GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,221.65 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,213.11.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Rising wedge move It's been whole Day market is moving in this downward parallel channel However its back on Rising channel.
Bullish scanario:
if the m15-M30 candle CLOSES above 3230-3232 Resistance ,then target will be 3245 in first round then 3260 milestone.
Bearish Scenario
On the other hand, If The current trend line invalidated and candle closes below 3220-3218 support then this Rising will be crumbled and have again Bearish momentum towards 3200 then 3190.
XAU/USD 14 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 11 April 2025 by printing higher highs which has repositioned CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, much closer to current price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Due to the extreme bullishness of the market I will be mapping internal structure as it appears.
The reasoning behind this due to the fact of the increasing range of the internal structure. By mapping internal structure as it appears we are more likely to be in a good position to have an early warning of all HTF bearish pullback phase initiations.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis and we are now trading within an establish internal range where you will note that price has printed a double top and has been unable to close above weak internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,244.340.
Alternative scenario:
Due to the narrowing of internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
TP 3288-3295 Last tp of this cycle As its been long awaited target 🎯 we now approaching this yearly top of trend to complete its wave count my expectations we drop from 3290 plus minus few pips and stabilisation around 3080 plus minus few points then next some up and down momentum then slowly we will complete retrace now question is this end of entire bull cycle of all financial instruments stocks bonds crypto etc possibly yes this will be end of giga bull run of 100 years cycle 🔃
Gold prices soar as tariffs escalate!Yesterday, the gold market opened at 3230 and then fell back slightly to 3229.4. After that, it fluctuated upward all the way. After breaking through the integer mark of 3300 during the session, the US market accelerated its rise. The daily line reached a high of 3342.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 3342.2 and the market closed with a basically saturated large positive line. After ending in this pattern, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, it directly rose to 3355 at the opening and tried to short stop loss at 3361. The targets are 3341 and 3332. If it falls below, it will exit near 3328 and 3320 to prepare for daily level long orders.
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update form us here at KOG:
Yesterday we shared the idea from Friday where we said we would stick with the plan as our trades we in and protected after being managed. We said, if we break below we'll wait lower again to target that region above 3050-55 which was achieved with that move we saw on the open, however, after the undercut low.
Today we've taken a long again into the resistance level and then the indi's went crazy for the short on the red boxes which we gladly obliged to. A fantastic start to the week with Excalibur hitting on the nose down to where we are now.
We now have resistance 2977-80 with support below 2945-50. We would like to see how we close, but a dip down overnight could give traders an opportunity to capture the long trade into the higher resistance.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Likely Before UPWARD Continuation The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It reached the target. OANDA:XAUUSD broke and closed above the swap zone around 3050, which was also Monday's high. The price is now testing the zone above the 3100 level, and I anticipate a potential pullback following the recent bullish extension. Given today's high-impact news, the market may drop from the resistance zone. If the price forms a retracement toward the support level, where we have an upward trendline and swap zone, there is a good chance of the price to rebound. Another scenario could be sideways movement, as we previously observed sideways action at this zone when looking to the left. Overall, I expect a pullback followed by continuation. My goal is resistance zone around 3145
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold Ideas April 11th - Brand new ATH 3220 & PPI✨ MARKET CONTEXT:
Gold is currently testing the 3220 supply ceiling after a massive bullish leg. Liquidity has been swept above March highs, and PA is now in a highly reactive zone. If price rejects here, we look for imbalances to be mitigated below before continuation.
🙌Wait for clear PA confirmation on all entries (5-15m structure shift, engulfing candles, liquidity grabs).
If PPI news hits hard, we might see manipulation — trade after the first 15–30 min.
Don’t overtrade. Let the levels come to you.
Goldie loves the drama. You love the sniper entries. 💅🏽🎯
🎯 Key Reversal Zones for Friday (Potential Pullback if News Hits or Profit Taking Begins):
1. 3190–3195: Minor mitigation zone for continuation longs.
2. 3183–3189: Ideal for sniper entries on a juicy dip.
3. 3170–3175: Key mid-structure retest + liquidity zone.
4. 3148–3155: Full pullback area if market turns bearish post-news.
Keep these levels on your radar, especially if Friday gets volatile. Don’t chase the hype—let price come to you.
🧵 Key Imbalance Refill Zones:
- 3195–3203: First scalp area, high confluence.
- 3178–3184: Strong impulse base.
- 3162–3169: Ideal sniper entry with bullish PA.
- 3148–3154: Big daddy support (but news sensitive!).
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow our community for more in-depth ideas. 💛
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1h chart route map playing out, as analysed.
We started the session with our Bearish targets 3034 and 3034 and then the retracement range targets at 2999 and 2975, followed with our Bullish target at 3055, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
The range is currently big and we will continue to see play and test between the weighted levels. A re-test and break below the retracement range will open the swing rang. However, continuous support above the retracement range will see a further test at 3055 weighted Goldturn level and lock above 3055 will see the range above open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD PRICES SURGED DURING ASIAN SESSIONGold prices rebounded during Wednesday’s Asian session as the demand for safe haven increased in the wake of U.S. tariffs. However, spot prices were resisted around $3,058.
