29/05/25 London Idea on Gold XAUUSD- HTF Bullish
- Retracement to FVG+OTE
- Waiting for confirmation in LTF
GOLD trade ideas
Gold retested as expected, what to do next?
Gold rebounded from 3308 in the US market and fell to 3272. The recent market is good-looking but difficult to do. The long and short positions are repeatedly washed. The monthly line basically closed at the cross star. Under the fierce game between long and short positions, the performance was balanced.
The short-term hourly line is only a single negative line that fell rapidly, and it does not have downward continuity. The high point of the US market rebound is around 3302. If you want to participate, you can go short when it reaches around 3302. As of press time, gold is accumulating strength around 3293. If you step back below, you can rely on the low point for defense.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Trade Plan 30/05/2025Dear Traders,
The market is currently ranging between 3250 and 3330. The midline zone of the range box, around 3285–3290, is a key area for the continuation of the bullish trend. Price has bounced upward several times after touching this zone. If the 3285–3290 area is broken, the price is likely to drop first toward the 3250 level.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another strong day in the markets!
After hitting our bullish targets at 3236, 3278, and 3308 earlier this week, yesterday we identified and stated that we have EMA5 cross and lock above 3308, opening the move to 3343.
- 3343 target was reached with precision, completing the move as planned.
However, with no further lock above 3343, we saw the rejection, driving price back into the lower Goldturn zones for support and clean bounces just like we stated.
We’ll continue tracking price level by level, guided by EMA5 confirmations and buying the dips, inline with our plans.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a day on Gold! We completed a mega pip capture on the long into the Excalibur target and red box barrier only to then get the RIP that we wanted in order to capture that short trade downside completing another phenomenal pip capture and target.
Our red box indicators performed well as well as the algo allowing our traders to navigate their way on the swing and the scalps.
Now we have support below at the 3290 level which needs to break to go lower, otherwise resistance above is at the red box 3310-15 which could be the destination for the close.
As always, trade safe
KOG
Gold Surges – Is 3,500 USD the Next Target?OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above the upper boundary of the descending channel. This boundary previously acted as dynamic resistance but has now been broken and could potentially become a new support zone if confirmed. Price action at this level suggests a structure consistent with a bullish flag pattern, indicating the potential for a continuation of the uptrend if buyers engage.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price may have the potential to rise toward the 3,500 USD level, which serves as a reasonable target for this setup. And if price breaks beyond this area, there are few clear obstacles above, opening up room for a broader rally within the medium-term trend.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or rising buying volume, before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
DeGRAM | GOLD moving in the range📊 Technical Analysis
● Rebound has met triple confluence: the H4 rising-wedge apex, the red 3 300-3 350 supply, and the roof of the broader descending channel – the same zone that capped rallies on 7 & 9 May.
● Bearish divergence appears on RSI while the wedge’s base is rising toward 3 284; a 4 h close beneath it should unlock the channel mid-line/blue trend support at 3 172, then the floor near 3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US data stay firm – weekly jobless claims held near 227 k and May flash PMIs beat consensus, keeping 2-yr yields parked just under 5 % and the dollar bid.
● World Gold Council notes a fifth straight week of ETF outflows as higher opportunity cost dents investment demand.
✨ Summary
Fade strength inside 3 300-3 350; wedge breakdown < 3 284 aims 3 172 → 3 100. Shorts invalidated on a sustained H4 close above 3 350.
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Gold, Platinum Outlook – Gold Eyes Breakout as Dollar Weakens- Gold is gaining momentum and approaching a major breakout level near $3,350, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, and renewed safe-haven demand. A recent U.S. credit downgrade, driven by fiscal concerns, has added pressure on the dollar and boosted interest in hard assets like gold.
- After reclaiming its 20-day moving average, gold climbed to $3,321, showing improving bullish strength. This area is a key confluence of resistance, including the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and intersecting trendlines. A sustained move above $3,375 would confirm a breakout, likely targeting $3,435 and possibly retesting the all-time high near $3,500.
However, if gold fails to hold above $3,375 and reverses, it could signal a false breakout. In that case, the downside scenario comes into play. Initial support sits around $3,277, and a break below that could see prices drop toward $3,184 (around the 50-day MA). If selling pressure intensifies, the next key level to watch is $3,121, the monthly low and a critical line for maintaining the broader bullish trend.
- Silver is also riding bullish momentum, reclaiming its 50-day moving average at $32.80 and testing resistance at $33.70. A breakout could drive prices toward $34.87, fueled by inflation fears and broad dollar weakness.
