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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD Gold price moves closer to three-week peak amid modest USD downtick Gold price regains positive traction amid a modest USD pullback from a multi-week high. Persistent trade-related uncertainties also lend support to the safe-haven precious metal. Reduced Fed rate cut bets might cap the commodity ahead of the critical US CPI repo Fundamental Overview Amid US President Donald Trump’s fresh tariff threats announced late Monday and his latest criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, Gold traders resorted to profit-taking after the bright metal hit a three-week high of $3,375 while bracing for the US inflation report for June. Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Russia if President Vladimir Putin does not agree to a deal to end his invasion of Ukraine in 50 days, per Bloomberg. Meanwhile, the US President renewed his attacks on Powell, noting that “interest rates should be at 1% or lower, rather than the 4.25% to 4.50% range the Fed has kept the key rate at so far this year.” Markets now price in 50 basis points of Fed interest rate cuts by year-end, with the first reduction foreseen in September. However, it remains to be seen if these expectations hold ground following the US CPI data publication. Economists are expecting the US annual CPI and core CPI to accelerate 2.7% and 3% in June, reflecting the tariff impact feeding through prices. Meanwhile, the monthly CPI and core CPI inflation figures are set to rise to 0.3% in the same period. Hotter-than-expected US CPI monthly or annual readings could reinforce the Fed’s patient outlook, pushing back against expectations of two Fed rate cuts this year. This scenario could help the US Dollar (USD) extend its recovery at the expense of the non-yielding Gold price. Alternatively, if the data come in below forecasts, it could provide a fresh tailwind to the Gold price on renewed bets that the Fed will remain on track for two rate cuts. BAY TP TP 1 3,371 TP 2 3,391 TP 3 3,412 SELL PT TP 1 3,337 TP 2 3,311 TP 3 3,286
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mark804
3
Gold Buy Plan - 16 July 2025📌 Gold Buy Plan - 16 July 2025 Timeframe: H4 Bias: Bullish Structure: Market has formed bullish FVGs and is respecting demand zones. 🔍 Key Zones: Demand Zone: 3,314 - 3,325 (Blue Zone) Entry Range: Price expected to dip into demand zone before rally Current Price: 3,343.52 Liquidity Target 1: 3,393.46 Liquidity Target 2: 3,451.19 (Final target / magnet area) ✅ Buy Setup Plan: Wait for retracement: Let price dip into the demand zone around 3,320–3,325. Entry Trigger: Look for: Rejection candle in H1 or M30 Break of structure or bullish FVG formation Engulfing candle from the demand zone Buy Entry: Around 3,320 ± few points (inside demand zone) Stop Loss: Below the demand zone: around 3,305 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 3,393 (liquidity level) TP2: 3,451 (magnet zone) Risk to Reward: From 3,320 to 3,451 → approx. 1:4 RRR ⚠️ Conditions to Invalidate Buy Plan: If price closes H4 candle below 3,305, plan is invalid. If price forms a bearish FVG after liquidity sweep, re-evaluate.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Asif_Brain_Waves
6
Learn 2 Essential Elements of Forex Gold Trading In the today's post, we will discuss how Forex Gold trading is structured, and I will share with you its 2 key milestones. Trading with its nuances and complexities can be explained as the interconnections of two processes: trading rules creation and trading rules following. 1️⃣ With the trading rules, you define what you will trade and how exactly, classifying your entry and exist conditions, risk and trade management rules. Such a set of consistent trading rules compose a trading strategy. For example, you can have a following trading plan: you trade only gold, you analyze the market with technical analysis, you buy from a key support and sell from a key resistance on a daily, your entry confirmation is a formation of a reversal candlestick pattern. You set stop loss above the high/low of the pattern, and your target is the closest support/resistance level. Here is how the trading setup would look like. In the charts above, all the conditions for the trade are met, and the market nicely reached the take profit. 2️⃣ Trading strategy development is a very simple process. You can find hundreds of different ones on the internet and start using one immediately. The main obstacle comes, however, with Following Trading Rules. Following the rules is our second key milestone. It defines your ability to stay disciplined and to stick to your trading plan. It implies the control of emotions, patience and avoidance of rationalization. Once you open a trade, following your rules, challenges are just beginning. Imagine how happy you would feel yourself, seeing how nicely gold is moving to your target after position opening. And how your mood would change, once the price quickly returns to your entry. Watching how your profits evaporate and how the initially winning position turns into a losing one, emotions will constantly intervene. In such situations, many traders break their rules , they start adjusting tp or stop loss or just close the trading, not being able to keep holding. The ability to follow your system is a very hard skill to acquire. It requires many years of practicing. So if you believe that a good trading strategy is what you need to make money, please, realize the fact that even the best trading strategy in the world will lose without consistency and discipline. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
