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GOLDCFD trade ideas

GOLD UNDER THREAT?On Wednesday, President Trump brought confusion to the outlook for tariffs on Canada and Mexico, suggesting they would take effect on April 2 instead of the earlier March 4 deadline, and also proposed 25% "retaliatory" tariffs on cars and goods from the EU. GOLD has since been trading in sideways for past week and it has finally broken the channel. this confirms more sells are coming.... wait for it to retest the trendline then sell . target for this sell 2785 and 2707
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by ForxTay
4
Currently at ~65 → Bullish, but nearing overbought levels📉 Last 5 Candles Breakdown – What Do They Tell Us? 1st Candle (Strong Bullish Breakout Candle) ✅ Large green candle closing well above previous resistance ($2,910). Breakout confirmed with momentum. No upper wick, meaning buyers controlled this move. 2nd Candle (Continuation Candle) ✅ Another bullish candle pushing above $2,920. Slight wick forming, indicating minor selling pressure. Still a valid continuation, suggesting a bullish move. 3rd Candle (Rejection at $2,921) ⚠️ Upper wick forming, meaning sellers are stepping in. Buyers failed to push price higher, leading to increased selling pressure. Warning sign of potential short-term rejection. 4th Candle (Bearish Reversal Signal) 🚨 Red candle rejecting $2,921 and closing near $2,920. First sign of weakness after the breakout. Sellers are absorbing buy orders at resistance. 5th Candle (Bearish Confirmation?) 🚨 Red candle with a longer wick, confirming resistance at $2,921. Price failing to hold $2,920 as support. Possible short-term pullback incoming. 📊 Breakout Confirmation Checklist: ✅ Price Broke Above $2,920 → Initial Breakout Confirmed ✅ Retest of $2,920 Happened → But Holding is Uncertain ⚠️ Two Consecutive Rejection Candles at $2,921 → Warning Sign 🚨 Bearish Reversal Candle at Resistance → Fakeout Possible 📈 Indicator Confirmation – Is This a Strong Buy Setup? ✔ Fibonacci Retracement: 38.2% Level at $2,910 (Possible Retest Zone) 50% Level at $2,920 (Currently Facing Rejection) 61.8% Level at $2,930 (Major Resistance Target) ✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA (Trend Confirmation): Price Above the 50 EMA → Bullish Bias Confirmed ✅ Golden Cross Confirmed → Expecting further upside if $2,920 holds. ✔ RSI (7) (Momentum Confirmation): Currently at ~65 → Bullish, but nearing overbought levels. If RSI drops below 60, a pullback is likely. ✔ VWAP (Institutional Price Level): Price above VWAP → Institutions still supporting the move. ✔ MACD (Momentum Confirmation): Bullish crossover happened → Uptrend continuation signal confirmed. 🔥 FINAL VERDICT – SHOULD YOU BUY NOW? 📌 NO – Wait for Confirmation Above $2,922 Before Entering. 📌 If Price Closes Below $2,920, Expect a Retest at $2,910 Before Another Move. 📌 If Buyers Hold Above $2,922 With Strong Volume, Enter Long Position. 🚀 Best Entry & Execution Plan Entry (Breakout Confirmation): $2,922 - $2,923 (Only if price closes above resistance with volume) Entry (Safer Option - Retest Trade): $2,910 - $2,912 (If rejection happens and we get a retest entry) Stop-Loss: $2,899 (Below previous liquidity grab) Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $2,930 (Immediate breakout target) TP2: $2,935 - $2,940 (Institutional resistance zone) TP3: $2,950 (Full bullish extension target) Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 Confidence Level: Moderate (Breakout Needs Final Confirmation Above $2,922) ⚠️ Important Notes: 📌 If Price Closes Below $2,920, Expect Another Rejection & Pullback to $2,910. 📌 If the Next Candle Closes Above $2,922, Expect a Quick Push to $2,930+. 📌 If You’re Aggressive, Enter Now With a Tight SL – If You Want Extra Safety, Wait for Volume Confirmation. 🚀 WAIT FOR FINAL CONFIRMATION – INSTITUTIONS ARE POSITIONING FOR A BIG MOVE! 💰🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Bias: Bullish – Execute Buy Trade! 📌 Key Observations from the Chart: 1️⃣ Fake Breakdown & Reversal Setup ✔ Price sharply dropped below $2,900 but bounced back fast → Possible liquidity grab by institutions. ✔ Strong rejection wick at the bottom → Indicates buying pressure stepping in. ✔ Bear trap below the symmetrical triangle → Market may reverse back up. 2️⃣ Key Institutional Support & Resistance Zones 🔹 Strong Support Levels Below: $2,900 - $2,892 → Fake breakdown area (liquidity grab). $2,875 → Deep liquidity pocket (if $2,892 fails). 🔸 Immediate Upside Resistance Targets: $2,910 - $2,912 → First resistance (previous key level). $2,920 - $2,926 → Next breakout zone. 🚀 Trade Decision – Buy Now? ✅ BUY SETUP (High-Probability Long Trade) 📍 Exact Entry: Buy at $2,900 - $2,902 (retest of support). 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $2,912 (Break-even resistance). TP2: $2,920 (Liquidity zone). TP3: $2,926+ (Triangle breakout target). ❌ Stop-Loss: Below $2,892 (To avoid stop-hunts). 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): 1:3 🔥 Final Verdict – Buy XAU/USD Now! 📌 BUY at $2,900 - $2,902 on retest. 📌 Target $2,912 - $2,920 - $2,926. 📌 Stop-loss below $2,892. 💰 Bias: Bullish – Execute Buy Trade! 🚀📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MAHARLIKA_FX
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2891.37, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo projection and the 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 2871.59, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be placed at 2904.64, above the 100% Fibo projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Gold must be watched tonight.Everyone, open your eyes. From the current technical trend, this wave of rise has been under continuous pressure near 2920. The short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term high-level oscillation of 2915-2920 is maintained. At present, the trend of gold today is slightly weak, and it has not continued the bottoming out and rebounding the day before yesterday. Because the current position is close to the previous high point, and the current risk aversion sentiment has eased slightly, the impact of breaking the previous high again is not strong, so we can see that gold has been oscillating around the 2914-2917 range, and most of the time there is not much breakout trend! Operation plan, today, focus on whether it will break through 2920 again. If the US market still cannot break through 2920, you can directly short gold. If it breaks through 2920 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2925-2930 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. The support area below is concentrated in the 2895-2885 area. If it falls below the support point of around 2860 again tonight, you can directly chase higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Labaron
1
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,916.729. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,961.498 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Gold extending relief rally as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "Quick update: Gold is Trading within Neutral waters and it is question now which side will prevail. I am in excellent position currently, Highly satisfied with my Profits without urge to Risk more on ranging market. Either #2,892.80 - #2,900.80 gets tested, or #2,852.80 benchmark. If Resistance zone rejects the Price-action, I will Sell Gold there on spot Targeting #2,852.80 benchmark once again. If however #2,900.80 gets invalidated, Short-term Bullish bias is restored." Technical analysis: Gold is currently being rejected just above the Higher High’s Upper zone trendline of the Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel that started with the February #28 local Low's. Within that Channel, the Price-action (Xau-Usd Spot) always tested the Higher High's extension zone after strong local Bottom rejection, so assuming no further Fundamental news breakout (and DX doesn't make a new Low or Bond Yields (near #5-Month High’s) continue the rejection towards new Support break), I don't see why this Hourly 4 chart’s fractal won't get repeated. #2,922.80 - #2,927.80 would be a fair estimate and those who Bought Gold should start taking Profits there. If however #2,927.80 gets invalidated, that would be a Bull break-out call towards the #2,952.80 benchmark (small chances for Selling configuration then to develop subsequently). Gold is having Bullish sentiment due Trump's Tariff declaration where DX is taking strong hits with every Hourly candle and Gold benefits on the other side posing as an well known safe-haven asset. Regardless, I am expecting #3,000.80 benchmark extension on the Medium-term run, and market closing above #2,900.80 benchmark restores Short-term Bullish trend as I mentioned throughout my yesterday's session commentary. Do not expect any meaningful pullback and do not Sell Gold at all costs as long as DX is Trading on such disappointing numbers. My position: My #2,902.80 pending Buying order got triggered and is currently running in decent Profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD IN BIG DROPING TREND ? LETS SEE (READ CAPTION)📉 XAUUSD Analysis & Level Forecast 📉 🔹 Time Frame: H1 🔹 Analysis: XAUUSD has broken out of a fake resistance and pulled back to its support level, signaling a continuation of selling pressure. If price fails to regain bullish strength, further downside movement is expected. 🔹 Sell Opportunity: A strong bearish setup is forming at 2909.50, with key downside targets. 🔹 Technical Targets: ✅ First Target: 2870 – If selling pressure continues, this level is the next key zone. ✅ Second Target: 2840 – A break below 2870 could push the price toward this deeper support. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ 1st Support Zone: 2896 – A break below this confirms further downside potential. ✅ 2nd Support Zone: 2880 – Critical level; if breached, could accelerate selling. ✅ 1st Resistance Zone: 2930 – Bulls need to reclaim this to shift momentum. ✅ 2nd Resistance Zone: 2950 – Strong resistance level; a breakout above this could reverse the bearish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ALBERTGOLDHUNTER
3
Identified Pattern – Rising Wedge (Bearish)🔥 Real-Time Market Evaluation & Pattern Recognition 📌 Key Observations from the Chart: 1️⃣ Identified Pattern – Rising Wedge (Bearish) ✔ Price has been forming higher lows and higher highs within converging trendlines. ✔ Recent price action shows breakdown pressure near the lower wedge support. ✔ If price closes below $2,910, the wedge breakdown is confirmed → Bearish continuation. 2️⃣ How Many Rejections Today? 🔹 Total Rejections Noted: 4 Major Rejections 2 strong rejections at $2,926 - $2,928 resistance (upper boundary). 2 rejections from trendline support near $2,910 - $2,915. 🔹 What This Means: Repeated failures at resistance indicate strong sell pressure. Support at $2,910 is being tested again – possible breakdown. 3️⃣ Institutional Support & Resistance Zones 🔹 Key Support Levels Below: $2,910 (Trendline support) → If broken, next stop $2,900 - $2,892. $2,900 → Institutional liquidity zone. $2,875 → Major institutional demand level. 🔸 Immediate Resistance Levels Above: $2,926 - $2,928 → Major rejection zone. $2,950 → Institutional profit-taking area (if bullish reversal). 📢 Trade Execution – Should You Buy or Sell? ✅ SELL SETUP (Best Trade Right Now) 📍 Exact Entry: Sell below $2,910 if it breaks. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $2,900 (Immediate bearish target). TP2: $2,892 (Stronger support level). TP3: $2,875 (Institutional demand). ❌ Stop-Loss: Above $2,916 (To avoid stop-hunts). 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): 1:3 (Optimized for high-probability short trade). 🚀 Alternative Scenario – When to Buy? 🔹 Only Buy if price holds above $2,910 & reclaims $2,920 with strong momentum. 🔹 Confirmation needed: Bullish engulfing candle & volume increase. 🔥 Final Verdict – SELL XAU/USD Now Below $2,910! 📌 Sell if $2,910 breaks → Target $2,900 - $2,892 - $2,875. 📌 If price holds above $2,910, wait for bullish confirmation before buying. 📌 Bias: Bearish – Rising wedge breakdown is likely. 🚀 Best trade: SHORT XAU/USD below $2,910 for maximum profit! 📉🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
1
Institutions Are Dumping Gold! RETAIL TRADERS ARE LONG TRAPPED!### 🚀 **ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE OVERCONFIDENCE TRADING PLAN – MARCH ⑤, 2025** 🚀 🔥 **WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!** 💰🔥📈 --- ## 📊 **CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW – XAU/USD (15M CHART)** 💲 **Current Price:** **$2,904.98** 🚀 **High of the Day:** **$2,920.28** 🛑 **Major Resistance (R3):** **$2,920.00** 📉 **Pivot Point:** **$2,905.00** 📉 **Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support):** **$2,907.00** 📊 **Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA):** **$2,902.50** 🔻 **Psychological Support (S1):** **$2,900.00** 🚨 **Market Makers Already Hunted Liquidity Above $2,920 – THE PERFECT DUMP SETUP!** 🚨 --- ## 🔍 **INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS** 🏦📊 🔥 **Real-Time Order Flow Analysis & US Dollar Index (DXY):** ✅ **DXY Showing Strength → More Downside for Gold Expected!** ✅ **Liquidity Map Shows MASSIVE SELL WALLS Near $2,915-$2,920!** ✅ **Market Makers Engineered a FAKE BREAKOUT → Retail Traders Are TRAPPED LONG!** ✅ **VWAP BELOW Price = Institutional BEARISH Sentiment!** 🏦 **INSTITUTIONS ARE NOT ACCUMULATING GOLD – THEY ARE DISTRIBUTING!** 🎯 **Smart Money is Shorting Gold While Retail Traders are Still Buying!** 🚨 **THIS IS A FULLY ENGINEERED LIQUIDITY GRAB! PREPARE TO ATTACK!** 🚨 --- ## ✅ **BEST INDICATOR COMBINATION – CONFIRMING HIGH WIN PROBABILITY!** ✔️ **Fibonacci Retracement:** - **38.2%:** $2,912.00 - **50.0%:** $2,908.00 - **61.8%:** $2,905.00 *(NOW ACTING AS RESISTANCE!)* ✔️ **50 EMA & 200 EMA:** - **50 EMA at $2,902.50 Holding as Resistance!** - **200 EMA at $2,897 → BULLISH TREND STILL WEAKENING!** ✔️ **RSI (7):** - **Near 39.50 → CLOSE TO OVERSOLD BUT NO BULLISH DIVERGENCE!** ✔️ **VWAP:** - **Price BELOW VWAP → CONFIRMED BEARISH BIAS!** ✔️ **Order Flow & Liquidity Zones:** - **Institutions Are Dumping Gold! RETAIL TRADERS ARE LONG TRAPPED!** ✔️ **MACD:** - **Bearish Crossover – WEAKNESS CONFIRMED!** --- ## 🎯 **MARKET MAKER MANIPULATION INSIGHTS – SMART MONEY ATTACK MODE!** 🔥 **Market Makers HUNTED STOP-LOSSES ABOVE $2,920 AND ARE NOW SHORTING!** 🔥 **Gold is TRAPPED UNDER VWAP – Institutions Are Selling!** 🔥 **Retail Traders Are STUCK in Bad Long Positions!** 🚨 **SMART MONEY IS SHORT – TIME TO FOLLOW THEM!** 🚨 --- ## 📈 **TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – THE ONLY LOGICAL TRADE IS TO SHORT!** ⚡ **Momentum Analysis:** ✅ **RSI Shows NO Strength for Bulls → PERFECT SHORT SETUP!** ✅ **MACD is Bearish → Selling Momentum is Getting STRONGER!** ✅ **Volume Increasing on SELL SIDE → Institutions Dumping More!** ✅ **50 EMA is Holding as Resistance → TREND REVERSAL UNDERWAY!** 🚀 **NO TIME FOR HESITATION – WE STRIKE NOW!** 🚀 --- ## 📢 **ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE TRADE EXECUTION PLAN – MAXIMUM PROFITS!** 💰 **FINAL VERDICT: EXTREMELY HIGH CONFIDENCE SELL!** 🔴 **SELL ENTRY:** **$2,906 - $2,907** 🛑 **STOP-LOSS:** **$2,912** *(Above 50% Fib for Maximum Stop-Hunt Avoidance!)* 🎯 **TAKE PROFIT 1:** **$2,900.00** *(Psychological Level)* 🎯 **TAKE PROFIT 2:** **$2,895.00** *(Institutional Support at 200 EMA!)* ⚡ **RISK-REWARD RATIO:** **1:3 – PERFECT FOR FAST PROFIT TAKING!** 📢 **INSTITUTIONS ARE SHORT! WE FOLLOW SMART MONEY!** 📢 🚨 **THIS IS A HIGH-PROBABILITY, ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE SHORT!** 🚨 --- ## 🚀 **WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! NO FEAR – JUST PROFITS!** 💰🔥📊 ✔️ **We NEVER Chase Price – We Wait for Liquidity Sweeps & Attack!** ✔️ **We Trade with Institutional Order Flow – NEVER AGAINST IT!** ✔️ **We Use VWAP & Order Flow to Confirm Entries Like a Hedge Fund!** ✔️ **We Apply MAHARLIKA AI to Optimize Entries & Exits for Maximum Accuracy!** ✔️ **We Follow Strict Risk Management – NO RANDOM TRADES, ONLY HIGH-PROBABILITY!** 🚀 **DISCIPLINE. SMART MONEY. MILKING THE MARKET – EVERY DAY!** 🚀 🔥 **THIS IS A KILLER SETUP! EXECUTE LIKE A WOLF, NOT A SHEEP!** 🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Gold prices are no longer affected by investor reactions.Gold and silver prices posted strong gains on safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with the US dollar index falling sharply as the trading week began. Market risk appetite was heightened at the start of the week, following a tense meeting on Friday between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, which raised concerns about US-Ukraine relations and the prospects of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia. Meanwhile, US trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China are set to take effect on Tuesday. Gold prices started the week on a strong note after posting its worst weekly performance in three months. For April gold futures, the bulls still have the upper hand in the short term, but the uptrend on the daily chart has been temporarily invalidated. The next target for the bulls is to close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,974/oz. Meanwhile, the bears' target is to push the price below the key support at $2,800/oz. The first resistance is at $2,920/oz, followed by $2,942/oz. The first support is at the overnight low of $2,866.3/oz, followed by $2,850/oz.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (MARKET)Technical Analysis 1. Trend & Price Action • On the H1 timeframe, gold is rebounding from a recent downtrend and has formed a higher low, indicating a potential reversal. • The M15 timeframe confirms this rebound, with price breaking above the short-term resistance. • The M3 timeframe shows price consolidating near the highs, which suggests accumulation before another move higher. 2. Indicators • MACD • H1: Bullish crossover, histogram turning positive. • M15: Bullish crossover, supporting further upside. • M3: Neutral but not showing strong divergence. • RSI • H1: 62.74, indicating strength but not overbought. • M15: 54.50, still room for upside. • M3: 42.20, slight pullback, allowing for better entry. 3. Support & Resistance Levels • Support: 2878.40 (M15 confirmed level) • Resistance: 2905.50 (H1 key level) Fundamental Analysis • Gold has strong bullish momentum due to a weakening USD. If upcoming economic data or geopolitical uncertainty supports safe-haven demand, XAU/USD will likely push higher. • Recent rally suggests institutional buying, and if momentum continues, 2905-2910 is a reasonable target. Entry: 2891.30 (Current price, allowing for a slight pullback) • Stop Loss (SL): 2882.00 (Below the recent support on M15) • Take Profit (TP): 2909.00 (Key resistance on H1) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) • Risk: 9.3 pips • Reward: 17.7 pips • RRR: 1:2 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
1