Technical Analysis – XAUUSD (Elliott Wave + Demand Zone Outlook)Elliott Wave Structure
An impulsive 5-wave structure has been identified (1-2-3-4-5 upward),
followed by a corrective A-B-C pattern forming a falling wedge/channel, which has now broken to the upside.
Breakout & Potential Movement
The breakout from the descending trendline signals a potential bullish reversal.
Currently, price is in a retest phase, likely seeking a pullback before continuation.
Demand Zones Overview
Minor Demand Zone
Upper: 3305 – 3314
Lower: 3290 – 3294
→ Acts as a short-term pullback area. If price holds here, continuation is likely without needing to revisit deeper zones.
Major Demand Zone
Upper: 3208 – 3217
Lower: 3185 – 3192
→ Considered a stronger support area. If the minor zone fails, buyers may step in significantly from here.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
Price retests minor demand
Bullish rejection forms → Buy entry
Target: Retest previous highs (~3500) or start of a new impulsive wave
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Price breaks below minor demand → Continues toward major demand
Safer buy setup if bullish candle or divergence confirms at major zone
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold INTRADAY Bullish continuation consolidationThe Gold price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 3350, which is the previous consolidation trading range zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3300 level could target the upside resistance at 3410 followed by the 3430 and 3460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3300 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3275 support level followed by 3240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD:Go long in batches
Gold in recent two days of strong performance in Asia and Europe, the US is slightly weak, the shock range expanded, below 3340-45 is the rise point of these two times, currently back to around 3365, although the price back before, but the income did not expand. At present, gold is not a strong one-sided rise, is still volatile up, near this position into the long order to hold, is expected to break the probability of today's data is small.
On the trade, buy long in batches around 3365 and 3340-45, and look above the target at 3390-92 first
Trading Strategy:
Long orders near 3365 continue to hold
3340-45 can buy long orders twice
TP:3390-92
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Non-agricultural data is coming. Disrupt the market?Market analysis:
The market once again staged a long-short trend yesterday. Due to the intensification of geopolitical risks, gold has been advancing all the way. Because of the easing of Sino-US trade relations, prices have fallen sharply. From the current market point of view, non-agricultural data is the key today. After a sharp drop in the early morning, it fluctuated sideways and maintained a small rebound.
According to the ADP data on Wednesday, there is a high probability that the data will be bullish today. The support in the early trading will focus on around 3345. Under the condition that the upward trend remains unchanged, the current market prompts a risk of retracement, but it will not prompt shorts to enter the market; before the non-agricultural data, it is still a low-multiple idea.
Non-agricultural data analysis:
Non-agricultural, recently affected by tariff conflicts, employment is very bad, especially Wednesday's ADP data, which is far below expectations, and this month's non-agricultural is expected to be 130,000. Although the expectation is lower than 177,000 last month, this number is still relatively high compared to ADP.
If the data released is higher than 177,000, it will be bearish for gold, but in terms of tariffs and ADP, this possibility is extremely small. The data is higher than 130,000 and lower than 177,000, which is also likely to be bearish for gold.
If it is lower than 130,000, gold may take this opportunity to rise sharply.
I think according to Wednesday's ADP, today's non-agricultural data is likely to be lower than 130,000, and the market will rise.
Positions to pay attention to today:
First support level: 3345, second support level: 3330, third support level: 3300
First resistance level: 3375, second resistance level: 3390, third resistance level: 3410
Operation strategy:
Aggressive trading-currently long at 3370, after the release of non-agricultural data, the gold price is likely to rise above 3400 points, which is also our profit range.
Steady trading-long at around 3350, the profit range is still at 3400 points after the release of non-agricultural data.
XAUUSD M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
GOLD Ready to Explode? Breaking ATH Resistance – 3800 Next?!Gold is heating up! 🔥 Price just broke the daily resistance trendline and is now testing the top of the range 👀
📈 A confirmed breakout could send us flying to 3523, 3628, and even 3800+ USD!
💡 Watch for strong bullish momentum above ATH resistance.
📊 Targets marked – Risk/Reward is 🔥
💬 What’s your bias – breakout or fakeout? Drop your thoughts below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #Breakout #TradingView #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TrendlineBreak
Gold Faces Key Resistance: Potential Bull Trap Before bearish 🟢 Big Picture – What’s Happening on the Chart?
This is a 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold), showing the recent trend, key levels, and a forecasted movement.
At a glance, you can see that Gold has been in a bullish recovery since the drop on May 29. The market is currently testing a key resistance zone (around $3,400), which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel and a previous consolidation area.
