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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h Analysis (OANDA)Price Overview Current Price: 3,286,190 24h Change: +15,525 (+0.47%) Recent High/Low: High: 18,286,420 Low: 12,284,465 Order Block (OB) Analysis Profit Targets: Multiple profit levels are identified, with the highest at 3,339,000 and the lowest at 3,279,000. The price is currently between the 3,286,190 (current) and 3,279,000 (next profit level), suggesting a potential pullback or consolidation. Entry & Stop-Loss: Entry: 3,270,000 Stop-Loss (S/L): 3,270,000 (same as entry, indicating a break-even or tight risk strategy). Key Levels (USD) Resistance: 3,350,000 (major) 3,339,000 (immediate) Support: 3,286,190 (current level) 3,279,000 (next profit target) 3,270,000 (critical support & entry) Market Sentiment Bullish Bias: Price is above the entry point (3,270,000) and showing a 0.47% gain. Caution: Profit-taking may occur near 3,330,000–3,339,000. A break below 3,270,000 could invalidate the bullish setup. Actionable Insights If Long: Hold for targets up to 3,339,000, but monitor for rejection at resistance. If Neutral: Wait for a break above 3,330,000 (confirmation) or below 3,270,000 (reversal signal). Risk Management: Tight stop-loss at 3,270,000 protects against downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
XAUUSD ANALYSIS💸GOLD💸 📉 Trend Overview • Prior Structure: Market was in a strong downtrend, shown by descending highs and lower lows. • Break of Structure: Price broke out of the descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish reversal or at least a deeper correction. • Current Structure: The market is consolidating after an impulsive bullish move, forming a range or re-accumulation. ⸻ 🔍 Key Observations ✅ Break of Downtrend • Price has clearly broken the descending trendline — first sign of bullish strength. • After the break, price created a higher high and pulled back — confirming a market structure shift. 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Buy Zone • FVG identified below current price — this is often a liquidity gap where institutions may return to mitigate orders. • The Buy Zone aligns with the FVG — making it a high-probability demand area. • Price could wick into this zone before making the next bullish leg. 🧱 Range Formation • Multiple touches at resistance (marked by “X”) indicate price is currently accumulating liquidity. • Consolidation within a clear range suggests build-up before breakout. ⸻ 📈 Possible Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Case • Price revisits the Buy Zone / FVG area. • Bullish reaction from this zone can lead to a break above the consolidation range. • First target: previous high / top of the chart projection (marked with an arrow). • Extended target: Implied liquidity above the highest resistance zone. 🟥 Bearish Invalidations • A clean break below the Buy Zone and failure to react at the FVG suggests: • Weak bullish momentum. • Potential return to lower lows. ⸻ ✅ Confluences Supporting Longs • Market Structure Break. • FVG + Demand Zone alignment. • Trendline breakout. • Range liquidity building up. • Higher low formation. ⸻ 🕵️‍♂️ What to Watch For • Bullish engulfing or reversal pattern in the Buy Zone. • Breakout candle with volume above consolidation. • Retest of broken structure for confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Brehayne_
XAUUSD - Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Play | Dual Setup BreakdoFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Liquidity Sweeps Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Trendline Liquidity Demand/Order Blocks Risk-Reward Structure 🔻 First Trade Idea – Short Position (Sell Setup) 🧠 Psychology & Liquidity Insight: The market formed equal lows before a sudden rally which attracted retail traders. Price created a bearish structure with lower highs, signaling weakness. A strong liquidity sweep occurred by breaking trendline liquidity twice (as shown by red lines), targeting early buyers' stop losses. A supply zone (red box) was respected near 3337, providing an ideal entry point for shorting. 📉 Trade Logic: Entry: Near 3336.93 (Supply Zone) SL: Above 3344.14 (Liquidity Sweep zone) TP: 3328.62 / 3325.64 (Targeting demand imbalance & internal liquidity) R:R: Approx. 1:2+ 🔺 Second Trade Idea – Long Position (Buy Setup) 🧠 Psychology & Liquidity Insight: After the initial selloff, price taps into the demand zone (blue box) created by the last impulsive move. Internal liquidity is built again near 3328–3330, where retail traders expect a continued fall — ideal for smart money to reverse. Price is expected to accumulate and reverse with a strong rally toward the upper liquidity resting above 3344. 📈 Trade Logic: Entry: Near 3328.62 (Demand Zone Tap) SL: Below 3325.64 TP: 3344.14 (Major Liquidity Target) R:R: Over 1:3 – a high-quality reversal play. 🎯 Why This Trade Setup is Powerful: ✅ Both trades are liquidity-driven, not just indicator-based. ✅ Incorporates smart money logic and price structure. ✅ Clear risk-to-reward, validated by price behavior and institutional order flow.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Jamtara_Trader
