The current price of gold is 3230, so go short directly!
Gold began to fluctuate in a large range. Don't chase long positions easily at high levels. Gold opened under pressure and fell back at 2350. Then the double top of gold rebounded in 4 hours and continued to fall, and then fluctuated in a large range. The current price of gold is 3230 and it is directly short!
Gold did not form an upward breakthrough in 4 hours, so it is likely to be a volatile market. Since gold is fluctuating, if gold falls below 3200 again, it may weaken further. Then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range in 4 hours. Gold rebounded under pressure and went short first.
The market is changing rapidly, and gold is now experiencing great ups and downs. In the short term, we still need to pay attention to continued highs and falls. Gold should focus on the gains and losses of the 3200 line. If gold does not break 3200 for a long time, then gold may form support, and then gold bulls will have upward momentum.
European trading operation ideas:
Gold short at 3230, stop loss at 3240, target 3200-3180;
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary:
At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up.
The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend.
Technical analysis:
Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis:
I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
Flexible strategies lead to the best response.📍News:
The continued escalation of the war in the Middle East has increased risk aversion in the gold market.
At the same time, the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations broke down, and Russia launched the largest attack since 2022. Under the double attack, the market's risk aversion is full.
📊Gold technical analysis:
Today's gold price showed a violent fluctuation pattern. During the Asian session, the gold price quickly broke through the 3345 regional resistance and then fell back quickly, indicating that the short-term top pressure was significant. Subsequently, the market fluctuated repeatedly in the 3345-3320 high range and the 3320-3280 low range. After testing the 3350 high point in the Asian session, it retreated sharply, releasing a staged peak signal, indicating that the previous increase has entered the correction and callback stage, but the overall trend is still dominated by wide fluctuations.
Market sentiment reversed, and the price slowly fell and then was pulled up by the positive line. The game between long and short positions was fierce. Although the short position once dominated, the long position counterattacked strongly, and it is expected that it may hit the resistance near 3320 again. The current market has not formed a unilateral trend. The operation is still to deal with the idea of shocks, and maintain the idea of high-altitude and low-multiple. The strong resistance above is at 3350, and the key support below is 3280-3275. The probability of breaking down in the short term is low.
🎯Operational suggestions: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3280-3275, look at 3300 and 3320, and go short if the rebound pressure of 3320 is not broken.
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 20, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,212.51
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Demand Zones:
🟢 3210–3215 – Immediate bounce zone; price currently reacting after multiple rejections
🟢 3195–3197 – Fresh untouched demand; possible deep pullback area if current support breaks
📌 Key Supply Zone:
🔴 3254–3265 – High probability sell zone formed after clear rejection; watch for reversal patterns on retest
⚠️ Scenarios:
1️⃣ Reclaim 3220+ with bullish candles may drive price back to test the 3254+ supply zone
2️⃣ Failure below 3210 opens downside sweep toward 3195–3197 zone
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Structure is still valid for scalping both ways
✅ Wait for 5M CHoCH / BOS confirmations
✅ Trade from zone-to-zone with tight stops
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #PriceActionTrading #SmartMoneyConcept #SupplyAndDemand #FXFOREVER #ScalpingZones #ForexIntraday
Gold Weekly AnalysisThe FOMC meeting could make cold rise up dramatically.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3330.6
Stop - 3337.3
Take - 3316.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLDOn gold we have multiple touches at the top. Specifically 2 , price is pushing to give us a third which is confirmation for a clear trend
We can clearly see we have a down trend and on the third touch that's where I will be taking my selling traded
I won't chase the market but will allow price to come to me so I can execute. THE MARKET TAKES MONEY FROM THE IMPATIENT TO THE PATIENT
GOLD/USD followed by a move downward toward the green zone.Market Structure: Complex, but indicative of a potential bearish continuation after a corrective bullish move.
---
Key Elements in the Chart
1. Order Blocks (OB)
Highlighted in green and red rectangles at the top.
