Gold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First TimeGold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First Time
As the XAU/USD chart shows:
→ Yesterday, the spot gold price stopped just a few cents short of the key psychological level of $3,500 (and even exceeded it on the futures market);
→ But this morning, an ounce is trading around $3,300, having dropped aggressively by more than 5%.
Why Did Gold Suddenly Drop?
The sharp decline followed a shift in rhetoric from President Trump. According to Reuters:
→ The US President backed away from threats to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell;
→ He also signalled a more moderate stance on tariffs against China.
Market participants interpreted this as a reason to take profits on long positions, as the softened tone from the White House reduced demand for safe-haven assets. As a result, gold collapsed from its historic high, while the US dollar index rebounded from multi-month lows.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Gold price fluctuations have formed an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with key reversal points marked for constructing the channel. From this perspective, one interpretation is that the upper boundary marked a price area where gold was extremely overbought. Now, the imbalance in market sentiment may be driving the price back towards the median, where supply and demand tend to stabilise.
And although the $3,300 level is currently acting as support, the XAU/USD chart reveals several signs suggesting that bears are taking control:
→ The price has dropped by approximately $200 in less than two days;
→ A bearish Fair Value Gap has formed during the decline (highlighted by a rectangle) – a pattern typically interpreted as sellers outweighing buyers;
→ The steep purple ascending channel has been broken.
It can be assumed that even if the fundamental backdrop offers reasons for a short-term price recovery, this may prove to be only a temporary bounce following a sharp shift in sentiment towards bearishness at the start of the current week.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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The latest gold analysis strategyDespite touching a fresh all-time high of $3,358, the rally has cooled slightly as traders lock in profits ahead of the extended Easter weekend, with both European and US markets closed. Meanwhile, real yields have ticked higher, offering a modest headwind. On the policy front, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted that the US economy remains resilient, though some segments are showing signs of slowing. She emphasized that monetary policy is still restrictive enough to keep inflation in check, while also suggesting that neutral rates could be on the rise.
Gold price is still in a big uptrend, short-term corrections only make gold price accumulate more and continue to reach new ATH, tariffs are tense, gold price continues to increase strongly: 3382, 3400
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3357, $3382, $3400
Support : $3284, $3236, $3155
The opportunity to retracement has come
Concerns about the escalation of the US-China trade war and the independence of the Federal Reserve pushed the dollar to a three-year low. Gold prices resumed their record rebound and approached $3,400 an ounce. The dollar weakened against almost all major currencies amid light trading during the Asian holiday. The general weakness of the US dollar and increased safe-haven demand continue to bode well for the price of traditional safe-haven gold.
The dollar continues to weaken, and gold hits a new high!
The dollar will fall sharply as Trump's aggressive tariff policy and slowing US economic growth weaken investor confidence and threaten the dollar's long-standing global dominance. Growing concerns about US trade strategy and economic slowdown are casting a shadow on the dollar's strength, and deteriorating economic indicators, coupled with the continuous expansion of tariffs, are undermining global confidence in the dollar.
The sell-off of the dollar gained momentum on Monday as US President Trump is considering whether he can fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
What do you think of today's gold trend!
Let's make a simple analysis. First of all, in terms of the trend yesterday, I emphasized in the member group that the price should be long at 3300 and look for an increase. However, the sharp rise at the opening did not give a chance for a retracement, and it went straight forward for a large-scale breakthrough. Does that mean that the bulls' rise has begun? Is 3400 going to break through directly?
Because the retracement that finally appeared in the daily rhythm was directly broken, according to the current rhythm, the 4-hour trend is continuously positive, so in this kind of continuous positive market, there will be concerns about the emergence of a negative line. So fear of heights is also inevitable here. Only after the negative line correction appears, it may continue to be bullish, so today's arrangement is relatively simple, waiting for the opportunity of high sideways trading, and continue to follow up with long orders on the retracement, while paying attention to the strong pressure of the 3400 integer mark above!
Gold: Retracement to 3345 long, defend the 30 watershed, target 3380-94! Enter short orders near 3395-3398 on the pullback, defend 6 US dollars,
Gold price heading below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have signaled openness to potential interest rate cuts, a stance that could limit further upside in the US Dollar (USD) and lend support to the non-yielding Gold price. Additionally, growing concerns over the economic repercussions of President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff measures, combined with ongoing geopolitical instability, continue to bolster the appeal of safe-haven assets. In this environment, the broader bias for gold remains tilted to the upside, urging caution for traders considering bold bearish positions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
continue sideways, price range fluctuates around 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3382- 3384 SL 3389
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3294 - $3292 SL $3287
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD:The uptrend remains. Here are the latest trading strategyDriven by a weak US dollar and risk aversion, spot gold has reached a record high . (👉signal👉)
In the short term, the bullish momentum remains strong 🐂, but the overbought signal indicates that we should be wary of the risk of a pullback 📉. The medium-term trend will depend on the evolution of trade negotiations and the geopolitical situation 🗓️🌍. Traders should maintain a keen observation of the changes in the market to grasp the market rhythm 👀. In the short term, we should still adhere to the strategy of going long on pullbacks following the trend 📈. Pay attention to the support level of 3,380 below 👇.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3400-3410
TP:3420-3430
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
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XAUUSD at a Critical JunctureAs I previously mentioned, the upside potential in XAUUSD appears relatively limited. At present, I estimate that XAUUSD is forming wave iv of wave (v) as indicated by the black label (best-case scenario), suggesting a potential correction toward the 3,228–3,292 range. Should this scenario hold, the next bullish target lies within the 3,483–3,561 area.
However, you should also be mindful of the bearish scenario (red label), where XAUUSD may have completed wave 3. In such a case, the current movement could represent the beginning of a deeper correction as part of wave 4, with the potential downside projected toward the 2,854–3,101 range.
Gold hits a new high. Will it have no ceiling?Analysis of gold trend:
Spot gold continued to rise in early Asian trading on Tuesday.
Fundamentals:
On Monday, the US dollar index plunged to its lowest level in three years as Trump's remarks on Powell undermined investor confidence in US assets. The United States plans to impose new tariffs on solar products imported from Southeast Asia, and Trump's approval rating has dropped to the lowest since returning to the White House. Risk aversion has increased, and gold prices have strengthened significantly. The current global trade tensions will continue, and concerns about economic growth, inflation expectations, etc. will continue to support gold prices.
Technically:
From a technical perspective, it is difficult to see such a large upside, and in this uptrend, there is basically no room for adjustment. Therefore, it is difficult to keep up with the rise of this bullish trend. Gold does not guess the top in the bullish cycle, as long as it can give a decline, it is an opportunity to go long. From the daily chart, the big positive line in the daily K-line is pulled up, and the trend is mainly broken; the shape is bullish; the golden cross of the stochastic indicator suggests that the bulls have not ended; the MACD double lines are upward, which is the main bullish signal; the short-term 4-hour level, the current 5-day moving average support has moved up to the 3438 line, which is also the bullish support level after the normal adjustment of the market. It should be difficult to give a very strong trend, so you should be flexible in operation. Don't look at the serious divergence of MACD and the serious overbought of RSI for the time being, and you can't help but short it.
Quide's analysis: The current market rise is all due to tariffs, and the technical aspect has no great reference significance. As long as the tariffs are not relaxed, gold will be difficult to pull back. Today's gold rise is expected to rush to 3,500 US dollars. Further look at 3,520-3,550.
I am Quide. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope that you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
When to Sell GOLD?? When will Gold STOP RISING? When will gold stop rising - When to sell gold and start investing in other assets
Hey everyone, Tradevietstock is back again! Today, I’m diving into gold investing after a hot streak in gold prices, with everyone in the media talking about it. There’s even some unofficial info and rumors claiming gold could reach 6,000USD per ounce. But what data shows that gold prices will continue to rise dramatically, maybe even double? And, more importantly, when will gold stop rising? And what is the exact time to sell it and take profit? Let’s break down the data below.
Our view at Tradevietstock is that gold won’t keep climbing like that. Instead, this is the time to look for opportunities to sell at the best price. FOMO (fear of missing out) at this point, chasing gold at its peak, can lead to significant losses, especially if you’re a short-term speculator.
Looking at recent movements, XAUUSD has surged for three consecutive sessions, each by around 3%. To me, this signals strong FOMO in the gold market—not a good sign for new buyers.
i. Gold Price History
1. Historical Data from 1970
Gold has seen significant spikes in the past, similar to the recent surge. Below is a summary of gold price history from 1987 to present, highlighting periods of strong consecutive increases and other key benchmarks.
2. The historical context at key moments
=> As we can see from the events above, gold tends to rise during periods of financial instability and geopolitical tension. However, from 2022 to now, gold prices have almost doubled, and all macroeconomic negative news has been priced in. So, when will gold stop rising and when to sell it?
ii. Probability Data
1. Quantitative Statistics
Below is a statistical comparison of XAUUSD gold prices with similar strong price movements observed in April 2025:
Looking at the data, we can see that gold prices generally decrease from the 30th session onward, after experiencing a 3% increase each session. The 30th session begins on April 9, 2025. Additionally, since 2024, gold has increased by more than 60%.
2. Probability Results
Based on probability calculations from April 9, 2025, the opportunity to buy new positions in XAUUSD is virtually gone. After the 10th and 30th sessions, it's no longer advisable to enter new positions. Instead, it's time to look for sell positions or lock in profits.
=> Since the cycle began, gold has accumulated for 213 consecutive sessions, while the average accumulation period for XAUUSD is about 290 sessions. This is quite close. The longer the accumulation phase, the stronger the price increase afterward. However, we’ve already seen a significant rise in gold prices, meaning most of the potential gains have already been priced in.
3. What Signals Confirm That Gold Prices Will Drop Sharply?
When will gold stop rising and when should we sell it? The answer is simple: we need clear confirmation signals from XAUUSD. In this case, the signal would be a sharp 5% decline in a single session. Based on statistical probability and historical data, such 5% declines have historically confirmed the start of a bear market for gold, meaning prices will either decrease or remain stagnant for an extended period.
A notable 5% drop occurred on May 15, 2006, when gold had previously surged by approximately 55% over a period of about 246 sessions. The outcome was that gold prices dropped by around 14% in the next 30 sessions.
Another example of when to sell occurred on December 4, 2009, when gold experienced a 4% decline after a previous gain of 24% over 144 consecutive sessions. Since the prior gain wasn’t exceptionally strong, XAUUSD only dropped around 6% in the following 50 sessions.
From these examples, we can conclude that gold tends to rise sharply after an accumulation cycle of about 200 sessions or more, with subsequent price increases of 50% or higher. The stronger the previous rise, the larger the drop afterward, typically around 14-15%.
4. Data from Gold Sentiment
When will gold stop rising? When should you sell gold? Based on the Gold Sentiment data from MacroMicro, it’s clear that as the Survey Diffusion Index increases, gold prices tend to rise. Conversely, when this index decreases, gold prices enter a correction phase, leading to a period of stagnation.
Currently, the Survey Diffusion Index has been declining since around March 2025. So when will gold stop rising? This suggests that the gold price may soon reach the end of its upward cycle. However, since this is a lagging indicator, selling or locking in profits requires considering additional factors.
iii. Conclusion
So, when will gold stop rising and when should you sell it? Will the price reach 6,000USD per ounce? According to our analysis, the right time to sell or lock in profits is when a 5% drop occurs in a single session. This conclusion is based on data, not speculation. Gold prices are unlikely to hit 6,000USD per ounce in the near future and will likely need to go through another cycle with an average accumulation period of 200 sessions. The price target to take profit could be around 3,600USD
I hope that the information in this When will gold stop rising article will help you begin your investment journey smoothly and with more confidence. Wishing everyone successful investments and profits!
Let's talk about Trump, gold continues to rise
After Trump came to power again, a series of measures have deeply affected the global political and economic landscape. His policy is like a carefully planned chess game, and every move is hidden. At present, various signs indicate that Europe has become his target, and Trump is trying to achieve the strategic plot of "bleeding Europe and kicking it out of the negotiation table" by a series of means.
1. Promoting Russia-Ukraine peace talks: interest calculations under the appearance of peace
After Trump came to power, he actively devoted himself to promoting Russia-Ukraine peace talks. At first glance, it seems to contribute to world peace, but in fact it contains multiple interests of the United States. From a geopolitical perspective, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has been protracted, Russia's national strength has been continuously depleted in this war of attrition, and Europe is also deeply trapped in it. Due to sanctions on Russia, Europe's own energy supply channels have been blocked and the economy has suffered a heavy blow. If Trump succeeds in promoting peace talks, Russia will be able to get a breathing space and regain its position in the geopolitical map of Europe. In this way, Europe will lose the foundation for its tough stance against Russia. In the future strategic game with the United States, due to the internal contradictions and the change of geopolitical pattern, it will inevitably fall into a more passive and weak position.
