GOLDCFD trade ideas
#3,400.80 on aim as announcedGold is about to test #3,400.80 benchmark, strong possibility which I announced many times lately that Gold will deliver Bullish accumulation below #3,300.80 then #3,400.80 test (if you read my previous analysis, you would be in excellent Profits).
Technical analysis: Gold eventually honored the Fundamental side and is Trading on a Bullish pattern on the healthy Ascending Channel. Now this is largely charted territory on the Hourly 4 chart. Typically the Ascending Channel is a pattern of trend continuation, marking a Bottom and turning Bullish on Short-term even though that Daily chart's #MA50 (line of utmost importance) got invalidated to the upside once again and formed Support now (remember that I mentioned that Gold will reveal major move after #MA50 is formed / holding as an Support or Resistance, now is formed as an Support which reveals that Gold becomes / stays Bullish on both Short and Medium-term. However the larger time-frame of Weekly chart remains Bearish, so again I need to pay attention of potential reversal points and Selling the Top as High (and safely) as I can. Gold was Technically Bearish but Fundamental side prevailed and the result is those Bullish candles which are visible on the charts.
My position: I have Bought Gold throughout Friday's session within #3,330's however closed earlier below #3,348.80 (missed #3,352.80 benchmark break-out) however my Profits were already great so I don't mind. Keep Buying every dip on Gold (aggressive Scalps).
Gold Trade Plan 09/07/2025Dear Traders,
Price Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3285, having broken below the mid-channel level.
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Buy Area): Marked between ~$3270–$3280 (includes 0.786 Fibonacci level at 3270).
Resistance: $3366 (previous high, strong resistance).
Trendline:
An ascending trendline intersects with the buy zone, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal: A bounce from the current buy zone could trigger a move toward $3366.
Bearish Continuation: If price breaks and closes below $3270 with strong momentum, next support would be around $3242.
RSI Indicator:
Currently near oversold territory (~38), which supports a potential bounce.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a critical zone; watch for price action signals near the trendline and 0.786 level. Reversal is possible, but further downside risk remains if $3270 fails.
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD Continue to drop?XAUUSD from daily resistance of 3345.00 after strong liquidity grab price started to fall with strong momentum to the daily support level. Yesterday we have seen a long daily doji formed with a long wick at the bottom followed by wick fill as expected with long bearish engulfer with both cross over of 10ema and 20ema.
Currently price in sharp downtrend and possibility to drop to monthly support below 3250.00
A bearish trade is high probable.
Gold Setup for longs and shorts This video covers gold on the local range whereby I expect price to eventually complete the move to the downside and clear the equal lows from MAy and June as well as take care of the poor lows and fill Quart Pivots .
I talk also about the Tradingview session volume profile chart and how this feature can really be a simple yet powerful guide for taking scalp trades off of specific levels and I show a couple of examples of the respect PA has for hitting those daily POC .
I Welcome any questions you may have
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci supprt?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,306.96
1st Support: 3,287.36
1st Resistance: 3,342.69
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XAUUSD NEXT MOVE (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's. what do you think about gold market
current price : 3354
gold Friday breakout sell trade and gold breakout resistance 3345 and close above 3345 and gold just retest downside then he taking support and pump upside gold breakout 3365 then gold next move 3395
support zone: 3343:3330
resistance zone :3365
target 3395
stop loss: 3310
please like comment and follow thank you
Gold delivering excellent Scalp opportunitiesGold has tested #3,330.80 Resistance and got rejected many times as I firstly Bought Gold from #3,322.80 towards #3,330.80 Resistance zone in extension. Later on, I have added Selling order on #3,327.80 to the downside and closed it on #3,320.80. I have engaged Buying order on #3,318.80 Support once again and added more Buying orders on #3,321.80 / closed all before #3,327.80 and ultimately Sold again on #3,327.80 towards #3,318.80. Excellent Scalping opportunities throughout yesterday's session.
