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“Gold Technical Breakout – Time to Ride the Bullish Wave?”GOLD (XAUUSD) – BREAKOUT FROM DESCENDING TRENDLINE Gold has recently broken out of a multi-week descending trendline, with price now trading above former resistance and forming higher highs. The breakout appears technically strong, supported by previous support holding at the 3258 level. We’ve also seen a successful retest of the broken trendline, which has now turned into support — a classic bullish continuation signal. If this structure holds, potential targets are set at TP1 and TP2 zones. Key levels to watch: 📈 Support: ~3258 🎯 TP1: Near-term resistance zone 🎯 TP2: Next major resistance area 🛑 SL idea (educational): Below the retest low ⚠️ This post is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
GOLD GOLD ..first layer support will 3322 100pips drop from yesterday low. another demand floor will be on the ascending trend line 3310-3313. economic data print 1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change forecast 111K 3:00pm USD ISM Services PMI this most important data print will be the ADP non farm employment change The forecast for the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for May 2025 is approximately 111,000 The ADP report measures private sector employment growth and is released about two days before the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. It serves as an early indicator of labor market trends and consumer spending potential. April’s ADP employment growth was soft at 62,000, reflecting caution amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. The May forecast of 111,000 jobs suggests a moderate rebound in private sector hiring. Summary: May 2025 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Forecast: ~111,000 jobs April 2025 Actual: 62,000 jobs Significance: Indicates expected improvement in US private sector job creation ahead of the official NFP report. why is ADP Non farm employment change important ??? The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is considered a leading economic indicator because it provides an early and timely estimate of changes in private sector employment in the United States, typically released two days before the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. This early insight helps investors, policymakers, and traders gauge the health and direction of the US labor market before the more comprehensive official data is published. Reasons why ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is a Leading Indicator: Early Preview of Labor Market Trends: It offers a preliminary snapshot of private sector job creation based on payroll data from around 400,000 US businesses, covering about 20% of the private workforce. This makes it a timely gauge of employment trends ahead of the official NFP report. Market Impact and Sentiment: Because it signals the strength or weakness of the job market, the ADP report influences market expectations for economic growth and Federal Reserve monetary policy. Strong ADP job growth tends to boost confidence in the economy and can lead to currency appreciation, especially of the US dollar. Influence on Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve closely monitors employment data to guide interest rate decisions. The ADP report’s early indication of employment trends helps anticipate Fed actions, affecting bond yields, currency markets, and broader financial conditions. Correlation with Official NFP: While not perfectly aligned due to methodological differences, the ADP report often correlates with the official NFP figures, making it a useful forecast tool for traders and analysts. Summary The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is a leading economic indicator because it provides an early, data-driven estimate of private sector employment changes, helping markets anticipate the official NFP report and influencing financial market expectations and policy decisions. #gold
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD Price want to Grow the TopGold prices are currently facing Support around the 3365 level, with a potential correction expected before any further upward movement. While the long-term trend appears bullish, the fundamental backdrop remains mixed, creating uncertainty in market sentiment. A major focus is the ongoing geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine, particularly following the recent escalation over the weekend. This development has increased safe-haven demand for gold, but market participants remain cautious due to conflicting economic signals and central bank policies. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
