Gold has reached the integer mark, and there will be big moves!Short-term analysis of gold; the recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
Last week, gold did not appear purely unilateral, all kinds of reversals, staying at the same point at different times, but many friends suffered heavy losses, which is extremely challenging to the mentality and adaptability. If you still have positions last week, please communicate with me at any time and give the best solution.
Gold operation ideas today;
1; The upper short order can enter the market at the 3400 line, with a stop loss, the target is more than 20 points, today's short only try once at this position, try not to short at other positions
2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3330 line, look at 10-15 points, and lose 8 points. If you want to try long orders, you must strictly set a stop loss.
~If you still hold short positions below, it is recommended to unlock positions in batches. Do not hold positions blindly, as this will be very passive.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3365-3355
If the 3300 support line is still valid, you can continue to buyAs for gold, as I analyzed, I gave a long strategy at 3310-18 this morning. So far, the lowest level has rebounded to 3340. At the same time, we have also notified the real market to go long. I believe that friends who follow me can see it. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3300-06. The trend is still mainly to go long. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is around 3315-21. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3300-06. Pay attention to the suppression of 3345-3348. The main tone of low-long participation around this range remains unchanged during the day. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3321-3328, and buy when it falls back to 3312-16, stop loss at 3308, target at 3345-3348;
Bears counterattacked strongly, is the 3300 mark in danger?Gold bulls collapsed! Bears counterattacked strongly, is the 3300 mark in danger?
Fundamental analysis
Safe-haven demand weakened
The call between the leaders of China and the United States released a signal of easing trade tensions, the market risk appetite rebounded, and gold rose and fell.
Spot gold once hit a four-week high of $3,403 during the week, but eventually closed down 1.26% to $3,310.
The market is paying attention to the US non-farm data and the policy trends of the Federal Reserve. If the data is strong or strengthens the expectation of interest rate hikes, it may further suppress the gold price.
Despite the short-term pressure, the gold price has risen by 28% this year, and its long-term safe-haven attribute has not changed.
Technical analysis
Weekly level
The pattern shows significant pressure from above, and the MACD high dead cross sign indicates that the bears may continue to test the 3300 mark.
Daily level
The decline for several consecutive days broke the short-term moving average (5-day/10-day moving average), and the MACD dead cross increased in volume, which was overall bearish.
The key support moves up to 3295 (Bolin middle rail), if it fails, it will open up downward space.
4-hour level
The price breaks below the Bollinger lower rail, the moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the MACD dead cross has sufficient momentum. The short-term may test the 3280 support.
Operation strategy
Resistance level
Short-term: 3328-3330 (short dividing point)
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (breakthrough will slow down the downward rhythm)
Support level
Primary: 3290-3280 (beginning of the week target)
After breaking, look to the 3250-3230 area
Recommendations
Main strategy: short-selling on the rebound to the 3328-3332 area, stop loss above 3345, target 3290-3280.
Auxiliary strategy: light long orders at the first touch of 3280, stop loss below 3270, target 3300-3310.
Risk warning: If the non-farm data is lower than expected or the geopolitical situation changes suddenly, be wary of a bullish counterattack.
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields
1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY)
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY).
When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down.
Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts.
2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive.
However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand.
Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields.
3. Gold and Bond Prices
Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall.
Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge.
Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation .
4. Macro and Market Drivers
Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support.
Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term.
Conclusion
Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields.
#gold #dollar
XAUUSD:Focus on trade negotiations and CPI dataGold prices stabilized and rebounded after continuing last Friday's decline. Yesterday, they fell back to the 3,300 level before rising slowly to 3,338, where they encountered resistance and pulled back, in line with the technical consolidation rhythm.
Key Fundamental Events:
- China-US trade negotiations: The US has signaled a willingness to relax export restrictions, and the market is awaiting the outcome, which could impact risk sentiment.
- US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Federal Reserve's policy.
Technical Levels:
- Support: 3,295 and 3,285
- Resistance: 3,330 and 3,350
Trading Strategies:
- The current trend is weak but with limited downside space. Focus on buying on dips and avoid shorting aggressively.
- Consider staying on the sidelines today and waiting for clear negotiation results before entering positions to reduce volatility risks.
Risk Warning:
Escalating internal conflicts in the US (such as the Los Angeles riots) may intensify market volatility. Traders should adapt flexibly and avoid greedy chasing of orders.
XAUUSD
sell@3335-3330
tp:3310-3300
buy@3295-3300
tp:3320-3330
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD Analysis today : Drop to monthly support?XAUUSD with NFP breakdown from significant daily support price has dropped nearly to monthly support and may continue to drop to retest the monthly support? As there is a rejection from the monthly high and the market is almost nearly to monthly gap open, it is highly likely price may retest the monthly support.
As with new monthly open, we see price has retraced to the significant intra day resistance to retest the level 3328.00
As the market started to reject back to the major direction of the trend, it is mostly probable that the price may continue to drop to this long term support level
3289.32
Gold analysis – 1H FVG and OB setupPrice failed to hold at the first 1H FVG (red circle) and broke through quickly.
