XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
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GOLD trade ideas
Gold is falling. Where is the low point?Market summary:
Yesterday, thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, the US dollar once fell below the 99.0 mark. Spot gold rebounded from the low of 3293 hit earlier in the session, recovering all the losses during the day, and the highest point was near 3338.
It fell from the high point in the early Asian session on Tuesday, and has been consolidating in the 3300-3310 range so far. In my early analysis, I pointed out that there is a high probability that the fifth wave of the wave trend will fall at the beginning of this week, and as I predicted, it is completing the fifth wave of the downward trend.
Trend analysis:
From the four-hour chart, the fourth wave of rebound has been completed, so today is the fifth wave of the downward trend. Next, we look at the two target ranges.
The first target is around 3280, and the second is 3260-3350. And today, it is highly unlikely to stabilize above 3310, so don't choose to short at the rebound high point, the chance is very slim.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3380-3350.
$XAU GOLD Breakout After Israel's Attack On Iran TVC:XAU had been mostly languishing and consolidating for the last month between $3290 and $3360. This could signal weakness in the broader markets on Friday. Is this the Black Swan Event many have been predicting to throw renewed chaos and downward pressure into the market?
Xauusd Creating rangbound 3335-3290 zone H1 & H4 Timeframe
In my previous commentary we have grabbed 300 pips straight TP at 3305 and 3310.
What possible scenario we have?
i'm expecting 3332-3335 will be the good selling opportunity if we got confirmation J4 candle should closes below .
If market remains below 3332-3335 then we'll again have 3280-3330 zone and my Targets will be again 3300 & 3290
Additionally: if gold breaks through H1 or H4 candle closes above 3338- 3340 we will continue to buy and look at 3380.
#XAUUSD
The bulls rise strongly and continue to rise after falling backFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3345-50. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3335, target 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks
Gold at risk if US–China talks fail📊 Market Overview:
• Spot gold is trading around $3,309–$3,311/oz (according to TradingEconomics, Kitco…), slightly down by 0.5% as markets await the outcome of US–China trade talks in London.
• The US dollar has eased following some positive signals from the talks, but overall market caution remains high ahead of the June 11 CPI release and the upcoming Federal Reserve decision.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3,340 (June consolidation ceiling); further upside at $3,353–$3,370 if a breakout occurs.
• Nearest support: $3,298 (monthly pivot); if breached, price may move toward $3,270 → $3,243.
• EMA09/EMA20/EMA50: Price is trading below the short- to mid-term EMAs, indicating a consolidating or slightly bearish trend.
• Candlestick/momentum: Sideways structure within $3,298–$3,332; weak momentum. RSI and Stochastic are below mid-levels, signaling market caution.
📌 Outlook:
• Gold may continue to consolidate or edge lower in the short term if the US–China negotiations fail to deliver a significant breakthrough and no strong bullish data emerges.
• Conversely, any signs of renewed tension, failed trade talks, or unexpectedly high inflation figures could reignite bullish momentum and push prices back toward the $3,332–$3,370 range.
________________________________________
💡 Trade Strategy Suggestion:
➡️ SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,330–$3,335
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,310
• ❌ SL: $3,345
➡️ BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,298–$3,305
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,320
• ❌ SL: $3,288
Gold summary this week and analysis for next week.
Analysis of gold news:
During the U.S. trading session on Friday (June 6), spot gold continued to fall weakly and ended the week at around 3309. Gold rose and fell on Thursday. Earlier, silver broke through the $35 mark, hitting a 13-year high, driving gold prices to break through the $3400 mark, hitting a four-week high of around $3403.28. However, due to the signal of easing trade tensions released by the US and Chinese leaders during the call, the spot gold price closed down 0.6% at $3352.65. The market began to turn its attention to the upcoming US non-farm payrolls data and the policy trends of the Federal Reserve. On June 5, the call between US President Trump and Chinese leaders became the focus of global financial markets. Trump said on social media that the two sides reached a "very positive conclusion" on trade issues, while Chinese officials emphasized that negative measures against China should be withdrawn. This rare dialogue between leaders was interpreted by the market as a signal of thawing trade tensions, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, causing spot gold prices to fall back to $3,352.65 after an intraday high of $3,403.28. Despite this, gold has risen by about 28% this year, showing its strong demand amid global uncertainty. Analysts pointed out that the easing of trade tensions has a direct impact on the performance of safe-haven assets. The decline in gold prices reflects the market's optimistic expectations for the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations.
