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GOLD → Consolidation within a falling wedgeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating. A major player is gathering a trading position inside a wedge ahead of distribution. But the main question is: in which direction? Gold lost ground again on Friday after mixed holiday trading on Thursday. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Fed and monitoring the situation in the Middle East. Interestingly, gold fell as the conflict escalated further (which is not logical overall). The dollar is in a global bearish trend, and traders are waiting for a decision from Powell (who is under pressure from Trump to cut rates). Technically, if we look at the wedge, we can see how difficult it is for the market to move. The price is stuck inside the consolidation. The intraday movement is very short, with long tails and a very weak reaction to both false breakouts and level break. Large players are building up positions inside the current channel. This may only hint at the possibility of future implementation (distribution). Resistance levels: 3360, 3396, 3420 Support levels: 3338, 3320, 3302 On D1 - H4, gold is in a countertrend (bullish trend) correction and is testing the trend support + 0.7 Fibo zone. Below, there are fairly strong areas of interest — 3320 and 3302 — which gold may test before rising. However, within the wedge, there is a fairly high probability of a breakout of resistance and the 3360 level, followed by a rally to the liquidity zone at 3396 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
XAUUSD multi-TF publicTimeframe: H1 (reference H4) – the downtrend channel from 13/06 is still valid. Volume Profile: “ledge” supply 3408-3418, demand 3332-3342. Trading plan 1️⃣ Sell scalp 3408-3418 • Trigger condition: price touches supply + appears Pin-bar/Bearish Engulf H15 with spike volume; DXY & US10Y do not decrease sharply. • Entry 3408-3415 $, SL 3422 $, TP1 3400 $ (+6 $) → move SL BE; TP2 3390-3392 $ (+16 $). 2️⃣ Buy scalp 3332-3342 • Trigger condition: Hammer/Bullish Engulf M5-M15 at demand, volume dries up then increases; DXY does not break +0.2 %. Entry 3336 $, SL 3325 $, TP1 3346 $ (+10 $), TP2 3356-3360 $ (+20 $). Cancel trade: H4 close > 3422 or < 3325; level 1 news (PMI, Fed) in 30 minutes. Admin: scalp XAUUSD only when spread ≤ 0.35 $, risk ≤ 0.5 % of account, minimum RR 1 : 0.5 for TP1. The idea is educational, not an investment recommendation.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by mmqmmo
1
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Rebound or Trap?1. Market Overview After a sharp rejection near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, XAUUSD has pulled back and is now trading around 3,323 USD. Although price has stabilized somewhat, technical indicators suggest this is likely a corrective move within a prevailing downtrend. 2. Technical Analysis Price Action XAUUSD is currently hovering near 3,323 USD after a failed attempt to break above the resistance zone at 3,373–3,392 USD — an area marked by: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent downtrend Repeated historical rejections. The upper boundary of a sideways consolidation range from early June. Recent candlesticks show indecision and rejection from higher levels, suggesting sellers are still in control. Support Zone Behavior The price recently bounced from the 3,294–3,317 USD range, where strong historical support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level align. This zone continues to hold, but if broken, could open the door to deeper declines toward the 3,250 or even 3,224 USD levels. RSI Indicator RSI remains flat around the neutral zone, indicating a lack of bullish momentum. No significant divergence or breakout signals are currently visible on the daily RSI chart. 3. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluence resistance zone (0.618 Fib + historical supply). 3,435 – 3,453 USD: Previous swing high – key medium-term benchmark Support: 3,294 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support, holding for now. 3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential next target zone if bearish pressure resumes. 4. Trade Setup Scenarios. Scenario 1 – Buy if support holds and bullish confirmation appears Entry: 3,295 – 3,305 USD. Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD. Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD. Condition: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Pin Bar) on H1–H4. Scenario 2 – Sell on rejection from resistance zone Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD. Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD. Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD. Condition: Clear bearish rejection candlestick with diminishing volume Note: XAUUSD remains in a vulnerable state. The current move may be a technical rebound rather than a true reversal. Traders should watch closely how price behaves around the 3,373–3,392 USD zone in the coming sessions. A breakout could signal a new bullish leg, while another rejection would likely confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
3
GOLD ANALYSIS: A Bullish Breakout coming XAU-USD🔍 Key Technical Levels Decoded 🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT ZONE: $3,245 - $3,295 🛡️ Psychological level at: $3,250 1. 🎯 TARGET ZONES: Immediate Target: $3,360 (4H FVG - Fair Value Gap) Primary Target: $3,320 - 3,340 2. 🎭 The Liquidity Grab The recent dip was a masterclass in market mechanics: Weak longs were flushed out at $3,293 mean Smart money accumulated at discount prices _______________________________ ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER ⚠️ DYOR
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ONE1iMPACT
1
Gold price range is 3350-3400, brewing directionGold price range is 3350-3400, brewing direction In-depth analysis of the gold market in June 2025: the latest developments and tomorrow's trend forecast As of June 22, 2025: The international gold market presents the characteristics of "high volatility and upward center movement", and the price continues to fluctuate under the influence of multiple factors. The latest London spot gold price is around US$3376/ounce, down about 3.5% from the high of US$3500 in early June, but still in the historical high range. , showing strong resistance to decline. Market sentiment changes: The current gold market sentiment has shifted from "risk aversion" to "policy wait-and-see", and investors are re-evaluating the Fed's monetary policy path and geopolitical risk premium. It is worth noting that although short-term risk aversion demand has cooled, long-term supporting factors (such as central bank gold purchases and de-dollarization trends) remain solid, making the gold price correction relatively limited. Analysis of capital flows: From the perspective of capital, the market shows obvious differentiation. On the one hand, the holdings of SPDR, the world's largest gold ETF, have declined slightly recently, indicating that some institutional investors have chosen to take profits; On the other hand, retail investment demand (gold bars, gold coins) remains strong, and emerging market central banks (especially China and India) continue to increase their gold reserves, providing a solid bottom support for the market. This game between institutions and retail investors, short-term funds and long-term funds, is an important reason for the current volatility in the gold market. Geopolitical risk premium remains a key catalyst for short-term gold price fluctuations. In early June, Israel launched an air strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, which led to a sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East, pushing gold prices up more than 3.5% in a single week, breaking through $3,440/ounce. The expectation that the Strait of Hormuz may be closed has further exacerbated market concerns about disruptions in the energy supply chain, stimulating a large amount of safe-haven funds to flow into the gold market. However, there have been signs of marginal easing in the recent situation: Israel has revised its hostage negotiation plan, direct conflict between Iran and Israel has been suspended, and the Trump administration has issued a statement on whether to intervene in the conflict (to be decided within two weeks), temporarily alleviating market concerns about a full-scale war. The fluctuation of this geopolitical tension directly leads to the "ebb but not exit" feature of the gold safe-haven premium. It is worth noting that geopolitical risks have not completely subsided. The continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the uncertainty of the US election, and the "proxy war" (such as the attack on merchant ships in the Red Sea by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen) are still ongoing. These factors may push up the demand for safe-haven again in the future. The monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is another core dimension that affects the gold market. On June 19, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the upper limit of the federal funds rate at 4.5%, and the policy statement did not release a clear signal of interest rate cuts. This decision directly stimulated the rapid rise of the US dollar index, and the US Treasury yields rose simultaneously. The market's expectations for "high interest rates to be maintained for a longer period of time" have increased, and gold, as an interest-free asset, has been under obvious short-term pressure. However, the Fed's statement on "uncertainty in the economic outlook" still leaves room. If the subsequent inflation declines less than expected or the job market cools down, the expectation of interest rate cuts this year may ferment again. At present, the market's expectations for the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year have dropped from 3 times to 1-2 times The risk of the US dollar credit system provides long-term support logic for gold. The scale of US debt has exceeded the 40 trillion US dollar mark, and coupled with the uncertainty of tariff policies, the credit of the US dollar continues to be challenged. Against this background, the global trend of "de-dollarization" has accelerated, and central banks of various countries have actively increased their gold reserves. The European Central Bank report shows that gold accounts for 20% of global reserve assets, surpassing the euro to become the second largest reserve asset. The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 7 consecutive months, with reserves reaching 73.83 million ounces at the end of May. The market speculates that China's hidden gold reserves may exceed 5,000 tons. This structural change has gradually transformed gold from a simple commodity attribute to a strategic reserve asset of "stateless currency", providing solid support for its long-term value. Technical analysis and key price levels Table: Overview of key technical price levels of gold (as of June 22, 2025) Technical price level type International gold price (US dollars/ounce) Importance Short-term support level 3350 ★★★★ Key support level 3300 ★★★★★ Medium-term support level 3250-3260 ★★★★ Short-term resistance level 3380-3400 ★★★★ Key resistance level 3450 ★★★★★ Historical resistance level 3500 ★★★ Comprehensive technical analysis shows that gold is in a sensitive window period of "geo-premium fading" and "interest rate cut expectation game". The breakthrough of key price levels requires triple verification: 1: Technical volume stabilizes 2: Fundamental event driven 3: Fundamental position coordination. Investors should pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the core range of 3350-3400 gold prices, which will determine the short-term and even medium-term trend of gold. The escalation and easing