GOLD - BEARISH MOVE !Hello Traders !
The GOLD price formed an ascending channel.
Currently, The support line is broken!
So, I expect a bearish move📉
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TARGET: 3300🎯
GOLD trade ideas
GOLD continue sideway , SELL 3393⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remain well-supported during the North American session following breaking news that Iran has launched retaliatory strikes on US military bases in Qatar. The escalation comes in response to Washington’s weekend assault on Iranian nuclear facilities. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dominate headlines, investors have largely sidelined US economic data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,385, up 0.39%.
Macroeconomic indicators have taken a backseat as heightened conflict drives market sentiment. Citing Israeli media, Al Arabiya reported that Iran targeted US bases in Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq with missile strikes. In a further escalation, Tehran approved the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz and launched additional missiles at Israeli targets—amplifying safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices reacted to a decrease in positive news about peace in the Middle East, continuing to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3392- 3394 SL 3399
TP1: $3382
TP2: $3370
TP3: $3360
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3319-$3317 SL $3312
TP1: $3327
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3349
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD - Price may bounce up from wedge to $3500 points Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, price entered to wedge, where it at once made an upward impulse from the support line.
Price broke $3155 with $3420 level and reached resistance line, but soon turned around and started to decline.
After this, Gold broke the $3420 level one more time and later tried to grow, but when it reached the resistance zone, it dropped.
Next, price bounced from support line of wedge and started to grow and in a short time rose to $3420 level.
Recently, it declined below, making a fake breakout of the resistance level, and now it continues to decline.
In my mind, Gold can decline a little more and then bounce up to $3500, breaking the resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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Gold Market Update: Bulls Will target 3750 USD after 3500 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update (June 19, 2025)
📊 Price & Technical Outlook
Current Spot Price: ~$3,365
Technical Setup
Inverted H&S pattern forming/completed on higher timeframes — confirms bullish reversal structure.
Reload (buy) zone: $3,250–$3,275 (ideal accumulation range for bulls if price pulls back).
Swing trade setup: Entry: $3,250–$3,275 (reload zone)
Take Profit (TP): $3,750
Support: Major at $3,250–$3,275 (break below = reassess bullish bias).
Resistance: $3,450–$3,500 ; next major resistance: $3,600, then $3,750.
Price consolidating above $3,250–$3,350 is technically healthy — maintaining bullish structure.
🏆 Bull Market Overview
The pullback appears complete; uptrend resumes amid strong macro/geopolitical drivers (inflation, rates, safe haven flows).
Key Levels: $3,000 (macro support), $3,250 (bulls must defend), $3,500 (breakout zone), $3,750 (swing TP).
Short-term dips = buying opportunities — “Buy the Dip” remains favored as long as support holds. Upside targets: Immediate: $3,600 Swing target: $3,750
Summary:
Gold remains in a bullish mid-term structure, with the inverted H&S pattern pointing to higher prices ahead. Bulls look to reload at $3,250–$3,275, targeting $3,750 for swing trades. As long as $3,180–$3,200 holds, buying dips is the play. A sustained breakout above $3,400–$3,600 opens the door for new all-time highs.
XAUUSD I Forecast Ahead of USD Unemployment ClaimsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Could the Gold bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,337.35
1st Support: 3,294.91
1st Resistance: 3,413.32
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Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
Pullback Before Bullish ContinuationGold is currently facing resistance near the mid-Keltner Channel zone. Based on current structure and momentum, we anticipate a two-phase move:
🔻 Phase 1 – Short-Term Pullback:
Price is likely to reject the current resistance and move lower into the demand zone around 3310–3315. This retracement aligns with a healthy correction within a larger structure.
