XAUUSDThe unemployment data just now did not suppress gold, and the bullish sentiment remains. 2895-2900 continues to be long gold
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD | GOLD Reaching Exhaustion – Potential Reversal Incoming?📌 Gold at Key Resistance – Will the Bulls Hold?
🔸 Gold has been on a strong bullish rally, but it's now testing a major supply zone at $2,908 - $2,910.
🔸 The recent upside was fueled by inflation concerns, a weakening USD, and safe-haven demand.
🔸 However, with Fed speakers hinting at no early rate cuts, gold could face pressure.
🏦 Interest Rate Outlook & Dollar Strength
🔹 The Fed’s higher-for-longer stance remains a key headwind for gold.
🔹 If bond yields rise, gold could see profit-taking, leading to a potential correction.
🌎 Market Sentiment & Economic Data
🔸 Traders are eyeing the upcoming NFP report & Powell’s speech, which could trigger volatility.
🔸 If economic data remains strong, gold might struggle to maintain bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Supply Zone: $2,908 - $2,910 (Strong resistance)
🔹 Support Levels:
🔸 $2,710 – First potential retracement level.
🔸 $2,521 – Major demand zone (high probability buy area).
🔄 Potential Bearish Reversal Setup
📌 Price is testing strong resistance, indicating a possible pullback.
📌 Rejection & weak bullish momentum suggest a shift in market structure.
📌 Bearish confirmation if price fails to break and hold above $2,910.
📊 Trade Plan
📉 Bearish Scenario
✅ Sell if price fails to break resistance → Target: $2,710 & $2,521
❌ Invalidated if price breaks & holds above $2,910
📈 Bullish Alternative
🔹 If price holds above $2,910, we could see a breakout towards new highs.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Gold is at a critical decision point! Will we see a strong rejection, or is a breakout coming? Comment below! 📉👇
Gold ShortWe have taken out the buyside liquidity. We are waiting for the fair value gap at 2942 in order to enter short position.
Gold, beware of a high-rise fallGold maintained a shock-washing mode yesterday, but eventually pulled up again to around 2930. In yesterday's article, the emphasis was on the idea of going long. Yesterday, we saw gold fall in the morning and evening, both suggesting going long. No matter how the market moves, no matter how the main force washes, direction is above all else, and the point determines the outcome. In a shock market, although it is bullish, once it enters the middle position, it will be extremely passive, so it is necessary to get stuck and be patient.
At present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2930, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term maintains a high-level shock operation. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the momentum was obviously insufficient. After being under pressure near 2930, it fell again. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, there is a high probability of shocks around a high-level large range. Even if it does not break through, the short-term is just a callback again, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to shock in a high-level large range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
Operation plan, the long positions last night are still held after reducing positions. Today, focus on whether it will break through 2930 again. If it still cannot break through 2930 to create a new high, all long positions need to be exited. If it breaks through 2930 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2930-2945 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. In the short term, once the pressure area is touched and a short signal appears, the short-term intraday short-term can wait for the opportunity to go short and see the support area below the retracement is concentrated in the 2900-2890 area. At the same time, this area is the area where pressure turns to support after the breakthrough. Therefore, to do more, you also have to wait for the retracement to this area again before there is room for operation. Since it has been characterized as a volatile market, do not chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for the operation position.
Gold Trend Today - Continue to Increase?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
👉Gold prices held steady on Thursday as speculation grew that U.S. President Donald Trump might ease some tariffs, particularly those related to automobiles under the USMCA trade agreement. However, uncertainty persists, and XAU/USD remains largely unchanged at $2,919.
👉On the economic front, ADP data showed a significant slowdown in private-sector job growth for February compared to January. Meanwhile, the latest ISM Services PMI indicated continued business expansion. Despite this, concerns over rising inflation linger, as the Prices Paid sub-index surged above 60, signaling that producers are facing higher costs, which could lead to another wave of inflation.
👉As a result, money market traders adjusted their expectations for rate cuts in 2025, pricing in 71.5 basis points of easing, down from 81 bps on Tuesday.
👉On the geopolitical side, a senior aide to Ukraine’s President Zelensky discussed peace efforts with the U.S. National Security Advisor, with both sides agreeing to an upcoming meeting. This development, along with rising U.S. Treasury bond yields, could exert downward pressure on gold prices.
Personal opinion:
👉Gold will have a bounce back to the trend line and then bounce back following the main uptrend
👉Note: prioritize evaluating the latest information on President Trump's tariffs
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy GOLD 2900 – 2903 (European session)
❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2910 – 2916 – 2926
👉Sell GOLD 2953 – 2955
❌SL: 2961 | ✅TP: 2948 – 2942 – 2936
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• 1H Chart: Clear uptrend with a pullback and price stabilizing near 2918.
• 15M Chart: Price has been consolidating after a recovery from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Market is forming higher lows, showing strength.
2. Indicators:
• MACD:
• 1H Chart: Bullish momentum, MACD line above signal line.
• 15M Chart: MACD recovering from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Weakening bearish momentum, signaling potential reversal.
• RSI:
• 1H Chart: 53.84 (neutral, with room for upside).
• 15M Chart: 50.50 (balanced, indicating neither overbought nor oversold).
• 3M Chart: 57.78 (leaning bullish).
3. Support & Resistance Levels:
• Support: 2910, 2895
• Resistance: 2928, 2946
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold’s recent movement is supported by:
• Dollar weakness due to expectations of Fed rate cuts.
• Geopolitical uncertainty keeping gold as a safe-haven asset.
• U.S. Treasury Yields stabilizing, giving gold more upside room.
Trade Execution:
• Entry: 2918
• Stop Loss (SL): 2908 (10 points)
• Take Profit (TP): 2938 (20 points)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
Rationale for Trade:
• Momentum is bullish across timeframes.
• Good confluence of technical and fundamental factors supporting upside.
• Risk is well-managed with a strong RRR of 2:1.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Xauusd surely fly XAU/USD trades near a fresh weekly high of $2,929.65, with higher highs in sight. The bright metal benefited from the broad US Dollar’s (USD) weakness, the latter affected by tepid United States (US) data and President Donald Trump’s massive tariffs on trade partners.
President Trump addressed Congress late on Tuesday and played down the potential negative effects of his latest round of tariffs. “. There'll be a little disturbance, but we're okay with that. It won't be much,” Trump said, adding that reciprocal tariffs on trading partners will come into effect
Short AgainMarket is bears 4h and now at the resistance due to the spike of New York session it's expected that market would respect the higher time frame. These confluences indicates that, probability of MarKet going down side is higher
GOLDThe ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and ISM Services PMI might affect the DXY (US Dollar Index) and Gold trade directional bias today:
1. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (2:15 PM)
Forecast: 141,000 jobs
Previous: 183,000 jobs
Impact on DXY:
Stronger-than-expected data: Could strengthen the DXY as it suggests a robust labor market, potentially leading to tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.
Weaker-than-expected data: Might weaken the DXY if it indicates a slowdown in job creation, potentially leading to looser monetary policy expectations.
Impact on Gold:
Stronger-than-expected data: Could put downward pressure on gold prices as a strong labor market might lead to increased risk appetite and expectations of higher interest rates.
Weaker-than-expected data: Might boost gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets in response to economic uncertainty.
2. ISM Services PMI (4:00 PM)
Forecast: 52.5
Previous: 52.8
Impact on DXY:
Above-forecast data: Could support the DXY by indicating a healthy services sector, which is a significant part of the U.S. economy.
Below-forecast data: Might weaken the DXY if it suggests a slowdown in the services sector, potentially impacting economic growth.
Impact on Gold:
Above-forecast data: Could reduce demand for gold as a strong services sector might boost risk appetite and reduce the need for safe-haven assets.
Below-forecast data: Might increase demand for gold as investors become cautious about economic growth.
Overall Trade Directional Bias:
DXY: A strong ADP report combined with a robust ISM Services PMI could support the DXY, while weaker-than-expected data in both could lead to a decline.
Gold: Conversely, weaker-than-expected data in both reports could boost gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets, while strong data might reduce demand for gold.
Trading Strategy:
Buy DXY/Short Gold: If both reports are stronger than expected.
Sell DXY/Long Gold: If both reports are weaker than expected.
Neutral or Wait: If the reports are mixed or align closely with forecasts, as market reactions might be muted.
CHART REPORT ;
buyers broke out of ascending bullish trendline and failed to create a new high above 2920,a sustain move above 2920 will open 2947 as the next supply roof, as more pressure persist we could see 2957-2966 as final supply roof.the price movement is trapped between 2920 and 2900 awaiting clear directional bias from economic data print(ADP AND ISM)
from the floor 2880-2885 is a good discount for buyers to resume buying and below 2880-2885 is 2870-2867 for buy.
the market need buy liquidity to upswing, stay alert
If rejection happens again at $2,920, expect a drop to $2,892📊 Deep Real-Time Analysis of XAU/USD (15m Chart)
🔥 March 5, 2025 – Market Structure, Candlestick Pattern & Trade Decision
📌 Key Observations From Your Chart:
1️⃣ Price Action & Market Structure
✔ Price is consolidating between $2,910 - $2,920 (red box) → This is a tight range, signaling potential breakout or breakdown.
✔ Multiple wicks rejecting $2,920 → Indicates strong resistance at this level.
✔ Higher lows forming → Suggests bullish accumulation, but price needs to break above $2,920 - $2,926 for confirmation.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels
🔹 Strong Institutional Support:
$2,910 → Minor liquidity zone (held multiple times).
$2,900 - $2,902 → Strong institutional demand.
$2,890 - $2,892 → Next key institutional support.
🔸 Major Institutional Resistance:
$2,920 - $2,926 → Immediate breakout level.
$2,930 - $2,950 → Strong supply zone.
📉 Candlestick Pattern Analysis (Last 5 Candles - 15m Chart)
1️⃣ Candle #1 (Left-most)
Bearish rejection candle → Price tried to break above $2,920 but failed.
Wick on top suggests selling pressure.
2️⃣ Candle #2
Indecision Doji → Shows hesitation between buyers and sellers.
Market is waiting for confirmation.
3️⃣ Candle #3
Bullish engulfing candle → Indicates some buyers stepping in.
Failed to close above $2,920, which is a warning.
4️⃣ Candle #4
Weak bullish candle → Lower wick shows buyers are defending $2,910, but strength is lacking.
5️⃣ Current Candle (Live)
Attempting to push up but still under resistance.
If this candle closes strong above $2,920, bullish breakout likely.
If rejection happens again at $2,920, expect a drop to $2,900 or lower.
📢 Trade Decision – Should You Buy or Sell?
📍 Best Trade Setup Based on Current Data
✅ Buy Setup (ONLY IF Breaks Above $2,920)
📍 Entry: Buy at $2,921 - $2,922 (Breakout Entry)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $2,926
TP2: $2,930
TP3: $2,950
❌ Stop-Loss: $2,910 (Below current structure).
❗ DO NOT Buy Yet – Wait for a Clean Break Above $2,920.
🚨 Short Setup (Higher Probability Trade Right Now)
🔻 Short XAU/USD Now at $2,918 - $2,920 (Sell on Rejection)
📍 Entry: $2,918 - $2,920 (Sell if price rejects this zone again)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $2,910
TP2: $2,900
TP3: $2,892
❌ Stop-Loss: Above $2,926 (Invalidates short thesis).
🔥 Final Verdict – Sell Now or Buy Later?
📌 Best Trade Right Now: SHORT XAU/USD at $2,918 - $2,920.
📌 Only Buy if price breaks and closes above $2,921.
💰 Execute with confidence & monitor order flow for confirmation! 📊🔥
GOLD GOLD 15min scalper strategy is giving higher sell zone in the region of 2954-2964 10pints in the zone ,risk management is key.
on the floor the break of 2900 will be watched for potential sniper entry only
"Gold (XAU/USD) Rebounds from 200 EMA – Targeting Key ResistanceKey Observations:
Support & Bounce:
The price bounced from a key support level around 2,846.493 (200 EMA), marked with a red circle.
This suggests strong buying interest around this level.
Entry & Target Zones:
The trader appears to be aiming for a long (buy) position, as indicated by the red arrow pointing upward.
The first take profit (TP) level is around 2,929.243.
The second TP level is around 2,944.083 - 2,951.503, marked by the blue rectangle (resistance zone).
Resistance Zone:
The upper blue shaded area represents a strong resistance level where price previously rejected.
If price reaches this zone, it may face selling pressure.
Bearish Flag Pattern Mentioned:
The chart includes a note about a bearish flag, which is generally a continuation pattern signaling potential downside.
However, in this case, the trader is looking at a retracement upward before potential selling pressure resumes.
Conclusion & Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If price sustains above the 200 EMA and breaks the first TP level, it could reach the second TP in the resistance zone.
❌ Bearish Rejection: If price fails to break the resistance zone, it may reverse downward, validating the bearish flag pattern.
Would you like any specific trading insights or adjustments to this analysis?
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 3/5/2025Gold is in the cross road right now. Although it broke 2900 yesterday, it is still not breaking last daily high at 2920.
If 2920 is broken in 4hrly TF, I will switch my medium view to bullish.
However, If a bearish candle is printed in 4hrly TF, I will engage selling orders. A broken below 2900 is a confirmation of bearish continuation.
Anyway, I am more towards bearish side.
Gold Going To ATH!Gold Market Update:
The gold price has successfully broken above the bearish Falling Volume Gap (FVG) previously identified on the chart. This technical development suggests a potential bullish reversal.
Near-Term Outlook:
The market is expected to retest the $2912-$2915 level, which will provide confirmation for a buy signal. A successful retest and close above this level will prompt a buy recommendation, targeting the all-time high (ATH) liquidity level.
