological level)
* Target 2: \$3,121.70 (Die Zone)
* Stop Loss: \$3,297.94 (LWL)
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💡 SIMPLE TRADING PLAN
🎯 FOR BULLS (Buy Setup):
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ENTRY: Break above $3,298 with volume
STOP: $3,285
TARGET 1: $3,330
TARGET 2: $3,360
🎯 FOR BEARS (Sell Setup):
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ENTRY: Break below $3,245 with volume
STOP: $3,298 (LWL)
TARGET 1: $3,200
TARGET 2: $3,122 (Die Zone)
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⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
1. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of account
2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early
3. Volume is Key: Breakouts need volume
4. Time Limit: Close if no movement in 2 days
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🔥 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS
Gold is at a crossroads! The tight consolidation suggests big players are accumulating positions. When this range breaks, expect explosive movement in either direction.
Smart Money Clues:
* Multiple tests of PWL = Strong support
* 4H FVG above = Price magnet effect
* Low volume = Calm before the storm
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📊 MARKET CONTEXT
* Dollar Weakness: Could fuel gold rally
* Economic Uncertainty: Safe haven demand
* Technical Setup: Clean breakout pattern
* Timeframe: Perfect for swing trades
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🎯 MY VERDICT
Gold is COILED and ready to EXPLODE!
The setup favors the bullish scenario due to:
✅ Strong support holding at PWL
✅ 4H FVG acting as price magnet
✅ Multiple failed attempts to break lower
✅ Overall uptrend structure intact
But remember: Respect the levels and trade the breakout, not your bias!
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🚨 ACTION ITEMS
1. Set Alerts: \$3,298 (bull trigger) & \$3,245 (bear trigger)
2. Watch Volume: Breakouts need confirmation
3. Be Patient: Wait for clean breaks
4. Have Both Plans: Ready for either direction
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Trade Smart, Stay Safe! 🥇💰
The market rewards patience and punishes impatience.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold Bears Part IV - Complete TVC:GOLD buyers got flushed all week 💥
Big Boy sells only.
Sometimes you’ve got to put your balls on the line and call it ahead — no hesitation.
New Ideas next week, Thank you and keep supporting!!
We did just that.
#Trump #DXY #Gold #XAUUSD #Dollar #Metals #CommodityTrading #KeepGoing #SmartMoneyMoves
Ready, Steady...?Gold has consolidated the past few weeks and has now bounced from solid support.
The current wave 4 looks complete and should now be followed by a strong upward move in wave 5, wave 5's in the metals are the strongest...expect a move towards $4000 coming.
Your chance to get on board early and ride this bull run again!
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
Is this the end of the bears of XAUUSD?2 weeks in a row, the sellers were in control. The downward force this week is strong. The possibility of a further drop in the future is highly probable. However, there's also a potential recovery next week. Overall, it's still an uptrend; however, I won't ignore the new LH that formed this week as well.
Hanzo | 30-Min Setup / incoming 300 Pip After Break Out Time Frame: 30 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Break out
🩸Bullish Break : 3338 : 3342.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
➕ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point
why we did chose it ?
Solid Key level
➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗2nd Wick Touch (12 Jun /2025)
➗3rd Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025)
Deep Analysis ( 3338 ) Point
why we did chose it ?
➗1st Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗2nd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗3rd Wick Touch (11 Jun /2025)
➗4th x2 Wick Touch (20 Jun /2025)
➗5th x2 Wick Touch (24 Jun /2025)
🔖That means we created a Solid Zone (3338 : 3342) of Breakout on the 30-min Chart -
Price must break liquidity with a clear 30-min candle to confirm the move.
Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify.
Uptrend Breaks:
Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead.
Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart.
MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term.
$3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook.
$3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit.
The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack.
History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate.
Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels.
The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | Support Levels in SightGold has broken down from the ascending channel, indicating a potential shift in market structure toward bearish momentum.
🔎 Technical Highlights:
Clear breakdown from the ascending channel
Price currently facing resistance near $3,323
Two key support zones:
🟩 First Support: $3,295 – potential bounce area
🟩 Second Support: $3,258 – deeper downside target
📊 Short-Term Outlook: Expecting a minor pullback before continuation lower toward the $3,295 support. If that level fails to hold, the next target becomes $3,258.
💡 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection below $3,323 for a possible short opportunity targeting $3,295 and $3,258. Keep an eye on momentum and volume.
🔔 Note: Always use proper risk management. This setup is based on current price action and may change with market dynamics.
XAUUSD Short Opportunity🔻 XAUUSD Short Opportunity – Targeting 3258.840
Gold is showing signs of weakness after testing key resistance zones.
I'm currently watching a short-term sell setup with a downside target at 3258.840.
If bearish pressure continues, this level could be hit soon.
📉 Keep an eye on confirmation candles and momentum shifts.
👉 Follow me for more real-time setups and precision entries in Gold & Forex!
GOLD FREE STRUCTUREChina Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need.
3380-3385 triggered but be cautious
buy zone 3250-3255 reacted and instant buy rejection on the descending trendline.
the Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%.
Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth.
Market and Policy Implications:
The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target.
The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth.
The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data.
Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer.
Summary:
Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance.
stay cautious on #gold
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Our original sell bias from $3,347 which I posted live for you all, is now running in deep profits! Market is now down & running 810 PIPS in profit in just 2 days.
We have broken structure to the downside, crossing below our previous 'Wave E' low, indicating & acting as stronger confluence that Gold will carry on down towards our $2,800 target. Huge profits en-route for us all in this free channel.
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,274.66 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) – June 25, 2025 After a sharp decline in the previous session, XAUUSD has shown a mild recovery and is currently trading around 3,332 USD. However, price action suggests this could merely be a pullback within a broader downtrend, as gold has yet to break above the key resistance zone.
Technical Analysis
Price Action
Gold has bounced from the support zone between 3,291 – 3,317 USD, which has historically acted as a strong demand area. This zone also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement from the previous bullish leg.
However, XAUUSD remains below the key resistance zone at 3,373 – 3,392 USD, which is a confluence of:
- The Fibonacci 0.618 retracement from the most recent downtrend
- A historical supply zone that has been rejected multiple times
- The upper boundary of the sideways range formed since May
- If price fails to break through this zone in the coming sessions, the risk of continued downside remains high.
RSI Indicator
- The RSI (14) is currently hovering around the neutral zone (49–54), indicating that the rebound lacks the strength needed to confirm a trend reversal.
- The RSI has not crossed above the 55 threshold, suggesting the dominant trend is still bearish.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance:
- 3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluent resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.618 + prior supply zone)
- 3,435 – 3,452 USD: Major swing high, a key medium-term reference level
Support:
- 3,291 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support zone, still holding strong
- 3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential downside target if the bearish momentum resumes
Suggested Trade Setups
Scenario 1 – Buy if price holds above 3,291 and shows confirmation signals
Entry: 3,295 – 3,300 USD
Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD
Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD
Conditions: Must show clear bullish reversal patterns (Pin Bar, Bullish Engulfing) on H1 or H4 timeframe
Scenario 2 – Sell if price rejects from resistance zone with confirmation candle
Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD
Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD
Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD
Conditions: Clear bearish rejection candle + declining volume
Note: XAUUSD is currently in a technical rebound phase after a strong drop but lacks solid reversal confirmation. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction near the 3,373 – 3,392 USD resistance zone over the next sessions. This area will determine whether the downtrend will resume or a reversal begins.
Stay tuned for more daily trading strategies, and make sure to save this analysis if you find it helpful for your trading plan.
Strategy analysis by @Henrybillion
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3260.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3289.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK