New York market XAUUSD trading opportunities.The 3400 position has been broken. Short-term bulls are still strong. The swing buying we executed all day today has made continuous profits. Such one-sided market conditions in trading have good profits. But the premise needs to be executed. This requires execution and courage.
Teacher Ludvig pointed out that the probability of reaching the target 3440 before tomorrow's London market is more than 90.36%. So this is a good buying opportunity for traders who don't know how to trade now.
The precise trading points are released in the Swing Trading Center. If you don't know what to trade now. Then you can refer to it.
Control trading risks according to the capital situation when trading.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
There's still a little more left to sip from gold’s cup
Weekly Outlook on Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold has formed a classic cup pattern on the weekly timeframe, indicating a strong bullish continuation setup. If the pattern completes successfully, we could see a move toward the top of the channel, targeting the 4039 – 4100 zone.
The recent pullback to 3208 was a retest of the previously broken daily structure, acting as a healthy correction before the next potential leg up.
For those looking to enter this move, an ideal strategy would be to place a buy stop order above the last high, as a breakout confirmation.
⚠️ Important note: If the black trendline on the daily chart (which represents the current bullish structure) gets broken to the downside, the trade setup would become invalid and a reassessment would be required.
✅ The best approach is to wait for a clean breakout above the 3495 resistance, then look for a pullback entry on lower timeframes with proper risk management.
📉 In the longer term, we still expect a potential retracement all the way back to the 2199.661 level — so be aware of the bigger picture and adapt as the structure evolves.
Gold Rejection at Channel Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play"
🔍 Analysis Summary
Current Price: \~\$3,266
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red): \~\$3,277 – price is slightly below this level
EMA 200 (Blue): \~\$3,180 – acts as a dynamic support
Trend Structure:
Previous Uptrend: Sharp bullish move within a rising wedge (now broken)
Current Pattern: Descending channel or flag-like consolidation after the strong bullish trend
Support Level: \~\$3,175–\$3,180 (highlighted zone with green arrows showing bounce)
Resistance Level (Target 1): \~\$3,277–\$3,300
Target Point: \~\$3,356
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Price bounced off strong support (around EMA 200 + horizontal level).
If price breaks above the descending channel and retests resistance, it could aim for **Target 1 (\~3,300) and possibly reach **Target Point (\~3,356)**.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above descending channel resistance could lead to a retest of the support zone.
If support breaks, the next possible stop could be below the EMA 200, triggering deeper correction.
🧠 Trading Idea
Buy Entry: On confirmed breakout above descending channel.
Target 1: \~3,300
Target 2: \~3,356
Stop Loss: Below \~3,175 support
XAU/USD – Precision Bounce + Fade Strategy | May 5, 2025Gold remains in compression after last week’s decline. We're watching for a morning rebound from the $3,230–$3,235 support base, followed by rejection near $3,290.
This dual execution plan allows for intraday profit on a bounce and tactical re-entry for the larger structure fade.
Goodluck.
Gold BOS retest!Currently on a trade holding longs. It seems like we might have a short retracement upside to test that structure shift.. My hunch is that the gold will be making new HL soon and then finally LH on bigger tf, 1D. Too overbought, and now that the bull runs over, market makers will be jumping in to manipulate soon, so it will be wise to trade gold only for long term investments instead of day trading. Swing and long term short hold will be the best imo. I think that as high as gold will go for few months.. but please do your own analysis and keep a bias.
XAUUSD 30M Long Setup – Inverse Head & Shoulders with Imbalance This trade is based on a bullish breakout of an inverse head and shoulders pattern identified on the 30-minute chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot). The right shoulder has completed, and price has broken above the neckline, entering a key imbalance zone that needs to be closed above for confirmation. Entry is placed at 3,309.291 with staged limit orders down to 3,296.202, targeting a move to the next supply zone at 3,364.749 (TP2), with the first take profit at 3,345.561 (TP1). Stop loss is set at 3,275.017. The setup includes imbalance fills, supply/demand zones, and clear bullish structure, aiming for a 4.66% upside on full execution.
