Try shorting once below 3355!The market closed at 3326 on Thursday and still failed to break through the small range of long and short positions. The overall market is in a strong bullish trend and this trend indicates the possibility of a breakout in the future. In this week's trading example, after confirming that the 3315 low support is effective, a short-term long operation was successfully carried out below the area and profited. The picture and truth can be checked in the article on Thursday. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the range shock and pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of key points. The first thing to pay attention to is the strong pressure of 3355. If it breaks through and stands firmly at this position, it will open up further upward space, and the potential target can be seen in the 3365 or even 3400 area. On the contrary, if the gold price is always under pressure below 3355, the market is likely to continue the current shock and consolidation rhythm. Therefore, breaking through the 3355 mark will be a key signal to judge whether the market can release significant upward momentum in the future. Before the effective breakthrough, continue to intervene in the low-long opportunity at the 3325-15 support level of the shock range. On the upper side, you can arrange short positions at 3345-3455.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Beware of bottoming out!Gold short-term analysis; The recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
The gold four-hour line starts to exert force from above the moving average, directly breaks through the support line, and the big negative line directly crushes it. The moving average has a clear downward turn, and the bulls' dream is directly shattered. At present, the big negative line continues to explore, and the high point is also constantly falling. It is also an obvious head and shoulders top pattern. The upper resistance levels are 3330 and 3345, which are also the positions for short entry.
The Federal Reserve meeting is the highlightAfter the gold price surged in the morning yesterday, it started the shock-washing mode. In the evening, the price broke through the expected range, fell below the key support of 3297, and continued to fall to the 3287 line. This trend directly destroyed the rising structure of the right shoulder in the 4-hour head and shoulders bottom pattern. The daily line finally closed in the negative, suggesting that the short-term market has signs of weakening. At present, gold has gradually left the previous shock range, and the K line is suppressed by the short-term moving average, and the weak trend is obvious. At the daily level, it is necessary to pay attention to whether there will be a second decline after the rebound is confirmed. On the 4-hour chart, although the price fluctuates in a narrow range, the rebound strength and continuity are insufficient, and the short-term decline space may not be fully released. At present, the upper resistance is 3300-3307, and the lower support is 3280-3277. It is recommended to do more on the callback and rebound high as a supplement.
Tuesday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)
After Monday’s move into the 4H Fair Value Gap and rejection near the trendline and Asia High, I’m expecting a corrective move to start Tuesday.
I’m currently watching two possible downside targets:
🔸 Scenario 1: A short-term drop into the upper part of the 4H FVG (around 3320–3310) – this zone could act as intraday demand and cause a quick bounce.
🔸 Scenario 2: A deeper retracement toward the unfilled imbalance around 3290–3280, lining up with the London Low and completing the 4H FVG.
This would be a more significant liquidity sweep before a potential bullish reaction.
From both zones, I’ll be looking for price action to confirm a possible long setup back toward the trendline and above.
Let’s see how Tuesday plays out.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsGold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3306, or 3315, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This week, we have been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, we will see the 3370 high point. If 3370 breaks, there are still 3380 and 3400 above. On Friday, we will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, there was a sharp pull this morning, with the big sun breaking through the upper track of the downward channel 3326 in the above figure, and then stepping back to confirm stabilization and bottoming out, which means that the breakthrough is effective, so you can directly follow the bullish trend in the morning, and during the European session, it repeatedly went up and down around the 3345-3332 range. With the experience of yesterday's trend, today we have been waiting for it to approach the 10-day moving average and then continue to be bullish on dips, and the entry point is basically good; currently it has broken through the resistance level of 3345 in the European session, so it depends on whether it can stand directly on it tonight. Once it stands, it can gradually rush to 3370, and the second is 3374, etc.; Of course, if it just pierces but does not stabilize, it will continue to spiral slowly upward around the yellow channel in the figure, so continue to wait patiently for the 10-day moving average, which is also the lower track position to grasp the low and long; Therefore, tonight gold 3345-3333 continues to rise on dips, with 3330 top and bottom positions as nodes, resistance at 3370, further resistance at 3374, etc.; If there is an unexpected big negative inducement to empty the market like yesterday, pay attention to stabilization above 3320 and still bullish;
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long when it falls back to 3333-3345, and the target is 3360-3370.
XAUUSD Bullish and bearish. Which one first?
📉 Gold and NDX: Seasonal Patterns and Short-Term Outlook
Historically, gold tends to show weakness during the first three weeks of July, often setting the stage for one last leg up before institutional selling kicks in on U.S. equities. Based on seasonal patterns, this aligns with a typically bullish phase for the Nasdaq (NDX), which often extends until around July 24, with the usual volatility along the way.
From there, gold tends to recover, historically offering a 3–5% return into mid-September. Keep in mind, this is purely based on statistics—always do your own analysis.
🔎 This week’s short-term setup:
We may see a push higher in gold later today and into tomorrow, followed by potential downside during the second half of the week. While there might be brief upside opportunities, I won’t be taking any long positions—only looking to sell rallies—since the short-term trend remains more bearish than bullish.
Stay sharp and trade safe. 📊
#XAUUSD – H1 High Probability Setup
📊 **#XAUUSD – H1 High Probability Setup** 🔍
If you recall our **morning analysis**, we clearly mentioned that price is likely to **mitigate the zone below 3300** —
and as expected, **price tapped into 3296**, which aligned with both the **H1 Order Block** and **Golden Fibonacci zone** 🎯📉
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📈 **Current Setup in Progress:**
We're now watching for a **bullish H1 candle close above 3353** 🔼
Once confirmed, we’ll execute a **layered buy strategy**:
🔹 **50% entry at activation** (above 3353)
🔹 **30% on retracement** (if price dips 50–60 pips below entry)
🔹 **Remaining 20%** if price dips **70+ pips** below entry zone
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🛡️ **Stoploss:** 3338–3337 (slightly wide due to structure)
This is why we **scale into the trade** — for **better risk management** and **position control** ✅
🎯 **Minimum Target:** 100–150 pips
🏁 **Extended Target (Optional):** 3396 – for those who can hold with conviction 📊💰
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🧠 *Follow structure, manage risk, and trust the plan. High probability setups don’t need to be rushed.*
GOLD 11/07 – STRUCTURE REMAINS BULLISH, WATCH 3318 & 3340 REAC📰 Fundamental News
The world’s largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its holdings by 1.44 tons, reaching 948.81 tons, a sign of rising institutional interest.
Market expectations of a rate cut in September are growing, but the pricing in futures markets is still incomplete.
Global risk sentiment remains cautious, making gold a preferred safe haven amid economic uncertainty.
📉 Technical Analysis
Gold has broken through the descending trendline, confirming bullish momentum and rejecting deep pullbacks during the Asian session.
A sharp fake-out move (liquidity grab) occurred around the 3284–3286 zone, after which the market rallied and formed a BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH confirmation on lower timeframes.
The current price action respects the Wyckoff accumulation model, and Wave (5) might be in its final stages as seen on M15–H1.
Liquidity zones are forming around key psychological levels: 3318–3319 and 3334–3340, where short-term corrective moves may happen before further bullish continuation.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🟢 Buy Zone 3315 – 3318 Optimal Buy Limit (OBS + SSL Zone)
🛑 Stop Loss Below 3315.5 For aggressive buyers
🔵 Resistance 3334 – 3340 Potential reaction / pullback zone
🔴 Sell Zone 3348 – 3350 Scalp Sell area with SL at 3354
🟠 Major Sell 3362 – 3364 Institutional level – Week High zone
📊 Trading Scenarios
BUY SCENARIO – High Probability
Buy Limit: 3315 – 3318
SL: 3310 – 3315 (based on risk tolerance)
TP1: 3320
TP2: 3334
TP3: 3348 – 3350 (partial exit or scale-out)
SELL SCALP SCENARIO – Short-Term
Sell Zone: 3348 – 3350
SL: 3354
TP: 3344 - 3334 zone (quick pullback)
SELL HOLD SETUP
Sell Zone: 3362 – 3364 (Week High)
SL: 3368
TP: 3340 and trail further if momentum shifts
🧠 Note for Traders
Gold remains in a bullish structure, and as long as price holds above 3315, the bias remains to the upside. Watch for liquidity reactions at 3334 and 3340 for potential pullbacks. Avoid chasing price and wait for cleaner entries near liquidity zones.
Watching the FVG Midpoint for a Potential Resistance PlayTraders, TVC:GOLD is currently moving beautifully within a well-defined descending parallel channel, and it’s offering some interesting technical setups. If you take a closer look at the chart, you’ll see that price has formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 1-hour timeframe. The midpoint of this FVG lies around the 3317–3318 level. Previously, this zone acted as a strong area of support, but since the price has now broken below it, there’s a high probability that it could flip into a resistance zone this time around.
This kind of structure often provides great opportunities for short entries if we see a price retest and show signs of rejection near the midpoint of the FVG. Always keep an eye on how the candles behave when price revisits this area, as it could set up a nice trade with clearly defined risk and reward. Remember, patience is key—let the price come to your zone instead of chasing it. Let’s see how this plays out!
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 8 Analysis | Decision Day at H4 Supply Zone
Gold is currently trading inside a key H4 supply zone (3342–3345) , and today’s session could act as a pivotal turning point for the ongoing structure.
We are now in a region where the H4 may either complete its pullback and resume the uptrend — or allow price to drop deeper toward 3280 before any bullish continuation.
Market Structure Overview
• H4 Trend: Still in a pullback
• M15 Trend: Gave a Change of Character (ChoCh) in the previous session
• Break of Structure (BoS): Not yet confirmed on M15
This puts us in a state of unconfirmed reversal . Without a clean BoS, this could still be a liquidity grab .
Key Levels & Current Setup
📍 H4 Supply Zone: 3342–3345
→ This is where price is currently reacting
→ Sellers may step in here if the broader pullback continues
📍 M15 Structure Status:
→ ChoCh already occurred
→ Price is in a retracement phase
→ BoS is needed to confirm a shift and signal the end of H4 pullback
What Today’s Session Will Decide
🔸 If M15 breaks structure upward (BoS):
→ H4 pullback may be complete
→ Bias turns bullish
→ We’ll plan long setups from M15 POIs with M1 confirmation
🔸 If M15 fails to break and reverses:
→ This could be a liquidity grab
→ Sellers may push price lower
→ Next downside target: 3280 H4 order block , still valid
⚠️ Reminder: Be Prepared for Both Scenarios
• No M15 BoS = No bias
• Wait for structure, not emotion
• Do not force long trades without confirmation
• 3280 remains a high-probability target if rejection confirms
Final Thoughts
This is a structure-led market — we don’t predict, we prepare.
Today’s price action may bring directional clarity.
Structure over speculation.
Let price show intent.
Then act with process, not impulse.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Monday Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)My outlook for Monday is bearish at the start of the session, with price likely to drop toward the 3310–3300 area. This level aligns with a key discount zone inside the Gann box, and also overlaps with a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), making it a strong area of interest for potential long setups.
From that zone, I expect a bullish reaction, leading to a move back up to the trendline.
If the momentum continues, I anticipate a break of the trendline, followed by a retest, and then the beginning of a bullish trend.
I’ll be looking for confirmations around 3300 to position for the move higher.
Let’s see how Monday opens.
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx!
Gold bottomed out and rebounded to fluctuateGold, the price opened at 3342 in the morning and then fell back. The article emphasizes the bearish structure of the 4H chart, and the bearish trend continued to 3311-3295 in the afternoon; the actual price fell to 3296 and then rebounded in the evening, and the 4H chart closed at 22:00 and turned into a big positive, and it will rebound and fluctuate at night;
Short-term support 3306-3300, strong support 3296; short-term resistance 3322-3326, strong resistance 3330-3340;
Trend Continuation After NonfarmToday's D1 candle started to continue the trend of NF with a decrease to 3306 in the Asian session this morning.
The bearish structure of Gold Price will continue in today's trading session towards important support zones.
The downtrend of Gold was only broken with a candle closing back above 3324. And the downtrend may reach support 3275 today.
Support 3297-3275
Resistance 3324-3343-3364
SELL Trigger: Break support 3296
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers."
Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session.
Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle.
My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
Gold Holds Its Structure – Retest in ProgressOANDA:XAUUSD Price continues to follow a clearly defined ascending channel, with consistently higher highs and higher lows – a textbook sign of a sustained uptrend. This bullish momentum indicates buyers remain in control, reinforcing the case for further upside.
A key resistance level was recently broken, and we’re now observing a classic retest scenario. That breakout? It matters. It’s not just a price move – it’s a structural shift. If the former resistance holds as support, this opens the door for a potential rally toward 3,351 – the upper boundary of the current channel.
But if that level fails, a mild pullback is likely, possibly a temporary drop before the market decides on its next move.
Bottom line: respect the structure. Don’t force trades without clear confirmation.
XAUUSD on swing Gold is currently holding Rangebound 3280-3296 .
Already holding buy positions at 3283-84
What's possible scanarios we have?
(PREFERRED )
▪️if the any M30-H1 candle flips above 3298-3300 then keep your eyes at 3315 then 3325
Additional TIP:
below 3278-3275 then we'll see gold to tap 3255 and buying will be invaild
#XAUUSD
Follow up before the Fed minutesGold, the price fell from the historical high of 3500 to 3120 in the first round this year, and is now in the second round of downward cycle after rising to 3452. The mid-term top idea is maintained, and the operating target is 3120; after bottoming out and rebounding to 3345 on Monday, it did not continue on Tuesday, and fell to 3287 in a weak position; the daily chart recorded a real big Yin, and the K-line combination was short-term, and the bearish trend continued during the day, and attention was paid to the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy minutes on Thursday morning;
Opening at 3301, short-term resistance at 3308-3310 during the Asian session, strong resistance at 3315 and daily chart MA5-3320, the limit rebound is not more than here; short-term support at 3293, strong support at 3287, and the previous parallel low at 3247 is expected to be seen if it breaks;
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold plunge warning! Shorts point to 3200!
Fundamentals
Although the market risk aversion has cooled down recently, the cumulative increase in gold this year is still more than 25%, mainly benefiting from the continued increase in gold holdings by global central banks and ETF fund inflows. The market is currently paying attention to the trend of US trade policy on July 9. If the negotiations break down or new tariffs are implemented, it may quickly stimulate safe-haven demand and drive gold prices to rebound. However, in the short term, due to the temporary strengthening of the US dollar and the profit-taking of some longs, gold prices are still facing correction pressure.
Technical analysis
Trend structure:
Key resistance level: The 3450-3500 area is still an important pressure area for gold. Previously, gold prices encountered resistance in this area and fell back, indicating that the selling pressure in this area is strong.
Short-term support level: At present, the 3300 mark has become the focus of competition between long and short sides. If it falls below, it may further bottom out in the 3250-3220 area.
Short-term momentum: The 4-hour moving average is under pressure in the short term, and the MACD indicator is weak, indicating that there is still room for correction in the short term.
Key points:
Upper resistance: 3320-3330 (short-term short-term defense), 3350-3360 (strong resistance)
Lower support: 3300 (psychological barrier), 3290-3280 (short-term long-term defense), 3250 (medium-term key support)
Trading strategy
1. Short-term short-term operation (main line idea)
Entry point: rebound to 3310-3320 area, you can try to short
Stop loss: above 3325
Target: 3300 (first target), look at 3280-3250 after breakthrough
2. Low-level defense long (cautious participation)
Entry point: first touch 3290-3280, you can try to go long with a light position
Stop loss: below 3275
Target: 3310-3320 (if the rebound is weak, leave in time)
Summary and outlook
Short-term trend: technical side is still bearish. If 3300 is lost, it may accelerate downward to 3280-3250.
Potential change signal: If the gold price stabilizes at 3320, it may retest 3350, but it needs fundamental support (such as rising risk aversion).
Operation suggestion: Pay attention to the rebound high. You can try to go long with a light position at the key support level, but you need to strictly stop loss.
(Personal opinion: Gold prices may continue to be under pressure in the short term, and the 3300 mark may be difficult to hold. The short target looks below 3280.)