- Platinum has surged to a one-year high at $1,075.59, driven by tight supply and a spike in Chinese imports. With no immediate resistance, it is poised to challenge $1,100, supported by strong fundamentals and technicals.
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown| Trend Reversal Bearish Setup Price has broken below the rising channel, showing early signs of a potential bearish reversal.
Key Resistance: 3364
Current Price: 3334
Support Levels to Watch:
3282 (first support)
3250 (major target)
If price fails to reclaim the channel and retests 3364 without strength, we could see a deeper drop below 3282. A bounce from 3282 might offer short-term buy setups, but momentum favors bears for now.
Trade Plan:
Short below 3325 with SL above 3364
Target: 3282, extended to 3250
Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish here?
#technicalanalysis #priceaction #tradingview #USD #bearishsetup
GOLD potential Reversal Structure in SightGold has completed a 5-wave impulsive structure and is currently trading within the supply zone around its all-time high ($3,500). Price action suggests exhaustion, and unless a new ATH is formed, a macro correction is likely to begin soon.
Key levels to monitor remain the Immediate Demand Zone $2,750 – $2,900 and this may offer short-term support with Main Demand Zone (Strong Buyback Area) $2,530 a critical level for potential re-accumulation and long-term re-entry. Moreover, the invalidation occur when Bullish bias resumes only if price breaks and closes above $3,500.
Break of the ascending trendline will confirm a deeper corrective leg, likely toward the main demand. This structure offers a clear medium to long term roadmap watch for confirmation before positioning.
Gold Bounces Back – Is the Road to a New ATH Open Again?📈 Gold Back Above 3300 – Is the Correction Over?
In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold could start a correction from the strong confluence resistance zone and drop toward the 3260 area.
While price briefly dipped below 3300, it quickly reversed above that level, showing that bulls remain in control. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 3306, and the ascending trendline from 3120 is still intact.
📌 Key Zone Holding – Bullish Structure Intact
The 3270–3280 area is now acting as a strong support, and yesterday’s price action could signal that the correction is already complete.
If Gold breaks above the 3350–3360 resistance, it would not only confirm a short-term continuation, but could also mean that the entire one-month correction from 3500 is over — opening the door for a new all-time high in the medium term.
📊 Trading Plan:
As long as 3260 holds, the bias remains bullish both in the short and medium term.
Buying dips below 3300 could be a viable strategy while targeting a break above resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,262.87
1st Support: 3,208.70
1st Resistance: 3,360.90
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Price Forecast: Bullish Channel Points to $3,388 TargetGold (XAU/USD) is trading in a strong ascending channel on the 45-minute chart, currently at $3,357.51 (+1.91%). Repeated bullish bounces off the channel’s lower boundary (highlighted in orange) reinforce the uptrend. With support from a green trailing indicator and recent breakout momentum, the next target is projected near $3,388.88. Watch for continued strength above the $3,330 zone for confirmation.
Chart Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) – 45-Minute Timeframe
Trend Structure:
The price is moving within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Higher highs and higher lows are consistently formed, respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the channel.
Key Observations:
1. Support Validation:
Multiple successful retests of the lower trendline (highlighted with orange circles) show solid demand and trend continuation behavior.
These retests occur with minimal drawdown, suggesting buyers are stepping in confidently at channel support.
2. Bullish Momentum:
The recent price breakout above consolidation (seen around May 24-25) shows renewed bullish interest.
The price is also supported by a trailing green indicator (likely an EMA or a dynamic support line), which the price remains above — a further bullish confirmation.
3. Short-Term Target:
Projected target of $3,388.878 aligns with the upper bound of the ascending channel, making it a logical resistance level.
If this level is breached with strong volume, it could open the door for continuation toward $3,400+.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025"Premium Exhaustion, CHoCH Confirmed — Is the Reversal Loading?"
👋 What’s up, traders — let’s break down the 4H structure for Monday flow.
The 4H chart shows gold consolidating tightly around equilibrium (~3289) after a failed attempt to reclaim the premium zone. Price created a Lower High (LH) at 3360 and printed multiple CHoCHs + BOS to the downside. We are now seeing short-term distribution inside a narrow range, with supply active around 3296–3302 and liquidity building below.
The market is showing signs of internal weakness: smart money has absorbed buyers in premium, and price is rotating lower, looking for fresh liquidity.
