Gold surges as bulls return!The 4-hour level bottom has seen a three-yang Kaitai pattern, which is a strong bullish signal. At present, the K-line has broken through the middle track with three consecutive big yangs, driving the 5-day moving average to turn upward. The short-term trend is bullish. Today's market is expected to continue with the bulls, and it will hit the upper track of the Bollinger Band at 3280. If the Bollinger Band opens upward, it is expected to fill the gap at 3325. The 1-hour level K-line relies on the 5-day moving average to support continuous positive growth, and the Bollinger Band opens upward and diverges. The moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating that the current market is in a strong position. However, the MACD red column shows signs of shrinking volume, and there may be a correction in the short term. In the short term, it is necessary to hold the 10-day moving average at 3220 to support more. The target is 3265-3282 and 3292 to gradually fill the gap. In the medium term, continue to hold long orders near 3120 for spot gold and 730 for physical gold.
GOLD trade ideas
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price twice tagged the channel base (LBs) and printed a bullish engulfing, showing demand at 3 100; RSI divergence adds reversal weight.
● A reclaim of the inner blue trend-line sets a break-retest pattern; clearing 3 200 exposes the mid-band / prior LH near 3 350.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US CPI eased to 0.2 % m/m and Fed funds futures pulled the first-cut odds forward to September, slipping real yields and the USD.
● China added gold for a 19-month streak in April, while Middle-East tensions revived safe-haven bids.
✨ Summary
Channel-floor double bottom + softer US data and ongoing official buying favour longs: accumulate > 3 150, objectives 3 200 → 3 350; exit on a close below 3 100.
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GOLD Analysis - Can buyers push toward 3,410$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and now came back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,410 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
The upward trend in gold continues. Considering the news from the U.S. and China, if the price breaks above the 3370 level and stabilizes above it, the bullish trend will continue. Otherwise, I expect a pullback to the 3270 level or lower.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to repair and continue to shortGold prices must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is to adjust and repair by shocks, and the other is to rebound and repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions to rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the main focus is on two positions above. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the early trading wave near 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the recent low of 3120. Pay attention to the ladder support below 3088. The short-term operation of gold is recommended to rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3170-3192 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3120-3100 support.
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent.
Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
SHORT - GOLD (XAU/USD): Decending Triangle on GOLD Good Morning, Traders.
As always, please note that this is not financial advice — always do your own research (DYOR).
This morning, we are observing the development of a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe, forming at a critical support level. This technical formation is often indicative of bearish momentum.
Should the price action decisively break below this key support, it would signal a potential shorting opportunity. Such a breakdown could trigger accelerated selling pressure, offering the possibility of favourable risk-to-reward setups for short positions.
Traders are advised to closely monitor price behavior around the support line, watch for increased volume on the break, and ensure proper risk management before entering any positions.
Stay vigilant and trade smart.
Going to see gold below 3200??As per Olivers analysis Gold is Going below 3200,
Because Gold Dropped For Week and For daily but still it not dropped for month.
This pump is For retracement of fib 0.7-0.5
Now you Have to sell Gold From highs
First selling 3260-65
Second selling 3280-85
Target 3210,3170
Do your own research as well.
don't forget to use proper mm in every trade.
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Volatility Surges: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe gold market has shown an obvious pattern of bearish suppression recently. On the weekly chart, two consecutive long upper shadows have formed a "double needle probing the top" pattern. Coupled with the expansion of the negative momentum of the MACD, it indicates that the medium-term pullback trend will continue. On the daily chart, a long bearish candlestick has broken through the key support. The RSI has dropped from the overbought area to 48.26. Although it has not reached the oversold level, there is still room for further decline.
The real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
Technically, the resistance in the 3260-3250 area is significant, which has become the demarcation between bulls and bears in the short term. Judging from the four-hour chart, the trading idea is to go short on the rebound. Pay close attention to the resistance in the 3265-3270 interval. If the support in the 3205-3200 area is breached, it may trigger stop-loss orders and further fuel the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3260-3265
tp:3240-3220-3200
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again another smashing day on the charts today. After sharing updates and completing targets on our 1h chart idea; please now see update on our 4H chart idea, which is also playing out as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target hit at 3282, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3343, which was hit perfectly. We then got ema5 cross and lock above 3342 opening 3404, also got completed. The cross and lock confirmation gave plenty of time to get in for the action.
No further cross and lock with ema5 above 3404 confirmed the perfect rejection, which we are seeing now, with price testing the lower Goldturns for support.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
3190
3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3015 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming)
🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284.
We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds.
🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper):
3215–3228
✅ Confirmed H4 OB
✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1
✅ HL structure still valid
📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid
3175–3195
🔵 Strong H4 demand zone
📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias
Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness
🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas):
3285–3300
🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG
🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection
📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks
3340–3355
🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply
🔺 Untested premium OB
📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends
🧠 Summary:
We’re in a bullish retracement.
If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+.
If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts.
Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early.
💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction.
🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday
The levels are marked. The structure is clear.
Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking.
We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones.
📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO.
And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might.
💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort.
Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared.
See you on the charts,
— GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
GOLD : This time is different Hello !
No, this time is now different. It was a joke.
*****************************************************
1- Bar pattern of the last bull run is a true way of gold for us. This is almost perfection.
***
2- The objective is 7000-8000$ per once. The top momentum can really hit 10k or 12k if the demand explode, because today, we are in a connected world.
***
3- The top is when Ma deviation is 200% of the 200 MA Monthly in RED like 2011. However, il will update in weekly because is very interesting. You will find below this idea.
***
4- What is the signification for the equity ?
The signification is : No New bullrun until the top of the gold. Probably a consolidation at those levels. However, we are in capital rotation, so, we can easily imagine an explosion of gold if Market drop hard.
***
5- At this level, if you buy now, you can do an easily 100% and maybe 200%.
XAU/USD - Channel Breakout (05.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3357
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🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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Thank you.
Gold Potential Reversal | XAU/USD Intraday SetupChart Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD, 15-Minute Timeframe):
Trend: After a strong bearish move, price has reacted from a key support zone.
Volume: High volume during the drop may indicate a stop hunt or panic sell.
Structure: A potential double bottom or bullish reversal pattern is forming.
Setup Idea: Price bounced near the 3,275 zone. The chart suggests a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows expected.
Entry Zone: Around 3,275.
Stop Loss: Below 3,258.
Take Profit: Targeting the 3,335–3,340 area.
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Description:
Gold shows signs of a potential bullish reversal after a sharp drop and bounce from support. Volume spike and price structure hint at recovery. Targeting the 3,335+ zone with SL below 3,258. This chart is for educational purposes only—always use proper risk management.
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to continue shorting!Gold price must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions for rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 may be caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the upper side mainly focuses on two positions. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the just low point of 3120. The lower step support focuses on 3088. In terms of the short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3170-3192 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3120-3100 line of support.