GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of XAU-USD (Gold) with you.
Looking at the chart, I see a potential small price pullback towards around 3260. After reaching that level, I expect a further price decrease to 3167.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: After the pullback to 3260, a further decrease to 3167 is expected.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3260
Support: 3167
💬 What are your thoughts on XAU-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
XAUUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Up To $3400! The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
No Bottom Yet: Gold’s Technical Targets Point LowerSince Monday, I’ve been saying that Gold hasn’t finished correcting, and the price action is now confirming that view. The drop continued with breaks below two key levels: the 3300 figure and the 3270 support, which was the recent low.
After some sideways action (a bit of a limbo), we finally got the clean breakdown. At the time of writing, price sits at 3248, having just bounced slightly from the 3240 support, which aligns with mid-April’s ATH.
Now comes the big question: Is Gold done correcting?
In my opinion, not yet – and here’s why:
Technical reasons for further downside:
1. The break below 3270 is significant and opens the door to deeper correction.
2. We now have two measured targets:
📉 Measured range target: ~1000 pips → puts price below 3200.
📉 First leg down: ~2500 pips → could push price closer to the 3000 zone.
Trading Plan:
The strategy remains unchanged: sell the rallies. As long as price stays below 3270-3290 zone, downside continuation is the base case.
A move towards at least 3200 looks very probable – and deeper levels can't be ruled out.
Don’t rush to call a bottom – let the market show when the correction is really done. Until then, the bias stays bearish. 🚀
P.S: Expect great volatility to remain
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold rises strongly and bulls restart!Gold technical analysis: From a technical point of view, the daily line rose on Monday, showing an absolutely strong positive state. Normally, the daily cycle rises and we can see that the upper Bollinger track is near 3500, so there is a lot of room above, and we should pay attention to the continuation of this wave. The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a big rise before it can open the upper Bollinger track and form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is clearly bullish for the time being, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. At present, the support of the 4-hour cycle is near 3330. If there is a chance of a decline, we can follow the bullish trend.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to focus on buying on pullbacks and shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3415-3420 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3330-3350 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3415-3420, stop loss 6 points, target around 3390-3380, and look at the 3360 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3350-3352, stop loss 6 points, target around 3380-3400, and look at the 3420 line if it breaks;
GOLD - NEW BREAKOUT !Hello Traders !
The Gold price failed to create a new lower low.
The Last lower high is broken (change of character).
So, I expect a bullish move🚀
______________
TARGET: 3340.000🎯
GOLD (XAUUSD): Trading Plan BEFORE FOMC
Gold bounced yesterday, as I predicted.
Today, we see a retest of a broken daily resistance
that turned into support after a breakout.
BEFORE FED Rate Decision today, there is another opportunity
to buy Gold:
I see a double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame.
Bullish violation of its neckline and an hourly candle close above
3394 will provide a strong intraday confirmation.
It will push the prices at least to 3429 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3260 - 3288 area
Resistance 2: 3350 - 3386 area
Resistance 3: 3482 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3191 - 3210 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2956 - 2981 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Gold can correct to trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After the recent drop and partial gap-fill, the price seems to be forming a solid foundation for a potential continuation to the upside. The price previously rebounded from the lower levels near 2955 and established a strong bullish trend, respecting the ascending trend line multiple times. Each touch acted as a signal for buyers to step in, pushing the price toward higher zones. Eventually, the market broke through a major resistance area, which has now turned into a support zone between 3265 and 3295 points. This area is also reinforced by the trend line, which has been tested again recently. Importantly, the price left a gap during the impulsive move up, and after the correction, the gap was filled, and buyers immediately reacted. Now, Gold is trading slightly above the support zone, showing a clear bounce from both the trend line and horizontal structure. This confluence increases the probability of further bullish momentum. Given the price behavior, market structure, and technical context, I expect that XAUUSD will continue rising toward the 3425 points, that’s why it is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold – Bulls in Control, but Watch Key Support Gold remains extremely volatile. After finding support around 3200 at the beginning of the month, the price surged nearly 2500 pips within just three trading days, reaching above 3400.
Currently, the price has pulled back and has tested the 3360 zone over night– a former resistance turned support.
Two Scenarios to Watch:
- Bullish Case: If 3360 holds, bulls could push for a retest of the 3500 zone.
- Bearish Case: A clear break below 3360 would confirm a lower high, potentially opening the door for a deeper correction back to 3270.
For now, I’m on the sidelines, waiting for more clarity around this critical support.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart: Long Setup Targeting 3,500 with Key Support Entry Point: Suggested near 3,301.51 USD (marked with the purple support zone).
Stop Loss Zone: Below 3,266.87 to 3,221.67 USD (marked in blue and purple). This is where you limit your loss if the trade goes wrong.
First Target (Target Point One): 3,376.65 USD.
Final Target (EA Target Point): 3,523.55 USD (~8.26% potential gain from entry).
Main Setup Idea:
The price is consolidating around the support zone.
There's a plan to buy (go long) at the purple zone (Entry Point) and aim for the two target points
GOLD Gold’s Trade Relationship with the US Dollar and Bond Market (May 2025)
1. Inverse Correlation Between Gold and the US Dollar
Gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY) typically move in opposite directions. When the dollar weakens, gold prices tend to rise, and vice versa. This inverse relationship remains strong in 2025, with gold’s beta to the dollar shifting to around -0.7, amplifying the negative correlation.
The US dollar has weakened about 8–9% year-to-date in 2025, contributing to gold’s surge to record highs above $3,500 per ounce.
Dollar weakness is driven by factors such as slowing US growth forecasts, political uncertainty around Federal Reserve independence, and declining foreign demand for US Treasuries.
2. Gold’s Role as a Safe Haven Amid Bond Market Dynamics
In 2025, gold has increasingly become the preferred safe-haven asset, especially as US Treasuries and the dollar have faced sell-offs.
The bond market has experienced rising yields (e.g., 30-year Treasury yields hitting highs not seen since late 2023), which traditionally would pressure gold. However, geopolitical tensions, trade uncertainties, and concerns about real yields have driven investors toward gold instead of bonds.
Gold’s correlation with real yields has shifted strongly negative (around -0.78), meaning that as real yields fall or remain negative, gold prices rise. Negative real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, enhancing its appeal.
3. Impact of Monetary Policy and Inflation Expectations
The Federal Reserve’s high nominal rates combined with inflation running above target have created negative real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation), which historically support gold’s price appreciation.
Expansionary monetary policies globally, including increased money supply growth (M2 up 8.3% YoY among G20 nations), provide liquidity that fuels gold demand.
Tariff-induced inflation and geopolitical risks further elevate gold’s status as a hedge against monetary and trade policy uncertainty.
4. Summary of the Relationship
US Dollar Weakness then Gold price rises (inverse correlation) and Dollar declines.
Rising Bond Yields is Usually bearish for gold, but offset by safe-haven demand in 2025 Yields rise, bonds sell off
Negative Real Yields is Strongly bullish for gold Real yields fall, reducing bond attractiveness
Geopolitical/Tariff Uncertainty Boosts gold as safe haven Increases volatility in dollar and bond markets
Monetary Expansion (Liquidity) Supports gold price Can pressure dollar value
Conclusion
In May 2025, gold’s price surge to record levels is primarily driven by a weaker US dollar and negative real bond yields, combined with geopolitical and trade uncertainties that have diminished the safe-haven appeal of US Treasuries. While rising nominal bond yields might typically weigh on gold, the prevailing negative real rates and investor preference for gold as a monetary hedge have reversed this trend. The strong inverse correlation between gold and the dollar remains a key dynamic shaping market behavior.
Can we get a leg lower on XAUUSD?Hi fellow traders, XAUUSD will be ready to make a move lower from the golden pocket within the blue box after completing the correction. Target the 3195.03 level. Good luck and trade safe!
Downtrend - will gold price return to 3233?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounded from an early Asian session drop to a multi-day low, reclaiming ground above the $3,300 psychological level in the past hour. The precious metal continues to draw support from persistent geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, and renewed friction along the India-Pakistan border. That said, the upside appears constrained by improving risk sentiment, driven by renewed optimism surrounding a US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are under great selling pressure as trade negotiations on tariffs are becoming more active. They may return to the 323x price zone and continue to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3351- 3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
The latest ideas on gold.Gold prices are still in a long-term bullish trend, and recent operations still maintain the idea of buying on dips; in the medium term, it may fluctuate at a high level, and mid-term operations need to be treated with caution. With the short-term rise in the European session, gold is waiting for a decline to go long.
Gold awaits Fed / Buy every dipTechnical analysis: Wednesday’s session Inverted Hammer practically took Gold nowhere as Hourly 1 chart remained ranged within Higher High’s Upper and Lower zone, closing out last and this week on an expected positive note. The Monthly (#1M) candle remains on decent gains (# +11.57%) and the last two sessions on the second Highest Volume throughout April - May (this is translated to Gold’s cyclical behavior which I spotted lately when #2-High Volumed sessions are delivered, strong move follows). Despite the Higher High’s, it is clear that since the #3,400.80 local High’s, Gold undergoes a consolidation phase with equal demand and supply, which according to previous models is an Resistance zone preparation for the next leg Lower or Higher regarding Weekly chart (#1W). I remain idle until Fed announcement while Buying every dip last #2-session horizon.
Your ULTIMATE Guide For Time Frames in Gold, Forex Trading
If you just started trading, you are probably wondering what time frames to trade. In the today's post, I will reveal the difference between mainstream time frames like daily, 4h, 1h, 15m.
