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XAU/USD: Potential Reaction at Supply Zone*On the 4H timeframe, XAU/USD has shown a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), with the previous Higher Low (HL) being broken, taking out Buy-Side Liquidity near the highs. Price is now trading within a supply zone, aligning with bearish order flow. On the 30M timeframe (see chart): • A CHoCH has been identified within the supply area, signaling a potential shift in direction. • Price looking to clear the inducement (IDM) before tapping into the zone, strengthening the likelihood of a sell-off. • I’m anticipating a reaction and continuation to the downside, targeting lower liquidity levels around $2,730.500. Key Points: • Bearish Bias from the 4H Supply Zone. • Liquidity grab + CHoCH on the 30M confirms bearish intent. • Targeting the lows near $2,730.500 for a high-probability trade setup. Trade Idea: Wait for confirmation within the 30M supply zone (e.g., a lower timeframe entry such as a CHoCH or breaker structure). Maintain discipline and proper risk management. What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts below! Bless Trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Juicemannn
Gold will collapse this week before NFP at the end of the weekThe current geopolitical situation is giving strong signs of a bullish Gold following the recent events linked to the new American policy. After marking a new ATH today, I'm expecting a retracement before the uptrend continues, at a former resistance which has turned into a support. It's also worth noting the big drop in cryptos last weekend, and they are, at least for the majors, in the same trend as gold. We saw losses of 10% on cryptos such as ETH and SOL, but the giant BTC was not to be outdone with a loss of around 5%, which is more or less the lag I expect to see on Gold. I took a position after the formation of the new ATH and its rejection at the close of the London session. Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wilfrid
Dollar - Gold Market CorrelationThe Dollar (DXY) has closed extremely bullish this week. This is another confluence that we can see Gold (XAUUSD) start moving down soon or later. As you all know the DXY & XAUUSD have negative market correlations, so when one moves up the other move down. The Dollar has been correcting down recently, which has led to Gold pushing up & creating new ATH’s. However, I now expect Dollar bulls to resume, which means we can see Gold get ready for a bear market in the mid term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BA_Investments
XAUUSD Technical correction on the Channel Up started.Gold is trading inside a Channel Up for the entire month of January. This pattern has so far given 4 corrections/bearish waves, all of which hit their 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Given that the price got rejected today at the top of the pattern, we anticipate that the new technical correction has started. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 2775 (on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, like all previous 4 corrections). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) already formed a Bearish Divergence, which confirms the sell signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingBrokersView
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Our Gold sell analysis has been invalidated, as price decided to target the last major high & psychological price of $2,790. I did point out on my first sell analysis that this round number was a potential threat to our sell bias, as round numbers are always seen as a liquidity sweep. HOWEVER, now that this high has been swiped I will still be remaining bearish on Gold in the MID TERM. Looking for price action to settle down in the next week & provide more clear market structure. Anywhere between $2,790 - $2,840 we can see bears take over again!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BA_Investments
Gold Nears Record as Investors Eye U.S.China Tariffs - NFP DataGold held above $2,810 per ounce on Tuesday, near its record high, as safe-haven demand stayed strong amid global trade uncertainties. Trump postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month after steps to address border security and drug trafficking, while 10% tariffs on China are still set for today. These tariffs could increase gold's appeal as an inflation hedge but might lead to higher interest rates, weighing on non-yielding gold. Investors are also focused on this week’s U.S. labor data, especially Friday’s nonfarm payrolls, for economic insights. Technically, the first resistance level will be 2830 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by zForexcom
Bearish Breakout Setup on XAUUSD - Potential Downside Ahead!Overview: XAUUSD has been forming a strong technical pattern, indicating a potential breakdown. Based on recent price action and volume analysis, we see an opportunity for a bearish move in the coming sessions. This setup is supported by key technical indicators and unfavorable market sentiment. Technical Analysis: Trend: XAUUSD is in a downtrend with strong resistance at 2763-2765 and support at 2741-2743. Pattern: The asset is forming a head and shoulders, which suggests an imminent breakdown. Moving Averages: The price is trading below the EMA, confirming the bearish trend direction. Volume: Increasing volume near support indicates strong selling pressure, supporting the potential breakdown. Fundamental Factors: Market sentiment around XAUUSD is negative due to NFP AND CPI DATA e.g., economic slowdown, rising interest rates. Recent institutional sell-offs indicate strong distribution. Conclusion: XAUUSD presents a compelling opportunity for traders looking for a well-structured breakdown setup. With strong technical confirmation, a solid risk-reward ratio, and supporting fundamentals, this trade could offer substantial downside potential. As always, traders should practice risk management and adjust their positions accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult with a financial professional before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingReni
Tariffs and Their Influence on GoldWe observed how gold has pivoted upward so precisely each time tariffs were applied since the start of the trade war in 2018. Before the trade war, gold remained stagnant within this range. However, with the onset of the trade war, everything changed for gold. We will conduct a case study since 2018, analyzing how gold has reacted to each significant tariff imposed. With the latest proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, what could be the potential trend for gold, and how should it be managed above the current level? Gold Futures & Options Ticker: GC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00 1Ounce Gold Futures Ticker: 1OZ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:GOLDLong
by konhow
XAUUSD - Gold awaits the Fed meeting!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling marked with the target of the bottom of the ascending channel. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with its next buying position. Sergio Ermotti, CEO of UBS, has warned that the anticipated interest rate cuts could be delayed if Donald Trump’s second-term tariffs take effect and drive inflation higher. Speaking with Andrew Ross Sorkin of CNBC, he stated: “I have been saying for some time that inflation is far more persistent than we initially thought. The key question now is how tariffs will impact inflation.” He further added: “Tariffs are unlikely to help in reducing inflation. Therefore, I do not expect rates to drop as quickly as many anticipate.” With Trump’s trade policies in play, the risk of rising inflation is high, and a major clash between Trump and the Federal Reserve over interest rate cuts seems inevitable. Such tensions could negatively impact the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, Scott Bessant, the newly appointed U.S. Treasury Secretary, is proposing a gradual global tariff plan starting at 2.5%, which will increase monthly and could reach up to 20%. This strategy aims to give businesses time to adjust to the new economic landscape. The Financial Times reported this plan, citing anonymous sources for details. At the same time, the U.S.Senate has confirmed Scott Bessant as Treasury Secretary with a majority vote. This decision comes as Trump imposes a 25% tariff on imports from Colombia, reinforcing his aggressive trade policy stance. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is set to conclude today, and it is widely expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. However, analysts argue that gold markets are now focusing more on Trump’s policies rather than short-term aggressive monetary measures. Gold prices rallied after Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. In a video address to global business leaders and policymakers, he urged central banks worldwide to cut interest rates. Trump stated: “I am strongly calling for an immediate rate cut, and this must happen globally.” Economists note that Trump’s remarks contradict the current economic reality, as a relatively strong economy continues to fuel persistent inflation. In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve has warned consumers about growing upside inflation risks and is seeking to shorten the current monetary easing cycle. Ahead of this week’s policy meeting, markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady, with only one rate cut projected for this year. Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, believes that the divergent views between Trump and the Federal Reserve have created uncertainty, benefiting gold as a safe-haven asset. He further stated that the recent bullish momentum in the gold market suggests that the $2,800 price level may just be the beginning. Hansen concluded: “As long as this uncertainty persists, I see no risk of overheating. Any downside break could trigger fresh buying interest.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Scalping XAU ! Adjusted down for retest entry BUY⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) eases slightly after hitting its highest level since November 6 during early European trading on Tuesday but remains above $2,725, up over 0.50% for the day. The US Dollar (USD) recovers from Monday's two-week low, driven by expectations that US President Donald Trump's protectionist policies could fuel inflation and prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its hawkish stance. Additionally, the upbeat sentiment in equity markets weighs on demand for the safe-haven metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold adjusted down in Asian and European sessions, however the main uptrend is still waiting for BUY entry. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2716 - $2714 SL $2711 TP1: $2720 TP2: $2725 TP3: $2730 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
9
XAUUSD CONFIRM LONDON SESSION SIGNAL ALERT!🚀 Attention, investors! 🌟 XAUUSD is on fire, breaking barriers with style! 🔥 Here's the scoop: 🔍 XAUUSD Analysis: 📊 Caught in a thrilling showdown between 2746 and 2758. 🤔 Ready for the breakout? 📉 Downside Potential: 📉 Brace for potential sell-offs if it slips below the range! 🎯 Targets: 2735, 2725. 📈 Upside Potential: 📈 Get ready for buying opportunities if it breaks above! 🎯 Targets: 2767, 2777. 💬 Join the Conversation: 💬 Share your insights as we navigate this golden journey! 🗣️ Let's make magic happen! 💼💫
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GOLD_TREND_GURU
8