XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 14, 2025Hey team 👋 and welcome to a fresh new week on the charts!
We’re starting this Monday without any major news — just pure price action, clean zones, and structure doing all the talking. No distractions. No excuses. Let’s lock in our focus and let the market show us where the edge is.
🔸 Bias: Bearish while below 3390
Last week’s rejection from the H1 premium zone (around 3375) created clear signs of exhaustion. Price is now forming lower highs and lower lows, with clean CHoCHs on both H1 and M15. Until we reclaim 3390, we remain bearish — waiting for the next lower high to form.
🔽 Sniper Sell Zones (above current price)
3360–3370 → H1 premium FVG + CHoCH OB + EMA5 cap
3380–3390 → Inducement zone + internal imbalance + RSI divergence
🔼 Sniper Buy Zones (below current price)
3310–3320 → Discount FVG + BOS base + HL support
3280–3290 → Final HL structure zone + fib 61.8% + OB + RSI oversold
🟡 Decision Zone:
3330–3340 → Neutral zone
→ Wait for break and retest or rejection confirmation.
→ No setup = no trade.
🧠 Battle Plan – Execution Scenarios:
🔴 Scenario A – Bearish Setup Active:
If price returns to 3360–3370 or 3380–3390 and shows M15/M30 rejection → enter short.
Target: 3330 → 3310.
If 3390 is broken and held → cancel short bias.
🟢 Scenario B – Bullish Setup Activated:
If price sweeps 3320 or 3290 and reacts with strong bullish PA (engulfing or CHoCH) → enter long.
Target: 3340 → 3360.
No confirmation = stay flat, do not anticipate.
🟡 Scenario C – No Reaction / Choppy Flow:
If price consolidates between 3330–3340 without clean rejection or break → wait.
Let price show its hand. Today is Monday — we need clarity, not emotion.
Every level in this plan was drawn with purpose — no shortcuts, no borrowed zones.
If you value structure, discipline, and originality in your trading, you’re in the right place.
Your support means everything — I see every 🚀 and every comment, and I appreciate this community deeply.
Let’s keep growing, with real work and real structure.
Follow GoldFxMinds — we stay sharp, we stay true. 💛
📎 Trade Nation Disclaimer
Chart and structure based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD - The One That Survived All Ages - Trading PsychologySummer light reading between trades💫
From Ancient Gods to modern banks — Gold never needed marketing to be priceless.
Gold was never invented.
It was found, worshipped, stolen, buried, and bled for.
Long before charts, before forex pairs, before brokers — it was power.
So if you're wondering why this metal moves the world?
Let’s take it back — way back.
But before we dive into history, here’s why traders are addicted to XAUUSD:
It’s fast. Ruthless. Liquid. It can deliver a week’s profit in one candle — or wipe you out in seconds.
If you understand structure, it will reward you like nothing else.
If you’re lazy, impulsive, or just guessing?
It’ll humble you fast and without mercy.
The Discovery – Gold Before Currency
• Gold was first discovered in Paleolithic caves (~40,000 B.C.), admired purely for its beauty.
• Ancient Egyptians called it “The flesh of the Gods” — Pharaohs were buried with it, because in their mind, you couldn’t enter the afterlife without gold.
• No value was assigned — it simply was value.
Empire Fuel – Gold as the Engine of War
• The Roman Empire used Gold Coins (Aureus) to expand its reach.
• Spain and Portugal built fleets just to steal it from the Americas.
• Entire wars were started and sustained by it — Gold wasn’t a luxury; it was national survival.
Gold & the Banks – Trust in a Metal
• 1816: The UK made Gold its official standard.
• By the early 1900s, most major economies followed — every currency was tied to the physical rulling metal .
• Why? Because you can’t print trust. But you can weigh it.
• Even today, central banks don’t hoard crypto or tech stocks — they hoard Gold, quietly, relentlessly.
Collapse, Rebirth, and Chaos – The Modern Era of Gold
• 1971: U.S. President Nixon kills the gold standard.
➤ Until then, every dollar had to be backed by real gold in U.S. vaults.
➤ After that? Dollars became promises, not assets.
• Welcome to the fiat era — where money has no anchor, just hope.
• Gold, no longer “money,” became something more powerful:
➤ The panic button, the global fallback, the last honest asset when everything else crumbles.
• And crumble it did:
🔹 2008: Banks collapse — Gold soars.
🔹 2020: Global lockdown — It explodes.
