TO THOSE WHO THINK GOLD IS BEARISH; THINK AGAIN!I will let the chart speak for itself!
NFA and completely my own assumption. Do your own research!
GOLD trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTechnical Analysis
Liquidity Zones:
Major Resistance: $3,150+ (where price recently formed a weak high).
Support Zones:
$3,135.69 (Near-term support).
$3,059.69 (Stronger support zone).
Current Trend Analysis:
Price reached a weak high and is now retracing downwards.
Expecting a retest of $3,135 - $3,120 before a possible move further down.
The dashed purple line ($3,139.50) seems to be a critical level for intraday traders.
Potential Trade Setups:
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,135, expect further downside towards $3,120.
A break below $3,120 could push gold towards $3,060.
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds at $3,135 and reverses with bullish confirmation, it could retest $3,150+ again.
Fundamental Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD)
Dollar Strength (DXY) & Interest Rates:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) influences gold prices.
If the USD strengthens, gold prices may decline.
Recent Fed statements on rate hikes could put pressure on gold.
Inflation & Safe-Haven Demand:
If inflation remains high, gold could see buying pressure as an inflation hedge.
Recent geopolitical risks and banking concerns could increase gold's safe-haven demand.
Upcoming Events to Watch:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report – Can impact USD and gold.
Federal Reserve Speeches – Hawkish or dovish tones will guide gold’s movement.
symmetric triangle detected possible break aboveConsolidation Phase: A symmetric triangle indicates a period of consolidation where the price is narrowing, with lower highs and higher lows. This suggests indecision in the market, but often precedes a breakout.
Breakdown Expectation: Typically, symmetric triangles break out in the direction of the prevailing trend or sometimes the opposite, based on market sentiment. In this case, if the breakout is expected to be downward (a breakdown), entering a put position would capitalize on the potential drop in price.
Technical Indicators: If other technical indicators (such as RSI or MACD) confirm a bearish divergence or downward pressure, it strengthens the case for a put position.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The pattern allows for a defined entry, stop, and target level, making it easier to manage risk. You can place a stop just above the triangle's upper trendline and set a target based on the height of the triangle projected downward.
XAU/USD 30 MIN pairMy trading gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute chart with a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern and an active sell entry at 3030. Here's your setup:
Resistance: 3138
Sell Entry: 3030 (confirmed active)
Targets:
Target 1: 3080
Target 2: 3050
Observations:
1. Bearish Confirmation: A Head & Shoulders pattern suggests a downside move if the neckline is broken.
2. Stop-Loss Consideration: You might want to place a stop-loss above resistance (3138) or just above the right shoulder for risk management.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure your risk-to-reward ratio is favorable before committing fully to the trade.
Let me know if you need further refinements or chart analysis!
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3110 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3100
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3110
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3110 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 31 march 2025 – Twizzer Top 3126
💯 1 april 2025 – Liquidity Grab Range 3118 : 3126
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
XAUUSD - Uptrend is strong, pullback for buysThe gold market is displaying remarkable strength, with the XAU/USD pair recently breaking above the $3,085 level to establish new historical highs. The upward trajectory has been supported by a robust ascending trendline dating back to late February, indicating persistent bullish momentum. While the immediate trend remains decidedly positive, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be forthcoming, which would likely present advantageous buying opportunities for traders. The highlighted support zone around $3,030-$3,040 could serve as an ideal entry point for those looking to establish long positions, with the expectation that after this healthy pullback, gold will resume its upward march toward the projected target of $3,100 and potentially beyond.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (31/3/2025)Current Market Snapshot OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold closed the previous week at approximately $3,085 per ounce, after hitting a new all-time high of $3,087 on Friday. This indicate a bullish market, driven by persistent safe-haven demand, central bank purchases (notably from China and Russia), and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. However, there’s also chatter about potential profit-taking or consolidation, as gold approaches overbought conditions on some technical indicators.
Bullish Sentiment: Traders expect gold to break $3,100 soon, citing geopolitical risks and a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) forecasted to drop below 100.
Bearish/Cautious Sentiment: Some traders warn of a pullback to $3,055-$3,060 if $3,091 resistance holds or if unexpected U.S. economic data surprises markets.
