XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. So here we are at the end of the day and my chart did not need to be changed. We failied to break out above or below the current range that gold is trading in. Saying that, the chart is still valid for small scalp trade set ups. Maybe the overnight sessions will bring some direction. Either way, I will check back during the London session or when Pre NY volume starts tomorrow morning at about 7:30 am est here in the US. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how things play out during the overnight sessions.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Like I said on the last update, Gold is currently going through a strong 'accumulation' phase for buyers, hence why we're seeing these choppy price actions, trying to liquidate buyers.
As long as Gold is ABOVE THE WAVE 2 LOW, market structure still favours buyers. Breaking below this low, will invalidate bullish structure.
Wave 2 Invalidation Level - $3,245โ
Accurately grasp the interest rate trend, today's gold layout๐ฐ Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
๐ Market analysis:
I told you yesterday that 3363 is not the recent low. Today's lowest point has reached around 3347. The current day's K-line closed with a medium-sized negative line with balanced upper and lower shadows. The shape shows that gold will fluctuate in the short term and be bearish. Therefore, it is not suitable to blindly guess the bottom in the short term. As geopolitical tensions still exist, it is expected that the lowest level may reach 3330. During the day, focus on the upper resistance range of 3380-3390. If the rebound is blocked, try to intervene with short orders. The lower support is at the key level of 3330-3320. Pay attention to the defense of the support area.
๐
Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3360-3380-3390-3400
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355-3345-3300
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold sell ideaGold faces ongoing sell pressure, defying expectations of safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions. With the Fed rate holding steady, technicals take center stage. The 30-minute and 1-hour charts show a local bearish structure. If bears maintain control below $3,380, the decline could extend to $3,335, $3,320, and $3,308.
GOLD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3391.03
Stop - 3394.3
Take - 3384.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
Yesterday was affected by the easing signal gold high continued to correction, fell back to 3400 again, the trend exceeded personal expectations. Gold received another boost after the president's news, and rebounded slightly in the Asian session. In this eventful autumn, the market is subject to frequent news factors, the trend is slightly turbulent, to be ready to sweep back and forward.
Today's overall volatility is expected to have a contraction, individual expectations of the final close of the small negative line is more likely
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3380-85
TP:3404-3410
โโโ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here โโโ
โโโ Keep updated, come to "get" โโโ
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H FVG!๐จ GOLD TRADE SETUP INSIGHT ๐จ
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H Inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Daily Bullish FVGโtwo powerful zones that are shaping price action right now. ๐ก๐
Recently, price dipped into the lower Daily Bullish FVG, grabbing liquidity from previous lows โ classic move. ๐ง ๐ง
Right after that, the market gave us a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and formed a solid Breaker Block (BPR) ๐ฅ
๐ Price has tapped into this BPR zone, and all signs point toward a potential bullish move from here. Eyes on the prize โ the swing highs above look ripe for targeting. ๐ฏ๐
๐ก This setup is packed with confluence, but as always...
DYOR โ Do Your Own Research.
Donโt trade blindly. Trade smart. โ
6.18 Will gold rise or fall?6.18 Will gold rise or fall?
In the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, Trump stated that "Iranian leaders will not be beheaded for the time being, but unconditional surrender is required", making the path of conflict escalation highly uncertain. At the same time, the unexpected strength of the US dollar index has put short-term pressure on gold, and the resilience of US consumption has become the core supporting factor.
The World Gold Council pointed out that 95% of central banks plan to increase their holdings of gold for long-term support, but the Federal Reserve's mouthpiece revealed that "if it were not for the tariff threat, it would have been ready to cut interest rates this week", highlighting the decision-making dilemma.
Multiple sources of information indicate that gold remains volatile in the game between risk aversion and a strong dollar.
The daily K-line closed at a cross K-line, and the long and short battles were fierce. However, the rebound after multiple bottoming out last night was still suppressed below 3405, which can be seen as a pressure point for short sellers. If 3405 is broken, the situation will change.