Gold delivering excellent returnsTechnical analysis: As expected yesterday’s session local Higher High’s rejection pushed Gold aggressively towards my take Profit of #3,381.80 to form #1-session Low’s. Traders witnessed Technically driven slide after Fundamentally driven uptrend which I always look to utilize as Shorting is excellent way to make Profits on Gold (mostly Technically on the way down lately from Fundamental upside spikes) since there is lot’s more Technical pointers and traffic in Selling than Buying, as said Bull leaps are usually Fundamentally driven on Gold. Hourly 4 chart is approaching #7-session old Neutral Rectangle however Hourly 4 chart may shake off the last of it’s Neutral values and align with semi-Bullish Fundamental perspective which is approaching #3,400.80 benchmark and local Low's rejection may deliver Buying signal. DX rebounded strongly off it’s local Low’s and is now in the process of seeking the Resistance. (#1W) Weekly chart’s candle is near a (# +1.91%) close, effectively limiting the losses / however on the other side, Buying pressure is not so strong as it was past few Months and that’s why you witness such Low Volume movements and aggressive Bearish reversals. Monthly candle is now at (# -0.59%) and the goal is to rise further by closing, extending the Bullish continuity. That is why Traders should observe their gains / losses on a Monthly basis, as despite the Volatility on smaller timeframes as this one, the Medium / Long-term patterns always prevail. My position: I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session from #3,395.80 towards #3,382.80 Support after #3,400.80 benchmark rejected the Price-action and that order delivered biggest Profit on single position in my entire Trading career if I may say (#124.000 Eur). I have re-Bought Gold twice on #3,342.80 and #3,346.80 and closed both orders on #3,354.80 which was excellent way to finish a session. Keep in mind that NFP is ahead on the calendar and keep in mind that I do expect upside surprise which may fuel more Selling action on Gold. However if NFP delivers downside surprise, I am confident that #3,400.80 benchmark will be tested on news aftermath.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great way to wrap up the week! We saw quite a bit of sideways ranging movement between our levels, and our 1H chart idea played out nicely throughout the week, and now we end the week with our 4H chart update. As anticipated, the 4H chart followed through perfectly with our bearish target at 3312 hit first, followed by EMA5 cross and lock, which opened the Retracement Range. This range was reached with precision, and the absence of any further cross and lock confirmed strong support, leading to a bounce back to 3312, just as we expected in our buy the dip strategy. We’ll be back on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! MR GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 1H chart route map from yesterday. Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out like we said. Yesterday we stated; no EMA5 lock above 3317, forcing a rejection back to the retracement range. We then stated that we are expecting continued reactions within this retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels help us track downward movements and catch bounce setups. - This played out perfectly with the reaction from the retracement range into 3317. We will now look for a lock above this level for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection back into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. We'll continue to buy dips using our key support levels, targeting 20 to 40 pip moves. As always, each level structure provides consistent bounce zones, offering great opportunities for both entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week over the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they work with or against short to mid term swings and trends. Remember: Swing ranges yield bigger bounces than weighted levels — that’s the key difference. BULLISH TARGET 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3478 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3517 BEARISH TARGETS 3352 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3317 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3282 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3233 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3185 3146 As always, we’ll keep you all updated with real time analysis and management of active setups throughout the week. Thank you for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
Gold: aligning with USDThe price of gold returned to its alignment path with the US Dollar during the previous week. This might be treated as one of the first indications that the tensions and uncertainties among investors are slowly fading. In line with US Dollar mixed weekly moves, so the price of gold has its mixed trading week. The week started around the level of $3.355, but for the rest of time was traded mostly to the downside, ending the week at the level of $3.287. The lowest weekly level was achieved on Thursday, shortly touching the $3.252 level. The RSI also moved in a mixed manner, mostly between levels of 57 and 52. However, there was no change with MA50 and MA200 lines, which are still moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend. This represents one of the longest streaks of MA lines as parallel lines, where the MA50 became the support line for gold minimums on a daily chart. For the week ahead charts are showing increased probability for further correction of the price of gold, but only till the level of $3.250. This level was also shortly tested on Thursday, and might be tested for one more time. Just in case that this level is breached further to the downside, then the next support line would be around $3,2K. At this moment, charts are showing decreased probability for such a move. A short term reversal from current levels is also probable, but not above the $3.360. This level would mark another testing of highs reached during the previous week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Gold Bearish Outlook | Short Opportunity AheadGold has just tested a major resistance zone at $3,390–$3,400 and faced a sharp rejection, forming a possible double top. The price is still respecting the parallel ascending channel, but current momentum suggests a bearish move could be underway. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: $3,390 – $3,400 (strong rejection zone) Support: $3,282 (watch for reaction here) Channel Structure: Price is still within an ascending channel 📉 Possible Scenarios: 1. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below $3,340 and sustains momentum, we could see a drop to $3,282 support — a key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown. 2. Bullish Scenario (less likely short-term): If bulls regain control, watch for a breakout above $3,400, confirming upside continuation. 💡 Trading Idea: Currently leaning bearish unless we see a confirmed breakout above resistance. Short setups could be considered on lower timeframes with targets near the support level. 💬 Let me know what you think — will gold break down or bounce back? 👇 👍 Like & follow for more trade ideas and updates! #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #Forex #Commodities
TVC:GOLDShort
by James-Pipstr
6/6 Gold Trading StrategyAfter a short rebound, gold is now hovering near key resistance levels. The critical zone is around 3366 – if price breaks above this, the next upside targets are 3378–3388. However, from a broader perspective, the 4H chart still shows an uncorrected bearish setup. Without strong buying volume, the price may drop again — potentially below 3330, or even breach the 3300 level. — 📅 Key Data Releases Today: 🔹 NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) 🔹 US Unemployment Rate Both events are expected to bring high volatility, so manage your risk carefully. — 📊 My Intraday Trade Plan: ✅ Sell on rallies 🎯 Target: around 3330-3290 📌 Only if price reaches that support zone will I consider shifting to a bullish bias
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan — Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Warzone: Will Bears Break Structure or Bulls Reclaim Premium?” 👋 Welcome to the new week, traders. The battlefield is balanced — here’s how we dominate it. Gold is trading just above equilibrium (3289–3290) after a messy week of premium traps, CHoCHs, and weak bullish continuations. The market has printed clear Lower Highs (LHs) across H1/M15 and failed to reclaim the supply at 3302–3308. We are now caught in a compression box between M15 OB resistance and discount inefficiency, with liquidity stacked below. 🔹 Current Bias 🎯 Neutral-to-bearish under 3308 🔻 CHoCH + LH formed on both M15 and H1 🧠 Monday will reveal if we break 3270 floor or induce a final trap into premium 🔹 Intraday Structural Zones (Sniper Refined) 🔺 Resistance Zones Above Price Zone Name Price Range Confluence 🔺 First OB Reaction 3296 – 3302 M15 OB + H1 rejection wick — soft inducement 🔺 Final LH Trap 3308 – 3322 Last Lower High + FVG fill + premium supply 🔺 Premium Killzone 3335 – 3355 Upper trap + internal liquidity — only visited if bulls reclaim structure 🔻 Support Zones Below Price Zone Name Price Range Confluence 🔻 EQ Reaction Floor 3274 – 3262 Current support shelf + equilibrium wick lows 🔻 First Breakdown Zone 3248 – 3228 BOS origin + M15 CHoCH + clean liquidity stack 🔵 Swing Reentry Zone 3196 – 3172 M15 demand block + clean OB + deep FVG fill ⚫ Final HTF Demand 3150 – 3130 May HL + strong structure base — ultimate reversal point if dumped 🔹 Execution Plan for Monday ✅ Plan A — Sell Setup (Most Probable) If price taps 3296–3302 early and rejects → short toward 3262 Confirm with M15 CHoCH + bearish PA Target 3248 → 3228 Hold partials for extension into 3196 if momentum is clean 🔁 Plan B — Inducement Trap Then Drop Spike into 3308–3322 → watch for LH rejection or FVG sweep Sell setup becomes valid only if M15 fails to break structure up Target remains same: 3262 → 3228 🛑 Invalid Buy Conditions ❌ No buys valid inside 3302–3322 → this is smart money trap zone ✅ Buy only valid if: Deep discount reaction at 3196–3172, OR Clean break + BOS above 3322, then hold → reentry toward 3355 📊 EMA Structure (5/21/50/100/200) ❌ EMA5 is under 21 and 50 → bearish ⚠️ Price is hugging EMA100 from below ✅ EMA200 (H1) sits at ~3172 → aligns with deep demand zone Momentum favors sellers if 3308 holds 🔚 Final Thoughts — Battlefield Summary Gold is stuck in range-to-distribution structure after failing to reclaim premium. With CHoCHs on all major intraday timeframes, momentum is now tilting bearish. The setup is clean: wait for the retest of structure above, then strike into demand zones where clean inefficiencies remain. Don’t chase fake breakouts. Let price show its hand near OBs and EQ edges — and execute with clarity. 💬 If You Found This Valuable: 📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for live sniper plans, real zone maps, and execution clarity 💡 Smash a LIKE if you’re ready to wait, not chase 👇 Comment your take: Do we drop to 3228 first — or induce 3315 before the flush? Trade sharp. Trade with structure. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025. The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
Gold XAUUSD Short 5th May 2025Price is approaching a strong supply zone at 3384–3386, where we’ve previously seen aggressive selling. If we get clear signs of rejection from this level (e.g., wicks, bearish engulfing, or failure to break above), I’ll be looking to enter short positions. The structure shows a potential lower high forming, and if confirmed, we could see continuation to the downside toward recent support levels. 📉 Trade Signal Bias: Sell Entry Zone: 3384–3386 (on rejection) Stop Loss: Above 3395 Take Profit Levels: – TP1: 3370 – TP2: 3360 – TP3: 3345 ⚠️ Note: Trade only if rejection is confirmed in the zone (e.g., bearish PA or failed breakout on 5m–15m).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave Outlook: Next Bullish Surge UnderwayGold (XAUUSD) has displayed a strong bullish trend since establishing a low on May 15, 2025, forming a sequence of higher highs that signals further upside potential. The rally from the May 15 low unfolded in a clear five-wave Elliott Wave structure, completing wave 1 at $3365.93. The initial advance, wave ((i)), peaked at $3252.05, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) to $3153.47. The subsequent rally in wave ((iii)) reached $3345.40, with a minor dip in wave ((iv)) to $3278.79. A final leg, wave ((v)), concluded wave 1 at $3365.93. Following the completion of wave 1, a corrective wave 2 developed as a double three Elliott Wave structure. From the wave 1 high, wave ((w)) declined to $3284.40, followed by a recovery in wave ((x)) to $3325.51. The subsequent decline in wave ((y)) bottomed at $3245.20, marking the end of wave 2. Gold then resumed its upward trajectory, initiating wave 3. Within this wave, wave ((i)) peaked at $3331.11, and a pullback in wave ((ii)) found support at $3271.09. The metal has since broken above the previous wave 1 high of $3365.93, confirming the start of wave ((iii)) and signaling further upside. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at $3246 remains intact, pullbacks are expected to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing corrective structure, supporting additional gains. Traders should monitor these levels for potential buying opportunities, with the bullish trend likely to persist as long as key support holds.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
XAUUSD Has Bullish Channel breakdown ahead selling strong📉 XAUUSD Alert – Ascending Channel Breakdown Incoming! Gold is showing strong bearish momentum following a breakdown from the ascending channel on the 1H timeframe. A solid sell entry at 3325, right at the supply zone, is looking 🔥. 🎯 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 3280 – key support 2nd Target: 3250 – deeper support zone Watch for price action signals around the retracement area for confirmation. Bears are stepping in with force! 🐻 🗣️ Like, Follow & Comment below 💬 📲 Join us for more live updates & smart setups! — By Livia 😜💎
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LIVIATRACK
GOLD falls then recovers slightly, markets eye jobs dataMainly due to the strengthening of the TVC:DXY , OANDA:XAUUSD have fallen sharply from a near four-week high, with a one-day drop of nearly $30 on Tuesday and a slight recovery in today's Asian trading session on Wednesday, June 4. DXY rebounded from its lowest level in more than a month hit earlier in the session on Tuesday and ended the day up 0.6%, which put some minor pressure on gold in yesterday's session. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) released on Tuesday showed that total job vacancies in the United States reached 7.39 million in April, up from 7.2 million in March. Economists had expected job vacancies in the United States to be 7.1 million in April. OANDA:XAUUSD fell on Tuesday as a surprise rise in U.S. job vacancies boosted risk appetite and helped the dollar strengthen, according to Bloomberg. The rise in job vacancies encouraged investors to believe that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite the threat of U.S. President Trump’s tariff agenda. Looking ahead, U.S. employment data, including Friday’s May nonfarm payrolls report, could help guide the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, Bloomberg said. Lower interest rates are generally good for non-interest-bearing gold. Gold traders will be looking ahead to key employment data, including the ADP and nonfarm payrolls reports, to determine the Fed’s policy path. In terms of technical structure, there are no changes to the chart or previous analysis so readers can review it in the previous publication. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3416 →Take Profit 1 3404 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3398 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3295 →Take Profit 1 3307 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3313
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, we dissect how gold traded last week (May 26–30), why the price hovered near the top of a descending channel, and what’s driving market indecision. From geopolitical tensions to Federal Reserve interest rate uncertainty, we connect the dots between fundamentals and technical structure, enabling you to make better-informed trading decisions. 📅 Key Events to Watch This Week: ✅ISM Manufacturing PMI ✅ADP Employment Change ✅ISM Services PMI ✅Average Hourly Earnings ✅Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) 🎯 In this analysis, I walk you through: 🔸My technical blueprint (key zones for buyers & sellers) 🔸My bullish and bearish scenarios based on the structure on the chart 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPriceForecast #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #MarketOutlook #NFP #FOMC #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldBulls #GoldBears #TradingStrategy #Darcsherry #XAUUSDAnalysis #GoldOutlook #GoldPricePrediction
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry