GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD EYES 3,360 BREAKOUT – IS THIS THE BUY SETUP?Gold is currently trading around $3,355, up 18 pips from yesterday. The bullish momentum is fueled by rising trade tensions as Trump imposes 35–50% tariffs on Canada and Brazil, along with a weakening USD and falling U.S. bond yields.
Technically, gold maintains a clear uptrend with higher lows. The $3,360 zone is now a key breakout level — if breached, price could surge toward $3,432. As long as gold holds above $3,250, the bullish structure remains intact.
What’s your move — breakout or pullback?
Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400Gold price summary: will continue to rise to $3,400
Analysis of the latest gold news (as of July 12, 2025)
1. Macroeconomics and monetary policy
The market generally pays attention to the interest rate meeting on July 29-30.
If the Fed sends a dovish signal, it may further enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset.
However, the non-farm payrolls data in June showed that the labor market is still resilient, and the pressure to cut interest rates in the short term is limited.
The US dollar index continued to weaken, and the medium- and long-term depreciation trend has not changed, providing monetary support for gold.
2. Geopolitical risks are heating up
The situation in the Middle East has escalated
Israel arrested a special agent team of the Iranian "Quds Force" in southern Syria, triggering escalation of regional tensions.
At the same time, the Houthi armed forces used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel, resulting in obstruction of Red Sea shipping and a 300% surge in aviation insurance costs, further boosting the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to ferment
The Russian army announced that it had completely controlled the entire territory of Luhansk, and the United States suspended some military aid to Ukraine, and the situation on the battlefield was stalemate.
Geopolitical risks and global central bank gold purchases (China has increased its holdings to 73.9 million ounces for eight consecutive months) highlight the value of gold as a "crisis hedge tool."
Technical Analysis
Key resistance: $3,370
Short-term support moves up to $3,330.
Macro support: 3300 (psychological support), 3277 (trend line support), 3247 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level).
Macro resistance: 3370 (61.8% retracement level), 3400 (psychological barrier), 3452 (previous high).
Short-term trend:
Breaking through key resistance:
Gold price breaks through the upper track of the triangle pattern ($3327) and the $3350 resistance level (50% Fibonacci retracement level), and the short-term technical side is strong.
Operation strategy
Long position:
Pull back to 3320-3330 range to go long
Stop loss at $3310
Target at $3380-3400.
Be cautious about shorting
Oscillating range strategy:
If the price stabilizes at $3350-3365, it may further hit $3400; start a new round of rise.
If it falls below $3300, it may fall to the support level of 3277-3247.
Gold - Sell inboundGold is looking very promising for another sell off. we are already showing signs that price has intent to move lower with some lower timeframe break of structure.
Just waiting for a manipulation now of the most recent highs put in before price moves lower.
Let's see if we get an entry tonight.
Key point layout suggestionsThe current gold market is showing a weak rebound pattern. Although there was a small rebound on Wednesday, if it cannot stand above 3330, the overall trend will still be weak.
From the daily level, the support level is 3300 and the resistance level is 3335. The price is oscillating between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, and there is a possibility of upward or downward breakthrough.
Focus on the H4 cycle trend: if the rebound can stand above 3330, the price may further rise to 3335 US dollars;
Once it stands at 3335, it can be basically confirmed that the callback is over, and the subsequent challenge of 3345 resistance level may be repeated.
It is recommended to adopt a long-on-dip strategy near the support level, focusing on the support strength of the 3310-15 area below; the resistance level of 3335-3340 should be paid attention to above.
In terms of specific operations, if the price rebounds to the 3335-3340 range, short selling can be considered; if it pulls back to the 3310-3315 range, long selling can be considered.
Gold reverses on new Bull legTechnical analysis: Gold has made an important Bullish step towards full scale Hourly 4 chart’s reversal as it almost recovered the #3,330.80 pressure point. That makes Hourly 4 chart practically Neutral but leaning on the Bullish side, however well Supported within #3,300’s belt now, which has held on multiple occasions so far. As mentioned throughout my remarks, Hourly 4 chart is still Neutral as said, but invalidated Descending Channel has expanded giving me Buying signs that Gold may test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark on current Fundamental mix (if #3,337.80 gets invalidated, Gold can kick-start aggressive upswing towards #3,345.80 zone / wall of Resistance lines first and #3,352.80 benchmark in extension. Gold was mainly correlated with DX during first Months of the Year as there was no shift which lifts the probability that July will also be DX Month is (#91.99%) since Bond Yields were on downtrend, taking strong hammering and broke all Support zones, and Gold was also on Short-term decline which confirms my Gold - DX correlation on #Q1 opening, so look for pointers there. Remember, when you are unsure of the Medium-term direction on Gold always look for clues on DX and Trade accordingly. Only when DX Trades on Weekly chart’s Higher High’s Lower zone, I will be able to note with a Higher degree of certainty that the Bearish reversal on Gold is sustainable.
