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Is GOLD About to Begin a Bearish Trend or a False Signal?Is GOLD About to Begin a Bearish Trend or a False Signal? Gold is approaching a critical moment—if the breakout happens, we could see a significant shift in trend. The price is forming a large triangle pattern, which suggests that a decline may be coming soon. However, caution is needed. Gold prices have been manipulated for a long time and it will be difficult to spot when the big bearish wave starts. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
17
Gold fluctuates before Fed decisionFrom a technical perspective, the international gold price encountered strong resistance at the 3500 integer psychological barrier on a daily basis and then started a technical correction. However, the first two trading days of this week were closed with long positive candlesticks, forming a strong rebound pattern, basically recovering the previous retracement space, indicating that bullish momentum continued to accumulate. It is worth noting that the moving average system presents a bullish arrangement: the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are bonded together to form a golden cross pattern, the upward slope of the medium-term moving average group is steeper, and the resonance of technical indicators shows that the upward momentum is repaired. Technically, gold showed a violent shock trend during the Asian session, which is in line with the technical characteristics of the recent overnight consolidation, but we need to be alert to the possibility of a deep retracement after a continuous mild upward trend. This pattern may indicate that the bullish buying power is weakening. If the key pressure level of 3404 is not effectively broken during the day, the probability of a short-term top will increase significantly. At the strategic level, it is recommended that you avoid chasing highs and focus on the transmission effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the real interest rate curve and the US dollar index. If the policy tone is dovish, precious metals may continue to rebound technically; if the statement is hawkish, it is necessary to guard against the risk of a correction. The current upper pressure range focuses on the 3397-3407 area, and the lower support band is in the 3360-3350 range. It is recommended to take the buying on dips strategy as the main strategy, and cooperate with the rebound high point short selling operation as a risk hedge. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to go long in the 3366-3361 area for gold, with a stop loss at 3356 and a target of 3381-3411. 2. For gold, it is recommended to short in the 3415-3420 area, with a stop loss at 3427 and a target of 3355-3385.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MariaLee66
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary: After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily. Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290. EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380). 📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels Zone / Level Description 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top) 3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone 3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed 3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA 3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed 3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone 📈 Current Price Action Notes: Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance. A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price. If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep. 🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday: Bullish scenario: Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395. Bearish scenario: If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing. 📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12): Type Price Zones Notes Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone 3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence 3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed 3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone 3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD: Latest Analysis Strategy SignalsThe gold market was volatile last week, with the sharp moves catching many traders off guard. After hitting an all-time high of 3,500, gold prices fell by more than 2,000 points in less than 24 hours! After the plunge, the market stabilized slightly and towards the end of the weekend, gold prices established strong support around 3,370 points - as we discussed in last week's analysis. At the same time, we can clearly see a bottom around 3,270 points, and at the time of writing, gold prices are testing this level again. - Price action remains vulnerable below the 3,370 resistance level. - The 3,270 support level looks fragile and pressure to break through is increasing. Trading plan: I plan to sell on rallies above 3,300 points with a target price around 3,200 points.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FeiKekings
3
XAUUSD Today's Trend Analysis SignalGold has recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal, which is also confirmed by a clear bullish divergence near $3,200. After hitting the target level of the falling wedge pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel. Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance level near $3,280-3,290. If the bulls succeed in breaking through this level, we may see the price rebound to the next major resistance level of $3,320 and above. Confirmation of Falling Wedge Breakout Bullish divergence near the bottom indicates a shift in momentum Price follows an ascending channel structure Bullish Target: $3,290-3,320 Bearish Target and Long Entry Point: $3,240 Area Outlook: The bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240-3,250 support level. Watch for the price to break through the resistance level to continue further upward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FeiKekings
1
Gold is once again experiencing its extreme take-off trend!📌Fundamentals: 1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict 2. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market 3. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment 4. Market sentiment and capital flows 📊Technical aspects: The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a wave of big rises before it can open the Bollinger upper track to form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is temporarily bullish, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. The current 4-hour cycle support is around 3310, and the small cycle performance support is around 3350, so don't chase more. 🎯Practical strategy: Gold pulls back to around 3365-3375 to go long, and the target is around 3400-3420.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week. I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41). Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders. And some data: The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%. The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week. Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
27
Gold range shock , Both long and short have a chance!📌Fundamentals: 1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict 2. The US-Houthi ceasefire agreement 3. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market 4. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment 5. Market sentiment and capital flows 📊Technical aspects: The market came out in the Asian session. It stalled again later. We are used to seeing fluctuations of hundreds of points. A fluctuation of more than ten or twenty points a day is the same as no fluctuation. At present, the market is temporarily maintained in the range of 3400-3360, and there is not much fluctuation. At present, let's see where the market breaks through. If it retreats to around 3360, follow up with long orders. If it rebounds to around 3400, follow up with short orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold: High - level Oscillation, Short - term Adjustment & StrateFrom the perspective of the daily chart trend of gold, after two consecutive days of strong rebounds, the price has pulled back, indicating significant selling pressure at higher levels and a need for a technical adjustment in the short term. Currently, the price has dropped back to around $3,400, which is the support area of the previously broken gap. If this level is breached, it may further test the $3,350 level. In terms of technical indicators, the RSI has retreated from the overbought zone, and the MACD red bars are shortening with signs of a potential death cross, suggesting a weakening of momentum. Additionally, the 5-day moving average has started to turn downward. If gold fails to regain the $3,440 level, it will confirm the formation of a short-term top. Overall, gold is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. Without the impetus of new safe-haven factors, the adjustment is likely to continue. Despite the intensification of geopolitical risks, the current financial market is more inclined to focus on changes in global trade sentiment, which has diminished the appeal of traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. The long-term support for gold remains intact, but in the short term, it may be affected by the strength of the US dollar and the restoration of risk appetite. For today's short-term trading of gold, the recommended strategy is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. In the short term, key resistance levels to watch are in the range of $3,405 - $3,430, and key support levels are in the range of $3,360 - $3,350. Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VolatilityWise
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
NFP is out. Market reaction - 2025.05.02The NFP number came out higher than the forecast, but lower than the previous (even the revised one). The initial reaction was in favour of DXY, but it has gone quiet very quickly. Maybe because of the fact that the market is preparing for some action on 7th of May, when the Fed announces interest rates. Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX FX_IDC:AUDUSD FX_IDC:USDJPY Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
Gold's decline under pressure is in line with expectations!From the perspective of the gold hourly line, the morning closed with a full sun, effectively breaking through the resistance of yesterday's 3360-3397 box. Therefore, it is definitely necessary to try to confirm the continued bullish trend after a pullback. The continuous diving in the afternoon refreshed the intraday low, which can only mean that the market is washing out, and all the long and short positions are driven out, and then brewing again; If the European session remains weak below 3350, there may be some room for further decline tonight, but the continuity may not be great, and it is easy to stabilize and bottom out and pull up; the current support is 3320, 3315, and 3305. If a stabilization signal is touched around 22:00, it is bullish. I personally think that there is limited space below 3300, and resistance is 3360, 3365, and 3370. If a pressure signal is touched around 20:00, it will fall back first; if it returns to above 3370, the trend will gradually become stronger, and it will be treated as a wide range of fluctuations for the time being; On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3375 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3280-3290 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3365-3370, stop loss 10 points, target around 3330-3305, and look at 3290 if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3285-3290, stop loss 10 points, target around 3310-3330, and look at 3350 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
Gold's Trend and Trading Strategy for Next WeekLast week, the price of gold sharply declined after hitting the resistance level of $3,500, dropping to around $3,260 at its lowest point. The weekly chart closed with a bearish inverted hammer candlestick pattern, suggesting a sharp short-term downward momentum. However, on Friday evening, the gold price rebounded near the support level of $3,260 and regained the $3,300 mark. Combining the current fundamental and news-driven analysis, gold remains in an overall upward trend: Technical Analysis Although the weekly inverted hammer pattern indicates selling pressure at higher levels, the rapid rebound from the bottom to reclaim the key $3,300 level signals the persistence of bullish momentum. If the short-term decline fails to effectively break below the strong support at $3,250, the gold price has the potential for a rebound. Trading Strategy Next week, it is recommended to adopt a bullish bias and focus on long positions. Consider entering near $3,283, with a stop-loss set below $3,260. The upper resistance levels are sequentially $3,331 (short-term resistance) and $3,370 (target after breakthrough). Risk Warning Be vigilant against shocks to gold prices from sudden geopolitical news or changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations, and strictly control position sizing and stop-loss levels. I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
4
Is the rise in gold a rebound or a restart of the upward trend?News Interpretation: US President Trump announced on Sunday that he plans to impose a 100% tariff on films produced overseas, marking the first time that his restrictive trade policy on US imports has been extended to the entertainment industry. This has once again ignited investors' concerns about the potential consequences of a global trade war. On Monday, local time, Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariff measures on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks. Gold is often seen as a safe haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% so far this year and have set new historical highs many times. Gold trend analysis: Gold rose strongly yesterday, and the Asian session pulled up slightly and then fluctuated slowly upward. The European session gold price broke through the support and suppression conversion position we analyzed, and broke through the two key defense positions of 3300 and 3330 in succession. Today, the gold price opened with a single positive rise to around 3385 and was blocked. It is currently falling back at a high level. As of the time of posting, the price is around 3366. Our original idea was to focus on the support near 3162, the 618 position, of the last upward correction of gold prices before 3500. However, the rally on Monday broke through our defense level and our bearish view failed. Now that gold prices have returned to an upward trend, the structure needs to be re-analyzed. In general, the gold price has risen in the past two days, and our spot market has maintained a steady rhythm. 3386 is a short-term suppression level. If it breaks below 3350 in the Asian session, the steady idea is to wait for a rebound and then short to see the downward trend. Focus on the support of 3272 below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
Gold continued to rise at the opening and broke upward!At present, the 4-hour chart of gold has formed an upward breakout trend. The decline may be over, and it will continue to strengthen! In the intraday, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further, gold will maintain a bullish trend. In the day, we focus on the recent starting point of 3222 support. If gold wants to go out of a steady upward trend, it will not fall below 3222 in the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! Therefore, in terms of operation, it is recommended to adjust the thinking, go long if it falls back to 3240-3245, or directly chase the rise after breaking through 3270. At present, it has been long at 3243 in the early trading. If there is no more decline, continue to go long! Identify the bulls during the day! On the whole, it is recommended to do more on the callback and short on the rebound in the short-term operation of gold. Focus on the resistance of 3300-3310 in the upper short term, and focus on the support of 3222-3245 in the lower short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KittyBaldwin
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
Today's rebound continues to be short!The logic behind the current rise and fall of gold has changed. The main factors for the previous crazy rise in gold and the decline at 3,500 were the tariff war, which has gradually turned from tension to relaxation. The latest news shows that the two sides are trying to contact each other to prepare for the next round of negotiations. Later, we should focus on the Federal Reserve. Trump previously asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to reduce the impact of the tariff war on the economy. Powell's resistance once made Trump want to change the chairman of the Federal Reserve. The big non-agricultural data on Friday was better than expected, which means that the time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will be delayed, which is bad for the gold market. Therefore, gold may fall further at the beginning of next week. On the other hand, after the world's largest gold ETF reduced its positions significantly since the peak of 3,500 on April 22, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly during this period, and there has been no obvious increase in positions, which reflects that gold has further bottoming out. The daily line on Friday closed with a cross K, following three consecutive negatives. From a technical point of view, it is either a signal of continued decline or a reversal. Combined with the news data and the overall trend, the probability of continued decline is very high. On the one hand, the rebound strength on the hourly and 4-hour charts is not strong, and the upward continuity is poor. The 100-day moving average is always under pressure to fall, and the trend is still bearish. On the other hand, the adjustment on the daily and weekly lines has not yet ended, and the indicators show that there is still further decline. Next week, we should focus on the 618 golden section position of 3160. As for whether it can be the bottom position, in addition to the price point, it is also necessary to consider the K-line pattern comprehensively. We will talk about it next week. Therefore, for gold on Monday, we can rely on the 3264-3268 line of pressure to continue shorting, and the limit of the pullback cannot exceed the 618 position of 3275, which is the watershed. The support below is 3222-3224, and if it breaks, it will hit the low point of 3201-3202, which may not be maintained.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuniceHarrington