Gold is rising due to the successive news report, so we will waiAlmost at this point we will face a cautious decline, if the break from the ascending line is achieved, the result will be good in the subsequent time.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold horizontal adjustment
The price of gold is currently in a steady upward trend. The price rebounded after touching the trend line support several times, indicating that the bulls are strong and the trend line provides important support. As long as the price remains above the trend line, the overall upward trend remains valid.
The hourly line is the Fibonacci retracement level from $2596.51 (low) to $2785.71 (high). The current price is supported near the Fibonacci 0.236 ($2741.06), which provides key support for short-term price corrections. If this support is effectively held, the price may rebound further and challenge the previous high of $2785.71.
If the price falls below the 0.236 retracement level, the next support target may be at 0.382 ($2713.44) and 0.5 ($2691.11). Among them, 0.618 ($2668.79) is usually the key support level for the end of the correction, which deserves close attention.
Resistance and Pattern
The recent high of $2763.59 constitutes a short-term resistance level, while the previous high of $2785.71 is a key level that bulls need to break through. The chart predicts that the price may form a new upward band, with a chance to test these resistance areas. In addition, the price showed signs of rebounding after a short-term correction near $2741.55, which further indicates that the market may be in the upward stage after a shock correction.
From a technical point of view, the price of gold is currently in a bullish dominant pattern. Although it may experience a correction in the short term, the overall trend remains bullish. If the price can stand firmly above $2741, the upward momentum may increase. Investors need to pay attention to the effectiveness of trend line support and the performance of Fibonacci key levels, while paying close attention to the impact of the Fed's policy and the trend of the US dollar on the price of gold.
XAU/USDXAU/USD
According to my analysis gold is currently bullish. Daily timeframe early buyer liquidity has been swept so now i am looking for a short term sell targeting the retail liquidity and my 4H imbalance.
My area of interest is at the most recent momentum gap which fits in line with my 71% fib level.
Price has also shown early seller liquidity with a previous Tokyo session high slightly lower.
I am waiting for all these areas to be swept, Momentum gap to be filled and my 71% fib level to be tapped into before placing my sell position.
SL - 2.786
TP - 2.718
XAU/USD SELL $$$
Price hit 1-hour resistance. Asian floor liquidity absorbed. Now the best scenario is a bearish BOS formation and confirmation in the order block area. At the moment I do not see a specific order block to enter with confirmation. Scenario 2: Asian ceiling liquidity absorption and lower timeframe confirmation for selling
Short gold when it hits 2820-2830 areaDear traders, gold has shown exceptional strength after breaking through the 2800 level, with aggressive buying flows providing strong support while simultaneously limiting downside retracements. Based on the current gold market structure, there remains upside potential, with prices likely to revisit the 2620-2630 range.
However, market sentiment currently plays a more dominant role than technical factors. As strong buying pressure fuels a short squeeze rally, a shift in sentiment could lead to the formation of a high wave candle on the chart, with gold potentially retesting the 2800-2790 support zone.
Given these conditions, I do not advocate chasing long positions at current levels for short-term trades. Instead, a more prudent approach would be to consider initiating long positions if gold retraces to the 2800-2790 support and holds above it. Conversely, if prices reach the 2620-2630 region, we can look for opportunities to short gold again.
Bros, do you still have the courage to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Bulls About to Collapse!Gold is pretty much sitting on its last leg and exhausting all its bullish momentum.
⭕️Major Wave 5 Complete.
⭕️Wave V Close To Completion.
⭕️WAITING On Change To Bearish Structure.
Possible areasIdea posted on 2025/02/04
XAAUSD has been retracing to it previous high levels, possible it will retrace to these levels before heading up.
Gold - This Breakout Will Lead To $5.000!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is preparing a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than one and a half decades, Gold has been respecting the structure of a rising channel pattern with one exception. Back in 2010 we saw a bullish breakout followed by a parabolic rally and as we are speaking, Gold is starting to break out of the channel once again.
Levels to watch: $2.900, $5.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD Seasonality bear cooming?"I see a wave 5 pattern here. Good take a sell position on XAUUSD at the 2,882.5 and SL at 2940 area with a target drop to 2,384."