🔹 2022–2024: War, inflation, debt ceilings, de-dollarization — Gold reclaims the throne.
When fear wins, this metal doesn’t blink. It rises.
From Ancient Tombs to 2025 – Gold’s Unshakable Throne
• Today, you stare at candlesticks.
You mark order blocks, gaps, and key level zones.
But beneath that technical setup is a story written in blood, empire, and survival.
• Gold has outlived Kings. Outlasted currencies. Outsmarted every attempt to replace it.
You can crash a stock. You can ban a coin.
But you can’t cancel this number 1.
• And now? It’s 2025.
The world is uncertain. Digital assets are volatile.
And Gold is still the most traded, most hoarded, most feared asset on Earth.
• You’re not here by accident. You chose to trade this beast — not because it’s easy, but because you know what it means to master chaos.
So you’re not trading a metal.
You’re trading a legacy, so pay respect.
Every setup is a whisper from history — and every move on Gold is just the past repeating itself…
Only this time, the empire isn’t outside.
It’s YOU.
And your chart is your battlefield. So make an effort and study XAUUSD before trading it.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the 3245 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the 3395 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then dropped to the trend line, breaking two levels, and made a gap. After this movement, the price started to grow in a wedge and soon reached the support level, which broke it and continued to rise next. Later, it made a correction to the 3245 level and then continued to move up and reached the resistance level. Price bounced from this level and corrected, after which it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the wedge pattern, breaking the 3395 resistance level. But soon, it turned around and corrected to the trend line. Not a long time ago, price exited from the wedge, fell to the support level, and then started to grow. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small correction. Then I think it can continue to grow and reach the 3395 resistance level, which is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on p rice action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match , one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bears pressure early week below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) face renewed selling pressure, dipping toward the $3,320 level during the early Asian session on Monday. The pullback comes as June’s stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report has reshaped market expectations around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy path. Investors now turn their attention to the upcoming release of the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday for further guidance.
The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations and slightly up from May’s revised figure of 144,000. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.1%. These figures reinforced the view that the labor market remains resilient, thereby lowering the odds of an imminent Fed rate cut. As a result, the US Dollar has strengthened, weighing on non-yielding assets such as Gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Downtrend at the beginning of the week, gold price returns to accumulate below 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3337- 3339 SL 3344
TP1: $3328
TP2: $3312
TP3: $3300
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3297-$3295 SL $3290
TP1: $3308
TP2: $3320
TP3: $3330
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,350 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,350 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold trend analysis!Gold prices (XAU/USD) are on track to notch a third straight day of gains on Friday, climbing toward the upper boundary of this week’s trading range as escalating trade tensions fuel safe-haven demand. In a significant intensification of global trade disputes, US President Donald Trump issued formal notices this week to multiple trading partners, detailing individual tariff rates set to take effect on August 1 should no agreements be reached. This has rattled investor sentiment and weighed on risk assets, offering solid support to Gold.
Meanwhile, expectations for an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have cooled following last week’s strong US jobs data. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains firm, holding near a more than two-week high reached on Thursday. This USD strength could limit the upside for the non-yielding yellow metal in the near term. Therefore, traders may look for a sustained breakout before committing to further bullish positions in the XAU/USD pair.
Personal comments :
Gold price breaks 3330, maintaining good buying pressure, recovering at the end of the week
SET UP GOLD PRICE:
SELL GOLD zone: 3367- 3369 SL 3374
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3325
BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3308 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3338
Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 15, 2025After a sharp early-week move, gold is now pressing into H4 supply with clean CHoCHs and clear inducement in play. With CPI data and multiple FOMC speakers on deck, volatility is rising — and so are the opportunities. Let’s break down the current structure.
🔸 H4 Market Bias
Bias: Bearish unless we close firmly above 3420
Structure: Internal bearish flow remains → HL formed at 3210 → CHoCH → current move likely inducement
Context: Price has filled key FVGs and is testing unmitigated OBs in premium, with RSI approaching exhaustion
🔼 Zones Above Current Price:
3445–3465:
This is the weak high and final layer of buy-side liquidity. It includes an unfilled FVG and marks the upper limit of the premium range. If price reaches this zone, it’s likely to act as a trap before a deeper rejection.
3405–3420:
A clean imbalance zone left after the initial CHoCH push. It has already shown rejection once and is now positioned as the key area where a lower high could form. If price reacts here, it confirms continuation to the downside.
3360–3385:
This is the core supply OB, created from the CHoCH. It also aligns with the premium boundary and EMA21 resistance. Current price is already reacting here. Rejection confirms the bearish bias.
🔽 Zones Below Current Price:
3340–3355:
A minor wick-fill zone from past reactions. It may provide a small pause, but it’s structurally weak and more likely to break on momentum. Not a major support.
3300–3280:
This is the key intraday demand zone. It’s built from a previous BOS and sits at the 50% retracement of the last bullish leg. If this zone breaks, we open up deeper downside potential.
3240–3210:
The strongest demand OB on the chart. This is the HL origin and the 61.8% fib zone. If gold reaches here, expect a major decision: bounce or break.
3185–3160:
The final liquidity base under the higher low. If price sweeps this zone, it signals a major shift — potentially invalidating the June rally structure.
📊 Indicators & Flow Notes:
EMAs (5/21): Crossed bullishly, but testing overextension at 3360
RSI: Leaning overbought → potential for rejection at current zone
Volume: Bearish pressure expected if price fails to close above 3385
Fibonacci (last bullish leg): 50% sits at 3285; 61.8% near 3250
🧠 Trade Scenarios:
🔸 Bearish Setup (preferred):
→ Reject inside 3405–3420 → form LH under 3420 → clean drop toward 3300
→ Ideal confirmation = rejection wick or bearish engulfing on M30–H1
🔸 Bullish Breakout (less likely):
→ Break and hold above 3420 = potential squeeze into 3445–3465
→ Must be supported by CPI upside miss or dovish FOMC tone
→ But 3445–3465 remains weak liquidity — not a safe continuation zone
I appreciate every 🚀, comment, and follow I see on my plans.
If this breakdown helped sharpen your outlook, let me know below.
I post real levels with precision — no hype, just clean structure.
Keep following for daily sniper plans built from logic, not noise. 💼⚔️
--GoldFxMinds--
Chart and structure based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView. For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 7, 2025👋 Hey traders, welcome to the fresh week! After the Friday selloff, gold is approaching a key inflection point. Let’s break down what’s happening on the Daily chart and how to approach it with clarity — no guessing, just precision.
Stay focused. The real opportunity is always in how you prepare.
🌍 Macro + Sentiment
Market remains sensitive to yield shifts and broader risk sentiment (BRICS summit also continues)
Price remains elevated in premium territory after months of vertical flow — but structure is finally showing re-accumulation or re-distribution?
📈 Daily Bias
Neutral to bearish until the 3330–3344 zone fully flips cleanly as support
Structure shows lower highs, strong wick rejections in premium zones, and a need for confirmation
🧠 What the chart tells us:
Price is compressing between a D1 FVG (below) and unfilled premium OB (above)
Friday’s low wicked into a small imbalance — but was not a clean tap into the main OB
RSI is midrange, EMAs are flat, and momentum is indecisive
We're either gearing up for a bullish FVG reclaim or prepping for a deeper drop into discount
⚠️ Key Zones to Watch
🔵 Support Zones (Buy Zones)
3230–3208
→ D1 Fair Value Gap + unmitigated bullish OB + discount pricing
→ Valid only with clean bullish rejection. High interest for sniper entries if price returns.
3170–3154
→ Untapped daily OB + historical support wick + aligns with deeper discount zone
→ Stronger bounce zone if 3230 fails. Confluence with fib retracement & RSI likely oversold here.
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Zones)
3420–3450
→ Premium FVG + D1 OB combo + previous bearish rejection wick
→ High probability inducement area. Valid only if price fails to hold 3344 flip.
3388–3402
→ Minor supply + internal structure break level
→ Short-term reaction area. Lower conviction but watch for rejection if price overextends.
🟡 Decision / Flip Zone
3327–3344
→ Former support now turned resistance
→ If this zone flips bullish and holds, bias shifts to continuation. If rejection occurs, confirms retracement deeper into discount.
✅ Conclusion
The market is entering a decision week — no rush. Let the chart guide you.
Clarity comes not from prediction, but preparation. This chart isn’t hindsight — it’s a live framework.
✨ Final Thought
If this chart feels clear, that’s because it was built with intention — not after the move, but before it happens.
The difference between noise and precision is structure.
And we don’t guess — we prepare.
🚀 If you appreciate detailed, real-time structure like this, hit follow and join the traders who value clean execution over hype.
💬 Drop your bias below — bullish or bearish this week?
📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation's broker feed on TradingView and I'm part of their influencer program.
