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Strong Dollar, Shaky Gold: Is It Time to Buy?Gold has returned to a weaker stance, trading around $3,309 during the U.S. session. The U.S. dollar gained some positive momentum as markets leaned toward the possibility that the Federal Reserve will keep its policy unchanged in July following the May report, causing XAU/USD to drop lower into the weekend. Additionally, U.S. economic data released on the same day continued to show signs of cooling. Specifically, weekly jobless claims came in higher than both the forecast and the previous week's figures, while the U.S. trade deficit narrowed significantly in May. The index measuring the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies remained nearly unchanged. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose, and real yields climbed by 2 basis points, putting downward pressure on gold prices. Nevertheless, gold still maintains its long-term uptrend. This correction is seen as a better buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
Safe-Haven Demand May Drive Gold Prices Higher✅ Today’s ADP report came in bullish for gold, ✅ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book reveals: A slight slowdown in economic activity Increased policy uncertainty and price pressures for businesses and consumers An overall pessimistic economic outlook 📌 Combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions, this creates a supportive backdrop for safe-haven buying in gold. 🔍 Technical Outlook (1D Chart): Gold is still facing a bearish divergence on the daily chart. For this to resolve, the market must choose between: 1️⃣ A strong breakout with volume, pushing toward 3430–3450 2️⃣ A pullback to repair structure, including filling the gap below 3300, which may later fuel a rally toward 3500+ if bullish catalysts arise 📅 Key Events to Watch This Week: Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims Friday: NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) ⚠️ Also monitor developments on trade tariffs, which may affect market sentiment 📊 Short-Term Trade Plan (Range Strategy): 🎯 Key levels to watch: Resistance: around 3400 Support: near 3366 📌 Consider range trading between 3408–3358, selling highs and buying dips with strict risk control.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
XAUUSD Sell Setup Analysis (June 9)**## 🟣 **XAUUSD Sell Setup Analysis (June 9)** ### 🔹 **Entry Zone:** 3320–3323 Price is entering a short-term **supply zone** or resistance band — potentially a previous H1/H4 reaction point. --- ### ✅ **Reasons for the Sell:** 1. **Resistance Retest (H1/H4)** * 3320–3323 acted as support-turned-resistance earlier. * Price bounced off this area previously → now offering a clean retest zone. 2. **Wick Rejection / Exhaustion Signs** * On lower timeframes (M15–M30), price shows wicks and slowing bullish candles near 3320, suggesting weakness. 3. **Bearish Divergence Potential** * Possible divergence on RSI or MACD if price spikes above 3320 while momentum slows. 4. **Short-Term Overbought Conditions** * Following a rally into 3323, price may correct downward to clear liquidity below. --- ### 🎯 **Target Zones (TPs):** | TP | Level | Logic | | ------- | ----- | --------------------------------------------- | | **TP1** | 3317 | Minor intraday low / structure break zone | | **TP2** | 3312 | Pre-breakout base from earlier H1 candles | | **TP3** | 3305 | Key demand zone — possible reaction area | | **TP4** | 3299 | Stronger support, possible daily bounce level | --- ### ❌ **STOP LOSS: 3328** This is a solid SL zone: * Just above the local highs and outside most false breakouts * Keeps your R\:R clean (1:2 to 1:4 range depending on TP) --- ### 📊 **Summary:** | Element | Value | | -------------- | ----------- | | Direction | **Sell** 📉 | | Entry Zone | 3320–3323 | | Stop Loss | 3328 | | TP1 | 3317 | | TP2 | 3312 | | TP3 | 3305 | | TP4 | 3299 | | R\:R Potential | Up to 1:4 | ---
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ForexGoldkinggg
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025. The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
The latest gold market trend analysis strategy on June 5: ADP data impact: The US "small non-farm" data in May was significantly lower than expected (37,000 new vs. 110,000 expected), strengthening the market's bet on the Fed's interest rate cut, the US dollar was under pressure (falling below the 99 mark), US Treasury yields fell, and gold was supported as a safe-haven asset. Technical signal: The bottoming pattern of gold daily line was confirmed, and the low point gradually moved up (3344→3350). The short-term bulls were strong, but attention should be paid to the breakthrough of the previous high of 3392 pressure level. Non-farm outlook: If the non-farm data continues to be weak on Friday, gold may accelerate its rise; if it rebounds beyond expectations, the US dollar may rebound in the short term, and gold faces the risk of a correction. Technical analysis Key price Support: 3344-3350 (intraday low and early long order entry, long defense line) Resistance: 3385-3392 (Wednesday high and early week suppression, breakthrough opens up upside) Bull-bear watershed: If gold price stands above 3392, the target is 3420-3450; if it loses 3344, the risk of short-term correction increases. Form and momentum 15-minute chart: The big positive line rises with large volume, showing strong bullish momentum, but be wary of the decline in the latter part of the US market (3384→3360). 4-hour chart: MACD golden cross continues, RSI is close to the overbought zone, there may be short-term fluctuations, but the trend is still bullish. Operation strategy suggestions： Day trading (June 5) Long strategy Entry point: Long with a light position when the price falls back to 3355-3360, and those who are conservative will wait for the area around 3345 to increase their positions. Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs). Target: 3380-3385 ​​(reduce half position), and look at 3400-3420 after breaking through 3392. Short strategy (cautious) Entry point: Try short with a light position when the price first touches 3390-3392 (needs a quick fall signal). Stop loss: above 3395. Target: 3375-3365 (short-term speculation callback). Mid-term layout: If the gold price stabilizes at 3400 after the non-agricultural data, you can arrange long orders with the target at 3450-3480. Market sentiment and risk warning Disagreement among retail investors: Some traders bet on continued weakness in non-agricultural data and arrange long orders in advance; other funds are waiting for the direction to be confirmed after the data is released. Institutional trends: Pay attention to the policy signals before the Fed's June interest rate meeting. If the employment data continues to weaken, the probability of a rate cut in September may rise to more than 50%. Risk events: Non-agricultural data deviates from expectations (especially the unemployment rate and wage growth rate). Geopolitics or unexpected hawkish remarks by Fed officials may disturb the market. Summary Gold's short-term technical and fundamental aspects are bullish, but we need to be wary of profit-taking before non-agricultural data. Trading discipline: Strictly stop loss, stop profit in batches, and avoid heavy bets on data. If the Asian and European sessions maintain a consolidation above 3360, the US session can choose to follow up with breakthrough long orders. Key question to think about: If the non-agricultural data is stronger than expected, where is the limit of gold's correction? Potential answer: 3300-3320 area (previous platform support + daily level trend line), then you can observe the stabilization signal and re-arrange long positions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Line_FX
XAUUSDThe trend of XAUUSD is fluctuating. Wednesday: XAUUSD in the Asian market rose sharply to 3372 and then quickly dropped to 3348. The current quotation is 3360. It is a good trading opportunity for traders who bought low yesterday. The lowest yesterday fell to 3333. The operating space fluctuates by about $40/ounce. Many people have no idea. The profit of trading 1 lot of buy orders is 4. The profit of trading 5 lots is 20k. This week is the monthly data news week. Including ADP. ECB interest rate decision, big non-agricultural data that have a significant impact on the economy. Trend observation. There is still an intention to continue to rise. In terms of operation, you can focus on buying at low levels. Pressure range: 3400-3390 Support range: 3340-3350 Under the influence of news. Many trends will be distorted due to the influence of data news. So I have been reminding you not to trade alone. If you want to follow good swing trading instructions to make reasonable trades and expand your profits, please leave us a message.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ludvig_Band_King
6.4 Gold Market6.4 Gold Market The Trump administration's "steel tariffs" caused gold to surge to around 3390. Yesterday's bottom of the correction touched around 3330. The current trend analysis shows that there are bullish protection actions at 3340 points. Today, you can go long based on 3344 as the support point. The ADP data will be released tonight. The 4-hour US dollar fell and went out of the five-wave decline. The typical five-wave decline may have to rebound. If the US dollar surges, the gold 3340 support level may not be able to protect. Today's strategy is still mainly long. However, if it fails to break through 3370 and falls below 3340, then you must pay attention to stop loss. BUY: around 3350 SL: 3340 TP: 3370-3400 Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementKey Elements & Analysis 1 Previous Price Action Descending Channel: Highlighted in dark blue indicating a strong bearish trend leading into the present Previous Ascending Channel A prior short-term bullish correction flag formation before continuing the downtrend 2 Support Zone A red rectangular zone at the bottom marks a strong support level where price recently bounced suggesting possible demand 3 Projected Price Movement Yellow Path A W-shaped bullish reversal pattern is forecasted indicating a potential recovery The movement is expected in 3 phases Initial bounce from the support zone Minor pullback Continuation of the uptrend to the target zone 4 Target Levels Level Initial Resistance 3326 Level Next Resistance 3345 Main Target 3362 marked in green with a label representing the anticipated bullish target
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by okako_trading
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Bullish Falling Wedge 🧠 **Technical Summary:** * **Pattern:** Falling wedge (bullish) * **Support Zone:** \$3,287 area (highlighted in green) * **Resistance Zones:** Two supply zones around \$3,340–\$3,360 and \$3,370–\$3,380 (marked in red) * **Current Price:** \~\$3,310 * **Projection:** Bounce from the lower wedge trendline or green support → consolidation → breakout to the upside --- ### 🔍 **Price Action Outlook:** * 📉 **Short-Term Bias:** Bearish until price tests the wedge bottom or hits demand near \$3,287 * 📈 **Medium-Term Bias:** Bullish if: * Price forms a double bottom or bullish structure near \$3,287 * Breaks out of wedge top with momentum * 🔄 **Invalidation:** Clean break below \$3,287 with no strong rejection would void the bullish wedge idea --- ### 📌 Trading Plan (based on chart): * **Watch for bullish reaction near \$3,287–\$3,300** * **Confirmation Entry:** After breakout and retest of wedge + break of supply (\~\$3,360) * **Targets:** \$3,400+ range * **Stop-loss:** Below \$3,280 swing low (conservative)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ttrade-With-Logic
The golden direction after non-agricultural 💡Strategy Review Gold fell sharply from a high on Friday. We insisted on high shorts. Although gold seemed to rebound strongly, it quickly fell back under pressure at 3375. Gold continued to short at 3370 and fell before the non-farm payrolls. Gold was bearish on the US non-farm payrolls. Gold continued to short at 3365 and finally fell sharply. Gold continued its two consecutive wins at high altitudes on Friday. Although gold has not reached our second target, it has fallen perfectly to our first target, and there is also room for profit of $70. So what will be the trend of gold in the future? At present, the short trend of gold is still strong. If it continues to fall below 3290 after opening, there will be a lot of room for further decline. 📊Technical aspects The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the gold 1-hour high box oscillation, gold finally fell below the box, indicating that the gold short position is better. Then the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the short-term 3340 line of gold has formed resistance to gold. If gold is under pressure at 3340 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be short. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3330-3340
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
1