Judging from the current trend of gold, the market will continue to fall next week; the decline is not as strong as expected, first look at the gap filling near 3,290, then look at the range of 3,260 to 3,250, and give specific points after updating the indicators on Monday; focus on the pressure near 3,330-3,335 next Monday, consider shorting ideas, and give specific operational suggestions on Monday.
Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?XAUUSD – Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?
Gold (XAUUSD) is compressing within a well-defined rising wedge pattern on the 1H chart, signaling that a decisive move is near. With the U.S. CPI report due on June 12th, traders should prepare for volatility driven by macroeconomic catalysts. Whether gold breaks higher or reverses depends on how the market digests inflation data.
🌍 Macro Backdrop: All Eyes on Inflation
📌 U.S. CPI (June 12): A softer-than-expected reading could revive Fed rate cut expectations and send gold higher. A hotter-than-expected CPI could strengthen the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, putting pressure on gold.
📌 U.S.–China Trade Sentiment: Diplomatic progress in trade talks reduces safe-haven demand in the short term, weakening gold's defensive appeal.
📌 DXY & Bond Yields: A breakout in DXY or a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields post-CPI may lead to a corrective leg lower in XAUUSD.
📈 Technical Overview – Multi-Layered Structure
Pattern: Gold is forming a rising wedge between higher lows and converging highs, typical of breakout scenarios.
Fibonacci Levels (retracement from 3,400 to 3,296):
0.382: 3,336 – intermediate support
0.618: 3,360 – significant resistance, near current swing highs
Moving Averages:
Price is currently above EMA34 and EMA89
Struggling below EMA200 (red), which acts as dynamic resistance
FVG Liquidity Zone: An open Fair Value Gap between 3,360 – 3,374 could act as a magnet before any reversal.
🎯 Trade Strategy Scenarios
🟢 Buy Scenario – Bounce from Support Zone
Entry: 3314 – 3312 | Stop-Loss: 3308 | Take-Profit: 3318, 3322, 3326, 3330, 3335, 3340
Ideal if CPI comes in lower than expected or aligns with a bullish technical rejection from wedge support.
🔴 Sell Scenario – Rejection from Resistance Zone
Entry: 3374 – 3376 | Stop-Loss: 3380 | Take-Profit: 3370, 3366, 3362, 3358, 3352, 3348, 3340
Valid if price taps into the upper liquidity zone (3,374–3,394) and fails to break, especially on CPI surprise to the upside.
🧠 Tactical Conclusion
A dovish CPI → favors BUY setup off lower wedge support
A hawkish CPI → favors SELL near upper resistance and liquidity zones
📌 The market is compressing and gearing up for a breakout. Patience is key — wait for confirmation at key zones and manage risk precisely.
GOLDGold I expect something like this
usual set up more or less with fake out and re-entry
in the meantime placing an order at 3,388.663 very conservative is right,
if you fill it well
operation at 3,398.890
Note well these are indicative patterns of operation and not strrategic
trendfollow strategy
Beware of the bull trap in gold.
📊Technical aspects
Gold fell to 3330 and then began to rebound. After the release of the US CPI data, gold rose rapidly. This is the time to test human nature and the true understanding of the market.
Is it the bulls coming or the positives being realized and the market continues to fall? Then many people may see the big rise and start chasing the rise, and then the market will once again make a big reversal as if it is a joke.
After the release of the US CPI data, gold continued to short at 3360-65. Gold fell as expected. Gold fell as it went up. This shows that the above section was a market that lured more buyers. The rebound will continue to be mainly short.
Since gold is now tempting to buy, it means that the main trend of gold is still short, so the rebound will continue to be short.