🟢 Phase 2 – Bullish Reversal:
After the pullback, we expect a strong bullish continuation toward the 3370–3373 area. This level represents the next significant resistance and profit target for long positions.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Demand Support: 3310–3315
Bullish Target: 3370–3373
Stop-Loss for Longs: Below 3308
Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,390 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,390 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
BULLS HOLDING KEY PIVOT 〉ATH AROUND THE CORNER As illustrated, Im trying to visualize what a potential bull run could look like starting from what seems to be a "bullish signature" move by gold: a diagonal double bottom.
Don't believe me; go back in time and study how gold makes bottoms and how new bull runs start. The fact that it was NY that manipulated BOTH times and got the best price, is a strong footprint that MIGHT just indicate a potential bottom (at least of this current bearish correction.
I won't say "this is it" and ATH are next FROM this potential rebound; HOWEVER, it could indicate at least the next 10 to 24 hours of potential bullish impulse to retest a degree of the bearish drop since Sunday's weekly open.
Hammer candle from Tuesday's NY session low + today's 4H bullish engulfing, are also powerful components that show bullish strength indicating 3300 to be a major support area.
I'm expecting (BUT NOT ADVISING) Asia to break aggressively to the upside confirming that this could have been this current correction's bottom, and/or at least this week's low.
Should Thursday close above Tuesday's high or consolidating near it, also shows signs of bullish strength and opens the door for Friday to make a second bullish impulse move.
This would reflect on the Weekly candle leaving a long rejection wick and closing (potentially) back above 3350 - 3360.
Should this be the case, the following week would have the road paved to lift off price to retest previous 4H highs of 3440 - 3450 range.
...
July is a bullish month historically. Don't believe me; search "seasonality tool, gold" and see it for yourself.
It is a matter of weeks for Gold to breakout of this wide accumulation phase it has been since end of April, and start a fresh and brand new bull run that could/should last until the end of the year.
-
GOOD LUCK
Persa
XAUUSD Sell Setup – 4H Timeframe📍 Entry: 3,328
❌ Stop Loss: 3,351
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,273
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,217
🎯 Take Profit 3: 3,151
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🧠 Trade Analysis:
The market has reacted strongly from a key resistance zone, forming a potential bearish structure on the 4-hour timeframe. Current price action suggests seller strength and a shift in momentum toward the downside.
This setup offers a well-defined short opportunity with a clear stop loss and three take profit levels. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable for swing traders targeting medium-term moves.
Confirmation of bearish continuation can strengthen this idea. Monitor price behavior and volume closely near entry level.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Use proper risk management and conduct your own research before executing any trade.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 27, 2025Hey traders! Today’s a trader’s dream: high-impact US news, gold trapped in a tight coil between supply and demand, and price flirting with the decision zone. The first breakout will be explosive — but only one side survives the trap. Let’s lock in the real structure, real bias, and sniper-level execution.
🔸 HTF Bias Breakdown
Daily Bias: Neutral → Price trapped between major supply (3359) and HTF demand (3282). Expect breakout after news.
H4 Bias: Bearish → Lower highs holding below 3359, structure weak below 3340.
H1 Bias: Mixed → Bullish momentum building off 3310–3282, but compression under EMAs warns of a fake rally.
🔹 Key Levels Above Price
3385 – Final top-side liquidity zone (last week’s spike high)
3359–3344 – HTF supply & OB (main short zone)
3340–3330 – The pivot zone (battle for control)
🔸 Key Levels Below Price
3317–3310 – Primary demand zone (where buyers stepped in yesterday)
3297–3282 – Deep liquidity pocket & HTF OB (last chance for bulls)
3260 – Breakdown zone if everything fails below
🔥 Sniper Zones & Execution Logic
🔴 3385–3375 – Extreme Supply
Only trade this zone if NY news launches price up and rejection is instant. Needs M5/M15 bearish reversal (engulfing, CHoCH, FVG fill). No news spike = no trade.
🔴 3359–3344 – Main Supply Zone
This is your first real short setup. Sweep into this area + rejection = clean short trigger. Confluence: HTF OB, FVG, EMA 100 rejection, bearish CHoCH.
⚔️ 3340–3330 – Pivot Decision Zone
This is where direction flips.
Break and hold above 3340 = bullish → targets 3359 / 3375
Rejection under 3330 = bearish → back toward 3310 or 3282
Plan: Use for break/retest entries only with M5/M15 confirmation. No blind trades.
🟢 3317–3310 – Primary Demand Zone
Watch for news-induced sweep, then M15 bullish PA (CHoCH, engulfing, RSI bounce). First safe buy zone if structure holds.
🟢 3297–3282 – Deep Demand Zone
Only used if NY session nukes the market. Enter only on textbook SMC/ICT reversal + RSI sub-30. This is the last stand for bulls.
🧠 Execution Strategy
Wait for NY news and first liquidity sweep. Don’t guess.
Sell 3359–3344 or 3375+ only on strong rejection
Buy 3310 or 3282 only on bullish reversal confirmation
Pivot 3340–3330 is the heart of today — use for break/retest or trap reversal
If you love clear logic, tap like, follow, and share your bias in the comments! 🚀👇
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and I'm using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GoldFxMinds
XAU/USD.4h chart pattern.XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, and it indicates a bearish breakdown from an ascending triangle or wedge pattern. The trendline has been broken, and the price has moved below the Ichimoku cloud, supporting a bearish outlook.
📉 Bearish Targets Identified:
1. First Target Zone (Minor Support):
Price Level: Around 3,300 – 3,310
This is the first horizontal support area after the breakdown.
2. Second Target Zone (Major Support):
Price Level: Around 3,250 – 3,260
This is the second marked target and more significant support zone based on past price action.
🔻 Summary:
Pattern: Rising wedge / ascending structure breakdown.
Breakdown Confirmed: Price below trendline and Ichimoku cloud.
Target 1: 3,300 – 3,310
Target 2: 3,250 – 3,260
Stop Loss (Suggested): Above 3,380 (cloud resistance / previous high).
Let me know if you'd like entry/SL/TP levels or a written analysis for posting.
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down:
🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
USD drivers this week:
🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking
🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony
🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims
🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations
Macro sentiment:
FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection.
🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS
Market structure:
Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS).
Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection.
EMA Cluster:
Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100.
EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds.
Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral
As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term.
🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map
🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification
🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance
🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB
🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA)
If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285.
A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected.
Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises.
✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan
🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point.
📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405.
📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength.
💎 Best RR zones:
Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340
Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380
🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post!
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more real-time, structure-based sniper plans.
🧠 Precision isn't optional. It's the edge.
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GoldFxMinds
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound📊 Technical Analysis
● Friday’s flush tagged the green 3 300–3 310 demand and the long-term trend-support, then left a bullish gap inside the falling channel; price is now basing above the gap midpoint and printing higher lows toward the pink supply.
● A clean break of channel resistance at 3 348 completes a 4 h inverse-H&S measured to the next confluence at 3 375 (May pivot / former range top).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Core PCE cooled to 0.1 % m/m, pulling real 2-yr yields to two-week lows while IMF flagged persistent central-bank bullion buying—both restoring bid tone in gold.
✨ Summary
Long 3 320-3 335; clearance of 3 348 targets 3 375. Bias void on a 4 h close below 3 300.
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Gold Pullback Into Demand – Is Another Bullish Leg Coming?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, price began to rise from the $3323 area and reached up to $3350. After this move, gold experienced a minor correction down to $3310, which aligns with a key demand zone.
Currently, gold is trading around $3322, and if price holds above $3313, we can expect another bullish move with $3333 as the first target and $3350 as the second.
This outlook will be invalidated if price closes below $3309.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSDTHE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5%
the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62%
the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$.
Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor .
GOLD - 1H TFHere are the 2 zones I'll be looking to add additional entries. Waiting for Wave 2 completion & a push up.
Zone 1 - Current CMP
Zone 2 - $3,338 - $3,332
Could even look for 'sell to buy' trades, depending on your risk appetite and risk management.
XAUUSD – Gold Forming Higher Lows with Range Bound CeilingGold remains bullish on the higher timeframes, holding a long-term ascending trendline from the daily.
However, price action has respected a clear horizontal resistance zone around 3392, forming a multi-tap ceiling.
On lower timeframes, we’re seeing a series of higher lows, suggesting buyers are still stepping in — but without clean breakouts, the market remains range-bound between 3345 and 3392.
⸻
🧠 Bias:
Neutral-Bullish
– Price is coiling into the triangle
– A breakout above 3392 could open doors toward 3450
– But if we fail to hold the rising trendline, a deeper pullback toward 3294 is likely
⸻
🎯 Trade Ideas:
📌 Break & Retest above 3392 = bullish continuation
📌 Break below trendline = short toward 3345 / 3294
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3392 → 3450
• Support: 3345 → 3294
• Daily Trendline Support (in play)
⸻
💡 Gold is compressing — breakout incoming. Watch the reaction at 3392 for directional clarity.
Xauusd market This chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
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🟦 Key Observations:
1. Current Price: $3,274.175 — down by 1.61%, indicating a recent bearish move.
2. Support Zone: Price has entered and reacted from a major demand zone (light blue box near 3,250), suggesting buying interest.
3. Projected Price Path (black dotted lines):
Initial bounce toward the first resistance around 3,320.
A pullback may occur, potentially retesting lower support before resuming upward movement.
Price is expected to climb toward higher supply zones at:
3,360
3,400
3,440
4. Bullish Reaction Icon (⚡️): Marks a potential reversal or liquidity grab before a bullish impulse.
5. News Event Icons (🇺🇸): U.S. economic data releases are anticipated near July 2–4, which could trigger volatility and confirm the direction.
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📈 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Bullish (short to mid-term)
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,250 – 3,270 zone
Targets: 3,320 → 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440
Invalidation: A clean break and close below 3,240 would challenge the bullish outlook.
Let me know if you’d like a breakdown of entry/exit strategies or risk management tips based on this setup.
GOLD Outlook: Bullish Above 3379, Correction Likely BelowGOLD – Technical Overview
Gold maintains bullish momentum, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which are increasing safe-haven demand.
The price is approaching the pivot level at 3379. A confirmed 1-hour close above this level would likely extend the bullish trend toward 3393 and 3404.
However, if the price remains below 3379, we may see a short-term bearish correction toward 3364, potentially dipping as low as 3339 before resuming the upward trend.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 3379
• Resistance: 3393, 3404
• Support: 3364, 3339
Gold is about to break through 3400! On June 21, 2025 local time, U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. had launched strikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan—using six B-2 stealth bombers 😲. This move marked the formal intervention of the U.S. in the Middle East conflict, prompting the UN Security Council to convene an emergency meeting immediately. This underlies the core logic of our sustained "long gold" strategy last week: the geopolitical situation in the Middle East harbors the risk of escalating at any moment 🤯. If the Security Council fails to roll out direct solutions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, may continue its upward trajectory driven by market panic 📈.
The UN Security Council meeting on June 23, 2025 failed to break the deadlock, and the Middle East situation remains highly fluid. Given that the U.S. is highly unlikely to implement any solutions proposed by the Security Council, the regional crisis may deteriorate further 🚨
Gold is about to break through 3,400! 🌟
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSDHello traders.
I’ve spotted an exceptional sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair—one of those setups that come around once in a hundred years! The trade offers a Risk-to-Reward ratio of over 1:8, so I thought it would be valuable to share it with you.
Please adjust your risk parameters accordingly before entering the trade.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: H1
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:8.70
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3333.35
✔️ Take Profit: 3317.75
✔️ Stop Loss: 3335.13
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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