DeGRAM | GOLD reached the $3300 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD remains capped below a broken trendline retest near 3,355, while price forms a lower-high inside a descending channel.
● The repeated rejection of the 3,357.83 resistance level, coupled with failed bullish continuation, points to renewed downside toward 3,300 and 3,262.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A rebound in the DXY after strong US consumer sentiment and pending home sales adds pressure to gold, reaffirming real-yield strength.
● Traders are reducing long exposure ahead of upcoming NFP data and Powell’s next statement, shifting bias away from risk hedges.
✨ Summary
Short bias below 3,355. Break under 3,320 eyes 3,300 → 3,262. Key breakdown risk if lower trendline fails.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months.
We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move
Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold suddenly increased sharply Hey everyone, let’s dive into what’s happening with XAUUSD!
Gold is experiencing a remarkable rally this weekend, skyrocketing from the $3,285 zone to around $3,362 — gaining over 700 pips. This sharp move comes amid weakening U.S. labor market data, which has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as September.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (August 1st), non-farm payrolls rose by just 73,000 jobs in July — well below economists’ expectations of 106,000. The disappointing figures have shaken confidence in the U.S. economy and placed pressure on the U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly anticipate a dovish shift from the Fed.
For gold, this weak jobs report reinforces its role as a safe-haven asset, driving strong demand as investors seek protection from economic uncertainty. At the same time, lingering fears around global trade tensions and new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump continue to support the flight to safety.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its descending price channel and is moving fast. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur soon, but if price holds above key support levels, the rally could extend toward the $3,432 region — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone.
This move might mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation.
What do you think — is gold just getting started?
Gold Crashing After Hot U.S. Data – More Pain Ahead?Minutes ago, important indices were released from the US , which catalyzed the continuation of gold's downward trend .
Key U.S. Economic Data Just Dropped!
ADP Employment: 104K
GDP q/q: 3.0%
Both came in stronger than expected , signaling that the U.S. economy is holding up better than many thought!
Strong job growth
Solid economic expansion
The result? A stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and potential downward pressure on Gold .
All eyes are now on FOMC meeting .
Will the Fed still hint at future rate cuts despite the solid data? Or is the easing cycle officially on hold? What is your idea!?
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already managed to break the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Monthly Pivot Point , 50_EMA(Daily) , Support lines , and the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, Gold trading below $3,333 plays an important role for me, which can increase the possibility of a continuation of the downtrend .
I expect Gold to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) before the FOMO meeting and if the Support zone($3,307-$3,272) is broken, we can expect further declines to $3,253(Second Target) .
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Information we need to know:
How should the Federal Funds Rate be announced to cause a deeper drop in Gold ?
The Fed needs to take a hawkish stance — meaning:
They keep rates unchanged, but make it clear they intend to keep them elevated for a prolonged period.
They emphasize strong economic data like today's solid ADP and GDP numbers .
They express concern that inflationary risks remain, and cutting rates isn’t on the table anytime soon.
In this case, markets get disappointed, rate cut hopes fade, and gold drops as real yields( TVC:US10Y ) rise and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
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Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,340
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish After Break Out Entry Detected )———
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Break - 3339
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Liquidity ≠ Volume: The Truth Most Traders Never Learn█ Liquidity ≠ Volume: The Truth Most Traders Never Learn
Most traders obsess over volume bars, but volume is the footprint, not the path forward.
If you’ve ever seen price explode with no volume or fail despite strong volume, you’ve witnessed liquidity in action.
█ Here’s what you need to know
⚪ Volume Is Reactive — Liquidity Is Predictive
Volume tells you what happened.
Liquidity tells you what can happen.
█ Scenario 1: Price Jumps on Low Volume
❝ A price can jump on low volume if no liquidity exists above.❞
⚪ What’s happening?
The order book is thin above the current price (i.e., few or no sellers).
Even a small market buy order clears out available asks and pushes price up multiple levels.
Volume is low, but the impact is high because there’s no resistance.
⚪ Implication:
This is called a liquidity vacuum.
It can happen before news, during rebalancing, before session openings, on illiquid instruments, or during off-hours.
Traders often overestimate the strength of the move because they only see the candle, not the absence of offers behind it.
█ Scenario 2: Move Fails on High Volume
❝ A move can fail on high volume if it runs into a wall of offers or bids.❞
⚪ What’s happening?
There’s a strong surge of aggressive buying or selling (high volume).
But the order book has deep liquidity at that level — large resting limit orders.
The aggressive traders can’t chew through the liquidity wall, and price stalls or reverses.
⚪ Implication:
This is called liquidity absorption.
Market makers or institutions may intentionally absorb flow to stop a breakout.
Many retail traders mistake this for “fakeouts,” but it’s really liquidity defending a level.
⚪ What the Research Says
Cont, Stoikov, Talreja (2014): Price responds more to order book imbalance than trade volume.
Bouchaud et al. (2009): Liquidity gaps, not trade size, are what truly move markets.
Hasbrouck (1991): Trades only impact price if they consume liquidity.
Institutions don’t chase candles — they model depth, imbalance, and liquidity resilience.
⚪ Where the Alpha Lives
Liquidity tells you where the market is weak, strong, or vulnerable — before price moves.
Fakeouts happen in thin books.
Reversals occur at hidden walls of liquidity.
Breakouts sustain when liquidity follows the price, not pulls away.
