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Gold (XAUUSD) Breaks Trendline – Potential Downside Ahead?Gold (XAU/USD) has officially broken below a long-term ascending trendline on the 4H chart, indicating a potential shift in market structure. The recent breakout from a bear flag pattern confirms bearish momentum, and price is now approaching a key horizontal support zone around $3,249 and $3,242. 🔹 Trendline support (now resistance) broken 🔹 Bear flag breakdown – strong bearish candle 🔹 Eyes on support levels: $3,249, $3,165, and possibly lower 🔹 Watch for a potential retest of the broken trendline for short opportunities A clean break and close below $3,249 could open the door for further downside in the coming sessions. Trade cautiously and manage your risk!
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by AllBeginner
Gold recently experienced a typical "suppression and release"Capital dynamics and sentiment modeling, found that the gold market has recently experienced a typical "suppression and release" type of reaction. After a period of sustained pressure on the emotional background, the dominant force of the short side began to weaken, and both long and short sentiment tends to be balanced, and the logic of gold as a safe-haven asset has been re-explored and recognized. This type of trend is often non-explosive, but through the emotional layers of repair and structural slow reversal of the gradual unfolding. The current signal strength has reached the bearish threshold set by the system, with a certain operational feasibility. It is recommended that traders try to follow up with a low percentage of positions, but still need to retain enough position space to cope with the possible continuation of fluctuations. The whole layout is mainly defensive and offensive, and it is appropriate to seek progress in a stable manner.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Double_RR
Gold (XAU/USD) – Technical UpdateDate: July 30, 2025 ✅ Market Reaction Confirms the Forecast In our previous analysis, we highlighted the $3,308–$3,315 region as a high-probability demand zone, reinforced by a deep retracement into the 89% Fibonacci level. We also pointed to a liquidity grab beneath $3,308 and projected a potential bullish reversal toward $3,345 and $3,398. Today, price action has validated this view with precision. ✅ Price swept liquidity below $3,308 as expected, triggering a sharp rejection from our zone. ✅ A clear bounce followed, pushing price upward and confirming that large buyers stepped in—exactly where we anticipated. ✅ The structure is now shifting bullish, with price currently trading above $3,331, heading confidently toward our first target at $3,345. 📊 Why This Matters This reaction was not random—it followed the logic laid out in the prior analysis: -The demand zone was respected. -The discounted pricing at 89% retracement offered maximum risk-reward. -The internal imbalance between $3,345–$3,398 continues to act as a magnet, just as we outlined. This is a textbook move where price hunted stops, tapped into demand, and began its upward drive—exactly as described in advance. 🎯 Targets Remain Valid Target 1: $3,345 → Currently in progress. Price is gravitating toward this level, which also aligns with the 50% Fib retracement and minor supply. Target 2: $3,398 → The final destination of this bullish move, completing the fill of the inefficiency left behind by the last drop. 🧠 Final Word This is a strong confirmation of the original idea. The technical story has unfolded step by step as predicted, proving the reliability of the analysis. For traders following along, this not only reinforces confidence in the setup—but also showcases the power of disciplined, structure-based trading. 🔥 The move is unfolding exactly as projected. Patience, precision, and planning are now paying off. consider like and follow so you don't miss any next analysis or update of the chart you can ask me in the comment section
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gol-DTrader
Please check how to trade later.Since the release of the trading strategy, I have been able to accurately predict market trends. I am also grateful to so many brothers for following me. My premium privileges are about to expire. I will put the subsequent trading content in the group. If any brothers are interested, they can find me through 🌐. As for how to deal with the future market, I have stated the extraordinary situation and will patiently wait for the rebound of gold. At the same time, I will pay attention to the impact of the Sino-US trade talks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
European session under pressure 3321 continue to shortI reminded everyone last night that if gold holds the 3300 mark, it will consolidate in the 3300-3345 range in the short term. The current gold price basically fluctuates narrowly between 3320-3310. Judging from the daily chart, the short-term upper pressure is at 3330. Only if the daily line stands firmly above 3330, there is a possibility of a rebound upward in the short term. Judging from the hourly chart, gold is still in a downward trend, and the hourly line is blocked near 3321. In the short term, if it cannot break through 3320-3330, gold will continue to fall. You can consider shorting, with the target at 3310-3300. If the European session is still volatile, maintain high shorts and low longs to participate in the cycle. My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 29✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 U.S. Dollar Index Surges Strongly: On Monday, the U.S. Dollar Index jumped over 1%, closing at 98.6, marking a new short-term high. This rally was primarily driven by the U.S.-EU trade agreement, which reduced tariffs to 15%, easing concerns of a trade war escalation. As a result, risk assets gained appeal, while gold's safe-haven demand was suppressed. 🔹 U.S.-China Talks Resume with Limited Expectations: The U.S. and China resumed trade negotiations in Stockholm, aiming to extend the 90-day tariff truce. However, the U.S. side made it clear that "no major breakthroughs are expected," leaving room for uncertainty, which provides some support for gold. 🔹 Geopolitical Risks Remain Elevated: President Trump has set a 10–12 day deadline regarding the Russia-Ukraine issue, warning of stronger measures if no progress is made. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East continue. Any escalation in conflicts could trigger renewed safe-haven buying in gold. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 Gold closed lower again on Monday, marking the fourth consecutive daily loss. The price rebounded to the 3345 level during the day but encountered strong resistance. During the European session, gold broke down swiftly, reaching a low of around 3301, showing a typical one-sided sell-off with strong bearish momentum. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, gold broke below the key support level at 3320 and continued trading below the MA system. If the price fails to reclaim the 3330–3340 zone, the outlook remains bearish. However, if the European or U.S. session can push the price firmly above 3330, a potential bottom formation could be underway. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3330 / 3345–3350 🟢 Support Levels: 3300 / 3285–3280 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3340-3345 area. Target: 3320-3310；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3300. 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3300-3305 area. Target: 3325-3335；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3345. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280Gold market analysis: The recent gold daily line is still weak. It rebounded yesterday and fell again. It has touched the strong support of the weekly line. Today's idea is still bearish. Consider continuing to sell it if it rebounds. It is estimated that it will be repaired if there is support at 3300. The daily line was a cross star yesterday, and the upper shadow line was very long. The daily moving average suppression position was also around 3345, and the suppression position of the pattern was also around 3350. Today, the price is below 3345. We insist on being bearish. This week is a data week. The subsequent trend depends on the release of data. If the data is not strong and the weekly selling signal is added, it is very likely that gold will enter the 3200 era. After the weekly line breaks 3280, it basically opens up the weekly line's downward space, and will start a deep decline in the later period. In the Asian session of gold, we pay attention to the suppression of 3326. This position is the indicator suppression and the small suppression of the pattern. Consider selling it near this position. If it stands above 3326, don't sell it. The repair range will be 3345. Consider selling it at 3345. If the US market cannot break 3300, we should consider whether it will rebound. On the contrary, if it breaks 3300 directly in the Asian market, we should consider selling it directly. Support 3300 and 3280, suppress 3326 and 3345, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3326. Fundamental analysis: This Monday and Tuesday are relatively quiet, and the big data will be released one by one starting from Wednesday. Operation suggestion: Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
XAUUSD – Technical rebound, but downside risks remainOn the H4 chart, gold is bouncing slightly from the 3,323 support zone after a sharp drop. However, price remains within a large descending channel and is approaching a dense cluster of bearish FVGs around 3,360–3,374. News context: – US GDP and ADP data beat expectations, boosting the USD and adding pressure on gold. – JOLTS dipped but remains above 7 million → limited support for gold. – Thailand–Cambodia conflict provides only short-term impact. Strategy: Favor SELL if price retests 3,360–3,374 and gets rejected. Downside targets: 3,323 or lower. Main trend remains bearish, unless gold breaks above the descending channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking. The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday. 1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support. 2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high. The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 28 ✅ Fundamental Analysis: 🔹 The United States and the European Union have reached a significant trade agreement, setting a unified tariff rate at 15% (previously threatened at 30%). The EU has also pledged to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. and to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy and military equipment. 🔹 This agreement has significantly eased trade tensions between the U.S. and EU, boosting market risk appetite and sending U.S. stock markets to new record highs. As a result, capital has shifted away from safe-haven assets like gold, causing gold prices to drop to the $3320 level during the Asian session. ✅ Technical Analysis: 🔸 4-Hour Chart: Since retreating from the 3438.77 high, gold has formed a clear descending channel. While the current candlestick shows some signs of stabilization near the lower Bollinger Band, the rebound has been weak and has yet to touch the middle band, suggesting the downtrend remains intact. Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the MA5 crossing below the MA10, and price continues to trade below both—indicating ongoing bearish control. If the price fails to reclaim the MA10 level around 3347, the structure will likely remain bearish, with further downside potential targeting the 3316 and 3309 support levels. On the upside, the 3365–3380 zone represents key resistance. For the bulls to gain meaningful control, the price must break and hold above this area. 🔸 1-Hour Chart: The overall trend remains bearish within a weak consolidation phase, with price hovering near the lower Bollinger Band. Despite several attempts to rebound, gold has repeatedly failed to break above the 3350 level, which now acts as a key resistance line. The Bollinger Bands have begun to flatten slightly, and if the price cannot hold above the 3345–3350 area, the risk of a renewed drop remains. Focus on the 3320–3317 support zone in the near term. Overall, recent rebounds appear to be corrective in nature, and the 1-hour bearish structure remains unchanged. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3345–3350 / 3365–3370 🟢 Support Levels: 3330–3325 / 3316–3309 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3350-3355 area. Target: 3330-3310；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3280. 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3333-3338 area. Target: 3345-3355；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3365. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro
After continuous decline, oversold rebound opportunity.Last week, gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The weekly line closed with an inverted hammer and a long upper shadow, continuing the cross-line pattern of the previous week. The short-term rise was obviously blocked. Although the trend line connecting the daily lows of 3247-3282-3309 has been substantially broken, it may continue to fall after testing and sorting. In the short term, we need to focus on the 3348 suppression level and the 3324 support level. If they fall below, they may fall to the 3300/3285 support area. From the current trend, the overall bearish and lack of rebound momentum, the weak pattern may continue, and only when the price falls to a specific position to complete the bottoming will it attract entry. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a bearish mindset. The hourly line shows that the long and short conversions are relatively frequent. The upward trend channel was maintained in the first three days, but all gains were given up in the next two days and the downward channel was rebuilt. Given that both the 4-hour and daily lines have fallen below the key support level, 3348 has become the key point for today's bearishness, and it is necessary to change the mindset in time and go short.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JoyLouise53