From the 4H analysis, the price continues to run around the middle and lower tracks, with a short-term support of 3375, and the intraday break can look at the 3350 mark.
It is currently a volatile market, but the overall trend is still rising, and you can go long at lows and short at highs.
BUY: Below 3380
SL: 3360
TP: 3395
SELL: 3398
SL: 3408
TP: 3375
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
XAUUSD Short Opportunity๐ป XAUUSD Short Opportunity โ Targeting 3258.840
Gold is showing signs of weakness after testing key resistance zones.
I'm currently watching a short-term sell setup with a downside target at 3258.840.
If bearish pressure continues, this level could be hit soon.
๐ Keep an eye on confirmation candles and momentum shifts.
๐ Follow me for more real-time setups and precision entries in Gold & Forex!
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support๐ฐ Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
๐ Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
๐
Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Market Breaks Bearish Trajectory & lures bullish sentiment Gold market breaks out of its bearish trajectory, initiating a bullish build-up within a developing wedge structure. Price action now targets the 3400s for mitigation, reinforcing the bullish outlook in the mid-term trend. follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
Gold June 17, 2025As of today, the market continues to grapple with elevated U.S. debt issuance concerns, stubborn inflation pressures, and shifts in global demand for Treasuries. The newly surfaced economic editorial emphasizes a core macro concern: the United States' soaring public debt, now pushing toward $29 trillion in outstanding Treasuries, equivalent to roughly 95% of GDP. The issuance has notably skewed toward long-duration instruments, with the Treasury borrowing heavier through notes and bonds, particularly with $1.8 trillion in deficit projected in 2024 alone. This surge in long-term supply places upward pressure on yields โ especially in the absence of strong foreign demand, which has been in steady decline.
In the backdrop, recent performance in U.S. equity sectors reveals a pivot toward value and inflation-sensitive segments. Energy (XLE) has outperformed on both a 1D (+1.63%) and YTD basis (+9.11%), signaling real-asset rotation. Communications (XLC +1.72%) and Technology (XLK +1.62%) show strength, likely reflecting a rebound from oversold levels. Financials (XLF), however, remain volatile, with capital continuing to favor sectors like Industrials (XLI +0.65%) and Materials (XLB +0.85%) as proxies for infrastructure and dollar hedging. Real Estate (XLRE +0.87%) is showing a temporary bounce, but remains a laggard over the longer term due to yield sensitivity.
Factor performance is confirming this rotation narrative. IPOs (+1.2%), spin-offs (+0.3%), and buybacks (+0.3%) are leading the qualitative factors, while style preferences are leaning toward growth and small-cap recovery, albeit from deeply underperforming levels YTD. Momentum and low-volatility factors are currently lagging. On a size-style basis, Mid-Cap Growth and Small-Cap Growth are recovering modestly, but the broader landscape suggests market participants are still defensive and selectively rotating.
The fixed income landscape remains under stress. U.S. Treasury ETF performance continues to reflect pressure at the longer end. The 20Y (TLT) and 30Y durations have lost between -0.77% to -1.03% over the latest session, signaling reluctance from institutional buyers to absorb long-end supply without higher compensation. Across the curve, U.S. yields remain elevated, with the 2Y at 3.958%, 10Y at 4.428%, and 30Y at 4.933%. Notably, international yields remain divergent โ Japan's 30Y yield has reached 2.335%, while the U.K. 30Y sits at 5.276%, reflecting inflation persistence in developed Europe.
Meanwhile, the credit complex is firming in high-grade corners. ETFs like LQD (+0.36%) and BLKN (+0.34%) are gaining, while high-yield names (HYG: flat) and convertibles (-0.01%) remain flat or down. Preferred stock and floating rate paper are being held as rate-insulated yield vehicles. International credit is mixed โ EMLC (Local EM Bonds) is positive (+0.11%), while USD-based emerging debt (EMB) is flat.