If you understand this, you can:
Enter before volume shows up
Avoid chasing dead breakouts
Fade failed moves into empty space
█ Final Truth
Volume is the echo. Liquidity is the terrain. Alpha is in reading the terrain. You want to study the structure, because price moves toward weakness and away from strength. Learn to see where liquidity is, or where it’s missing, and you’ll see trading with new eyes.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
GOLD Reawakened: Corrects firmly but conditions remain bullishFrom a technical perspective Gold is climbing in a parallel channel, clearly bullish with a rhythm that’s hard to ignore. Price just bounced off the resistance with force, a classic overextension flush.
And the market is now approaching the lower boundary of this projected channel. This confluence of technical support is likely to attract renewed buying interest.
I expect it to bounce back toward 3,410, somewhere around the middle of the channel. The move up may not be determined right away. It could be consolitaing, fake dips first, or sudden acceleration.
Bullish Sentiment Returns to Gold?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on XAUUSD?
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD has just retested its long-term ascending trendline and formed a bullish reaction candle, suggesting that buying pressure may be returning.
Recently, a survey of 206 investors revealed that market sentiment remains optimistic, with 66% expecting gold prices to continue rising, 19% predicting a decline, and 15% anticipating a sideways market.
What do you think? Share your opinion in the comments!
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the rising channel📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU printed a false break above the 3 400 wedge roof, then sliced back through the rising mid-channel, closing under the wedge base at 3 309 - a classic bull-trap that flips that band into resistance.
● Momentum has rolled over, and the break of July’s micro up-trend opens room to the broad triangle floor/May trend-pivot near 3 246; successive lower-highs since 24 Jul confirm bearish control.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hot US Q2-GDP and sticky core-PCE lifted 2-yr yields to one-month highs, reviving the dollar bid, while cautious ECB guidance tempers euro gold demand.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 309-3 335; hold below 3 309 targets 3 246 ▶ 3 200. Invalidate on an H4 close above 3 366.
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3348 and a gap below at 3328 . We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3369
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3267
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
#XAUUSD: Gold is likely to create a record highGold will be bullish since the US and Russia tension rises, creating uncertainty within the global investors. As of now gold rejected nicely due to negative NFP data affected the US Dollar. We have now two strong fundamentals views that is supporting our view. Please use accurate risk management while trading gold.
Good luck and trade safe. Please like and share for more
Team Setupsfx
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues as USD StrengthensGold remains under significant pressure as the U.S. dollar continues to gain strength following a series of positive economic data from the U.S. Specifically, GDP grew by 2.5%, beating expectations, while ADP Non-Farm Employment data also came in strong. This suggests the U.S. economy remains resilient, supporting the Fed's hawkish stance and keeping the dollar strong.
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD has broken below the previous ascending price channel and is now trading under the 3,340.400 resistance zone – an area packed with unfilled FVGs. The current price structure leans bearish, with any rebounds likely to be temporary pullbacks.
If USD strength continues, gold could drop further toward the support zone at 3,279.200 or even lower near 3,240.
Trading Strategy: Focus on SELL
Entry: Around 3,325 – 3,340.400 upon price rejection signals.
Target: 3,279.200 or lower.
Stop-loss: Above 3,342.459
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a PIPTASTIC finish to the week! 🚀. We tracked the move down with precision durung the week and then rode the momentum right back up.
Yesterday, we confirmed the swing range activation and bounce, and that bullish follow through carried beautifully into today, completing our Bullish Target at 3348. Just perfect execution all around.
BULLISH TARGET
3348 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold - The diligent top formation!🏆Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) finished the bullrun:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past 10 years, Gold has been trading in a very strong expected bullrun. Just like we witnessed it in 2011, a 10 year bullrun is followed by a shorter term bearmarket. Gold is starting to lose its strength, which is a clear sign of weakness and the beginning of a bearish reversal.
📝Levels to watch:
$2.800
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for Gold for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Char🔍 XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
Based on my shared image from TradingView, here's a detailed analysis of the current XAU/USD market scenario:
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🧩 Chart Type & Indicators Used
Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
Platform: TradingView
Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud
Bollinger Bands (BB)
Support/Resistance zones
Trendlines
Price Action with Target Points Marked
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📉 Current Market Structure
Price: ~$3,324 (Sell/Buy zone shown)
Overall Trend: Turning bearish in the short term.
Price Action:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing a bearish bias.
Failed retest of the cloud resistance zone (around 3,335–3,340), which now acts as a resistance.
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🔻 Bearish Signals
1. Trendline Break:
The rising trendline support (mid-July to now) is broken.
This indicates a potential reversal from the previous bullish momentum.
2. Retest & Rejection:
Price attempted to retest the breakdown zone and was rejected from the 3,335–3,340 level.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Bearish Setup:
Price is clearly below the cloud.
Future cloud is bearish (red shaded).
Chikou Span (lagging line) is below price candles and cloud.
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🎯 Targets
First Target Point: ~3,300
This is the next horizontal support level (near recent lows).
Final Target Point: ~3,270
Stronger support zone and measured move from breakdown.
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🛡 Resistance Zone
Immediate Resistance: 3,335–3,340
Stronger Resistance: 3,370
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📌 Conclusion
The XAU/USD 4H chart shows a bearish breakout below the rising channel, with confirmation from Ichimoku and price rejection at cloud resistance. The market is targeting 3,300 as the first support, and if that breaks, 3,270 will likely follow.
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✅ Strategy Suggestion (if trading):
Bias: Short/Sell
Entry: After a weak pullback or retest near 3,330–3,335
Targets:
TP1: 3,300
TP2: 3,270
Stop Loss: Above 3,345 or near 3,350 zone
Let me know if you'd like this in simpler terms or want me to track the next setup.
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
- Follow for more real-time gold trading strategies and save this idea if you find it helpful!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Break Out Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish From now price - 3306
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.