Gold fluctuates at high levels and washes out repeatedly!The Asian and European sessions fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above 3360. In the evening, the US session fell slightly and stabilized at the 3360 mark, ushering in a bottoming rebound. The daily K-line closed at a high level. The daily structure closed at a high level. It closed a little stronger, and the weekly line reached a high for the second time. It has not yet formed a high and fall. The continuous form is impacted by the news, waiting for further confirmation of the form. The previous wave of strong rebound in the 4-hour chart of gold, the overall gold price rebounded in the short term for two consecutive trading days, and yesterday it was under pressure and fell. The situation of shock, but now it has formed a stage support area above 3360. After the opening of the Asian session, the gold price rose strongly and returned to above 3390. At present, it has reached 3415. Pay attention to the support level of 3360 below. If the support is effective, the gold price is expected to rise again. If it enters a shock wash, it is recommended to adopt the idea of selling high and buying low. Therefore, the current trend, people who like shocks feel very comfortable, and people who look at one side feel uncomfortable. The early trading operation is still in the range of 3420-3360, and a new layout will be made after breaking through! Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3420-3438 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3360 line of support.
Strong support at 3360; future trend analysis belowI mentioned yesterday that gold was accumulating bullish momentum to challenge the 3400 level at that time 📈. If the challenge failed, it would drop sharply 📉, and if it succeeded, it would continue to rise. That's why I advised you not to trade at that moment, as it was easy to choose the wrong direction and have your account wiped out 💥.
Currently, the international geopolitical situation has suddenly heated up 🌋, and the market's risk - aversion sentiment has once again pushed up the gold price 📈. However, tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's speech will be key nodes in the battle between bulls and bears ⚔️. The sharp fluctuations in gold this morning conform to the characteristics of a washout 🌀. But be wary of a significant pullback after the continuous slow rise 🚨.
In terms of operation, it is recommended that investors avoid blindly chasing the upward trend and focus on the impact of the Fed's decision on real interest rates and the US dollar 👀. Currently, the resistance above is at 3397 - 3407, and the strong support level of 3360 has been tested twice today, showing a double V bottom pattern📊.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3360
🚀 TP 3380 - 3390
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Skeptic | XAU/USD Analysis: Gold’s Next Big Move Is Brewing!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the morning with a deep dive into XAU/USD —gold’s serving up some exciting opportunities right now! 😊 Activating our triggers could spark a sharp move, potentially reigniting the major trend from before, so stick with me to the end of this analysis. As always, we’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. Let’s dive in! 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
It’s clear as day—the major trend is bullish . We’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, which, per Dow Theory, confirms a solid uptrend. After gold hit a peak at 3502.48 , it entered a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This correction was healthy, and the price action suggests the uptrend still has plenty of juice left. 💪
Post the sell-off candle on May 1, it looks like the correction might be done, and we’re now heading to test the resistance at 3425.31 . If that level breaks, we could see the major uptrend resume with some serious momentum. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 1-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
⏰ 1-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The last trigger I used for a long position was at 3270.75 , and it’s been performing nicely so far. But if this growth is to continue—and the correction is truly over—we’re about to see some explosive moves. The long trigger I’m about to share is worth the risk. Plus, if we don’t enter longs around these levels, it’ll get trickier later. A break above 3494.51 could come with heavy shadows, hunting stop losses, or it might spike too fast, leaving us without a good entry. So, the smarter play is to enter now with lower risk and higher R/R. Here’s the plan:
Long Setup 📈
Open a long position after a break above resistance at 3383.61 .
Target? The previous ceiling is a good start, but don’t close too early. Enter with the mindset that if the ceiling breaks, you’re already in a position, sitting pretty. Personally, I’m keeping my earlier long from below open, letting those profits run for peace of mind later. 😎
Short Setup 📉
For shorts, patience is key. Wait for a rejection from these levels, followed by a break below support at 3270.75 . That’s when we open a short position. No rush to short just yet—gold’s not showing signs of a momentum shift. But if it does, we could see deeper corrections, so keep both triggers on your radar. 🐻
🧠 Why This Matters
Spotting these triggers in a multi-timeframe setup gives us an edge, aligning short-term moves with the bigger trend. It’s all about stacking the odds in our favor. Want more insights like this? Check out my latest article on multi-timeframe strategies —it’s a game-changer! 📚
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Buy gold, it will continue to 3350!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed;
Technical aspects:
Currently, gold is moving in a fluctuating upward manner, and in the short term, the effective double bottom structure constructed in the area around 3200 and 3220 supports the continued upward movement of gold. In the short term, gold is not very willing to fall, and it has not even been able to fall back below 3300 again. If gold breaks through the 3330-3335 area during the rebound, then gold will inevitably continue to rise to the area around 3350, or even the area around 3380.
Trading strategy:
If gold retreats next, we will mainly focus on the opportunity to go long on gold in the 3315-3305 area; TP: 3350
Gold Price ActionHello traders! This is almost same setup or pattern as BTCUSD
If you look closely at the left side of the chart, you’ll notice multiple rejections from the same zone — forming a head-and-shoulders-style distribution. This area has now become a strong supply zone.
📌 What to Expect:
This is a high-probability short setup. If price taps into the supply zone again, it could trigger a strong move down, especially with liquidity already swept.
It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals:
This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
📊Technical aspects:
The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293.
🎯Practical strategy:
Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280.
Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.
Gold shorts coming?
Gold broke through and fell sharply, hitting the lowest level of 3200, breaking the previous shock pattern.
Friday's non-agricultural data was unexpectedly negative, and the rebound was under pressure at the top and bottom conversion level of 3268. The daily line closed with a cross K, and the overall shock remained.
Driving logic changes, and the impact of the tariff war weakens
The tariff tension that pushed gold to 3500 in the early stage has gradually eased, and the market focus has shifted to the Fed's policy.
The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed, and the non-agricultural data is strong, which strengthens the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, and gold is under pressure in the short term.
ETF positions continue to decrease. The world's largest gold ETF has continued to reduce its positions since it peaked on April 22, reflecting the bearish sentiment in the market.
Technical analysis
The daily structure, the cross K followed by three consecutive negatives, is usually a signal of continued decline. Combined with the bearish fundamentals, the probability of downward movement is relatively high.
The adjustment is not over yet, and attention should be paid to whether 3160 (61.8% golden ratio) can form support.
Short-term trend
The hourly chart rebound is weak, and the 100-day moving average continues to be under pressure, and the trend is still bearish.
Key positions and operation strategies
Pressure level: 3268-3275 (top and bottom conversion position), the extreme pullback does not break the 3280 watershed.
Support level: 3222-3224 (short-term support), break down to the 3200 mark, further target 3160.
Strategy:
Short at the beginning of the week based on the 3275-3268 pressure level, stop loss above 3280, target 3220-3200.
If it falls below 3200, follow up with short orders to 3160; if it stabilizes, observe the reversal signal.
Summary
Gold is dominated by shorts in the short term, and the operation is mainly rebound shorting, focusing on the Fed's policy expectations and the performance of the key support of 3160.
Tariffs, Fed & 3360 Line: Short-Term Bearish Gold Analysis📈 Tariff and International Relations: The Key Drivers of Gold Price 🌐
At present, the most crucial factors affecting the gold price are still the tariff situation and international relations. These global dynamics can quickly shift market sentiment, making gold a barometer for economic and geopolitical stability. Tensions often send investors flocking to the safety of gold, while diplomatic breakthroughs can ease its appeal. 📉💼
⚖️ 3360: The Pivotal Divide Between Bulls and Bears 📊
As things stand now, 3360 has clearly become an important dividing line for the game between the bulls and the bears. Technical analysts and traders closely monitor this level day and night. A decisive break above 3360 could fuel a bullish rally, while a drop below might unleash bearish momentum. 🚀📉 Every tick around this number draws intense attention from the trading community. 👀
📰 Real - Time News Shaping the Gold Market 📢
A series of real - time developments, such as the information released by the Federal Reserve, the remarks of Jerome Powell, and the agreements on tariffs signed between the UK and the US, are all influencing the trend of the gold market. Each central bank statement or trade deal announcement can send shockwaves through the market, triggering rapid price movements. Traders constantly refresh their news feeds, ready to react at a moment's notice. 💻⏱️
🌍 Future Outlook: A Bearish Short - Term Trend 📉
With the development of the situation, the tariff issue is likely to be further alleviated in the future. Based on this, from a short - term perspective, the gold price shows a bearish trend. However, long - term investors should also keep an eye on other variables like inflation rates and geopolitical flashpoints that could potentially reverse this trend. After all, the gold market is full of surprises! 🎯🔮
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3360
🚀 TP 3340 - 3320
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Real-time analysis of the XAUUSD market.The current volatile trend is to give room for adjustment for the interest rate decision and the Fed's speech later.
If the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged or increase, it will boost the US dollar index. This will suppress the xauusd market. It will be bearish and fall. If the interest rate is cut, it will boost XAUUSD. But I think the market will not raise interest rates at this stage. The probability of a rate cut is also very low. So maintaining the same interest rate is the first choice.
In terms of trading, traders with large amounts of capital can sell at 3385 at the current price, while traders with small amounts of capital can wait until the market returns above 3400 before selling.
The Swing Trading Center continuously updates new real-time trading opportunities. If you don't understand trading, or don't want to miss the next real-time trading opportunity, remember to follow me.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3387.7
Sl - 3380.3
Tp - 3403.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAUUSD UP OR DOWN?My analysis outlines a common technical trading strategy based on order blocks and market structure shifts (MSS) in XAUUSD (gold vs USD). Here's a breakdown and a more structured interpretation of what you might be saying:
🟨 Technical Analysis Summary:
Order Block Identified at 3340.00 (1H Timeframe):
This is likely a bearish or bullish order block, where institutions previously placed large orders.
Price is expected to react at this level (likely resistance or support, depending on context).
Need to Observe Market Structure Shift (MSS) on Lower Timeframes:
You're waiting for a confirmation (e.g., a break of structure or BOS) on a 15M or 5M chart before entering a position.
This is a confirmation strategy to avoid false reactions.
Potential Retracement to 3260.00:
This may be a liquidity grab or the lowest point (swing low) before the next upward move.
Implies you're expecting a bullish reversal from that zone after an MSS.
GOLDChina's central bank is aggressively accumulating gold reserves as part of a multifaceted strategic agenda, driven by the following factors:
1. Diversification Away from US Dollar Assets
China is reducing reliance on US Treasuries, converting proceeds into gold to mitigate risks from US sanctions, trade tensions, and dollar volatility.
Gold now represents 6.5% of China’s total foreign reserves (up from 5.9% in January 2025), signaling a deliberate shift toward non-USD assets.
2. Geopolitical and Economic Hedging
Escalating US-China trade conflicts (e.g., tariffs) and Taiwan tensions have heightened the need for a "safe haven" asset to insulate China’s economy.
Gold’s role as a crisis hedge is critical amid fears of financial instability or sanctions, especially with the US targeting Chinese exports.
3. Supporting the Yuan’s Global Role
Gold reserves bolster confidence in the yuan, aiding its internationalization and positioning it as a credible alternative to the dollar in trade settlements.
The PBOC’s gold-backed digital yuan initiative aims to enhance its appeal as a global reserve currency.
4. State-Mandated Institutional Demand
Chinese insurers and pension funds are required to allocate 1% of assets to gold, absorbing ~30–40% of global annual supply.
This creates structural supply deficits, driving up prices and reinforcing gold’s value in China’s reserves.
5. Undisclosed Strategic Stockpiling
Officially reported reserves (2,292t) likely understate holdings. Analysts estimate 40,000+ tonnes when including military and state-controlled entities.
Secret stockpiling prepares China for potential crises, including wartime financing or currency stabilization.
6. Market Dynamics and Price Control
The PBOC’s sustained purchases (12.8t in Q1 2025) and Shanghai Futures Exchange activity have fueled gold’s 20% price surge in 2025, enhancing reserve values.
By dominating physical markets, China gains influence over global gold pricing, reducing dependence on Western exchanges.