Technical Analysis
Technical levels for next 24 to 48 hours:
Support Levels:
$3,060: Strong support from recent consolidation and a psychological round number.
$3,055: A deeper support level from late February 2025 trends.
$3,000: Major psychological and historical support if a significant sell-off occurs.
Resistance Levels:
$3,091: Immediate resistance; a break above this could trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) buying.
$3,100: Next psychological resistance
$3,200: Short-term bullish target
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) on daily charts (from web sources) is near 70, suggesting gold is overbought but not yet at extreme levels (80+), indicating room for further upside.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Price Range for next 24 to 48 hours
Low: $3,058 - $3,065
This accounts for potential profit-taking at the open or a risk-off move if weekend news is negative.
High: $3,100 - $3,150
This reflects bullish momentum if $3,091 is breached early, with traders targeting $3,200 as the next psychological level.
After weighing all factors, here’s my enhanced prediction:
Most Likely Scenario: Gold will open slightly lower ($3,080-$3,085) due to profit-taking but will recover throughout the day as buyers step in at support levels ($3,060-$3,065). If $3,091 is broken (70% probability), gold could rally to close near $3,100-$3,120 by Monday’s or Tuesday’s end.
Alternative Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies (30% probability), gold might drop to $3,058-$3,065 but is unlikely to fall below $3,050, as buyers would likely defend this level.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Asian market open (Monday morning): If Chinese or Indian gold demand remains strong, prices could gap up.
U.S. market open: Watch for any statements from Fed officials or Trump administration policy announcements.
Volume: High volume above $3,091 would confirm bullish momentum; low volume could signal consolidation.
Apr 2 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Apr 2 USD JOLTS Job Openings
Apr 2 USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 3 USD Unemployment Claims
Apr 4 USD ISM Services PMI
Apr 4 USD Average Hourly Earning
Apr 4 USD Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 4 USD Unemployment Rate
Apr 5 USD Fed Chair Powell Speaks
XAUUSDGold has gotten us a new high, However, we are having an indicator indicating a downtrend in the coming days.
GOLD’s Next Big Play – Don’t Miss This $3000+ Setup!Gold has been following my analysis perfectly over the last two weeks and remains in a strong uptrend! 📈
For this week, the plan is to look for buying opportunities—but only at the right price. I don’t believe the bull run is over just yet. Despite Friday’s drop, gold recovered strongly and held above $3,000, signaling that buyers are still in control.
⚠ Caution for sellers: While there may be shorting opportunities if gold overextends, it’s risky to bet against this trend too soon. If I see a high-probability short setup, I’ll make a separate post about it.
Let’s stay patient and trade smart! 💡💰
Traders, if you found this analysis valuable 🎓, feel free to give it a boost 🚀 and share your thoughts in the comments 📣. Let’s discuss!
XAUUSD - market structure XAUUSD - market structure , short idea, XAUUSD - market structure , use risk managment and trade managment to save your capital
Gold bulls' carnivalThe current gold market is in a typical bull carnival market, and prices continue to climb to historical highs. After a small gap-up opening at 3087 in the morning, it quickly rose to the 3097 line, then fell back to repair the gap to around 3076 and rose again. This trend clearly shows that the market is still under the control of strong bulls, but it also indicates that risks are accumulating.
Technical analysis
Daily level analysis
The MACD indicator has a second golden cross and runs in large volume, showing strong bullish momentum
The dynamic indicator STO quickly enters the overbought area upward, warning of a callback risk
Key support level: around 3062 and 3057
Moving average system: MA5 (3054) and MA10 (3043) are not considered for the time being due to the lag of the indicator
4-hour level analysis
The price remained in the 3065-3086 range and then broke through
The gap 3084-3087 became an important support area
Secondary support level: 3076-73 and 306 5 front line
MACD golden cross with large volume oscillation, STO overbought upward, indicating oscillation upward
Hourly level analysis
After the big Yin repaired the gap, the big Yang immediately pulled up, showing that the upward momentum is not exhausted
MACD dead cross turned into golden cross, STO indicator rose
Key support area: 3089-3085-3081
Key price prompt
Bull defense line:
Short-term: 3084-3087 (gap support)
Medium-term: 3066-70 (bull-bear boundary)
Long-term: 3050-55 (bull-bear watershed)
Upper resistance:
3107-3109
3111- 3118
3135
Trading strategy suggestions
Long strategy (participate with caution)
Entry point: around 3085-87
Stop loss setting: below 3076
Target: 3095→3105→3118→3135 (take profits in batches)
Core logic: gap support is effective, short-term upward momentum is still there
Short layout (prepare for callback)
Potential short selling area:
3111-3118
Around 3135
Stop loss setting: 2-3 US dollars after breaking through the previous high
Target: 10-20 US dollars callback space
Core logic: technical repair after extreme overbought Demand
Special reminder
Non-agricultural weekly trading features:
The beginning of the week may continue to rise (Monday to Wednesday)
ADP data on Thursday and non-agricultural data on Friday may cause violent fluctuations
It is recommended to reduce positions before key events
Risk control points:
Strictly stop loss to prevent sudden reversals
Avoid chasing long positions at key resistance levels
Positions controlled within 5%
Market warning:
Currently in a typical "fish tail market", the profit and loss ratio has deteriorated
Bull carnival is often followed by a violent correction
Need to remain rational and not blindly chase the rise
Conclusion
Although the gold market remains strong at present, the technical side has shown multiple overbought signals. It is recommended that investors remain calm, cautiously go long at key support levels, and arrange short positions at important resistance levels to prepare for possible sharp corrections. Remember, when the market is the craziest, it is often necessary to keep the clearest mind. Strict risk control and position management are the key to survival in the current market.
Trend continuation within channel (15M & 1H confluence)Bias: Bullish
Strategy: Trend continuation within channel (15M & 1H confluence)
Setup: Buy $3,085–$3,090 → TP1 $3,105 → TP2 $3,110
why ?
#1D Chart (Top Left):
Elliott Wave Count suggests price is in Wave (5) of a bullish impulse.
A bullish breakout just happened from a bull flag (Wave 4).
RSI: Overbought (74) — caution of potential short-term pullback, but momentum remains strong.
#4H Chart (Top Right):
Strong impulse wave forming post corrective ABC.
Currently in sub-wave (5) — upside continuation likely toward $3,110–$3,120 before potential exhaustion.
#1H Chart (Bottom Right):
Inside a rising parallel channel.
Breakout from small range (flag) just occurred.
Expect continuation toward top of channel (~$3,110) if momentum continues.
#15M Chart (Bottom Left):
Clean structure of higher lows, ascending trendline support.
Strong bullish reaction from recent consolidation = likely institutional demand.
New ATH , GOLD is comming 3173⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump dismissed expectations that the new tariffs would target only a select group of nations with the largest trade imbalances, declaring on Sunday that reciprocal tariffs would apply universally. This announcement, coupled with the existing 25% duties on steel, aluminum, and auto imports, has intensified fears of an escalating global trade war.
Additionally, investors are increasingly convinced that the economic slowdown triggered by these tariffs will pressure the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume rate cuts, despite persistent inflation concerns. As a result, Gold has surged to a fresh record high, marking its strongest quarterly performance since 1986.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The backdrop of everything from technical to political and economic is supporting the increase in gold prices in the first quarter of 2025. Gold prices have the highest growth in history.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 ATH : SELL 3162 - 3164 SL 3169
TP: 3155 - 3140 - 3127
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3093 - $3091 SL $3086
TP1: $3100
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3120
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD Breaking Records: Bull & Bear Setups for the New Month 🔥 Attention all traders!🔥
XAUUSD is on fire, breaking records with power! Here’s the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch for a potential dip below the 3076-3078 range. If it falls, targets like 3050 and 3030 could be in play. Keep an eye on these support zones! 👀
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above this range could open up buying opportunities! Look for price action above 3084 with targets at 3097 and 3110. 🚀
New Month Open Candle: As we step into a new month, keep a close watch on the market open candle 📅. This could set the tone for the next move!
💡 Risk Management** is key! Always trade smart and protect your capital! 💰
Join the discussion and share your thoughts! Let's ride this golden wave together! 🌟
Gold Price Hits Record HighGold Price Hits Record High
On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested.
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today.
Why Is Gold Rising?
➝ Uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans
➝ Expectations of lower interest rates
Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
➝ Looking at gold’s broader trend, price movements continue to follow an upward channel (marked in blue), which has remained relevant since early 2025.
➝ Alternatively, a second, less steep ascending channel (marked in purple) suggests that gold is currently near its upper boundary, indicating a possible pullback. However, the $3,056 level—previously resistance—could now act as support, paving the way for a move towards the next milestone at $3,100.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD-SELL strategy 12 hourly Line Brk (2)GOLD is under pressure, but slowly. I feel this may become a quicker move eventually, since we are not moving beyond the previous highs, and we have negative indicators on our hands as well.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,020-3,050 and take profit near 2,817 for now.
Gold and the bearish Breakout Line ...From a cyclical standpoint, a CLOSE below the H1 cyclically derived breakout line may indicate a sharp decline, at least in to the demand zone!
Upcoming news event:
14:15 SWE Time: ADP Non-Farm Employment
The breakout line defines the energy boundaries—once price gathers enough momentum to break through, a strong acceleration is likely to follow.
Gold dropping expectancythe same pattern golds did the last trading month, is the same im expecting around new month opening price (april), sellsideliquidity drop and then a pretty good distribution on po3
Gold: Bearish Swing, $3032 Key, Short Now!From the daily chart perspective, gold closed with a bullish candlestick yesterday, putting an end to the previous consecutive bearish candlestick decline. Currently, the gold price is situated between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10. These two moving averages are now showing a trend of being on the verge of forming a death cross. Overall, the price trend remains in a range-bound and slightly bearish state.
It is necessary to closely monitor the resistance situation around the $3032 - 3034 level. Initially, pay attention to the support strength of the low point area around $3002 / $2999 at the lower end. Once this support area is effectively broken through, the bearish trend will continue. In terms of trading operations, it is still advisable to go short on rebounds. For the medium-term short position layout, the profit is still accumulating, and the position should still be held.
XAUUSD
sell@3025-3035
tp:3010
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold shows a triangle convergence patternAfter gold broke through 3038, the trend began to strengthen. Then the next step is to change the thinking to low and long and smoothly bullish. The lower 3038-3035 will become support, and the 38-35 area will be long. The current market is stagflation near the previous high of 3057. If you are aggressive, you can go short near 3052 and watch for a short-term pullback of a few points, and wait for the top and bottom conversion near 3035 to continue to go long.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short at 3051/52, stop loss at 3057, target at 3038-35; the support area below 3035-38 is long, stop loss at 3030, target at 3055-3062;
Gold's April 2nd Swing: Tariffs Stir MarketsOn the morning of Wednesday, April 2nd, spot gold was trading in a narrow range, currently around $3,114 per ounce. Gold prices rose and then fell on Tuesday. Spot gold once rose to around the $3,150 mark earlier, reaching a new all - time high of $3,148.85 per ounce, but then declined due to profit - taking, closing at $3,114.03 per ounce, with a decline of about 0.3%. US President Trump planned to announce on April 2nd that comprehensive tariffs would be imposed on countries with which the US has a trade imbalance. This led to a large number of safe - haven buying orders, helping gold prices continue to rise. However, near the end, some bulls took profits in advance.
In terms of the 4 - hour - level trend, it is temporarily in a high - level range - bound oscillation, undergoing repair. Currently, the short - cycle moving averages are basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, suggesting that the trend is likely to remain in a high - level oscillation and repair within the day.
The 1 - hour moving averages of gold still show a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upward. Although gold has broken below the moving average support, the strength of the bullish rebound of gold is still relatively strong. Coupled with the support of gold's safe - haven property, the bulls still have the upper hand. As long as the price does not break below $3,100, the bullish view remains unchanged. For intraday operations, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Pay attention to whether the support at yesterday's low of $3,100 holds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at $3,140 - $3,150 above.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
GOLD - Eyeing Two Levels!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAUUSD remains overall bullish in both the short and medium term, trading within the rising channels marked in orange and green.
🔍 Here are two key levels I'm watching for potential trend-following long setups:
1️⃣$3,000 – A psychological round number that aligns with the lower orange trendline.
2️⃣$2,950 – A support level that intersects with the lower blue trendline.
Let’s see if the bulls hold the line! 🐂✨
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