Gold is set to rise to a new all-time high!Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum. A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone. Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels. As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. Will gold resume its rally after the pullback?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HoneySophy
2
XAUUSD setup selling ideas h4Disruptive Gold Analysis – 4H Chart Perspective Symbol: XAU/USD 🥇 | Timeframe: 4H Date: July 9, 2025 ⸻ 🔁 Scenario Disruption: Potential Bullish Reversal ✅ While the original analysis shows a bearish continuation setup with consolidation under resistance and breakdown towards multiple downside targets, a disruptive view considers a false breakdown or support flip scenario. ⸻ 🔁 Alternative Viewpoint: 📍 Current Price Action: Price is testing the support zone (~3,280–3,290) which has held multiple times in the past. 🟢 Disruption Possibility: 1. Bullish Fakeout Trap Setup: • Price may create a false breakdown below support to trap sellers. • A quick recovery and breakout above the consolidation highs (~3,310–3,320) would invalidate the bearish continuation. 2. Resistance Flip Setup: • If the market reclaims above 3,320, we may see a bullish push towards the key resistance zone at 3,360–3,380. • This could evolve into a range breakout bullish trend continuation toward previous highs. ⸻ 🔄 Disruption Targets: • 📈 Immediate Upside Target: 3,320 • 📈 Breakout Target: 3,360 • 📈 Extended Bullish Target: 3,400+ ⸻ ⚠️ Invalidation Level: If price closes below 3,270, then the original bearish scenario remains intact, with continuation toward 3,240 → 3,200 → 3,140.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrSam_with_trading
15
GOLD's narrowing range, tariffs, Trump's political dramaOANDA:XAUUSD is still trading in a narrowing range, affected by the tariff game and the political drama that Trump is building. Currently, the price of gold is trading around 3,339 USD/oz, equivalent to a small decrease of about 7 dollars on the day. Tariff Game On July 16, US President Donald Trump announced that he would send letters to more than 150 countries, with tariffs expected to be 10% or 15%, to promote trade. He said these countries are not major US partners and will be treated equally, but left open the possibility of negotiating exemptions. The tariffs are similar to those proposed in April but were postponed due to concerns about market volatility. The resumption of the tariffs continues to destabilize financial markets and surprised partners such as the European Union, as they hoped to reach an early agreement with the US. Political Play Also on July 16, global financial markets were shaken by rumors that President Trump intended to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Many major news agencies such as the New York Times, Bloomberg and Reuters reported that Trump had prepared a letter of dismissal and consulted with Republican lawmakers, receiving positive feedback. Removing Powell before his term was believed to undermine confidence in the US financial system and the safe haven status of the USD. Trump later denied the plan, saying it was unlikely to happen unless there was serious wrongdoing. Markets reacted strongly: the USD fell and then recovered after Trump's statement, while gold lost most of its previous gains by the end of the session. The gold market in particular, and the financial economy in general, are being affected by the activities of Trump, the creator of the global trade war, and the plays of Trump and the FED leading the market. Therefore, the basic formula in the current market context is best to follow Trump, and make sure not to miss any of Trump's status lines. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, the technical structure has not changed with the trend not yet clear and the price action clinging to the EMA21. The technical conditions do not favor an uptrend or a downtrend, typically the RSI moves around the 50 level, indicating a hesitant market sentiment. On the upside, gold needs to achieve the condition of breaking above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level of the price point of 3,371 USD then the target level will be around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 USD. Meanwhile, on the downside, gold needs to break below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, which would confirm a loss of the $3,300 level, then target around $3,246 in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. Intraday, the sideways trend of gold price accumulation will be noticed by the following technical positions. Support: $3,310 – $3,300 – $3,292 Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371 – $3,400 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3381 - 3379⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3385 →Take Profit 1 3373 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3387 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3305 →Take Profit 1 3317 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