of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East constitute the most significant price driving factor in the gold market in June. The market will pay close attention to the minutes of the July Federal Reserve meeting and the US CPI data, which may become the catalyst for the next wave of gold trends9. Tomorrow's market Tomorrow's gold market will be affected by the technical key positions, the fermentation of potential events over the weekend, and the adjustment of institutional positions, and the volatility may remain high. Baseline scenario (probability 55%): Gold prices fluctuate and consolidate in the range of US$3350-3400. The triggering conditions of this scenario include: The geopolitical situation has not deteriorated or eased significantly, the market continues to digest the impact of the Fed's "stabilization" policy, and no major economic data is released. Technical aspects: The support level of US$3,350 and the resistance level of US$3,400 will constitute the short-term volatility boundary, and bulls and bears may engage in a tug-of-war in this range. If the gold price sustains above $3,380 (daily bull-bear dividing line), it will show a bullish directional fluctuation and if it falls below $3,360, it will show a bullish directional fluctuation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
1
Gold to $3,600? Hey traders! Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is back in the spotlight — not just for its shine, but because macro and technical signals are starting to align again. Why gold still matters? The US Dollar is weakening as markets expect the Fed to cut rates later this year. Geopolitical tensions (like Iran–Israel) are still lurking despite temporary ceasefires. Central banks are buying gold heavily — a clear long-term signal. 📈 Technically speaking: Gold remains in a long-term uptrend. Weekly EMAs are pointing upward. Strong support sits around $3,260–$3,300. A break above $3,440 could push prices toward $3,600 in the coming months. 💡 My take & strategy: As a gold trader for 7 years, I always allocate part of my portfolio to long-term gold exposure. “You don’t need to dig for gold — just wait for the market to sleep, then strike.” 😄 📌 Trade plan: Buy on dips near $3,280–$3,300 Target: $3,480 – $3,600 What’s your take? Is gold still worth holding — or is it time to chase other trades? Let’s discuss below! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
3
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues📉 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues 🔻🪙 🔍 Overview: Gold is currently trading within a descending trendline structure, respecting a clear downtrend on the 4H chart. After failing to break the key resistance zone around $3,400 - $3,420, price has continued to make lower highs and lower lows. 📌 Key Technical Zones: 🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420 Strong selling pressure observed. Price was rejected here after a sharp rally. 📐 Descending Trendline: Price continues to get rejected from this dynamic resistance. Bearish pressure remains intact as long as this line holds. 🟦 Main Support Level: $3,280 – $3,300 Price has tested this zone multiple times, showing strong buyer interest. A break below this level could trigger further downside. 📊 Technical Outlook: 🟥 Bearish Bias as long as price remains under the trendline. ✅ Buyers may re-enter at the support zone around $3,280. ⚠️ If support breaks, the next downside target could be $3,240 – $3,220. 📈 Trading Plan Suggestion: 🔎 Watch for rejection at trendline or resistance zone for potential short setups. 🔔 Monitor support zone reaction for potential bounce plays or breakout confirmation. 📆 Date of Analysis: June 26, 2025 📍 Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4) 💬 “Trend is your friend until it bends.” Trade wisely! 💼📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VikingFx-Community
1
Excellent Scalp opportunities As discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.” I have engaged firstly #3,328.80 aggressive Scalp Sell order and closed it on #3,316.80. As I expected DX to touch #52-Week Low’s, I Bought Gold multiple times first from #3,314.80 twice towards #3,319.80 and #3,321.80, also had Swing order (Lower Volume order) on #3,312.80 which was closed on #3,324.80 as I was confident that Gold will stage relief rally due DX taking strong hits. Another excellent session. Technical analysis: The Price-action is basically consolidating again on Hourly 1 chart back within well known range of #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 - #3,342.80 giving Scalpers excellent opportunities for Intra-day Profit as Scalpers are getting most of the returns of current Price-action. Hourly 1 chart is an healthy Ascending Channel already and as weekend break is approaching I may be getting a break-out (the pattern usually breaks to the upside). I am currently on the sidelines, earlier simply holding whatever I have Bought Lower and Sold Higher. I need to state for the record (again) that when I mention pull backs on my analysis I am not suggesting Traders to Short right away, always await my confirmation. We are on a overall Bull market and I have stated since the start of the Year that my strategy is to be Buying (and accumulating) on pull-backs. Those who've been following me for Years are well aware that there was a time for Shorting back when Gold was below #2,000.80 benchmark. Keep in mind that I anticipated that DX could test #52-Week Low’s (currently delivered) and that’s why I have aggressively Bought Gold yesterday. My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
1
