Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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Gold Analysis April 14Currently, gold is still around the peak and the next trend is unclear. We must wait for clearer fluctuations to come up with trading strategies. If H1 gold closes below 3225, the decline is confirmed and may return to 3190 in the US session. On the contrary, if gold continues to increase, it will break ATH towards the round resistance of 3278-3280. To be safe, wait for a break of 3232 to confirm the BUY point.
25-04-14 Gold 3222.80 USD/oZ - correction aheadRegarding the chart, two remarks:
- heavy price acceleration will end
- Deviation from 200MA: typical sign for correction.
Maybe we will see 2400 USD/OZ, but for shure expect correction down to 2800 at minimum.
2500 also possible.
Reason: maybe fundamental. Toll problems will be solved. Escape Room Gold not longer required.
Gold has a top signal, be wary of a retracement today!
On Wednesday, as the market waited to see whether Trump would reach a new trade agreement with trading partners, the US dollar index fell again and once fell to around $99.
Due to the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, spot gold continued its record-breaking rise, refreshing its historical high to above $3,340, and soared by more than $100 during the day.
Today, Thursday, gold continued its bullish trend last night in the early trading, and once hit a historical high of 3,357 in the early trading.
But now we need to be extra careful, because tomorrow is Friday, Good Friday, and the market will be closed all day, which means that today, Thursday, is the last trading day of the week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be taken out of the market.
Once the long positions are taken out of the market, it is easy to have a large retracement, so we must be careful about this and must not be overly bullish.
Today's opening position is around 3342. In the morning, it retreated to around 3320, and then stretched up again.
However, it can be found that since it fell below the opening position of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again.
This is a strong signal of short-term retracement, especially when long positions are about to be profited.
Moreover, the hourly chart has a little ABC wave-shaped retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300-10, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower.
Currently, the ma10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3310.
Therefore, it is not recommended that you chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3310 in advance.
In terms of operation, I suggest that you can enter the market and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3310.
Do you think this is the final height of gold?
At present, affected by the global trade conflict, the price of gold is above $3,200. Although there was no accelerated rise on Monday, the retracement to confirm the position of $3,190 is also very perfect. I also emphasized the key position of $3,190 in the article last night. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term gold price.
Therefore, regarding the next target of gold in 2025, I think we should continue to pay attention to the target price of $3,318, and then adjust it according to the situation. What we need to do now is not to adjust the so-called target, but to understand the underlying logic of the deep-level gold rise when we encounter a callback in the middle!
Okay, let's talk about the gold market today.
On Monday, the price of gold opened slightly lower and pulled up to the previous high of $3,247, and then slid down in the European session. Many friends are worried about whether they will encounter Black Monday. My point of view is not speculation, but to see whether the key position of $3,190 will be lost. If it is lost, adjust the direction. Don't make too many assumptions before it is lost.
Today, gold continues to fluctuate at a high level. Two positions are focused on below. One is the support low point before the last 1-hour level pull-up at 3190, and the other is the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high point of 3167 US dollars.
As shown in the figure, the 4-hour gold price fell back to confirm 3190 US dollars last night, and then continued to climb steadily upward. The current focus is on the breakthrough of 3250 US dollars. Once it breaks through here, it will form a new pull-up. Fear of heights is the mentality of most people. They think that they will be trapped after the plunge if they chase high positions. In fact, as long as they fasten their seat belts, even if the plunge does not have much impact, people who are afraid of heights cannot make friends with the trend. They always think that a surge will definitely surge, which is a black-and-white thinking model.
Today, gold continues to rely on 3190 US dollars as the dividing point between long and short positions, and then go long after the callback. Pay attention to 3250-3265-3270 US dollars above. Break through 3190 US dollars and adjust the thinking to do a reverse hand!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
Gold Facing Rejection at Critical Fibonacci Level🔑 Key Technical Signals:
• Rejection at 0.618 Fibonacci level ($3,226) creating bearish pressure 📉
• Stochastic indicator showing overbought conditions with divergence ⚠️
• Completed 5-wave structure followed by ABC corrective pattern formation 🌊
• Notable price gap below that could act as a magnet for price action 🧲
📊 Trade Setup:
• Entry: 3219
• Stop Loss: 3234 (150 pips)
• Take Profit Targets:
- TP1: 3193.5 (psychological support) 🎯
- TP2: 3173 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) 💰
Analysis of the latest gold market trendsGold closed at a big positive line on the daily line, and the 1-hour moving average golden cross diverged upward, with a clear long position and strong long position. At present, the upper resistance is at 3355-3360, and the lower support is at 3311-3305. Although the gold price may fall back in the short term, the overall trend is still bullish. It is recommended to do more on the pullback and short on the rebound. Operation 1: It is recommended to go long on the pullback of 3296-3290, with a stop loss of 3284, and the target is 3315-3340. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go short on the rebound of 3333-3339, with a stop loss of 3344, and the target is 3310-3300.
