Gold Market Eyes Daily Demand Zones at 3270–3315Gold market aligns with daily candle formation, seeking to mitigate substantial demand zones between 3270 and 3315. This area may provide the necessary liquidity for a potential bullish reaction, pending confirmation. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GOLD trade ideas
Gold’s Liquidity Hunt Eyes on Bullish FVG Reaction!Gold Analysis – NY Session Outlook
During the New York session, gold created equal highs near recent swing highs, indicating that upside liquidity remains uncollected. Currently, the market is pulling back, targeting liquidity resting below the trendline, along with internal liquidity levels beneath.
If gold continues to move downward and taps into the marked bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), monitor that zone for any signs of bullish confirmation. If confirmed, there is potential for a further upward move toward the equal highs and beyond, aiming for external liquidity.
Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
Gold consolidates near key support – What's next for?1. Market Overview
On the 15-minute chart, XAUUSD is trading around 3,290–3,292 USD, hovering just above a critical intraday support zone at 3,287–3,289 USD (highlighted in blue). This area has repeatedly provided a bounce in recent sessions, indicating persistent buying interest.
The current price action reflects sideways movement within a narrow range (3,287–3,296 USD), and notably, declining volatility, as shown by reduced candle range and trading volume.
2. Technical Breakdown
EMA: Price is moving around the EMA20 and EMA50, reflecting indecision and lack of directional momentum.
RSI (inferred): Likely hovering near the neutral 50–55 zone, confirming a balanced market.
Trendline: A descending series of lower highs from the 3,312 peak suggests bearish pressure, though buyers still defend key support.
Fibonacci: The 3,287 USD zone aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing its strength as a bounce area.
3. Key Levels to Watch
3,287–3,289: Support - Repeated reactions here – key demand zone
3,296: Immediate resistance - Needs breakout to confirm bullish move
3,302: Next resistance - Breakout target – short-term top
3,275: Deeper support - Retest level if support breaks
4. Trading Strategy Scenarios
🔹 Scenario 1 – Long setup at support
Entry: 3,287–3,289 (wait for bullish reaction like pin bar or engulfing)
Stop Loss: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,296 | TP2: 3,302
🔹 Scenario 2 – Short setup on breakdown
Entry: Below 3,284 (after clear bearish candle close)
Stop Loss: 3,288
TP1: 3,275 | TP2: 3,268
5. Conclusion
Gold is in a tug-of-war at a sensitive support zone. Whether bulls defend or bears break below will set the tone for the rest of the session. Focus on price reaction around 3,287 to determine direction – avoid blind predictions.
Make sure to follow for more live strategies as the New York session unfolds – and save this post if you find it helpful!
What’s your view on this support zone? Let’s discuss below!
XAUUSD H4 | Heading into pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 3,354.73, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,383.55, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,311.79, which is a multi-swing low support.
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Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 4, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 4, 2025:
Gold prices rose more than 2% last Friday, hitting a one-week high, as weaker-than-expected US non-farm payrolls data boosted hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut and the announcement of new tariffs fueled safe-haven demand for gold.
Fundamental news: The non-farm payrolls report showed only 73,000 jobs added in July, well below market expectations of 110,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, indicating a cooling labor market.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices are rising strongly after a strong candle in the 3285 - 3300 area as previously predicted. The bullish pattern on the H1 frame has shown that the buyers are returning very strongly. Currently, the price is showing signs of sideway at the 336x area, our strategy today will be to wait for trading at the support zones of the gold price. Important price zones today: 3315 - 3320 and 3330 - 3335.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332
SL 3327
TP 3335 - 3345 - 3355 - 3370.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3318 - 3320
SL 3315
TP 3323 - 3333 - 3343 - 3363.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3370 - 3372
SL 3375
TP 3367 - 3357 - 3347 - 3337 (small volume).
Wishing you a safe, smooth and profitable trading week.💗💗💗💗💗
Bullish Sentiment Returns to Gold?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD has just retested its long-term ascending trendline and formed a bullish reaction candle, suggesting that buying pressure may be returning.
Recently, a survey of 206 investors revealed that market sentiment remains optimistic, with 66% expecting gold prices to continue rising, 19% predicting a decline, and 15% anticipating a sideways market.
What do you think? Share your opinion in the comments!
Gold in ascending channelAfter last week's steep and violent drop from $3,439 USD post Fed, Gold has found new momentum thanks to weaker than expected non-farm payroll numbers. But the price has been capped inside an ascending channel. This doesn't look particularly convincing to me for a strong reversel and bull case in the short term unless we manage to break out of the channel soon. If we fail to break the $3,439 USD high pre- Fed meeting I expect a test of the lower bound of the channel and a potential break below that.
A break below the channel opens up the way to the low at $3,267 USD.