Technical analysis: Since the #3,318.80 breakout point was not compromised, the Price-action Naturally spiked to the #3,327.80 - #3,330.80 Resistance zone mentioned on the previous commentary. Based on the #5-session Higher High’s sequence, this zone is the new local High’s (very possible that Price-action is pricing a Top here, temporary or not) and as both the Hourly 4 chart and Daily chart are Neutral to a very great extent and does not look so good for Buyers (Gold is already critically Overbought within #3,340's, I should Naturally expect a correction within #1 - #3 session horizon. The Technical answer is the Hourly 1 chart’s Support near #3,327.80, which has been always touched after every Higher High’s rejection and holding as flood gate towards #3,322.80 and #3,318.80 wall of Support zones. Gold is kept Higher on pure Fundamental gradient and weak DX (on a parabolic downtrend) but this state has to end sooner or later and Gold should continue it’s Bearish trend and connect with the fair Technical Price around #3,300.80 mark or less. The turmoil with the Inflation in U.S. causing Investors turn to capital from riskier assets for protection (safe-havens in High demand such as Gold), thus causing Gold to gain value. Regardless, DX is the strongest correlation driving Gold at the moment. Fundamentally though Gold is Bullish and cannot overcome such patterns as it is overreacting to every DX and Bond Yields movements.
My position: I am currently Buying #3,332.80 Bottom (third Scalp this morning all closed on #3,335.80) and holding last one until #3,340.80 ideally and with that regardless what happens on U.S. opening, I will call it for the session and comfortably take early weekend break since I am Highly satisfied with my returns. Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
XAUUSD 1 HOUR CHART PATTERN(XAU/USD 1H timeframe), there are two target points clearly marked on the screen:
1. First Target Point:
~3,380,000 (as shown on the chart).
2. Second Target Point:
~3,420,000 (higher target marked at the top).
The chart shows a breakout above a descending trendline, with price retesting the breakout zone (light blue area). The arrows suggest an expected bullish continuation towards these targets.
Suggest stop loss zones.
Analyze further timeframes.
It is the right time to go long after the shock and adjustmentGold opened higher at 3364 today, and after a brief surge to 3374, it entered a stage of shock and retracement. Our plan to arrange short orders near 3370 was successfully implemented, and we stopped profits in batches in the 3360-3355 range, making short-term profits. Overall, although it jumped higher due to the stimulus of news such as the increase in tariffs over the weekend, the momentum of the surge is limited, and the technical side still needs to retrace to digest the gains.
At present, the market has returned to the technical rhythm. The key support refers to the breakthrough point of 3340-3345 last Friday. Further exploration will look at the strong support of 3330. The overall rhythm is still mainly to arrange long orders near the low support, and going with the trend is the key. As long as the 3330 support is not broken, the daily line structure will still maintain a strong bullish trend. Do not blindly chase the short position. The operation of short orders against the trend needs to be particularly cautious. I will promptly remind you of the specific operation strategy according to the changes in the market. You can pay attention to the bottom notification. It is recommended that you keep paying attention and respond to the market rhythm steadily.
Reference for gold operation strategy: Go long on gold near the 3345-3355 area, target the 3365-3370 line. If it breaks above 3370, you can continue to hold and hope for further continuation.
The risks of shorting at low levels have been informed!Today, I have reminded you many times not to chase short positions at low levels. Now you can see that gold has bottomed out and rebounded. We also bought gold in batches at 3285-3295, and the long positions also made perfect profits. I believe that friends who follow my articles can see that I have always emphasized not to short at low levels. It is also obvious to everyone that we bought long positions near 3295-3285. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the suppression of the upper 3318-3325 line. If the rebound does not break, we will look for opportunities to short. I hope everyone can grasp the entry position and hold the profit. The rebound will first look at the previous break point of the 3325 line, and then short when the rebound is suppressed! If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the current analysis of gold trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the hourly top and bottom conversion position of 3318-3325. The intraday rebound relies on this position to go short once and look down. The lower short-term support focuses on 3280. The overall support relies on the 3280-3325 area to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait for the opportunity to enter the market after the key points are in place.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebounds near 3318-3325, target 3305-3295.
maintain bullish, break H1 trend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade in the red near $3,330 during Tuesday’s Asian session, weighed down by a stronger US Dollar (USD). The precious metal loses ground amid easing trade tensions, following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a tariff deadline extension and his openness to further negotiations.