📉 This is educational content and not financial advice.
short recovery, trend line✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/14/2025 - 07/18/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged nearly 1% on Friday as market sentiment soured in response to US President Donald Trump’s controversial trade policies targeting Canada, while hinting at broader tariffs on other nations and copper. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,354, rebounding from intraday lows of $3,322.
On Thursday, Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, though goods complying with the 2020 USMCA trade agreement remain exempt. He also signaled intentions to expand tariffs across most trading partners, proposing blanket rates ranging from 15% to 20%.
With a light US economic calendar, attention turned to Fed commentary. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back on calls for rate cuts aimed at reducing government borrowing costs, stressing the central bank’s focus remains firmly on employment and price stability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
growth according to the trend, maintaining the accumulation price zone above 3300
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3392, $3447
Support: $3330, $3308, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD SHORT TRADEH1 TIMRFAME
1st Zone GOLD SHORT TRADE AT MAIN RESISTANCE AND ENGULFING ZONE
2nd Zone GOLD SHORT TRADE TLBP PULLBACK SELL AT SELL TRENDLINE
1st Signal : GOLD SELL MAIN RESISTANCE 3351- 3355
Stoploss : 3360
TP Level - 3345, 3340, 3335, 3330
2nd Signal : GOLD SELL TLBP PB TL 3360 - 3366
Stoploss : 3372
TP Levels - 3355, 3350, 3345, 3340, 3335, 3330
Manage Your Trade Properly
Gold Recovers on Safe-Haven Flows Amid U.S. Trade UncertaintyFX:XAUUSD – Market Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
Gold has recovered from prior losses, stabilizing on the back of renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating global trade tensions.
Analysts point to growing concerns over a broader U.S.-led trade war, which has pushed investors toward gold as a defensive asset. While President Trump has delayed the reimplementation of tariffs until August 1 to allow for negotiation, markets remain cautious, and volatility is expected to persist.
Technical Outlook:
Gold is currently trading above the pivot level at 3320, which has a consolidation within 3320 - 3342 range
Stability above 3342 would likely extend the rally toward 3365, with 3356 as an intermediate resistance.
However, a 1H candle close below 3320 could shift momentum back to bearish, targeting 3297 and 3281.
Support Levels: 3312 / 3297 / 3281
Resistance Levels: 3342 / 3356 / 3365
On Swing Traders’ Radar: Gold Pattern Alert on the Daily Chart!Dear Traders,
In my daily gold analysis, I’m observing a Head and Shoulders pattern nearing completion. The neckline is currently positioned around the 3,247.00 level.
If this neckline breaks to the downside, gold could potentially drop toward the 3,150.00 area.
Since this is a one-day analysis—aligned with a swing trading style—it may take some time for the setup to fully play out.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Trump "stirred up" GOLD recovery but limited by USD appreciationSpot CAPITALCOM:GOLD has rebounded strongly from yesterday's lows, currently trading around $3,333/oz. The main reason is that US President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea starting August 1, which boosted safe-haven demand. However, the strengthening US Dollar has also limited the broader recovery in gold prices.
On Monday local time, US President Trump sent letters to 14 countries including Japan, South Korea and South Africa threatening to impose tariffs. He then signed an executive order to extend the suspension of "reciprocal tariffs" until August 1.
Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, effective August 1. In a letter to the leaders of Japan and South Korea, Trump said the tariffs would be imposed on August 1 because the two countries' trade relationship with the United States is "very unfair".
This is his first letter to major trading partners ahead of the July 9 deadline to reach a trade deal.
Trump said that despite the large trade deficits between the United States and South Korea and Japan, the United States has decided to continue to cooperate with the two countries. However, the United States has decided to move forward on the premise of more balanced and fair trade. Trump said that the trade deficit has posed a major threat to the US economy and even national security, so changes are needed. Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on all products from South Korea and Japan, regardless of the different tariffs by industry.
Additionally, any attempt to circumvent tariffs by shipping through a third country will also be subject to higher tariffs.
Trump said companies that choose to build factories or manufacture products in the United States will not have to pay the tariffs. Additionally, if South Korea and Japan decide to increase tariffs on the United States, the United States will impose additional tariffs of the same size on top of the current 25% tariff.
Official data released by the People's Bank of China on Monday showed that China's central bank increased its gold reserves in June, marking the eighth consecutive month of increase.
Bank of America said that central banks around the world are buying gold to diversify their foreign exchange reserves, thereby reducing their dependence on the US dollar and protecting against inflation and economic instability, and the trend is expected to continue.
Technical Outlook Analysis CAPITALCOM:GOLD
On the daily chart, gold has recovered from a key technical confluence area, which is the closest support area to note for readers in the weekly publication. The area from $3,292 – $3,300 is the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21, the current closest resistance, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
The recovery momentum is significant, but for gold to have enough technical bullish conditions, it needs to take price action above the EMA21, with a bullish breakout of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level then the prospect of a new bullish cycle will be opened.
If gold breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will have the next target at the raw price point of $3,400 followed by horizontal resistance at $3,430.
During the day, the current gold price should still be assessed as a sideways accumulation trend, when the Relative Strength Index RSI sticks around 50, showing the market's hesitant sentiment.
A strong enough fundamental impact to change the structure will give a more specific technical trend in the coming time, and the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 - 3,371 - 3,400 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3366 - 3364⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3370
→Take Profit 1 3358
↨
→Take Profit 2 3352
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
→Take Profit 1 3302
↨
→Take Profit 2 3308
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 7, 2025“You don’t chase gold. You set the trap, then wait.”
👋 Hey traders — we’re gearing up for a new week on gold, and the H4 chart is starting to speak clearly. After Friday’s clean push into premium rejection zones, price is now compressing beneath a key supply block. Structure is fragile, and the next move will likely come fast.
Let’s position with precision before the breakout.
—
🔸 H4 Bias
Structure remains bearish short-term, with clear lower highs forming below a major supply at 3344–3351.
The broader bias leans neutral as we trade between unmitigated demand and inducement-heavy resistance. Confirmation is everything.
—
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Areas)
3344–3351
→ H4 Fair Value Gap + OB combo inside premium
→ If price wicks above recent highs and rejects here, it could trigger a clean swing sell.
3380–3394
→ Origin of the last bearish leg + liquidity wick
→ High-risk, high-reward rejection zone if price spikes impulsively this week (e.g. post-Fed tone or surprise volatility).
—
🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Areas)
3265–3275
→ H4 FVG + flip zone + prior sweep level
→ If price taps and holds here, we may see re-accumulation for a move toward 3327–3340.
3235–3246
→ Strong unmitigated OB + discount level
→ Ideal sniper long zone only on clean rejection + structure shift (BOS on M15+).
—
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone
3299–3305
→ EMA50 + micro-range equilibrium
→ If price breaks and holds above this zone with strength, bias turns short-term bullish. If it rejects, continuation down is favored.
—
🎯 Execution Notes
EMA21/50 are acting as active compression bands — watch for rejection pressure
RSI shows no clear divergence yet — but volume is thinning
Liquidity is building above 3340 and below 3265 — prepare for traps both ways
—
🔚 Final Words
Sniper traders aren’t early — they’re precise. If you’ve been reacting too fast lately, this is your week to reset. Gold is telling a story here… but only structure speaks the truth.
🚀 If this helps bring clarity to your outlook, tap follow — we do this daily, with structure, not signals.
—
📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation’s broker feed on TradingView and I’m part of their influencer program.
📉 This is educational content, not financial advice.
Gold Long: Stop loss at 3305, TP at 3426Over in this video, I did a quick revision on the cycle level Elliott Wave counts for Gold before delving down to the lower timeframes.
I discussed the alternate counts for Gold and explained how the latest 5-waves up made me retain what you see as the primary count. Essentially, what is important over here is that the stop loss is $3305 and the potential take profit is #3426.
Remember to keep your risk tight and good luck in your trading!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone.
On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs.
All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal!
We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move.
Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move
It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy!
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD - Price can continues rise to resistance level and break itHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price made an upward impulse from the support line of the triangle and rose to the resistance line, breaking two levels.
Then the price dropped back, after which repeated impulse and exited from the triangle, reaching the resistance area.
After this movement, Gold started to trades inside a wedge, where it dropped from the resistance line to the support line.
Next, the price in a short time rose from this line to the resistance line again, breaking $3230 and $3400 levels.
But recently, it made a correction to the support line, breaking $3400 level again, and then started to grow.
Now, I expect that Gold can little decline and then continue to move up to $3470, breaking the resistance level.
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XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 14, 2025Happy Sunday, traders. Gold opens the week inside a compressed range under key premium resistance, with CPI and FOMC speakers loading the macro agenda. Let’s break down today’s structure and expectations.