4
Gold returns to 3500Refer to my previous trading idea. Gold retreated as expected. We almost caught the highest point of the day and shorted gold near 3365, and successfully hit TP: 3346, which enabled us to successfully profit 190pips in short-term trading, with a profit of nearly $10K, which is a good result in short-term trading. Currently, the lowest point of gold in the retracement process has reached around 3335, which has fully released the short energy and vented the bearish sentiment in the market. All the bad news is out, which means good news! Although gold fell from 3375 to 3335, the retracement was as high as $40, but the rising structure has not been completely destroyed. The previous W-shaped double bottom support structure and the resonance effect of the inverted head and shoulder support structure still exist. As long as gold stays above 3325, gold bulls still have the potential to attack. Moreover, after this round of retracement, the bearish sentiment of gold was vented, and the liquidity was greatly increased, attracting more buyers to actively enter the market. Gold may start a retaliatory rebound, and even touch 3375 again or even break through and continue to the 3380-3390 area. So for short-term trading, I think we can try to go long on gold in the 3335-3325 area appropriately, first looking forward to gold regaining lost ground: 3350-3360 area, followed by 3380-3390 area. I am a trader with 10 years of experience. I started from nothing and burned my account overnight. If you are a novice or your account is being burned, please contact me. I will give you free professional advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
2
Gold will crash1. What happened yesterday As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340. ________________________________________ 2. The key question today Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal? ________________________________________ 3. Why I remain bearish • On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish • On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive • No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias • A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling • If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it. ________________________________________ 4. Trading plan My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360. However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift. ________________________________________ 5. Final thoughts 🚀 This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet. Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities. Comments If you are new here, or your account is getting burned, please contact me. I will help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
5
Gold Price Analysis July 17XAUUSD Analysis Today The price has cleared the liquidity to the 3377 zone, then returned to trading within the triangle. The market is currently waiting for new momentum to determine the next trend. ✅ BUY Scenario If the 3322-3323 zone continues to hold and there is a bearish rejection signal and confirmation of buying power, gold is expected to continue its uptrend towards the 3373 - 3400 zone. ❌ SELL Scenario If the price breaks the 3321 support with clear selling pressure, it can extend the decline to 3285. 🔑 Key Level Today Support: 3321 - 3323 Resistance: 3373 - 3400 💡 Strategy: Watch the price reaction at the important support zone to decide the next action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3
Gold's Short-Term Decline: What's Next?Hello everyone, what do you think about gold? Today, gold continues its short-term downtrend. After new data was released at the end of yesterday’s trading session, the USD rose by 0.3%, and U.S. Treasury yields also increased, reducing the appeal of gold. Additionally, the latest unemployment claims data shows improvement in the U.S. economy, which has contributed to the drop in the precious metal. As of writing, gold is trading around the EMA 34, 89 levels at 3,336 USD. With the recent news, the market is expected to maintain its current stance throughout the day, as no new significant updates are expected. From a technical standpoint, the downtrend remains in place, with prices continuing to be capped below the trendline. The series of lower highs and lows could likely lead XAUUSD to test lower levels, with the possibility of reaching the 3,300 USD mark. What do you think about the price of gold today? Let us know in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
5
