GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD (4H) — Explosive Start to the Week, Bullish Projection🏪 1. Market Structure
Gold has reignited its bullish momentum this week.
- Clean breakout of the bearish trendline that had been capping prices for several sessions.
- Rally followed a retest of a 1H IFVG and the OTE zone (retested last week) + POI.
📍 2. Key Technical Zone
- Price is now approaching a crucial Supply Zone around $3,360–$3,380, which represents the next resistance barrier.
🧠 3. Sentiment & Behavior
- The structure resembles an Accumulation → Clear Breakout → Retest → Expansion sequence.
- The 4H RSI is climbing without being overbought, suggesting continuation potential.
🎯 4. Probable Scenario
- As long as price stays above $3,320, the bullish scenario remains intact. 🚀
- If the Supply Zone is cleared, the next target lies near $3,450–$3,500, with potential extension to a fresh ATH. 🏆
✅ Conclusion
Gold has regained short-term control. The structural breakout + intraday bullish momentum support a northward push.
🔔 Remain vigilant for macro catalysts (US inflation data, geopolitical tensions) that could propel gold even higher this week. 🌍
XAUUSD IDEALocally, on the hourly XAUUSD timeframe, we can clearly see how the price is breaking out of the uptrend, thereby triggering a downward impulse.
Resistance levels: 3325, 3343
Support levels: 3303, 3275
The liquidity level of 3300 could act as a magnet for the price, from which a correction to the resistance of the range of 3325 could form (liquidity hunt), but due to the change in the fundamental background, gold may continue its correction to 3275 (support zone) before a possible continuation of growth..▶️📌
Weekly IDEA on Gold/XAUUSD 9-13 June 2025Technical Confluences:
Bearish FVG:
Fresh Fair Value Gap formed due to aggressive sell-off.
FVG = supply zone, acting as magnet for liquidity + rejection
Broken Channel Retest:
Price fell below the ascending channel
Now retesting the channel, a classic structure behavior before continuation.
Liquidity Below:
Clear clean lows visible around $3,290 → $3,250 → $3,120.
These levels could serve as liquidity targets for institutional movement
Rejection Candlestick Anticipated:
If a strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing / wick trap) forms inside FVG, entry confidence increases.
📌 Trade Idea (Signal)
Sell Limit Idea
Entry Zone: $3,332 – $3,344
SL: $3,355 (above FVG and channel invalidation)
TP1: $3,290
TP2: $3,250
TP3: $3,120
RR: Approx. 3R+
❗ Alternate Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims and closes back inside the channel (above $3,355):
The current bearish setup is invalidated.
Bullish momentum could resume with possible push toward $3,400 → $3,445.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic SMC + market structure confluence.
Wait for rejection confirmation inside the FVG for higher probability.
Avoid chasing the move — precision entry at supply is key.
Gold has reached the integer mark, and there will be big moves!Short-term analysis of gold; the recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
Last week, gold did not appear purely unilateral, all kinds of reversals, staying at the same point at different times, but many friends suffered heavy losses, which is extremely challenging to the mentality and adaptability. If you still have positions last week, please communicate with me at any time and give the best solution.
Gold operation ideas today;
1; The upper short order can enter the market at the 3400 line, with a stop loss, the target is more than 20 points, today's short only try once at this position, try not to short at other positions
2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3330 line, look at 10-15 points, and lose 8 points. If you want to try long orders, you must strictly set a stop loss.
~If you still hold short positions below, it is recommended to unlock positions in batches. Do not hold positions blindly, as this will be very passive.
I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3365-3355
WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3RD | WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY?
After a massive $100 rally at the start of the week, gold has begun to pull back — dropping over $30 during the Asia session today. This is likely the end of Wave 3 (the strongest impulse in a 5-wave Elliott structure), as investors lock in profits and await key macro events.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
A high-stakes call between Trump and Xi Jinping is expected this week, which could reshape short-term trade sentiment.
Investors are moving into cash positions, taking profits after Monday’s surge, and waiting for direction from the upcoming US-China negotiations.
Macro themes remain supportive for volatility: tariff risks, inflation worries, and geopolitical uncertainty.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H2 / H4 / D1
On the higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a bullish structure, with EMAs aligned for upside continuation.
On intraday charts (M30–H1), we’re seeing a clean correction, likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone below.
The key BUY zone at 3320–3310 will decide direction:
If it holds: strong long setups.
If it breaks: possible structure shift and deeper downside.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3320 – 3318
SL: 3314
TP: 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3388 – 3390
SL: 3394
TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3366 → 3360 → 3350
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS
“Gold is in a healthy correction after a massive surge. The 3310–3320 zone is crucial. Hold it, and bulls may take over again — break it, and we may see a deeper pullback."
⚠️ Stay cautious ahead of political headlines. Any remarks from the Trump–Xi call could spark aggressive price action.
GOLD Additional factors supporting gold’s bullish opening include:
Modest US dollar weakness: The dollar has softened amid fiscal concerns and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
US fiscal concerns: Worries about the US debt situation and potential impacts of tax-cutting bills have increased safe-haven demand for gold.
