GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
With a strong bullish rally that we saw on Gold since the beginning
of the week, I prepared for you the updated support & resistance analysis.
Resistance 1: 3340 - 3357 area
Resistance 2: 3390 - 3406 area
Resistance 3: 3440 - 3450 area
Support 1: 3235 - 3246 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2957 - 2983 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Gathers Strength Amid Global UncertaintyRight now, gold is benefiting from a convergence of highly favorable conditions for a strong bullish trend. Growing concerns about a global trade war have triggered widespread risk-off sentiment, driving capital flows into safe-haven assets like gold. As a result, the precious metal has maintained an impressive upward momentum throughout the past week and is currently stabilizing around $3,235.
From my personal view, the U.S. dollar is showing clear signs of weakness — and that only adds fuel to gold’s rally. The $3,300 mark looks like the next logical milestone, with $3,500 as a longer-term target if the current trend holds. Recent corrections in gold have been shallow and brief, which reflects persistent buying pressure and no signs of a distribution phase at the top.
This week, we should pay close attention to major monetary policy events, including meetings from the Bank of Canada, the ECB, and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. These events could bring increased volatility to the market. However, if central banks hold or cut rates as expected, it will provide even stronger psychological and technical support for gold.
Personally, I remain optimistic about the bullish outlook on XAUUSD — how about you?
GOLD short-term analysis, buy setupFrom a macro perspective, the daily chart gold price has formed a lasting upward trend since the low of $2536, with the highest price at $3357.8, which is significantly higher than all major moving averages, indicating that the long-term bullish momentum is still strong. The MACD indicator golden cross pattern on the daily chart continues to develop, indicating that the long-term trend momentum is still upward.
This year, the upward trend cannot be changed. If there is a callback squat or sideways consolidation, it is a bullish opportunity; then once it continues to rise today, the retracement above 3315 is a buying opportunity. As for where the target is, the monthly chart is calculated to be around 3444, which is also the target of the next stage.
Gold has been crazy recently, and gold bulls have been rising all the way. Every day when I wake up and open it in the past two days, it is a new high. The strength of gold bulls is very strong.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. It is difficult for the strong gold bulls to have a big correction. After gold began to fall back and fluctuate near 3315 yesterday, the gold US market continued to break upward directly, so the short-term 3315 of gold formed support again, and gold fell back to 3315 and continued to buy on dips.
Before there are no particularly obvious signs of a sharp decline, buying on dips has become our only choice, and it is also the best and safest choice! While looking at the bulls, pay attention to the opportunity to fall back. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't easily chase the high position. Wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. How long can the gold bulls be crazy? Don’t guess the top when it goes up, no one knows this. Since gold is so crazy, all we have to do is follow it. It is difficult for gold to fall sharply before there is a large-scale short signal!
Key points:
First support: 3315, second support: 3294, third support: 3246
First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3377, third resistance: 3386
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3317-3320, SL: 3308, TP: 3340-3350;
Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3398, TP: 3370-3360;
BEARS ARE TRAPPED 〉3300 SOONAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize a brief pull back next week making the low of the week early into Monday.
Potentially ASIA making the week's low on Monday's open.
I was able to visualize the path to 3200, and showed in a past idea how 3200 COULD HOLD as support ... so I wouldn't be surprised if price doesn't even get to 3100, although it could very well find a support there as it is a strong psychological + institutional price at which many central banks, brokers, hedge funds, etc could be dealing gold.
In other words, institutions willing to add long positions or even position themselves for the week, they'll do it a these key round numbers easy to deal big orders with... (3,200; 3150, 3100, etc).
That being said, we can't ignore or take out the fundamental aspect of gold which, as a matter of fact, it is its main driver until this day. That is: tariff war escalating, stock market on the edge of a cliff, geopolitical conflict very uncertain, ... and much more.
Not only investors are protecting their assets with gold, but CENTRAL BANKS keep purchasing gold... for a reason...
I've said it multiple times before: any dip is a buying opportunity. Every correction is a bear trap... to traders that think gold is like any other FOREX pair that responds to "divergence" or "stochastic crossovers" or some random indicator.
As these retail traders pile in with short trades, the trend continues to take them out and all of that liquidity is actually serving as more gas and power for gold to expand higher and higher... since for every buyer there must be a seller ...
"But it's so expensive". .. well... define "expensive". There is no historical point that defines today's price as "expensive" ... it's simply the new and actual price of gold.
THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND.
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GOOD LUCK!
Gold will hit $3400!!Gold has successfully broken above its resistance zone and the top of the ascending channel, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Two support zones have been identified below the current price. A correction toward one of these levels is expected before the next bullish leg begins.
After a pullback to one of these support areas, we expect gold to resume its uptrend and push toward higher levels and new highs.
Among the two, the second support zone is considered a safer entry point for long positions, as it may offer stronger support and a better risk-reward setup.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis Update
🔹 Timeframes Observed: H1, M30, and M15
Gold (XAUUSD) has officially broken the trendline on all three lower timeframes — 1 Hour, 30 Minutes, and 15 Minutes — indicating a clear shift in market structure towards the downside.
🔹 Key Support Level:
The next critical confirmation of bearish continuation will occur if price breaks below the $3116 support zone. A clean break and retest of this level can serve as strong validation for further downside movement.
🔹 Target Zones:
If the bearish momentum sustains, price may head towards the following levels:
🎯 Target 1: $3195
🎯 Target 2: $3172
🎯 Target 3: $3132
🔹 Stop Loss:
To manage risk effectively, a recommended stop loss is placed at $3250. This helps protect against unexpected price spikes or false breakouts.
🔹 EMA Confluence:
The 21 EMA on the M30 timeframe has been broken, adding another layer of confirmation to the bearish bias. This EMA break often signals a shift in short- to mid-term trend direction.
⚠️ Important Note on Fundamentals:
While technicals currently show a bearish setup, it's essential to monitor fundamental drivers closely — including economic news releases, central bank statements, tariffs, and geopolitical events — as any significant development can invalidate technical patterns and shift market sentiment instantly.
4/14 Gold Trading StrategiesLast Friday, gold showed a strong unidirectional rally followed by tight-range consolidation at high levels. Our bearish-biased strategy yielded limited profits, and some traders may still be holding trapped positions due to delayed exits. However, structurally, gold’s current posture signals early signs of exhaustion, and a pullback remains likely.
🔥【Key Headlines to Watch】
🇺🇸 The U.S. has suspended tariffs on popular consumer electronics, causing gold to gap down by $30 at today’s open.
🛠️ Trump is expected to unveil details on semiconductor tariffs — a reduction or pause will likely pressure gold lower.
💬 Two Fed officials speak today:
Barkin: Speech on “Navigating Through Economic Fog”
Cook: Remarks on the Fed’s evolving role in the economy.
📊 The NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations report will be released — market expectations are bearish for gold.
🔍【Technical Outlook】
Gold remains near historic highs, trading at an extended premium;
The recent rally has been largely driven by speculative inflows, not solid demand;
If sentiment flips or profit-taking begins, a sharp sell-off could follow;
Structurally, gold appears to be forming a top — favor short setups at elevated levels.
🎯【Trade Setup for Today】
🔻Sell Zone: 3230 – 3250
Look to short near resistance on failed breakouts
🔺Buy Zone: 3128 – 3104
Consider long entries only on healthy pullbacks to strong support
🔄Range Zones:
3220 – 3195
3158 – 3206
Tactical range trading — adapt to intraday momentum shifts
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)I’m currently eyeing up 2 areas on Gold for short term sells, within the Gold Fund for my investors. Once price reaches 1 of these 2 areas, I can then judge from price action if Gold will finally drop lower as we want, or will bullish momentum kick in again.
POI 1: $3,147📉
POI 2: $3,060📉
Markets are hugely volatile, so we need to monitor minor areas for any potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Learning Elliot Wave
This chart is an insightful visual representation of technical analysis for the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. Based on its design, it seems geared toward identifying potential price movement patterns and decision points for trading. Here are some key takeaways:
1. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:** Highlighted at 0.618 and 0.886, they indicate potential zones where the price might reverse or consolidate, valuable for planning entry and exit points.
2. **Significant Price Levels:** Labels like PDH (Previous Day High), PDL (Previous Day Low), and PWL (Previous Week Low) provide context on past market performance, which can signal future behavior.
3. **Market Structure Insights:** Annotations like BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) help traders analyze shifts in trend or market momentum.
4. **Current Market Data:** With an ask price of 3,238.290 and a bid at 3,237.570, accompanied by a visible increase in volume, this may suggest heightened market activity.
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,329.23
Target Level: 3,122.55
Stop Loss: 3,466.98
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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XAUUSD has tapped into a strong resistance zone🟡XAUUSD 4H Analysis –
Technical View:
Gold has tapped into a strong resistance zone near $3,305–$3,327, aligning with the top of the rising channel. A bearish structure is anticipated, with potential targets at $3,183, $3,100, and $3,004.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,305–$3,327
Support: $3,183 → $3,100 → $3,004
Fundamental Insight:
Gold's recent rally was driven by safe-haven demand and rate cut expectations. However, upcoming US data (April 17–18) may trigger a correction if the USD strengthens or geopolitical risks ease.
Outlook:
Short-term bearish bias from resistance zone, watching for structure breaks and market sentiment shifts.
DeGRAM | GOLD Anchored Above the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD trades within an ascending channel, holding above $3 285 support.
A breakout from a triangle confirms bullish momentum. Key targets are $3 360 - $3 380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Demand is rising amid safe-haven flows, Chinese insurer interest, and central bank buying. A weaker USD and US - China tensions support gold.
✨ Summary
Technical breakout and strong fundamentals favor XAUUSD growth. Holding above $3 285 keeps the path open to $3 360.
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Global Market Overview. Part 3 — Commodities / GoldPrevious context and analysis in the article:
Gold isn’t rising — it’s holding its breath
Gold has always served as a shock-absorbing safe haven.
It’s not a profit-driven asset — it’s a refuge. Every time the market starts humming with anxiety, gold silently braces.
Pandemics, geopolitical tension, trade wars, Fed rhetoric, or a poorly timed phrase from the President — they all trigger the same pattern: capital flows into the metal.
And 2025 is no exception.
With trade escalation between the U.S. and China, demand for gold has surged to new local highs.
The panic — skillfully inflated by headlines and press conferences — has done its job. We see gold near its peak, and it might not be done yet.
The real question is: why is gold here at all?
The answer is simple: gold didn’t climb on its own — it was lifted by a wave of fundamental instability, primarily fueled by U.S. policy.
Not a “safe haven” — a forced alternative
Investors didn’t move into gold because they suddenly believe in the metal.
They moved because they no longer believe in the market. Because what they see on screen is chaos — tariffs, threats, vague statements, disinformation, political pressure on the Fed — and no clear path forward.
And when the path disappears, they turn to what isn’t politically tied — or at least appears not to be.
Everyone knows gold doesn’t create value. It produces nothing, pays no dividends, funds no innovation.
It just sits. And waits.
But in uncertain times — that’s exactly what investors want: time and silence.
Bitcoin once again out of play
Yes, crypto enthusiasts still dream of the day when capital fleeing panic will head not for gold, but for Bitcoin.
But in today’s reality — it’s the same old pattern:
Big money moves to metal, not blockchain.
Institutions still choose an asset with thousands of years of trust, not a volatile instrument that could collapse after one regulatory hearing.
Gold at $3,000 — then what?
The target zone for gold in this panic cycle could well be $3,000 per ounce. And yes, it’s possible.
But only as long as fear lives.
The moment clarity returns — especially in the Washington–Beijing storyline — gold will lose its appeal.
And it will fall just as fast as it rose.
The market isn’t driven by fundamentals — it’s driven by perception.
And perception is fickle.
Today, everyone runs for shelter.
Tomorrow, there’s “positive progress in negotiations” — and capital runs from gold to equities, risk assets, buybacks, and tech.
Gold is not a goal. It’s a pit stop.
The financial theater under Trump’s direction
In my view, we’re not just witnessing a volatile phase.
We’re watching a deliberate manipulation.
The media noise rose in just a few weeks. The panic feels artificially inflated. Too many coincidences.
The stock market crashes. Assets depreciate.
And then, just days later, the very same voices behind the headlines begin buying the dip.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory.
It’s an obvious scheme:
Panic. Crash. Accumulate. Recovery. Profit. Repeat.
Trump and his inner circle aren’t conducting policy — they’re executing a financial operation.
And if anyone believes this market will fall forever — they don’t understand how cycles work in the hands of skilled manipulators.
Growth is fast. So is the illusion of control.
Understand one more thing:
As fast as the market rose — it can collapse just as quickly.
Especially when that growth is built not on fundamentals, but on fear-fueled liquidity.
Once tension breaks, gold will fall first.
Followed by stocks — particularly those overpriced during the rush into “safe” alternatives.
A market fueled by panic cannot grow for long.
It burns like paper.
Final thought
A deal between the U.S. and China is near.
The information noise is too loud to be real.
The stock market will again show how chaos can create opportunity.
And gold… gold will fade into the background.
Because safe havens are only needed while the sirens are sounding.
And in this theater — the sirens are already nearing their final act.
XAUUSD: 14/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3300, support below 3150-2970
Four-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3190-3150
One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3210
Analysis of gold news: Last week, the gold market staged a thrilling bull carnival, with a strong weekly price increase of $298. Among the many complex factors affecting the trend of gold prices, tariff news is like a "visible hand" that firmly controls the direction of the market.
Judging from the current situation, if the tariff policy is further tightened, the risk aversion sentiment in the global market will inevitably be re-ignited, which will in turn drive the gold price to continue its strong rise. On the contrary, once there is a sign of easing in the tariff policy, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, fall rapidly or even fall into a situation of plummeting. Therefore, the key guidance for the trend of gold this week is undoubtedly focused on every subtle change in the tariff news.
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold continued to fluctuate upward and break through the highs. The US market accelerated to break through and stood above the 3240 mark and closed at a high level. It closed with a big rise for three consecutive trading days. The short-term gold price has completely entered the overbought pattern.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is around the 3250 mark, and the lower support is the one-hour level 3210 and the four-hour level 3190. In terms of operation, continue to buy in line with the trend when stepping back to this position. At the same time, gold is currently in a serious overbought pattern. Be careful of a sharp correction and decline.
Buy: 3210near SL:3205
Buy: 3190near SL:3185
Buy: 3150near SL:3145
XAUUSD: Investors are more interested in Gold than ever! Gold reversed successfully after touching our entry point, moving to over 1400 pips. We previously advised closing the idea, but now we see a strong bullish market likely to create another record high. The ongoing tariff war between China and the US will likely create more fear in the global market.
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GOLD → Global economic risk indicator consolidates ahead of CPIFX:XAUUSD , rather quickly changes the market structure to bullish and continues its aggressive rally. The economic risk indicator is working perfectly. Technically, the focus is on the range 3135 - 3099
Gold is consolidating around $3,100 in anticipation of US inflation data. The escalating trade war between the US and China keeps demand for defensive assets alive despite the pause in price gains. Trump imposed 125% tariffs on Chinese goods and China retaliated with duties of 84% on U.S. imports. Increased tariff tensions are raising recession expectations and encouraging bets on a Fed interest rate cut, which supports gold. However, a rise in March CPI inflation (expected 2.6% y/y) could trigger a downward correction, although the impact could be short-lived - tariff news remains the main driver
Technically, the price failed to reach the 3135 liquidity zone and reversed, which attracted the crowd willing to sell (deceptive maneuver). But, after correction the price may return to the target quite quickly
Resistance levels: 3135, 3167
Support levels: 3100, 3090, 3077
Emphasis on the range boundaries, possible retest of 3100-3090- 3075 before continuation of growth. On the news or before the opening of the American session there may be a long squeeze before the continuation of growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets with our Goldturn levels playing out and respecting in true level to level fashion.
After completing the Bullish target from the retracement range yesterday; we stated that we were now playing in a bigger range and if 2975 fails to lock and open the swing range, the retracement range should give bounces into our Goldturns above. This played out perfectly, as 2999 and 3015 was tested from the bounce. We will now like to see ema5 lock above 3015 for a stronger confirmation for a continuation into 3034 and potentially into 3055 to test the full range again.
However, if we see the break below 2975 retracement level; it will open the swing range, which always gives us a bigger swing action then our usual weighted level bounces. This is the main difference between the weighted level bounces and our swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX