MY EAGLE EYE VIEW ON GOLD THIS MIGHT HAPPEN?My expectation is price may go down to 3330 (Daily FVG) if current 4H FVG support the idea and from M15 CISD to push lower i will enter with confirmation later be careful of NFP day may leads to consolidation before data release. My expectation is price may trade lower before pushing upside huge unexpected rejection formed yesterday. Lets see i will enter with confirmation on 15M time frame.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Is there still hope for the bull market to rise today?📰 Impact of news:
1. Progress made in talks between China and the USA
📈 Market analysis:
In view of the non-agricultural data to be released on Friday, the market is expected to maintain a volatile consolidation trend before then. From the daily level: the Bollinger Bands open gently, the gold price is running below the upper track 3414, and the MACD golden cross is running slowly, suggesting that the bullish momentum is weak. At the hourly level, the short-term short position is strong, and there is a certain rebound demand. Therefore, we pay attention to the 3343-3333 support line below, focusing on the 3300 support. After the gold price falls below the 3360 support, the 3360 position will suppress the gold price in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3343-3333
TP 3360-3370-3380
SELL 3360-3370
TP 3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY STOP)Direction: Long
Order Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3366.50 (above recent local resistance and reclaiming structure)
Stop Loss: 3352.00 (below M15/M3 structure and recent low)
Take Profit: 3402.00 (previous swing high zone and just under H4 resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.57R
⸻
🧠 Trade Rationale
H4
• Price bounced from a higher low around 3320–3330, still respecting the long-term uptrend.
• Price is now reclaiming the 20/50 SMA cluster, which could act as dynamic support.
• Momentum is neutral-to-positive with MACD poised for a bullish crossover.
M15
• Price reclaimed 20 SMA and is now curling back above the 50 SMA.
• Clean bullish engulfing structure forming, indicating buyer re-entry.
• RSI is mid-50s with room to expand upward.
M3
• Strong, steady micro uptrend forming higher lows and consolidating under resistance near 3366.
• Increasing volume on upward moves, suggesting healthy interest from buyers.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management & Execution
• Entry confirmation: Only enter if price breaks above 3366.50 on strength — avoid premature triggers.
• Invalidation Window: Trade becomes invalid if price closes below 3350 on a 15-minute candle. This would break both M3 and M15 structure.
• SL to BE: Move SL to break-even after price reaches 3377 and forms a micro higher low on M3 or support-resistance flip.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold remains up at the beginning of this week
📌 Gold Consulting
Gold prices rose sharply on Monday, reaching their highest level in more than four weeks, affected by the escalation of geopolitical risks caused by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The re-escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States prompted investors to buy gold throughout the day. As of this writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,377, up 2.70%.
Market sentiment turned sour on news that Ukraine launched an airstrike against Russia, destroying long-range bombers and other aircraft. Meanwhile, US President Trump doubled the tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, and his remarks against China led to a decline in US and global stock markets. CNBC
Reports said that Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may talk this week, but not on Monday.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices maintained their upward momentum at the beginning of this week, but tariff tensions and war with Russia remain unpredictable. Gold prices are supported and will return to the 3400 area.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3409-3411 SL 3416
TP1: $3400
TP2: $3388
TP3: $3372
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3313-$3315 SL $3308
TP1: $3327
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3355
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,237.46
1st Support: 3,239.71
1st Resistance: 3,415.22
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation.
Last Week in News
After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans.
Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%.
In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April.
Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week
• Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak.
• Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy.
The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance.
Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week
The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs.
Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward.
On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400.
As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend.
Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions.
Support: $3,250 – $3,228
Resistance: $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3341
→Take Profit 1 3329
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3242
→Take Profit 1 3254
↨
→Take Profit 2 3260
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,360.39.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,295.58 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short gold after reboundOvernight, gold broke through the 3400 mark due to the intensification of geopolitical risks, but plunged sharply due to the reduction of the risk of Sino-US trade decoupling. Because the news swept up and down, it brought certain difficulties to the transaction. Today, we will focus on the NFP market!
After overnight gold plunged to around 3340, it is currently maintaining a small rebound state. Relatively speaking, the rebound potential is weak, and with the sharp plunge of gold in the short term, the market bulls' confidence has been hit. At present, without major good news, it is difficult to make breakthrough progress based on technical support alone. The upper side faces short-term resistance of 3365-3375 area resistance. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will be weak!
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345
Non-farm data is expected to help gold recover from its decline! Gold prices rose sharply in the Asian and European sessions yesterday, and fell in the US session. The roller coaster-like trend at the end of the day gave up all the gains during the day, falling below the 3350 mark and touching the 3339 line. The daily pattern showed a trend of first rising sharply and then falling sharply. The technical daily chart has been alternating between positive and negative for four consecutive trading days. The New York market fell sharply and tested the 7-day moving average, but the price is still running above the 10-day moving average/7-day moving average.
The Bollinger Bands on the short-term four-hour chart closed, the RSI indicator's middle axis flattened, and the hourly chart's four-hour moving average was glued. From a technical perspective, gold intraday trading is arranged with a volatile mindset, and the intraday range is arranged with reference to 3328/3388. Today's fundamentals focus on the non-agricultural employment data released by the New York market. The previous value was 177,000, and the market estimate was only 130,000. According to the estimate, it is bullish for gold/silver.
This year has always emphasized that 2025 is a strong year for gold, and gold may enter an acceleration period of long-term structure this year. Tariff trade policies, geopolitical tensions, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the decline in confidence in U.S. debt, and the increase in global central bank purchases have all affected the trend of gold as a strong safe-haven tool, and gold will have room to rise. Therefore, as long as the overall environment remains unchanged, gold is still an absolute bullish trend. Therefore, no matter how it is adjusted, now is an opportunity to enter the long position.
Gold fluctuated in the 3332-3392 range in the first three days of this week. During this period, our high-altitude and low-multiple layout was completed as expected. Then, today gold will remain in this range and fluctuate upward. If it rises above 3400 and stabilizes, it will look to 3500 above; if it breaks through 3330, it will look to 3280 below. Pay attention to the fluctuations before the release of non-agricultural data. Non-agricultural data will cause an increase in liquidity, so try to avoid it.
Key points:
First support level: 3342, second support level: 3328, third support level: 3303
First resistance level: 3376, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3410
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3340-3343, stop loss: 3332, target price: 3360-3370;
Sell: 3387-3390, stop loss: 3400, target: 3370-3360;
Gold at a Turning Point – Are You Ready for This?Important Note
These two scenarios will only remain valid if 3402 holds as the top in gold. If gold breaks above 3402 before Scenario 1 plays out, both scenarios will be considered invalid.
Scenario 1:
Gold is expected to retest the 3330–3323 zone — a significant Break of Structure (BOS) area. A sweep of this zone could initiate a bullish wave, potentially pushing gold towards the 3624–3650 range.
However, I personally see a low probability for this scenario, as I believe gold may have already formed a major mid-year top around 3500, making an early break unlikely and limiting the potential for this wave to fully develop.
Scenario 2:
If gold does not follow Scenario 1 and breaks below the 3330–3323 zone, it’s likely to retest its major demand area at 3200–3166. A sweep of this zone would very likely trigger a strong bullish move toward the 3475–3500 range.
Why I Favor Scenario 2:
It aligns with a deeper market structure test.
It allows gold to revisit and confirm a major demand zone.
From a higher time frame perspective, it helps complete a broader structural move.
In my opinion, Scenario 2 carries a higher probability based on current market behavior and structure.
Final Thoughts:
These are the two possible scenarios I currently foresee for gold — but remember, I could be wrong. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Intraday traders can use these scenarios to frame their levels and plan scalps accordingly.
Swing traders have a complete setup here to work with based on structure and key zones.
God bless you all — trading isn’t as easy as it looks, especially in gold. Stay sharp and trade smart. Thank you! 🙏
Gold 100% Trading SignalsJudging from the trend of the gold 1-hour chart, the daily level maintains a strong bullish upward pattern. It is recommended to continue to focus on the range low-multiple strategy during the day. The current market is in a stage of shock consolidation, and there is a technical pressure to rise and fall in the short term. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on short-term long orders, and focus on the trading logic of following the trend and low-multiple. It is necessary to focus on the upper 3390-3400 resistance range and the lower 3340-3330 support range. Specific strategy Weng Fuhao suggested that you can try long orders when it falls back to the 3348-3353 area.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3348-3353 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3340, and look at 3365-3375 in the short term, with a target of 3400
June 5, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Today’s closing candle will be crucial — it will influence my outlook for Friday.
For now, I consider the market to be in a consolidation phase between 3385–3344.
Watch for breakout confirmation in either direction.
Strong resistance exists near 3392. If price ranges between 3390–3400 without clear direction, I may avoid trading in that zone.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3415 – Resistance
• 3398–3400 – Psychological resistance zone
• 3392 – Strong resistance
• 3385 – Intraday key resistance
• 3370 – Intraday key support
• 3365 – Key support
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3344 – Breakout level
• 3332 – Support
• 3323 – Critical support
• 3300 – Psychological level
📉 Macro Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3370 → target 3365, then 3360, 3355, and 3350
BUY if price holds above 3385 → target 3392, then 3398, 3405, and 3415
🙏 Yesterday I asked if anyone was curious about how I manage entry and stop-loss.
I noticed some of you left a boost — that tells me there’s interest!
📌 I’m currently working on a dedicated post about this.
It’s scheduled to be released next Wednesday, June 11.
BUT… if today’s boost reach 5, I’ll speed things up and try to get it done by this weekend.
If it goes beyond 10, I might even publish it as early as Friday.
Thanks for your support — it keeps me motivated to share more of my thinking! 🙌
Disclaimer: Personal opinion only, not financial advice. Use proper risk management.
XAUUSD 1H👀 I’m seeing a 1-hour Gold (CAPITAL.COM) chart with:
A rising-wedge / broadening-top that’s already broken to the downside.
Price currently ≈ 3309, sliding beneath an internal trend-line.
Your annotations mark a possible relief rally toward the 3345-3350 supply zone (pink box), then a deeper drop in two legs—first into the 3285-3290 shelf, and ultimately toward the 3240-3250 demand (purple box/long arrow).
You’ve shaded risk-reward blocks showing a short setup with a stop around 3380-3400 and targets down to ~3240.
Are you looking for a second opinion on the trade idea, position-sizing guidance, or perhaps alternative scenarios? Let me know what you’d like to drill into and I’ll dive right in.
Gold Analysis – Likely Scenario📍 Gold is currently trading around 3375 USD and gaining bullish momentum with the London session opening.
🔸 Key Zones:
🟨 Critical Resistance (Orange Zone):
📍 3378 – 3384✅ Price consolidation zone – if broken with strong volume, a bullish continuation is likely.
🔴 Supply Zones (FVG):
1️⃣ Upper FVG 1H:📍 3386 – 3397
2️⃣ Main Supply Zone FVG 1H:📍 3405 – 3422
🟢 Demand Zone (1H OB):
📍 3345 – 3350✅ Strong buy zone after the breakout of falling wedge structure.
🔵 Lower Demand FVGs:
3330 – 3335
3315 – 3325
3290 – 3300
3260 – 3270
✳️ Likely Scenario:
If the orange resistance zone breaks, price is likely to rally toward the 3386 – 3397 FVG, and potentially 3405 – 3422.
If price gets rejected, watch for reactions at the 3345 – 3350 OB for potential long entries.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
VIP GOLD Analysis: Reversal & Breakout Zones Mapping + Target🧠 1. Black Mind Curve Resistance – The Psychological Ceiling
A uniquely drawn parabolic curve, referred to here as the Black Mind Curve, acts as a dynamic resistance level. Price has tested this curve multiple times, rejecting it consistently — a clear signal that this area holds institutional selling interest.
This resistance line is not static; it follows a natural flow of market psychology — early buyer excitement, mid-trend optimism, and late buyer FOMO, all fading around the curve. Until this is broken with volume, it continues to act as a ceiling for bullish rallies.
🏆 2. Cup & Handle Pattern – Bullish Continuation Setup
Notice the beautifully forming Cup & Handle-like structure:
The Cup represents a rounded consolidation bottom formed between May 27 and June 3.
The Handle shows a light pullback and reaccumulation, preparing for a potential breakout.
This is a classic bullish continuation pattern. A breakout above the handle — especially above 3,390–3,400 — can unleash a powerful upside rally.
📌 Breakout Entry Zone: 3,390+
🎯 Targets after breakout: 3,420 / 3,450 / 3,470
🛑 Invalidation: Break below 3,280
📉 3. Trendline Support – The Bullish Backbone
An upward sloping trendline support is holding the structure intact. Every time price retraced, it respected this trendline, making it a key bullish bias line. A breakdown below it may signal weakness, but until then, buyers are in control.
🌀 4. Reversal Zones – Marking the Battlefield
Mini Reversal Zone (3,330–3,345): Where short-term scalpers look for small bounces or rejections.
Major Reversal Zone (3,280–3,300): Strong institutional support is expected here if price dips. Look for bullish engulfing or pin bars in this area to catch sniper entries.
💼 5. Pro Trading Plan (VIP Zone Insight):
➡️ Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
Watch for bounce from Major Reversal Zone or breakout above 3,390
Entry: On bullish engulfing candle or breakout confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3,270 or below handle low
Targets: TP1 – 3,420 / TP2 – 3,450 / TP3 – 3,470+
⬅️ Bearish Scenario (If Trendline Breaks):
Short on clean breakdown of trendline and retest
Entry: Below 3,270 with confirmation
Targets: TP1 – 3,240 / TP2 – 3,210
Risk: Avoid entering into reversal zones without confirmation
🔥 Why This Setup Matters:
This chart combines psychological resistance, classic technical patterns, and institutional zones. The confluence gives high probability signals for both swing traders and intraday scalpers.
📊 Whether you're a price action trader or a pattern-based analyst, this setup is screaming for attention. Stay sharp, manage risk, and wait for confirmation before execution.
🚀 Final Note:
Gold is approaching a make-or-break level. Keep your eyes on the Black Mind Curve Resistance and Trendline Support. Whichever breaks first will likely decide the next 150–200 point move.
📢 Follow for More:
If you find this analysis valuable, follow me for daily chart breakdowns, premium setups, and trading education content. Let's grow together!
Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345–3370 Range Explode? XAUUSD 04/06 – Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345–3370 Range Explode?
Gold is currently consolidating within a critical range between 3345–3370, following a wave 4 correction. After a sharp retracement to the 335x area, traders are closely watching for the next move — either a continuation of the correction or a breakout toward new highs.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
Trump–Xi Call Incoming: A high-level diplomatic call is expected in the coming days. Market participants are anticipating potential shifts in global trade sentiment.
US 10-Year Yields remain elevated, keeping pressure on gold in the short term. However, geopolitical risks and macro uncertainty still support demand for safe-haven assets.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness after recent strength, which may give gold room for recovery.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1 / H4 Timeframe
Gold is in a wave 4 structure within a 5-wave Elliott pattern. A break above 3370 could signal the beginning of wave 5, targeting 3400.
A breakdown below 3345 would imply deeper correction toward the 332x liquidity zone, completing wave 4 before a bullish continuation.
EMAs 13 and 34 remain above EMA200 on H1, indicating the broader uptrend is still intact.
🔑 STRATEGIC PRICE LEVELS
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3317 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3372 – 3374
Stop Loss: 3378
Take Profit: 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3356 → 3350 → 3345
⚠️ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
Respect the 3345–3370 range until a breakout is confirmed.
Avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range. Wait for strong rejections or clear breakout confirmations.
Be cautious with unexpected news from the Trump–Xi call, which may trigger sudden market volatility.
📌 FINAL THOUGHT
“Gold is at a turning point. Break above 3370 and we may see wave 5 unfold toward 3400. But a breakdown below 3345 could drag price lower before the next bullish leg begins. Focus on the key zones — volatility is just getting started.”