Technical buying: Gold prices breaking above key resistance levels have attracted fresh buying interest, setting the stage for further gains toward $3,400 and beyond.
In summary, the bullish gold opening today reflects a combination of heightened geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, US fiscal concerns, and expectations of Fed easing, all of which drive investors to seek safety in gold.
Trade UpdateGold’s strong bullish momentum has extended from the London session into the US session, invalidating our previous expectations. Our outlook has now shifted decisively to the upside for the yellow metal.
We are targeting an initial move to $3,500, with the potential for a new all-time high beyond that level.
However, we anticipate a short-term pullback to retest the falling trendline — now acting as support — before resuming its upward trajectory.
From the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? what's next??#GOLD - market broke his tringle line and rise and now again marke trade above his current supporting area that is around 3342 to 3345
keep close that mentioned supporting region and keep close.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below that region on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ PatternGOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ Pattern
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress Gold is currently developing the final leg of a complex WXYXZ pattern, with the Z wave taking shape.
Gold tends to rise unpredictably—even on days without major news or strong market volume, making this a hazardous trade.
FOMC Minutes Today.
The Federal Reserve’s minutes from the May 6-7 meeting will be released today. Policymakers showed no signs of adjusting interest rates soon, and today’s report may highlight how firmly they are sticking to their current "wait-and-see" approach.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
Gold analysis – 1H FVG and OB setupPrice failed to hold at the first 1H FVG (red circle) and broke through quickly.
At the second 1H FVG (green circle), we entered a Buy position, and it’s currently running in profit ✅
Now, price is testing another 1H FVG around 3,327. If we get bullish confirmation here, upside targets are:
🔹 1H OB at 3,370
🔹 1H OB near 3,390–3,410
If price gets rejected again, watch for retracement into lower FVG zones: 3,290 and 3,250
Smart Money Concepts in play – watching PA for next move.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
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Bears counterattacked strongly, is the 3300 mark in danger?Gold bulls collapsed! Bears counterattacked strongly, is the 3300 mark in danger?
Fundamental analysis
Safe-haven demand weakened
The call between the leaders of China and the United States released a signal of easing trade tensions, the market risk appetite rebounded, and gold rose and fell.
Spot gold once hit a four-week high of $3,403 during the week, but eventually closed down 1.26% to $3,310.
The market is paying attention to the US non-farm data and the policy trends of the Federal Reserve. If the data is strong or strengthens the expectation of interest rate hikes, it may further suppress the gold price.
Despite the short-term pressure, the gold price has risen by 28% this year, and its long-term safe-haven attribute has not changed.
Technical analysis
Weekly level
The pattern shows significant pressure from above, and the MACD high dead cross sign indicates that the bears may continue to test the 3300 mark.
Daily level
The decline for several consecutive days broke the short-term moving average (5-day/10-day moving average), and the MACD dead cross increased in volume, which was overall bearish.
The key support moves up to 3295 (Bolin middle rail), if it fails, it will open up downward space.
4-hour level
The price breaks below the Bollinger lower rail, the moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the MACD dead cross has sufficient momentum. The short-term may test the 3280 support.
Operation strategy
Resistance level
Short-term: 3328-3330 (short dividing point)
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (breakthrough will slow down the downward rhythm)
Support level
Primary: 3290-3280 (beginning of the week target)
After breaking, look to the 3250-3230 area
Recommendations
Main strategy: short-selling on the rebound to the 3328-3332 area, stop loss above 3345, target 3290-3280.
Auxiliary strategy: light long orders at the first touch of 3280, stop loss below 3270, target 3300-3310.
Risk warning: If the non-farm data is lower than expected or the geopolitical situation changes suddenly, be wary of a bullish counterattack.
GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADE IDEA Buy Now at: 3365GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADE IDEA
Buy Now at: 3365
🎯 Target 1: 3375
🎯 Target 2: 3395
🎯 Target 3: 4010
🎯 Final Target: 3450
📉 Stop Loss: Set tight based on your risk profile
⚠️ Risk Management is Key
🧠 Always use proper lot sizing
📊 Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital
🛑 Avoid revenge trading
⏳ Be patient — let the trade play out
💬 Monitor price action around key levels
📈 Bullish momentum expected above 3365
🔍 Look for confirmation candles on the lower timeframes
🔒 Secure profits at each target if needed
📆 June 2025 Setup
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ForexSignals
📢 Trade smart, not emotional 💡
Becareful of this type of trade trade was based on 4h fvg and htf bullish trend .. forming opposite market structure and evaporated all the profit. forced idea above 3400 with impulsive bullish price movement.
This is how market can ruin your profitable journey. some times forcing market to move in your favor can slap you hardly.
As long as gold falls, you can continue to buyNow we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3353-60. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3338-45. The trend is still mainly to do more after stepping back. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the 3354-62 line. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400. Keep the main tone of low-multiple participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and move less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and buy when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss at 3336, target at 3395-3400;