Firstly, you should know that the selection of a time frame primarily depends on your goals in trading. If you are interested in swing trading strategies, of course, you should concentrate on higher time frames analysis while for scalping the main focus should be on lower time frames.
Daily time frame shows a bigger picture.
It can be applied for the analysis of a price action for the last weeks, months, and even years.
It reveals the historical key levels that can be relevant for swing traders, day traders and scalpers.
The patterns that are formed on a daily time frame may predict long-term movements.
In the picture above, you can see how the daily time frame can show the price action for the last years, months and weeks.
In contrast, hourly time frame reflects intra week & intraday perspectives.
The patterns and key levels that are spotted there, will be important for day traders and scalpers.
The setups that are spotted on an hourly time frame, will be useful for predicting the intraday moves and occasionally the moves within a trading week.
Take a look at the 2 charts above, the hourly time frame perfectly shows the market moves within a week and within a single day.
4H time frame is somewhere in between. For both swing trader and day trader, it may provide some useful confirmations.
4H t.f shows intra week and week to week perspectives.
Above, you can see how nicely 4H time frame shows the price action on EURUSD within a week and for the last several weeks.
15 minutes time frame is a scalping time frame.
The setups and levels that are spotted there can be used to predict the market moves within hours or within a trading session.
Check the charts above: 15 minutes time frame shows both the price action within a London session and the price action for the last couple of hours.
It is also critical to mention, that lower is the time frame, lower is the accuracy of the patterns and lower is the strength of key levels that are identified there. It makes higher time frame analysis more simple and reliable.
The thing is that higher is the time frame, more important it is for the market participants.
While lower time frames can help to predict short term moves, higher time frames are aimed for predicting long-term trends.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold operation strategyFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3300-08. If it does not break, continue to be bullish. Pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3360-66 above. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to maintain the low-multiple rhythm.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3320-25, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3300-10, stop loss 3297, target 3355-3360, and continue to hold if it breaks;
sell zone is hereThe price has been in the sell zone. I am using the modified Fiboretracement. The price has shown strength to go down. Now the price is performing a pullback. If the price rises to the cutloss level, then we will cutloss. We have done the analysis, the rest we will wait to see what will happen.
Next move (XAUUSD)As of May 2, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded from a two-week low, trading around $3,256 per ounce, recovering approximately 0.5% from the previous session’s decline. This uptick follows a nearly 2% drop earlier in the week, marking the steepest weekly loss since late February . 
Key Factors Influencing Gold’s Next Move
1. Upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report
Investor attention is focused on the forthcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report, expected to show a gain of 130,000 jobs in April, down from March’s 228,000. This data could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, affecting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset . 
2. Central Bank Policies and Economic Indicators
Goldman Sachs forecasts that gold prices could surpass $3,700 and even reach $4,800 by mid-2026, driven by recession concerns and central bank policies . Additionally, a recent Reuters poll predicts that the average annual gold price will exceed $3,000 per troy ounce in 2025, marking the first time such a forecast has been made .  
3. Geopolitical Tensions and Market Volatility
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties continue to bolster gold’s status as a safe-haven asset. Investor demand remains strong amid persistent global tensions, despite easing trade disputes between the U.S. and China .  
Technical Outlook
Technically, gold’s recent recovery suggests potential for further gains. Key resistance levels to watch include $3,300 and $3,400. Support is seen around $3,200, with a break below this level possibly leading to a pullback toward $3,100. 
Conclusion
Gold’s outlook remains positive, supported by strong investor demand, favorable economic indicators, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. While short-term fluctuations are possible, the medium to long-term trend appears bullish, with potential for gold to reach new record highs in the coming months. 
XAUUSD NFP spike coming!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated VolatilityXAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated Volatility
The XAU/USD chart shows that the ATR (Average True Range) indicator has reached its highest level in several weeks, signalling increased market volatility.
In addition, trading activity is being fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions, now including an escalation of the conflict between India and Pakistan.
The price action analysis of the precious metal also provides valuable insight, highlighting the ongoing battle between supply and demand.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
On 23 April, we noted a sharp shift in sentiment after the price of XAU/USD peaked around $3,500.
Gold price fluctuations today suggest continued bearish pressure above $3,400, leading to a downward reversal at peak B, which sits below the previous high at A.
This forms the basis for outlining a descending channel and suggests that bears may attempt to keep the price within its boundaries. On the other hand, the $3,333 level was decisively broken by a wave of buying (shown with a blue arrow), and a bullish “cup and handle” pattern is emerging in the background — it is possible that, as part of the May rally, bulls may try to surpass peak B.
Whatever the outcome, elevated volatility appears likely to persist — especially with the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision due today at 21:00 GMT+3, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference at 21:30.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