XAU/USD Trend Early Next Week – 3300 Not Far Away🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury rose by seven basis points to 4.495%.
➡️ The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index posted a sharp drop in April, falling from 57.0 to 50.8, indicating growing pessimism among households.
➡️ In March, the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) eased to 2.7% year-over-year, down from 3.2% and below expectations of 3.3%, suggesting that input cost pressures are moderating. However, core PPI — which excludes food and energy — remains above 3%, coming in at 3.3% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in February and slightly below the forecast of 3.6%.
On Friday, several U.S. banks, including Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick, warned of a heightened risk of recession. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon estimates the odds of a U.S. recession at 50%.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Gold has received strong support from the increasingly risky US-China trade war. And the fear of a US economic recession is being widely discussed.
➡️ There is little news that will strongly affect the price of gold next week. So this will be an opportunity for a short-term technical adjustment of gold to gain momentum to promote the main increase. RSI entering the overbought zone and showing signs of divergence further strengthens this argument.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy. Watch for technical recovery zones to get good profits for you.
S upport zone: 3217 - 3200 - 3277
Resistance zone: 3247 - 3300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
"Gold Bullish Setup: From Demand Zone to 3280 Target!"🟦 Key Zones
🔵 Demand Zone (Support):
📍 Around 3,210 – 3,200
🟢 Buyers stepped in here previously, forming a base for a potential upmove.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📍 Around 3,240 – 3,250
🚫 Sellers have rejected price from this level several times.
🎯 Target Point:
📍 3280
🚀 If price breaks resistance, this is the expected move.
❌ Stop Loss:
📍 3,195.52
🛡️ Placed just below the demand zone to minimize downside risk.
📊 Price Action & Indicators
* 🟠 Current Price: 3,225.32
* 📉 EMA (7): 3,223.57 – providing dynamic support
* 🔼 Trend: Short-term uptrend with higher lows
🧠 Trade Idea
* ✅ Entry: Around 3,220–3,225
* ❌ Stop Loss: 3,195.52
* 🎯 Take Profit: 3,280
* 📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if resistance breaks
📈 Possible Scenarios
🔸 Scenario 1:
✨ Immediate breakout through resistance → target 3,280
🔸 Scenario 2:
🔁 Pullback to demand zone → bounce → then move toward 3,280
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Trade SetupTime Frame: 15-Minute and 4-Hour
Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation
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Overview:
Currently, on the 15-minute time frame, we observe a potential Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could indicate a bearish reversal. As we analyze further, we identify that the B wave might be completing, setting us up for the upcoming C wave to the downside.
Key Levels:
- Invalidation Level (Head of the Pattern): 3246
- Fibonacci Level (Key Area on 4-Hour Time Frame): 0.618
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Trade Setup:
Given the formation and confirmations, we suggest considering a sell trade:
1. Entry Point: Monitor for a confirmation of the bearish move below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
2. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly above the invalidation level of 3246 to mitigate risk.
3. Take Profit Targets:
- TP1: 3215
- TP2: 3205
- TP3: 3195
- TP4: 3180
-TP5: 3140
Once the price moves below these levels, consider holding the sell trade down to a potential extreme target of 3140.
If we break 3140, the next support zone between 3040 and 3050 could come into play, where I expect strong buying interest for intra-day trading
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Risk Management:
Always manage your risk appropriately. Ensure that your position size is in line with your risk tolerance and that your stop loss is strictly adhered to. Monitor the market closely, as patterns can evolve, and be prepared to adjust your strategy as needed.
Conclusion:
With the Head and Shoulders pattern and the identified Fibonacci level providing confluence for a potential downside move, we have a compelling setup for taking a sell position. Keep an eye on the market dynamics and make informed decisions.
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Stay safe and trade wisely!
GOLD.. alternate still buying scnerios, what's next??#GOLD.. well market have single supporting area that is around 3226
Keep close that area because that is our single supporig area and if market thold in that case further bull run is still valid.
Note: we will cut n reverse our position below 3226 on confirmation .
Good luck
Gold Buying every dip as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Buying sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive uptrend extension / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s Support break, however the Selling pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,227.80 - #3,232.80 former Resistance zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition.
Fundamental analysis: Gold is isolated within Bullish Megaphone bounce formation and if there wasn’t parallel Buying pressure from Fundamental side, Price-action would be significantly Lower (I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side). The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and many other were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Medium-term trend stays Bullish though especially with DX still critically Bearish, taking strong hits and Bond Yields rejected on #3-Week Top zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,252.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,252.80 benchmark configuration.
My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion.
Strategic Analysis of GoldAlthough Trump has announced the exclusion of smartphones and computers from the list of reciprocal tariffs, which has alleviated some market concerns, due to the uncertainty of the overall tariff policy, the gold price still remains above $3,200 after falling from the intraday all - time high of $3,245 on Monday.
Judging from the current trend of gold, we should still pay attention to the resistance level in the range of 3240 - 3245. In the short term, focus on the support level in the range of 3185 - 3190. Currently, the trend has not reversed. It is likely that the bulls are pulling back to accumulate strength and move in a volatile pattern. In terms of trading operations, it is advisable to mainly go long during pullbacks.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3195-3205
sl 3180
tp 3218-3223
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
XAU/USD – Potential Reversal with RSI Divergence (12H)XAU/USD – Potential Reversal with RSI Divergence (12H)
Keeping a close eye on Gold in the 12-hour timeframe, and I’ve spotted a clear bearish RSI divergence.
While price is making higher highs, the RSI is forming lower highs, indicating potential weakness in the bullish momentum.
🔻 The highlighted zone on the chart marks a key liquidity area, which now seems to be acting as resistance.
📉 We already saw a first rejection from that zone and a possible beginning of a correction (red arrow on chart).
📊 Confluences:
Bearish RSI divergence (white trendline on RSI)
Price at a strong resistance zone
Possible retracement towards EMA 9 or EMA 20
💡 I’m waiting for confirmation via price action (e.g., market structure break or strong reversal candle) before considering an entry.
⚠️ This is not financial advice – just my personal view of the market at the moment. Always do your own analysis and manage your risk.
Trade Summary: XAU Gold Buy Setup 17/04/2025Trade Summary: XAU Gold Buy Setup
Entry Price: $3220
Target: $3590
Stop Loss: $3150
Time: 05:18 PM
Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
Technical Setup: Price is forming a Higher High structure with a strong retracement, followed by another bullish push—suggesting potential trend continuation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold Price Analysis April 16Gold price is at ATH and no stopping point is seen
safe trading strategy can only be waiting for retest of strong buying zones to BUY
There is no specific strategy when gold is at the current price range. Today's strategy focuses on Buy around 3275-3273. The best zone to BUY today is 3246-3244. 3313 is a notable Fibonacci resistance zone, breaking this zone Gold will head to the next Fibonacci zone around 3350.
wish you a successful trading day.
XAUUSD Entre point 3326 Target 3290Stop loss 3340Here's the breakdown for your XAU/USD short trade:
Entry: 3,326
Target: 3,290
Stop Loss: 3,340
Trade Summary:
Risk (SL - Entry): 14 points
Reward (Entry - TP): 36 points
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.57 (excellent)
Suggestions:
That’s a strong RRR, which gives you some flexibility.
Look for bearish confirmation (e.g., candle rejection or RSI divergence) around 3,326.
Consider moving your stop to breakeven if price drops below 3,310 to lock in safety.
Want help identifying key levels or entry timing on the chart?
GOLD-SELL strategy 12 hourly chart regression channelGOLD is still holding up, but technically we are witnessing negative divergence, i.e. higher price and lower HIGH RSI. We are trading above regression channel as well, and a return to mid level $ 3,150 area is possible. The lower end for a reasonable corrections falls near $ 3,065.
Strategy SELL or ADD TO SHORT @ $ 3,250-3,290 and partially take profit near $ 3,175 and subsequently @ $ 3,087.
Maintain in uptrend line- retest ATH 3247🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that the Trump administration’s tariffs delivered a significant shock to the U.S. economy, potentially forcing the central bank to cut interest rates to avoid a recession. Global risk sentiment improved after the White House announced on Friday that smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices would be temporarily exempt from Trump’s punitive tariffs.
➡️ However, Trump emphasized that these exemptions are only temporary and added that he plans to announce new tariffs on imported semiconductors next week. He also threatened to impose tariffs on pharmaceuticals in the near future. This ongoing uncertainty, along with underlying bearish sentiment surrounding the U.S. dollar, has provided some support for the XAU/USD pair.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Today there is not much news that directly affects the gold price so it will remain in the uptrend zone. Watch the technical analysis zones to get good profits for you
➡️ Analyze based on resistance - support levels and Volume profile combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3188 - 3190
❌SL: 3183 | ✅TP: 3195 - 3200 - 3205
👉Sell Gold 3244 - 3247
❌SL: 3252 | ✅TP: 3240 - 3235 - 3230
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