TP 3288-3295 Last tp of this cycle As its been long awaited target 🎯 we now approaching this yearly top of trend to complete its wave count my expectations we drop from 3290 plus minus few pips and stabilisation around 3080 plus minus few points then next some up and down momentum then slowly we will complete retrace now question is this end of entire bull cycle of all financial instruments stocks bonds crypto etc possibly yes this will be end of giga bull run of 100 years cycle 🔃
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD-Bullish rally continuation (scalp position)I am expecting a drop to 3,283–3,290 then a bullish reversal because of the bullish FVG at 3,283–3,295, but 1st expect stop runs before a continuation up (Below 3,283) to the resistance at 3,332 where there is a sell order block(institutional sellzone).
XAUUSD Technicals🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: ~ $3,345 – $3,360
Minor Resistance: ~ $3,330
Pivot Zone: ~ $3,305 – $3,310
Support: Around $3,290 (not shown but implied if break continues)
💡 Price Action Insights:
Strong bearish candle broke below the pivot with high volume (big red arrow). This could be a liquidity grab or a genuine breakdown.
The chart shows a possible fakeout scenario – price dips below pivot, sucks in sellers, then reverses to trap them and push higher.
Projection path suggests:
Bounce back above pivot
Break minor resistance
Push to resistance zone (~$3,360)
Confirmation needed: A strong bullish candle reclaiming the pivot on increasing volume.
🧠 Volume Clue:
Notice the volume spike on the break of pivot.
If this is absorption (buyers taking in sells), reversal is likely.
If follow-through selling comes next, expect deeper drop.
✅ What to Watch:
If price reclaims the pivot with a strong green candle, expect a push to $3,330–$3,345+; if it’s rejected with a weak bounce, it may drop back to $3,290–$3,280; and if it breaks below the pivot again on high volume, anticipate a bearish trend continuation.
Gold: A textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!📌 Gold has surged over $400 in just six trading days—a textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!
Yesterday, gold broke above the 3300 psychological barrier and is now trading above 3360. While safe-haven demand driven by escalating trade tensions is part of the reason, such a rapid and steep rally is clearly unsustainable.
⚠️ If you enter at these levels and get trapped, trying to "hold and hope" could result in facing $100+ of price swings—a dangerous gamble for most traders.
👉 Experienced traders might manage this volatility with scalping or short-term strategies to mitigate losses or even turn a profit.
❌ But if you don’t have that level of skill, don’t chase this rally blindly.
✅ Suggested approach:
Scale into short positions gradually, or
Wait for clear topping signals before going short
Missing this rally isn’t the end—some of the best opportunities come during corrections. Profit potential remains strong on the way down.
🎯 Bearish targets:
Short-term: 3312 → 3291 → 3250
Mid-term: 3196 → 3137
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Wednesday. We have some big news today here in the U.S. Powell will be speaking today, which always brings a lot of volitility. Gold is on a rip up into uncharted terrirtory, making new highs and could just rip up some more. Saying all this, I am watching my area of interest marked on the chart. I will see how the next hour and 4 hour candle close out. I will update or post again as we get closer to the Pre NY volume / NY open. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. Trade carefully today.
Major Life Update: I Left the United Nation to Trade Full TimeAfter 11+ years of working in some of the toughest crisis zones — Jordan, Turkey, Syria, Iraq, HQ Geneva, and Ukraine — I’ve officially stepped down from my role as Head of the Information Management Team for the Health Cluster – World Health Organization – Ukraine Office.
It wasn’t easy.
But it was time.
The pressure, the politics, the burnout… it all started to weigh too heavy. And somewhere along the way, I realized I wasn’t living — I was just surviving.
And with the recent UN funding cuts — especially following the decision by Trump to halt contributions — it became clear that working in the humanitarian system is no longer something I can rely on for long-term stability or financial security for my family.
Trading changed that for me.
It gave me space to think, to breathe, and to build something that’s mine. It taught me discipline, patience, and how to trust myself again.
So now, I’m stepping into a new chapter — full-time day trader.
Not chasing the noise. Just sticking to my setups, showing up every day, and trusting the process.
I’m sharing this here because honestly, everyone following me feels like my new big family — and to the good friends I’ve made in this community, thank you for being part of this journey.
This isn’t the end of the road. It’s a new one.
And I’m walking it fully awake this time.