Trump Policy Shock & Fed Cut Buzz Ignite Gold🔥 Fundamental Drivers 📢 Trump Tariff Announcements (via Truth Social & WH releases): 25% tariffs on Japan and South Korea effective August 1. Targeted retaliatory threats for BRICS-aligned nations. Executive orders signed and trade letters sent. ➡️ Market reads this as risk-off & inflationary = Gold strength. 📉 Goldman Sachs Predicts Early Fed Rate Cuts: Fed terminal rate cut forecast lowered to 3.3-3.25%. Cuts expected to begin as early as September, citing: Softening labor data Weakening inflation trajectory ➡️ Rate cut bets weaken USD = gold demand spikes. 🧊 DXY Reaction: Dollar Index cooled after initial rise — confirms market shift away from USD haven toward gold hedging.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FaithdrivenTrades
7/7: Key Zone – 3320 to 3350Good morning, everyone! Due to the U.S. market closure on Friday, price movement remained relatively subdued, and the week concluded with modest gains. As of this morning, gold opened higher but has since pulled back, and the price remains in a consolidation phase. Key technical levels for today: Resistance: around 3350 Support: near 3321 Short-term traders may focus on range-bound strategies between these levels. If a breakout occurs, follow the trend accordingly: If price breaks above and stabilizes above 3338, the market may shift its focus toward the 3400 psychological level; If price drops below and holds under 3332, there’s potential for a retest of the 3260 support zone. In terms of broader trend analysis, the MA20 and MA60 on the daily chart should be watched closely, as they currently serve as key dynamic resistance and support levels. Lastly, stay alert to any developments related to trade tariffs, as such news may significantly impact market sentiment and gold price direction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by China_MsWang
GOLD → Attempt to consolidate above 3350 for growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD , after retesting resistance at 3347, is breaking through the key level, while bulls are trying to hold their ground above support. There is potential for growth to 3400. Gold retreated from its weekly high of $3366 ahead of key US employment data (NFP), which could set a new direction for the movement. But technically, this looks like a correction to consolidate above the level before continuing to rise. After three days of growth, the price faced selling amid a recovery in the dollar and profit-taking. Weak employment data (especially below 100,000) could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut as early as July and support gold. Conversely, a strong report will strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The market is bracing for high volatility Resistance levels: 3363, 3393, 3400 Support levels: 3347, 3336, 3311 The price has entered a new range of 3345-3400. Consolidation is forming above the support level before a possible rise. I do not rule out another retest of 3345-3336 (liquidity zone) before realization and a rally to 3400. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Gold breaks trendline towards 3390, Uptrend resumes✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD The price increase will continue today and will be even stronger. After breaking the trendline, gold has strong support. SELL strategies are only considered to find short-term reaction points waiting for the next trends. Gold has confirmed the uptrend is back, heading to 3390 today. 📉 Key Levels Support 3330-3314 Resistance 3345-3362-3388 Sell trigger: rejection from 3345 with bearish confirmation Sell zone: 3362–3387 (Strong resistance) BUY trigger: 3330-3314 support with bounce confirmation Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
4