Market anxiety subsided after Trump signaled flexibility around the August 1 tariff deadline, describing it as “not 100% firm” and suggesting room for continued adjustments. This renewed optimism over trade policy has strengthened the Greenback, thereby pressuring USD-denominated assets like Gold, which becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates waiting for news of new tariff information, breaking H1 trend. Good buying power
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3300-$3298 SL $3293
TP1: $3310
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price Analysis July 3GOLD Technical Analysis - D1 Frame
On the D1 frame, the uptrend is still being maintained with momentum towards the price gap zone. During the European session, selling pressure started to appear around the resistance zone of 3365 - showing that this is the area where the sellers are making counter-moves.
On the chart, the gold price is accumulating and forming a triangle pattern, indicating the possibility of a strong movement phase.
If the price breaks the upper border of the triangle (above the 3363 zone), it will likely open up an opportunity to approach the next resistance at 3388.
On the contrary, if it breaks the lower border (below the 3330 zone), the correction trend may be triggered, heading towards deeper support zones.
Important Zones:
Resistance: 3363 – 3388
Support: 3330 – 3311 – 3297 – 3277
Trading Strategy:
BUY Breakout: When price breaks above 3363
SELL Breakout: When price breaks below 3330
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟
Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing.
Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis:
Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes.
Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry.
Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk.
Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉
Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈
Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward:
1. Trade-War Uncertainty
What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar.
Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid.
2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits
What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold.
3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning
What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions.
Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend.
🎯 Outlook Summary
Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints.
Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear.
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PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame
🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily)
Zone: $3,348 – $3,400
Why It Matters:
Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400.
📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups
Short at Resistance
Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,420
Breakdown Short
Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250
Targets:
TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,290
🔵 Potential Long Opportunities
Defensive Long (Aggressive)
Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290
Targets:
TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance)
TP2: $3,400 (key resistance)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,230
Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative)
Trigger: Daily close above $3,400
Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,450
TP2: $3,500+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,360
📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price remains capped under $3,400.
Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts.
A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026).
Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability):
Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally.
Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades.
Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside.
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
Wednesday's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold surged on Tuesday but then kept pulling back during the U.S. session, hitting a recent new low, with intense seesawing between bulls and bears currently. The fluctuating U.S. tariff policies have triggered volatility in risk-averse sentiment, while the over 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July has provided support to the U.S. dollar.
Technically, focus should be on the key support level around 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows short-term moving averages diverging downward, with candlesticks under pressure and showing short-term weakness, suggesting there is still a need for a pullback tomorrow. The current bull-bear watershed lies at the 3390 mark; if gold fails to break through and stabilize above 3315 effectively, any short-term rebound can be seen as a good opportunity to enter short positions.
The 4-hour chart indicates that gold found support near 3287 and slowly recovered losses, but it remains trapped in a consolidation pattern recently. Although the 3287 support is effective, the consolidation range has not been broken. The future direction depends on the actual defensive strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range breakout.
For Wednesday's trading, the main strategy is to go short on rebounds. Focus on the resistance zone of 3315-3320, where short positions can be established. The downside targets are 3270 and the key support level of 3260 in sequence. If 3260 is broken through effectively, it may open up more downward space.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280-3260
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Don’t be too optimistic, gold may change its face at any time!Gold continued to rebound to around 3320, and it seems to have completely stood above 3300. The bulls are recovering. Should we chase gold in a big way? In fact, due to the disruption of news such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and tariffs, the gold market has clearly shown the characteristics of frequent switching between long and short positions and discontinuity between long and short positions. Therefore, even if gold rebounds to a certain extent, it is difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side.
In the short term, gold began to retreat from around 3366, reaching a minimum of around 3283, with a retracement of $83; and currently it has only rebounded from the low of 3283 to around 3320, and the rebound is even less than 50%. Gold bulls are not as strong as imagined; although gold continues to rebound, before regaining the 3325-3335 area, it can only be regarded as a technical repair of the sharp drop, and cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. So after the rebound of gold, gold bears may counterattack strongly at any time.