Wish me luck, see you in the minds section :)
Moe,
#TradingLife #Mindset #DayTrader #Resignation #LifeShift #NewChapter #FinancialFreedom #SeeYouInTheMindsSection
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (3260) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (3150) Swing/Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 3470 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💴💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bullishness).., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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XAUUSD – Bearish if Trendline Breaks, Bullish Continuation AboveOn the 1H/4H chart, XAUUSD is currently respecting a rising trendline.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below the lower trendline, we could see a strong bearish move towards the 3125 support zone. This would indicate a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If the trendline holds, bulls may take control again, pushing the price up toward the 3500 resistance zone.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3125
Resistance: 3500
Trendline: Watch price action around it closely.
⚠️ This setup depends heavily on how the market reacts to the trendline. Wait for confirmation (like a strong breakout candle and volume spike) before entering.
Analysis of the latest trend of gold market on April 16:
Interpretation of news:
Risk aversion cools down
Gold rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of $3245.51/ounce during the session before turning down and finally closing at $3210.39 (down 0.85%). The main reason is that the White House exempted some electronic products from high tariffs, and the market risk appetite rebounded.
Key focus events:
Expectations of the Fed's policy shift: If the risk of economic recession increases, the Fed may suspend interest rate hikes or even cut interest rates, which will support gold in the long run
Geopolitical and tariff dynamics: The final scale of US tariffs on China and the trend of the June FOMC meeting may trigger market fluctuations.
Daily data: US import price index in March, New York Fed manufacturing index in April, and financial reports of Bank of America, Citigroup, etc.
Weekly major events: Fed Chairman Powell's speech + US "terrorist data" (retail sales), or further clarify the policy path.
Key points of long-short game
Favorable factors: potential economic recession, Fed's shift to easing, and geopolitical uncertainty.
Negative factors: short-term risk sentiment improved, dollar rebounded, technical overbought callback demand.
Technical analysis:
Daily level
Peak risk: Monday closed negative and failed to stand at the 3245 high. If it fails to break through this level on Tuesday and Wednesday, it may confirm the stage top and start a deep callback.
Key support: 3200-3205 area (previous breakthrough level), if it fails, it will look down to 3180-3150.
H4 cycle
Short-term trend: Currently holding the Bollinger middle rail (near 3195), if it remains above this, it may rise to the 3235-3245 range again.
MACD indicator: If a dead cross is formed and the momentum weakens, the callback signal will be strengthened.
Operation strategy
Short-term:
Short-term opportunity: Rebound to the 3230-3235 pressure zone and try short with a light position, stop loss above 3245, target 3210-3200.
Long position opportunity: Go long after the pullback to the 3200-3205 support band stabilizes, stop loss below 3190, target 3220-3230.
Mid-term: If the daily line closes negative continuously and falls below 3200, you can arrange a short position with a target of 3150-3100; on the contrary, if it breaks through 3245, chase the long position and look at 3280.
Key points:
Resistance: 3230-3235 (intraday strength and weakness boundary), 3245 (historical high).
Support: 3205-3200 (bull and bear competition area), 3195 (H4 middle track), 3180 (neckline).
Risk warning:
Be alert to Powell's speech releasing hawkish signals or retail data exceeding expectations, which may trigger a rebound in the US dollar and a sharp drop in gold.
If the geopolitical situation escalates (such as the conflict in the Middle East), the safe-haven property of gold will be highlighted again.
Conclusion: Gold is facing technical correction pressure in the short term, but the medium- and long-term bullish logic remains unchanged. It is recommended to focus on high shorts during the day, strictly stop losses, and pay close attention to news catalysts.
XAUUSD sell The daily chart shows that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has re-entered the overbought region, currently near 71, warranting caution for buyers.
If they manage to sustain above the $3,275 level on a daily closing basis, a test of the $3,300 mark will be inevitable, opening the door toward the $3,350 psychological mark.
Conversely, the initial support aligns at the $3,200 threshold, below which the April 11 low of $3,176 will be challenged.
Additional declines could test the $3,100 round level, where the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance-turned-support closes in.
XAUUSD sell 3270
Support 3250
Support 3240
GOLDMASTER1| GOLD 15MIN---
XAUUSD 15M Analysis — Smart Money Concept in Action!
Price is climbing towards the Buyside Liquidity at 3,226.275 after filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once liquidity is tapped, expecting a bearish reaction targeting the Bullish Order Block zone around 3,207.771.
Patience and precision — let the setup come to you!
Trust the process, follow the liquidity.
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #FVG #LiquidityHunt #OrderBlock #ForexTrader #TradingSetup #MarketStructure
GOLDMASTER1---
Sell OpportunityThe gold spot is currently bearish due to a combination of factors including rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar, which reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Additionally, hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, suggesting potential for prolonged higher interest rates to combat inflation, have dampened investor demand for safe-haven assets. Market sentiment has also shifted towards risk-on, with equities and other risk assets gaining ground, further weakening gold's position. As technical indicators show downward momentum and gold prices struggle to hold key support levels, the bearish outlook remains intact in the short term.
GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs).
Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025.
Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
Gold will fall to close the gap.📉 Technical Overview:
Price broke down from a rising channel, signaling a potential reversal.
A bearish flag/descending triangle is forming, showing continued selling pressure.
Multiple rejections at the trendline and EMAs confirm bearish sentiment.
Price is trading below key EMAs and below the 200 MA → bearish confirmation.
A minor support has been broken several times → weak buyer defense.
📍 Trade Plan:
Stop Loss: 3220 (130 pips)
Take Profit: 3176 (gap fill target)
RR: 2.3
✅ Summary: Structure break + lower highs & lows + rejection at resistance suggests price may continue falling toward the 3176 area to close the gap.
Potential SELL Setup INCOMMING! Potentially***OANDA:XAUUSD
We know the market is EXTREMELY BULLISH HOWEVER
*If last ATH highs are used as Psychological Levels in the market (2952) was grabbed before +1000 pip move to the downside.
*We are at the same price levels psychologically of 3055.
*Higher TF Move Based on 1Hr an 4HR rejections at price levels 3035 - 3042.
*Anything breaks and closes above these levels, this idea will be INVALIDATED.
*Break an Closures below support will give way for a fresh wave of sellers to step in to push price further down to 3000 levels, WITH POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER 1000 pip.
American Session Will Confirm or Deny what was said here.
-Price Action
-Fibonacci
-Technical Analysis
This is not financial advice.
4.21 Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:
Analysis of Key Influencing Factors
Risk-averse sentiment supports
The escalation of Sino-US trade frictions and concerns about global economic recession continue to stimulate risk-averse demand, and gold remains attractive as a safe-haven asset.
If the geopolitical or trade situation deteriorates further, gold prices may hit new highs.
Fed policy expectations
Despite strong US retail data and Powell's "no rate cut for the time being" signal, the market is still betting on a possible rate cut in June (CME FedWatch tool shows a probability of about 50%), and the dollar's upside is limited, which supports gold.
Technical overbought and divergence
The daily and H4 cycles show a top divergence signal, and there is a need for a correction in the short term. The historical high of 3357 may form a period of pressure.
The Good Friday holiday on Friday may lead to some longs taking profits, and we need to be wary of fluctuations caused by insufficient liquidity.
Technical points and operation strategies
Key support and resistance
Upper resistance: 3315-3325 (short-term pressure zone), 3357 (historical high)
Lower support: 3280-3270 (first target of callback), 3230-3200 (strong support zone)
Operation ideas
Short-term callback long opportunities
If it stabilizes in the 3280-3270 area (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level + previous low support), you can lightly position long orders, stop loss below 3250, and target 3310-3320.
Steady strategy: wait for the price to break through 3325 and then confirm the callback before following up with long orders, with a target of 3350.
High-level short-selling opportunities
If it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area under pressure and there are stagflation signals (such as long upper shadows, hourly MACD dead cross), you can try short orders, stop loss above 3335, and target 3280-3270.
Aggressive strategy: If it falls below 3270 directly, you can chase the short position to 3230, but you need to enter and exit quickly.
Breakout follow-up strategy
Break above 3357: Wait for a pullback to 3340 to go long, with a target of 3380-3400.
Breaking below 3270: Pay attention to the support of 3230. If it stabilizes, you can backhand long orders; if it continues to fall below, the trend will turn bearish.
Risk warning
Liquidity risk: After the market closed on Friday, there may be a gap on Monday, so you need to be cautious in holding positions.
Data and events: Next week, focus on US GDP, PCE inflation data and speeches by Fed officials. If the economic data is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the expectation of "delaying interest rate cuts", which is bearish for gold.
Divergence correction: The technical top divergence may trigger a rapid correction, and strict stop loss is required to avoid carrying orders.
Summary
Next week, gold is likely to show a trend of high-level fluctuations-correction-and then choose the direction. The main idea is to go long at a low level after the correction, but be wary of technical correction risks. Short-term traders need to flexibly switch between long and short positions, while medium and long-term investors can wait for a pullback to the 3230-3200 area to place long orders. It is recommended to control the position within 5% and set a stop loss protection.
GOLD - Wave V Bull Pending?! (1H UPDATE)I’m waiting on a final Wave V push towards $3,362 - $3,372 to complete its final leg up. Upon completion of this we’ll wait for a ‘BOS’, where I’ll look to enter sell’s.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave V Pending.
⭕️Distribution Schematic Forming.
⭕️DXY Still Hasn’t Bottomed.