🔸 D1 Structure Overview:
Bias: Neutral with bearish pressure building
Trend: Still technically bullish, but compressing between LH OB and mid-range FVG
Current Position:
Price is trapped below 3395, inside a lower high structure
No clear BOS yet — but bearish CHoCH already formed
EMAs are tightening and RSI is neutral → signs of indecision
🧭 Key Daily Zones:
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔼 Supply Zone 3448–3465 Daily OB + FVG + Weak High trap + EMA divergence
🔼 LH OB 3385–3395 Structure cap + internal supply + EMA21 rejection
🔽 Mid FVG Demand 3328–3310 Daily FVG + fib midpoint + prior reaction
🔽 Strong OB Support 3260–3245 Unmitigated OB + fib 61.8% + sweep low base zone
Fibonacci: Pullback toward 3310 = mid-retracement of last bullish impulse
EMA 5/21/50: Bearish crossover confirmed, but no strong divergence yet
RSI: Flat, suggesting reactive play — confirmation must come from PA
📊 Macro Outlook:
Core CPI data drops today → key for market expectations on inflation
Multiple FOMC members will speak — high potential for whipsaw moves
Gold may remain volatile and range-bound until post-CPI structure resolution
📌 Trade Scenarios:
Bearish case: Reject from 3385 → continuation toward 3310 or deeper into 3245
Bullish case: Clean break & retest above 3395 → short-term pump into 3460 liquidity
Confirmation matters — follow the reaction at each zone, don’t rush reversals.
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📎 Disclaimer:
Chart and analysis based on Trade Nation broker feed on TradingView.
This is a technical outlook for educational purposes and not financial advice.
Gold Price Analysis July 3GOLD Technical Analysis - D1 Frame
On the D1 frame, the uptrend is still being maintained with momentum towards the price gap zone. During the European session, selling pressure started to appear around the resistance zone of 3365 - showing that this is the area where the sellers are making counter-moves.
On the chart, the gold price is accumulating and forming a triangle pattern, indicating the possibility of a strong movement phase.
If the price breaks the upper border of the triangle (above the 3363 zone), it will likely open up an opportunity to approach the next resistance at 3388.
On the contrary, if it breaks the lower border (below the 3330 zone), the correction trend may be triggered, heading towards deeper support zones.
Important Zones:
Resistance: 3363 – 3388
Support: 3330 – 3311 – 3297 – 3277
Trading Strategy:
BUY Breakout: When price breaks above 3363
SELL Breakout: When price breaks below 3330
downtrend, gold price below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under pressure during Wednesday’s Asian session, slipping below the $3,300 level and hitting their lowest point in over a week. The decline comes amid growing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain interest rates at elevated levels for an extended period, especially as expectations rise that aggressive US tariffs could fuel inflation in the months ahead.
This outlook has driven US Treasury yields higher and kept the US Dollar (USD) anchored near a two-week high reached on Tuesday — a key headwind for the non-yielding precious metal, which continues to face downward pressure as a result.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price breaks support, DOW H1 formation, gold downtrend below 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3344- 3446 SL 3351
TP1: $3335
TP2: $3320
TP3: $3302
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3256-$3254 SL $3249
TP1: $3268
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3298
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Firmly bearish below 3350 once again verifies the perfect idea!Gold price rose rapidly at the opening, reaching a high of 3342 before falling back. This kind of rapid pull needs special attention, because from the perspective of short-term trading, this is the trend pattern that needs the most vigilance. Looking back at the trend last Thursday, there was also a situation where the high could not be continued. Historical data shows that this kind of pull-up often lacks sustained momentum, and the subsequent upward space is limited. Combined with the recent trend, although the price rebounded on Monday and Tuesday, it basically maintained a volatile pattern in the following trading days, but the fluctuation range changed. Therefore, the market expects the trend to be repeated in stages, and the information of long and short interweaving makes it difficult for the market trend to continue. Today, the short position digested the second time at the opening and currently stepped back to the lowest 3305 line. In terms of operation, we first pay attention to the situation of 3303-3293. If the support below is broken today, then the market will reverse to the short position. Otherwise, we will continue to rebound from the bottom and look for opportunities to do more.
From the current gold trend analysis, the support line of 3303-3293 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3325-3330, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, follow orders cautiously, and wait for the opportunity to enter the market after the key points are in place.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long near 3293-3303 for gold, and the target is 3315-3320.
2. Go short near 3320-3330 for gold, and the target is 3310-3300.