Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario:
This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200.
• Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295
• TP1: $3,240
• TP2: $3,200
🚨 SL: $3,310
BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315
• TP1: $3,325
• TP2: $3,350
🚨 SL: $3,290
GOLD trade ideas
Gold, seems bullish due to support held (14.05.2025)Please go through chart information carefully.
There are many reasons behind the bulls who are gathering strength.
price breaks major trendline,
price breaks resistance zone now,
Price holds support region
Advice-
Our preference is as below:
XAUUSD BUY NOW @3230
TP1-3253
TP2-3270
TP3-3300
SL- As suggest in the chart
XAUUSD-Bearish Setup Within Descending ChannelHello, traders
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a clear descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. Price is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, around a previous support-turned-resistance zone. The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key observations:
Price has failed to break above resistance and is showing signs of rejection.
A bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or lower high) could signal continuation toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The target is around 3151, aligning with the channel's support and a previous demand level.
In summary: the bias is bearish, and traders are advised to wait for confirmation before shorting, with a target near 3151.
TP1: 3,200 – Near recent minor support, useful for partial profit-taking.
TP2: 3,151 – Main target shown on the chart, aligned with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a strong previous support zone.
You could also trail your stop after TP1 to lock in profits if price continues to move lower.
Gold fell below 3200 as expectedThe latest situation of gold at the 4-hour level. The 4-hour chart is currently in a downward trend. In the chart, yesterday’s high of 3265 is resistance. The moving average MA5-MA10 is in a dead cross, and the short-term is bearish. Yesterday, it was under pressure above 3260, but the market fell back afterwards. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving downward lows. 3200 is support in the chart. Now that it has broken through 3200, it is expected to continue to fall back to 3160-3150. In terms of operation, rebound is mainly short.
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role.
On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise.
However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution.
Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385
Support levels: 3319, 3269
The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319.
Best regards, R. Linda!
High probability bullish setup forming (Bullish Market) - ICTPrice has just aggressively tapped into my Daily OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) zone, indicating a potential reaction from institutional players within a clear imbalance area.
Currently, price is interacting with a significant bullish orderblock, and is only a few pips away from a breaker block, adding further weight to the potential for a Smart Money-driven reversal.
Additionally, a BISI (Balanced Imbalance) is present just below, offering structural support and further validating a possible bullish continuation.
This confluence of factors — OTE, Orderblock, Breaker, and BISI — creates a high-probability context for a bullish scenario, with the expectation that price will seek out the liquidity resting above previous structural highs.
I’m now actively monitoring lower timeframes for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) to execute a precise long entry aligned with institutional flow.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 15.05.2025Key Supply Zones to Watch for Short Opportunities:
3170–3175 Zone:
→ Strong supply area.
→ If price rejects this zone with confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, M5/M15 BOS or CHoCH), enter sell.
3150–3155 Zone:
→ Mid-level supply.
→ If price fails to reach 3170 and breaks below this level, wait for a break & retest of this zone for potential sell entries.
📉 Trade Signal (Sell Bias):
Scenario 1 – Rejection at 3170–3175:
Sell Entry: On confirmation at 3170–3175
SL: Above 3178
TP1: 3155
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3125 (final target – next demand zone)
Scenario 2 – Break of 3150–3155:
Sell Entry: On retest of 3150–3155 zone after breakdown
SL: Above 3160
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3125
✅ Confirmation Tools:
Candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / M15 BOS)
Lower timeframe structure shift (M5-M15 CHoCH)
Volume spike or momentum fade at zone
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XAU/USD finds support at $3,250 - Where to from here?The Gold price rally has halted, as “double-top” candle chart appears to be soon confirmed, which in reverse could send XAU/USD prices toward the $3,000 figure and beyond. Momentum shows that buyers' strength is fading and that sellers are stepping in following a softer-than-expected US inflation report and weaker global outlook as market awaits further confirmation on US-China trade deal.
