XAUUSD 6/5/25We remain bearish on gold, as we called in the middle of last week. However, until we see a clear reaction that confirms a move lower, we believe price could still push higher.
Fundamentally, we are bullish on gold, but our current bias is bearish. Of course, our bias can be wrong. When price pulls back within our bias—essentially moving against what we expect—it doesn’t mean we blindly jump in just because we believe in a certain direction. Instead, we wait for a clear reaction in line with our bias before entering, so we can follow the trend with confirmation.
Remember the principles we always emphasize: our bias is the direction we believe price is heading. But if we’re welcomed into the market during a pullback—even if it’s against our bias—we will trade it accordingly. Right now, we are not being welcomed. Price is rallying against our bias, so we remain on the sidelines until a suitable entry is provided.
As mentioned before, Orion has indicated that price action could be bearish. However, gold is heavily driven by fundamentals, which means we may not get an entry here at all. If the market shifts and our bias needs to change, we’ll adapt as always. But we stick to our rules, manage our risk, and let price show us where it wants to go.
At the current point, if we don’t see a bearish move from here, we could be on track to see a new all-time high. For now, we’re not seeing an entry setup, which means our bias is not being fulfilled for a trade. As far as I'm concerned, this is the last potential reversal zone for gold.
Keep this in mind if price continues to push higher as today's session begins. Trade safe, stick to your plan, and let Orion lead the way.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,321.83.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,305.50 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold on expected upswingTechnical analysis: Nothing irregular at the moment on the Short-term as Gold (Xau-Usd Spot) continues to Trade on Buying extension taken from local Low's Bullish accumulation within #3,370’s zone with clear Resistance point, and Support levels / ready to deliver the breakout I was after. I highlighted many times recently that every / more serious decline may represent Buying accumulation towards new ATH's. The underlying Medium-term trend is still Bullish, so if the Intra-day Low breaks throughout today’s session, then I expect another run towards the #3,400.80 benchmark / Higher High's Upper zone and possible benchmark extension. One important difference though: the Hourly Moving Average broke and for the first time in #3 sessions Gold was testing it from below as a Resistance (this was needed to break again to comfort Buyers). However, if (November #4 - #9) / (January #1 - #6) (January #20 - #25) variance is yet to be repeated, Gold finished the same pattern (Trading on such configuration) and now should engage the aggressive decline once local High's are met.
My position: My practical suggestion is to Buy every dip on Gold.
Analysis of gold operation strategy next week
The latest April non-farm payrolls report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has attracted much attention from the market. The report shows that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs that month, higher than the market expectation of 130,000, indicating that the U.S. labor market still shows strong resilience. At the same time, the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, in line with market expectations, while the previously released March data was revised down from 228,000 to 185,000. This data adjustment is an official routine operation. In terms of wages, the average hourly wage increased slightly lower than the market expectation of 0.2% month-on-month, and fell short of the expected 0.3%; however, the year-on-year growth rate remained at 3.8%, higher than the current inflation level, suggesting that real income is still showing an upward trend.
After the release of the non-farm data, the market reacted quickly but the trend was divided. Spot gold fell about $9 to $3,250/ounce within a minute after the data was released, but then quickly rebounded to $3,255/ounce, with an intraday increase of 0.56%. In the short term, the two price levels of 3,260 and 3,265 have become the resistance levels of market attention. Overall, the unexpected performance of the non-farm payrolls in April has boosted the market's short-term confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. Risk assets may still have some room for growth in the short term, but in the medium and long term, downside risks are gradually accumulating.
After the release of the non-farm payrolls, the price of gold fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate. The impact of recent non-farm payrolls on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its volatility is even less than usual. The gold 1-hour moving average crosses the downward short position arrangement, and eventually continues to diverge downward. Gold is now under pressure to fall back at the 3270 line, so next week, around 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although gold has rebounded, the decline is not large. If gold is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will be a shock at most. Gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260 next week, with a stop loss at 3270 and a target of 3240
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – May 12–17, 2025High Timeframe Bias: Bullish with active pullback under premium supply
🔍 Macro Structure Insight:
Market structure remains bullish on Weekly, with a recent ATH at ~3500.
Price showed a strong rejection from the 3448–3500 premium supply zone but found support near 3284–3292.
We are currently in a retracement phase, and the next few candles will determine if it’s a reload or deeper correction.
📌 Key Weekly Structural Zones
Zone / Level Description
3500 ✅ ATH – liquidity sweep & rejection
3448–3500 🔺 Premium Weekly Supply – key rejection zone
3380–3395 🔁 Weekly FVG – potential short-term resistance
3284–3292 🔵 Fresh Support – demand reaction after daily wick bounce
3220–3250 🔵 HTF Weekly Demand – equilibrium & previous BOS zone
3120–3150 ❗ Critical Support – losing this would break bullish structure
📈 Fibonacci Weekly Extension Zones (Above ATH – 2285 → 3500 Leg)
Extension Level Target Price Description
1.0 3500 Current ATH
1.12 3560 First minor extension
1.18 3590 Shallow breakout target
1.236 3620 Key fibo confluence zone
1.272 3645 Round-level + breakout magnet
1.33 3680 Sentiment shift potential
1.414 3720 Major HTF fibo extension
1.5 3760 Mid-range round milestone
1.618 3800–3820 Golden extension + HTF magnet zone
🔁 Scenarios for This Week:
Bullish Continuation:
If 3284–3250 holds as a higher low → market may aim for 3380–3395, then test 3448–3500 again.
Breaking above ATH could trigger targets toward 3560 → 3590 → 3645.
Bearish Retracement:
If price breaks below 3250, a deeper move toward 3120–3150 could begin. This would threaten the weekly bullish leg.
⚠️ Watch for:
Weekly close below 3250 = short-term bearish shift
Push and hold above 3360–3380 = signs of bullish continuation
Rejection from 3448–3500 again = potential double-top liquidity trap
Special attention needs to be paid to gold operations on FridayThe current price fluctuates around the 3300-3348 range, with resistance at 3348-3352 and support at 3295-3303. If it breaks through 3348, be wary of a second surge to around 3365; conversely, if it loses 3295, it may fall back to the 3275-55 area.
Gold recommendation: short sell near 3335-3345 when it rebounds. Target position 3320-3310.
Gold Market Update - XAUUSD post FOMC May 7🎤 Context: FOMC day just dropped the mic. Market’s fidgety. Fed held rates steady (no shocker), Powell said plenty (but meant little), and Gold just tap danced at resistance like it’s auditioning for Wall Street’s Got Talent. Let’s dissect it all and get sniper-precise.
🔍 MACRO CONTEXT
💣 FOMC Rate Decision: Rates unchanged. Dovish tilt in Powell’s tone – soft landing narrative holding.
💼 Market Impact: Dollar hesitant, equities flat, Gold caught in limbo near intraday premium.
🧠 Sentiment: Risk-on... cautiously. But Gold's structure says, “I still have traps to set.”
🧠 STRUCTURE INSIGHTS (H4 → M1)
🔹 H4 Bias: Bullish swing (CHoCH → BOS intact), premium territory.
🔹 H1-H4 Key Zone: 3451 = Previous HH, now resistance and first critical liquidity magnet.
🔹 Current PA: Sideways chop just under intraday premium.
🔹 Liquidity Above: Weak High around 3415–3420 ready for sniping.
🔹 Liquidity Below: HL sweep and imbalance open below 3384, with clean demand at 3366–3372.
🎯 SNIPER SELL ZONES
Sell #1 – 3412–3418 (Refined rejection block)
🟪 Confluence: 5M FVG + weak high + premium OB
🎯 Entry: 3412–3418
🛑 SL: 3425
🎯 TP1: 3390
🎯 TP2: 3372
🎯 TP3: 3350
Sell #2 – 3440–3455 (Retest)
💣 Only valid if price breaks above 3420 and sweeps next liquidity.
🟩 Entry: 3440–3455
🛑 SL: 3463
🎯 TP1: 3420
🎯 TP2: 3390
🎯 TP3: 3370
🎯 SNIPER BUY ZONES
Buy #1 – 3366–3372 (H1 OB + FVG confluence)
📌 Real-time unmitigated demand with strong structural confluence
🎯 Entry: 3366–3372
🛑 SL: 3355
🎯 TP1: 3395
🎯 TP2: 3415
🎯 TP3: 3440
Buy #2 – 3322–3330 (Deep liquidity sweep + H4 equilibrium zone)
💧 Only valid if full breakdown under HLs
🎯 Entry: 3322–3330
🛑 SL: 3305
🎯 TP1: 3355
🎯 TP2: 3370
🎯 TP3: 3390
⚔ BIAS
NY Session Bias: Sideways-to-bearish while under 3415
Macro Bias: Still bullish HTF, but intraday liquidity still needs clearing
Risk Note: FOMC aftermath = traps galore. Sniper entries only. No hero buys or chases.
Drop a 🚀 and follow us!
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
View on the short-term trend of gold!📌Fundamentals:
Gold prices fell sharply. After Trump announced a "breakthrough" trade deal with the UK, market expectations for more similar deals increased, weakening gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📊Technological aspects:
Gold quickly fell in the Asian session and then quickly stretched back up. As of now, it has stood above 3320. So the possibility of gold falling again is relatively small. And there is a possibility that gold will further hit Thursday's high of 3360-70. If 3202 to 3435 is regarded as wave a, then 3438 to today's low of 3275 is wave b. So the current rebound from 3275 will go up in wave c. The first suppression position above is 3360-70, the high point of yesterday's rebound. At present, gold has stabilized above 3320, so the next bullish target for gold is to test 3360-70. After the pressure appears, follow the trend and go short.
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 9🔹 XAUUSD – Daily Sniper Plan | May 9, 2025
🎯 Precision Mode: Activated. No recycled zones. Only real-time flow.
🧠 Macro Context:
• Market digested FOMC + Powell ✅
• Price dipped into 3284 sniper zone (✅ Reaction Confirmed)
• Asia printed fresh CHoCH from discount → Now retesting
• Bias: HTF bullish — LTF shift confirmed after deep mitigation
• Today = Thursday → Keep eyes on volume traps before NY
🔍 Structure Summary:
• D1–H4: Bullish trend intact, reaction from strong OB near 3284
• H1–M15: Internal BOS + CHoCH + FVGs filled, clean transition
• Major HL defended. New short-term HH printed → demand forming below.
🔻 SELL SETUPS (only from premium)
1. Sell Setup 1 – Premium FVG Trap
📍 Zone: 3348–3354
🎯 Confluence: M15 imbalance + weak high + LTF CHoCH area
🛑 SL: 3362
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3318
TP3: 3304
2. Sell Setup 2 – Extreme Supply + Liquidity
📍 Zone: 3382–3390
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated M30 OB + Equal highs + HTF inefficiency
🛑 SL: 3401
TP1: 3360
TP2: 3335
TP3: 3310
🟢 BUY SETUPS (only after confirmation)
1. Buy Setup 1 – CHoCH Retest + OB
📍 Zone: 3303-3310
🎯 Confluence: M15 OB + previous CHoCH + demand reaction
🛑 SL: 3292
TP1: 3324
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3354
2. Buy Setup 2 – Deep Discount Sniper Zone
📍 Zone: 3284–3292
🎯 Confluence: H4 OB + FVG + 61.8% FIB retracement
🛑 SL: 3268
TP1: 3310
TP2: 3333
TP3: 3350
Bias Today: HTF bullish | LTF flipped bullish after Asian CHoCH
Scalps and reentries only from refined zones. No countertrend unless clear CHoCH/weak high is grabbed.
💬 Note:
Don’t buy or sell from the middle of nowhere. Wait for price to deliver to the zones. If price flies without you? That’s not your train. You’re waiting at your sniper station.
👇 Like the plan?
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — let’s build the sharpest Gold team on TradingView
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold bulls are comingJudging from the golden hourly chart, the Asian market is in line with a continued surge of gains. It adjusted to the 10 moving average of 3350 in the afternoon and stabilized. The European market slowly moved higher and approached the high point of the Asian market. This pattern is still very strong, and there is a high probability of a second rise; The 10 EMA is above 3370 as the primary support and continues to be bullish. As each line closes, the EMA support will slowly move upward. As long as it does not effectively break, the short squeeze will be maintained. A breakthrough of 3400 will also occur at any time. If it breaks through, it is easy to continue to storm above 3420. If it rises and falls and falls below the 10 EMA, then If it adjusts to the mid-track for the first time, there will still be good support, just continue to be bullish; comprehensively, in the short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on callbacks and longs, supplemented by rebounds and shorts. The upper short-term focus is on the 3420-3430 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3365-3370 first-line support.
Gold Price Analysis May 9The recent market with big fluctuations with yesterday's D1 candle down 100 price shows that the Sellers have regained their position.
Today's strategy is to watch SELL more than to watch BUY.
The Gold zone is reacting at the 3316 resistance zone and is heading towards 3322 at the end of the Asian session. Today's trading strategy pays attention to the 3322 resistance zone. If the European session does not break, SELL to 3300. If it breaks, hold to 3286. When it breaks 3286, do not BUY anymore but wait until 3325 to be able to BUY.
In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3322, wait for a test and BUY to 3350 and then SELL around 3350 today.
xauusd:sell@3315-3320After the opening of the gold market today, it started to rise. After breaking through 3270, the market has been in an upward trend. Currently, it has reached the resistance area of 3310-3320. You can start short selling when it reaches this area.
All the signals I sent have been profitable, and I will continue to send accurate signals.
Today's trading strategy for gold:
xauusd sell@3315-3320
tp:3280-3270
Gold 4H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th🔍 XAUUSD – H4 Outlook (May 4, 2025)
Trend:
🔻 Bearish structure still intact after the lower high at 3533 (ATH) and CHoCH at 3420.
🔹 Price is now ranging below lower high, with weak demand attempts from 3200–3240 zone.
🔸 Order flow bearish unless major BOS above 3320.
🗝 Key H4 Levels & Confluences
🔵 3195–3220 → H4 Demand + EQ + FVG
🧲 Last strong reaction zone pre-rally
🔁 Untapped OB + minor gap
🔄 EMA21 dynamic support below it
🟣 FIBO 61.8% of swing leg (April move)
🔵 3280–3295 → H4 POI (Supply Flip Zone)
📉 Reaction to this zone previously rejected bullish continuation
🧱 Confluence with 4H OB + minor FVG + EQ
⚠ If broken → clean magnet toward 3320
🔺 3315–3325 → Major LH Zone + Liquidity Magnet
💧 Internal liquidity build-up
🟤 If flipped → could induce bullish CHoCH on HTF
🚨 Final decision zone before possible premium push
🔻 3050–3075 → Weekly OB + H4 FVG
⛔ Major HTF demand below current price
🔄 EMA100 crossover area
🧲 Long-term buy interest if macro risk spikes
⚠ Summary:
Gold remains in a bearish HTF context, but is holding at key demand near 3220.
Rejection from 3280–3295 could reinforce bearish continuation.
Break above 3325 flips structure bullish — until then, sellers still in control.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Updates before NY - XAUUSD Tuesday May 6, 2025GOLDMINDSFX | XAUUSD 1H Updated Probable set-ups
Current Price: 3379 | 6 May 2025
Gold plays games. We play levels.
HIGH-PROBABILITY SELL REACTION ZONES (listed lowest to highest)
🔴 3382–3387 ⚠️
Trigger: 5M CHoCH + M-pattern
Note: This is a liquidity tap zone where price may react sharply. Quick reaction expected — not a trend changer.
Confidence: ⚠️ Short-term scalp opportunity with structure rejection
🔴 3404–3410
Trigger: LTF rejection + BOS
Note: Classic reversal zone after sweeping major liquidity. If we reject here, this may offer the best structured sell of the day.
Confidence: Strong structure-based sell zone
🔴 3425–3432 ❄️
Trigger: 1M CHoCH or sweep + engulfing
Note: Final institutional sweep zone above the visible range. If price pushes here without rejection, we wait. If it rejects, this is the sniper zone.
Confidence: ❄️ High-risk, high-reward level — confirmation mandatory
HIGH-PROBABILITY BUY REACTION ZONES (listed lowest to highest)
🟢 3303–3310
Trigger: 5M CHoCH + rejection wick
Note: Clean origin of bullish structure with unmitigated demand. If price returns, this may offer a strong long with confluence.
Confidence: Solid demand zone aligned with structure
🟢 3333–3340 ⚠️
Trigger: 1M CHoCH + wick rejection
Note: Riskier buy zone near premium — only valid with strong confirmation. Can become liquidity before deeper drop.
Confidence: ⚠️ Caution advised — use only with clear LTF reversal signs
FINAL STRATEGY
Sell interest builds heavily between 3382–3432 — structured reactions expected at key levels
Buy interest valid only below 3340 — anything higher is impulsive
No confirmation = no entry — we trade structure, not feelings
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold starting the week with some bullish momentum. We've seen a 'BOS' to the downside, which is now being followed by a retest of a supply zone. This zone can either be around $3,317 (0.618% Fib) or higher around $3,400 zone (0.365% Fib).
Don't forget we're in a 'Wave 4 Correction' of the Elliott Wave Theory strategy. Wave 4 always has choppy price action to trap in late buyers & early sellers.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 📊 SMC Analysis + Trade Signal
Market Structure Overview:
Accumulation: led to strong bullish rally from 3330 to 3435.
Distribution: Multiple liquidity sweeps between 3365-3394
Breakdown: Clean BoS confirms bearish shift from distribution.
Current Action: Liquidity grab at bottom 3320/30 likely a retracement.
🔔 Trade Signal: SHORT
Entry: 3,360 – 3,370 (pullback to supply zone)
Stop Loss: Above 3,380 (last swing high)
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,340
TP2: 3,320
Bias: Bearish
Reason: Distribution + BoS + Pullback to premium
Show your support by hitting follow, support, and boost.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.