The 3-Method Framework: Simplifying Technical AnalysisMost traders get caught up in complex indicator setups, thinking that more tools equal better results. We rely on moving averages to tell us if prices are trending up or down, and we depend on support and resistance levels to predict market movement. But what if I told you there's a simpler, more powerful way to read the market using pure price action? Today, I want to share my experience and understanding of bias and expectations for the next candle formation. This approach is refreshingly simple because we don't need to understand every single price movement - we just need to focus on what matters most. Method 1: Opening Price Comparison The first method is beautifully straightforward. For a bullish bias, the current opening price should be above the previous opening price. That's it. Sounds almost too simple, right? But simplicity often holds the greatest power in trading. For Gold yesterday, we simply needed to compare the latest opening price on the Daily timeframe with the previous opening price. It's that simple. Method 2: Mid-Level Analysis The second approach involves comparing mid-levels between candles. We compare the mid-level of the previous candle with the mid-level of the candle before that. I know it might sound a bit complicated when explained this way, but once you visualize it on your chart, the concept becomes crystal clear. Still on Gold, we just compare the 50% or mid-level of the previous candle with the candle two periods back from the latest candle on the daily chart. Method 3: Expansion Expectations The third method helps us anticipate expansion in price. Traditional complex methods require analyzing numerous factors, but this simplified approach only needs two candles before the current one. Here's how it works: we use the high and low of the candle two periods back, and the open and close (body) of the previous candle. If the previous candle's body sits within the high-low range of the two-candle-back formation, we can expect price expansion. The beauty of this method is that we don't care whether the price is bullish or bearish - we simply expect expansion to occur. Think of it like a compressed spring: when price gets squeezed within a previous range, it often seeks to break out in either direction. We're not predicting the direction, just the likelihood of significant movement. Still on Gold, I randomly selected all inside candles on the Daily timeframe. Remember, the purpose is only to expect expansion, not direction. If you want to use this for directional bias, make sure you apply the additional analysis required. Remember, there are no guarantees in trading, but this method provides valuable insight into potential market expansion. Advanced Combinations for Enhanced Analysis Combining Methods 1 and 2 creates our most accessible approach since you only need two candles. When both the opening price and mid-point from two candles ago indicate bullish conditions, we can expect the current candle to follow an OLHC bullish pattern. You can see the 3 examples I've provided in the image, and all of these are applicable across all timeframes, both daily and 4-hour. Combining all three methods offers a more sophisticated analysis, particularly useful for anticipating market reversals. This involves marking the current and previous opening prices, comparing mid-levels from the last two candles, and identifying the high/low range from two to three candles back. Now I'm adding Inside Candles from 2-3 periods back (My personal rule is maximum 3 candles before the current candle, or this analysis will lead to analysis paralysis). The Bullish and Bearish Rules Bullish Rule 1: Opening price above the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle above the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) Bearish Rule 1: Opening price below the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle below the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) The Secret Sauce: Timeframe Harmony Here's where the "devil is in the details" comes into play. You might find perfect bullish conditions on your chart, but the market still reverses. The secret lies in using this method on Daily and 4-hour timeframes simultaneously. Simply understand it from the chart. Simply understand it from the chart. If Rule 1 conditions are met on the daily chart, they must also align on the 4-hour chart. When the 4-hour contradicts the daily, follow the 4-hour signal as it might indicate a "sell on strength" or "buy on weakness" scenario. The formula is simple: must align with I've never tested this on 1-hour charts because the Daily and 4-hour combination provides sufficient accuracy for my trading approach. Enhanced Rules for Precision Rule 2 makes the inside candle formation mandatory rather than optional. Sometimes you'll encounter mixed signals where the mid-level suggests one direction while the opening price suggests another. The solution? Drop down to a lower timeframe for additional confirmation. I don't recommend using this method below the 4-hour timeframe, but you can certainly apply it to Monthly or Weekly charts for long-term bias determination. The key is analyzing both Daily AND 4-hour timeframes together, not just one or the other. When timeframes conflict, often just one key level provides the confirmation you need - typically a previous Monthly or Weekly high or low. Final Thoughts Pure price action mastery isn't about having the most sophisticated setup or the most indicators on your chart. It's about understanding the fundamental relationship between opening prices, mid-levels, and candle formations across meaningful timeframes. This approach has served me well because it cuts through market noise and focuses on what price is actually telling us. Start with these three methods, practice identifying the patterns, and gradually build your confidence in reading pure price action. Remember, consistent profitability comes from mastering simple, reliable methods rather than chasing complex strategies. Keep practicing, stay disciplined, and let price action guide your trading decisions. Good Luck! :)
