Citigroup predicts a decline in gold prices? Blacklisted?Information summary:
Citigroup analysts predict that by the second half of 2026, gold will fall back to around $2,500-2,700, with a significant reduction in investment demand, improved global economic growth prospects, and a decline in the factors that led to the rise in gold prices due to the Fed's interest rate cut.
My point of view is: blacklist Citigroup. Since last year, they have predicted that the highest point of gold prices will exceed $4,000, and they have constantly changed the forecast point in the middle, and now they even point out that the price will fall below $3,000, which is completely unreliable.
Market analysis:
In the early Asian session, it also rose strongly, and it seems that there is a lot of upward momentum, but $3,405 is the pressure position for the top and bottom conversion, and the rise in the morning is a lure. At this position, it fell rapidly, reaching a minimum of around $3,373.
The Asian market seemed to rebound strongly in the morning, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages showed a downward trend. This kind of market cannot wait for a decline to go long, but it is also a repeated wash-out shock. The first focus below is the 3375-3370 area, followed by 3360. The short-term trend is still dominated by wash-out shocks.
The short-term important focus position is around 3405. 3405 is used as the dividing point between long and short positions. A short-selling strategy is carried out near this position. Pay attention to the 3375-3360 area below.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD Sell Setup – Bearish Reversal from Supply ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is trading within a well-defined supply zone around the 3369 – 3370 area. After multiple failed attempts to break above this resistance, price is showing signs of reversal. The structure indicates a bearish move is likely, especially if the market sustains below the sell zone.
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🔍 Technical Analysis:
Sell Zone: 3369 – 3370
The price has entered a strong resistance zone and is currently rejecting this level, indicating selling pressure.
Stop Loss: 3428.42
A break above this level would invalidate the bearish bias.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3324.81
TP2: 3246.26
TP3: 3167.64
Target Zone: Around 3120, which aligns with a previous demand area on the chart.
Market Behavior:
The lower highs and resistance rejection pattern on the 4H chart suggests weakness in bullish momentum. If price breaks below the most recent support, it may trigger acceleration toward lower targets.
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📌 Trade Plan:
Enter short positions around 3369
Set SL above 3428
Aim for stepwise profit-taking on each support break
Risk-to-reward ratio remains favorable with proper lot size
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Conclusion:
Gold is respecting a critical resistance zone, and a bearish continuation is expected if price holds below it. Patience and confirmation on lower timeframes will strengthen the setup. Ideal for swing traders targeting medium-term downside.
Gold Spot Price Analysis (4-Hour Chart)4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAUUSD). The chart shows a recent downward trend with a notable dip, followed by an upward correction. A technical analysis pattern is highlighted within a green rectangle, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The current price is $3,374.76, with a decrease of $13.40 (-0.40%). The chart provides insights into short-term price movements and potential trading opportunities.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold is currently going through a strong 'accumulation' phase for buyers, hence why we're seeing these choppy price actions, trying to liquidate buyers. It won't surprise me if we see dips lower, but overall we remain bullish as long as Gold is ABOVE THE WAVE 2 LOW. Breaking below this low, will invalidate bullish structure.
Wave 2 Invalidation Level - $3,245❌
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,600Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another solid day on the charts, with our analysis unfolding exactly as anticipated.
As mentioned yesterday, after the cross and lock above 3318, we identified a gap at 3352 that remained unfilled, acting as a magnet for price action. Since then, price has been consolidating in a tight range between 3318 and 3352.
Today, we saw a perfect move up, completing the target at 3352. From here, we’ll be watching for a confirmed cross and lock above 3352 for a continuation. If price fails to lock above, we could see rejections leading back into the lower Goldturns, where we’ll look for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3281
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3210
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3179
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move
Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything.
2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs?
Let’s split this into two scenarios:
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🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip?
• The short-term structure is undeniably bullish.
• The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength.
• If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435.
• As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels.
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🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast
• Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over.
• A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high.
• ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand.
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📌 Trading Plan
• Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435.
• Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative.
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💡 Conclusion
Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Retesting support will lead to a riseHello to all beloved traders, Lucas_Reid here!
Gold has now broken upward from the wedge and confirmed recent bullish momentum. A major player is building a position above the wedge and preparing for distribution. But the main question is: how long will it last?
Fundamentally, the recent gold surge was triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East and large-scale missile exchanges between Iran and Israel – drawing safe-haven flows. Interestingly, gold pulled back slightly by the end of Friday’s trading session, hovering around $3,368 at the time of writing (a reasonable move after the spike). However, the broader macro backdrop still favors gold in the medium term, with persistent demand from central banks and ongoing geopolitical risks providing support.
Additionally, the US dollar is in a global downtrend, and traders are awaiting a decision from Powell (who is under pressure from Trump to cut rates).
From a technical perspective, if we zoom out, we can see buyers in control, suggesting continuation. Price has broken out of recent consolidation. The volatility that followed was then absorbed and reacted above the breakout level. Theoretically, we can speculate that big players are building positions above the current wedge. This can only suggest potential future deployment (distribution).
BUT failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the chance of a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel.
Respectfully,
Lucas_Reid!
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold showed a pullback after hitting a high yesterday, with a daily decline of nearly 70 USD. The daily candlestick pattern completely engulfed the previous day's gains and closed bearish. Combined with the current signals of geopolitical tensions, today's market is expected to be dominated by broad-range consolidation. From the 4-hour cycle perspective, the price broke below the middle Bollinger Band with consecutive bearish candles last night and continued to decline after being suppressed in the early morning, with technicals pointing to a consolidative and bearish pattern.
The key pivot level today is at 3,405: if the market effectively stabilizes above this level, the upper resistance will test 3,420 and 3,430 in sequence; conversely, if the suppression at 3,405 holds, the price is likely to repeatedly test the support at 3,380 and further dip to the 3,370-3,360 zone. It is recommended to wait for the decline momentum to clarify before initiating long positions, maintaining an overall range-trading strategy.
XAUUSD
buy@3375-3380
tp:3390-3400-3420
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold Buy- Go for buy if you got entry setup
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
A Message To Traders:
I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely.
Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Gold Price Analysis June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning
there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH.
Gold has a slight correction in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The correction may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction period before Gold returns to the all-time high. Maybe before 3490 there will be another price reaction before reaching the top.
GOLD - at resistance, what's next??#GOLD .. perfect bounce from our supporting area as we discussed in our weekly analysis video and now market have today most important resistance 3398.50
Keep close that area and if market hold then drop expected from here.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above 3398 on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD – Can the bulls drive it up to $3,485?XAUUSD is a typical case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower boundaries.
As you can see in my analysis, the price has recently broken through an important resistance zone and may return to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will indeed confirm the bullish trend and make the move towards my projected target of 3,485 highly likely, aiming for the next resistance zone at 3,485 and 3,500.
If the price remains above this support zone, my bullish outlook remains intact. However, if the price fails to hold above this level, the short-term bullish outlook will therefore be disrupted and may be followed by the next downward retracement.
GOLD - Near to his resistance region? Cut n reverse area??#GOLD.. .market just reached near to his current resistance region that is around 3451-52 to 3460-61
Keep close that mentioned region and keep in mind that is our ultimate region and only short expected below that.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse abo w that region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold Pullback: Bear Trap or Buy Dip?📊 Chart Analysis: A clear pullback within the established uptrend is visible, testing key support at —a healthy correction that reinforces the bullish structure.
🔍 News Contradiction🌍: Despite escalating Middle East tensions (typically a gold-positive catalyst), prices are trending lower—a classic bear trap scenario 🚫📉. This divergence underscores the importance of buying dips amid emotional sell-offs.
💡 Trading Framework:
Fed policy statement yesterday failed to spark volatility, as markets had already priced in dovish expectations 💨;
Weekly pattern: Asian sessions have consistently seen rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in later sessions 📉;
Tactical entry: Use intraday highs from Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
Technical Confirmations:
Risk Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals being ignored suggests deliberate bearish manipulation (bear trap 🚫);
Timing Strategy: Asian session highs serve as ideal resistance markers—look to enter on retracements to 38.2% Fib levels 🎯
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3335 - 3345
🚀 TP 3360 - 3370
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold (XAUUSD) – Lower TF Wave (B) Top in Place? Higher TF Conflu⚠️ Price has now completed what appears to be a clean 5-wave advance into the key supply zone — potentially completing wave ((C)) of (B) on the lower timeframe.
• Wave ((ii)) = expanding flat
• Wave ((iv)) = expanding triangle
• Final ((v)) push into supply with RSI/MACD divergence
A breakdown below 3435 could confirm the reversal into wave (C). Downside fib targets align around 3400, 3350, and 3280.
A marginal high can’t be ruled out, but structure is now favouring bears short term.
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405.
Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
XAU/USD – Bearish Setup Developing After Complex CorrectionGold may be nearing the end of a complex double three (W)-(X)-(Y) corrective pattern, suggesting that the recent upside momentum could be exhausted and a larger degree bearish wave may be on the horizon.
🔹 Wave Structure Analysis
The initial decline completed an ABC Zigzag correction, labeled as Wave (A)-(B)-(C).
Price then rallied into a W-X-Y double three structure, with the second leg (Y) potentially complete as of the latest high.
The rejection at the recent swing high indicates potential distribution and the start of a new impulsive decline.
🔻 Bearish Outlook
If the count is valid, Gold may be starting a new bearish sequence, targeting lower support levels in the coming weeks.
A break below the short-term support (~$3,340–$3,320) could confirm the onset of a downward move.
Key bearish target zone: $3,120–$3,040, with potential extension toward $2,960 if momentum accelerates.
🛑 Invalidation Level
A daily close above Wave (Y) high (~$3,513) would invalidate the bearish thesis and indicate further upside continuation or a new impulsive structure.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold may have completed a complex corrective structure and is showing signs of weakness. If confirmed, this opens the door for a deeper corrective or impulsive move to the downside. Traders should watch for breakdown confirmation before entering shorts, with tight risk control above recent highs.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we wanted that up move, then the tap of the low and the long which worked well from the red boxes which are now on the chart.
Focus was on the news today and we had not 1, not 2, but 3 active targets and a hotspot. Target was hit on the release, hotspot reacted and we got a nice short down to complete 2 short targets to end the day.
We would say resistance here is now the 3330 region which if held should give us an undercut low into that lower red box to potentially stretch those wick chasers out a little. That wick however is concerning, Gold doesn't like leaving them behind!
As always, trade safe.
KOG