For a reversal of trend double-top confirmation, sellers must clear the May 1 low of $3,202. Once cleared, the next stop would be $3,100 and $3,000 respectively. However, in the interim, short term support level of $3,250 is holding well with a provisional level of both, natural support and 50% fibonacci level adding an additional cluster zone within that last major range.
Conversely, break above $3,300 will most like add another level of conviction for buyers to face the next resistance at $3,350. If surpassed, the next ceiling level would be an all time high of $3,501 and beyond. However, for gold to appreciate and continue its long term uptrend, new macro catalyst would need to emerge, as markets anticipate and turns to this Thursdays Retail sales and Jerome Powell's Fed speech.
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 14.05.2025Market Structure:
Gold was previously trading within an ascending channel but has broken below the channel, indicating possible bearish momentum. Price is currently hovering around the 3,234–3,238 retest zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Channel Re-entry Zone: 3,235 – 3,238
Resistance Above: 3,258 and 3,278 (next major target)
Support Below: 3,207 (recent low); break below opens up 3,190 and 3,175 zones
Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: M30 or H1 candle closes inside the channel above 3,238
Target 1: 3,258
Target 2: 3,278
Invalidation: M30/H1 closes back below 3,235 after re-entry
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 3,235–3,238 zone and forms rejection wicks / bearish engulfing
Target 1: 3,207
Target 2: 3,190–3,175 (if 3,207 fails)
Invalidation: Strong bullish candle closes above 3,238 with follow-through
🕒 Trading Tip:
Wait for confirmation via M30/H1 candle closes – do not jump in on first wick. Patience pays off in breakout-retest situations.
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"Gold’s Golden Opportunity: Riding the Uptrend with Confidence"The gold chart shows that the main trend is upward, with strong support levels at $3,000 and $2,945, and resistance levels at $3,400 and $3,500. The chance of a rise (65%) is higher than a drop (35%), especially if the support levels hold and positive news (like lower inflation) continues. My strategy is to buy at the $3,000 support, aiming for $3,500, with a stop-loss below $2,945. In my journal, I’ll note to stay patient and avoid getting emotional, as I see gold’s long-term value, just like Warren Buffett.
For you: If you’re a beginner, start with a small amount (e.g., 1% of your capital) at the $3,000 support and set a stop-loss. This is my personal opinion—do your own research! 😊
GOLD - rebound before the fall continuesGOLD is testing key support. The price approached from afar and quite sharply. On high volatility the level will be difficult to break through and we should wait for correction
Within the framework of correction gold may test 0.5 - 0.7 Fibo and turn around to continue its fall.
Scenario:
False break of support 3200 - 3203, consolidation above the level and correction to 3222. From 3222 we can consider the continuation of the fall
Correction upside at 3310!XAUUSD H1&H4 Timeframe .
Market is moving on Falling wedge after the break of break 3320-3340 Accumulation zone.
- I am expecting the upside move to respect the 3310 -3320 resistance area where we must have H4 closing below for bearish moves towards 3230 again .
-if the H4 Candle closed below 3270 then upside Retracement willbe postponed.
- above 3320 again we have Accumulation zone 3320-3360
Enteries should be taken all the rules are applied
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/13/2025Gold has broken 3270 support and went down all the way to 3208 yesterday. With current strong bearish momentum, I will be very cautious in buying. Therefore, I am looking for selling opportunities from either 3270 resistance or broken of 3200, targeting 3165.
However, if 3270 is broken, the above setup is invalidated. We may have bulls regain its momentum.
GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum
Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours.
🔍 Market Context:
The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe.
A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest.
This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility.
The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in:
US inflation expectations
FED forward guidance
Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan)
🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025):
Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear.
Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
$3288
$3308
$3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone)
🔻 Key Support Levels:
$3262
$3246
$3236
$3200
🎯 Trade Ideas:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: $3246 – $3244
SL: $3240
TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280
Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones.
🔴 SELL ZONE (Main):
Entry: $3326 – $3328
SL: $3332
TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300
🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday):
Entry: $3306 – $3308
SL: $3312
TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment.
Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries.
Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you.
📣 Final Note:
This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.