The green OB marks a significant supply zone, which price previously respected and may revisit before continuation.
Red blocks represent mitigation or reaction zones—potential areas where smart money may re-enter short positions.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Clearly labeled in the lower-middle section of the chart.
Indicates a significant bearish shift in market structure.
Confirms that previous bullish trend has been invalidated or is under threat.
3. Trendline Support
A thick blue zone labeled “TRENDLINE” shows historical support that aligns with bullish order blocks.
Acts as a confluence zone where previous price reactions occurred.
4. Projected Price Path
The dotted path and gray arrow suggest a bearish forecast.
Expected retracement into supply zones (red boxes), followed by a move downward toward the green zone.
5. Fibonacci Tool & Risk Zones
Red shaded area on the top right signifies entry to stop-loss range for shorts.
Green shaded area at the bottom right likely shows take-profit target, aligning with a discount price zone.
6. Price Levels
Current price around $3,294.48 (SELL) / $3,294.56 (BUY).
Key levels and zones are actively monitored for reaction:
Resistance near $3,400–$3,420
Support zone around $3,120–$3,140
---
Professional Outlook
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Waiting for price to retrace into supply zone (OB) and enter short with confirmation.
Confluence Factors:
Break of structure
Supply zones overhead
Trendline support already tested
Clear bearish order flow
---
Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
The latest gold operation strategyFrom a technical perspective, gold has been strong recently. Spot gold closed at $3,289.54 per ounce on Tuesday, and further broke through $3,300 in early trading on Wednesday, reaching a high of $3,304.06, a new high in more than a week. In the short term, gold prices need to break through the key resistance level of $3,370 to open up further upside space; $3,150 has formed a solid support below. If there are new variables in the geopolitical situation or economic data, gold prices may even challenge the $3,400 mark. Based on the current trend, the trading idea on Wednesday is clear: wait for the price to fall back and continue to intervene in long orders around 3,300, and maintain a bullish strategy.
Gold is recommended to go long in the 3300-3305 area, stop loss at 3292, target at 3315-3330
GOLD LONG LIVE TRADE AND BREAKDOWN 11K PROFITGold price awaits acceptance above $3,300 as buyers return
Gold price is extending its upswing into the third consecutive day in Asian trading on Wednesday. Buyers look to regain the $3,300 on a sustained basis amid persistent US Dollar weakness and heightened geopolitical tensions.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Setting Up for a Bullish Breakout | Demand ZoneGold has been consolidating within a clear range, but price action is now hinting at a possible explosive breakout. After a strong rejection from the 3,090–3,124 demand zone, bulls have regained control and are pushing toward the 3,287 resistance.
We’re seeing a classic accumulation pattern, with higher lows forming around a major volume node. This is also supported by the Supply and Demand Visible Range , highlighting intense historical interest in the current range.
Key Technical Levels:
Major Demand Zone: 3,090 – 3,124 (strong institutional interest)
Short-Term Support: 3,199
Breakout Resistance: 3,287 (multiple rejection wicks seen)
Target Zone / Supply Area: 3,410
Invalidation: Below 3,090 (if price closes beneath, bullish bias ends)
Trade Setup (1H Timeframe):
Entry Zone: 3,200–3,220
Target: 3,410
Stop Loss: Below 3,090
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5R
Technical Confluences:
Strong demand zone marked by LuxAlgo’s Visible Range
Price bouncing off a key structure support
MACD and RSI on lower timeframes showing early bullish divergence (not visible here but recommended to confirm)
Low volatility squeeze = potential expansion move ahead
Macro Context:
Traders anticipating upcoming USD news (interest rate decisions or inflation data). If the dollar weakens, gold could surge.
Watch for US market session on May 21–23 for possible breakout volatility.
Strategy:
I’m personally waiting for a clean break and close above 3,287 with volume to confirm entry. If that happens, the path toward 3,410 opens up fast.