Commodities are providing solid macro signals. Brent crude is up +1.73%, WTI +1.67%, and natural gas +0.58%, highlighting a renewed inflation hedge dynamic. Gold (XAUUSD) is slightly down at $3,382.06 (-0.04%), but remains near breakout levels with YTD performance near +29%. Silver and copper continue to hold recent gains, while agriculture is mixed: Corn (-2.14%) and Sugar (-1.16%) are under pressure, while Soybeans, Wheat, and Live Cattle are in mild recovery.
On the global equities side, South Korea, Brazil, and India lead EM flows, buoyed by rising commodity prices and a modestly weaker USD. Brazil (EWZ) is up 1.8% YTD and climbing, South Korea (EWY) is at +1.3%, and India (EPI) continues to trend higher. Developed markets (France, Germany, U.K.) are soft, while Canada (+26.9% YTD) remains a notable outperformer, aided by energy and resource exports. In the U.S., SPY is up 0.95% on the day and +12.45% YTD.
In terms of actionable positioning: gold remains a buy on dips as long as real yields stay capped and auction demand remains cautious. U.S. long-end bonds are to be avoided or shorted on rallies given increasing supply and muted demand. Energy and materials sectors continue to offer inflation protection, while financials and REITs should be traded tactically around auction and CPI prints. Equity allocations should lean toward value/momentum hybrids with capital discipline and dividend backing, while growth/multiple expansion names should be watched closely for signs of overextension.
All in all, market behavior is currently being dictated by a blend of inflation expectations, sovereign credit concerns (especially U.S. debt overhang), and rotation into defensively pro-cyclical sectors. With the Treasury supply pipeline growing and buyers rotating away from long bonds, the next key market catalyst will likely emerge from either a weak bond auction or a sharp reacceleration in core inflation. Until then, portfolios should be tactically balanced, yield-aware, and commodity-hedged.
XAUUSD Has follow ascending channel bullish now from supportXAUUSD Market Update
Gold is currently respecting the ascending channel and showing strong bullish momentum from the key demand zone at 3390.
๐ Technical Outlook (4H Timeframe):
โ
Holding firm within bullish structure
๐ฏ First target: 3490 โ major resistance level ahead
๐ก Watching closely for breakout confirmation or pullback opportunities.
๐ Trade smart. Stay informed.
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โ Livia ๐
GOLDThis involves working with a stop order. If the market moves towards the target, ignoring the stop order, then there is a profit, but if, on the contrary, the market goes long, based on the current military-political situation, then there is no loss. The profit in the ratio of 1:2 is probably not bad.
Analysis of gold market trend on June 23:
Core viewpoint:
Gold may continue to fluctuate at a high level and be weak next week, focusing on the breakthrough direction of the 3340-3395 range. The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve suppresses gold prices, but geopolitical risk aversion and the decline of the US dollar form support. The technical side shows a long-short tug-of-war situation, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of breaking.
1. Analysis of key influencing factors
Federal Reserve policy suppression
The dot plot shows that there will be only two interest rate cuts in 2025, and long-term interest rate expectations will be raised, weakening the attractiveness of interest-free assets such as gold.
Risk point: If US economic data (such as PCE and unemployment rate) weaken significantly, hawkish expectations may be reversed.
Geopolitics and risk aversion
The situation in the Middle East, trade frictions and other events still provide bottom support for gold, limiting the downside space.
The trend of the US dollar is differentiated
The US dollar index rose and fell, and if it weakens further, it may ease the pressure on gold.
2. Key technical signals
The watershed between long and short positions
Support level: 3350-3340 (lower track of 4-hour channel), break down to 3250.
Resistance level: 3385-3395 (short-term trend line suppression), break through to test the previous high of 3450.
Indicator divergence
Weekly: MACD death cross appears initially, if confirmed, it will start mid-term adjustment.
Daily line: The momentum column turned to decline, but the volume did not fall, so be wary of false breakthroughs.
4 hours: The channel support near 3340 is the last line of defense for bulls, and if it fails, it will accelerate downward.
3. Trading strategy suggestions
Scenario 1: Range oscillation (probability 60%)
Operation logic: 3340-3395 range high sell low buy.