Gold closed with a long upper shadow in 1 hour, so gold is still a strong resistance area above 3350. The upper shadow just happened to surge upward with the help of data, which is the so-called false breakthrough. Gold rebounded to 3350-60 in the US market and continued to be short.
💰 Strategy Package
This is the charm of the market. Some people are always wavering between ups and downs, while others can always grasp the turning points. However, the prerequisite is to be able to see the trend clearly and follow the trend.
Short Position:3365-3370,3370-3380
Gold 100% Trading SignalsAfter the changes in the first four trading days of this week, everyone is convinced that gold will rise after adjustment. Now that the trend has been strengthened, today we will discuss where the strength of this bullish trend can reach this week. This week, it has been emphasized that the expected rising space within the week will be 3370-3400. It has almost reached 3375. The target of the next wave of gold rise is 3400.
From a technical point of view, the daily line appeared on Wednesday, standing firmly above the middle track of Bollinger, and the moving average system diverged upward. In the 4-hour chart, the golden cross of the random indicator MA5-MA10 continued, which was good for intraday fluctuations and rises; MACD continued to hit the red kinetic energy column. In terms of form, it continued to rise slowly, which was a bullish signal; then it is expected to rise to the upper track high of Bollinger near 3400 under strong pressure. After this round of rising and pulling up, Bollinger opened in the 4-hour chart. Today may be a one-sided trend, and the intraday support is near 3342. After adjusting to 3342 during the day, you can go long and see today's rising space.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3340, target at 3360-3370; it is recommended to go short at 3400, stop loss at 3410, target at 3380-3370.
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?
🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility
The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern:
Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high
WTI crude surged by over 8%
US equity indices dipped significantly
The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked
Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30)
Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392
Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone
EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages
Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure
🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour
Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY
Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data
Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets
🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June
✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410
❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430
📌 Tactical Summary
Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement.
🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout🔔 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout 💥📈
📊 Overview:
Gold has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from the consolidation zone, driven by sustained support and recent upward pressure. After rebounding from the MAIN SUPPORT zone around $3,200, price action has surged and successfully touched the 1st Take Profit (TP1) zone at $3,429.
🔍 Key Levels:
🟩 Main Support: $3,200 zone — held firm and acted as a launchpad for the bullish reversal.
📌 1st TP (Touched): $3,429 — resistance level has been tested and price is currently hovering near it.
🎯 Next Target (TP2): $3,504 — price is expected to approach this zone as bullish momentum continues.
📈 Technical Outlook:
Price structure shows a clear higher low formation followed by a strong impulse breakout.
Current momentum suggests bulls are in control, with volume and volatility increasing on the upward leg.
As long as the price remains above the $3,366 short-term support, the bias remains bullish.
🛑 Risk Note:
Watch for possible rejection near TP2.
A failure to hold above $3,366 may trigger a pullback to retest lower zones.
✅ Conclusion:
The bullish continuation scenario remains valid with potential to hit the $3,504 mark. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks while maintaining tight risk management. 🔐📊
GOLD (XAUUSD) Developing Bullish Structure - LRA Perspective.Right then, let's have a look at the Gold chart. A very interesting picture indeed.
Based on our LRA strategy's interpretation, the market conditions for XAU/USD have recently shifted from bearish to a developing bullish structure.
Here's a brief overview:
Prior Downtrend: First, we can see the strategy successfully identify a prior downtrend, capturing a profitable short trade.
The Current "Support LR": The market then found a bottom and entered a period of consolidation. Our strategy has identifies this area as a "Support Locked-in Range", which is signified by the prominent green text.
The Trapped Sellers: What this green text tells us is that the sellers who were trying to push the price further down within this range have failed. The price has now broken out to the upside of this range, meaning those sellers are now trapped in losing positions.
Active Long Position: As a result, our strategy has correctly entered an "Long" trade. It is siding with the buyers and betting that the trapped sellers will be forced to buy back their short positions, which would add further fuel to this upward move.
In essence, the market has absorbed the selling pressure and has now broken its immediate downward structure. The strategy is positioned for a potential continuation of this new upward momentum.
Cheers.