---
What’s your take? Are you positioning long, or do you see a fakeout brewing? Drop your analysis below!
---
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #SwingTrade #LuxAlgo #SupplyDemand #Breakout #PriceAction #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #RiskReward #MarketStructure #USD #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold Price at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Technical & Fundamental Analysis for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – H4 Chart as of May 20, 2025
🧠 Technical Analysis:
Pattern Observed:
A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, indicating a phase of consolidation.
Price is now squeezing at the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout.
Two possible breakout paths are illustrated:
Bullish breakout targeting the $3,382 level.
Bearish breakdown targeting the $3,058 level.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,382.45 (marked as a potential bullish target)
Support: $3,058.08 (marked as a potential bearish target)
Current Price: ~$3,220
Price is testing the upper trendline of the triangle and is currently inside a small decision zone (highlighted in the purple rectangle).
Bias:
Wait for a confirmed breakout with strong volume and candlestick confirmation before entry.
Breakout above $3,240 could trigger a long position.
Breakdown below $3,200 could trigger a short position.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
Key Drivers to Watch:
US Economic Data (This Week):
FOMC minutes (upcoming)
US PMI data
Jobless claims
These could move USD and hence XAUUSD significantly.
Geopolitical Risks:
Any escalation in global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Russia-Ukraine) could increase safe haven demand for gold.
Interest Rate Outlook:
Fed is likely near or at the end of its hiking cycle.
Dovish signals = bullish for gold.
Hawkish Fed = bearish for gold.
Inflation Trends:
Sticky inflation supports gold.
Falling inflation weakens the bullish case for gold.
✅ Summary:
Direction Trigger Area Target Reason
Bullish Break above $3,240 $3,382 Triangle breakout + potential Fed pause
Bearish Break below $3,200 $3,058 Triangle breakdown + strong USD data
Gold price may fall to 3150 points todayGold price may fall to 3150 points today
Key technical points
Support level:
Short term: 3206-3210 US dollars (intraday low and psychological barrier).
Medium term: 3198-3200 US dollars (weekly trend line support).
Resistance level:
Above: 3245-3250 US dollars (high pressure area 4 hours ago).
Key breakthrough target: 3266 US dollars (upper track of daily Bollinger band).
Intraday short strategy: short at highs near 3245-3250
Target: 3220-3200 US dollars, stop loss set above 3260.
Intraday long strategy: stabilize in the 3200-3210 range, long at low prices
Target: 3245-3266 US dollars, stop loss set below 3190.
Macro strategy:
My view is based on a 4-hour cycle. Macro bearish gold prices to 3150. Try to short at high prices.
Fundamentals: The situation in the Middle East has escalated: Israel launched a large-scale ground offensive against Gaza, exacerbating the risk of regional conflict, while Trump's Middle East schedule has not clearly released a signal of easing, and the market is worried that the conflict may spread.
Russia-Ukraine negotiations are deadlocked: Russia-Ukraine negotiations failed to reach an agreement, Putin only sent a low-level delegation to attend the meeting, and Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed dissatisfaction with the progress of the negotiations. Geopolitical uncertainty supports the safe-haven properties of gold.
Moody's downgraded the US credit rating: The US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from "AAA" to "Aa1", triggering a surge in US bond yields (30-year yields exceeded 5%), and the US dollar credit premium was weakened, which indirectly benefited gold as an alternative asset.
Fed policy and economic data game
Interest rate cut expectations diverge: Although the weak US PPI data (down 0.5% month-on-month) and the slowdown in retail sales growth (0.1%) have strengthened expectations for interest rate cuts, Fed official Bostic stressed that more data is needed to support policy adjustments, and the probability of interest rate cuts this year is still low (the probability in June is 8.3%). The US dollar index rebounded to around 100.63, suppressing gold prices.