Adding fuel to the rally was a weakening dollar, with the dollar index sliding and further boosting gold’s demand.
Meanwhile, gold spot tested $2,956 level on Monday which happened to be three weeks low, reacting to the tariff announcement by President Trump. Like many other asset classes, the yellow metal came under pressure late last week into Monday as a result of the risk-off environment triggered by the U.S. tariffs, announced on April 2nd.
As nations responded with retaliatory measures, global stock markets tumbled across board. As markets priced in the U.S. tariff, gold on the front radar leads the charge with a 2.35% daily gain as of the time of writing.
UPCOMING CATALYST:
On the radar this week: FOMC is meeting minutes is expected to be on the wire later today Wednesday 9th at 10PM GMT+4, Followed by U.S. annual inflation data and weekly unemployment claims on Thursday at 4:30PM. While on Friday, attention would tilt towards PPI, consumer sentiment and inflation expectation at 4:30PM and 6:00PM respectively.
While these data points could spark market volatility, the U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures by nations carry even greater significance at this point.
TECHNICAL VIEW
From a technical perspective, gold spot prices rebounded after hitting a three-week low of $2,956 on Monday, April 7th. Prices surged and was resisted around $3,058 zone which is in confluence with the 50-day EMA. The RSI hovers around 53, signaling neutrality and potential for further upside.
With rising demand for safety among investors and traders, analysts expect prices to potentially rally toward $3,130 and beyond in the cause of the week. However, if bearish momentum takes over, prices could tank toward the $3,000 level and possibly test the $2,960 zone later this week, according to technical analysts.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation?! Gold appears to be in a bullish trend following a successful test of an important daily/intraday horizontal support level.
The price violated a minor falling trend line resistance and formed a local Change of Character (CHoCH).
There is a strong possibility that the price will continue to rise with a target of 3080.
Daily Outlook – XAUUSD Key Levels🟦 Daily Outlook – XAUUSD Key Levels
📍 Daily Premium Zone (Untested Supply):
‣ 3246 – 3275 → Same as weekly, price is inside; still unmitigated.
📍 Wick High (Liquidity Magnet):
‣ 3246.07 → Important wick = reaction level / potential inducement.
📍 Daily FVGs Below Price:
‣ 3160.00 → Top FVG
‣ 3133.77 → Lower FVG (draw zone if price rejects premium)
📍 Equilibrium (Daily Range):
‣ ~2880 → Midpoint of swing range; potential macro support in case of deeper correction.
📍 Breaker OB + Discount Block:
‣ 2580.00 zone → Important daily structure origin if market flips decisively.
Xau/usd..1H Chart Pattren..It looks like you're sharing a trading idea for XAUUSD (gold), analyzing its recent price action and key technical indicators. Here's a summary and clarification of the key points:
Trend Analysis: Gold has risen following Trump's softened stance on tariffs, and is currently approaching a resistance level at 3115.
Technical Indicators:
The 50-period moving average (50-MA) has crossed above the 100-period moving average (100-MA), suggesting a potential bullish signal.
The MACD histogram is below the signal line, which indicates some bearish momentum or a weakening bullish trend.
Trade Setup:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above 3115, gold may continue higher to the next resistance around 3160.
Bearish Scenario: If the price drops below the trendline, it could signal a decline toward 3075.
Seems like you're positioning for a breakout or breakdown scenario. The mixed sentiment (based on the MACD and moving averages) suggests traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering.
If you have any further analysis or need more specific advice, feel free to ask!
Gold's bullish trend remains unchanged!Gold prices continue to perform strongly and hit new highs. All moving averages are in a bullish pattern, and the bullish outlook is good. If there is a pullback, it is also an opportunity to enter the market. Pay attention to the 3292-3288 area and 3278. If it stabilizes on dips, it will continue to rise. The target is 3317, and the breakthrough is 3329.
Gold’s latest strategic ideas, mainly short selling on reboundOn Monday (April 14), gold fluctuated slightly and remained around $3,197. Last Friday (April 11), the price of gold broke through $3,200, reaching a historical high of $3,245.26, with a weekly increase of 6.6%, the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of rise was mainly driven by the escalation of trade frictions, the plunge of the US dollar, the increase in expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks. The weak US economic data and rising inflation expectations strengthened the safe-haven properties of gold.
From a technical perspective, the daily level shows short-term correction pressure. On Monday, a small negative column with a long upper shadow was closed. Pay attention to the support of 3180 below. If it falls below, it may fall further. The 4-hour level shows a high-level oscillation pattern, with the upper resistance at 3235-3240 and the lower support around 3200-3180. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on high-altitude trading: shorting with a light position near 3225-3235 US dollars. If the gold price rebounds to around 3200 and stabilizes, you can try short-term long. Be alert to the intensification of market volatility.
Gold recommendation: shorting near 3225-3235 on the rebound, target 3205.