🔹 Market Structure (H4)
Structure Element Level / Detail
Trend Shift Bearish (CHoCH + LH)
Current Price ~3289 (equilibrium)
Major LH 3360
Confirmed CHoCHs Multiple — last seen on May 30
Short-Term Flow Bearish compression toward discount
🔹 Key H4 Zones (Refined)
📍 Zone Name Level (Rounded) Confluence
🔺 H4 Supply Block 3296 – 3302 OB + internal FVG rejection zone — short trigger area if retested
🔺 Final Inducement Trap 3326 – 3340 LH zone — liquidity inducement if price spikes early in the session
🔹 Intraday Support Zone 3274 – 3270 EQ edge – support under current price, bounce or break zone
🔻 Breakout Sell Zone 3244 – 3232 CHoCH/BOS zone → clean sell-side continuation if broken
🔵 Discount Buy Area 3188 – 3172 Deep FVG fill + May structure low → possible long reentry zone
🔹 EMA Flow (5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200)
⚠️ EMA5 crossed under 21 + 50 → short-term bear confirmation
✅ Price is under EMA21 and EMA50 — bearish control
🛑 EMA200 (3172) sits near discount demand → strong reaction likely if reached
🔹 Game Plan for Monday (Execution Bias)
🔻 Sell Setup #1 (Scalp to Swing):
If price retests 3296–3302 → look for bearish PA → short toward 3244
If that breaks → continuation target = 3188
🔺 Buy Setup (Low-Probability Until Reclaim):
Buy only valid below 3188 on strong bullish PA or LTF CHoCH
Aggressive long possible only above 3340, but that invalidates LH
🔚 Summary:
Gold on the 4H is rotating bearish — premium has rejected, CHoCHs confirmed, and EMA structure is rolling over. Price is compressing just under supply, signaling a potential breakdown to clear sell-side liquidity.
Your edge this week lies in patiently waiting for retests of broken structure or rejection from clean OB zones.
💬 If This Helped You:
💡 Drop a LIKE if this gave you clarity on the H4 rotation
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for real-time execution plans and sniper entries
👇 Comment your view: Will 3244 break first — or are we bouncing at 3270?
Let’s stay tactical this week.
— GoldFxMinds
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,237.46
1st Support: 3,239.71
1st Resistance: 3,415.22
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold bears will dominate the marketFrom the market point of view, the delay of the Fed's policy shift and the mitigation of geopolitical risks have a double-kill effect: on the one hand, high interest rates limit the attractiveness of gold; on the other hand, the retreat of safe-haven buying has intensified selling pressure. In the short term, pay attention to the support of the 3240-3250 range. If it fails, it may drop to the psychological level of 3200; but after oversold, be wary of technical rebounds. The 3280-3300 line above will become a key resistance. Be cautious in chasing orders, and the trend is mainly rebound shorting.
Gold recommendation: short near the rebound of 3282-3287, stop loss 3295, target 3253
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 28Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3284
One-hour chart resistance level 3325, support level below 3298
Gold operation structure is clear, showing a triangular consolidation pattern. The current gold price is facing a fierce battle between bulls and bears in terms of direction selection.
For this type of technical pattern, it is recommended to maintain a high-sell and low-buy range before breaking through, focusing on the conversion of upper and lower rail support and resistance levels. Keep selling high and buying low before breaking through, and follow the trend after an effective breakthrough.
BUY:3298near SL:3292
BUY:3330near SL:3325
SELL:3325near SL:3330
Daily sharing
no supply and no demand I’ve just noticed for the first time that the market is not able to close even a single momentum candle below the lower trigger line of the No Supply zone, and it is using that level as support — while treating the upper trigger line as resistance.
As long as the market doesn’t close an H1 momentum candle below the lower trigger line, the market remains bullish. On the other hand, unless the market closes an H1 momentum candle above the upper trigger line of the No Demand zone, the market remains bearish. So, the market seems to be ranging between these two levels.
Whichever side the momentum candle closes on, there’s a higher chance of price moving in that direction — according to my point of view.
Do your own research for better perspective.
Trade Idea:
Aggressive Entry: As soon as price comes near the lower trigger line, we could look at CAB setups on M1/M3 around S2/S3 levels and trade upward towards the upper trigger line.
Safe Entry: Once a momentum candle closes above the upper trigger line of the No Supply zone, wait for a retest of the lower trigger line, and then look for a CAB setup to go long.
This entire setup was being blocked by the 200 SMA and 100 SMA on the H4 timeframe.
Inverse logic applies for the No Demand setup.
