POSSIBLE MOVEMENT OF GOLDAs of now we have H4 FVG below and a daily FVG above. we expect it would go a little down to take H4 FVG and rush to daily FVG.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY AROUND 3360 The chart shows everything, let me summarize:
- Based on valid Elliot Wave count, it is now in the end of wave 5 of c of the B correction, heading to start a new wave C to the downside
- The upward movement of the B (RIGHT NOW) lies exactly in the 61.8% Fibo from the A
- It is now on the trendline!! Some see it holds perfectly as some see it is slightly broken (but no volume on it, don't worry!!)
- (see the yellow area) it is an area that is strong buyer and ESPECIALLY strong seller meet. Most of the time price respects this area called supply/ demand area
- An as addition, the MACD showing weakness of the trend by its BEARISH DIVERGENCE
SO I AM WAITING NO MORE, I SHORT!!!
Let's, go....
CHEEERRRSSSS...!!!
Gold Trade Plan 21/05/2025Dear Traders,
Gold made an explosive move, breaking through the 3280 zone, which was a demand area, and is now fluctuating above 3300.
Given the visible daily gap on the chart, I expect the gap to be fully filled and the price to reach the 0.78 Fibonacci level.
In that area, we need to closely watch the price behavior and reaction — as it aligns with both the top of the descending channel and the 0.78 Fibonacci level.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,335.28
Target Level: 3,136.44
Stop Loss: 3,467.43
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Prices are Expected to Decline Today by Multiple ReasonsThe key reasons include:
1. Profit-taking at high price levels: Technically, the price has failed to make a new high, prompting continued selling pressure. It hit 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement before a correction, making it possible for a bearish reversal.
2. Hopes for U.S.–China trade negotiations: Easing tensions between the U.S. and China have boosted investor confidence, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
3. Robust U.S. economic data: Strong U.S. employment figures indicate sustained economic growth, lessening the perceived need to hold gold as a hedge against economic risk.
4. A more hawkish Fed stance: Expectations that the Federal Reserve will not rush to cut interest rates in its fight against inflation have prompted investors to shift toward higher-yielding assets like government bonds instead of gold.
5. Rising bond yields and a weakening dollar: These conditions present investment opportunities that are likely to attract foreign capital, drawing funds away from gold.
Overall, these factors are contributing to downward pressure on gold prices today, as investors scale back demand for gold as a safe-haven investment.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Still space on upside As Market is still Risingin channel and a volume gap at 3356-3358.
For buying 3330- 3335 is good point after the rejection and my target will be 3380 then 3405.
If 3325-3320 invalidated, H1&H4 candle closes below then this Rising wedge channel will be break and start selling towards 3280 then 3230.
Gold price support level: 3320-3325Gold price support level: 3320-3325
Thinking for next week:
Short-term opening focus: Pay attention to the short-term support level of 3320-3325.
If this support level fails to break through, we will look for opportunities to continue to go long.
Intraday focus: 3300-3306 first-line support
If this support level fails to break through, we will also look for opportunities to continue to go long.
From the 4-hour market analysis;
Pressure zone: Pay attention to 3378-80 above
Support zone: Pay attention to 3320-25/3300-3306 below,
Temporarily rely on this range to maintain low-multiple participation as the main tone, wait and see in the middle line, be cautious in chasing orders, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
From a technical point of view:
Currently, the gold price is stable above 3330, not only above the key upward trend line, but also above the hourly and daily moving averages, showing a strong structure of the bull market.
As shown in the figure:
I have clearly shown the future head and shoulders bottom structure
Strong structure: white path
Potential structure: blue path
The price is currently hovering around the middle track 3305, which is the first trend line support level of this round of rise.
It is expected that the gold price will fluctuate between $3300 and $3380 next week. If the market sentiment rises further, it is expected to test the upper limit of the range of $3428.
Gold operation strategy:
As long as the gold price is above 3320-3325, wait patiently for the callback low point to go long at 3300, the target is 3366-3370, and the breakthrough is 3378-85;
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support over the years.
Our primary objective is to assist you in making well-informed decisions. Therefore, we encourage you to contact us if you have any inquiries or require further information.
Additionally, we would be delighted to receive your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next. Please do not hesitate to share your preferences.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months.
🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by:
Global inflationary pressures.
Geopolitical instability.
Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness.
This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows.
📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up.
The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025.
The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision.
Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation.
This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control.
🔍 3. Key Technical Levels
🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600):
This zone has acted as a supply region in the past.
Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout.
A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+
Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height.
Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective.
🛑 Support & Stop-Loss :
Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base.
This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout.
🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior
Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone.
Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity.
Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region.
💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup
During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions.
However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips.
Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher.
⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch
Sudden USD strength or rising real yields.
Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand.
FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts.
✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play
Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
XAUUSD and GBPJPY analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold can be shorted near 3365-3370 in the US market
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell about 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. Although U.S. Treasury yields retreated from intraday highs, the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar still pushed gold prices down. The pressure on gold intensified after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's budget proposal, which is now submitted to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,289, down 0.83% on the day. Although the market sentiment has rebounded slightly, it remains fragile after Moody's recently downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating. The fiscal package approved by the House of Representatives is expected to increase the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, which has exacerbated concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold is now facing strong resistance and buying power is weakening.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365- 3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3335
TP3: $3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections:
1- The lower bound of the falling red channel
2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge
3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold (XAUUSD) Primed to ExplodeGold is looking ultra-reactive right now and ready to pop. This is textbook SMC with a clean roadmap.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Price action shows a series of equal highs + trendline liquidity sweeps, followed by a deep sell-off into a premium demand zone. What makes this setup powerful is how it:
Swept internal liquidity below structure
Tapped a strong low while entering a discount OB zone
Respected FVG (Fair Value Gap) sitting right in the golden zone (61.8–70.5%)
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ Triple inducement zones (yellow circles = retail trap triggers)
✅ Perfect bounce off the strong low (3,298.783)
✅ Price projected to react off FVG and then target the weak high + buy-side liquidity
✅ Target aligned with a -27% Fibonacci extension, i.e., 3,369.600
📈 Price Roadmap:
Current PA pushing up to break the Weak High
Slight retrace or reaction from the Fair Value Gap
Continuation bullish leg towards Buy-Side Liquidity: 3,345.470
Final extended TP at 3,369.600
🎯 Trade Plan (Long Idea):
Entry: Upon retrace into FVG (ideally between 3,314.560 – 3,312.046)
Stop Loss: Below the strong low (~3,298.783)
TP1: Weak High → 3,330s
TP2: Buy-side liquidity sweep → 3,345.470
TP3: Fib extension at → 3,369.600
RRR: Solid 1:4+ potential
🧠 Institutional Insight:
Smart Money is using retail trendline breakouts and fake resistance levels to stack orders before the real move. This play is all about accumulation + imbalance correction + liquidity run.
💬 If you’re watching Gold, drop a 🔐 or “XAU MOVE” in the comments!
GOLD – Technical Outlook
📈 Breakout Alert
Gold just broke out of the key descending trendline that has acted as resistance since early May. This breakout confirms a shift in structure and opens the door for a new local high in the coming sessions.
📊 Technical Context
Strong reaction from the Bull OTE + POI zone around 3190-3230.
Reclaimed 50% Fib retracement from the last leg down.
Cleared the supply zone and trendline with momentum.
🌍 Macro Watch
If tariff tensions between Europe and the US resurface, we could see a faster flight to safe-haven assets like gold. Risk-off narrative = bullish fuel for XAU.
🎯 Next Target
Price now eyes the liquidity resting above the 3450-3550 zone. This area could act as a magnet before the next meaningful pause.
⚠️ Key Support
A clean retest of the broken trendline + 3320 area would be ideal to confirm the breakout structure.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEYour chart clearly outlines a successful breakout from an ascending channel, confirming a sell entry after a fakeout or rejection near the upper boundary (~3308–3310). Here’s the breakdown:
---
🔻 Trade Recap (Sell Position):
Pattern: Rising channel (bearish breakout)
Entry: Around 3305 (after candle closes below lower trendline)
Register Level: ~3310 (resistance or SL zone)
Target Successful: ~3260–3255
Chart Timeframe: 15-minute
---
✅ Trade Setup Confirmation:
Current Price: 3300.710
Price has broken channel support = bearish momentum
Volume and candles suggest strong downside pressure
Your target zone of 3255–3260 is realistic and technically sound
---
📌 Trading Recommendation (Now):
If in sell position: Hold
SL: 3310+
TP: 3265 (safe), 3255 (aggressive)
If flat (no trade): Avoid buying now. Only re-enter short on a retest & rejection from 3305–3308 zone.
---
Would you like a signal for a new entry if price retraces or breaks further?
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/28/2025Gold acted as predicted yesterday. Since the trendline was broken, it did rejected from 3350 and broke 3322. Currently it is above 3300. I am looking to sell from either 3305 or 3322 resistance.
If selling from 3305, 1st target is 3287.
If selling from 3322, 1st target is 3305.
My ultimate target for today is 3267.
Bear in mind that weekly and monthly gold is still bullish. It can reverse from 3287 and regain bullish power. If 3327 is broken, the setup above is invalidated.
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)✅ Trade Bias: Long (Buy)
⸻
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
📈 Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with recent consolidation after an extended move higher.
• MACD: Bullish momentum cooling but still positive — histogram declining slightly.
• RSI: Neutral zone at 55.90, indicating room to the upside before overbought levels.
⏱ 15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Pullback followed by a strong bullish continuation. Price is making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Strong bullish crossover; histogram expanding upward.
• RSI: 62.34 — not yet overbought, signaling continuation potential.
⏱ 3-Minute Chart
• Price Action: Bullish structure holding above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish crossover in early stages with histogram turning positive.
• RSI: 66.22 — nearing overbought but not signaling immediate reversal.
⸻
🌐 Fundamental Context
• Gold is supported by:
• Persisting inflation concerns.
• Geopolitical risk premium.
• Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in the coming quarters.
There are no immediate bearish catalysts. The macro backdrop favors gold strength, especially as the USD shows some weakness.
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup: Long XAU/USD
• Entry (Buy): 3320.00
• Slight pullback toward previous resistance-turned-support and short-term MA confluence.
• Stop Loss (SL): 3295.00
• Below recent intraday swing low and support zone; protects against false breakout.
• Take Profit (TP): 3370.00
• Previous high extension zone, aligning with momentum continuation projection.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAU / USD 1 hour ChartHello traders. What a great trade set up / idea I had from earlier. That being said, I went back to sleep, missed the trade and currently I am watching the area marked on the chart. I can see a push down for the wick to get filled, but that is speculation and not based on price action, what is happening at the time of the trade. NY open in 25 minutes. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
