SHORT - GOLD (XAU/USD): Decending Triangle on GOLD Good Morning, Traders.
As always, please note that this is not financial advice — always do your own research (DYOR).
This morning, we are observing the development of a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe, forming at a critical support level. This technical formation is often indicative of bearish momentum.
Should the price action decisively break below this key support, it would signal a potential shorting opportunity. Such a breakdown could trigger accelerated selling pressure, offering the possibility of favourable risk-to-reward setups for short positions.
Traders are advised to closely monitor price behavior around the support line, watch for increased volume on the break, and ensure proper risk management before entering any positions.
Stay vigilant and trade smart.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold on hard Resistance zoneTechnical analysis: Gold continues to Trade within healthy Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel, holding tightly the #3,242.80 - #3,252.80 pressure point as an Resistance zone (see how it held throughout today’s session on the exact spot, aswell holding and untouched in #10-session base). Assuming that the Buying pattern continues, then the current market sentiment represent an additional solid Buying opportunity towards the #3,262.80 extension (taken from June - July Annual High’s), however recession sentiment is off the markets (at least for Short-term) so safe-haven assets such as Gold (which were on High-demand) should suffer as Investors are slowly losing interest which should add strong Buying pressure on Bond Yields and DX (my strongest correlation at the moment). There are only two Resistance lines left towards #3,262.80, which are currently Trading on #3,244.80 and #3,252.80 configuration. I’ve been highlighting the #3,252.80 potential, and I assume with current market overview, Gold may test it within current session. However keep in mind that rejection here can extend the Selling sequence below #3,227.80 Support in extension.
My position: Gold is Trading near hard Resistance zone and under Buying pressure due DX taking strong Intra-day hits. I will Trade the break-out, either #3,244.80 Resistance towards #3,252.80 benchmark and above or await will #3,227.80 Support reject every downside attempt. All depends on how DX fares into coming sessions.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing the bearish targets yesterday, confirmed by the EMA-5 cross and lock, we continued to buy dips. We noted that the swing range was active, but the full swing hadn't played out yet.
Today, that full swing completed, reaching 3254, marking a perfect move within the expected range.
Now, the price is likely to fluctuate between 3233/3201lower Goldturns and 3254 as the upper Goldturn.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
POTENTIALLY 3525
BEARISH TARGETS
3307 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281 - DONE
3254 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE (SWING ACTION COMPLETE)
3233 - DONE
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
What a day on gold. We wanted this to go higher into the order region to enable us to short it in to the level we wanted following the path. Market glitched, we didn't get the move we wanted, completed all the bearish targets for the week but then....we managed to get a nice long trade from the lows into the resistance level above.
Now 3230 turns into resistance with many traders chasing the gap early session likely holding on to trades. As you can see, the red box broke early session, that was the signal to maintain the move into the levels. So we'll stick with it at the moment as long as that 3255 level holds us down. An undercut low takes us into 3190-5 which is where we may see price hold for CPI tomorrow.
All bearish targets done in one swoop!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306✅, 3301✅, 3297✅, 3285✅ and 3274✅
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3298✅, 3293✅, 3285✅ and 3279✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD at Key Resistance – Breakout or Rejection?Gold is moving within the range at the moment and trying to break 3320. The price bounced from the higher low and is currently testing a key resistance zone around 3320. While the pair remains within the broader upward channel, early signs of rejection could trigger a pullback toward the support level. For bulls to maintain momentum, a clear breakout and hold above the descending trendline is essential. Failure to do so would confirm another lower high, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
Most Watchable areas:
$3320-3330 and $3293-$3305
Proper break above $3330 can open the door to $3360 and if it will be rejected from this area
then Sell will be triggered with target of 3230.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Will gold continue to rise to 3280-3330 today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. Today, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "debt surge and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Due to this influence, gold opened sharply higher today, Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
Here is the 1-hour chart:
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later.
The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
For now, I think that as long as gold is above 3200 today, gold will continue to rise.
So, if you do it in the short term, you can buy in the 3200-3220 range, with 3200 below as defense, and as long as the upper target stands firm at 3250, you can continue to see the 3280-3300-3330 range.
DeGRAM | GOLD triangle volume reduction📊 Technical Analysis
● A lower-high formed at $3 280 re-entered the red supply and slid back beneath the blue trend-line, converting last week’s “break-out” into a bull-trap.
● Price is compressing in a bear-flag whose base rests on $3 200; a 1 h close below it exposes the descending-channel floor/ horizontal support at $3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FOMC minutes stressed rates may stay “restrictive for some time”, lifting 2-yr yields to 4.9 % and firming the USD, while the World Gold Council logged a 6-tonne ETF outflow on 17 May, signalling weaker investment demand.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies into 3 230-3 250; flag break targets 3 200 ➜ 3 100, risk capped above 3 280.
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Gold - New All Time High in the making?market context and trend environment
This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) from OANDA illustrates a strong impulsive structure within a broader bullish trend. Following a sharp upward movement that broke through previous structure, gold formed a swing high before entering a corrective phase. The market has since pulled back and appears to be stabilizing near a zone of high confluence, suggesting potential for a renewed move to the upside. Price has respected key retracement levels, reinforcing the technical strength of this zone.
fair value gap and fibonacci confluence
A notable feature of this setup is the alignment between a visible fair value gap and the Fibonacci golden pocket zone, comprising the 0.618–0.65 retracement levels. This convergence of technical tools adds weight to the significance of the support zone around the 3,280–3,300 region. Fair value gaps represent inefficiencies in the market caused by strong institutional participation, while the golden pocket is historically known for acting as a magnet for reversals within trending markets. The presence of both in the same area increases the likelihood of price reacting positively here.
liquidity sweep and structural reaction
Before revisiting this key demand zone, price briefly swept below a local low, which may have served as a liquidity grab to fuel the next bullish leg. This liquidity sweep is followed by a sharp reaction, suggesting that downside pressure may have been absorbed by aggressive buyers positioned at the FVG and golden pocket. Price has since rebounded, and the subsequent price action shows a gradual formation of higher lows, hinting at a shift in short-term order flow back in favor of buyers.
projection and bullish scenario
The chart projects a potential bullish continuation move, with a series of higher lows anticipated to form en route to a break of structure above recent swing highs. Multiple buy-side liquidity levels (BSL) are marked, representing areas where buy stops are likely to be clustered. These zones offer clear targets for bullish expansion. The blue arrowed projection outlines a methodical stair-step advance, respecting interim levels before ultimately attempting to reach the prior high near 3,530.
strategic framework and trader insight
This chart offers a methodical roadmap for bullish continuation, rooted in the smart money framework of liquidity, inefficiency, and institutional order flow. The confluence between the fair value gap and Fibonacci retracement is particularly notable and serves as a key validation area for bullish traders. Rather than anticipating immediate breakout behavior, the projection emphasizes a progressive structure that aligns with how larger players tend to accumulate positions before moving the market. Patience and alignment with structure are emphasized as price prepares for a potential continuation move higher.
Geopolitical conflicts dominate gold price fluctuationsFrom a technical perspective, gold closed with a long lower shadow last week, indicating strong support from below. It opened higher on Monday to around $3,252 before falling back, entering a short-term consolidation phase, but the $3,200 integer mark was lost and regained. The daily level stood firmly on the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands closed, indicating that the market is accumulating upward momentum. Gold is generally bullish this week, with an upper target of $3,280; if it breaks through this resistance level, it may fill the previous gap and further test $3,350 or even $3,400.
Gold's 1-hour K-line shows that gold has bottomed out and rebounded, recovering the losses of last Friday, and is currently close to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. Technical indicators show that there is an obvious bottoming signal below, and there is still room for growth. However, before effectively breaking through $3,280, it is difficult for gold to form a unilateral upward trend. Therefore, this week's operation is considered to be divided into two stages: below $3,280, it is treated as a volatile upward trend, and after breaking through, it will turn into a unilateral upward trend. For gold's short-term operation strategy today, it is recommended to focus on low-level longs and rebound high-level shorts. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3250-3260 is 3250-3260, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3115-3105 is 3115-3105.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3220-3215 area, with a stop loss at 3207 and a target of 3230-3240
2. Gold is recommended to go short in the 3250-3255 area, with a stop loss at 3263 and a target of 3235-3225
GOLD (#XAUUSD): Buying Opportunity on Pullback Following a bearish movement yesterday, gold has fallen to a significant intraday/daily horizontal support level.
The formation of a cup and handle pattern serves as a strong buy signal, and there is a high likelihood that the price will soon retrace to 3275 level soon.
XAUUSD Targeting the 1D MA100.When we looked at Gold (XAUUSD) on May 05 (see chart below), we called for a strong sell on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and a 3155 Target:
Now that this target was hit and the 1D MA50 broke, we expect a short-term bearish continuation, as the last 3 times the price broke below the 1D MA50, it always hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Still, all candles since the test closed above the 1D MA50 so we need to seek a confirmation of the bearish continuation and that is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). If rejected there, expect an instant drop. If not, the last Resistance is the top of the Channel Down. In both cases, our short-term Target is 3060.
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Gold Long: Completed Wave 4, target above $3500.A detailed walkthrough on Gold since 2011, the start of the first Cycle level wave. I go through my Elliott Wave counts for Gold, breaking down waves, focusing more on the recent wave 4 downturn.
The alternate count will be another wave Z down, giving up a triple combination.
Depending on the opening this coming week, the stop for this idea is either below 3154, or 3120.
Good luck!
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN UPDATE – MAY 19-20, 2025“We don’t redraw zones. We validate their power.”
Chart: ✅ Full SMC + Imbalance + Macro flow (no guesswork)
📍 STRUCTURE FOLLOW-UP FROM YESTERDAY
Price respected the key mapped zones with surgical precision:
✅ Confirmed reaction from "LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB": Price tapped this zone and has been coiling since, showing hesitation near 3245–3255 supply.