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🔍 Technical Breakdown (Experienced View)
1. Trend Structure
The market formed a higher low after a recent dip (around May 29), suggesting bulls are gaining control.
Price is respecting an ascending trendline, showing a short-term bullish channel.
However, the price is approaching an area of confluence resistance (horizontal resistance + channel top).
2. Chart Patterns
The current setup hints at a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern.
The chart shows projected arrows suggesting a breakout to the upside (short-term) followed by a pullback, which matches how wedges often behave: false breakouts before the real move.
3. Fib and Zone Analysis
The color bands behind the chart likely represent Fibonacci retracement zones or volume profile levels.
Notice how the price interacts with the green/yellow zone—it’s a clear area where price historically reacts.
If price rejects from here, a pullback to the 3,350 or even 3,300 zone is possible.
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🧠 Experienced Interpretation
If I were trading this:
Scenario A (Breakout Trap): I’d be cautious about chasing a breakout above 3,400. This could be a liquidity grab, where market makers push price slightly above resistance to trap breakout buyers, then reverse.
Scenario B (Short Setup): After the false breakout, I’d look for bearish confirmation (rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or RSI divergence) to enter a short targeting 3,350–3,300.
Scenario C (Long Continuation): If price breaks out strongly and retests the 3,400 level as support, I might switch bias and go long toward 3,450. But I’d need a clear break and hold above this level first.
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🧭 Trading Psychology Reminder
This chart reflects anticipation. The trader behind it expects a fake-out before a drop. As an experienced trader, I wouldn’t blindly follow arrows—but I’d use them to prepare “if-then” scenarios, like:
If price breaks above resistance but closes back inside → look to short.
If price holds above breakout → ride momentum long with tight risk control.
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✅ Summary
Current bias: Bullish short-term, bearish correction expected.
Key zones: Resistance at $3,400–$3,420; Support at $3,350 / $3,300.
Strategy: Wait for confirmation of either breakout or rejection; prepare for both outcomes.
Risk Management: Crucial at resistance zones like this—false breakouts are common traps.
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Although the ADP data release is a big positive for gold, the trend of gold is quite different. It only rebounded to around 3362 and then gradually fell back, which to a certain extent strengthened the effectiveness of the short-term resistance area of 3365-3375. For the time being, technical indicators alone cannot support gold to continue to rebound. After consuming a certain degree of bullish momentum, gold will continue to retreat. And I think 3340 will be broken, and even continue to the 3330-3320 area. So in terms of short-term trading, I still prefer to short gold.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3360-3370 area, TP: 3345-3335.
June 4, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Bullish momentum is weakening. Bulls must reclaim 3365 to regain control.
Watch 3350 closely — if it holds, bullish strength remains. If it breaks, consider short setups on pullbacks to resistance.
Today’s key zone to monitor: 3366–3350–3332.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3435 – Resistance
• 3415 – Resistance
• 3398–3400 – Psychological resistance zone
• 3385 – Intraday key resistance
• 3365 – Intraday key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3332 – Support
• 3323 – Critical support
• 3300 – Psychological level
📉 Macro Strategy:
1. SELL if price breaks below 3344 → watch 3332, then 3323 and 3310
2. BUY if price holds above 3365 → watch 3370, then 3379, 3385, and 3392
👍 Curious how I enter trades and place stops?
Tap boost to let me know there’s interest — I might do a dedicated post explaining my approach.
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
XAU/USD MMC Analysis – Structure Flip, Trendline + Target Zone📊 Market Sentiment and Price Structure Overview:
Gold has been navigating a highly structured range with multiple clear zones of support and resistance that have now started to break down in favor of a short-term bullish trend. The chart reflects a transition from a bearish descending channel to a potential bullish continuation pattern.
Today’s analysis is centered around three core ideas:
Market Structure Shift (Break of structure)
Support/Resistance Interchange (horizontal + channel)
Trendline Dynamics (bullish control)
Each of these plays a key role in shaping trade bias and decision-making.
🧱 1. Straight SR Interchange Zone (Key Historical Level):
Marked on the left side of the chart, this level has acted as both support and resistance over the last several days. Traders call this a “flip zone” — price often bounces off this area multiple times as buyers and sellers wrestle for dominance.
✅ Multiple touches indicate institutional interest.
🔄 This zone adds confluence to other structure zones, increasing its strength.
🧲 Price currently hovers near this level, suggesting indecision or a setup for a larger move.
📉 2. Descending Channel SR Flip – Confirmation of Shift:
The descending green channel served as a dynamic resistance over multiple sessions. Price remained below it during the previous downtrend. However, a breakout occurred, followed by a successful retest, turning it into support — a textbook bullish structure flip.