Elliott Wave Analysis Points to Gold (XAUUSD) Support Near 3320Gold (XAUUSD) appears poised for a double correction from its 16 June 2025 high. A double three consists of two corrective patterns, typically zigzags. From the June peak, wave (W) concluded at 3246.55, and wave (X) rallied to 3438.58, as shown on the 1-hour chart. Wave (Y) is now unfolding lower with internal subdivision as a zigzag. From wave (X), wave ((i)) ended at 3351.17, and wave ((ii)) peaked at 3377.45. Wave ((iii)) declined to 3324.80, followed by a wave ((iv)) rally to 3340.34. The final wave ((v)) completed at 3311.62, forming wave A in a higher degree. A corrective wave B rally reached 3345.35 before gold resumed its downward move.
Within wave C, wave ((i)) finished at 3301.47, and wave ((ii)) rallied to 3334.08. Wave ((iii)) dropped to 3267.94, with wave ((iv)) ending at 3314.85. Gold should continue lower in wave ((v)) to complete wave C. The potential target lies within the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension from the 16 June high. This projects a support zone between 3104 and 3230, where a three-wave rally is anticipated. Traders should monitor this area for potential reversal signals, as it may offer support for a corrective bounce.
XAU/USD at Make-or-Break: $3,304 Holds the Key!"XAU/USD is testing a key resistance at $3,304. A breakout could trigger a rally to $3,315, while rejection may lead to a drop to $3,292."
Price Action & Key Levels
Support: 3,298 → 3,292 (critical demand zone).
Resistance: 3,304 → 3,310 (supply zone).
Breakout Level: 3,304 (confirmation needed).
Indicator-Based Evidence
RSI: "RSI at 62 (not overbought), suggesting room for upside."
MACD: "MACD histogram is rising, supporting bullish momentum."
Moving Averages: *"Price above 9 & 21 EMA, short-term trend bullish."
Fundamental Context
"Gold is supported by Fed rate cut expectations, but a strong USD could limit gains."
"Geopolitical risks (e.g., Middle East tensions) may boost safe-haven demand."
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy above $3,304 (confirmed close).
Target: $3,310 → $3,315.
Stop-Loss: Below $3,298 (risk management).
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
Entry: Sell below $3,298.
Target: $3,292 → $3,288.
Stop-Loss: Above $3,306.
Technical Analysis - Gold Rejected at ResistanceGold is currently trading around $3,341 after facing a strong rejection from the $3,438 resistance area. This rejection coincided with the upper boundary of the trend channel and the main resistance zone, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement levels. After the rejection, price fell below the descending trendline, indicating that short-term sellers have taken control.
On the downside, the immediate support sits at $3,324, which has acted as a short-term bounce level. A break below this could push gold lower toward $3,281 and potentially $3,254, which are key Fibonacci extension support levels. On the upside, the immediate hurdle is at $3,355–$3,360 (descending trendline). A breakout above this area will be critical for any bullish recovery attempt toward $3,381–$3,394 and eventually $3,420–$3,438.
At the moment, the short-term trend remains bearish because gold is trading below the descending resistance and showing lower highs. However, as long as gold holds above the $3,254 support zone, the medium-term structure remains neutral to bullish, giving bulls a chance if momentum shifts again.
Last week candle is pin bar bearish candle which is showing bearish momentum at the moment. The candle shows rejection near $3,400–$3,450, aligning with the triangle’s upper resistance trendline. If gold cannot reclaim and hold above last week’s high, price may drift lower to retest support zones around $3,248–$3,150 before another breakout attempt.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – 1H Chart | July 31, 20251. Fakeout & Rejection from Supply
Price faced sharp rejection near the 3,332 resistance. The strong red candle indicates aggressive selling and liquidity grab.
2. Retest of Broken Demand Zone
Gold is now retesting the **3,298–3,305** yellow zone, which previously acted as demand but may now flip to resistance (supply).
3. Bearish Market Structure
The price formed a **lower high and lower low** pattern — a clear sign of downtrend resumption. Current bounce looks corrective.
4. Projection: Potential Drop Ahead
As per the drawn path, if price fails to reclaim above 3,305, a likely drop toward 3,282, then 3,268 is expected.
5. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3,305 → 3,332
Support: 3,282 → 3,268 → 3,246
Bearish bias remains valid below 3,305.
Gold market outlook on the H4 chart. Possible BUYWeekly storyline bullish
Daily storyline bullish
H4 storyline bearish
Two POV observations
Sell side: Price reacted from a daily obstacle ( DSs ) but still has a long way to break its confirmation swing on the H4 ( ? ). We hope to see H4 storyline change to bullish around the swing low area without breaking it ( ? )
Buy side: price rejects from a daily SnR level ( DBs ) and breaks its confirmation swing on the H4 ( + ) so we hope to join price on the 60% discount level.