At the second 1H FVG (green circle), we entered a Buy position, and it’s currently running in profit ✅
Now, price is testing another 1H FVG around 3,327. If we get bullish confirmation here, upside targets are:
🔹 1H OB at 3,370
🔹 1H OB near 3,390–3,410
If price gets rejected again, watch for retracement into lower FVG zones: 3,290 and 3,250
Smart Money Concepts in play – watching PA for next move.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADE IDEA Buy Now at: 3365GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADE IDEA
Buy Now at: 3365
🎯 Target 1: 3375
🎯 Target 2: 3395
🎯 Target 3: 4010
🎯 Final Target: 3450
📉 Stop Loss: Set tight based on your risk profile
⚠️ Risk Management is Key
🧠 Always use proper lot sizing
📊 Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital
🛑 Avoid revenge trading
⏳ Be patient — let the trade play out
💬 Monitor price action around key levels
📈 Bullish momentum expected above 3365
🔍 Look for confirmation candles on the lower timeframes
🔒 Secure profits at each target if needed
📆 June 2025 Setup
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ForexSignals
📢 Trade smart, not emotional 💡
Becareful of this type of trade trade was based on 4h fvg and htf bullish trend .. forming opposite market structure and evaporated all the profit. forced idea above 3400 with impulsive bullish price movement.
This is how market can ruin your profitable journey. some times forcing market to move in your favor can slap you hardly.
As long as gold falls, you can continue to buyNow we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3353-60. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3338-45. The trend is still mainly to do more after stepping back. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the 3354-62 line. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3338-45. Pay attention to the suppression of 3395-3400. Keep the main tone of low-multiple participation around this range during the day. In the middle position, watch more and move less and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3353-3362, and buy when it falls back to 3340-45, stop loss at 3336, target at 3395-3400;
Phenomenal session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Current sequence is suitable for Scalping only and Scalpers are getting the most returns out of current Price-action. I am Buying every Low's aggressively since Monday's session and will continue to do so as long as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 Support zone holds."
I have Bought (Scalp) firstly #3,345.80 entry point (many more Scalp orders below on #3,343.80 as well) and closed all on #3,356.80 with excellent Profit. I have Sold #3,373.80 and layered it with #3,382.80 entry point / ultimately closing all orders on #3,368.80 last night / Asian session. Was indeed phenomenal session.
Technical analysis: Gold has made an important Bullish step towards full scale Hourly 4 chart’s reversal as it almost recovered the #3,384.80 pressure point. That makes Hourly 4 chart practically Bullish but leaning on the Neutral side since hard Resistance zone is above / however well Supported within #3,370’s belt, which has held on multiple occasions so far. As mentioned throughout my remarks, Hourly 4 chart is still Bullish as said, but invalidated Descending Channel has expanded giving me Buying signs that Gold may test #3,400.80 psychological benchmark on current Fundamental mix and remember my notes regarding #3,377.80 Resistance (now Support line) importance (I mentioned that if #3,377.80 gets invalidated, Gold can kick-start aggressive upswing towards #3,382.80 first, posing as an strong Resistance then #3,392.80 and #3,400.80 benchmark ahead). Gold was mainly correlated with DX during first #5 Months of the Year (January-May) as there was no shift and probability that June will also be DX Month is #91.99% since Bond Yields were on downtrend, taking strong hammering and broke all Support zones, and Gold was also on Short-term decline which confirms my Gold - DX correlation so look for pointers there. Remember, when you are unsure of the Medium-term direction on Gold always look for clues on DX and Trade accordingly.
My position: As mentioned throughout yesterday's session, I give more probabilities to the upside and will continue with my aggressive Scalping orders / Buying every dip on Gold. #3,377.80, #3,362.80 and #3,352.80 benchmark are valid Support lines. #3,392.80 keeps Gold from testing #3,400.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SUTUP FOR TODAY📊 Gold is currently showing bullish strength with a break above key structure levels and multiple CHoCH confirmations. Price is approaching a weak high near 3,392, which may act as a liquidity target before potential reversal. 🔄 After sweeping this high, a bearish move could unfold, aiming for the demand zones between 3,350–3,333 where buyers may step back in. 🧠 Traders should prepare for a liquidity grab scenario, with bullish continuation likely invalidated if price closes below the strong demand. ⚠️ Watch price action closely near the weak high and key imbalance zones. 🚀🔁📉
XAU/USD(20250604) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target, rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3359
Support and resistance levels
3417
3395
3381
3337
3322
3301
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3359, consider buying, the first target price is 3381
If the price breaks through 3337, consider selling, the first target price is 3322
Gold fluctuates. It is expected to retreat.Gold continued its strong performance on Monday in the early trading yesterday and reached a high of around 3391 before starting to fall all the way. It was weak and downward in the European trading. The US trading quickly fell back to around 3335 and then rose again. However, it touched the 3372 line again in the morning and continued to fall, forming a large range of fluctuations.
Affected by the ADP data, although the positive impact is large, it is very likely to be just an illusion given to the market, not to achieve a strong effect. The key pressure position above is maintained at around 3360, which may play the role of a watershed between long and short positions, and the strong pressure above will also be maintained at 3365; the support position below is around 3340. Once this position is broken, the room for decline may be expanded in the later period.
Although the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have the intention of forming a golden cross, they have not completely released the energy of the bulls, making the market more unpredictable for the bears. In the correction of the bulls' strong upward movement, there was no further effort. Perhaps this is one of the signs of bull exhaustion. The current channel position formed from 3391 also gives the bulls enough pressure. Only by breaking through this position again can a strong upward trend be achieved.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3360, stop loss 3370, profit range 3345-3330.