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by agatarigan
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a clear breakdown of your XAUUSD SELL trade setup: --- 🟠 Trade Type: SELL Entry: 3334 ✅ Take Profits: 1. TP1: 3325 2. TP2: 3315 3. TP3: 3300 ❌ Stop Loss: 3348 --- 🧮 Risk/Reward Summary: Target Profit (pips) R:R (approx.) TP1 9 0.64:1 TP2 19 1.36:1 TP3 34 2.43:1 > Stop loss is 14 pips above entry (3348 - 3334). --- ⚠ Quick Notes: Make sure this aligns with your risk management strategy. Entry at 3334 is quite close to a round resistance — monitor for reversals. Use trailing stops if you'd like to lock in profit after TP1 hits. Would you like a chart
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mrprofe21
The latest gold analysis and strategy on July 10: Core logic of the market Risk aversion supports gold prices: Trump postponed tariffs but threatened to increase them in the future. Market concerns about trade frictions remain, and gold is still supported as a safe-haven asset. Impact of the US dollar trend: If trade tensions escalate, the US dollar may be under pressure, which is further beneficial to gold. Technical side is bullish and volatile: The daily line closed positive and stabilized the lower Bollinger track. The H4 cycle rebounded with consecutive positives, but it has not yet broken through the key resistance of 3345. Be wary of repeated fluctuations. Key point analysis Support level: 3310-3300 (short-term), 3285 (strong support) Resistance level: 3340-3345 (Daily Bollinger middle track), 3365 (target after breakthrough) Key day of change: The rebound may continue on Thursday. If it breaks through 3345, it may further attack 3365-3400 on Friday. Trading strategy 1. Low-to-long (main strategy) Entry point: 3310-3315 (retracement support area) Stop loss: 3305 (prevent false breakthrough) Target: 3325 (short-term), 3335-3345 (key resistance area) Logic: H4 cycle continuous positive shows bullish momentum, and it is expected to continue to rebound after retracement support. 2. High-level short-selling auxiliary trading strategy (if key resistance is touched) Entry point: 3340-3345 (first test resistance area) Stop loss: 3350 (prevent breakout and upward movement) Target: 3325-3320 (short-term correction) Logic: 3345 is a strong pressure from the middle track of the daily Bollinger. You can short before breaking through, but you need to enter and exit quickly. Key observation points 3345 breakthrough situation: If it stands firmly at 3345, you can go long with a light position after the correction (target 3365, 3400). If it falls under pressure, it may return to the 3310-3340 oscillation range. 3300 defense situation: If it falls below 3300, it may fall back to 3285, and we need to be alert to short-term weakness. Summary Main idea: Low-long (3310-3315) as the main, target 3345, and look at 3365+ after breaking through. Auxiliary strategy: 3340-3345 short, fast in and fast out. Risk control: Strictly stop loss, avoid chasing up and selling down, and pay attention to the changes in the momentum of the US market.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FX_Sophia
Trump blasted Powell again. Interest rates remain unchanged.Information summary: Trump blasted Powell on Wednesday, saying that the current interest rate is "at least 3 percentage points higher" and once again accused Fed Chairman Powell of "making the United States pay an extra $360 billion in refinancing costs each year." He also said that "there is no inflation" and that companies "are pouring into the United States," and urged the Fed to "cut interest rates." During the U.S. trading session, gold also showed a significant rebound momentum, rebounding from a low of 3285 to above 3310 in one fell swoop. As of now, gold has stood above 3320. Market analysis: From the daily chart: It can be seen that the first suppression position above gold is currently at 3325, followed by around 3345. Gold did not close above 3320 on Wednesday, which means that even if gold is currently above 3320, as long as today's daily line closes below 3320, it is still in a bearish trend. On the contrary, if the closing price today is above 3320, then the subsequent test of the suppression position near 3345 may be further carried out. Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the current suppression position above 4 hours is around 3330-3335. Therefore, today we should focus on this position. If we cannot stand firm and break through the range suppression here in the 4-hour chart, we may retreat again in the future. The key support position below is around 3310, which is the opening price today. If the price is to retreat, it is likely to fall below 3310. But it may also remain above 3310 for consolidation. However, as long as it falls below 3310, I think the low point near 3285 may be refreshed, so pay attention to this. Operation strategy: Steady trading waits for 3310 to fall and break through to short, and the profit range is 3385 or even lower. Aggressive trading can short near 3340, with a stop loss of 3350.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone.🔍 GOLD – Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone Gold has recently broken its market structure (MSS), which is a significant shift in momentum and a potential indication of a change in the prevailing trend. Following this break, price retraced into a key supply zone, where it was rejected sharply—this rejection came in the form of a strong bearish engulfing candle, highlighting aggressive selling interest. Interestingly, the market has now printed a second consecutive bearish engulfing from the same zone. This is a powerful signal that sellers are active and defending this level, making it a valid and confirmed short-term resistance zone. The repeated rejection suggests that smart money or institutional sellers may be positioned here. Given this price action, we can anticipate a potential retracement from the current levels. The most probable downside target for this retracement would be the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has been marked on the chart. If price respects the FVG and reacts bullishly from there, we may then see a resumption of the uptrend, possibly taking price higher again. This setup presents a good opportunity for both short-term intraday traders and swing traders to watch for confirmation signals before entering the trade. 📌 Key Takeaways: MSS indicates shift in trend Consecutive bearish engulfing candles from supply zone Sellers likely active in this area Potential retracement toward marked FVG Possible bullish continuation from FVG zone 🚨 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly before making any trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
Gold Rebounds from 3283, Eyes 3315 Resistance📊 Market Overview: • Gold dropped sharply to a low of $3283 earlier today before rebounding strongly back to around $3312, supported by renewed buying interest. • The recovery is fueled by risk-off sentiment amid ongoing trade negotiation uncertainty and a mild pullback in the U.S. Dollar Index. • Central bank buying continues to underpin gold’s base, despite mild pressure from rising U.S. bond yields. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3315 – $3335 • Nearest Support: $3280 • EMA 09: Price is trading above the 9-period EMA, signaling a short-term bullish trend. • Candle pattern / Momentum: A strong bullish engulfing candle formed after bouncing from $3283 on the H1 chart. MACD is crossing upward, and RSI is approaching the 60 level, suggesting bullish momentum. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to recover in the short term if it holds above the $3300 level and successfully breaks through $3315 resistance. However, failure to break above this resistance could lead to a short-term pullback toward $3290–$3280. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3315–3325 🎯 TP: $3295 ❌ SL: $3330 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3285–3295 🎯 TP: $3315 ❌ SL: $3280
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Continues Below the TrendlineGold remains in a downtrend as price consistently gets rejected at the long-term descending trendline. After a short-term rebound toward the $3,341.300 level – near the trendline – XAUUSD is likely to resume its decline toward the support area at $3,254.400. The visible FVG zones indicate that selling pressure is still dominant. In terms of news, the upcoming U.S. CPI data release on July 11 is the key event that could trigger strong volatility in gold prices. Previously, market sentiment turned cautious after the U.S. government delayed new tariffs on 14 countries, reducing risk-off demand and pulling capital away from gold. If the CPI data comes in hotter than expected, it could further fuel the downside momentum. Keep an eye on the $3,254.400 level – this is the final support before gold potentially extends its drop to lower price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_