Technical indicators warn of the risk of a short-term correctionThe recent gold price has reached a record high, mainly driven by the escalation of global trade frictions and the expectation of the Fed's easing. Although the Trump administration has temporarily revoked tariffs on some goods, it has threatened to impose tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. The repeated policies have exacerbated the market's risk aversion. At the same time, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since April 2022, further supporting gold prices.
Technically, gold prices are facing short-term correction pressure, with the key position below being supported by today's lowest point at 3312. If the opening high of 3344 is effectively broken above, it may rise to the 3358-3370 range again. In the medium and long term, trade uncertainty and expectations of monetary easing will still provide support for gold, but we need to be wary of the volatility risks brought about by policy easing or a rebound in the US dollar. Focus on key price breakthrough signals and respond flexibly to short-term fluctuations.
Gold recommendations for the evening: Go long at 3317-3312, with a target of 3340.
Gold hits record high again! Intraday gold trading analysisFundamentally, although risk sentiment improved at the beginning of this week, Trump's policy changes caused gold prices to fluctuate and adjust, but due to the lack of obvious and sustained negative prospects and the uncertainty in the market, gold prices continued to be stabilized by safe-haven demand and strengthened upward. In addition, last week's inflation data was lower than market expectations, which strengthened the prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut. In addition, the monthly chart of the US dollar index has gone out of the 2-year top divergence, suggesting that there is a large and sustained decline in the future market, as well as increased policy uncertainty, which will also provide long-term support for gold prices. Moreover, although the market also expects that tariff policies may push up inflation in the future, US consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in April, and 12-month inflation expectations rose to the highest level since 1981, but this will also enhance gold's anti-inflation appeal and push up safe-haven demand. It is also good for gold prices. Analysts specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Traders are waiting for the next major fundamental development to drive the gold market, but the technical chart is still bullish. There is still safe-haven demand in the market. Gold is a safe-haven asset in times of political and financial uncertainty. The dollar index was at a nearly three-year low on Tuesday, making gold relatively cheap for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors are waiting for a speech by Fed Chairman Powell scheduled for Wednesday to look for clues related to interest rates. During the day, attention will be paid to data such as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in March, the U.S. industrial output monthly rate in March, the U.S. NAHB housing market index in April, and the U.S. commercial inventory monthly rate in February. Although the retail data is expected to be bearish for gold prices, the subsequent overall data is bullish for gold prices. Therefore, the steady trend is still either volatile or continues to rebound and strengthen, and the operation is still biased towards low-multiple bullish.
Analysis of gold market trend:
Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, the price of gold always fluctuated in the range of 3210 to 3233. At the opening of today, the price of gold broke through the fluctuation range in one fell swoop and showed an accelerated upward trend. So far, it has successfully refreshed the historical high and reached the 3285 line. Gold opened for risk aversion and directly broke through the new high. The short-term adjustment ended and finally completed the adjustment in a fluctuating manner. This kind of strong bullish market with a breakthrough will basically not have a big decline. Since gold has chosen to break upward, the decline of gold now is an opportunity to go long. The first thing to pay attention to now is the top and bottom conversion position of the support line 3245 below!
For intraday short-term trading, the first thing to pay attention to is the support strength near 3245. This position was the previous high point, and pay attention to its top and bottom conversion effect. Secondly, the support level near 3232 should not be ignored. This is the high point of yesterday's fluctuation range. Today's opening price broke through this position and accelerated upward. The top and bottom conversion support role of this position during the decline is worth paying attention to. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, the bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed a short-term support. Go long on dips when it falls back to 3245. The strength of a wave of gold is still there at that time. So after the surge, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Go long when it falls back to around 3248. It is particularly important to point out that the low point of 3211 during the US trading session yesterday is the key support level for the short-term market trend. Once the price effectively falls below this position, it is necessary to be alert that the market may launch a substantial adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3285-3290 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3245-3240 line of support. Friends must keep up with the pace.
Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold when it rebounds around 3280-3290, target around 3255-3250, and look at 3245 if it breaks.
Strategy 2: Long gold when it pulls back around 3245-3250, target around 3260-3275, and look at 3290 if it breaks.
XAUUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows the price action of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on a 30-minute timeframe. It appears to be a range-bound market setup, and here's a breakdown of what’s going on:
Key Elements:
1. Horizontal Range:
Support Zone: Around the 3,195 area (green highlighted zone).
Resistance Zone: Around the 3,240–3,250 area (purple zone at the top).
2. Repeated Pattern:
The price has bounced several times between support and resistance.
Red arrows mark where the price hits resistance and reverses.
Orange circles mark the bounce from support.
3. Current Trading Idea:
Entry Point: Near current price (around 3,208), just after a bounce from support.
Target (Take Profit): Around 3,245 (upper resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Just below the support zone (~3,195), to limit downside risk.
Trading Strategy:
This is a range trading approach: buy near support, sell near resistance.
The chart suggests entering a long position now, aiming for a take profit at resistance, with a stop loss placed just under support.
Want a deeper analysis or help turning this into a trading plan or alert?