Gold Medium Term OutlookGold is currently trending within a rising channel after rejecting the $3,439 resistance zone, which marked a new Higher High (HH). Price is respecting the ascending channel support and is now testing the 50MA. The uptrend remains intact, with a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) forming within the channel. A break and hold above $3,378 could open the path for a re-test of $3,439 and potentially $3,501. However, failure to hold the rising channel support may shift momentum bearish, with $3,303 and $3,226 as the next major downside targets. 📌 Key Levels to Watch This Week: Resistance: $3,378 • $3,439 • $3,501 Support: $3,303 • $3,226 • $3,171 🧠 Fundamental Insight: Gold remains supported amid rising geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, U.S. airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites, escalating concerns over a broader conflict in the Middle East. This has reignited safe-haven demand, with gold catching a bid despite recent technical pullbacks. Meanwhile, traders are weighing softer U.S. inflation signals against the Fed’s cautious stance. If tensions persist and economic data weakens, gold could benefit from both risk-off flows and increased speculation around potential rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
1
The downward trend is strong.The easing of the situation in the Middle East weakens the demand for safe havens The direct trigger for the decline in gold prices was the news that Israel and Iran announced a ceasefire. This news quickly cooled the market's risk aversion, and the attractiveness of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset weakened. In the past few weeks, the military confrontation between Israel and Iran once pushed up the safe-haven buying of gold, but with the conclusion of the ceasefire agreement, the market quickly turned to risk preference mode, global stock markets rose, and the US dollar fell. This change in market sentiment directly led to the decline in gold prices. This decline will still intensify, pay attention to your trading orders, I will continue to update this article, I wish you a smooth trading.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by J-Prof
1
GOLD Bullish Breakout from Falling Channel | Retest Entry Plan 📊 Analysis Summary: Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out of a falling channel on the 1H timeframe with strong bullish momentum. After the breakout, price retested a minor bullish order block, providing a solid confirmation for potential continuation to the upside. 🔍 Technical Confluences: Falling channel breakout Bullish engulfing breakout candle Retest of minor bullish order block (acting as support) Clear bullish Break of Structure (BOS) 📌 Trade Plan: Entry: 3365 (OB retest zone) Stop Loss: 3345 (20 points below OB zone) Take Profit 1: 3399 (Key intraday resistance) Take Profit 2: 3451 (Swing high target) 📈 Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:4 📌 Expectation: If the order block support holds, we can expect a bullish continuation toward 3400+ and possibly 3450 in the coming sessions.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AMFX-Trader
1
XAUUSD I Daily CLS I D1 FVG / OB Midpoint confluenceHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by David_Perk
23
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – June 24, 2025On June 24, 2025, XAUUSD (spot gold) continues to face significant bearish pressure after failing to hold above the key resistance zone around 3,383 – 3,400 USD/oz. This area marks a confluence of the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels and a high-volume distribution zone, signaling strong supply dominance in the short term. Technical Structure and Fibonacci Analysis - The recent swing high was established at 3,451 USD, completing a bullish wave from the low of 3,223 USD. - Price was unable to break through the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 3,399 USD, leading to a sharp pullback. - The current structure suggests the formation of a potential head and shoulders pattern, which would confirm if the market breaks below the 3,300 USD support zone. Key Support and Resistance Levels - Major resistance: 3,383 – 3,400 USD (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 zone, high-volume area) - Immediate support: 3,300 – 3,310 USD (historical reaction zone and 0.618 retracement of the recent bullish leg) - Deeper support: 3,223 USD – previous swing low and a key target if the bearish trend confirms Potential Scenarios - Bearish scenario: If the price sustains below 3,350 USD and decisively breaks 3,300 USD, it may signal the start of a medium-term downtrend, with targets near 3,200 USD or even lower. - Bullish scenario: A bounce from the 3,300 USD support could trigger a short-term recovery, but traders should closely watch the reaction near the 3,383 – 3,400 USD resistance zone to assess supply pressure. RSI and Momentum Indicators - The 14-period RSI is trading below the 50 level and pointing downward, indicating that bearish momentum remains dominant. - The RSI has also crossed below its moving average, reinforcing the negative outlook. Ps: XAUUSD is currently in a critical phase as it tests the 3,300 USD support level. A break below this level could confirm further downside and strengthen the bearish trend. Traders are advised to remain cautious, wait for clear price action confirmation, and apply strict risk management as volatility increases.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
4
Gold Price Analysis June 24Quite a surprise with a price gap down at the beginning of the day. A sweep to 3333 and a recovery to increase again in the Tokyo trading session. This recovery to increase completely breaks the market's bullish wave structure. 3363 and 3335 are being watched in the Asian and European trading sessions today. This zone can be traded short-term in the sideways range. The SELL zone pays attention to the opening gap at 3368. The upper range has some adjustments compared to yesterday in the direction of decreasing prices, so the SELL range 3386 and 3410 is being watched for trading. Support is still held as yesterday at the 3322 and 3296 zones.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3