Therefore, in short-term trading, after gold rebounds, you can consider shorting gold with the 3325-3335 area as resistance, and the first entry area worth paying attention to is 3320-3330.
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
Gold – M15 Bias Within POI Zone | July 14 Analysis🟡 Gold – M15 Bias Within POI Zone | July 14 Analysis
As discussed in our previous H4 analysis, Gold opened the week with a gap above the spinning top candle, effectively skipping seller pressure and breaking above the H4 swing high ( 3366 ).
This Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed the H4 bullish continuation , and now price may be preparing for a pullback toward the 3320 Order Block (OB) before resuming its upward trend.
🔍 M15 Intraday Bias:
📍 Price is currently trading inside the 3355 M15 POI zone — a potential continuation zone
🔄 On Lower Timeframes ( M1 ), a micro ChoCH has already occurred — an early signal of possible bullish interest
However, we're still waiting for a micro BoS to validate the reversal and confirm that the POI is being respected
Until that confirmation is in place, we continue to observe market behavior and remain patient
🧭 High-Probability Scenario:
If the current zone fails to hold or doesn’t provide clean M1 confirmation , we will shift focus to the 3320 OB , which remains the most reliable zone for a long setup in line with the H4 trend
A pullback to this level, combined with confirmation, would provide a strong case for continuation trades
🎯 Observational Trade Plan:
✅ Plan 1 (Aggressive Option):
→ If M1 micro BoS occurs from 3355 zone , a short-term long setup may be considered based on internal structure
✅ Plan 2 (Conservative Option):
→ If price pulls back to 3320 OB and M1 confirms , the setup aligns with higher timeframe trend continuation
🛑 Avoid counter-trading — structure remains bullish, and there's no confirmation for shorts at this point
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Let the market do the work. Structure is already pointing up — all we need is confirmation and timing.
No need to rush. Wait, observe, and only execute when the market invites you in with clarity.
📖 Structure leads, emotion misleads. Follow the flow — trade the mirror, not the noise.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
4-Hour Chart Strategy: Sell High, Buy Low Within 3280-3325 RangeBased on the 4-hour analysis 😎, today's short-term resistance above focuses on the hourly top-bottom conversion level around 3318-3324 🚫. If there's an intraday rebound leaning on this zone, first go short to target a pullback ⬇️. The short-term support below is around 3280 🔍. Overall, rely on the 3280-3325 range to maintain the main strategy of "shorting at highs and buying at lows" in cycles ✅. For prices in the middle of the range, always watch more and act less 👀, be cautious of chasing orders 🚫, and wait patiently for key levels to enter positions 🕙
Strategy:
🚀 Buy @3280 - 3285
🚀 TP 3290 - 3295 - 3305
🚀 Sell @3320 - 3315
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305 - 3295
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD Long Inside The Range! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is stuck in a local
Range while still trading
In a strong long-term uptrend
So we think that this is an
Accumulation before the
Next leg up and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a retest and a
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below around 3259$
With the target of retesting
The horizontal resistance
Above around 3354$
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 4H SMC Analysis – Sell Opportunity Near Supply Zone Price is currently tapping into a 4H supply zone around 3353–3360, a strong area of previous sell-off and imbalance. We're expecting a potential reaction and rejection from this area, aligning with the following SMC confluences:
🔻 SMC Confluences:
Price swept short-term liquidity above previous highs (liquidity grab).
Price now tapping into a mitigation zone within premium pricing.
Bearish order block aligned around 3360.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) filled between 3345–3360.
Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 zone respected.
🎯 Sell Setup:
Entry: 3355–3360 (Confirmed reaction)
SL: Above 3373 zone (liquidity sweep buffer)
TP1: 3343 (short-term structure)
TP2: 3309 (previous support)
TP3: 3288 (strong 4H demand)
📌 Watch for M15–H1 bearish CHoCH (Change of Character) or BOS (Break of Structure) as confirmation before entry.