Disclaimer:
"This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions."
XAU/USDGold remains in a strong uptrend but is currently testing a key resistance zone near $2,820. A rejection from this level could lead to a corrective move toward the $2,740-$2,720 support area, aligning with trendline support. A deeper pullback could extend toward $2,660 if bearish momentum increases.
However, a breakout above $2,820 with strong volume could push price toward new highs, with the next target around $2,850-$2,860. Current sentiment is bullish but overextended, so waiting for confirmation of either a rejection or breakout is crucial for the next move.
XAUUSD SELL NOW 🔥 XAU/USD SELL SIGNAL 🔥
📉 Gold (XAU/USD) approaching key resistance at 2,818! Rejection expected, signaling a strong SELL opportunity!
🔽 Entry: 2,811
✅ TP1: 2,809
✅ TP2: 2,778
✅TP3: 2,773
📌 SL: 2,821.5
🚀Queen Signal in action! Secure profits and ride the wave! 👑
Gold Hits Record Highs, But Is It Really at Its Peak?Gold has surged to new highs, but is it truly at its all-time high when adjusted for inflation? In this video, we break down historical gold price trends, inflation’s impact, and why the real all-time high was actually in 1980.
We also analyze key technical levels, the latest breakout to $2,862, and what could push gold toward $3,000. Could we see even higher prices? Or are we in for another long-term correction like in the 1980s?
📊 Key Topics Covered:
Recent breakout and price targets
Inflation-adjusted gold prices since 1928
Why the 1980 high still hasn’t been surpassed
Lessons from past gold cycles
🔥 Let us know in the comments – Do you think gold will break past $3,000, or is it overbought?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Bullish projections for GOLDA couple of confluences indicate that Gold will continue its bullish rally. First and most important is an overall trend quite bullish yet showing no signs of a proper reversal trend. Moreover, we can also see the pattern of AB=CD, and the values of this pattern are according to the standard which means that if "C" retracement happens at .5 then the projection of "BC=2" and in our case these conditions have been met. Right now price is almost touching the last HH of 2791.64 and in this scenario, we can see some healthy retracement or maybe bearish divergence which will push the price downwards and then surpass the last HH.
THE IMPENDING DECLINE OF GOLD AMID THE AI BUBBLE BURSTWhile you may think AI isn't in a bubble, keep in mind that Nvidia is 80% overvalued. This explains why over 500billion USD evaporated in one day. The DeepSeek AI bubble burst has likely triggered a cascade of financial disruptions, ultimately leading to the decline in gold prices. As the AI sector collapses, investors bullish in AI stocks face massive losses, creating a liquidity crunch. They will need to cover margin calls and losses by liquidating assets including gold, to raise cash, mirroring past market crises. This forced selling will pressure gold prices downward, even as central banks increase their holdings as a hedge against uncertainty.
Simultaneously, central banks are dumping U.S. Treasuries, why? This is due to deep economic and geopolitical uncertainties, a tougher global capital requirement by the BIS(Bank for International Settlements), thereby driving up yields. Higher Treasury rates make gold, which offers no yield, less attractive to investors seeking returns in a volatile market. The rising dollar, bolstered by higher rates, will further weigh on gold, as it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers.
Note: Although central banks’ gold purchases provide some support, they are not enough to offset the broader market dynamics. The combination of distressed selling, rising yields, and a stronger dollar will overwhelm gold’s traditional safe-haven appeal. In this environment, gold will fall, demonstrating that even its status as a store of value can be undermined by systemic financial stress.
How to Identify Smart Money Moves & Execute High-Probability Tra📊 Mastering Institutional Liquidity & Volume Footprint Trading in Gold (XAU/USD) 🔥
How to Identify Smart Money Moves & Execute High-Probability Trades
📚 Introduction: Understanding Volume Footprint & Institutional Liquidity
Why is Volume Footprint Crucial for Trading?
Volume footprint charts reveal the actual buy and sell pressure at different price levels. Unlike standard candlestick charts, they show:
✔️ Where institutions are placing large orders
✔️ Absorption zones (where smart money accumulates positions)
✔️ Aggressive buying/selling areas (momentum zones)
✔️ Liquidity grabs (where stop-losses get hit to fuel bigger moves)
This analysis will teach you how to read footprint volume data, identify institutional trading zones, and execute high-probability trades in Gold (XAU/USD).
🔍 Step 1: Analyzing Yesterday’s Trading Sessions & Institutional Behavior
1️⃣ Asian Session (Pre-Positioning, Low Volume)
• Market ranged between 2,756 - 2,758 with minimal volatility.
• Institutions were not actively trading, only minor order placement.
• Key observation: Early bid absorption at 2,756, a possible sign of accumulation.
2️⃣ London Session (Volatility Increase, Institutional Pre-Staging)
• Price attempted to break above 2,761, but it was quickly rejected.
• This suggests institutions were building short positions at higher levels (distribution phase).
• Simultaneously, buy orders were still present around 2,756 → this is a liquidity battle zone.
3️⃣ New York Session (📌 Institutional Execution Phase, Highest Volume)
• This session had the most trading volume, meaning smart money was active.
• Major bid absorption at 2,756, showing institutions were accumulating long positions.
• Price spiked to 2,785.82, but heavy selling between 2,761-2,765 occurred.
• Institutions engineered a liquidity grab below before pushing higher → a classic smart money play.
📌 Key Takeaway:
Institutions accumulated liquidity at 2,756, then offloaded positions between 2,761-2,765. This provides insight into tomorrow’s key levels.
——
📊 Step 2: Volume Footprint Analysis (Where Institutions Are Placing Orders)
🔹 Bullish Institutional Liquidity Zones (Smart Money Buy Areas)
• 2,730 - 2,740 → This zone had a strong liquidity grab before a sharp bullish move.
• 2,756 → Heavy buy absorption, meaning institutions are likely defending this level.
🔸 Bearish Institutional Liquidity Zones (Smart Money Sell Areas)
• 2,761 - 2,765 → Strong aggressive selling & rejection, indicating institutions offloaded long positions and started shorting.
📌 Institutional Footprint Clues:
✔️ Buyers Absorbed Supply at 2,756 → This confirms that institutions are accumulating longs.
✔️ Sellers Stepped in Aggressively at 2,761-2,765 → This is the key resistance zone.
✔️ If price returns to 2,756, institutions will likely defend it again.
📅 Step 3: Tomorrow’s Trading Outlook & Price Action Forecast
🔮 Market Bias: Bullish With Resistance at 2,761-2,765
• Institutional behavior suggests buyers are in control, but sellers are active at 2,761-2,765.
• If 2,756 holds, we can expect another push to 2,770-2,780.
• If 2,756 breaks, price may hunt liquidity down to 2,730 before reversing higher.
📍 Key Support & Resistance Levels
• Major Support: 2,756 (Institutional Buy Zone) & 2,730 (Liquidity Grab Area).
• Major Resistance: 2,761-2,765 (Institutional Sell Zone).
• Breakout Target: If 2,765 breaks, price could push toward 2,780+.
——
📈 Step 4: High-Probability Trade Setups for Tomorrow
Scenario 1: Bullish Trade Setup (If 2,756 Holds as Support)
✅ Order Type: Buy Limit @ 2,756
🎯 Take Profit: 2,770 - 2,780
⛔ Stop Loss: 2,748
📊 Confidence Level: 75%
📌 Why? Institutional buying at 2,756 confirms smart money accumulation.
Scenario 2: Bearish Trade Setup (If 2,761 Rejects Again)
✅ Order Type: Sell Limit @ 2,761
🎯 Take Profit: 2,745
⛔ Stop Loss: 2,767
📊 Confidence Level: 70%
📌 Why? Institutions sold heavily at 2,761-2,765, meaning they might do it again.
Scenario 3: Liquidity Grab & Reversal (If 2,756 Breaks Down)
✅ Order Type: Buy Limit @ 2,730
🎯 Take Profit: 2,756 - 2,765
⛔ Stop Loss: 2,720
📊 Confidence Level: 80%
📌 Why? Smart money often triggers stop-hunts before reversing.
———
🚀 Step 5: Execution Strategy & Smart Trading Tips
1️⃣ If price stays above 2,756 → Look for bullish continuation toward 2,770-2,780.
2️⃣ If price breaks below 2,756 → Watch for a liquidity grab at 2,730 before a reversal.
3️⃣ If price tests 2,761 and rejects → Consider a short-term sell opportunity down to 2,745.
🧠 Pro Tip: How to Confirm Institutional Activity Before Entering a Trade
📌 Look for footprint volume confirmation:
✔️ If you see strong bid absorption at 2,756, it’s a strong buy signal.
✔️ If you see stacked sell orders at 2,761, it’s a short confirmation.
✔️ If volume suddenly dries up after a sharp move, it’s often a sign of trend exhaustion.
———
💡 Final Takeaway: How to Use This Information in Your Trading
✅ Understand where institutions are placing big orders.
✅ Trade in alignment with smart money, not against them.
✅ Look for liquidity grab zones before major moves.
✅ Use footprint volume to confirm whether a move is genuine or a trap.
💰 Trade smart. Follow the liquidity. Bank the profits.
📌 If this educational breakdown helped, consider supporting the analysis!
Tariffs Fail to Spark Gold RallyGold fell below $2,780 per ounce as the strengthening U.S. dollar outweighed safe-haven demand following the U.S. decision to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods and a 10% levy on Chinese imports, set to take effect on Tuesday. Although such developments typically stimulate demand for gold, the appreciating dollar and interest rate outlook are limiting upward pressure. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers while the inflationary effects of tariffs could keep borrowing costs high, weighing on the appeal of non-yielding assets like bullion. Some investors also engaged in profit-taking after gold recently hit a record high, further contributing to its decline.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2817 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Gold (XAUUSD) - End of January AnalysisGold shoots to all-time highs with no sign of slowing down.
It’s like, the more pain and hardship that we all feel benefits the upwards notion of Gold.
The markets loved the idea that tariffs were being implemented in Canada, Mexico and China but the bigger question is…. how long can this last for?
XAUUSD SELL AT SUPPLY ZONE SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on XAUUSD price form a supply around level of resistance and is likely to move down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 2738.578 and 2705.835 .Use money management
Gold Surges on Tariff Concerns and Global Central Bank Easing Gold neared $2,800 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high as Trump’s renewed tariff threats fueled demand for safe-haven assets amid trade war fears.
The rally was also supported by dovish central bank policies. The ECB cut rates, the BoC ended quantitative tightening, and the Riksbank eased policy. The PBoC and RBI signaled looser monetary stances. Meanwhile, the Fed held rates steady, reinforcing expectations for two cuts later this year. Gold is on track for its biggest monthly gain since March 2024.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2800 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2820 and 2858 consequently. On the downside, 2730 will be the first support level. 2660 and 2630 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
XAUUSD BULLISH SETUP [Read Caption]Hello Followers I am going to publish my very first technical setup on XAUUSD, So share your opinion in comments about my analysis..
XAUUSD is currently working in a parallel channel, XAUUSD is going for long cause it has already touched the support of parallel channel s lower line and now it is breaking the middle line of parallel channel. According to my analysis XAUUSD will reach to 2800 if it break the resistance 2782. If XAUUSD fall from here then will thee is a pivot area around 2749 if it also break this then will reach the next support around 2730.
KEY POINTS:
CURRENT PRICE 2769.00
RESISTANCE AREA 2782.00
TARGET 2800.00
PIVOT 2749.00
SUPPOER AREA 2730/2725
feel free to support my charts and also share it with your friends if you love my charts..
XAUUSD Major short-term Buy Signal just flashed!Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since exactly the start of the year. This structure has held clear the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) since January 06 and the most optimal buy entry of the last 3 times has been issued on the 1H MA100 (green trend-line).
This is the level that the metal touched today and is already rebounding past the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). Along with the 1H RSI reaching its most efficient Support level (oversold barrier of 30.00) and rebounding, this is the strongest short-term buy signal.
Each such signal reached at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous High. As a result, our short-term Target is 2810.
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