My position: I was Selling Gold until #3,282.80 all the way and was aware that if #3,277.80 - #3,282.80 gets invalidated, Gold will continue with the decline, and reversal there will deliver Bullish leg. I have engaged #3,284.80 Buying order and closed near #3,300.80 benchmark. Then re-Sold aggressively from #3,304.80 towards #3,298.80. Bought #3,307.80 and kept my order all the way towards #3,315.80. Current session I will re-Buy Gold with Scalp orders aggressively, do not Sell today / my practical suggestion.
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,298.60 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,312.65.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD short movePrice is rising towards our supply zone, any bearish reaction cloud lead price to fall.
GOLD GOLDi, i see trading as probability and it helps me stay guided .we are heading to a hiigher sell zone 3340-3337
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025
Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher.
Entry:
Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone.
Stop Loss (SL):
Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support.
Target (TP):
Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low)
Resistance Levels:
3317.5
3222.9
3326.2 (Final Target)
Market Structure Notes:
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum.
Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025XAUUSD 7/6/2025
XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
Back to bullish here on Gold but that comes as no surprise when you look at the higher timeframe trends.
I’m mainly considering long scenarios for the week ahead but let's take a look at two for the week ahead:
4hour bearish continuation - Currently we can see price action broke above 3,320.00 resistance and is currently looking to find some footing. We’re keeping an eye out for higher lows at or near this level to then consider long scenarios. 3,395.000 seems like a good target but gold has potential to go higher.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to consider short positions on gold we would need to see a break back below our 3,320.000 zone. Look for confirmed lower highs below 3,320.000 and target lower key support levels if this happens.
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? !
In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again.
Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270.
So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of our short-term short position.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 10 July 25Hello Traders,
as you can see that GOLD is stuck in tight range between 3300-3330 all eyes on clear breakout for now
further only market will break clearly 3345 level then we will consider market will move further advance below 3300 GOLD will move towards 3250
Scalping Range 3300 - 3330 for the short time period
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat!
The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets.
Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure.
Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality.
What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
XAUUSDXAUUSD in short/ Mid term we gonna go to 3500.
Longterm its 5K, like i already mention in 2022
Gold is probably gonna buy from support level back to resistanceAfter gold buys off from support, it’s gonna retest the resistance and finally break out from the support to give a clear down trend.👑
Precision Over Emotion – XAUUSD 1H Supply Zone📉 Trade Breakdown:
Caught the first entry off a 1H supply zone which is on my previous post “Bait. Trigger. Collapse!” but price came back up, tagged my entry, and stopped me out at breakeven. No overreacting. No revenge. Just stayed patient and focused.
Now price is pushing back into a new 1H supply zone (📍3324–3330) with clean structure and confluences — setting up for a high-probability second shot at the play.
⸻
🔍 Key Confluences:
✅ Clean 1H Supply Zone: 3324–3330
✅ Still in bearish market structure — no bullish break
✅ Prior drop was impulsive, showing institutional rejection
✅ Current price action is slow and corrective on the pullback
✅ Zone aligns with previous imbalance and supply block = 🔥 smart money interest
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup:
Looking for confirmation entry inside the 3324–3330 zone.
Avoiding early entries — focused on sniper execution only.
⸻
📌 Execution Plan:
1. Wait for price to enter 3324–3330
→ No entry until price fully taps the zone
→ Be patient, no front-running
2. Watch for confirmation on the 5m–15m timeframe
→ Bearish engulfing
→ Long wick rejection
→ Break of structure or internal shift
3. Enter with tight stop above 3330
→ SL: ~5–8 pips above 3330 (depending on rejection)
→ TP1: 3305
→ TP2: 3284
→ TP3: Let runner breathe to 3270s if momentum is strong
4. Manage risk dynamically
→ Break even after 1:1
→ Trail below 15m highs once TP1 hits
→ No overexposure — this is a sniper play, not a lottery ticket
⸻
🧠 Mindset:
I already got stopped once — but I don’t fold.
Every setup either pays or teaches.
I don’t chase. I wait for price to earn my entry.
This time it’s cleaner. This time it’s patient.
And this time, it’s calculated.
“Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
Gold Drops to 3,284 – Short-Term Support at Risk📊 Market Overview
Gold fell sharply this morning to $3,284/oz amid a modest USD rebound and profit-taking pressure following several range-bound sessions. The lack of fresh catalysts also contributed to weaker momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: 3,315 – 3,330
• Nearest Support: 3,280 – 3,275
• EMA 09: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on both the H1 and H4 timeframes → short-term bearish signal
• Candle Patterns & Momentum:
– H1 candle shows a bearish engulfing pattern near the 3,305 area → confirms downward pressure
– RSI is below 45, MACD has crossed below its signal line → bearish momentum dominant
– If the 3,275 level is breached, gold could continue to fall toward 3,260
📌 Outlook
Gold is leaning toward further downside unless it can hold above the 3,280 support level during today’s session.
💡 Trade Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,295 – 3,398
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,275 – 3,278
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,269
