Short!Hello all. after reversing from an LOZ it is time to a Node. be happy and have a wealthy day.(wink)
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Bearish drop for the Gold?The price is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 3,319.63
1st Support: 3,271.54
1st Resistance: 3,345.37
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After data shock, GOLD has bullish conditions againOANDA:XAUUSD rose more than 2% on Friday, hitting a one-week high, as weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls data boosted hopes of a Federal Reserve rate cut and the announcement of new tariffs boosted safe-haven demand.
On the economic data front
Gold prices rose more than 2% in U.S. trading on Friday (Aug. 1), hitting a one-week high, as weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls data fueled hopes of a Federal Reserve rate cut and safe-haven demand was boosted by the announcement of new tariffs.
The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by just 73,000 jobs in July, well below market expectations of 110,000. June's data was revised down to just 14,000, indicating a significant slowdown in job growth. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, indicating a cooling labor market.
The jobs data was weaker than expected, but slightly higher than the market's lowest forecast. This increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed later this year. As a non-yielding asset, gold typically performs better in a low-interest-rate environment.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, market participants now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates twice before the end of the year, starting in September. Earlier this week, the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%. Chairman Powell said it was too early to determine whether a rate cut would be forthcoming in September, citing inflation and employment data.
On the trade front
Trump has imposed a new round of tariffs on exports from dozens of trading partners, including Canada, Brazil, India and Taiwan, causing a global market crash.
Countries are scrambling to negotiate a better deal. In times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, safe-haven gold is in high demand.
So far in 2025, gold prices have risen more than $400, hitting a record high of $3,167.57/oz on April 3, driven by safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
Weak jobs data also sent the dollar lower against major currencies, further supporting gold prices as a weaker greenback makes gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
Investors' Attention Turns to September FOMC Meeting
Markets are now focused on the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Facing the dual pressures of volatile inflation, slowing employment and escalating global trade tensions, the Fed will have to balance its inflation target with economic growth.
Markets are betting on the Fed to begin a new round of easing, and gold, as a hedge against currency devaluation and economic uncertainty, is expected to continue to benefit.
Gold prices have risen more than 30% year-to-date, reflecting the market’s preference for safe-haven assets. If weak U.S. economic data continues in the coming weeks, or if new geopolitical conflicts emerge, gold prices are expected to continue their upward trend, challenging new highs for the year.
Summary, Commentary
Weak employment, new tariffs and a slumping stock market have all contributed to a strong recovery in gold prices. With the possibility of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September increasing significantly, gold market sentiment has warmed and risk aversion has returned.
Investors will need to keep a close eye on inflation data, Fed officials’ speeches, and whether Trump continues to stoke trade tensions, which could lead to greater volatility in the gold market.
Against the backdrop of the unexpected non-farm payrolls report and moderate inflation, the market has essentially “locked in” the possibility of a rate cut in September, but whether the cut will be 25 or 50 basis points, and whether there will be further rate cuts in the future, will depend on the interaction between the Fed members’ verbal guidance and market expectations.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, affected by the sudden weak data that shocked the market, gold broke most of the technical structure that was leaning towards the downside. Price action was pushed above the EMA21, while the short-term downtrend channel was also broken above and the Relative Strength Index crossed above 50.
These are the initial conditions for a short-term uptrend. But to confirm an uptrend and a new uptrend in the near term, gold needs to continue to break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD) first, then the target will be around 3,400 USD in the short term.
If gold breaks above $3,400 again, traders should set a new target of $3,430 in the short term, rather than $3,450 which is the all-time high.
Motivationally, the RSI has not reached oversold territory to provide pure reversal support, but it has been pushed by the market shock after the NFP data release, so this rally may not be sustainable in a purely motivational way either.
Overall, gold is now more bullish after a rally on Friday, opening up initial conditions for expectations of a new uptrend. And the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,323 – 3,310 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3327 - 3329⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3323
→Take Profit 1 3335
↨
→Take Profit 2 3341
Pullback and then down!I would like to see this daily candle as a pullback to the trendline. So I expect the price to fall.
XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook Ahead of FOMCGold is currently under bearish pressure as markets await the highly anticipated FOMC meeting, scheduled to begin in less than an hour. Investors are closely watching the Fed's interest rate decision and the release of the meeting minutes, which could trigger sharp volatility across the forex and commodities markets.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the price action suggests a potential continuation of the bearish trend. If the FOMC event leads to a stronger U.S. dollar or a hawkish tone from the Fed, gold prices may decline further.
Resistance Zone; 3315 / 3330
Support Levels: 3282 / 3260
You May find more details in the Chart.
Trade wisely Best Of Luck Buddies.
Ps: Support with like and comments for better insights Thanks for understand.
BUY GOLD i am so humble to publish this idea on GOLD i recmmend individuals to set buy limit orders with repsect to the stoplevels including take profits and stoploss ..
after. a very longdown fall of the gold , from he butifully set up hat we had last week , price now retraces to he demand zone with fully potential for buyers to tk over the control ...
i have refined this move with fully aces of technical view , ICT and SMC
Godluck and use proper risk management , Gold is highly volatile and its not recommended for young crying babies hence use proper risk management tips
XAUUSD – 4H Short Setup AnalysisGold (XAUUSD) has broken below the dynamic support zone of the Keltner Channel structure and is currently trading beneath the 200 EMA zone, signaling bearish momentum. Price has rejected the upper resistance band near 3385, forming a lower high and triggering a short entry at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone.
📉 Trade Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: Around 3360
TP1: 3317 (key support zone)
TP2: 3275 (38.2% Fib ext)
TP3: 3208 (100% extension target)
SL: 3385 (61.8% Fib retracement)
Confluences:
Price rejection from upper channel
200 EMA trend resistance
Clean bearish structure with momentum confirmation
Fib confluence adds precision to entry and target levels
If momentum sustains below 3360, further downside is likely toward the 3200 zone.
GOLD: Time for massive drop? +3000 pips move! Gold has failed to breakthrough the previous resistance indicating a strong sellers hold around $3440 region. Now since the price has stared dropping we can see it dropping around $2800 in long term. In order for this to happen we need strong confirmation, which will help us understand the possible volume.
Agree with our idea?
Like and comment!
XAUUSD – Downtrend Confirmed, Bears in ControlOn the H4 timeframe, gold has completely broken its short-term uptrend structure and formed a series of lower highs and lower lows. Every bounce is rejected at the strong resistance zone of 3,326 – 3,333 USD, confirming the clear downtrend.
Although the recently released Core PCE index was lower than expected, this is not enough to drive a recovery as other data, such as the Employment Cost Index and statements from the Fed, still show persistent inflationary pressure. Therefore, the monetary policy remains hawkish, causing money to flow out of gold.
Currently, the price is approaching the critical support zone of 3,247. If this level is broken, the scenario of further declines to 3,192 is entirely possible.
#3,377.80 Resistance remains strongMy position: I have Bought Gold many times above #3,400.80 benchmark however as it got invalidated, I Bought #3,390.80 again late U.S. session and closed my set of Buying orders on #3,395.80 nearby extension. I left one runner (#3,390.80 entry point) with Stop on breakeven expecting Asian session to recover #3,400.80 benchmark, however it was closed on break-even as Gold extended Selling sequence. I will continue Selling every High's on Gold and if #3,357.80 gives away, expect #3,352.80 and #3,342.80 contact points to be met.
As expected Gold delivered excellent #3,372.80 and especially #3,365.80 - #3,352.80 Selling opportunities throughout yesterday's session which I utilized to it's maximum. I have also Bought Gold on late U.S. session with #3,372.80 as an entry point / however since Gold was ranging, I closed my order on break-even and met Gold below #3,352.80 benchmark this morning personally on my surprise (I did expected #3,377.80 to be invalidated to the upside).
Technical analysis: Gold’s Price-action is performing well below both the Hourly 4 chart’s and Daily chart’s Resistance zones for the cycle. Selling direction of today’s session is directly correlated with Fundamentals leaving the scene which found Sellers near the Intra-day #3,377.80 Resistance and most likely DX will close the Trading week in green, however struggling to make Bullish comeback and if #3,327.80 - #3,342.80 reverses the Selling motion, Gold’s Daily chart’s healthy Technicals which preserved core uptrend values. If the Price-action gets rejected at #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 Resistance zone, then further decline (under conditions where I will have more information with U.S.’s session candle) is possible and cannot be ruled out. Notice that at the same time and manner, Bond Yields are on consecutive Selling spree as well which Fundamentally has a diagonal correlation with Gold. The slightest uptrend continuation there, should add enormous Selling pressure on Gold.
My position: I am Highly satisfied with recent results and will take early weekend break (no need to Trade more). If however you decide to Trade today, Sell every High's on Gold / no Buying until Monday's session (my practical suggestion).
