GOLDMASTERS1 | GOLD 15M OUTLOOK ---
GOLD 15M OUTLOOK:
Price is currently rejecting from the Bearish Order Block (3,232 - 3,236), showing signs of short-term weakness after tapping into supply. If bearish pressure holds below this zone, the price may retrace down toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3,214 — which could act as the next reaction point for a bullish bounce.
If the FVG fails to hold, the next strong support lies at the Bullish Order Block (3,206 - 3,210) and a deeper one at 3,198 - 3,202.
On the upside, if bulls reclaim the Bearish Order Block and break above it, the next target would be the Buyside Liquidity at 3,244.339.
Bias:
Below 3,232 = Bearish short-term.
Above 3,236 = Bullish continuation toward liquidity.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,232 - 3,236 (Bearish Order Block)
Support: 3,214 (FVG) | 3,206 - 3,210 | 3,198 - 3,202 (Bullish Order Blocks)
Target: 3,244.339 (Buyside Liquidity)
GOLDMASTERS1---
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Gold tests $3,245 mark again, may continue to riseAfter surging more than $200 last week and surpassing the $3,200 mark in just one go, the international gold price once again hit a record high of $3,245.51 early Monday morning (April 14) and this wave of growth seems to continue. There are very few safe-haven assets left in the market and gold has become the top choice.
Trump's latest remarks have sparked a new wave of risk aversion, boosting gold prices
US President Trump gave a recent speech in which he announced that tariffs on semiconductors will be announced next week. In addition, the semiconductor tariff will take effect in the near future.
When asked about the tariff on iPhones, Trump said the announcement will be made soon but there must be flexibility.
Trump also said that foreign companies should not be allowed to control the US steel industry.
Earlier, the US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) quietly adjusted the tariffs on the evening of 11th local time, exempting about 20 products including smartphones, computers, memory chips and some semiconductor manufacturing equipment from import duties, which were not affected by the previously announced "reciprocal tariffs" and did not specify which countries.
Hassett, director of the US National Economic Council, pointed out that the US government is investigating semiconductors under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. The provision he mentioned allows the president to restrict imports of products deemed important to US national security after an investigation.
Earlier on Sunday, US Commerce Secretary Mark Lutnick said on television that the exemptions on electronic products and components are only temporary and that the US will soon propose separate tariffs on electronic products.
Gold prices have risen more than 20% this year as investors flock to safe-haven assets. Trump's rapidly changing trade policies have raised concerns about a global recession, causing sharp swings in stocks, bonds and the US Dollar.
Gold Price Technical Outlook
XAUUSD
Bullish conditions remain dominant on the daily chart with the trend channel (a) as the main trend and key support at the EMA21
In the short term, gold is currently supported by the $3,200 flat level noted in the previous issue and closer to home, the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level, which also provides upside conditions to the next target of $3,295.
The RSI is sloping upward, which depicts strong bullish momentum that reinforces the current bullish outlook.
Even if there are corrections below the original price of 3,200 USD, as long as gold remains within the price channel (a) and above Ema21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections and not a fixed trend, or considered as a buying opportunity.
During the day, the main bullish outlook for gold will be focused on the following positions.
Support: 3,223 – 3,200 – 3,166 USD
Resistance: 3,245 – 3,295 USD
The article ends here, wishing readers a productive and happy working day
Gold Holds Haven Status Above 3200Gold maintains its safe-haven appeal, holding firmly above the $3,200 mark. The current trend met resistance near $3,250, and a decisive breakout could drive further gains toward $3,290–$3,300, fueled by rising trade war tensions and ongoing dollar weakness.
• Downside Risks:
If the dollar reverses or U.S.–China trade talks show progress, a drop below $3,200 may lead to pullbacks toward $3,190 and $3,170.
A deeper decline could trigger a broader correction toward $3,100 and $3,090, helping to reset overbought momentum on higher time frames or set the stage for a deeper downturn.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD SHORT UPDATE
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Gold for week 20-25 April trade plan
With fundamental of trade war and Jerome Powell news. There are many uncertainties in the market.
High volatility is going to be expected however trade precaution is highly advised for my personal trade.
Base on technical with assistance of fibo from previous structure breakout what I saw was gold manage to reach area of 2.618. however, a strong rejection was present that pushes it close to 1.618 as a current support. Undeniably gold is way over bought and price is considerably expensive. But that does not mean that gold could not goes even higher as the last break of structure and strong push gold has the potential still to climb up to 4.236 base on fibo and the area of 3420-3439 but first it needs to settle the current resistance of 3357.
So, what can happen on Monday and what does I want to look for if to buy for gold.
1. For continuation at the current market price of 3325 would gold give a push higher and break the last H1 supply. If happens I know I would be able to have a good 200-300pips to retest the ATH. So, I would take a precautioned buy trade of pullback and close TP range with 1:2 RR. Plus 20% position open TP.
2. If gold make a pullback to the cmp weak support and then only to break above similar trade as above I would take.
So, what does I want to look for if to sell for gold.
1. If gold able to utilise the current fbo sell and break below 3309. Then only I will take a continuation sell trade with similar strategy trade plan range and RR at the nearest SBR of m5/m15. So, means it needs to provide a new support pullback and then enter. Max target of this sell I target up to 3285-90 extension 3270 and 3230. The moment close to this area I should start monitoring if any change of character to have the bullish bias again or not. As bullish is still in bias.
Another possibility that I need to prepared and I hope it would not happen as its really not easy to identify if it’s going to make a temporary sideways between 3280-3360. However if this happens then I would look for buys and sells after buys and sells signals appear only in m30 and above candle. To sell slightly lower then 3360 after a rejection confirmed or to buy slightly higher then 3280 after a rejection confirm.
So that the game plan for next week
XAUUSD - MONTHLY FIBS - A STORY TO TELL?Confluences:
-Monthly Fib Ratios have all been tested, priced has reached the -1.3618 FIB TP range. (Strong indicator of a reversal since it's a peak of the entire move since Sept 2022 (3 years)
-RSI is in overbought territory if we compare it to the left side of the historical moves which happened (Look at the blue line)
-Fundamentals maybe in favor of profit taking and tariffs issues cooling down in the weeks to come which could signify that we are at the top of the bullish move.
-Wait for confirmations and engulfing candle to paint on the chart which indicates strong selling pressure before taking any trades.
-Buying at ATH prices, will not be recommended for now since late buyers clouded in FOMO often end up losing their money if this sells off aggressively
Cheers
Trump Mulls Firing Fed Chair Powell and Gold's safe-haven roleTrump Mulls Firing Fed Chair Powell—Rattles Global Markets 😱
Multiple sources confirm Trump is eyeing the unprecedented move of ousting Powell. Their long - standing feud over rate cuts has escalated: Trump demands steep cuts via social media, while Powell insists on data - driven policies. Despite Trump favoring Kevin Warsh as a replacement, Warsh warns against the risky firing. Legally, there’s no precedent for mid - term removal, and Powell defends the Fed’s independence 💪.
The White House is divided. Mnuchin backs the Fed’s autonomy, while others challenge Powell. This power struggle isn't just shaking US markets—it’s sending shockwaves globally 🌐.
Here’s the rub: if Trump succeeds, it could weaken the US dollar. Policy uncertainty would erode investor confidence, triggering a dollar sell - off. Meanwhile, the chaos would likely trigger gold’s safe - haven appeal, driving prices higher 📈. With so much at stake, this showdown could reshape US economic policy. Stay tuned!
💰💰💰 XAUUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@3320 - 3330
🎯 TP 3360 - 3380
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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BULLISH MOMENTUM IS STILL ACTIVE ON GOLD!Price continues to trade new highs in the past trading week. The bullish momentum is still growing and we’re anticipating price to trade upto a new high of $3414 in the coming week. A buy opportunity is envisaged once we see a consolidation above the $3329.84 level.
Technically, price quickly rebounded off the bullish trendline which validated more buy opportunities once we see price consolidate above the $3329.84 level
Markets revolve around US-China, gold seeks new peakAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, U.S. stocks and the dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs.
Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday.
Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and "would prefer to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering an adjustment to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariff policies could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth.
Gold prices have risen nearly $700 an ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024.
Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war has raised concerns about a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks.
US President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest tensions between the world's two largest economies have affected the sentiment in the financial market in general, causing investors to turn to safe-haven assets such as gold.
However, a profit-taking session or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context.
Technical outlook analysis of XAUUSD gold price
On the daily chart, gold continues to seek and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in the short, medium and long term.
In the long term, the price channel (a) will be set as the main trend with the main support from the EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the 3,300USD whole price point right after that.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) enters the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 will be considered a signal for a possible correction.
In the coming time, the trend and outlook of gold prices are still bullish, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections.
But this note will be very important, in a market where assets (gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As it stands, we cannot know when the US-China trade war will cool down, and any positive developments around the trade war will trigger a sell-off in the gold market, which is traditionally considered a safe haven asset.
In the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD
This is the end of the article, wishing readers a productive and happy working day
GOLDMASTER1| GOLD 15M ANALYSIS ---
GOLD 15M ANALYSIS
Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, showing signs of a temporary push to the upside.
We anticipate price to tap into the bearish order block around 3346–3359 before resuming its bearish move.
SETUP HIGHLIGHTS:
Bearish OB marked as potential reversal zone
Clean liquidity grab possible above recent highs
Targeting the bullish OB around 3314 for continuation
Following the Smart Money Concept structure
Bias: Bearish after short-term retracement.
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION BEFORE ENTRY!
GOLDMASTER1---
FAIR VALUE GAP MITIGATIONFirstly, i draw my psychological levels. we wait to see 4hrs engulfing candle break above the psychological level. then we wait to see price come to a fair value gap using 30 mins time frame. with a confirmation entry on 5mins which is a market structure shift to the upside,we execute at a nearest fair value gap created on 5mins with our stoploss few pips below the recent low that birthed the market structure shift.
Gold hit target at $3,337 next target? $3,443Since the last update on Gold, the price hit the target yesterday at $3,337.
Not only has it been awesome buying and investing in gold stocks, but also trading Gold upside with day trading has been a dream.
So why has gold been going up and what's next?
🏦 Central banks are buying tons of gold, especially China — big demand!
🌍 Global tension’s heating up (Middle East, Russia, Taiwan) — so gold’s the safe haven.
💵 Weak USD & interest rate cut hopes make gold more attractive.
📉 Inflation fears aren't gone, so people hedge with gold.
📈 Breakout above resistance means traders are piling in for momentum.
Technicals say that the price is going to continue up. It is going up with a slingshot formation of over 60 degrees steep.
But if the uptrend holds, we will continue to see it hit the next target at $3,443.
Not huge but it's something. Let's see.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.