Nb: Even though we’re still bullish on the weekly and daily, price refused to break PDC on the H4 chart right after a daily obstacle touch. Could be messy. Stay safe and always afford your risk
Gold: ADP, Fed & Key Resistance Gold has been range-bound today—let’s focus on the impact of the ADP data and Fed rate decision ⚠️.
Key resistance lies around 3345-3350 📍: a breakout could fuel further upside 📈, while a rejection may trigger an oscillating pullback 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3325
🚀 TP 3333 - 3339 -3344
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
From Execution to Adaptation: Enter Dynamic ProbabilitiesIn the previous article , we looked at a real trade on Gold where I shifted from a clean mechanical short setup to an anticipatory long — not because of a hunch, but because the market behavior demanded it.
That decision wasn’t random. It was based on new information. On structure. On price action.
It was based on something deeper than just “rules” — it was about recognizing when the probability of success had changed.
That brings us to a powerful but rarely discussed concept in trading:
👉 Dynamic probabilities.
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📉 Static Thinking in a Dynamic Market
Most traders operate with static probabilities — whether they realize it or not.
They assign a probability to a trade idea (let’s say, “this breakout has a 70% chance”) and treat that number as if it’s written in stone.
But markets don’t care about your numbers.
The moment new candles print, volatility shifts, or structure morphs — the probability landscape changes. What once looked like a clean setup can begin to deteriorate. Conversely, something that looked uncertain can start aligning into high-probability territory.
Yet many traders fail to adapt because they’re emotionally invested in the original plan.
They’ve already “decided” what the market should do, so they stop listening to what the market is actually doing.
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🧠 Dynamic Probabilities Require Dynamic Thinking
To trade dynamically, you must be able to update your internal odds in real time.
This doesn’t mean constantly second-guessing or overanalyzing — it means refining your bias based on evolving context:
• A strong breakout followed by weak continuation? → probability drops.
• Price holding above broken resistance with clean structure? → probability increases.
• Choppy pullback into support with fading volume? → potential reversal builds.
It’s like playing poker: you might start with a good hand, but if the flop goes against you, your odds change.
If you ignore that and keep betting like you’ve got the nuts, you’re not being bold — you’re being blind.
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📍 Back to the Gold Trade
In the Gold trade, the initial short was based on structure: broken support turned resistance.
The entry was mechanical, the reaction was clean. All good.
But then:
• Price came back fast into the same zone.
• Sellers failed to defend it decisively.
• The second leg down was sluggish, overlapping, and lacked momentum.
• Compression began to form.
That’s when the probability of continued downside collapsed — and the probability of a reversal increased.
The market had changed. So did my bias.
That’s dynamic probability in action — not because of a feeling, but because of evolving evidence.
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🧘♂️ The Psychological Trap
Many traders intellectually accept the idea of being flexible — but emotionally, they cling to certainty.
They fear being “inconsistent” more than they fear being wrong.
But in a dynamic environment, consistency of thinking is not about repeating the same action — it’s about consistently reacting to what’s real.
True consistency is not mechanical repetition. It’s mental adaptability grounded in logic.
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🧠 Takeaway
If you want to trade professionally, you must upgrade your mindset from fixed-probability execution to fluid-probability reasoning.
That doesn’t mean chaos. It means structured flexibility.
Your edge isn’t just in spotting patterns — it’s in knowing when those patterns are breaking down.
And acting accordingly, before your PnL does it for you.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Timeframe UpdateGold opened the week continuing its bearish move down to the 3303 area. Since then, price has been slowly climbing, showing signs of retracement — but structure remains uncertain.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re currently forming a head and shoulders pattern (now 2/3 complete), and price action is also shaping a bearish flag, suggesting a possible continuation to the downside.
We’re heading into heavy economic news starting tomorrow morning, along with the beginning of earnings season for major assets — all of which could trigger sharp volatility in gold.
Key levels to watch:
• A break above the swing high at 3345 would suggest a bullish continuation.
• A break below the swing low at 3308 would confirm a bearish move.
• The resistance level at 3365 is a key zone to monitor — this is where I expect the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern to complete.
Importantly, the 50 SMA is currently traveling in line with this 3365 resistance, adding extra confluence. A break above 3365 would not only take out a strong historical level but also break above the 50 SMA, signaling potential strength to the upside. On the flip side, a rejection from this area would serve as a double rejection — from both resistance and the 50 SMA — reinforcing the bearish case.
For now, it’s a tug of war between buyers and sellers, and with the upcoming data releases, momentum could shift fast.
⚠️ As always, wait for confirmed setups, manage your risk, and only trade with a plan.
Limit risk to 1–2% of your capital per day.