Alternative Scenario:
Conversely, if the gold price closes below the $2912-$2915 level, a bearish outlook will prevail, and investors should prepare for potential downside momentum.
XAUUSD TOUCHED ON MY TARGETThis chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. The price has recently dropped to a key support level near 2,880, where it found buying interest and started to reverse. There is an order block near the support level, with a potential upward move targeting 2,883. Traders may watch for confirmation of this rebound and possible continuation towards the target at 2,883.
Gold 1 h setup continuation of ascending channelXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis (March 4, 2025)
1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Rising Wedge Breakdown: Gold was previously in an ascending wedge pattern, which has broken to the downside.
Key Support at $2,836: This level is a significant horizontal support, and price is likely to test it again.
Lower Highs Formation: The price is making lower highs, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
2. RSI & Momentum Analysis
Bearish Divergence: The RSI was making lower highs while the price made higher highs, signaling weakness before the drop.
Current RSI at 62.75: The RSI has rebounded but remains below overbought levels, suggesting that there is still room for a move down.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$2,900 - $2,920 (Wedge breakdown retest; strong resistance zone)
$2,940 (Major resistance if price pushes higher)
Support:
$2,836 (Key level where buyers may step in)
$2,800 - $2,820 (Next major support zone)
4. Potential Trade Scenarios
📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)
If price fails to reclaim $2,900 and shows weakness, expect a move toward $2,836.
Short Setup:
Entry: $2,895 - $2,900 (retest of breakdown zone)
Stop-loss: Above $2,915
Target: $2,836, then $2,820
📈 Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability)
If price reclaims $2,900 and holds above, we could see a retest of the $2,920 - $2,940 zone.
Long Setup:
Entry: Above $2,900 with confirmation
Stop-loss: Below $2,885
Target: $2,920 - $2,940
5. Conclusion & Strategy
Short-term bias: Bearish towards $2,836, with further downside possible.
Trade idea: Look for rejection at $2,900 to confirm shorts.
Risk management: Watch for false breakouts before entering trades.
XAUUSD READY TO FLYING READ CAPTIONhello trader's
What do you think about Gold
Current price: 2856
Gold reject support are and h4 reject candle in closing bullish. I think gold ready to retest upside fill the FVG gape.
Support area : 2830-2810
Resistance zone: 2878.
Demand zone: 2900
Please don't forget to like comments and follow thank you
XAUUSD(Gold) FORECAST (Must Read Caption)Hello Friends Check out my XAUUSD(Gold) Forecast and share your thoughts about it .
28th February 2025 Friday.
📈 XAUUSD ( Gold) Looking Bearish now Gold had Breaks its major Resistance levels ,Gold can Further Declines Other Support levels which I have Identified ✅️
📊 According to My Previous Chart Gold will Falls it's already hit So Let's Foucs on The Same View in Bearish Side
✅️ Key Highlights are.
✅️Support Zone 2842.
✅️Retracement Zone . 2870
🎯 Target Area . 2822-23
Support me With Your Likes & Comments to Motivate me to share more Analysis with you.
XAUUSDPrice swept Previous week low and can potentially attack highs/ buy stops. With a H4 OB acting as support, ideally we can target Asia highs as draw on liquidity.
U.S. Tariffs Incoming: What’s Next for Gold?Trump's planned tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, set to take effect on March 4, along with an additional 10% levy on Chinese products, have heightened concerns about potential countermeasures and escalating trade tensions. As a result, during Monday’s Asian trading session, gold prices surged, as these policies strengthened demand for gold, which is traditionally seen as a hedge against rising costs.
From a technical analysis perspective, the overall trend of the MARKETSCOM:GOLD has been bullish, as indicated by the formation of higher highs and higher lows. However, bearish pressure regained control last week, driving the price downward with significant bearish momentum. The previous candlestick experienced a liquidity sweep and rebounded, managed to close within the swap zone.
Currently, the price is moving within the swap zone of 2854 - 2877. If it manages to close above this level, there is a high probability that the bullish trend will continue, leading to a retest of the previous high. Conversely, if the price fails to hold support within the swap zone, it will indicate that bearish forces have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further downward movement. Therefore, this is a critical level to monitor, as a breakout in either direction will likely determine the trend for the week.
Following the trend on Xauusd with daily support zonetaking a look at the market today without any prior bias but as a trader, the first step is identifying your Point of interest which is the "support/resistance" zones in the market. I have identified the support and resistance I see on the daily timeframe in this 10 mins video for you guys here and we'll be expecting a bounce up from there. Happy Trading week to you guys!
PS: Please work with risk management as not to loose all your money