Short order: enter near 3385, stop loss above 3400, target 3350.
Long order: try long with a light position near 3340, stop loss 3320, target 3370-3380.
Scenario 2: Breaking support (30% probability)
Trigger condition: daily closing price is lower than 3340.
Follow-up strategy: short at 3360, stop loss at 3380, target 3250 (midline).
Scenario 3: Breaking resistance (10% probability)
Trigger condition: stand firm at 3395 and the dollar weakens.
Follow-up strategy: go long when it falls back to 3380, stop loss at 3365, target at 3450. Risk warning
Data risk: focus on US PCE inflation, GDP revisions and other data next week. If unexpectedly weak, gold may rebound.
Geopolitical emergencies: if the conflict escalates, safe-haven buying may push gold prices up rapidly.
Liquidity risk: month-end capital flows may amplify volatility, and positions need to be controlled.
Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish but has not broken. It is recommended to focus on rebounding high and strictly stop loss. If 3340 is effectively broken, the trend will turn bearish; otherwise, if the support is held, there is still the possibility of a volatile upward trend.
Trading Guide for Long-Short Game under Oscillating PressureI. Yesterday's Market Performance and Trend
Yesterday, the price of gold exhibited a "V-shaped" oscillation pattern. In the morning session, it faced selling pressure around $3,380 and declined to a low of $3,347. Subsequently, it rebounded and returned to the trading range of $3,360 - $3,375. On the daily chart, it closed with a doji star, and trading volume contracted, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears and the entry into a narrow trading range.
II. Outlook for Today's Weekly Close
As today marks the end of the weekly trading cycle, there are no clear factors driving a unidirectional trend. Key macroeconomic data has not been released yet, and the market remains divided on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. Technically, the daily moving averages have flattened out, and the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting that the consolidation pattern is likely to persist.
III. Technical Analysis of the 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, the price of gold has been trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover below the zero line, with the green bars expanding. It has also broken below the upward trend line. The support level at $3,340 is now under threat. With a weak RSI, the market is expected to move lower in a volatile manner.
IV. Trading Strategies
Focus on Short Positions: Initiate small - scale short positions when bearish K - line patterns appear around $3,360, with a stop - loss set at $3,375 and a target price of $3,340. Consider adding to short positions if the price drops below $3,365, with a stop - loss at $3,380 and targets at $3,350 - $3,340. Supplement with Long Positions: Open small long positions if the price stabilizes at $3,340, with a stop - loss at $3,330 and a target price of $3,355. Add to long positions if bullish patterns emerge at the strong support level of $3,315, with a stop - loss at $3,300 and targets at $3,330 - $3,340.
Pay close attention to the release of the US initial jobless claims data in the evening. Limit each position to no more than 10% of the total capital and strictly adhere to stop - loss and take - profit levels.
XAUUSD
sell@3360-3370
tp:3350-3340
buy@3335-3345
tp:3355-3365
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD - NOW๐ Textbook Gold Long โ Reversion + Divergence Combo
This morningโs move on XAUUSD (Gold 15m) offered a perfect opportunity for those using our custom ELFIEDT โ X-REVERSION script.
๐ BUY Signal Triggered
Our green โUPโ label printed at the exact bottom wick, confirming a statistically stretched downside move paired with a bullish RSI momentum crossover.
๐ก RSI Divergence Confirmation
Look closer โ the RSI printed a higher low while price pushed lower, forming a clear bullish divergence.
This divergence aligned with our reversion logic and helped boost confidence in taking the long.
๐ฏ Result:
Price bounced off the lows, giving traders a solid intraday reaction and early reward.
๐ง Lesson:
When you combine the ELFIEDT reversion signal with an RSI divergence, youโre not guessing โ youโre trading with edge.
โ
Works across assets
โ
Signal printed on bar close
โ
Same logic works on US30, DAX, NAS100, BTC, and more
โธป
๐ฌ Still waiting to try the indicator?
Scroll through our previous examples and see how this system consistently spots high-probability reversal zones โ in real-time.
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