Stagflation risks loom: US GDP shrank by 0.3% month-on-month in the first quarter, but consumer spending remained resilient, and the contradiction between rising inflation expectations and slowing economic growth intensified, highlighting the anti-inflation properties of gold.
Trade policy and market sentiment
China-US tariff easing: Both sides partially canceled additional tariffs, and short-term risk appetite rebounded, but Trump plans to impose new tariffs on many countries in the next two weeks, and the market's concerns about repeated trade frictions remain.
Central bank demand for gold purchases weakened: Gold ETF holdings fell to the lowest level since March (SPDR holdings 918 tons), reflecting a cooling of short-term risk aversion, but long-term central bank gold purchases (more than 1,000 tons in 2024) and weaker US dollar credit still provide support.
Gold Trading Strategy For Next Monday📊Gold fluctuated violently on Thursday and Friday this week, with the market showing a fluctuating pattern of sharp rises and falls for two consecutive days, and the difficulty of trading increased significantly. In particular, the strong rise on Thursday and the rapid give-up of gains on Friday caused both bulls and bears to suffer repeated torture in the short term. The rhythm of the current market has changed, showing the characteristics of "no continuation every other day and lack of entry opportunities during the trading session", and more cautious operations are required.
1. Market Review and Technical Structure Analysis
📊On Friday, gold continued to fall sharply after hitting Thursday's high of 3252, with the daily line closing with a large real negative line, a drop of nearly $100, and fell to 3152 to stabilize. This position is exactly the 0.786 retracement of the previous 3120-3250 increase, and the technical support effect is evident.
📊On the hourly chart, the continuous rise of positive lines on Thursday showed obvious bullish trend momentum, while on Friday, a continuous oscillation and decline pattern was formed, showing a typical V-shaped reversal-top-building and decline trend. At present, the price of gold has fallen to the vicinity of the lower track of the previous channel and has gained initial support in the area of 3152. There is a high probability that there will be a second bottoming process in the future, and it may even set a new low to form a "secondary low point" to test the strength of buying.
2. Analysis of key technical prices
🔴The upper resistance level: 3230-3250, which is the previous high pressure zone. If the short-term bulls cannot stand above this range, it will be difficult to reopen the upward space. The 3210-3212 line below it is an important short-term counter-pressure position. If the rebound is blocked here, it will continue to confirm that the shock pattern has not been broken.
🟢Support below: 3150-3120, of which: 3152 is the 0.786 retracement level, which is also the key support point in the previous period; 3140-3120 is the support range of the lower track of the channel. If it effectively falls below this area, it will open up further room for decline to 3080-3050.
3. Market trends and trading strategies next week
🟠Main idea: Treat it as range oscillation, mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short on rebounds.
🔶Short-term long order strategy:
🔰If the gold price falls back to the 3150-3140 area and stabilizes, you can consider entering long orders at a low level;
🔰Conservatives can wait for the gold price to confirm that it is above 3153 before entering the market;
🔰Stop loss is recommended to be set below 3142. This position is a key defensive position. If it is lost three times, it will no longer be a bottom-fishing.
🔷Short-term short order strategy:
🔰If the gold price rebounds to 3210-3212 or 3230-3250 and encounters resistance, you can try to short with a light position;
Note that short positions are only used as a means of game play at the top of the shock, and be careful of "forced short pull-up" during the rebound.
🔰The mid-term thinking remains unchanged: the mid-term long positions deployed in the 3120-3140 line in the early stage continue to be held, and the target is still the 3250-3280 line.
✅The current trend of gold shows a typical wide range of fluctuations, with the main rhythm being high selling and low buying between 3120-3250. The risk of chasing ups and downs in the day or in the short term is relatively high, and it is recommended to wait for the confirmation signal of returning to the key position. In terms of technical structure, pay attention to whether there is a "secondary low point confirmation". If the 3150-3140 area is effectively supported, it is still expected to rebound and test the high point; otherwise, it is necessary to guard against the risk of breaking down.