✅ Demand at 3182–3190 (Confirmed demand + liquidity seep) held the entire bullish wave.
❌ No break above 3255 = No RAKET yet. Bulls haven’t pushed through the supply.
So far, structure remains short-term bullish, macro still in correction, premium rejection active.
✅ STILL VALID ZONES FOR MAY 19
🔵 BUY ZONES
3182–3190 = "Confirmed demand + liquidity sweep"
→ 2x successful rejections = highly reactive if retested.
If this breaks = deeper retracement expected.
3120–3140 = “MACRO must-hold demand”
→ Cleanest long-term demand block. If we ever break this, macro flow turns fully bearish.
3060–3085 = “FVG fill + wick rebalancing”
→ Only for deep selloffs. High reward zone.
🔴 SELL ZONES
3248–3255 = “LTF FVG + Unmitigated OB”
→ In-play now. Watch for reaction + breakdown below 3228 = short confirmation.
(Great for intraday NY/Asia reversal plays)
3280–3292 = Internal LH / last supply
→ Valid swing short zone if market expands.
3360–3380 = “Supply + imbalance rejection”
→ Macro invalidation zone if broken.
⚠️ INVALIDATED / USED ZONES
❌ 3221–3228 minor demand → Already wicked through, structure closed above and below.
❌ 3230 OB → No longer fresh. Consolidated, weak edge.
❌ 3235–3240 scalp supply → Broken in Asia session, now used for liquidity inducement.
🔎 PLAN SCENARIOS
🔽 BEARISH:
Rejects again from 3248–3255, breaks 3228, targets 3182, then 3120.
🔼 BULLISH:
Clean break & hold above 3255, continuation toward 3280–3292 next.
💡 FLOW INSIGHT:
"Price has memory. Respect the zones, not the hype."
We are in a premium coil → until 3255 breaks, sellers have the edge.
Until 3182 breaks, bulls still breathe.
🔔 FINAL RAKET NOTE:
All the zones marked yesterday have proven structure today.
We hold them, refine them—not redraw them.
Drop a 🧠 if you still trust your chart.
Drop a 🚀 if you're ready for the next clean leg.
—
With logic & flow,
GoldFxMinds 💛
XAU/USD adding confirmation to the bullish outlookPattern Identified:
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Left Shoulder: Marked on the left with a price dip followed by a recovery.
Head: A deeper dip forms the lowest point in the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A smaller dip that mirrors the left shoulder, indicating the pattern's completion.
Neckline (Resistance):
The green horizontal zone marked as resistance connects the highs between the shoulders and head. A breakout above this level confirms the reversal.
Breakout Strategy:
Entry Zone: Around 3,304.82, just above the neckline, signaling the breakout entry.
Stop Loss Zone: Below the red shaded support area, around 3,218.65, to protect against a false breakout.
Target Zone: Projected around 3,446.27 – 3,520.00, aligned with the expected height of the inverse head and shoulders formation.
Indicators & Tools Used:
Ichimoku Cloud:
Shows past bearish momentum but recent price action is breaking above the cloud, adding confirmation to the bullish outlook.
Support Zone:
A strong support base is marked in red, acting as the floor for the pattern and prior accumulation zone.
Trend Channel (Left):
A bullish channel in early April supports the historical strength in price action before the head formation.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Signal Confirmation: Break above the neckline with volume (not shown but typically checked in execution)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, with a clearly defined stop loss and a high potential target area.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Just a quick update. So as I suspected, we moved up a bit to the $3186 area, and now this is where we watch to see if we move up a bit to rope people into longs only to come back down, or do we keep pushing up?? Let's see how the next few hours play out. It's Friday so don't try to force or rush a trade. Big G gets my thanks. Happy Friday.
Gold Price Targets Fresh GainsGold Price Targets Fresh Gains
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,210 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase from the $3,120 zone against the US Dollar.
- A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,210 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $3,120 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $3,150 level.
The bulls cleared the $3,200 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a spike above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low. The RSI is now above 50 and the price could aim for more gains.
Immediate resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low at $3,260.
The next major resistance is near the $3,295 level. An upside break above the $3,295 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,350. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,385 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,210 zone. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,210. If there is a downside break below the $3,210 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,155 support. The next major support sits at $3,120. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,060 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAU/USD: Awaiting clarification of the European session trend.After a significant rebound yesterday, the market showed a cyclical decline in early trading today, with no clear tradable pattern emerging yet. The current price is in a stalemate zone between bulls and bears, and two-way operations carry high risks. It is recommended to closely monitor the trend in the European session. Wait until the European session clarifies whether the market will continue the downward trend or rebound further, and then follow the trend during the US session.
From a technical analysis perspective, yesterday's upward movement is more inclined to be a washing-out phase rather than a signal indicating the start of a gold bull market. Please be patient and wait for the market to clear up, and do not trade aggressively during this period. Always maintain a cautious attitude.
We will continue to monitor the market and keep updating trading strategies.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.