From an economic perspective, during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a large amount of funds flowed out of Europe due to the need for risk aversion. In theory, once Russia and Ukraine achieve peace talks, there is a possibility that these funds will flow back to Europe and stabilize the European economy. However, when promoting peace talks, the Trump administration cleverly set additional conditions, such as requiring Europe to move closer to the United States in key areas such as trade and energy cooperation. Otherwise, it will not go all out to promote the peace talks in the direction that Europe expects. This makes Europe have to listen to the United States on the road to economic recovery and gradually become a vassal of the United States' economic interests.
2. Energy pricing power game: directly hit the lifeline of the European economy
The Trump administration has listed the Alaska liquefied natural gas development project as a national priority. This move has dual strategic intentions: on the one hand, it is expected that the project will help increase the production and export of US oil and natural gas, thereby achieving the US's "energy dominance"; on the other hand, it is a "secret killer move" against the European energy market.
For a long time, the United States has been committed to breaking Europe's dependence on Russian energy and making Europe rely on US energy supply. Trump puts pressure on European allies to force them to buy expensive US energy. Take Japan and South Korea as examples. In order to avoid the US "tariff stick", they are considering investing in large natural gas projects in Alaska, and some European countries are also facing similar huge pressure. As the share of US energy in the European market gradually increases, the United States will gradually gain the right to speak on European energy pricing. Once it controls this key power, the United States can adjust energy prices at will, and with high-priced energy, it can extract the "blood" of European economic development, causing the production costs of European companies to rise sharply, and weakening Europe's overall economic competitiveness in all aspects.
3. Trade war continues: Europe becomes a "victim"
Trump vigorously promotes the trade war, and his tariff policy is like a double-edged sword. While causing harm to trading partners, it also brings certain impacts to the US economy itself. However, the Trump administration obviously has a longer-term strategic layout. In this trade war, Europe is gradually becoming a "victim".
The United States imposes high tariffs on European goods, causing European export companies to be in trouble. The share of European automobiles, high-end manufacturing products, etc. in the US market has dropped sharply. At the same time, the Trump administration cleverly used the chaos in the global trade pattern caused by the trade war to force European companies to move their production bases to the United States to enjoy various preferential policies provided by the United States. This move not only further weakened the foundation of Europe's manufacturing industry, but also caused Europe's position in the global industrial chain to continue to decline. Affected by the trade war, Europe's economic growth momentum is insufficient, a large amount of capital has flowed out, and the unemployment rate has continued to rise.
4. Release the inflation haze: shift the economic crisis to Europe
For a long time, the United States has been plagued by inflationary pressure. In order to alleviate its own economic crisis, the Trump administration intends to release the inflationary pressure in the United States. By continuously printing money and expanding fiscal deficits, the United States attempted to pass on inflationary pressure to the world, and Europe was the first to bear the brunt.
Europe and the United States are closely linked economically. As the US dollar is the world's main reserve currency, the US release of inflation has caused the dollar to depreciate. As a result, the large amount of US dollar assets held by Europe has shrunk. At the same time, the cost of importing US goods from Europe has become more expensive, which has further pushed up domestic prices in Europe. The European Central Bank is therefore in a dilemma: if it follows the United States in adopting loose monetary policies, it will further aggravate inflation; if it tightens monetary policy, it will inhibit economic growth. In this case, the European economy is stuck in a quagmire, and the United States has successfully passed on part of the cost of the economic crisis to Europe.
Trump's series of measures after taking office, whether it is promoting peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, competing for energy pricing power, continuing the trade war, or releasing US inflationary pressure, each step is precisely moving in the direction of "bleeding Europe and kicking it out of the negotiation table". Europe is facing unprecedented severe challenges in this economic war without gunpowder. Where the European economy will go in the future and how the global economic landscape will evolve will largely depend on the subsequent actions of the Trump administration and Europe's own response strategy.
Through trade wars, energy exports and other means, when the euro gradually weakens with the overall economic strength of Europe, Trump will obtain more powerful negotiation resources, thereby transferring the investment costs of the entire Russian-Ukrainian battlefield to the European economy, and he can harvest more resources.
Of course, Europe cannot be slaughtered, so returning to the current issue, the media has been reporting that Trump wants to replace Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. On the one hand, Trump hopes that the Federal Reserve will quickly cut interest rates to boost the prosperity of the US stock market. But on the other hand, Trump hopes to test whether Europe will follow the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates by cutting interest rates. If Europe does not cut interest rates, it will inevitably lead to a greater advantage for manufacturing to return to the United States. Europe will accelerate the loss of the economic foundation of manufacturing. But if Europe follows the interest rate cut, combined with the results of the trade tariff war, it will be more open to consume the excess capacity of the United States. This will allow Trump to accelerate the transfer and digestion of US inflation.
This is a very important reason why Trump wants to replace Powell, but every time he speaks to the media, Powell is very tough and emphasizes the need to maintain the independence of the Federal Reserve. One implements its own external economic policy from the perspective of commercial asset competition. The other maintains the stability of the dollar from the perspective of currency stability. The contradiction arises in that one wants to expand without considering the risks and only cares about making money. Powell, on the other hand, considers economic stability and risks. After all, the US government is more like working for the Federal Reserve, one is like a board of directors and the other is like a CEO. The money bag is still in the Federal Reserve, and Trump needs the money bag to support his economic policy to achieve his desired goals and his own political achievements.
In a recent media speech, Trump mentioned: Gold holders make the rules. This sentence led to a crazy rise in gold prices, but then we saw that the gold price rushed to $3,500 per ounce, and then there would be a large amount of selling as long as it reached the US market stage. In my opinion, this is a selling performance led by the US government, selling at a high price to other central banks willing to take over. The gold sold by the United States at a high price must not allow other central banks to transport gold from the United States. In this way, the high-level selling seems to be exchanged for more US dollars. But the performance of gold prices rising and falling, anyway, the physical gold is still in the United States. That is, gold holders make the rules. When the United States sells gold to a certain extent and the price of gold is low enough, it will buy back gold at a low price. This is done. The gold is still in the United States, but the debt of the United States can disappear out of thin air.
Of course, this is just a way for the US government to pay off its debts. No matter how much the tariffs are added, it is actually to distinguish between enemies and friends. This crazy trade war will not last long. Not only the United States knows that it is coming, but we also know it. The reason why he still wants to do this is nothing more than to get more bargaining chips at the negotiating table. At the same time, he shows his allies how hard he is trying to suppress China's economy. But the fact is that in the future, his allies will provide blood, and he will just move his lips. After all, taking the lead in the route of suppressing China, whether or not he has achieved results, his attitude is strong enough, so he can ask his allies for more supplies later.
So we only need to pay attention to Trump in the future, how to bleed the global economy. How to dissolve the US debt. Suppress the euro, and thus announce the dominance of the US dollar again. For Asian countries, it seems that they are just watching him act. Who will win this economic war? As for who will be the final winner? There is no winner, it is just a development in confrontation. In essence, if Europe wants to escape from the clutches of the United States, it seems that it can only seek other trade models and increase Europe's infrastructure to Asia, thereby linking the economy of the entire Eurasian continent and forming the rise of the inland economy. However, Europe is currently facing a problem, that is, China's infrastructure has a global credibility and market share. It is almost impossible to be challenged. It depends on whether Europe is willing to withdraw from the stage of history, develop in a downturn, and find new ways of cooperation.
Finally, gold is bullish at 3331, with a target of around 3360
3280 becomes the key for bulls!The previous surge in gold prices was mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal.
From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the actual yield may continue to decline under the background of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if the good news about tariffs continues to be released, the price of gold may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Views on gold tonight!
In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to the 3500 line, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest 3290 line! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous starting point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak!
#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis
📊 **#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis**
🔍 Gold has been moving in a **strong one-sided uptrend** over the past 3–4 months — surging from **$2500 to $3500**, marking a **massive $1000 rally** in under 4 hours! 🚀
---
🛑 **Key Psychological Resistance: 3500**
Yesterday, price tapped into the **3500 zone**, a major psychological level.
🔻 This was followed by **intense selling pressure**, likely sparked by news regarding a potential **Russia-Ukraine ceasefire** 🕊 — hinting at possible war closure.
💥 This triggered a sharp drop to **3370**, and today’s market opened with a **gap down**, followed by a **swift recovery**.
---
🧭 **What to Watch Today:**
📅 Today’s daily candle is **crucial**.
⚠️ If the candle **fails to hold above 3320** and closes **bearishly below 3320**,
expect a **panic sell-off** in the next 2–3 sessions —
📉 Potential downside targets: **3245–3190**
🌀 These levels also align with the **Fibonacci 0.50–0.60 retracement zone** from the last impulse.
---
🛠 We’ll fine-tune our **Buy/Sell zones** using **lower time frame analysis
Gold: boldly to the upsideThe price of gold continues its way up to higher grounds, supported by high uncertainty caused by trade tariffs imposed by the US Administration to the rest of the world countries. Certainly, the most important tariffs are related to China, as the US major trade counterparty, which is currently in a wait-and-see phase. The price of gold reached a new all time highest level at $3.350 on Thursday, after which, the price reverted just a bit. Analysts are noting that this could be the profit-taking moment on the market.
The RSI shortly reached the level of 50 two weeks ago, however, reverted again back toward the higher grounds. In the past week, the RSI again headed toward the overbought market side, closing the week at the level of 72. There is still no change with MA lines. Both MA 50 and MA 200 are moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend, without any signal that the potential change of trend might come anytime soon.
Analysts are pointing that there might be some short reversal of the price of gold in the coming period, as it reached a fresh new all time highest level. They are pointing that this reversal might be a reflection of a profit=taking. Such a scenario might be possible in the week ahead, but some higher reversal to the downside should not be expected. Fundamentals are the ones which have been driving the price of gold for some time in the past, and they will continue to do it in the future. As long as the topic of tariffs is a major narrative of the US Administration, the price of gold will be supported by it. Considering that gold is currently moving in an uncharted territory, new ATHs are quite possible also in the future.
When will gold's continued surge peak? Market analysis referenceTechnical analysis of gold: The recent gold bulls are very strong. No matter the daily or weekly charts, there is no peak signal. We previously estimated that 3400 is coming. Does anyone still question our prediction? However, the ups and downs of gold have made short-term operations more difficult. Last Thursday, the daily chart showed a deep V-shaped market. It was broken by 3300 and thought that the big shorts had begun. In fact, it was just a normal technical sell-off in the market before the holiday. Finally, it rebounded again in the middle of the night. Today's Asian session was even crazier, directly rising to around 3395. The big rise is not a top. Don't guess or intercept it. Moreover, this wave of market fluctuations is also the most in history. It has refreshed multiple records. For novices, surviving in such a market is the best.
In the 4-hour level, the price has made a small V-shaped reversal and continued to maintain a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. The 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross and upward bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly in the Asian session, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Then the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3357 in the Asian session. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range may increase. Recently, gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of safe-haven. In this emotional market, you can only follow the trend, because gold keeps hitting new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don't chase more easily at high levels. After the volatility increases, the amplitude of each callback is not small. Opportunities are waiting. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to buy on callbacks and sell short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3405-3410 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3357-3360 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm
GOLD 30M ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 30m time frame for GOLD. To identify the best buying area and POI for our buy trade setup. In this chart price is creating trendline support and also price break it's previous high. So overall market trend was bullish. According to the market trend my Bias was also bullish. Let's see when price retest and come to our entry zone. Once price comes observe the behavior of price and if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Trump vs. Powell: 4d Gold Price Roller Coaster📊 Summary of Recent 4 Trading Days
During the ongoing US-China trade war, President Trump has ramped up his public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Though he lacks the authority to remove Powell directly it seems, Trump's frustration with the Fed’s independent policy direction has led to an apparent institutional power struggle.
This conflict hasn’t gone unnoticed by the markets. Just the mention of removing Powell caused the gold price to spike, as stock market money got squeezed out, amplified by tensions in the trade war. The Federal Reserve’s credibility is high, so such remarks naturally trigger significant volatility.
After Trump's initial outburst, gold surged $216. But when he softened his tone, the price reversed just as dramatically—falling about $240 (with the trading day still ongoing at the time). Hopes for progress in trade negotiations also played a role in this sharp reversal.
⚠️ Warning Signs of Market Distortion
Statements from the US President now function almost like market-moving events in addition to normal news. For gold traders, this creates an unstable environment where typical technical setups may fail.
The past days showed signs of manipulated or artificial movements—with potential insider activity. One notable example: Gold looked set to break higher after a 1-hour candle closed above the EMA 20 line. But a sudden $12 bearish candle in the last 30 seconds erased the setup. It felt orchestrated—possibly by institutional players defending key levels.
💡 Trader’s Takeaway
Don’t blindly trust technical signals in this environment.
Watch for political noise—it’s louder than usual.
Prefer quieter markets if you’re risk-averse.
Expect $100+ daily ranges and frequent price whipsaws.
🗣 What’s your take?
Is Trump really influencing the gold market on purpose—or just creating chaos? Let’s discuss below. 👇
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