This move was also a signal of trend reversal, which was followed by higher lows and a shift in price behavior.
📈 3. Upward Trendline – Short-Term Bullish Control:
A diagonal ascending trendline is forming beneath price action, supported by multiple rejection wicks and higher lows (marked in blue). This shows that buyers are stepping in earlier, absorbing selling pressure.
🔁 Each touch confirms strength.
📉 A break below this line could signal weakness or trend exhaustion.
Watch closely — this line becomes your dynamic support and invalidation point for any long positions.
🔄 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) – Trend Change Confirmed:
We’ve seen a clean break of structure above previous swing highs — this is key in market structure analysis. When a lower high is invalidated by a higher high, it often marks a trend reversal.
This BOS now acts as a major support area. As long as price remains above this zone, bullish continuation is favored.
🚨 5. Reversal Zone in Sight – Potential Resistance Ahead:
Highlighted as “Next Reversal” in the chart, this area around $3,360–$3,370 is a confluence of:
Past resistance
Mid-channel region
Psychological round numbers
Price is nearing this level, and we may see a temporary pullback or rejection before any further continuation.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BULLISH SCENARIO (Base Case):
🟢 Entry: On a retest of trendline or BOS zone ($3,330–$3,340)
🛡️ SL: Below $3,325
🎯 TP1: $3,360
🎯 TP2: $3,390
🧠 Reasoning: Structural shift confirmed, trendline respected, SR flip confluence.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO (Counter-Play):
🔴 Entry: At rejection from $3,365–$3,370 zone (reversal box)
🛡️ SL: Above $3,380
🎯 TP1: $3,345
🎯 TP2: $3,330
🧠 Reasoning: Reversal from resistance zone, potential trap setup, fading exhausted move.
📌 Summary:
Gold is in a key decision phase after a major structural flip. The battle between bulls and bears is now centered around the trendline and next resistance zone. As always, patience and confirmation will be key.
Trendline = dynamic support
BOS zone = structural support
Reversal area = possible short-term ceiling
💡 Best trades will come from reactions, not predictions.
🚀 Stay Updated:
Follow this idea for live updates as price reacts to these zones. If we break and hold above the reversal box, expect bullish continuation. Otherwise, watch for potential trap plays and short-term pullbacks.
June 11, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold is expected to range between 3300–3350 today. A breakout on either side could offer solid profit potential — stay alert and ready to adapt.
⸻
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3375 – Resistance
• 3365 – Key Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (Bull-Bear Line)
• 3340 – Intraday Key Resistance
• 3332 – Resistance
• 3325 – Pivot Zone
• 3322 – Support
• 3310 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Level
• 3289–3293 – Support Zone
⸻
📉 Macro Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3300 → watch 3295, then 3290, 3283, 3276
• BUY if price holds above 3350 → target 3358, then 3365, 3375, 3384
⸻
👉 If you’re curious how I time entries and place stops, a like lets me know there’s demand — I might drop a full post soon!
Disclaimer: Personal view only — not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully.
XAUUSDXAUUSD Short Scalp Trade Setup
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently displaying strong bearish momentum, with price aggressively rejecting key resistance levels and forming lower highs on the lower timeframes. A sharp breakdown below intraday support suggests increased selling pressure, supported by bearish candlestick structure and volume. Momentum indicators confirm downside continuation, presenting a clean opportunity for a short scalp
XAUUSD/BTC / USDJPY forecast 11/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
Gold Hits Resistance on UptickThe gold market continues to exhibit a range-bound oscillation rhythm. During the Asian session, prices quickly dipped from the 3,302 level before rebounding to around 3,335 in the short term. This "volatile seesaw" movement is a typical feature of a ranging market—characterized by discontinuous fluctuations, repeated ups and downs, and a tug-of-war between bulls and bears within a limited range.
The current oscillation is not a signal of trend weakening, but rather a consolidation period for bulls following the sharp rally in March and April: the previous rapid gains required time for the market to digest profit-taking and adjust its pace, building momentum for the next upward push. From a macro perspective, the 3,500 level is by no means the endpoint of this rally. After completing this consolidation phase, gold is highly likely to witness a more definitive upward move.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3310-3315
TP:3335-3345
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3315-3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold trading strategy todayGold fell to test the support near 3300 and then rose again, still in an overall consolidation range. Today's trading range focuses on 3290-3340, and the upper resistance area is 3340-3350. The trading strategy remains to short first and then go long.
xauusd sell@3330-3340
tp:3310-3300