Summary:
Reduce USD dependency Swap Treasuries for gold Insulates against US policy risks
Yuan internationalization Back currency with gold reserves Enhances trust in digital yuan
Geopolitical hedge Prepare for trade/currency wars Stabilizes economy during crises
Control supply/pricing Mandate institutional buying, restrict exports Tightens global supply, supports prices
China’s gold strategy is a calculated response to global instability, aiming to secure economic sovereignty and challenge the dollar’s dominance. This trend is expected to persist, with analysts forecasting gold could reach $4,500/oz by late 2025 due to China-driven demand
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart – Key Resistance Test: Breakout or RejectSimple Analysis:
Price is currently at a resistance zone (~$3,335).
Two possible outcomes are drawn:
Bullish scenario: Break above current resistance → move toward the next resistance (~$3,500+).
Bearish scenario: Rejection from current resistance → fall back to the support zone (~$3,240).
EMAs:
50 EMA (red) is above 200 EMA (blue) = bullish bias, but price must break resistance to continue upward.
Summary:
Watch for a breakout above ~$3,335 for bullish continuation, or a rejection for a potential drop to support near ~$3,240.
Gold Prediction Hits 600+ Points – Spot On!Spot-on analysis! Yesterday’s gold setup played out perfectly, delivering over 600 points. Demand zone held strong, and bulls took full control. Precision pays off – follow for more high-probability setups!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBulls #MarketPrediction #600Points #SmartTrading
Gold Climbs on Safe-Haven DemandGold climbed to nearly $3,360 per ounce on Tuesday, marking its highest level in over a week, as renewed tariff threats from President Trump increased safe-haven demand. Trump announced a 100% tariff on foreign films and signaled upcoming measures targeting pharmaceuticals. Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged despite Trump’s push for cuts.
Resistance is expected at $3,385, then $3,450 and $3,500. Support stands at $3,300, followed by $3,265 and $3,200.
GOLD Gold buying is exceptionally high in 2025, and this surge is directly linked to geopolitical tensions-especially between China, Taiwan, and the United States-as well as broader trade and economic uncertainty.
Key Reasons for High Gold Buying
1. Geopolitical Risk: China–Taiwan–US Tensions
Investors are flocking to gold as a safe haven due to escalating tensions in the Taiwan Strait and the broader US-China relationship. Even without open conflict, the risk of confrontation or trade war is enough to drive up demand for gold.
The mere threat of a China-Taiwan conflict is seen as a potential trigger for global financial shocks, prompting investors to hedge against instability by accumulating gold.
2. Central Bank and Institutional Buying (Led by China)
Central banks, especially China’s, are buying gold at record levels. In Q1 2025, China’s central bank added 95 tonnes of gold to its reserves, part of a broader move to diversify away from US dollar assets.
This central bank accumulation is a major structural driver of gold’s price surge, providing persistent upward pressure even as other asset classes remain volatile.
3. Trade War and Tariff Uncertainty
The US has announced aggressive new tariffs on Chinese goods, and China is expected to retaliate. This has reignited fears of a global trade war, further fueling safe-haven demand for gold.
Gold is less affected by tariffs than other assets, making it particularly attractive during periods of trade friction.
4. Dollar Weakness and Portfolio Diversification
A sharp decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) has also contributed to gold’s rise, as investors seek assets that are less exposed to dollar depreciation.
Regulatory changes in China have allowed more institutional and insurance fund investment in gold, further boosting demand.
Summary Table
Driver Gold Buying Impact
China–Taiwan–US Geopolitical Risk Strongly increases demand
Chinese Central Bank Accumulation Structural, sustained boost
Trade War/Tariff Uncertainty Safe-haven flows surge
Dollar Weakness Makes gold more attractive
In summary:
Gold buying is at record highs due to a combination of China–Taiwan–US geopolitical risk, aggressive central bank purchases (especially by China), trade war fears, and a weaker dollar. The situation in Taiwan is a major catalyst, as any escalation would have global economic consequences, making gold the preferred hedge for both institutions and individual investors.