GOLD FULL UPDATE – July 15, 2025 | Post-CPI TrapPost-CPI Flip Zone Battle Hello dear traders 💛 Today has been one of those heavy CPI days — full of volatility, sweeps, and doubt. But if we read it structurally and stop chasing candles, everything makes sense. Let’s break it all down step by step, clearly and human-like. Current Price: 3330 Bias: Short-term bearish, reactive bounce underway Focus Zone: 3319–3320 liquidity sweep + key decision structure unfolding 🔹 Macro Context: CPI came in slightly hot year-over-year (2.7% vs 2.6%) while monthly stayed in-line at 0.3%. That gave the dollar a short-lived boost, and gold reacted exactly how institutions love to play it — sweeping liquidity under 3320, then pausing. Not falling, not flying. Just... thinking. That reaction matters. Why? Because it shows us indecision. It tells us that gold isn’t ready to break down fully yet, and every aggressive move today was part of a calculated shakeout. 🔹 Daily Structure: Gold is still stuck below the premium supply zone of 3356–3380. Every attempt to rally there for the past few weeks has failed — including today. The discount demand area between 3280–3240 is still intact and untouched. So what does this mean? We are in a macro-range, and price is simply rotating between key structural edges. 🔹 H4 View: The rejection from CPI at 3355–3365 created a micro CHoCH, signaling the bullish leg is now broken. After the 3345 fail, price dropped to 3320 — but it hasn’t tapped the full H4 demand at 3310–3300. H4 EMAs are tilting down, showing pressure. This isn’t a breakout. It’s a correction inside a larger range. 🔸 Key H4 Supply Zones: 3345–3355: liquidity reaction during CPI 3365–3375: untested OB + remaining buy-side liquidity 🔸 Key H4 Demand Zones: 3310–3300: mitigation zone from the CHoCH 3282–3270: deep discount and bullish continuation zone if current fails Structure-wise: We are in a correction, not a clean uptrend. That’s why every bullish attempt fails unless confirmed. 🔹 H1 Real Structure This is where things got tricky today. Price formed a bullish BOS back on July 14, when we first pushed into 3370. That was the start of the bullish leg. But today, we revisited the origin of that BOS, right near 3320. This is a sensitive zone. If it holds → it’s still a retracement. If it breaks → we lose the bullish structure and shift full bearish. So far, price touched 3320, bounced weakly, but has not printed a bullish BOS again. 🔸 H1 Zones of Interest: Supply above: 3340–3345: micro reaction zone 3355–3365: CPI origin rejection 3370–3375: final inducement Demand below: 3310–3300: current flip test 3282–3270: if this breaks, bias flips bearish Right now, we are between zones. Price is undecided. RSI is oversold, yes — but that alone is never a reason to buy. We need structure. We need BOS. 🔻 So… What’s the Truth Right Now? ✅ If 3310–3300 holds and price builds BOS on M15 → a clean long opportunity develops ❌ If 3310 breaks, and we lose 3300, structure fully shifts and opens downside to 3280–3270 On the upside: Only look for rejections from 3355–3365 and 3370–3375 Anything inside 3325–3340 is noise. No structure, no clean RR. Final Thoughts: Today’s move was not random. It was a classic CPI trap: induce longs early, trap shorts late, and leave everyone confused in the middle. But we don’t trade confusion — we wait for structure to align with the zone. If M15 or H1 prints a BOS from demand, that’s your green light. If price collapses under 3300, flip your bias. The chart already told you it wants lower. No predictions. Just real reaction. — 📣 If you like clear and simple plans, please like, comment, and follow. Stay focused. Structure always wins. 📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools. — With clarity, GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
2
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week. Technical analysis: Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short. 💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290 If you are a beginner, I suggest you first understand what trading is.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
2
Gold may rise a little and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Initially, gold was trading within a large consolidating pennant, showing both upward and downward impulses as it moved between the converging trend lines. The price eventually saw a breakout from this pattern, followed by a strong impulse up, but this momentum stalled as it approached the major horizontal resistance level at 3390. This level, which corresponds with the upper seller zone, has proven to be a significant barrier for buyers, rejecting the price and confirming a strong seller presence in that area. Currently, the market is in a corrective phase after being rejected from the highs. The price is drifting upwards once again in what appears to be a final retest of the aforementioned seller zone. This slow upward movement lacks the impulsive strength of the previous trend, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are preparing to defend the 3390 resistance level once more. I expect this corrective move to fail upon reaching the seller zone around 3390. After this retest, I anticipate a sharp reversal and the beginning of a new downward trend. The logical target for this move is the major support level at 3310, an area that has historically acted as a strong buyer zone. That is why my TP is set at 3310. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
5
XAUUSD Bearish Structure Breakdown – Targeting 3310 ZoneXAUUSD is currently respecting the key resistance zone near 3340 and forming consistent lower highs, signaling a bearish momentum. After breaking the support area around 3325–3320, we expect price to continue its downward trajectory. If the support fails to hold, the next major target lies at the 3310 zone. This setup aligns with market structure and order flow, suggesting a high-probability sell opportunity on any pullback toward resistance. Keep an eye on price action near the support zone for confirmation. Bias: Bearish | Timeframe: 1H
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
5
GOLD Under Pressure – CPI to Drive the Next MoveGOLD Outlook – Bearish Below 3365, CPI in Focus Gold is showing bearish momentum while trading below 3365, with a likely move toward 3342. However, if the price closes a 1H or 4H candle above 3365, it may shift to a bullish trend targeting 3395. CPI data will be the key factor in determining the next move. The market expects a print of 2.6%, which would signal no Fed rate cuts this year due to rising tariff pressures. That said, we expect a 2.7% release, which would likely support a bearish trend for gold. But if the release is less than 2.6% that will support the bullish trend. Pivot Line: 3365 Support: 3342 – 3320 Resistance: 3375 – 3395
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
5
Beware of the market's trap of luring more investors, short 3335Regarding recent trading strategies, I believe you have also seen my trading win rate. I often inform the future trend of gold several hours or even days in advance, because my many years of trading experience have made me an excellent poisonous wolf in the trading market. Now I see a lot of bullish voices in the market, but my wolf’s sense of smell has discovered danger signals. In the short term, I think that without the influence of news, the market needs to digest the overbought momentum of the bulls. From the 4H chart, the middle track of the Bollinger Band is at 3332, which is very close to the strong support of 3330 given by us during the day. Therefore, I think that at least within 4 hours, gold will fall back to test the support below 3340-3330, or even 3320. Since most people want to follow the crowd, let them go. They will only fall into the trap set by the market. Let's prove with facts whether following the wolf pack will make you hungry or well fed. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
3
Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment. While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed. Technical Outlook: As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365. A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395. However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329. Pivot: 3342 Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395 Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
8
Gold continues to test resistance levels for a breakoutThe global trend is bullish, with gold undergoing a local correction. The price is attempting to avoid the liquidation zones located below. The fourth retest of the trend resistance over the past two weeks is forming. Regarding the current situation, gold is consolidating near the resistance level of 3329, a break of which could trigger growth. Buyers are interested in gold due to the current geopolitical circumstances... Scenario : If the bullish pattern remains intact and gold stays within the 3329-3315 range and continues to move towards resistance, another retest of 3329-3330 could lead to a breakout and growth.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
6
July 14, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Gold is currently showing signs of high-level consolidation. The primary strategy remains buying on pullbacks to support. Keep a close eye on the 3450–3452 resistance zone — if price fails to break above, shorting from that area offers good risk-reward. If it breaks and holds, bulls may push toward the 3393 target. On the downside, key supports are at 3310, 3285, and 3245. Stay flexible and reactive to how price behaves around these key levels. Avoid oversized positions and focus on risk control. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3400 – Psychological level • 3393 – Resistance • 3380 – Resistance • 3370 – Key resistance • 3350 – Midpoint • 3344 – Key support • 3330 – Key support • 3310 – Support • 3300 – Psychological support 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3349 → target 3344, then 3340, 3334, 3330 • BUY if price holds above 3360 → target 3365, then 3370, 3375, 3380 👉 If you’d like to learn how I time my entries and place stop-losses, give this post a like — if there's enough interest, I might publish a dedicated post on it soon! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
4