GOLD Range-Bound Before Fed – Breakout Above 3349 Unlocks 3374GOLD | Bullish Momentum Builds Ahead of Fed Decision – Key Range Between 3349 and 3312
Fundamental Insight:
Gold is slightly higher as the U.S. dollar weakens ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. Markets await signals on future policy, which could drive sharp moves in gold.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains bullish while above 3320, with upside potential toward 3349.
A 1H close above 3349 confirms breakout momentum, opening the path toward 3374, and potentially 3401.
A break below 3320, especially below 3312, would invalidate the bullish setup and trigger downside toward 3285, then 3256.
Currently range-bound between 3349 and 3312 — watch for breakout confirmation to determine the next trend direction.
Key Levels:
• Support: 3320 – 3285 – 3256
• Resistance: 3349, 3374 – 3401
Bias: Bullish above 3320
📍 Watch Fed volatility – breakout expected soon
Do you think gold is on a correction?
Hi my dears
Gold looks set to hit lower targets if it breaks the orange dotted line
What do you think?
The weekly timeframe has confirmed the bearish trend.
If you liked my analysis, just like me by liking and commenting.
XAUUSD Possibility of a small correction towards 3330, re-entering the bearish phase and moving towards the specified targets
Excellent Selling opportunities deliveredGold delivered excellent re-Sell opportunities and as soon as DX started gaining value after GDP numbers, I was confident in Selling direction. I have Sold Gold on #3,324.80 towards #3,318.80 first, then #3,310.80 extension. Then I have Bought Gold (aggressive set of Scalping orders from #3,302.80 - #3,303.80 belt) closed on #3,306.80 and pre-Fed set of Selling orders on #3,294.80 - #3,296.80 closed below on #3,280's. Final order was #3,270.80 Buy which I kept towards #3,292.80 Resistance. All in all spectacular session for me and my Traders.
Technical analysis: As discussed, as long as #3,300.80 - #3,305.80 former Resistance holds, I was aware that Gold was more likely to push towards #3,270’s for a #2-Month Low’s test, still however within the Hourly 4 chart’s Buying accumulation zone. This week was / is packed with Fundamental announcements and real trend should be revealed (as today’s session Fundamental catalyst interfered and was already digested by markets), since today’s Price-action delivered the session High test around #3,300.80 benchmark and most likely market will close above it, triggering most of the late Sellers Stop-losses and as Bond Yields reversed and DX printed another series of Bullish candles above the Hourly 4 chart’s Support, Gold again reversed above #3,300.80 psychological barrier and is comfortably seen Trading above it. This shows how unstable market has become and that I should expect side Swings on Short-term, but those are not cause for an alarm as underlying Medium-term trend remains Bullish and I am there ready with my key entry points to Profit on this perfect Price-action for my current Trading model.
My position: I do not expect Gold to continue soaring with DX on such numbers and my practical suggestion is to Sell every High's that Gold deliver (in & out as I prefer to do).
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
We completed all our Bullish targets on this chart with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We were also able to step away today after the final target with no further ema5 cross and lock, confirming the rejection that we are seeing now.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Excellent Selling opportunities deliveredGold delivered excellent re-Sell opportunities and as soon as DX started gaining value after GDP numbers, I was confident in Selling direction. I have Sold Gold on #3,324.80 towards #3,318.80 first, then #3,310.80 extension. Then I have Bought Gold (aggressive set of Scalping orders from #3,302.80 - #3,303.80 belt) closed on #3,306.80 and pre-Fed set of Selling orders on #3,294.80 - #3,296.80 closed below on #3,280's. Final order was #3,270.80 Buy which I kept towards #3,292.80 Resistance. All in all spectacular session for me and my Traders.
Technical analysis: As discussed, as long as #3,300.80 - #3,305.80 former Resistance holds, I was aware that Gold was more likely to push towards #3,270’s for a #2-Month Low’s test, still however within the Hourly 4 chart’s Buying accumulation zone. This week was / is packed with Fundamental announcements and real trend should be revealed (as today’s session Fundamental catalyst interfered and was already digested by markets), since today’s Price-action delivered the session High test around #3,300.80 benchmark and most likely market will close above it, triggering most of the late Sellers Stop-losses and as Bond Yields reversed and DX printed another series of Bullish candles above the Hourly 4 chart’s Support, Gold again reversed above #3,300.80 psychological barrier and is comfortably seen Trading above it. This shows how unstable market has become and that I should expect side Swings on Short-term, but those are not cause for an alarm as underlying Medium-term trend remains Bullish and I am there ready with my key entry points to Profit on this perfect Price-action for my current Trading model.
My position: I do not expect Gold to continue soaring with DX on such numbers and my practical suggestion is to Sell every High's that Gold deliver (in & out as I prefer to do).
GOLD - One n Single Area, what's next??#GOLD... market just reached at his ultimate area as we discussed in our last week analysis and in Friday analysis as well.
The area is 3309-10
Keep close and don't be lazy here.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3309 in confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisley
gold 4hour say: put sellstop in lowpersonaly i predict mini crash on gold and waiting for it , now we have powerfull 3angel pattern we must put sellstop in last low , buystop on last high
sellstop stoploss = last high
if sellstop open like new traders , dont close it soon , wait minimum 2 week ,understand?
ALERT= if gold can break last high , it can start new up trend, wave , so if you have old sells ,you must put SL or hedge buystop in last low
if sell
wishhhhhhhhhhhhhh youuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu win
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) ✅ Analysis strengths:
• Correct identification of BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH, which indicate a change in direction.
• The support zone is marked and respected with rejection, reinforcing the probability of a rebound.
• The projection toward the distribution zone and HH of 1H is consistent, as there are inefficiencies (FVG) pending mitigation.
• The previous fake out clears liquidity and creates room for strong bullish momentum.
GOLD to all time highsIt is ready
a bitch wave one correction seems to be over so get ready to hit 4.000
GG
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – August 4–8, 2025
The question isn’t whether gold is strong. The question is — will price expand, or rebalance?
🔸 Macro Overview
Gold begins the week consolidating just below its final HTF supply zone (3439), while USD weakens amid mixed macro data and growing speculation of future rate cuts. Markets await fresh catalysts, and gold’s recent impulsive rally is now facing the big test: break the wick, or pull back?
🔸 Weekly Structure & Bias
Element Observation
🔹 Trend Bullish continuation — clean structure
🔹 Last BOS March 2025 — impulsive, with imbalance below
🔹 Price Action Top wick rejection forming near 3439
🔹 Bias Still bullish, but entering exhaustion zone
🔹 RSI Above 70 — overheated
🔹 EMAs EMA5 > EMA21 > EMA50 > EMA100 — perfect trend
🔸 Key Weekly Levels (Zones + Confluences)
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔴 Supply 3350 – 3439 HTF wick supply + FVG + RSI 70+ + liquidity trap
🔵 Demand 3270 – 3215 Weekly OB + FVG + EMA21 support
🔵 Demand 3120 – 3070 Old BOS + deep FVG + psychological level
🟢 Support 3000 zone EMA50 + historical consolidation
🔸 Fibonacci Extensions (Above 3439)
Extension Level Price Target Confluences
1.0 (Swing Full) 3439 Supply wick high
1.272 3505 Next psychological milestone
1.414 3560 Mid-extension + liquidity
1.618 3610 Golden expansion target
2.0 3740 Full trend extension (max)
🔺 These levels serve as potential breakout targets ONLY if we get a confirmed weekly close above 3439 with clean BOS on LTF.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 – Break and Expand
If gold breaks 3439:
Expect clean continuation to 3505 → 3560 → 3610
Best entries come from new OBs on H4/D1 around 3350–3370
Follow momentum — but don’t chase without retrace confirmation
🔻 Scenario 2 – Rejection + Retracement
If price holds below:
Pullback toward 3270 – 3215 expected
EMA21 acts as dynamic support
If selloff gains strength, next demand = 3120 – 3070
🎯 This zone aligns with macro OB + re-entry for long-term bulls.
🔸 Conclusion & Gameplan
Gold is pressing against its final weekly ceiling.
Structure remains bullish, but every sniper knows — at the edge of premium, timing is everything.
✅ Above 3439 → expansion opens to 3505 → 3560 → 3610
🟦 Below 3439 → retracement into 3270 → 3215 → 3070
The best setups will be born from confirmation, not prediction. Let the market decide.
—
What would you do if 3439 rejects hard this week?
Comment your plan, tag your sniper level, and let’s stay ahead together 💬
—
With clarity, confidence, and perfect timing,
GoldFxMinds 💙
Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation (TradingView) chart feed.
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To With Great ProfitHere is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3321.00 and we have a 15 Mins Candle closure above this strong res , so I'm waiting the price to go back and retest this res and new support and give me a good bullish price action to can enter a buy trade , and if we have a 4H Closure Above This res this will increase the reasons for buyers , just wait the price to back a little to retest it and then we can buy it . if we have a daily closure below it this idea will not be valid anymore .
Weekly Analysis on GoldFor next week trading session i will be focusing on waiting for buy trade set up since this week market shows that a strong bullish momentum already appeared.
